growth and inclusion in the gms countries: an assessment
TRANSCRIPT
1
Growth and Inclusion in the GMS Countries: An Assessment
BySrinivasa Madhur
Director of Research, Cambodia Development Resource Institute
(CDRI), Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Growth and Inclusion in the GMS Countries: An Assessment
BySrinivasa Madhur
Director of Research, Cambodia Development Resource Institute
(CDRI), Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Global Development Network Meeting
Asian Development Bank (ADB), Manila, Philippines, 20 June, 2013 (This presentation is based on a forthcoming paper on the same subject co-authored with Jayant Menon, Lead Economist, ADB)
Global Development Network Meeting
Asian Development Bank (ADB), Manila, Philippines, 20 June, 2013 (This presentation is based on a forthcoming paper on the same subject co-authored with Jayant Menon, Lead Economist, ADB)
2
Three key questions addressedThree key questions addressed
• How inclusive has growth and development been in the GMS countries?
• What are the key patterns of development inclusiveness emerging across the GMS countries?
• What lessons for making development more inclusive in the future
(The empirical evidences are examined against the backdrop of an analytical framework – not presented here - that defines inclusiveness, explains its many dimensions, and reasons out why it should be the overarching development goal)
• How inclusive has growth and development been in the GMS countries?
• What are the key patterns of development inclusiveness emerging across the GMS countries?
• What lessons for making development more inclusive in the future
(The empirical evidences are examined against the backdrop of an analytical framework – not presented here - that defines inclusiveness, explains its many dimensions, and reasons out why it should be the overarching development goal)
3
GMS, GMS countries, and the coverage of this study
GMS, GMS countries, and the coverage of this study
• GMS – Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Vietnam, Thailand, China’s Yunan Province and Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region)
A natural geographic and economic area linked by the Mekong River
2.6 million square kilometers About 326 million people An Average per capita income of about $1500 (at
current exchange rates)• GMS countries - Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Vietnam,
Thailand, China – 6 countries• This study covers the GMS countries (except
Myanmar), rather than the GMS per se
• GMS – Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Vietnam, Thailand, China’s Yunan Province and Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region)
A natural geographic and economic area linked by the Mekong River
2.6 million square kilometers About 326 million people An Average per capita income of about $1500 (at
current exchange rates)• GMS countries - Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Vietnam,
Thailand, China – 6 countries• This study covers the GMS countries (except
Myanmar), rather than the GMS per se
4
Looks mainly at the economic, social, and governance dimensions of inclusivenessLooks mainly at the economic, social, and governance dimensions of inclusiveness
• Economic dimensions - growth inclusiveness : Growth and structural changes poverty (national, $1.25-a-day and $2-a-day) income/consumption inequality income/consumption polarization• Human development and social inclusiveness: Health Education Social protection and gender equity Other vulnerabilities• Governance dimensions: Governance Democratization
• Economic dimensions - growth inclusiveness : Growth and structural changes poverty (national, $1.25-a-day and $2-a-day) income/consumption inequality income/consumption polarization• Human development and social inclusiveness: Health Education Social protection and gender equity Other vulnerabilities• Governance dimensions: Governance Democratization
5
Main messages – economic inclusiveness
Main messages – economic inclusiveness
• GMS countries had strong growth, dynamic structural changes, and modest economic catch-up/convergence.
• Today, the GMS is mostly a middle income region (Cambodia about to be) and a rapidly industrializing and urbanizing sub-region in Asia.
• Today as in 1995,CAM the poorest and Thailand the richest – yet Thailand’s income now 3.7 times that of Cambodia, compared to about 7 times in 1995.
• In 995, Thailand was thrice as rich as China; today the two have similar incomes
• Poverty reduction equally impressive – Vietnam’s growth most pro-poor/poor-friendly, Laos’s the least (with China and CAM in between).
• Remaining poor in many of these countries typically the hard-to-reach kind
• Moreover, a number of economic and environmental vulnerabilities - increasing in some countries – threaten people’s livelihoods and quality of life more generally
• Beyond poverty, growth could have been more inclusive, had overall income distribution and polarization not worsened/remained high (with exceptions)
• GMS countries had strong growth, dynamic structural changes, and modest economic catch-up/convergence.
• Today, the GMS is mostly a middle income region (Cambodia about to be) and a rapidly industrializing and urbanizing sub-region in Asia.
• Today as in 1995,CAM the poorest and Thailand the richest – yet Thailand’s income now 3.7 times that of Cambodia, compared to about 7 times in 1995.
• In 995, Thailand was thrice as rich as China; today the two have similar incomes
• Poverty reduction equally impressive – Vietnam’s growth most pro-poor/poor-friendly, Laos’s the least (with China and CAM in between).
• Remaining poor in many of these countries typically the hard-to-reach kind
• Moreover, a number of economic and environmental vulnerabilities - increasing in some countries – threaten people’s livelihoods and quality of life more generally
• Beyond poverty, growth could have been more inclusive, had overall income distribution and polarization not worsened/remained high (with exceptions)
6
Main messages – human development and social inclusiveness
Main messages – human development and social inclusiveness
• Substantial human development – between 1995-2012, HDI increases of 35-41% range, excluding Thailand).
• GMS people lead healthier lives now - big strides in mortality (life expectancy, maternal, infant), large declines in undernourishment, modest containment of contagious diseases
• Thanks to better sanitation, cleaner drinking water, improved health care – in turn partly due to increased public investment in health
• GMS people better educated now – huge increases in literacy rate, student enrollment (especially in primary but also in secondary), and years of schooling
• GMS countries also making progress in social protection, gender equity, and women empowerment
• Despite the long distance travelled by GMS countries in human development, the distance to destination (say, a socially equitable society) is equally large
• That is true in many spheres of human development and social inclusion, but especially in health and education, as also in managing severe vulnerabilities
• Substantial human development – between 1995-2012, HDI increases of 35-41% range, excluding Thailand).
• GMS people lead healthier lives now - big strides in mortality (life expectancy, maternal, infant), large declines in undernourishment, modest containment of contagious diseases
• Thanks to better sanitation, cleaner drinking water, improved health care – in turn partly due to increased public investment in health
• GMS people better educated now – huge increases in literacy rate, student enrollment (especially in primary but also in secondary), and years of schooling
• GMS countries also making progress in social protection, gender equity, and women empowerment
• Despite the long distance travelled by GMS countries in human development, the distance to destination (say, a socially equitable society) is equally large
• That is true in many spheres of human development and social inclusion, but especially in health and education, as also in managing severe vulnerabilities
7
Main messages – governance and democratization
Main messages – governance and democratization
• Governance - difficult to measure - survey-based and perception based indicators the “gold standard” in empirical assessment
• By WB indicators, Thailand tops the list in most areas (except pol. stability)
• China at the top spot on govt. effectiveness but at the bottom in terms of voice and accountability
• Other countries share strengths (Cambodia in voice and accountability, Laos and Vietnam in political stability), and weakness ( Cambodia and Laos in rule of law and corruption, Laos and Vietnam in voice and accountability)
• Democratization indicators show mixed messages too – overall Thailand at the top , Laos at the bottom, and other countries with strengths and weaknesses
• Cambodia a good example of mixed progress in democratization - has strengths in electoral process, civil liberties, and govt. functioning, but does not compare well in political participation and culture.
• Significant scope for gradual institution-building and governance reforms – perhaps the most difficult and a highly sensitive issue for the GMS countries
• Governance - difficult to measure - survey-based and perception based indicators the “gold standard” in empirical assessment
• By WB indicators, Thailand tops the list in most areas (except pol. stability)
• China at the top spot on govt. effectiveness but at the bottom in terms of voice and accountability
• Other countries share strengths (Cambodia in voice and accountability, Laos and Vietnam in political stability), and weakness ( Cambodia and Laos in rule of law and corruption, Laos and Vietnam in voice and accountability)
• Democratization indicators show mixed messages too – overall Thailand at the top , Laos at the bottom, and other countries with strengths and weaknesses
• Cambodia a good example of mixed progress in democratization - has strengths in electoral process, civil liberties, and govt. functioning, but does not compare well in political participation and culture.
• Significant scope for gradual institution-building and governance reforms – perhaps the most difficult and a highly sensitive issue for the GMS countries
8
GMS no exception to the “Impossible Trinity of Inclusiveness”
GMS no exception to the “Impossible Trinity of Inclusiveness”
“The political problem of mankind is to combine three things: economic
efficiency, social justice, and individual liberty”
(John Maynard Keynes, quoted in UNDP, Human Development Report,
2013, p.20)
“The political problem of mankind is to combine three things: economic
efficiency, social justice, and individual liberty”
(John Maynard Keynes, quoted in UNDP, Human Development Report,
2013, p.20)
9
Figure and TablesFigure and Tables
The main messages are drawn from the “Figures
and Tables” in the next 37 slides
The main messages are drawn from the “Figures
and Tables” in the next 37 slides
10
Catching up/income convergence - per capita income (PPP$ at 2005
prices)
Catching up/income convergence - per capita income (PPP$ at 2005
prices)
Country 1995 2011Multiples
(2011/1995)
Cambodia 811 2083 2.6
Laos 1114 2464 2.2
Vietnam 1231 3013 2.4
Thailand 5691 7635 1.3
China 1849 7418 4.0Source: World Bank – World Development Indicators dataset 2013
11
Structural convergence ? (% of GDP -constant prices – agri./ ind./ service) Structural convergence ? (% of GDP -constant prices – agri./ ind./ service)
Source: GMS-DAN country papers (2013)
Country Initial year Latest year
Cam (1993-2011) 46/13/35 25/27/41
Laos (19995-2010) 54/21/25 28/33/39
Vietnam (1999-2010) 32/25/43 16/42/42
Thai (1995-2009) 10/40/50 10/40/50
China(1993-2010) 20/46/34 10/47/43
Yunan (2000-2010) 20/43/37 15/43/42
12
Structural convergence ? (% of employment – agri./ ind./
service)
Structural convergence ? (% of employment – agri./ ind./
service)
Source: GMS-DAN country papers (2013)
Country Initial year Latest year
Cam (1993-2011) 80/2/17 62/10/28?
Laos (19995-2011) 85/4/11 72/8/20
Vietnam (1999-2010) 69/15/16 48/22/30
Thailand (1993-2011) 57/17/26 38/21/41
China(1993-2010) 56/23/21 36/28/36
Yunan (2000-2011) 74/9/17 59/13/28
13
Progress in poverty reduction - headcount % (National)
Progress in poverty reduction - headcount % (National)
Country Initial yr. Final yr. pp. per yr.
Cambodia (1993-2011) 45 19.8 -1.40
Laos (1993-2008) 46 27.6 -1.23
Vietnam (1998-2010) 37.4 14.2 -1.93
Thailand (1988-2010) 42.2 7.8 -1.56
China (2003-2010) 6.6 2 -0.66
Yunnan, China (2003-2008) 8.2 5.6 -0.52
Source: GMS-DAN country papers (2013)
14
Progress in poverty reduction - headcount % ($1.25-a-day)
Progress in poverty reduction - headcount % ($1.25-a-day)
Country Initial yr. Final yr. pp. per yr.
Cambodia (1994-2008) 48.6 22.8 -1.84
Laos (1992-2008) 55.7 33.9 -1.36
Vietnam (1993-2008) 63.7 16.9 -3.12
Thailand (1990-2009) 11.6 2 -0.51
China (1990-2008) 60.2 13.1 -2.62
Source: ADB 2012 – Myanmar in Transition; WB-WDI dataset 2013
15
Progress in poverty reduction headcount ($2-a-day)
Progress in poverty reduction headcount ($2-a-day)
Country Initial yr. Final yr. pp. per yr.
Cambodia (2004-2008) 68.2 53.3 -3.73
Laos (2002-2008) 76.9 66 -1.82
Vietnam (2006-2008) 48.4 43.4 -2.50
Thailand (2004-2009) 11.5 4.6 -1.38
China (1990-2008) 84.6 29.8 -3.04
China (2002-2008) 51.2 29.8 -3.57
Source: WB-WDI dataset 2013; WB-WDI 2010, 2012
16
Trends in economic inequality – consumption GINI
Trends in economic inequality – consumption GINI
Country Initial yr. Final yr. Change
Cambodia (1994-2011)** 38.3 31.0 -7.7
Laos (1992-2008)** 30.5 35.4 4.9
Vietnam (1993-2010)** 33 37.8 4.8
Thailand (1990-2010)** 44 39 -5.0
China (1990-2008)* 32.4 43.4 11.0
Sources: * data from ADB, Asian Development Outlook, 2012 ; ** data from GMS-DAN country papers 2013/or National sources
17
Trends in economic polarization - consumption share of top 20% over bottom
20% (Ratio)
Trends in economic polarization - consumption share of top 20% over bottom
20% (Ratio)
Country Initial yr. Final yr. Change
Cambodia (1994-2011)** 5.8 6.1 0.3
Laos (1992-2008)* 4.3 5.9 1.6
Vietnam (1992-2008)* 5.6 5.9 0.3
Thailand (1990-2009)* 8.8 7.1 -1.7
China (1990-2008)* 5.1 9.6 4.5
Source: *from ADB-Asian Development Outlook 2012; **from GMS-DAN country papers 2013/national sources
18
Trends in human development (HDI)
Trends in human development (HDI)
Country 1995 2012% Change in HDI 1995-2012
Cambodia 0.385 0.543 41.04
Laos 0.388 0.543 39.95
Vietnam 0.457 0.617 35.01
Thailand 0.581 0.690 18.76
China 0.518 0.699 35.02
Source: UNDP-Human Development Report 2010, 2013
19
Human development (Non-income HDI)
Human development (Non-income HDI)
Country Nonincome HDI 2012
Cambodia 0.597
Laos 0.584
Vietnam 0.686
Thailand 0.715
China 0.728
Source: UNDP-Human Development Report 2013
20
Trends in life expectancy at birth (years), 1994-2012
Trends in life expectancy at birth (years), 1994-2012
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
63.667.8
75.4 74.3 73.7
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
Nu
mb
er
of
years
Source: UNDP-HDR 2002, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2001, 2013, WDI dataset 2013
21
Trends in healthy life expectancy (years), 1990-2010
Trends in healthy life expectancy (years), 1990-2010
Source: Lancet, 2012 (December) volume 380,, pp. 2144-62.
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
58 56
65.9 65.3 68
% Change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
year(
s)
22
Trends in maternal mortality rate (per 100,000 live births), 1990/1999 -
2010
Trends in maternal mortality rate (per 100,000 live births), 1990/1999 -
2010
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China-80.0
0.0
80.0
160.0
240.0
320.0
400.0
480.0
-80
0
80
160
240
320
400
480
206
410
69
1232
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
per
10
0,0
00
liv
e b
irth
s
Source: UNDP-HDR 2002, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2001, 2013, WDI dataset 2013
23
Trends in infant mortality (per 1000 live births), 1994-2011
Trends in infant mortality (per 1000 live births), 1994-2011
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China
-70.0
-50.0
-30.0
-10.0
10.0
30.0
50.0
-70
-50
-30
-10
10
30
5036 34
1711 13
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
per
10
00
liv
e b
irth
s
Source: UNDP-HDR 2002, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2001, 2013, WDI dataset 2013
24
Trends in under-five mortality, (per 1000 live births), 1994-2011
Trends in under-five mortality, (per 1000 live births), 1994-2011
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China
-80.0
-60.0
-40.0
-20.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
43 42
2212 15
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
per
10
00
liv
e b
irth
s
Source: UNDP-HDR 2002, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2001, 2013, WDI dataset 2013
25
Trends in undernourishment (% of population), 1990/1992 - 2006/2011Trends in undernourishment (% of
population), 1990/1992 - 2006/2011
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China
-90.0
-60.0
-30.0
0.0
30.0
-90
-60
-30
0
3017
28
9 712
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
% o
f p
op
ula
tion
Source: UNDP-HDR 2002, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2001, 2013, WDI dataset 2013
26
Trends in the incidence of tuberculosis (per 100,000 people),
1994-2011
Trends in the incidence of tuberculosis (per 100,000 people),
1994-2011
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China-60.0
0.0
60.0
120.0
180.0
240.0
300.0
360.0
420.0
480.0
-60
0
60
120
180
240
300
360
420
480424
213 199
124
75
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
per
10
0,0
00
peop
le
Source: UNDP-HDR 2002, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2001, 2013, WDI dataset 2013
27
Trends in the prevalence of HIV, total (% of population ages 15-49), 1990/1999 - 2011Trends in the prevalence of HIV, total (% of population ages 15-49), 1990/1999 - 2011
Source: World Bank – World Development Indicators 2013
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0
1
2
0.6
0.3
0.5
1.2
0.1
% point change Latest yr.
% p
oin
t ch
an
ge
% o
f p
op
ula
tion
ag
es
15
-49
28
Trends in access to improved water source (% of population with access),
1990/1994 - 2010
Trends in access to improved water source (% of population with access),
1990/1994 - 2010
Source: UNDP-HDR 2002, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2001, 2013, WDI dataset 2013
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
64 67
95 96 91
Improved water source (% of population with access), 1990/1994 - 2010
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
% o
f p
op
ula
tion
wit
h a
ccess
29
Trends in improved sanitation facilities (% of population with
access), 1990/1994 - 2010
Trends in improved sanitation facilities (% of population with
access), 1990/1994 - 2010
Source: UNDP-HDR 2002, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2001, 2013, WDI dataset 2013
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
350.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
31
63
76
96
64
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
% o
f p
op
ula
tion
wit
h a
ccess
30
Births attended by skilled health staff (% of total), 2006-2011
Births attended by skilled health staff (% of total), 2006-2011
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China0
20
40
60
80
100
120
71
37
93100 100
% o
f to
tal
Source: UNDP-HDR 2002, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2001, 2013, WDI dataset 2013
31
Trends in public expenditure on health
(% of GDP), 1998-2012
Trends in public expenditure on health
(% of GDP), 1998-2012
Source: UNDP-HDR 2002, 2013
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2.1
1.5
2.62.9
2.7
% point change Latest yr.
% p
oin
t ch
an
ge
% o
f G
DP
32
Health gaps between the poor and the rich– big data gaps
Health gaps between the poor and the rich– big data gaps
CountryInfant
mortality rate
Under-5 mortality
rate
Diarrhea* (% of
children under age 5)
Acute Respiratory Infection
(ARI)**
Prevalence of child
malnutrition (underweight
)***
Pregnant women
receiving prenatal
care
Births attended by skilled
health staff
Cambodia (2010) 3.3 3.0 1.6 2.4 2.2 0.8 0.5
Laos (2006) NA NA 1.9 2.3 2.4 0.2 0.0
Vietnam (2006) NA NA NA NA NA 0.7 0.5
Thailand (2006) NA NA 1.7 2.1 3.8 1.0 0.9
China NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Note: *Percentage of children under five who had diarrhea in the two weeks preceding the survey; **Percentage of children under five with symtoms of ARI; ***for Cambodia, it is the percentage below -2 standard deviation (SD) from the WHO Child Growth Standards population median. It includes children who are below -3 SD.
Source: CDHS 2010; World Bank – WDI 2012, 2013
33
Trends in youth literacy rate, total (of people ages 15-24), 1990 -
2005/2010
Trends in youth literacy rate, total (of people ages 15-24), 1990 -
2005/2010
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
75.00
80.00
85.00
90.00
95.00
100.00
105.00
87.13
83.93
96.9498.05
99.40
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
of
peop
le a
ges
15
-24
Source: UNDP-HDR 2005, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2013, WDI dataset 2013
34
Trends in adult literacy rate, total (% ages 15 and older), 1990 - 2005/2010
Trends in adult literacy rate, total (% ages 15 and older), 1990 - 2005/2010
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
77.6072.70
93.20 93.50 94.30
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
% a
ges
15
an
d o
lder
Source: UNDP-HDR 2005, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2013, WDI dataset 2013
35
Trends in primary school enrollment (% gross), 1990 - 2002/2011
Trends in primary school enrollment (% gross), 1990 - 2002/2011
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China
-20.00
-15.00
-10.00
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00127.00121.00
106.00
91.00
111.00
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
% g
ross
Source: UNDP-HDR 2005, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2013, WDI dataset 2013
36
Trends in secondary school enrollment (% gross), 1990/1991 -
2002/2011
Trends in secondary school enrollment (% gross), 1990/1991 -
2002/2011
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
180.00
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
46.00 45.00
77.00 79.00 81.00
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
% g
ross
Source: UNDP-HDR 2005, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2013, WDI dataset 2013
37
Trends in tertiary education enrollment (% gross), 1990 -
2002/2011
Trends in tertiary education enrollment (% gross), 1990 -
2002/2011
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China0.00
200.00
400.00
600.00
800.00
1000.00
1200.00
1400.00
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
7.80
13.40
22.30
47.70
25.90
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
% g
ross
Source: UNDP-HDR 2005, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2013, WDI dataset 2013
38
Mean years of schooling (years), 2010 and expected years of
schooling (years), 2011
Mean years of schooling (years), 2010 and expected years of
schooling (years), 2011
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
5.84.6
5.56.6
7.5
10.5 10.1
11.9 12.311.7
Mean years of schooling (years) Expected years of schooling (years)
year(
s)
Source: UNDP-Human Development Report 2013
39
Trends in public expenditure on education, total (% of GDP),
1990/1999 – 2000/2011
Trends in public expenditure on education, total (% of GDP),
1990/1999 – 2000/2011
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
2.60
3.30
6.60
3.80
2.90
% point change Latest yr.
% p
oin
t ch
an
ge
% o
f G
DP
Note: The latest data for China is in 2000 (World Bank – WDI 2003)
Source: UNDP-HDR 2005; World Bank – WDI 2003, 2013, WDI dataset 2013
40
Pupil-teacher ratio, primary, 1997/2000 - 2011
Pupil-teacher ratio, primary, 1997/2000 - 2011
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China
-40.00
-30.00
-20.00
-10.00
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
-40.00
-30.00
-20.00
-10.00
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
47.00
27.0020.00
0.00
17.00
% change Latest yr.
% c
han
ge
rati
o
Source: UNDP-HDR 2005, 2013; World Bank-WDI 2013, WDI dataset 2013
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Education gaps between the poor and the rich –big data gaps
Education gaps between the poor and the rich –big data gaps
Country Average years of schooling
Primary completion rate
Children out of school*
Cambodia (2010) 0.2 0.8 3.4
Laos - - -
Vietnam (2006) 0.7 1.0 1.5
Thailand - - -
China - - -
Source: CDHS 2010; World Bank – WDI 2012, 2013
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Social protection (index), 2009
Social protection (index), 2009
Country SPI SPIP SPINP SPIPFI
Cambodia 0.017 0.012 0.005 1.99
Laos 0.019 0.009 0.010 1.20
Vietnam 0.095 0.017 0.079 0.89
Thailand 0.119 0.030 0.089 1.01
China 0.139 0.008 0.130 0.79
Source: ADB, 2011, except for Thailand (ADB, 2012)
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Gender equity Gender equity
Country
Gender Inequality Index, 2012*
Gender Gap Index, 2012**
Discrimination against Women,
2012***
Rank Value* Rank Score**Rank out
of 86countries
SIGI score***
Cambodia 96 0.473 103 0.6457 13 0.1213
Laos 100 0.483 NA NA 49 0.2599
Vietnam 48 0.299 66 0.6867 43 0.2393
Thailand 66 0.360 65 0.6893 25 0.1475
China 35 0.213 69 0.6853 42 0.2388Note: * 0=when women and men fare equally and 1=where one gender fares as poorly as possible in all measured dimensions; ** the highest possible score is 1 (equality) and the lowest possible score is 0 (inequality); *** 0 = low discrimination, 1 = high discrimination
Source: 1. UNDP-HDR 2013; 2. WEF-The Global Gender Gap Index Report 2012; 3. OECD-SIGI, 2012
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Vulnerabilities (environmental) and multi-dimensional poverty index
(MDPI)
Vulnerabilities (environmental) and multi-dimensional poverty index
(MDPI)
Country
% Pop living on degraded
land
Deaths due to water
pollution (no. per million
people)
Deaths due to indoor
air pollution (no. per million people)
Deaths due to outdoor air pollution (no.
per million people)
Access to electricity (%
of population)*
Multidimensional poverty index (Year)
Year 2010 2004 2004 2004 2009-2011 -
Cambodia 39 826 500 23 37.6 0.212 (2010)
Laos 4 406 459 0 55 0.267 (2006)
Vietnam 8 72 289 81 97.60.017
(2010/2011)
Thailand 17 121 159 61 99.30.006
(2005/2006)
China 9 42 422 230 99.4 0.056 (2002)
Source: UNDP-Human Development Report 2010, 2011, 2013; *World Bank - World Development Indicators dataset 2013, except for Cambodia, national source (CSES 2011)
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Governance perception indicators - 2011
Governance perception indicators - 2011
Governance Indicator
Cambodia Laos Vietnam Thailand China
2011 2011 2011 2011 2011
Voice and Accountability
24.9 5.6 8.5 33.3 4.7
Political Stability/Absence of Violence
33 47.2 52.8 16.5 25
Government Effectiveness
25.6 17.1 45 59.7 60.7
Regulatory Quality
35.1 19.4 29.4 56.4 45.5
Rule of Law 15.5 18.3 39.9 48.8 41.8
Control of Corruption
12.8 13.7 33.6 43.6 30.3
Source: http://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/sc_country.asp, accessed June 1, 2013
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Democratization perception indicators - 2011
Democratization perception indicators - 2011
Country Rank Overall score
Electoral process
and pluralism
Functioning of
government
Political participation
Political
culture
Civil liberties
Cambodia 101 4.87 6.08 6.07 2.78 5 4.41
Laos 156 2.1 0 3.21 1.11 5 1.18
Vietnam 143 2.96 0 4.29 2.78 6.25 1.47
Thailand 58 6.55 7.83 6.07 5.56 6.25 7.06
China 141 3.14 0 5 3.89 5.63 1.18
Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit – Democracy Index 2011
47
Thank youThank you
IDRC, Canada provided financial support for this project
The views expressed here are not necessarily those of IDRC,
CDRI, or ADB
IDRC, Canada provided financial support for this project
The views expressed here are not necessarily those of IDRC,
CDRI, or ADB