george wimpey plc 1. 2 2000 interim results george wimpey plc 3 2000 1st half results
TRANSCRIPT
GEORGE WIMPEY PLC
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2000 1st half results
2000 1999 % Change
Revenue £m 694 622 +12
OperatingProfit £m
58.6 33.4 +75
Profit BeforeTax £m
48.0 27.9 +72
Earnings pershare p
9.9 6.0 +65
Dividend pershare p
2.65 2.3 +15
GEORGE WIMPEY PLC
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First half results
• Underlying Operating Profit up 57% to
£58.6m
• UK Operating profits up 72%
• UK Operating margins up 3.5% to 10.2%
• Underlying Profit before tax up 67% to
£48.0m
• Interim Dividend up 15% - covered 3.7 times
GEORGE WIMPEY PLC
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First half results
• No exceptional profits
• Interest cover of 5.5 times
• Tax rate 24%
GEORGE WIMPEY PLC
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First half cash flow
• Cash outflow of £146m (1999: £112m)
• End June gearing unchanged at 55%
• Land spend up 46% to £272m
• Unchanged working capital
• Targeting 35 - 40% year-end gearing
GEORGE WIMPEY PLC
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Balance sheet
Over last 12 months:
• Net debt up £46m to £334m
• Shareholders funds up £81m to
£611m
• Return on Equity 17.0%
• Net Assets up 22p to 166p
GEORGE WIMPEY PLC
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Housing revenue
Legals Revenue
No. % Change £m % Change
Wimpey :PD 2396 -10 233 +8
:Social 208 -2 10 -9
Total 2604 -10 243 +8
McLean 2393 +1 289 +19
UK Total 4997 -5 532 +13
Morrison 947 -5 141 +21
GroupTotal
5944 -5 673 +15
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Operating profits
£m 2000 1999 % Change
Wimpey Homes(pre write-off)
20.6 12.3 +67
McLean 33.8 19.3 +75
Morrison Homes 7.8 7.2 +8
Corp/Other (3.6) (1.4) -
TOTAL 58.6 37.4 +57
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Wimpey Homes
• Average size +6% - Detached 30%
• Average selling price £97,000 +21%
• Current selling price £108,000
• Gross and Operating margins +3.1%
• End June sales proceeding £+18%
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McLean Homes
• Average size +3% - More detached
• Average selling price +17% to £120,000
• Gross margins up 2%
• Operating margins +3.8%
• End June sales proceeding £+1%
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Morrison Homes
• Important corporate activity
• Average size up 8% to 2400 sq. ft.
• Average selling price +19% to $224,000
• Current selling price over $230,000
• End June sales proceeding $+26%
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Land
Wimpey McLean Morrison
Land Spend £m 106 104 52*
% Increase +89 +16 +45
Short-term Plots 17350 15950 11080
Increase sinceDecember
+450 -250 +2580
* Includes Southlife land of £11m
GEORGE WIMPEY PLC
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Financial summary
• Excellent first half - PBT +72%
• Significant improvement in UK
margins
• Sizeable land spend to lengthen land
banks
• Strong interest and dividend cover
• Very good second half in prospect
GEORGE WIMPEY PLC
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Key StrategyDrive E.P.S. by:-
• 50% UK Revenue Growth
• 100% USA Revenue Growth
• Group Operating Margin of 10% by 2003
GEORGE WIMPEY PLC
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Key StrategyDrive E.P.S. by:-
• 50% UK Revenue Growth– Target Growth = 8.5% pa.
– Growth Year 1 = 13%
– Growth 1st Half Year 2 = 13%
• 100% USA Revenue Growth– Target Growth = 15% pa.
– Growth Year 1 = 18%
– Growth 1st Half Year 2 = 17%
• On course to achieve Group Operating Margin of 10% by 2003
GEORGE WIMPEY PLC
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UKMarket Status
• Slowdown needed - Affordability• Slowdown commenced second quarter
• Gross Margin holding• Temporary correction?• Strong fundamentals
Sales rate variance
Wimpey McLean
Q1 -2% -3%
Q2 -10% -8%
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USAMarket Status
• USA market slowed as expected• Not worsening
• Gross Margin holding• Overall satisfactory market
Sales rate variance
Q1 -11%
Q2 -3%
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Progress on declared goals
For Wimpey:• 10% operating margin - achieved early• £1000 cost reduction - achieved• CWP implementation - achieved• Raise %age detached - on target
For Morrison:• Develop expansion programme whilst retaining
acceptable returns - on target with the acquisition of Southlife and the disposal of SE Florida
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Initiatives going forward
• Renewed impetus on build cost
reduction
• Development of IT
– B2C
– B2B
• Fully manufactured housing
• PPG 3
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Long Term LandGross Acres
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 (Q2)
5,100 8,450 9,200 10,150 11,000
The Freehold / Option balance
Gross Acres % Lock Up £m %
Freehold 2,500 23 23 58
Option 8,500 77 17 42
Total 11,000 100 40 100
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Land
Long Term Land
• On track to deliver 20% of completions
• Committed to deliver 1/3 of completions
Short Term Land
• Adequate short term land banks
• Brownfield sites increasing
• Land prices stabilising
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Status to Sunday 3rd September 2000
99/00% SalesVariance
% Varianceto 99
revenue
Wimpey Homes -8% -2%
McLean Homes -7% +1%
MorrisonHomes
+13% +11%
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Summary & Outlook
2000• First half of real progress• Strong improvement in UK margin• Land spend up 50%• Further progress on long term land• Market slowing but 2000 will be strong• Second year in row we will beat targets• Major step towards our 2003 goal of 10%
Group Operating Margins
GEORGE WIMPEY PLC
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Summary & Outlook
Outlook
• Market slowdown expected to be soft
• Fundamentals sound
• IT
• Fully manufactured housing
• Opportunities of PPG 3
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Vision Statement
“To be the best U.S. Homebuilder as measured
by our customers, employees, shareholders and business partners”
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History
($ in millions) 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Revenues ($) 129 190 301 428 509
Operating Profit ($) (4.6) (1.1) 11.5 26.2 41.2
Operating Profit (%) --- --- 3.8% 6.1% 8.1%
GEORGE WIMPEY PLC
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Morrison Homes Markets
Current Markets
Atlanta
Austin
Dallas/Ft. Worth
East Bay Area
Houston
Jacksonville
Orlando
Phoenix
Sacramento
San Antonio
San Joaquin Valley
Sarasota
Tampa
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Competition (1999)
Five largest US homebuilders
Revenues Closings
Centex Homes $5.8 billion (#1) 18,832 (#3)
Pulte Homes $3.9 billion (#2) 26,622 (#1)
Kaufman & Broad Homes $3.8 billion (#3) 22,460 (#2)
D R Horton $3.3 billion (#4) 19,041 (#4)
Lennar Homes $3.1 billion (#5) 12,589 (#5)
Morrison Homes $509 million (#29) 2,574 (#29)
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Land Bank
Own: 4,280
Option: 3,920
Sales Proceeding 1,230
Controlled 1,650
Total Land Bank 11,080
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Management• Employees - 531• Key Positions
– Regional Sr. Vice President
– Division President
– Skill set• People
• Land
• Leadership Style– Team approach - Multi-discipline
– Participative
• Changing skills in the future– Competency with the Web and Internet - all disciplines
– Process focus
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US Market
US Housing Market (June)
1999 2000 % Change
Housing Starts 1.562m 1.554m (0)
SF Housing Starts 1.269m 1.214m (4)
SF New Homes Sales 0.896m 0.875m (2)
30yr Mortgage Rates 7.55% 8.29% +74 BP
Unemployment Rate 4.3% 4.0% (7)
Consumer Confidence 139.0 138.8 ----
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US Market
Housing Activity Projections
1999Actual
2000Projected
2001Projected
Housing Starts 1.663m 1.604m 1.502m
SF Housing Starts 1.334m 1.263m 1.276m
SF New Homes Sales 0.907m 0.876m ----
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Morrison MarketsThe top 6 job growth states in 1999 were:
#1 California 408,4003.0%
#2 Florida 284,0004.1%
#3 Texas 219,3002.4%
#4 New York 173,4002.1%
#5 Georgia 160,0004.2%
#6 Arizona 100,9004.7%
U.S. Average Job Growth Rate : 2.2%
• Morrison Homes markets represented 223,402 or 16.8% of the total U.S. permit activity in 1999
• Five of Morrison’s markets are in the top 10 U.S. markets
AnnualRate
Net JobGrowth
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Future
• Continue to profitably grow revenues by 15 - 20% per year
• 2003 Milestone:
– $1.0 Billion Revenues
– 4,500 closings (legals)
– Top 20 Builder ranking
• Expand to one new market per year
• Utilise Internet and Web-based technology