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Calculating and Representing the Environmental and Social Impacts of the TANAP Pipeline Project GIS based impact calculation tool Massimo Dragan [email protected] © 2017 Golder Associates. All rights reserved.

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  • Calculating and Representing the

    Environmental and Social Impacts of the

    TANAP Pipeline Project

    GIS based impact calculation tool

    Massimo Dragan

    [email protected]

    © 2017 Golder Associates. All rights reserved.

  • Southern Europe Gas Corridor in Numbers

    TANAP is the Turkish leg

    1850 km pipeline

    19 km under the Sea of Marmara

    7 compressor stations,

    4 measuring stations,

    11 pigging stations,

    49 block valve stations and

    2 off-take stations

    May 5, 2017 2

  • ESHIA for Linear Infrastructures

    The challenges

    Vast geographical extent of the project area

    Different projects components with different impacts

    Seasonal variation of activities

    Crossing areas with varying degrees of sensitivity

    The amount of data to process is very relevant

    The representation of results is complex

    May 5, 2017 3

  • Why a spatially explicit model

    Integrate the impact assessment workflow with engineering design in a

    shared GIS environment

    Leverage the availability of national geodata repositories for assessment

    endpoints

    Consider cumulative effects of concurrent spatially overlapping impact

    factors

    Account for the spatial overlay of impact factors with the geometries of

    sensitive elements

    May 5, 2017 4

  • Environmental

    and Social

    Components

    PIPELINE PROJECT

    Conceptual model

    May 5, 2017 5

    Impacts

    Impact

    factors

    Project

    actions

    Project

    components

    Sensitivity

    Mitigation

    measures

  • Project components

    Pipeline onshore

    Pipeline offshore

    Road crossing open cut

    Road crossing trenchless

    Railroad crossing

    Channel crossing open cut

    Channel crossing trenchless

    River crossing open cut

    River crossing trenchless

    Pipeline in HGWC

    Compressor stations

    Camp sites

    Block valve/pigging/ metering station

    Pipe stock yards

    Pipeline landing

    Temporary access roads

    Permanent access roads

    May 5, 2017 6

    The project components are all

    represented as a GIS vector layers

    and modelled as potential sources of

    impact during the project phases of

    Construction

    Operation

    Decommissioning

  • Project components spatial representation

    May 5, 2017 7

  • Project components spatial representation

    May 5, 2017 8

  • Project Actions

    Each project component is characterized by a series of activities

    needed for its construction, functioning/operation or decommissioning

    which are likely to have an effect

    May 5, 2017 9

    Land acquisition

    Vegetation clearing

    Topsoil/soil removal/excavation

    Sediment excavation

    Rock blasting

    Topsoil/soil storage

    Pipe laying

    Pipe padding

    Topsoil/soil reinstatement

    Pipe concrete coating

    Biorestoration works

    Water diversion

    Dewatering

    Wastewater discharge

    Pipe/material transportation

    Pipe/material storage

    Building/infrastructure construction

    Building/infrastructure demolition

    Waste management

    Machinery use

    Energy production

    Energy use

    Water use

    Presence/accommodation of workforce

    Purchase of goods, materials and services

    Payment of taxes

    Pipeline system operation

    Pipeline system malfunctioning management

  • Impact Factors

    May 5, 2017 10

    Impact Factors are associated through Project Actions to each Project

    Component in the three Project Phases: Construction, Operation, and

    Decommissioning

    Impact factors are physical, chemical, biological and social stressors that

    the project is introducing as a consequence of various project actions

    For each factor and phase, every project component may generate a

    specific level of impact intensity or severity

  • The quantification of the severity of each impact factor is based on an

    expert opinion, according to the following numerical system

    Impact factors assessment parameters

    May 5, 2017 11

    Magnitude Reversibility Geographic extent Duration FrequencyProbability of

    occurrence

    Low

    5

    Short term

    reversible

    1

    Local

    0

    Short

    0

    Rare

    0

    Unlikely

    0

    Medium

    10

    Long term

    reversible

    3

    Regional

    1

    Medium

    1

    Intermittent

    1

    Likely

    1

    High

    15

    Irreversible

    5

    Beyond regional

    2

    Long

    2

    Continuous

    2

    Certain

    2

  • Impact factor severity example

    May 5, 2017 12

    Calculation example for the “Emission of dust and particulate” during

    construction phase

    IF01 Emission of dust and particulate Phase: CONSTRUCTION

    Project component

    Dire

    ctio

    n

    Ma

    gn

    itu

    de

    Reve

    rsib

    ility

    Ge

    ogra

    ph

    ic

    exte

    nt

    Du

    ratio

    n

    Fre

    qu

    en

    cy

    Pro

    ba

    bili

    ty o

    f

    occu

    rre

    nce

    Imp

    act

    inte

    nsity

    Pipeline onshore Negative 15 1 0 1 1 2 20

    Pipeline offshore Negative 5 1 0 0 2 2 10

    Road crossing open cut Negative 10 1 0 0 1 2 14

    Road crossing trenchless Negative 5 1 0 0 1 2 9

    ……. … … … … … … … …

  • Spatial Model of Impact Factors

    Every impact factor has a spatial extension that can vary in width from

    phase to phase.

    This spatial extension ranges from just the project footprint (i.e. the

    combination of the different PC footprints) to a larger buffer

    The severity of the IF is considered constant – not varying in

    intensity - within the buffer region.

    For instance, during the construction phase, noise can impact a region

    of 500 meters surrounding the pipeline footprint.

    May 5, 2017 13

  • Impact Factors spatial extent: example

    Spatial extent per impact factor in each project phase

    May 5, 2017 14

    Impact Factor Construction Operation Decommissioning

    IF01 200 5000 200

    IF02 500 5000 500

    IF03 footprint footprint footprint

    ….. ….. ….. …..

  • Impact factor cumulative effect

    Where the impact extent is not limited to

    the project footprint, each project

    component is buffered according to the

    impact factor spatial extent

    The specific severity value is assigned

    to the resulting polygon.

    Where the project component footprints

    or buffers overlap, the impact factor

    intensity cumulates to account for a

    concurrent, simultaneous and

    consequently higher potential impact

    May 5, 2017 15

    Gaseous emissions during the

    construction phase

  • VECs and Sensitivity

    The Valued Environmental and Social Components (VECs) are

    characterized by a sensitivity or propensity to change, which is function

    of one or more intrinsic features of the components, like

    the presence of elements of particular value or vulnerability

    function of existing high levels of degradation

    The sensitivity of the VECs is evaluated on the basis of the

    presence/absence of some features called sensitivity elements which

    define both the current degree of quality and the component’s

    susceptibility to environmental changes (IFC PS).

    The sensitivity level of each element is assigned according to the scale

    low, medium, high.

    May 5, 2017 16

  • Sensitivity Elements Spatial Extent

    In the GIS impact assessment tool, the sensitivity layer is a geographic

    feature composed by the geometries of one or more receptor types with

    a sensitivity value for every assessment endpoint.

    Receptor geometries can be polygons (e.g. settlements,

    archaeological sites, protected areas, habitats), lines (e.g. roads), or

    points (e.g. watercourse crossings, groundwater resources) according to

    the resolution of the available geographic data.

    The sensitivity level is assigned according to a simple reclassification

    or spatial rule and it is based on the subject matter expert evaluation.

    The sensitivity value is constant for the three phases and is not impact

    factor specific.

    May 5, 2017 17

  • Sensitivity level

    Sensitivity level calculation: Soil assessment endpoints example

    May 5, 2017 18

    VALUED ENVIRO

    NMENTAL

    COMPONENT

    (VEC)

    ASSESSMENT

    ENDPOINT

    (AE)

    SENSITIVITY

    ELEMENT

    SENSITIVITY LEVEL

    Soil

    1-LOW 2-MEDIUM 3-HIGH

    Reduction/degrada

    tion of soil with

    high agricultural

    potential

    Soil agricultural

    potential

    soil capability

    (AKK VIII)

    soil capability

    classes (AKK

    V÷VII)

    soil capability

    classes (AKK I÷IV)

    Degradation of soil

    with high erosion

    potential

    Soil erosion

    potential

    None or very little

    (ERZ 1)

    Medium (ERZ 2) Severe and very

    severe (ERZ 3,4)

    Contamination of

    soils

    Soil pollution

    potential

    Corine Land

    cover Industrial

    areas

    (121)

    Corine Land cover

    Urban areas

    (111, 112)

    Corine Land cover

    Agricultural areas

    (211, 212,213,

    221, 222, 223,

    231, 241,242, 243,

    244)

  • Impact calculation and representation

    The impact layers are derived as a spatial

    overlay of impact factors and sensitivity

    layers

    The impact level is calculated for each of the

    individual receptors identified and represented as

    a point, a line or an area

    e.g a settlement, a river, or an ecosystem

    patch

    There are different methods of assigning impact

    factor intensity to a receptor according to its

    spatial dimension

    The total impact is given by the sum of all

    impact factors intensity values overlaying a

    receptor and multiplied by its intrinsic sensitivity.

    May 5, 2017 19

  • Effects on Traffic and Mobility

    May 5, 2017 20

  • Reduction of Soil with Agricultural Potential

    May 5, 2017 21

  • Presence of Suitable Habitat for Fauna

    May 5, 2017 22

  • Conclusions and lessons learnt

    A complex project benefits from the use of model automation for a

    variety of reasons

    The project changes

    Early identification of areas of concern (hotpsots), may inform design

    improvements and mitigations

    Impacts are automatically calculated through algorithms in the GIS

    system and the GIS methodology is able to geographically identify

    potential areas of concern or “hotspots”

    This approach aims to focus the mitigation strategy in the more critical

    areas, optimizing the use of the project resources dedicated to

    environmental and social management.

    May 5, 2017 23

  • Conclusions and lessons learnt

    Automation is key to:

    Tackle the complexity and massive volume of data

    «Survive» last minute changes

    Reduce computational risks

    A spatially explicit ESHIA allows to

    Geographically identify potential areas of concern or “hotspots”

    Inform design improvements

    Focus the mitigation strategy in the more critical areas

    Optimize the use of the project resources

    May 5, 2017 24