heroin indicators report highlights - tennessee indicators report highlights march 2017 ellen...
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Heroin Indicators Report Highlights
March 2017 Ellen Omohundro, PhD
Office of Research, 3/15/2017
Executive summary Successes • Both the number of prescriptions and quantity of opioids
prescribed are decreasing. Challenges • Opioid crimes, especially heroin crimes, are on the rise. • Injection drug use is increasing. • Most drug overdose deaths are opioid related, especially
opioids in combination with benzodiazepines. Community impacts • Opioid abuse is highest in rural counties and small towns. • Heroin abuse is spreading from urban to suburban areas. • Heroin poisoning hospitalizations are increasing while opioid
poisoning hospitalizations have dropped slightly since 2011. • Over 1,000 babies experienced withdrawal from drug exposure
prior to birth in 2014 and 2015.
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research 2
OPIOID SUPPLY
3 E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017
Office of Research
Opioid prescriptions are decreasing.
395,000 fewer opioid prescriptions
reported to the CSMD in 2015 compared to
the peak in 2012
4
8.93 8.88 8.78 8.53
3.94 3.98 4.09 4.01
3.61 3.64 3.48 3.42
1.25 1.32 1.40 1.47 0
2
4
6
8
10
CY 2012 CY 2013 CY 2014 CY 2015
Num
ber o
f pre
scrip
tions
(in
mill
ions
)
Opioids Benzodiazepines Other Stimulants
Number of controlled substance prescriptions written to Tennessee patients (in millions) and reported to the Controlled Substance Monitoring Database: 2012-2015
Source: Tennessee Department of Health, CSMD Annual Report to the Legislature, February 1, 2016 Note: Excludes prescriptions from methadone opioid treatment programs and prescriptions reported from VA pharmacies.
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
DeKalb
Grundy Sequatchie
Opioid prescriptions are decreasing most in east Tennessee.
5
Opioid prescriptions per 1,000 population 2012
2015
Source: Tennessee Department of Health, January 12, 2017. Note: Excludes prescriptions from methadone opioid treatment programs and prescriptions reported from VA pharmacies.
DeKalb
Grundy Sequatchie
Prescriptions per 1k
Prescriptions per 1k
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
8,792
649
8,562
847
8,082
1,064
7,536
1,134
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
MM
Es (i
n m
illio
ns)
2012 2013 2014 2015
MMEs Opioids for Pain2 MMEs Opioids for Treatment of Addiction3,4
The quantity of MMEs prescribed for pain decreased. MMEs prescribed for the treatment of addiction increased.
Amount of morphine milligram equivalents (MMEs)1 dispensed to Tennessee patients (in millions) and reported to the Controlled Substance Monitoring Database: 2012-2015
Source: Tennessee Department of Health, CSMD Annual Report to the Legislature, February 1, 2016 Notes: (1) MMEs are reported per million (unit = 1,000,000 MMEs); (2) includes prescription opioids for pain and treatment; (3) excludes FDA approved buprenorphine products indicated for treatment of opioid dependence and prescriptions reported from VA pharmacies; (4) excludes prescriptions from methadone opioid treatment programs and prescriptions reported from VA pharmacies.
14% drop in MMEs
for PAIN from 2012 to 2015
75% increase in MMEs
for ADDICTION TREATMENT from 2012 to 2015
6 E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017
Office of Research
The percent of users on a high daily dose of opioids (>90 MME) decreased from 2012 to 2015.
7
Percentage of opioid users with an average daily MME >90
2012
2015
Source: Tennessee Department of Health, January 12, 2017. Note: Excludes prescriptions from methadone opioid treatment programs and prescriptions reported from VA pharmacies.
Unicoi
Morgan
Roane Cocke
Jefferson
Claiborne Campbell
Union Grainger
Percent MME >90
Percent MME >90
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
CRIME Opioid & Heroin Trends
8 E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017
Office of Research
Opioid- and heroin- related crimes increased. Heroin seizures increased but opioid seizures decreased.
Number of people arrested1, 2009-2016
Source: Tennessee Bureau of Investigation (TBI) CJIS Support Center, 2009-2016, Lab data 2009-2015. Notes: (1) Includes expunged records. (2) Opioid-related arrests include arrests for morphine, opium, and all narcotic-related arrests with the exception of cocaine and crack-cocaine arrests. Arrestees were only counted once if more than one type of narcotic was present.
9
5,398
7,149 6,896
169 360
1,516
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Num
ber o
f Peo
ple
arre
sted
Opioids Heroin2
5,580
6,858
4,585
82 120 599
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Num
ber o
f dru
g se
izure
s
Opioids Heroin2
797%
630%
28%
18%
Number of confirmed drug seizures, 2009-2015
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
0.57
4.30 1.37
1.07 0.25
0
5
10
15
20
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Rate
per
10k
pop
ulat
ion
Metro countiesSuburbanSmall townsRural
Opioid-related crimes are highest in small towns and rural areas. Heroin-related crimes are highest in urban areas.
Number of people arrested6 (per 10K population) by area: Tennessee, 2009-2016
10
Notes: (1) Metro counties: The most densely
populated counties were examined as a group and are: Shelby, Davidson, Knox, and Hamilton counties.
(2) Suburban: Metropolitan Statistical Areas have an urban cluster with a population of 50,000 or more.
(3) Small towns: Micropolitan Statistical Areas have an urban cluster with a population at least 10,000 but less than 50,000.
(4) Rural: not a metro or micropolitan county.
(5) Opioid-related arrests include arrests for morphine, opium, and all narcotic-related arrests with the exception of cocaine and crack-cocaine arrests. Arrestees were only counted once if more than one type of narcotic was present.
(6) Includes expunged records.
Source: Tennessee Bureau of Investigation CJIS Support Center, 2009-2016
4
1
2
3
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
11.36
16.34
12.03 13.82
9.14
11.31
5.79
6.53
0
5
10
15
20
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Rate
per
10k
pop
ulat
ion
Small towns
Rural
Suburban
Metro counties1
2
3
4
Opioids5
Heroin
Clay
Van Buren
Grundy
Smith
Picket Scott Campbell
Union Trousdale
Roane
Rhea
Opioid-related arrests are highest in east Tennessee.
Number of people arrested for opioid-related crimes (per 10K population)
2009-2010
2015-2016
11
Source: Tennessee Bureau of Investigation (TBI) CJIS Support Center, 2009-2016
Notes: Rates are only shown for counties where the combined count during the time period was 5 or greater. Rates based on two year averages. Opioids exclude heroin.
Clay
Campbell Trousdale Fentress Claiborne
DeKalb
Anderson Unicoi
Wayne
Scott
People arrested per 10k
People arrested per 10k
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
Heroin-related arrests continue to increase in counties around urban areas.
Number of people arrested for heroin-related crimes (per 10K population)
2009-2010
2015-2016
12
Source: Tennessee Bureau of Investigation (TBI) CJIS Support Center, 2009-2016
Notes: Rates are only shown for counties where the combined count during the time period was 5 or greater. Rates based on two year averages. Opioids exclude heroin.
Madison
Davidson
Cheatham
Knox
Sevier
Shelby
Sumner
Tipton
People arrested per 10k
People arrested per 10k
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
Opioid drug seizures decreased in 2014-2015 but are still concentrated in east Tennessee.
Source: Tennessee Bureau of Investigation (TBI) lab data, 2009-2015. Notes: Rates are only shown for counties where the combined count during the time period was greater than 5. (1) Opioids exclude heroin & buprenorphine.
13
2014-2015
Seizures per 10k
TBI confirmed opioid1 drug seizures (per 10K population)
2009-2010
Humphreys
Smith
Clay
Cocke
Campbell Claiborne
Seizures per 10k
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
Heroin drug seizures increased in counties around urban areas.
Source: Tennessee Bureau of Investigation (TBI) lab data, 2009-2015. Notes: Rates are only shown for counties where the combined count during the time period was greater than 5.
14
TBI confirmed heroin seizures (per 10K population)
2009-2010
Seizures per 10k
2014-2015
Seizures per 10k
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
POISONING Heroin and
other opioids 15
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
Hospitalizations for heroin poisoning increased (641%) from 2009 to 2014. Opioid poisoning increased (1.4%).
16
Number of hospital discharges1 for opioid and heroin poisonings: Tennessee 2009-2014
5,334 5,423
5,883 5,783 5,435 5,409
66 76 131 216 311 489
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Num
ber o
f dru
g po
ison
ings
Calendar Year
Opioids Heroin2 3
Source: Tennessee Department of Health, 2009-2014. Notes: (1) The data represents all
outpatient (emergency room visits and 23-hour observations) and inpatient (stays of 24-hours or longer) hospital discharges of Tennessee residents. All 18 diagnoses and all three external cause on injury (e-codes) were evaluated.
(2) Opioid poisonings include hospital discharges with ICD-9 codes of 965.09, E850.2, E935.2.
(3) Heroin poisonings include hospital discharges with ICD-9 codes of 965.01, E850.0, E935.0.
Opioid hospitalizations increased 1.4% between 2009 and 2014
Heroin hospitalizations increased 641% between 2009 and 2014
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
Hospitalizations for heroin poisonings are higher in the west while opioid poisonings are higher in the east.
17
Benton
Giles
Jackson Overton Fentress
Cannon
Grundy
Warren
Claiborne
Hancock
DeKalb
Davidson
Cheatham
Fayette
Tipton
Shelby
Notes: (1) The data represents all outpatient (emergency room visits and 23-hour observations) and inpatient (stays of 24-hours or longer) hospital discharges of Tennessee residents. All 18 diagnoses and all three e-codes were evaluated. (2) Heroin poisonings include hospital discharges with ICD-9 codes of 965.01, E850.0, E935.0. (3) Opioid poisonings include hospital discharges with ICD-9 codes of 965.09, E850.2, E935.2.
Hospital discharges1 for drug poisonings (per 10K population), 2012-2014
Opioids
Discharges per 10k
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
Discharges per 10k
Hancock
DeKalb
Davidson Cheatham
Fayette
Tipton
Shelby
Heroin
Source: Tennessee Department of Health, 2012-2014.
Heroin- and opioid-related deaths are increasing, especially when opioids are combined with benzodiazepines.
18
Notes: • Not all drug overdose deaths specify the drug(s) involved, and a death may involve more than one specific substance. • Increases in overdose deaths may be due to increases in reporting by medical examiners. 1) All drug overdose deaths are based on the following ICD-10 underlying cause of death codes: X40-X44, X60-X64, X85, Y10-Y14. 2) “All opioids" overdose deaths were summarized based on an underlying cause of death being a drug overdose and the multiple causes of death containing at least one of the
following ICD-10 codes: T40.0-T40.4, T40.6. 3) "Heroin" overdose deaths were summarized based on an underlying cause of death being a drug overdose and the multiple causes of death containing at least one of the following
ICD-10 codes: T40.1. 4) “Methadone” overdose deaths were summarized based on an underlying cause of death being a drug overdose and the multiple causes of death containing ICD-10 code: T40.3. 5) "Opioids with benzodiazepine" overdose deaths were summarized based on an underlying cause of death being a drug overdose and the multiple causes of death containing at least
one of the following ICD-10 codes: T40.0-T40.4, T40.6 in addition to T42.4.
2
71% of drug overdose deaths are opioid-related
1,094 1,168
1,263
1,451
698 756 861
1,034
249 342 346
447
45 63
147 205 101 87
71 67 0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2012 2013 2014 2015
Ove
rdos
e de
aths
All drugs All opioids Opioids with benzodiazepine Heroin Methadone3 5 2 4
Source: Tennessee Department of Health, 2012-2015
Heroin 355% increase
Opioid-related deaths increased 48%
(includes heroin & other opioids)
Methadone 34% decrease
Opioids with benzodiazepine 80% increase
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
1
Tennessee opioid-involved death rates are higher than the United States.
2.3 3.4
8.6
3.8
2.1 1.8 1.1 1.1
3.3 4.1
9.7
3.9 4.0 3.1
1.0 1.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
TN U.S. TN U.S. TN U.S. TN U.S.
Heroin Natural/Semisynthetic Synthetic Methadone
Age
adju
sted
rate
per
100
,000
pop
ulat
ion
Drug overdose deaths involving opioids 2014 2015
Tennessee death rates for natural/semisynthetic opioids are more than 2x the U.S.
Source: MMWR, Early Release, December 16, 2016, CDC.
19
Tennessee death rates involving… Heroin increased 44% Natural and semisynthetic opioids increased 13% Synthetic opioids increased 91% Methadone did not change
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
Davidson
Tipton
Shelby
Dickson
Opioid overdose deaths are primarily in rural areas; heroin overdose deaths are in urban areas.
20
Source: Tennessee Department of Health, 2013-2015
Deaths per 10k
Drug overdose deaths (per 10K population), 2013-2015
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
Hardin
Benton Deaths per 10k
Opioids
Heroin
Notes: • Not all drug overdose deaths specify the drug(s) involved, and a death may involve more than one specific substance. • Increases in overdose deaths may be due to increases in reporting by medical examiners. 1) “All opioids" overdose deaths were summarized based on an underlying cause of death of at least one of the following ICD-10 codes: X40-X44, X60-X64, X85, Y10-Y14 and the multiple
causes of death containing at least one of the following ICD-10 codes: T40.0-T40.4, T40.6. 2) "Heroin" overdose deaths were summarized based on an underlying cause of death of at least one of the following ICD-10 codes: X40-X44, X60-X64, X85, Y10-Y14 and the multiple causes of
death containing T40.1.
Jackson
Morgan
Rhea
Campbell
Hamblen Grainger
Hancock Hawkins
Greene
Sullivan
Carter
Unicoi
Unique cases of Neonatal Abstinence Syndrome (NAS) are stable.
21
Notes: 1) Tennessee Department of Health, Neonatal Abstinence Syndrome
Surveillance System, provided number of NAS cases, 2013-2015 and readers are advised to interpret small numbers with caution. Please contact Angela M. Miller, PhD, MSPH,([email protected]) if you need assistance in interpreting the NAS data.
2) Tennessee Department of Health, Division of Policy, Planning and Assessment provided number of live births 2013-2015.
Number of unique cases of NAS and live births: Tennessee 2013-2015
YearNumber of NAS Cases
(% of live births)1 Number of Live Births2
2013 936 (1.17%) 79,9542014 1,031 (1.26%) 81,6092015 1,041 (1.28%) 80,900
Unique cases1 of NAS per 1,000 live births2: 2013-2015
Unique cases1 of Neonatal Abstinence Syndrome (NAS): Tennessee 2013-2015
936 1,031 1,041
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2013 2014 2015
Num
ber o
f NAS
cas
es
Calendar Year
Cases per 1k births
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
TREATMENT Opioid, heroin, injection drug use
22 E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017
Office of Research
TDMHSAS treatment admissions for opioids are declining but heroin admissions are increasing.
23
Source: Tennessee Department of Mental Health and Substance Abuse Services WITS, FY 2011-FY 2016 Notes: (1) TDMHSAS-funded substance abuse treatment admissions only include treatment admissions for Tennessee residents age 12 and older, below the 133% poverty line and have no insurance for which there was a bill. Up to three substances can be listed for each treatment admission. (2) opioid treatment admissions include any mention of opioids or methadone; (3) Heroin admissions include any mention of heroin.
Number of opioid and heroin substance abuse treatment admissions1 funded by Tennessee Department of Mental Health and Substance Abuse Services (TDMHSAS): FY 2011-FY 2016
5,245 5,671
6,194 6,166 6,158 6,025
313 397 627 765 1,135
1,607
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016
Num
ber o
f adm
issio
ns
Opioid2 admissions are declining but are 15% higher than FY 2011 levels
Heroin3 admissions increased 414%
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
Number of opioid and heroin substance abuse treatment admissions1 funded by TDMHSAS: FY 2011-FY 2016
Year (CY) FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016
Opioids2 5,245(37.6%) 5,671 (39.9%) 6,194 (41.3%) 6,166 (40.8%) 6,158 (41.5%) 6,025 (39.1%) Heroin3 313 (2.2%) 397 (2.8%) 627 (4.2%) 765 (5.1%) 1,135 (7.7%) 1,607 (10.4%) Total 13,967 14,225 14,986 15,123 14,823 15,395 Note: Count (% of total admissions)
TDMHSAS treatment admissions for heroin and opioids are greatest for ages 25-44.
24
Heroin
Ages 25-44 484%
Ages 18-24 308%
Opioids
Ages 25-44 35%
Ages 18-24 62%
132.6
71.1
133.1 158.3
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016
Rate
per
10k
pov
erty
pop
ulat
ion
Opioids3
12-17 18-24 25-44 45+
6.6
23.6 8.3
42.8
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016
Rate
per
10k
pov
erty
pop
ulat
ion
Heroin2
12-17 18-24 25-44 45+
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
Source: Tennessee Department of Mental Health and Substance Abuse Services WITS, FY 2011-FY 2016 Notes: (1) TDMHSAS-funded substance abuse treatment admissions only include treatment admissions for Tennessee residents age 12 and older, below the 133% poverty line and have no insurance for which there was a bill. Up to three substances can be listed for each treatment admission. (2) Heroin admissions include any mention of heroin. (3) Opioid treatment admissions include any mention of opioids or methadone.
TDMHSAS treatment admissions1 (per 10K poverty population) by age group: FY 2011-FY 2016
35.0
47.2
21.6
47.5
0
15
30
45
60
75
90
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016
Rate
per
10k
pov
erty
pop
ulat
ion
7.7
33.9
10.5
4.5 5.6
0
15
30
45
60
75
90
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016
Rate
per
10k
pov
erty
pop
ulat
ion
86.2
71.9 80.7 74.8
67.5 71.4
50.1 52.7
0
15
30
45
60
75
90
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016
Rate
per
10k
pov
erty
pop
ulat
ion
Heroin and opioid treatment admissions vary by population area.
25
Source: Tennessee Department of Mental Health and Substance Abuse Services WITS, FY 2011-FY 2016 Notes: (1) TDMHSAS-funded substance abuse treatment admissions only include treatment admissions for Tennessee residents age 12 and older, below the 133% poverty line and have no insurance for which there was a bill. Up to three substances can be listed for each treatment admission. (2) Metro counties = most populated counties. (3) Suburban = centered on an urban cluster with a population >50,000. (4) small town = centered on an urban cluster with a population 10,000 - 50,000. (5) not part of an urban cluster. (6) Heroin admissions include any mention of heroin. (7) Opioid treatment admissions include any mention of opioids or methadone. (8) Injection drug use includes all drugs.
Opioid7 rates are highest in rural areas and
small towns
Injection drug use8 rates are now similar
across areas Heroin6 rates are
highest in urban areas
TDMHSAS treatment admissions1 (per 10K poverty population) by population area: FY 2011-FY 2016
2
3
4
5
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
Clay
Fentress Jackson Washington Campbell
Hawkins
DeKalb
Sullivan
TDMHSAS treatment admissions for heroin are urban, while opioids are rural.
26
TDMHSAS treatment admissions per 10K poverty population, FY 2015-FY 2016
Notes: (1) Rates are only shown for counties where the combined count during the time period was greater than 5. Rates based on two year averages. (2) Rates computed per 10K of the population of those 12 years and older, living in poverty. (3) Heroin admissions include any mention of heroin. (4) Opioid treatment admissions include any mention of opioids or methadone. Source: Tennessee Department of Mental Health and Substance Abuse Services WITS, 2015-2016
Admission per 10k
Shelby
Madison
Chester
Davidson
Hamilton
Knox
Admission per 10k
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
Opioids
Heroin
Treatment admissions for injection drug use are increasing.
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research 27
2,210
4,101
1,737
2,412
384
1,339
245
1,263
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016
Num
ber o
f adm
issi
ons
Number of TDMHSAS admissions by drug injected: FY 2011 - FY 2016
All drugs Opioids Methamphetamine Heroin
59% inject opioids
31% inject heroin
Of all injection drug admissions:
33% inject methamphetamine
Injection drug users in TDMHSAS treatment are concentrated in east Tennessee.
28
Source: Tennessee Department of Mental Health and Substance Abuse Services WITS, FY 2015-FY 2016 Notes: (1) Rates are only shown for counties where the combined count during the time period was greater than 5. Rates based on two year averages. (2) Rates computed per 10K of the population of those 12 years and older, living in poverty. (3) Opioid treatment admissions include any mention of opioids or methadone .
Admission per 10k
Grundy
Blount
DeKalb White
Van Buren
Hardin
Lewis
Fentress Washington Campbell
Hancock Clay
Morgan
Hamblen Greene
Fentress Washington
Campbell Hancock
Grundy
Blount
DeKalb
Admission per 10k
E. Omohundro, PhD, 3/15/2017 Office of Research
TDMHSAS treatment admissions per 10K poverty population, FY 2015-FY 2016
All injection drug users
Opioid injection drug users