groebner business statistic 8ed ch15 xl 2007 tutorial

42
Guide to Using Excel 2007 For Basic Statistical Applications To Accompany Business Statistics: A Decision Making Approach, 8th Ed. Chapter 15: Multiple Regression and Model Building By Groebner, Shannon, Fry, & Smith Prentice-Hall Publishing Company Copyright, 2011

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Materi ini merupakan bahan ajar sebagai pelengkap e-materi mata kuliah statistika bisnis.Groebner, D. F., Shannon, P. W., Fry, P. C. & Smith, K. D. (2011). Business Statistics: A Decision Making Approach 8th Edition. pearson.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Guide to Using Excel 2007 For Basic

Statistical Applications

To Accompany

Business Statistics: A Decision Making

Approach, 8th Ed.

Chapter 15:

Multiple Regression and Model Building

By

Groebner, Shannon, Fry, & SmithPrentice-Hall Publishing Company

Copyright, 2011

Page 2: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Chapter 15 Excel Examples

Multiple Regression

First City Real Estate

Multiple Regression –Dummy Variable

First City Real Estate

Curvilinear Regression

Ashley Investment Services

Interaction Effects

Ashley Investment Services

More Examples

Page 3: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Chapter 15 Excel Examples

Residual Analysis

First City Real Estate

Page 4: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Multiple Regression –First City Real Estate

Issue: First City management wishes to build a

model that can be used to predict sales prices

for residential property.

Objective: Use Excel 2007 to build a multiple

regression model relating sales price to a set of

measurable variables.

Data file is FirstCity.xls

Page 5: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Multiple Regression – First City Real Estate

•Open the file FirstCity.xls, Sheet Homes-Sample 1

•Select the Data Tab

•Select Data Analysis

•Select Correlation

•OK

Page 6: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Multiple Regression – First City Real Estate

•Input Range: A1:G320

•Grouped by: Columns

•New Worksheet Ply: corr-1

•OK

Page 7: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Multiple Regression – First City Real Estate

This cell shows the correlation, 0.7477, between Price and Square Feet

Page 8: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Multiple Regression – First City Real Estate

Return to Homes-Sample 1

•Select the Data tab

•Select Data Analysis

•Select Regression

•OK

Page 9: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Multiple Regression – First City Real Estate

•Input Y Range: A1:A320

•Input X Range: B1:F320

•Select labels

•New Worksheet Ply: regress-1

•OK

Page 10: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Multiple Regression – First City Real Estate

Excel produces the Regression Model

Page 11: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Multiple Regression – First City Real Estate

To determine if multicollinearity is a problem:

•Select the Add-Ins tab

•Select PHStat

•Select Regression

•Select Multiple Regression

Page 12: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Multiple Regression – First City Real Estate

•Y variable … : A1:A320

•X variable … : B1:F320

•Select First Cells in both …

•Select Regression Statistics …

•Select ANOVA and …

•Select Variance Inflation …

•OK

Page 13: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Multiple Regression – First City Real Estate

PHStat will find Variance Inflation Factors for all independent variables. This slide shows the VIF for Garage # and all other X variables. Click on the sheet tabs X4,X3,X2,X1 to see the VIF for the other variables.

Page 14: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Issue: First City managers wish to improve the

model by adding a location variable for the area.

Objective: Use Excel 2007 to improve a regression

model by adding a dummy variable for the area

either foothills or flatland.

Data file is First City.xls

Multiple Regression - Dummy

Variable -First City Real Estate

Page 15: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Multiple Regression- Dummy Variable –

First City Real Estate

•Select the Home-Sample 2 sheet

•Select the Add-In tab

•Select PHStat

•Select Regression

•Select Multiple Regression

Page 16: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Multiple Regression- Dummy Variable –

First City Real Estate

•Cut Bedrooms and Bathrooms columns and paste in cell G1. Delete columns C and D so that all data is in connected columns

•Select Data tab

•Select Regression

•Input Y Range: A1 – A320

•Input X Range B1-E320

•Select Labels

•New Worksheet: Regress-2

•OK

Page 17: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Multiple Regression- Dummy Variable –

First City Real Estate

All variables are significant and have the expected sign

Page 18: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Curvilinear Relationships -

Ashley Investment Services

Issue: The director of personnel is trying to determine

whether there is a relationship between employee

burnout and time spent socializing with co-workers.

Objective: Use Excel 2007 to determine whether the

relationship between the two measures is statistically

significant.

Data file is Ashley.xls

Page 19: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Curvilinear Relationships – Ashley Investment Services

Open the file Ashley.xls

Page 20: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Curvilinear Relationships – Ashley Investment Services

•Select A1:B21

•Select the Insert Tab

•Select Scatter Plot

•Select the Scatter Plot desired

Page 21: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Curvilinear Relationships – Ashley Investment Services

Page 22: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Curvilinear Relationships – Ashley Investment Services

•Select the Data tab

•Select Data Analysis

•Select Regression

Page 23: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Curvilinear Relationships – Ashley Investment Services

•Y Range A1:A21

•X Range B1:B21

•Labels

•New Worksheet Ply: Ashley-1

•OK

Page 24: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Curvilinear Relationships – Ashley Investment Services

Page 25: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Curvilinear Relationships – Ashley Investment Services

To develop a nonlinear model, return to the data file. Create a new variable Socialization Squared

Page 26: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Curvilinear Relationships – Ashley Investment Services

•Select the Data tab

•Select Data Analysis

•Select Regression

•OK

Page 27: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Curvilinear Relationships – Ashley Investment Services

• Input Y Range: A1:A21• Input X Range: B1:C21• Select Labels• New Worksheet Ply: Ashley-2

Page 28: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Curvilinear Relationships – Ashley Investment Services

The output shows the R Square value and the Regression Coefficients.

Page 29: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Interaction Effects -

Ashley Investment Services

Issue: The director of personnel is trying to determine

whether the model can be improved by separating

observations between those taken from men and

women.

Objective: Use Excel 2007 to determine whether the

relationship between the measures can be improved.

Data file is Ashley-2.xls

Page 30: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Interaction Effects – Ashley Investment Services

•Open file Ashley-2.xls

•Insert a new column C as (Socialization Squared) which is Column B squared

•Add Column E as Columns B * D

•Add Column F as Columns C * D

Page 31: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Interaction Effects – Ashley Investment Services

Using The Insert tab and Chart tools set up a Scatter Plot for one gender

Page 32: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Interaction Effects – Ashley Investment Services

Add the second gender

Add exponential trend line for male and female

Page 33: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Interaction Effects – Ashley Investment Services

The regression for the curvilinear model.

Page 34: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Issue: The company is interested in analyzing the

residuals of the regression model to determine

whether the assumptions of multiple regression are

satisfied.

Objective: Use Excel 2007 to analyze residuals from

a regression model.

Data file is First City-3.xls

Residual Analysis -

First City Real Estate

Page 35: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Residual Analysis – First City Real Estate

Open the file FirstCity3.xls

Since Excel requires independent variables to be in adjacent columns – cut and paste these columns.

We will be using:

•Price

•Sq. Feet

•Bedrooms

•Garage #

•Log of Lot Size

•Note: I will swap Lot Size and Log Lot Size to simplify the operation

Page 36: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Residual Analysis – First City Real Estate

•Select the Data tab•Select Data Analysis•Select Regression•OK

Page 37: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Residual Analysis – First City Real Estate

Define the range for X and Y variables.Excel gives several options for Residual Analysis but does not have as complete a set as Minitab

Page 38: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Residual Analysis – First City Real Estate

This is the Residual Plot for Square Feet

Page 39: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Residual Analysis – First City Real Estate

While Excel will not automatically generate a histogram of the standardized residuals , one can be created.

Page 40: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Residual Analysis – First City Real Estate

Define Bin values for the Histogram

Page 41: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Residual Analysis – First City Real Estate

•Select the Data tab•Select Data Analysis•Select Histogram•On the Histogram Chart identify the data and bins•Select Chart output

Page 42: Groebner Business Statistic 8ed Ch15 Xl 2007 Tutorial

Residual Analysis – First City Real Estate