hedging types

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Giddy | Hedging 1 Dr. Ian Giddy New York University Types of Hedging 3 Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy Types of Hedging Types of Hedging Transactions hedging Cash flow hedging Fair value hedging Hedging accounting or FDI exposure Measuring and hedging economic exposure

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Page 1: Hedging Types

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Giddy | Hedging 1

Dr. Ian Giddy

New York University

Types of Hedging

3Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Types of HedgingTypes of Hedging

Transactions hedging

Cash flow hedging

Fair value hedging

Hedging accounting or FDI exposure

Measuring and hedging economic exposure

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Giddy | Hedging 2

4Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Hedging is Part of Risk ManagementHedging is Part of Risk Management

Corporate Risk Management

DefineDefine MeasureMeasure ManageManage MonitorMonitor

5Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Transactions hedging

Cash flow hedging

Fair value hedging

Hedging accounting or FDI exposure

Measuring and hedging economic exposure

What Kind of Hedging?What Kind of Hedging?

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Giddy | Hedging 3

6Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Transactions

Exposure

Transactions

Exposure

Portfolio

Exposure

Portfolio

ExposureEconomic

Exposure

Economic

Exposure

Transactions exposure

Balance sheet/fair value exposure

Economic exposure

What Kind of Exposure?What Kind of Exposure?

7Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Transactions ExposureTransactions Exposure

Transactions exposure results from particulartransactions (such as an export) where a knowncash flow in a given currency will take place at acertain date.

Example: If Nokia invoices a NTT of Japan in Japanese yen for a cellphone shipment then the firm has Japanese yen exposure and can hedge this by borrowing yen.

This kind of exposure is readily hedgable using forwards,

futures or debt  Transactions

Exposure

Transactions

Exposure

Portfolio

Exposure

Portfolio

ExposureEconomic

Exposure

Economic

Exposure

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Giddy | Hedging 4

8Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

But Transactions ExposureBut Transactions Exposure

Can be Misleading...Can be Misleading...

Dell Computer purchases notebook computers inTaiwan for sale in the US.

Dell must pay in NT$.

Should it hedge its anticipated payments for 2009?

9Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Dell ComputerDell Computer

NT$

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Giddy | Hedging 5

10Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Portfolio ExposurePortfolio Exposure

Portfolio risk: currency and interest rate fluctuationscan affect the value of an investment portfolio

Security price fluctuations will affect the balance sheet

Can be hedged, using fair value and duration as arisk/sensitivity measurement tool

Can be hedged with futures, bond options, and swaps.

Transactions

Exposure

Transactions

Exposure

Portfolio

Exposure

Portfolio

ExposureEconomic

Exposure

Economic

Exposure

11Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

PepsicoPepsico Pension: Interest Rate RiskPension: Interest Rate Risk

Assets (each $10m):

1-year USD deposit

5-year, 6% T-note D=4.6

10-year Strip

Pension liabilities:

$10m 3 years

$10m 5 years

$10m 7 years

What is Pepsico pension fund’s risk?

Duration of the assets (+ve)Duration of the liabilities (-ve)

Net duration is the risk to be hedged!

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Giddy | Hedging 6

12Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Value at Risk:Value at Risk: SantosBankSantosBank

Asset and liabilitypositions for a Brazilianbank’s New Yorkbranch.

What risk does it face? 

INSTRUMENTSANTOSBANK

POSITIONS

30 day ($1,250,000)

90 day ($100,000)

180 day $450,000

1 yr $120,000

2 yr $120,000

3 yr $120,000

4 yr $1,120,000

5 yr $0

7 yr $0

9 yr $0

10 yr ($420,000)

15 yr $0

NET $160,000

TOTAL $3,700,000

13Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

BIS: Minimize Value at RiskBIS: Minimize Value at Risk

Mean

Value-at-RiskValue-at-Risk

INSTRUMENTSANTOSBANK

POSITIONS

30 day ($1,250,000)

90 day ($100,000)

180 day $450,000

1 yr $120,000

2 yr $120,000

3 yr $120,000

4 yr $1,120,000

5 yr $0

7 yr $0

9 yr $0

10 yr ($420,000)

15 yr $0

NET $160,000

TOTAL $3,700,000

+

=

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Giddy | Hedging 7

14Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Fair Value HedgingFair Value Hedging

Fair Value is the amount at which the asset could be bought or soldin a current transaction between willing parties, or transferred to anequivalent party, other than in a liquidation sale. This is used forassets whose carrying value is based on mark-to-market valuations.

Fair value hedgingFair value hedging implies you hedge only the “market value” of anasset or liability, not the book value.

Example: Bank Indonesia owns $10 million of a GE bond whosevalue has fallen to 88% of its purchase price, as a result of thecompany’s ratings downgrade. Should the bank hedge $10m or$8.8m?

15Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Economic ExposureEconomic Exposure

Economic risk arises from the real business risk of thecompany, insofar as it is tied to market interest rates,FX, commodity prices

It affects the shareholder value, but may be difficult toquantify

Hedging may require tailored solutions

Transactions

Exposure

Transactions

Exposure

Portfolio

Exposure

Portfolio

ExposureEconomic

Exposure

Economic

Exposure

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Giddy | Hedging 8

16Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Economic ExposureEconomic Exposure

Economic exposure is how the firm’s revenuesand costs will respond to exchange ratechanges. Example: Even though Intel invoices German customers in 

Euros, its future revenues may be unaffected by fluctuations in the Euro if the currency of determination of prices in the semiconductor business is the dollar 

The currency of determinationcurrency of determination is the currencyin which most of the competition prices similarproducts.

17Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

TranslationTranslation vsvs Economic ExposureEconomic Exposure

Translation exposure

Exposure = "Exposed" assets - "exposed" liabilities

Economic exposure

Exposure = How will an unanticipated exchange rate change affectthe cash flows of the firm?

Domestic sales

Exports

Domestic costs

Import costs

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Giddy | Hedging 9

18Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Types of Exposure: SummaryTypes of Exposure: Summary

Three Views of Market Price Risk: 

Transactions - lock in forward rate

Portfolios

Avoid portfolio mismatching

Minimize Value at Risk

Use Fair Value

Economic risk - business sensitivity to market prices.

Transactions

Exposure

Transactions

Exposure

Portfolio

Exposure

Portfolio

ExposureEconomic

Exposure

Economic

Exposure

19Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Corporate Exposure Management:Corporate Exposure Management:Match Tools to RisksMatch Tools to Risks

Current trade flow data

Portfolio system reports

Accounting information

Budgeted trade flow data

Economic exposureestimates

Hard 

Soft 

Inflexible,committed 

Flexible,optional 

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Giddy | Hedging 10

21Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy

Prof. Ian Giddy

NYU Stern School of Business

Tel +1.646.8080.746; Fax +1.866.369.9350

[email protected]

Web: giddy.org

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