global safety report

Accidents Update: As at 30 Sep 2016 1

Global Safety Report

Rodolfo Quevedo

Director of Safety

IASS 2018

2

All Accidents Overview 2018 (Jan – Jun)

2018 (Jan – Jun)

Total Accidents 32

Accidents Involving IATA Members 9

Total Jet Hull Losses 2

Total Turbo-Prop Hull Losses 3

Total Fatal Accidents 5

Fatalities 301

33

Industry Accident Rate Increased At The Highest Rate For 5 Years

Breaking a five year downward trend, and across all categories of the industry, the first half of 2018 has seen the accident rate increase over 2017, which had reached the historical minimum with 45 accidents in the whole year

All Accidents per Million Sectors 2013 to 1st July 2018

Accidents Update: As at 30 Sep 2016 Issued 1 September 2009Accidents Update: As at 30 June 2009

World IATA Members

2018 1.47 0.77

2017 1.10 0.50

2013-2017 1.77 1.10

NAM

1.69 2018

0.57 2017

1.07 2013-2017

LATAM/CAR

1.92 2018

1.88 2017

2.12 2013-2017

EUR

1.41 2018

0.67 2017

1.43 2013-2017

AFI

4.53 2018

6.87 2017

6.97 2013-2017

MENA

1.94 2018

0.49 2017

2.85 2013-2017

CIS

3.65 2018

4.13 2017

4.41 2013-2017

NASIA

0.00 2018

0.00 2017

0.47 2013-2017

ASPAC

1.08 2018

1.68 2017

2.52 2013-2017

Source: IATA GADM

All Accident Rate per Region of Operator as at 1st July 2018

44

In 4 of 8 IATA Regions the Accident Rate Increased

2018 vs 2017 accident rate

55

Fatality Risk (Full-Loss Equivalents per Million Sectors)

Across all categories of the industry, the first half of 2018 has seen the fatality risk increase from 2017, with a total of 301 fatalities recorded thus far.

Overall Increase in Fatality Risk

Accidents Update: As at 30 Sep 2016 Issued 1 September 2009Accidents Update: As at 30 June 2009

World IATA Members

2018 0.17 0.09

2017 0.09 0.00

2013-2017 0.19 0.05

NAM

0.00 2018

0.08 2017

0.15 2013-2017

LATAM/CAR

0.63 2018

0.00 2017

0.14 2013-2017

EUR

0.00 2018

0.11 2017

0.07 2013-2017

AFI

0.00 2018

0.00 2017

1.19 2013-2017

MENA

0.97 2018

0.00 2017

0.22 2013-2017

CIS

1.22 2018

1.04 2017

1.04 2013-2017

NASIA

0.00 2018

0.00 2017

0.07 2013-2017

ASPAC

0.19 2018

0.09 2017

0.20 2013-2017

Fatality Risk per Region of Operator as at 1st July 2018

66

2018 vs 2017 fatality risk

In 4 of 8 IATA Regions Fatality Risk Increased

77

Jet Fatality Risk (Full-Loss Equivalents per Million Sectors)

Across all categories of the industry, the first half of 2018, has seen the fatality risk for jet aircraft increase from 2017. This is mainly due to the two LOC-I accidents in CIS (Russia) and LATAM-CAR (Cuba)

Jet Fatality Risk Increased

Accidents Update: As at 30 Sep 2016 Issued 1 September 20098

Accidents Update: As at 30 June 20098

World IATA Members

2018 0.11 0.00

2017 0.03 0.00

2013-2017 0.07 0.02

NAM

0.00 2018

0.00 2017

0.04 2013-2017

LATAM/CAR

0.81 2018

0.00 2017

0.15 2013-2017

EUR

0.00 2018

0.13 2017

0.08 2013-2017

AFI

0.00 2018

0.00 2017

0.00 2013-2017

MENA

0.00 2018

0.00 2017

0.12 2013-2017

CIS

1.31 2018

0.00 2017

0.38 2013-2017

NASIA

0.00 2018

0.00 2017

0.00 2013-2017

ASPAC

0.00 2018

0.00 2017

0.08 2013-2017

Jet Fatality Risk per Region of Operator as at 1st July 2018

2018 vs 2017 Jet fatality risk

Jet Fatality Risk Increased in CIS and LATAM-CAR

99

Turboprop Fatality Risk (Full-Loss Equivalents per Million Sectors)

IATA members experienced an increase in the turboprop fatality risk in the first half of 2018 due to the CFIT accident that occurred in MENA (Iran), which had no survivors

Turboprop Fatality Risk Increased

10

Fatality Risk by Accident Category in 2018

Note: (1) The area of the bubble indicates the number of fatalities associated with the particular accident category, the value is displayed(2) Fatality Risk: number of full-loss equivalents per 1 million flights(3) Accidents not involving fatalities are displayed on this graph as black circles

In the first half of 2018 RWY Excursion became a fatal accident category after four years of non fatal events

2018

LOC-I and CFIT Caused the Most Fatalities in 2018

11

Fatality Risk by Accident Category from 2014 to 2018

Note: (1) The area of the bubble indicates the number of fatalities associated with the particular accident category, the value is displayed(2) Fatality Risk: number of full-loss equivalents per 1 million flights(3) Accidents not involving fatalities are displayed on this graph as black circles

2014 - 2018

LOC-I and CFIT Caused the Most Fatalities from 2014 to 2018

12

Copyright ©2018 International Air Transport Association. All rights reserved. Subject to restrictions and disclaimer on page 2.

The GADM

Accident

Database

ICAO Pilot

Competencies

mapped to

accident

contributory

factors for

Evidence Based

Training

Pilot Competencies Mapped

13

Copyright ©2018 International Air Transport Association. All rights reserved. Subject to restrictions and disclaimer on page 2.

Accidents from 2005 to 2018 where pilot competency

was a contributory factor

Flight path

management and

manual handling is the

most common

followed by situational

awareness and SOPs.

Incorrect Line-up rates increasing

Copyright ©2018 International Air Transport Association. All rights reserved.

Subject to restrictions and disclaimer.

Incorrect Surface Line Up – STEADES Analysis 2018

Despite the decrease in the number of reports in the first quarter of year

2017, IATA’s analysis of incorrect line up report rates has shown, an

overall increasing trend up to 0.011 reports per 1,000 flights in 2017 –Q3.

A list of events in 2018 (AvHerald)

➢ LATAM A321 at Sao Paulo on Sep 26th 2018, landed on wrong runway

➢ American A320 at Fort Myers on Aug 30th 2018, approached wrong airport, went around

➢ Wings AT72 at Sintang on Jun 19th 2018, landed at wrong airport

➢ Vueling A320 at Hamburg on May 11th 2018, ATC prevents landing on wrong airport

➢ Tunis A320 at Frankfurt on Sep 15th 2018, nearly landed on taxiway

➢ Vietnam A321 at Nha Trang on Apr 29th 2018, landed on runway under construction

➢ Aeromexico B738 at San Francisco on Jan 9th 2018, lined up for wrong runway

➢ Horizon DH8D at Pullman Moscow on Dec 29th 2017, landed on taxiway




*The above links are from external sources and should not be associated / interpreted as GADM data.

Key findings

Our findings agree with the FAA Air Traffic Organization (ATO) which

advised of an increase in, “Wrong Surface Landing Incidents” in the

USA National Airspace System (NAS).

STEADES database identified the United States as having had the

highest number of incorrect line-up reports (90).

Whilst prevalent in the USA, it is however a global systemic issue.

90% of all reports involved parallel runways

Visual approaches and late runway changes are AOVs.

Expectation Bias a clear issue




17

Action is Critical

➢SMS

➢ Integration of

AOVs into

SPIs

➢Training for

effectiveness

Thank You

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