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    The Physicians Practice

    Dr. Katherine Sauer

    Metropolitan State College of Denver

    Health Economics

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    Chapter Outline:

    I. A Model of the Physicians PracticeII. Supplier-Induced Demand

    III. Small Area Variations

    IV. Other Issues

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    I. A Model of the Physicians Practice

    McGuire and Pauly (1991) describe physicians as utility

    maximizers which means that physicians value items

    besides profit.

    In this model, the physician gets utility from

    net income and leisure,

    and disutility frominducement, (the physicians own efforts to induce

    patients to buy more care than appears medically

    necessary.)

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    U =f( , L, I)

    is net income

    L is leisureI is inducement

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    Hours of Leisure

    Hours of Labor

    Income

    24

    Assume working returns

    constant revenue.

    - working for one

    more hour means yourincome increases by

    w and you get one

    less hour of leisure.

    A. The income leisure tradeoff:

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    Hours of Leisure

    Hours of Labor

    Income

    24

    As the wage increases, the

    income line gets steeper.

    income w1income w2

    income w3

    The physicians optimalbalance between labor and

    income changes.

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    wage

    Hours of

    Labor

    w3

    w2

    w1

    Initially, the physicians

    income effect dominates the

    substitution effect.- higher wage leads

    him to work more

    There comes a point wherethe substitution effect

    dominates.

    - higher wage leads

    him to work less

    An increase or decrease in income causes the physician

    to reevaluate the choice of how much to work

    L1 L2

    L3

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    B. The income inducement tradeoff:

    - disutility from inducement

    U1

    U2

    Inducement

    Income

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    Inducement

    Income

    A certain level of

    income will be

    achieved evenwith no

    inducement.

    m is the rate ofprofit per patient

    care unit

    Q0 is the number

    of patient care

    units without

    inducement.

    mQo +mI

    mQo

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    Inducement

    Income

    The optimal level

    of inducement is

    found at thetangency between

    the income line

    and indifference

    curve.

    This physician

    induces QI* non-

    medicallynecessary care.

    mQo +mI

    U

    QI*

    mQo

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    Inducement

    Income

    If the profit rate

    per patient falls,

    the income line islower and flatter.

    Now the optimal

    level ofinducement is

    higher.

    m1Qo +m1I

    U1

    QI1*

    m2Qo +m2I

    U2

    QI2*

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    C. Do Physicians Respond to Financial Incentives?

    Nassiri and Rochaix, (2006)

    when physicians are paid per service provided, they

    provide more services than when they are given a fixed

    total payment (capitation)

    Studies also suggest that physicians respond to income

    pressures on their practice by striving to increase their

    incomes (Iversen, 2004; Gruber and Owings, 1996;

    Quast, Sappington, and Shenkman, 2008; Rizzo and

    Zeckhauser, 2003, 2007).

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    II. Supplier-Induced Demand (SID)

    On becoming ill, consumers hire health care professionals.

    In medicine, we identify the physician as the agent, and

    the patient as the principal.

    The policy concern is that out of self-interest physicians

    may violate their roles as agents.

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    Physicians provide care, but also sell it.- competition lowers the per-patient profit rate

    - increased inducement

    An increase in physicians would cause an increase in thesupply of services, but also an increase in demand for

    services (induced demand).

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    Health economists have modeled supplier-induced

    demand for at least two reasons:

    - to understand the motivations of physicians, how

    their incentives affect their practice

    - models are needed to understand the data we

    observe

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    A. Supply and Demand Model

    Even without SID, the market predicts that an increase in

    supply of physicians will increase the quantity of services.

    - supply shifts right higher quantity, lower price

    If demand increases such that the price of service rises,

    then SID is identified (Reinhardt Fee test).

    But, maybe physicians respond to competition byincreasing their quality. (dont need SID to explain higher

    quantity)

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    B. Target Income Hypothesis (TIH)

    This argues that physicians have desired incomes that they

    strive to achieve or to restore whenever actual income falls

    below the targets.

    This target income model is a special case of the

    benchmark model, though a relatively extreme one.

    This model has received criticism because- income is the main focus of the physician

    - but not income beyond the target

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    Inducement

    Income

    If the profit per patient falls, so does the physicians

    income.

    m1Qo +m1I

    U1

    I1

    m2Qo +m2I

    U2

    I2

    1

    2

    The TIH says

    this physician

    will try to

    increase their

    income.

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    Inducement

    Income

    The physician can increase income by increasing

    inducement.

    m1Qo +m1I

    U1

    I1

    m2Qo +m2I

    U2

    I2 I2

    1

    2

    2'

    The dashedline is parallel

    to the original

    income line,

    and thentangent to the

    new level of

    utility.

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    Inducement

    Income

    This shows the change in inducement from removing

    income from the physician.

    m1Qo +m1I

    U1

    I1

    m2Qo +m2I

    U2

    I2 I2

    1

    2

    2'

    The incomeeffect is the

    distance I1 to

    I2.

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    If instead of having a target income a physician is a profitmaximizer, then a reduction in the profit rate results in an

    income effect equal to zero.

    - profit-maximizer gains utility only from

    more net income

    - values inducement only if it brings in more

    income

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    C. McGuire-Pauly synthesis:

    the size of the income effect is critical tounderstanding SID behavior

    A lower profit rate (m) will have two effects on

    inducement:- substitution effect: when inducement is less

    profitable, providers will substitute away from it

    - income effect: decreased income will makeinducement more attractive

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    D. The Parallel Between Inducement and Marketing

    Stano (1987)argued that an influx of new competition (which reduces

    the physicians profit rate) may lead physicians to induce

    more, or less, depending on the cost structure of the

    firms production and its advertising.

    If the physicians SID is analogous to advertising/

    inducement, then inducement would usually decline in an

    increasingly competitive market.

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    E. What Do the Data Say?

    Two criticisms were raised about much of the earlier

    SID work.

    - many of those studies could not distinguish

    between the SID model and the conventional supplyand demand model.

    - many estimates of the SID effect proved to be

    statistically flawed

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    McGuire (2000)showed that the implications of availability on fees in

    when physicians operate in monopolistically competitive

    markets are not so clear.

    Feldman and Sloan (1988)

    show that if physicians can adjust their quality in

    response to increased competition, then higher fees could

    result even when there is no inducement.

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    Rizzo and Blumenthal (1996)

    use surveys of physicians to compare their desired

    incomes to their actual current incomes.

    Physicians with greater gaps were found to demand

    greater price increases.

    Rizzo and Zeckhauser (2003)

    find the physicians whose current incomes fall below

    their reference incomes are observed to show greater

    income growth than the average of other physicians in

    subsequent periods.

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    III. Small Area Variations (SAV)

    Are physicians themselves always well informed?

    Medical and surgical use rates can vary even in a small

    geographical area.

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    A. How to Measure

    The Coefficient of Variation (CV) relates the standard

    deviation of observed medical use rates to the mean of

    the same measure.- then divide by the mean (adjusts for size of the

    rate being studied)

    0.00 to 0.10 is low variation

    0.10 to 0.20 is moderate variation0.20 and up is high variation

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    Extremal Ratio ratio of the largest rate observed acrossthe small areas to the smallest rate observed

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    Variations by Medical Procedure Type

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    B. Causes of the Variation

    Much of the SAV work focuses on- contribution of socioeconomic characteristics of

    the population

    - role of the availability of supplies of hospital and

    physician services

    The studies together reached two conclusions:

    1) Supply variables are important and demand

    characteristics play a somewhat lesser role though bothare statistically and materially significant.

    2) much variation is still left unexplained

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    C. The Physician Practice Style Hypothesis

    Practice style probably varies among physicians due to

    an incomplete diffusion of information on medical

    technologies.

    Wennberg (1984)

    argued that much of the observed variation is closely

    related to the degree of physician uncertainty with

    respect to diagnosis and treatment.

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    Epstein and Nicholson (2005)

    find that a physicians residency has relatively little

    influence on his practice style.

    Stronger influences are his peers with the hospital where

    he practices as well as his peers in the other hospitals in

    his region.

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    Studies show that information programs directed atphysicians can alter their behaviors and thus presumably

    their practice styles.

    One study found that an informational programsignificantly affected the tonsillectomy rates in 13 New

    England areas.

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    Wennberg and Fowler (1977)

    found that morbidity and many socioeconomic

    variables were not sufficient in explaining the

    variations in a region.

    Concluded that variations in use rates probably are due

    largely to practice style differences across the small

    areas.

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    Phelps and Parente (1990)

    found that standard demand and supply variables

    typically account for between 40 and 75 percent of thevariation in their study of 134 separate diagnostic

    categories.

    Escarce (1993)found that 43 percent of the variation in cataract surgery

    rates for the Medicare population is explained by

    socioeconomic variables.

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    D. Social Cost of InappropriateUtilization

    The most important issue in the SAV literature is the

    proposition that substantial variation in utilization rates

    is an indication of inappropriate care.

    Phelps and Parente find that the welfare loss due to

    variations from true practice in the nation total $33

    billion.

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    Inefficiency from Misinformation about Benefits

    MB,

    MC

    Rate ofUtilization of

    Intervention X

    MC

    True MBMB as perceived byDoctor 1

    MB as perceived by

    Doctor 2

    R*R1 R2

    social loss

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    IV. Other Issues

    A. Physician Pricing and Price Discrimination

    Physicians in private practice have some degree of

    monopoly power (monopolistic competitors)

    Arbitrage of physician services isnt possible.

    Price discrimination is therefore possible.By segmenting their market and charging

    different prices to different patients for the same

    services, physicians can increase revenue.

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    B. Paying for Outcomes:

    fee-for-service vs fee-for-outcome

    Fee-for-outcome is rare in the developed world but fairly

    common among traditional healers (ex: in Africa).

    Fee-for-outcome is difficult because of the uncertainty in

    treating heath issues.

    Outcome based contracts are more successful when both

    the patient and the physician work together.

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    Key Points

    Our benchmark model depicts the physician as someone

    who values positively net income, and leisure, anddislikes inducing patient demand.

    The model shows that for the supplier induced demand

    (SID) hypothesis to be supported, the physicians incomeeffect must be positive and substantial.

    Small area variations can be understood as a result of

    uneven diffusion of medical information to these same

    physicians.

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    Discussion Questions:

    What forces limit a providers ability and willingness toengage in SID?

    In the profit-maximizing model of SIC, what are the

    costs to the physician of inducement?

    Assuming that SID is prevalent and substantial, what

    are the implications for policy?