global costs health economics jargon...nuclear cardiac laboratory, national heart centre, singapore...
TRANSCRIPT
3/2/2011
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Dr Felix Keng
IAEA Regional Training Course, Manila, Philippines 1-5 Feb 2011
Health Economics Jargon
• cost minimisation
• cost effectiveness
• cost utility
• cost benefit
Global costs
Rest ECG £ 20
Exercise ECG £ 70
Echocardiogram (rest) £ 100
Echocardiogram (stress) £ 200
Myocardial perfusion imaging £ 220
Coronary angiography £ 1100
PTCA £ 2500
CABG £ 4500
Hospital bed £ 300
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Historical Background
• Nuclear Perfusion Imaging as “a better
stress test”
• Detection of anatomic CAD as benchmark
for success
• Gold standard : Coronary Angiography ?
Nuclear Cardiac Laboratory, National Heart Centre, Singapore
Nuclear Cardiology
• Misconceptions:
– Expensive stress test
– Sensitivity < 100%
– False positives, negatives
– Imperfect correlation with angiography
• Disappointment led to the preference for
coronary angiography instead
Nuclear Cardiac Laboratory, National Heart Centre, Singapore
The Changing Paradigm
• Angiography provides information on anatomy
• Nuclear cardiology provides information on
function/physiology
• Physiology is as important as anatomy, and perhaps
more important
• Functional testing with nuclear imaging provides
comparable prognostic information at lower cost than
angiography, non-invasively
• Information provided by nuclear cardiology can
reduce cost and optimize treatment
Is Physiology as important as Anatomy?
• Diagnosis of CAD is based on anatomy
• Amount of diseased myocardium, LVEF are
powerful predictors of prognosis
• Can nuclear cardiology provide comparable
prognostic information ?
Nuclear Cardiac Laboratory, National Heart Centre, Singapore
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Prognostic value:
Perfusion imaging vs Angiography
• Normal perfusion scan indicates good prognosis,
even in patients with known CAD
• Nuclear imaging provides significantly greater
information than clinical and stress test data
• Coronary angiography adds little additional data
when nuclear, clinical and stress test data available
Nuclear Cardiac Laboratory, National Heart Centre, Singapore
Prognostic value: Perfusion imaging
vs angiography (The Proof)
• VANQWISH Study
• Post MI Risk Stratification Studies
– INSPIRE study (post infarction study)
– Patients with stable Chest Pain (COURAGE)
– Heart Failure (IMAGING-HF)
– Diabetic Heart Disease (DIAD)
Heart Centre Heart CentreNational National
Pharmacologic stress testing post-infarction
• Sensitivity for detection of residual stenosis at infarct-related artery 97%
• Sensitivity for detecting multivessel disease 70%
• Prediction of events by perfusion defect size
• Multivariate analysis
• Perfusion defect size - potent predictor
• LV ejection fraction - additional value
• Number of diseased vessels - P = NS
Quantitative Adenosine Thallium SPECT for early assessment post-MI Mahmarian et al Circ 1993
The VANQWISH Trial
(Veterans Affairs Non-Q Wave Infarction Strategies in Hospital)
920 patients with non-Q MI randomised:
Invasive Conservative
Angiogram
Revascularise (PTCA/CABG)
MUGAExercise/dip thallium
Cath if angina + ECG change, ST depression on TMX or reversible ischaemia in >1 territory
Revascularise (PTCA/CABG)
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The VANQWISH Trial (Veterans Affairs Non-Q Wave Infarction Strategies in Hospital)
920 patients with non-Q MI randomised:
Death or Nonfatal Infarct
36
48
111
1526
85
Invasive Conservative0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Discharge
One month
One year
p <0.004
p<0.012
p<0.05
How can use of Nuclear Cardiology
reduce cost$?
• By reducing need for angiography / revascularization
in low risk patients
• By identifying high risk patients who need intervention
• Evidence: studies comparing diagnostic approaches
– Comparing outcome of medical vs invasive treatment in non-
high risk patients
– Economics of Non-invasive Diagnosis (ENDS study)
– Economics of Myocardial Perfusion Imaging in Europe
(EMPIRE study)Nuclear Cardiac Laboratory, National Heart Centre, Singapore
Cost effectiveness of MPI
Where are the savings?
• patient without CAD discharged without angiography
• patient with CAD managed medically without angiography
• avoid morbidity of angiography
• revascularisation targeted more effectively at high risk
patients with most to gain
Economics of Myocardial Perfusion
Imaging in Europe (EMPIRE)
• Comparison of diagnostic strategy, cost, diagnostic
accuracy & clinical outcome
• 396 patients seen in 8 hospitals for suspected CAD,
FU 2 years
• 2 hospitals (one MPI user, one non-user) in each
country:
– France, Germany, Italy, United Kingdom
– Underwood et al. Eur Heart J 1999;20:157-166
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Economics of Myocardial Perfusion
Imaging in Europe (EMPIRE)
• Comparison of 4 diagnostic strategies:
– 1. Ex ECG -> Cath
– 2. Ex ECG -> MPI -> Cath
– 3. MPI -> Cath
– 4. Cath
• Endpoints: Accuracy and cost of diagnosis,
management, clinical outcome
Economics of Myocardial Perfusion
Imaging in Europe (EMPIRE): Results
• Lower costs with myocardial perfusion imaging
– 32% less in patients without CAD
• Better diagnostic/treatment yield for angiography with myocardial
perfusion imaging as gatekeeper
– lower normal angiogram rate (p = 0.07, 26% vs 43% in non-MPI cath)
– higher proportion of patients proceed to revascularization (p<0.05, 47% vs
31%)
• Better long-term freedom from symptoms in MPI users
– (63% vs 37%, p<0.001)
– Better targeted revascularization?
Economics of Myocardial Perfusion Imaging in Europe
(EMPIRE)
335
208
269
207323
358 1061
463
289
229514
270
0
500
1000
1500
2000
Strategy 1 Strategy 2 Strategy 3 Strategy 4 MPI use No MPI use
Mean 2 yr costs (UK pounds) for Pts without CAD
Management Diagnostic
p < 0.0001
p < 0.0001
4626
391
4022
402
4159
354
6047
1096
4854
591
4741
510
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
Strategy 1 Strategy 2 Strategy 3 Strategy 4 MPI use No MPI use
Mean 2 yr costs (UK pounds) for Pts with CAD
Management Diagnostic
Economics of Myocardial Perfusion Imaging in Europe
(EMPIRE)
p < 0.05
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6
15
25
12
16
812
13
39
27
44
21
48
0
20
40
60
80
Strategy
1
Strategy
2
Strategy
3
Strategy
4
MPI use No MPI
use
Cardiac Events on follow-up
Hard Soft
p = nsp < 0.0001
Economics of Myocardial Perfusion Imaging in Europe
(EMPIRE)
289
229
514
270
0
200
400
600
800
MPI user Non-MPI user
Mean 2 yr costs (UK pounds) for Pts without CAD
Management Diagnostic
p < 0.0001
Economics of Myocardial Perfusion Imaging in Europe
(EMPIRE)
32% lower costs
0.14%
23%
0.10%
23%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
MPI user Non-MPI user
Clinical Outcome (Event rate)
Hard Soft
Economics of Myocardial Perfusion Imaging in Europe
(EMPIRE)
Economics of Non-Invasive Diagnosis Study
(ENDS)
• Observational study comparing 2 diagnostic strategies:
– 5,423 patients referred for direct cath vs
– 5,826 patients referred for myocardial perfusion imaging
with selective cardiac cath.
• 2 groups matched for pretest likelihood of CAD
• Comparisons of clinical outcome and costs
• 7 hospitals (Cedars-Sinai, Cleveland Clinic, Duke University, Hartford
Hospital, Roger Williams Medical Centre, St Louis VA and St Louis
University Health Sciences Center)
• Shaw et al. JACC 1999;33:661-9
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7
2.5
18
5
27
9
30
2.1
14
4.7
13
8.3
16
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Cath
Low
Cath
Int
Cath
High
MPI
Low
MPI
Int
MPI
High
Death/MI
PTCA/CABG
Economics of Non-Invasive Diagnosis Study
(ENDS)
Strategy
Pretest risk
Clinical Outcome
(Death, MI,
PTCA/CABG)
Compared to direct cath, myocardial perfusion imaging followed by selective
cath associated with 30-40% lower revasc rate and equivalent death or MI rate
Economics of Non-Invasive Diagnosis Study
(ENDS)
2900
4200
4800
20002400
2800
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
Cath
Low
Cath
Int
Cath
High
MPI
Low
MPI
Int
MPI
Low
Strategy
Pretest risk
Cost
US$
Compared to direct cath, myocardial perfusion imaging followed by selective
cath associated with 30-40% lower cost, with equivalent clinical outcome
Management of CAD:
Balancing Risk vs Benefit
PTCA,
CABG*
Interventional treatment
Aspirin**,
ACE Inhibitors**,
Betablockers**,
Cholesterol lowering**
Medical Treatment
* improved survival in
selected subgroups**improved survival in CAD
PTCA,
CABG
Interventional treatment
Antiplatelet,
ACE Inhibitors,
Betablockers,
Cholesterol lowering
Medical Treatment
Management of CAD:
Balancing Risk vs Benefit
AMI UANON-Q MI NORMALSTABLE CAD
High risk (>> 1% risk event) Low risk (< 1% risk event)
1% mortality
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Interventional treatment Medical Treatment
AMI NORMALSTABLE CAD
High risk (>> 1% risk event) Low risk (< 1% risk event)
Approach
HIGH RISK CAD
NORMAL/EQUIVOCALNON-HIGH RISK
MYOCARDIAL PERFUSION IMAGING
HIGH RISK
Nuclear Cardiology Examinations
US
Europe
million
s
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1992 1994 1996 1998 20001990
USA linear compound growth = 11.5% / yr
Investigation rates
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
MPI CAG Revasc
stud
ies
/ mill
ion
/ yr
USA 1996
UK 2000
USA 2.5 : 1.4 : 1
UK 1 : 2.2 : 1
Is Western data valid in Developing Countries?
• Many patients cannot afford numerous tests!
• Limited healthcare resources: concentrate on
essentials!
• Price of coronary angiography may be subsidized
more than cost of nuclear cardiology: Cheaper to do
angiogram!
• Therefore, direct use of coronary angiography may
be more cost effective than nuclear cardiology??
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Price is not the same as cost!
• Price = Amount paid by patient
• Cost = Actual cost of providing service,
contrast, catheters, operating equipment,
hospitalization, effect on subsequent Rx
• Subsidies can hide true cost of procedure
• Subsidies do not reduce cost but transfer
cost from patient to taxpayer
Is nuclear cardiology cost-effective in
developing countries?
• Due to subsidies, price of angiography may be only
slightly more than price of nuclear test
• True cost of angiography is always greater than
nuclear cardiology but may be subsidized (Paid for
by taxpayer!)
• Subsidies favoring angiography may result in
inappropriate use of angiography and/or
PTCA/CABG with hidden costs to healthcare
system/taxpayer
Is nuclear cardiology cost-effective in
developing countries?
• Price of nuclear cardiology test can be kept low by
combination of high volume, pricing and use of
subsidy
• Ratio of cost of nuclear test to cost of angiography
important
• Prognosis and risk of cardiac events varies widely
in patients with known or suspected CAD
• High risk patients should have early/urgent
angiography and revascularization
• Low risk patients should be treated medically
• Non-selective approach to coronary angiography
increases costs without reducing event rate
Summary
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Summary
• Nuclear cardiology provides functional data which is
prognostically as important as anatomic data
• Nuclear cardiology provides comparable prognostic
information at lower cost than angiography, non-
invasively
• Use of nuclear cardiology can reduce cost and
optimize treatment
Summary
• Optimal choice of treatment in CAD requires
balancing risk against benefit
• Nuclear cardiology is a valuable, non-invasive,
relatively low cost tool in assessing that risk
Atypical chest pain
Stress Rest