hexaware, 2q cy 2013

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  • 7/27/2019 Hexaware, 2Q CY 2013

    1/13

    Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1

    Y/E December (` cr) 2QCY13 1QCY13 % chg (qoq) 2QCY12 % chg (yoy)Net revenue 537 508 5.7 500 7.3EBITDA 127 98 30.0 115 11.0

    EBITDA margin (%) 23.7 19.3 444bp 22.9 79bp

    PAT* 98 79 23.5 89 10.0Source:Company, Angel Research; Note: *Excluding exceptional item

    For 2QCY2013, Hexaware Technologies (Hexaware) reported broadly in-line set

    of results on the revenue front but exceeded expectations on the operating margin

    as well as on the bottom-line front. The overall volume of the company came in at

    1.5% qoq. The operating margin grew by more than 440bp on a sequential basis

    which was a major surprise. The Management has given a 3.5-5.5% qoq

    USD revenue growth for 3QCY2013, which is higher than our expectation of

    2-4%. We maintain our Buy rating on the stock.Quarterly highlights: For 2QCY2013, Hexaware reported a USD revenue ofUS$94.8mn, up 0.8% qoq. In INR terms, revenue came in at `537cr, up 5.7%

    qoq. The company witnessed a 444bp and 452bp qoq increase in its EBITDA and

    EBIT margins to 23.7% and 22.0%, respectively. The pickup in operating margin

    was driven by an ~140bp qoq gain due to forex, 70bp qoq gain due to absence

    of visa cost (which was incurred last quarter) and 150bp qoq gain due to

    one-time reversal of a cost. The PAT stood tall at `98cr, up 23.5% qoq, aided by

    gains due to strong operational performance.

    Outlook and valuation: For 3QCY2013, the Management has given a USDrevenue guidance of US$98.1-100mn, which implies a growth rate of 3.5-5.5%;

    better than our estimates of 2-4%. The company is chasing four deals with a TCV

    of US$25m+ each and two deals with a TCV of US$10m+. It expects to close at

    least two of these deals by the next quarter. Hexaware has been slowly clawing its

    way back to growth after a tepid performance on large deal signings over the

    past few quarters and headwinds in its top account. The 3QCY2013 guidance and

    outlook on large deal pipelines suggest greater likelihood of growth acceleration

    going forward. We expect the company to post a USD and INR revenue CAGR of

    6.6% and 10.0% over CY201214E, respectively. We expect the EBITDA margin to

    remain at 21.5% and 20.5% in CY2013 and CY2014, respectively from 20.9% in

    CY2012. We value the company at 9.5x CY2014E EPS of `12.9, which gives us atarget price of `123. We maintain our Buy rating on the stock.Key financials (Indian GAAP, Consolidated)

    Y/E Dec. (` cr) CY2010 CY2011 CY2012 CY2013E CY2014ENet sales 1,055 1,451 1,948 2,213 2,479% chg 1.5 37.6 34.3 13.6 12.0

    Net profit 108 267 328 365 388% chg (19.7) 147.8 22.8 11.3 6.4

    EBITDA margin (%) 8.9 18.2 20.9 21.5 20.5

    EPS (`)* 2.9 8.9 10.9 12.1 12.9P/E (x) 37.1 12.0 9.8 8.8 8.3

    P/BV (x) 3.2 3.1 2.6 2.2 1.9

    RoE (%) 11.2 26.3 27.2 25.4 23.5

    RoCE (%) 7.1 22.8 30.0 29.4 27.3

    EV/Sales (x) 2.5 1.9 1.5 1.2 1.1

    EV/EBITDA (x) 28.4 10.4 7.2 5.8 5.2

    Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *Excluding exceptional item

    BUYCMP `107

    Target Price `123

    Investment Period 12 Months

    Stock Info

    Sector

    Net debt (`cr) (562)

    Bloomberg Code HEXW@IN

    Shareholding Pattern (%)

    Promoters 27.9

    MF / Banks / Indian Fls 10.4

    FII / NRIs / OCBs 36.2Indian Public / Others 25.5

    Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr

    Sensex 6.0 16.6 12.4

    Hexaware 21.9 (6.9) 157.5

    Face Value (`)

    IT

    Avg. Daily Volume

    Market Cap (`cr)

    Beta

    52 Week High / Low

    3,116

    0.7

    2

    142/73

    BSE Sensex

    Nifty

    Reuters Code

    20,150

    6,029

    HEXT.BO

    335,470

    Ankita Somani+91 22 39357800 Ext: 6819

    [email protected]

    HexawarePerformance highlights

    2QCY2013 Result Update | IT

    July 19, 2013

  • 7/27/2019 Hexaware, 2Q CY 2013

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    Hexaware | 2QCY2013Result Update

    July 19, 2013 2

    Exhibit 1:2QCY2013 performance (Indian GAAP, Consolidated)

    Y/E December (` cr) 2QCY13 1QCY13 % chg (qoq) 2QCY12 % chg (yoy) 1HCY13 1HCY12 % chg (yoy)Revenue 537 508 5.7 500 7.3 1,044 938 11.3Direct costs 325 316 2.8 300 8.6 641 557 15.2Gross profit 211 192 10.4 201 5.4 403 382 5.6

    SG&A expenses 84 94 (10.1) 86 (2.1) 178 169 5.4

    EBITDA 127 98 30.0 115 11.0 225 213 5.8Dep. and amortization 9 9 1.1 8 23.7 19 15 27.2

    EBIT 118 89 33.1 107 10.1 207 198 4.2

    Other income 10 10 10 20 22

    Forex gain (4) 2 (6) (2) (3)

    PBT 124 100 23.6 112 10.8 225 217 3.5

    Tax 26 21 24.2 23 13.9 47 40 19.7

    PAT 98 79 23.5 89 10.0 177 177 (0.1)Exceptional item - - - - -

    Final PAT 98 79 23.5 89 10.0 177 177 (0.1)Diluted EPS* 3.3 2.6 23.5 3.0 10.1 5.9 5.9 -Gross margin (%) 39.4 37.7 168bp 40.1 (72)bp 38.6 40.7 (207)bp

    EBITDA margin (%) 23.7 19.3 444bp 22.9 79bp 21.6 22.7 (112)bp

    EBIT margin (%) 22.0 17.5 452bp 21.4 56bp 19.8 21.1 (135)bp

    PAT margin (%) 18.0 15.3 277bp 17.6 41bp 16.7 18.5 (185)bp

    Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: * Excluding exceptional item

    Exhibit 2:Actual vs Angel estimates

    (` cr) Actual Estimate % VarNet revenue 537 543 (1.2)

    EBITDA margin (%) 23.7 20.7 298bp

    PAT 98 82 18.7

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    In-line revenues, margins ahead of estimates

    For 2QCY2013, Hexaware reported a USD revenue of US$94.8mn (at the lower

    end of the companys guided band of US$94-96mn), up 0.8% qoq, mainly led by

    a 1.5% qoq volume growth. The break-up of revenue growth is as follows: 1)volume growth: +1.5% qoq, 2) forex impact: -0.34% qoq and price realization: -

    0.36%. In INR terms, the revenue came in at `537cr, up 5.7% qoq.

    During the quarter, the companys offshore bill rates remained almost stable qoq

    at US$23.40/hour, while its onsite bill rates declined by 0.8% to US$73.06/hour.

    The Management indicated that on a broader basis the company expects billing

    rates to remain stable.

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    Hexaware | 2QCY2013Result Update

    July 19, 2013 3

    Exhibit 3:Trend in revenue growth (qoq)

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 4:Trend in billing rates

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Service vertical wise, the companys growth was led by testing (contributed 13% to

    revenue), the revenue from which grew by 9.2% qoq. BI and analytics continued to

    decline for a second consecutive quarter (-6.6% qoq), and has remained volatile in

    the past five quarters, with revenues ranging between US$9-12mn. Applicationdevelopment and maintenance (ADM) the companys anchor service vertical,

    contributed 38.1% to revenue, and its revenue grew by 1.3% qoq. Revenue from

    enterprise solutions (contributed 29.0% to revenues) grew by 0.4% qoq.

    91.2

    92.892.4

    94.0

    94.83.6

    1.7

    (0.4)

    1.8

    0.8

    4.2

    1.7

    (1.1)

    1.9 1.5

    (2)

    0

    2

    4

    6

    89

    90

    91

    92

    93

    94

    95

    96

    2QCY12 3QCY12 4QCY12 1QCY13 2QCY13

    (%)

    (US$mn)

    Revenue (US$ mn) Revenue growth -qoq (%) Volume grow th - qoq (%)

    73.50 73.54 74.27 73.64 73.06

    22.85 22.97 23.16 23.37 23.40

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    2QCY12 3QCY12 4QCY12 1QCY13 2QCY13

    (US$/hr)

    Onsite Offshore

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    Hexaware | 2QCY2013Result Update

    July 19, 2013 4

    Exhibit 5:Growth trend in service verticals

    Service verticals % to revenue % chg (qoq) % chg (yoy)ADM 38.1 1.3 3.3

    Enterprise solutions 29.0 0.4 (6.8)

    Testing 13.0 9.2 51.7

    BI and analytics 10.2 (6.6) (0.1)

    BPO 4.3 0.8 (7.0)

    IMS 5.4 (4.5) 10.0

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Industry segment wise, once again banking and capital markets posted a modest

    growth with the segments revenue growth coming in at 4.0% qoq. The company

    expects this segment to grow at a higher rate than the companys average growth

    rate in CY2013. Revenue from healthcare & capital markets insurance and travel

    & transportation industry segment remained stable on a qoq basis. The company

    added four new clients in the banking & financial markets vertical and one each in

    healthcare & insurance and travel & transportation industry segments.

    Exhibit 6:Growth trend in industry segments

    Industry segments % to revenue % chg (qoq) % chg (yoy)Banking and financial markets 35.5 4.0 28.5

    Healthcare and insurance 15.9 0.1 1.3

    Travel and transportation 19.5 0.3 2.3

    Emerging segments 29.1 (2.3) (14.1)

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    In terms of geographies, growth came from developed economies such as the US

    and Europe, the revenues from which grew by 1.2% and 0.8% qoq, respectively.

    Hexaware is confident of healthy growth in Europe and expects it to ably support

    the favorable environment of America.

    Exhibit 7:Growth trend in geographies

    % to revenue % chg (qoq) % chg (yoy)Americas 67.1 1.2 10.1

    Europe 26.3 0.8 (6.5)

    Rest of the World (RoW) 6.6 (3.6) (8.6)

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Hiring and utilization

    During 2QCY2013, Hexaware reported a net addition of 30 employees, taking its

    total employee base to 8,700. Out of the total addition, 28 employees were added

    in its technical employee base, taking the total technical employee base to 7,978.

    Attrition rate during 2QCY2013 moved up to 11.0% from 9.9% in 1QCY2013.

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    Hexaware | 2QCY2013Result Update

    July 19, 2013 5

    Exhibit 8:Employee metrics

    Particulars 2QCY12 3QCY12 4QCY12 1QCY13 2QCY13Technical

    Onsite 1,485 1,563 1,551 1,569 1,636Offshore 6,558 6,866 6,820 6,381 6,342

    Total technical employees 8,043 8,430 8,371 7,950 7,978Net technical emp. addition 118 387 (59) (420) 28

    Net addition (overall) 109 410 (74) (399) 30

    Total employees 8,733 9,143 9,069 8,670 8,700Attrition (%) 9.6 8.4 8.7 9.9 11.0

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Utilization level, including trainees, inched up slightly by 30bp qoq to 70.9%,

    which proved out to be one of the margin levers in this quarter.

    Exhibit 9:Utilization trend

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Margins improve substantially

    During 2QCY2013, the company witnessed a 444bp and 452bp qoq increase in

    its EBITDA and EBIT margins to 23.7% and 22.0%, respectively. The pickup in

    operating margin was driven by an ~140bp qoq gain due to forex, 70bp qoqgain due to absence of visa cost (which was incurred last quarter) and 150bp qoq

    gain due to one-time reversal of a cost.

    The gross profit margin of the company expanded by 170bp qoq to 39.4%; the

    break-up of which is as follows: 1) 95bp qoq due to favourable forex movement,

    2) 70bp qoq positive impact due to absence of one time visa cost which was

    incurred in 1QCY2013 and 3) 5bp qoq gain due to other factors including

    utilization.

    68.6

    70.0

    67.6

    63.9

    70.6 70.9

    62

    6364

    65

    66

    67

    68

    69

    70

    71

    72

    1QCY12 2QCY12 3QCY12 4QCY12 1QCY13 2QCY13

    (%)

    Utilization - incl. trainees (%)

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    Hexaware | 2QCY2013Result Update

    July 19, 2013 6

    Exhibit 10:Margin profile

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Client pyramid

    During 2QCY2013, Hexaware added 14 new clients seven from America, two

    from Europe and five from the APAC region. From a service vertical perspective,

    seven clients were added in enterprise solutions, three in BI & Analytics and four in

    the BPO service vertical. The active client base of the company stood at 219. The

    revenue from the companys top client revived and came in at US$13.1mn (after

    falling to US$10.8m in 4QCY2012), though still below US$13.7m reported in

    3QCY2012. The Management expects contribution from the top client to return to

    ~15% of revenues by 4QCY2013 (14.8% in 3QCY2012, 11.7% in 4QCY2012,13.1% in 2QCY2013). Revenue from the top 2-5 clients grew by 2.0% while that

    from non top-10 clients declined by 3.2% qoq.

    Exhibit 11:Client metrics

    No. of clients 2QCY12 3QCY12 4QCY12 1QCY13 2QCY13US$1mn5mn 44 43 40 40 37

    US$5mn10mn 7 7 7 7 8

    US$10mn20mn 3 4 5 5 5

    US$20mn plus 3 3 3 3 3

    Total clients billed 210 217 218 216 219

    Clients added 12 12 11 11 14

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Outlook and valuation

    For 3QCY2013, the Management has given a USD revenue guidance of

    US$98.1-100mn, which implies a growth rate of 3.5-5.5% while the same is

    higher than our estimate of 2-4%. The company is chasing four deals with a

    TCV of US$25m+ each and two deals with a TCV of US$10m+. It expects to

    close at least two of these deals by the next quarter. While the guidance

    nearly rules out double-digit USD revenue growth in CY2013 (the companys

    earlier forecast), the Management cited expectations of a better 2HCY2013

    as compared to a tepid 1HCY2013.

    40.1 39.636.1

    37.7 39.4

    22.921.6

    16.919.3

    23.7

    21.419.9

    15.117.5

    22.0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    2QCY12 3QCY12 4QCY12 1QCY13 2QCY13

    (%)

    Gross margin EBITDA margin EBIT margin

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    Hexaware | 2QCY2013Result Update

    July 19, 2013 8

    Exhibit 14:One-year forward PE(x) chart

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 15:Recommendation summary

    Company Reco CMP Tgt Price Upside FY2015 FY2015E FY2012-15E FY2015E FY2015E(`) (`) (%) EBITDA (%) P/E (x) EPS CAGR (%) EV/Sales (%) RoE (%)

    HCL Tech Neutral 893 870 (2.5) 22.0 14.1 20.7 1.6 21.7

    Hexaware Buy 107 123 15.3 20.5 8.3 13.1 1.1 23.5Infosys Neutral 2,846 2,820 (0.9) 26.4 15.0 9.2 2.5 19.3

    Infotech Enterprises Accumulate 178 190 6.8 17.6 7.9 15.7 0.5 14.0

    KPIT Cummins Accumulate 130 144 10.5 16.7 9.0 21.6 0.7 16.7

    MindTree Accumulate 943 1050 11.4 19.9 9.0 25.1 0.9 20.3Mphasis Neutral 408 400 (1.9) 18.2 9.4 4.9 0.7 14.2

    NIIT^ Buy 18 30 68.1 9.1 3.3 (7.1) (0.0) 11.9

    Persistent Accumulate 528 595 12.8 26.2 8.8 19.0 0.8 16.7

    TCS Neutral 1,742 1,760 1.0 29.1 18.3 20.5 3.6 27.8

    Tech Mahindra Accumulate 1,131 1,250 10.6 19.1 9.7 11.4 1.6 18.9

    Wipro Neutral 391 389 (0.4) 21.4 13.1 9.7 1.5 19.0

    Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Valued on SOTP basis

    Company Background

    Hexaware is a mid-cap Indian IT company and is the 18th largest Indian software

    exporter according to Nasscom 2010 rankings. Under the leadership of Chairman

    Mr Atul Nishar and Vice Chairman and CEO Mr Chandrashekar (ex-Wipro

    Technologies), Hexaware has differentiated itself from its peers and built a niche

    position in the airlines vertical and in PeopleSoft implementation. Hexaware offers

    its services to clients mainly in the BFSI and travel and transportation industries.

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    Hexaware | 2QCY2013Result Update

    July 19, 2013 9

    Profit and loss statement (Indian GAAP, Consolidated)

    Y/E December (` cr) CY2010 CY2011 CY2012 CY2013E CY2014ERevenues 1,055 1,451 1,948 2,213 2,479Direct costs 692 894 1,185 1,358 1,526Gross profit 363 557 764 855 954

    % to revenues 34.4 38.4 39.2 38.6 38.5

    SG&A expenses 269 292 356 379 445

    % to revenues 25.5 20.1 18.3 17.1 17.9

    EBITDA 94 265 407 476 509% to revenues 8.9 18.2 20.9 21.5 20.5

    Depreciation and amort. 24 25 32 40 45

    % to revenues 2.3 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8

    EBIT 70 240 375 436 464

    % to revenues 6.6 16.5 19.2 19.7 18.7

    Other income 50 43 40 42 53

    Forex gain (25) 25 (11) (14) (19)

    PBT 95 308 404 463 498

    Tax 9 41 76 99 109

    % of PBT 9.8 13.2 18.9 21.3 22.0

    PAT 85 267 328 365 388

    Exceptional item 22 - - - -

    Adj. PAT 108 267 328 365 388EPS (`) - diluted 2.9 8.9 10.9 12.1 12.9

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    Hexaware | 2QCY2013Result Update

    July 19, 2013 10

    Balance sheet (Indian GAAP, Consolidated)

    Y/E December (` cr) CY2010 CY2011 CY2012 CY2013E CY2014ELiabilitiesShare capital 29 59 59 59 59

    Reserves 910 958 1,145 1,376 1,595

    Forex MTM 26 - - - -

    Share ap. money - - 0 0 0

    Total shareholders' funds 965 1,016 1,204 1,436 1,654Long term provisions - 20 27 27 27

    Deferred tax liability (net) - 3 13 13 13

    Borrowings 11 - - - -

    Other long term liabilities - 12 8 8 8

    Total liabilities 977 1,052 1,252 1,484 1,702AssetsGross fixed assets 560 647 719 769 819

    Less: Accumulated dep. 152 170 199 239 284

    Net fixed assets 408 477 520 530 536Non-current investments - - 0 0 0

    Deferred tax assets (net) 17 19 20 20 20

    Long term loans and advances - 81 109 109 109

    Other non-current assets - 72 17 17 17

    Current assetsCash and cash equivalent 475 377 197 376 464

    Debtors 192 299 365 412 462

    Current investments 21 23 235 237 280

    Loans and advances - 48 51 51 51

    Others 142 57 64 73 82

    Total current assets 830 804 912 1,149 1,339Trade payables - 54 53 63 71

    Other current liabilities 279 223 176 181 150

    Short term provisions - 124 98 98 98

    Total assets 977 1,052 1,252 1,484 1,702

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    Hexaware | 2QCY2013Result Update

    July 19, 2013 11

    Cash flow statement (Indian GAAP, Consolidated)

    Y/E December (` cr) CY2010 CY2011 CY2012 CY2013E CY2014EPre-tax profit from operations 70 240 375 436 464

    Depreciation 24 25 32 40 45

    Pre tax cash from operations 94 265 407 476 509

    Other income/prior period ad 25 68 29 27 33

    Net cash from operations 119 332 436 503 542

    Tax 9 41 76 99 109

    Cash profits 109 292 360 404 433

    (Inc)/dec in current assets (91) (72) (289) (58) (102)

    Inc/(dec) in current liabilities 8 122 (73) 15 (23)

    Net trade working capital (84) 50 (362) (43) (125)

    Cash flow from operating activities 26 342 (2) 362 308(Inc)/dec in fixed assets 4 (94) (75) (50) (50)

    (Inc)/dec in deferred tax asset (6) 1 9 - -

    Inc/(dec) in other non-current liabilities - (120) 28 - -

    Cash flow from investing activities (2) (213) (38) (50) (50)Inc/(dec) in debt (5) (11) - - -

    Inc/(dec) in equity/premium 81 (80) 30 - -

    Dividends (51) (136) (170) (133) (170)

    Cash flow from financing activities 25 (227) (140) (133) (170)Cash generated/(utilized) 49 (98) (180) 179 88

    Cash at start of the year 426 475 377 197 376

    Cash at end of the year 475 377 197 376 464

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    Hexaware | 2QCY2013Result Update

    July 19, 2013 12

    Key ratios

    Y/E December CY2010 CY2011 CY2012 CY2013E CY2014EValuation ratio (x)P/E 37.1 12.0 9.8 8.8 8.3

    P/CEPS 23.7 10.7 8.7 7.7 7.2

    P/BVPS 3.2 3.1 2.6 2.2 1.9

    Dividend yield (%) 1.4 3.2 4.7 3.7 4.7

    EV/Sales 2.5 1.9 1.5 1.2 1.1

    EV/EBITDA 28.4 10.4 7.2 5.8 5.2

    EV/Total assets 2.7 2.6 2.3 1.9 1.6

    Per share data (`)EPS 2.9 8.9 10.9 12.1 12.9

    Cash EPS 4.5 10.0 12.3 13.8 14.8

    Dividend 1.5 3.4 5.0 3.9 5.0

    Book value 33.0 34.7 41.2 49.1 56.6

    DuPont analysisTax retention ratio (PAT/PBT) 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8

    Cost of debt (PBT/EBIT) 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1

    EBIT margin (EBIT/Sales) 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2

    Asset turnover ratio (Sales/Assets) 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.5

    Leverage ratio (Assets/equity) 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

    Operating ROE 8.8 26.3 27.2 25.4 23.5

    Return ratios (%)RoCE (pre-tax) 7.1 22.8 30.0 29.4 27.3

    Angel RoIC 13.9 35.5 35.6 39.3 37.5RoE 11.2 26.3 27.2 25.4 23.5

    Turnover ratios(x)Asset turnover (fixed assets) 2.6 3.0 3.7 4.2 4.6

    Debtor days 66 75 68 68 68

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    Hexaware | 2QCY2013Result Update

    J l 19 2013 13

    Research Team Tel: 022 - 3935 7800 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com

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    Disclosure of Interest Statement Hexaware

    1. Analyst ownership of the stock No

    2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No

    3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No

    4. Broking relationship with company covered No

    Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)Reduce (-5% to -15%) Sell (< -15%)

    Note: We have not considered any Exposure below `1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors