general practitioner services in primary care groups in england: is there inequity between service...
TRANSCRIPT
Health & Place 7 (2001) 67–74
General practitioner services in primary care groups inEngland: is there inequity between service availability and
population need?
Deborah Baker*, Mark Hann
National Primary Care Research and Development Centre, University of Manchester, 5th Floor, Williamson Building, Oxford Road,
Manchester M13 9PL, UK
Received 30 May 2000; accepted 24 October 2000
Abstract
This study examined the coverage of minor surgery, child health surveillance and chronic disease management forasthma and diabetes in relation to population need and key organisational features of general practice in the 481
primary care groups (PCGs) in England. PCG-level summary scores were developed to estimate the relative availabilityof all four services and their relative importance in discriminating between high and low levels of service provision. Thecoverage of services was widespread and, in such circumstances, there was no systematic evidence of poorer service
availability for PCGs with higher population need (the ‘inverse care’ law). Rather this relation was localised, being mostpredominant for PCGs covering London and its suburbs. In these PCGs, there was no association between indicators oflack of capacity, such as single-handed practice, and levels of service provision. # 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. Allrights reserved.
Keywords: Primary care group; Population need; Chronic disease management; Child health surveillance; Minor surgery; Inverse
care law
Introduction
One of the founding principles of the National Health
Service in England on its inception in 1946 was to realiseequity in health care provision. This was to be achievedby universal entitlement and by developing a service that
was free at the point of use, the first point of contactbeing the general practitioner’s surgery (Powell, 1995;Glennerster, 1995; Whitehead, 1994). Whilst these ideals
embodied the principles of achieving the same highstandard of care for all, there has been evidence ofvariation in the provision and availability of primaryhealth care such that those patients who are poorer and
sicker are less likely to have access to the care that will
meet their needs (the inverse care law) (Tudor Hart,1971). This was highlighted in 1990, with the introduc-tion of a new contract for general practitioners in which
wide geographical variations in standards of primarycare were noted, with particular difficulties beingobserved in the inner cities (Department of Health
and the Welsh Office, 1989). As a consequence, thiscontract introduced measures to encourage higherstandards of care in general practice, including the more
extensive coverage of health promotion and preventivemedicine. General practitioners are contracted toprovide general medical services to patients registeredwith them, rather than being directly employed by the
NHS. In this context, these measures took the form of‘incentive payments’ for providing specific services, overand above the basic core of health provision that is
financed by the payment of capitation fees. Paymentwas made for achieving specific target levels of provision
*Corresponding author. Tel.: +44-161-275-7606; fax: +44-
161-275-7600.
E-mail address: [email protected] (D. Baker).
1353-8292/01/$ - see front matter # 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
PII: S 1 3 5 3 - 8 2 9 2 ( 0 0 ) 0 0 0 4 1 - 1
for vaccination and immunisation and for cervicalscreening, and for providing health promotion services
(including chronic disease management for asthma anddiabetes). Payments were also attached to the introduc-tion of services such as child health surveillance and
minor surgery that had previously been provided incommunity and secondary care settings. But researchsince 1990 has suggested that, whilst incentive paymentsincreased coverage, they did not necessarily ensure that
services became more equitably distributed in relation topopulation need. Some studies concluded that the newgeneral practitioner contract accelerated previous
trends, promoting investment in high-earning practices,serving affluent areas, where care is easier; otherssuggested that incentive payments did not break the
existing link between lack of capacity } particularlysingle-handed practices } and poor performance in thedelivery of services (Tudor Hart et al., 1991; Waller et
al., 1990; Baker and Klein, 1991; Gillam, 1992; Readinget al., 1994; Leese and Bosanquet, 1995; Lynch, 1995).Ten years on, a new era has dawned in the provision
of primary care, with the advent of primary care groups
(PCGs) in 1999. These are the 481 general practitionerand nurse led organisations that are responsible forplanning and developing services for their local popula-
tions (approximately 100,000 persons) within eachhealth authority in England. Recent government WhitePapers have set central policy objectives for the new
PCGs/Trusts that explicitly encompass health improve-ment and tackling inequality for their populations(Department of Health, 1998, 1999). The issue of equityin service provision is a core component of this agenda,
with the strong emphasis being placed on ‘fair access tohealth services in relation to people’s needs, irrespectiveof geography, class, ethnicity, age or sex’. It is in this
context that the research reported in this paper is set.We examined the coverage of minor surgery, child
health surveillance and health promotion (chronic
disease management) in relation to population needand key organisational features of general practice forpopulations of PCGs/Trusts. The focus of this study was
on the availability of these services rather than theachievement of target payments for immunisation andcervical screening, because the latter are essentiallymeasures of uptake as well as supply. They are likely to
reflect the health beliefs of patients and populationmobility, which could partially account for poorperformance in deprived inner city areas (Majeed et
al., 1994; Sutton et al., 1994; Jefferies et al., 1991). Theaims of the study were twofold. The first was to test forthe persistence of the inverse care law in circumstances
in which the coverage of chronic disease management,child health surveillance and minor surgery is known tobe widespread. The second was to develop a summary
measure of the distribution of these services relative toone another, so that the range of services available could
be compared between PCGs and between practiceswithin a PCG.
Methods
Aggregation of general practice data into primary care
groups
The main source of information about the activities of
general practitioners and the organisation and resour-cing of general practice is the bi-annually updatedGeneral Medical Services Statistics (GMS statistics),often referred to as the GP Census. Data are collected
for approximately 30,000 GP principals and 10,000practices in England and Wales. For the purpose of thisstudy we used the 1998 data set. The information
required for this study was aggregated into PCGs usingan early version of the National Database for PrimaryCare Groups and Trusts (www.npcrdc.man.ac.uk). This
is a database that has linked population socio-economicand demographic characteristics from the 1991 Censusto GMS statistics for all PCGs in England. Out of 9090practices, 8904 (98%) could be allocated to PCGs using
this database. The 2% loss was likely to be due toinaccuracies in practice postcodes.
Measures of service provision
For each practice, we recorded whether each of fourservices was available to patients registered at thatpractice. These services were: chronic disease manage-
ment for asthma, and similarly for diabetes, child healthsurveillance for the under-fives, and minor surgerysessions.
Practice characteristics
Practice characteristics were selected on the basis thatthey have, in previous analyses, been closely associated
with variations in the outputs of primary care. Thesecharacteristics were: whether the practice was single-handed, whether it was a training practice, whether therewas a female partner at the practice, and the average list
size per whole-time-equivalent (WTE)1 partner. Mea-sures of single-handedness and training status were thenderived for each PCG. These were the percentage of
practices (within the PCG) with these characteristics. Ameasure of the presence of a female general practitionerwas derived as the percentage of WTE principals who
1Information on GP principal time commitment is available
from the GP Census. Each GP is classified as either full-time,
three-quarter time, half-time or job share (assumed to be half-
time).
D. Baker, M. Hann / Health & Place 7 (2001) 67–7468
were female. The average PCG list size per WTE GP wasalso calculated.
Population need
A calculation derived from the Jarman Index (Jar-man, 1983) was used as a measure of population need,
since this index combines indicators of sources of needthat reflect the demographic characteristics of thepopulation (e.g. elderly living alone, children under five)
as well as their socio-economic circumstances. It is alsothe measure of need that is most consistently availablefor the registered populations of general practices. Wecalculated a PCG-level score from the banded
‘deprivation payments’ for each general practice thatare based on the Jarman Index. Payments as of 1October 1998 were £11.40 for heavily deprived, £8.55 for
medium and £6.55 for marginal. PCG-level needs scoreswere calculated as follows:
where summations are over all practices in the PCG.
Measuring levels of service provision in PCGs
All 481 PCGs in England were used in the analysis.Fifty (of 8904) practices were excluded from the
analysis, as their average list size (per WTE principal)was less than 200.In order to compare the levels of overall service
provision within PCGs, a score based on the availabilityof all four services was calculated using an item responsemodel. A one-parameter Rasch model (Rabe-Hesketh et
al., 2000) was fitted to the four binary service indicatorsusing the procedure GLLAMM,2 in the statisticalsoftware package STATA (version 6). A two-parametermodel was then fitted,3 which allowed us in addition to
estimate the relative importance of each service in itsability to discriminate between practices with differentlevels of provision. Using these ‘factor loadings’ or
‘weights’ it was thus possible to discriminate betweenpractices who offer the same number of services, wherethis is at least one, and fewer than all four. The greatest
weightings were assigned to asthma and diabetes,
indicating that the model identified these two servicesas being the most important when discriminating
between practices with the highest levels of serviceprovision, and those with the lowest. This was mostlikely to be because the provision of chronic disease
management for asthma and diabetes is likely to beclosely related, with one of the services only rarely beingoffered without the other. The model also estimated howmany (latent) classes of practice existed. In this case
there were two latent classes containing 93% and 7% ofpractices, which could be described as ‘better thanaverage’ and ‘poor’ respectively. Practice service scores
were estimated from the residuals of the model. Thesepractice scores were re-scaled so that they ranged from 0to 10, and were then averaged over all practices within a
PCG, to give a PCG-level service score out of 10. Thesescores were correlated with measures of practicecharacteristics and population ‘need’, for the whole of
England, and, for each of the eight regional healthauthorities in England, using Spearman’s rank correla-
tion coefficient, adjusted for tied ranks. A number of the
variables of interest were highly skewed, which sug-gested that the use of Pearson’s correlation would havebeen inappropriate.
Results
Table 1 shows that the coverage of the four servicesexamined in this study was widespread, with over 90%
providing chronic disease management for asthma, fordiabetes and child health surveillance. Seven thousandand twelve practices (79.2%) offered all four services,
1063 (12%) offered three, 496 (5.6%) offered two, 177(2%) one and 106 (1.2%) none.
PCG service scores
Table 2 shows the distribution of PCG service scores,
comparing the unweighted one-parameter model, whichjust reflects the level of availability of the four services,and the weighted two-parameter model, that weights theprovision of chronic disease management for asthma
and diabetes more highly than the other two services.One-hundred (21.2%) PCGs had all services provided
in all their practices. The average PCG score in the
unweighted model was 9.0, with 60% of PCGs havingan above- average score. Sixty-five (13.5%) PCGs scoredunder 8, well below average, with 24 (5%) scoring
under 7. The average PCG score in the weighted two-parameter model was 9.3, with, again, 60% of all PCGs
�11:40
Xpatients living in heavily deprived areasþ8:55
Xmediumþ 6:55
Xmarginal
� X.all registered patients;
2GLLAMM fits generalised linear latent and mixed models
(see Rabe-Hesketh et al., 2000).3A likelihood ratio chi-squared statistic of 819.01 (3 degrees
of freedom, p5 0.001) was observed when fitting this model,
suggesting that it is a better fit to the data than the one-
parameter alternative. The two-parameter model is therefore
more appropriate for this data set, and service scores obtained
from this model are likely to be more reliable.
D. Baker, M. Hann / Health & Place 7 (2001) 67–74 69
scoring above average, but a much smaller numberscoring under 8 (30 : 6.4%) and only 4 (0.8%) scoringunder 7. There was a strong regional bias amongst those
PCGs scoring under 8 in the weighted model, with 2 in 3located in London and its suburbs.As this model was found to be more reliable, only
these service scores will be used from this point forward.
Relationship between PCG service scores, practicecharacteristics and population need
Table 3 shows the correlation between PCG servicescores, population need and practice characteristics for
each of the eight English health regions. These resultsshow a stark contrast in patterns of correlation betweenLondon and the rest of the country, particularly thenorthern and northwest regions. In London the stron-
gest correlation was between population need and thePCG service score, indicating lower levels of serviceprovision in PCGs with a higher needs score
(r ¼ �0:41). But there was no relation between practicecharacteristics and PCG service score in London. Incontrast, in other health regions in England and, in
particular, the Northwest region, the strongest correla-tion was between a lower PCG service score and a higher
number of single-handed practices (r ¼ �0:56) and therewas a weak, although statistically significant correlation
with a lower number of training practices (r ¼ 0:26).There was no association between service scores andpopulation need in this region. A similar pattern was
observed in the Northern and Yorkshire region, theWest Midlands region and the Eastern region. Only inthe Trent region was there no association between PCGservice score and either population need or the selected
practice characteristics. These results must, however, beinterpreted with some caution, since despite the sig-nificance of the correlation coefficients, they are, for the
most part, weak.Further analysis of these data using regression
modelling to elaborate the relation between PCG service
scores, practice characteristics and population needwould not be meaningful, due to the skewed nature ofthese measures. We thus attempted to assess the
robustness of these findings using two further descriptiveanalyses. First, we considered the geographical locationof the 30 PCGs receiving the highest average deprivationpayments per capita and examined the relation between
this measure of population need and their correspondingweighted two-parameter service scores. In the second,we used case vignettes to observe patterns of service
provision in PCGs with contrasting ‘needs profiles’ indifferent parts of the country.Table 4 illustrates patterns of association between
levels of population need and PCG service scores. Itshows that high levels of need were not consistentlyassociated with lower levels of service provision and thatthis was predominantly a London-based phenomenon.
PCGs in the Manchester area (there are 3 listed) had(above) average service scores, as did PCGs from theWest Midlands (5). In contrast, London PCGs (13) did
not score as highly on the service scale; all PCGs hadbelow-average service scores.
Case vignettes
The following case vignettes illustrate patterns of
service provision within contrasting PCGs in the northand the south of England.Key: uw=unweighted score; w=weighted score;
£=deprivation payment.
South Camden (uw=6.22, w=8.37, £=6.05)South Camden is a London PCG with high popula-
tion need, serving a registered population of 123,013people. Its service scores are very low relative to themajority of other PCGs. There are 25 practices within
this PCG, 12 (48%) of which offer all four services (4offer 3, 7 offer 2, one each offer 1 and no services).Twenty-one (84%) practices offer a complete CDM
programme, and thus the low two-parameter servicescore is a result of the other four practices, three of
Table 1
Level of service provision in 8854 general practices in England
Practices providing service
Service Number Percentage
On-site care for asthma 8264 93.3
On-site care for diabetes 8245 93.1
Child health surveillance 8176 92.3
Minor surgery sessions 7712 87.1
Table 2
Frequency of unweighted and weighted PCG scores
One-parameter
model
Two-parameter
model
(weighted)
PCG ‘Service’ score Number (%) Number (%)
(all services in
all practices)
Exactly 10
102 (21.2) 102 (21.2)
9.50–9.99 100 (20.8) 162 (33.7)
9.00–9.49 103 (21.4) 104 (21.6)
8.00–8.99 111 (23.1) 83 (17.3)
7.00–7.99 41 (8.5) 26 (5.4)
Less than 7.00 24 (5.0) 4 (0.8)
D. Baker, M. Hann / Health & Place 7 (2001) 67–7470
which do not offer either asthma nor diabetes care, the
other offering only on-site care for diabetes. Of the threeformer practices, one is a multi-handed training practice,with an average list size (per WTE GP) of only 779. The
other two are relatively less well off, both being single-handed, non-training practices, with list sizes of around3000, and very high deprivation payments (£9.82 and
£8.32, respectively).
Manchester East (uw=9.12, w=9.99, £=6.05)Manchester East PCG is in the Northwest region. It is
somewhat of a contrast to South Camden } it too has ahigh level of population need, but also a high level ofservice provision. It serves a registered population of
122,159 people. Of the 25 practices, 16 (64%) offerall four services. Of the remaining 9 practices, all hada uw practice level service score that was belowaverage (mean=7.58) but an above-average w score
(mean=9.97). These different scores arose because thesepractices did not offer minor surgery sessions (8) or childhealth surveillance (1), but they all offered chronic
disease management for asthma and diabetes. All thesepractices had high levels of population need (meandeprivation payment per capita=£7.40); 5 were single-
handed, and of these single-handed practices 3 had listsizes over 2545.
Bradford City (uw=8.21, w=9.89, £=6.99)
Bradford is in the Northern and Yorkshire region. Itis another example of a PCG with high levels ofdeprivation, but good service provision. It is quite a
large PCG, serving a registered population of 141,950and with 41 practices. The characteristics of many of thepractices within this PCG are quite unfavourable; 27
(66%) are single-handed, only 1 is a training practice,and the average PCG list size per WTE GP is nearly
Table 3
Regional service scores and the correlation of PCG ‘service’ scores with practice characteristics and population need by regiona
Correlation of service scores with
Regional
service score
‘Single-
Handedness’
measure
‘Training’
measure
‘Female WTE’
measure Average list size
Population
need
England �0.49 (50.01) 0.36 (50.01) �0.17 (50.01) �0.38 (50.01) �0.31 (50.01)
Northern and
Yorkshire region
94.90 �0.34 (0.01) 0.34 (0.01) 0.00 (0.99) �0.20 (0.14) �0.04 (0.75)
Northwest region 94.00 �0.56 (50.01) 0.26 (0.03) 0.01 (0.92) �0.10 (0.42) �0.12 (0.35)
Trent region 94.91 �0.17 (0.22) 0.07 (0.65) 0.03 (0.84) �0.05 (0.73) �0.08 (0.57)
West Midlands region 94.13 �0.27 (0.04) 0.35 (50.01) �0.10 (0.43) �0.18 (0.16) �0.19 (0.14)
Eastern region 97.03 �0.36 (0.01) 0.28 (0.04) �0.05 (0.75) �0.21 (0.13) �0.10 (0.50)
Southeast region 95.55 �0.39 (50.01) 0.30 (50.01) 0.14 (0.22) �0.24 (0.03) �0.22 (0.05)
Southwest region 97.39 �0.41 (50.01) 0.24 (0.09) �0.24 (0.09) �0.35 (0.01) �0.25 (0.08)
London region 84.72 0.01 (0.92) �0.03 (0.84) 0.05 (0.69) �0.17 (0.17) �0.41 (50.01)
aFigures in parentheses are significance levels.
Table 4
The 30 most deprived PCGs and their service scores
PCG
Deprivation level
(maximum 11.40)
Two-parameter
service score
Tower Hamlets 9.49 7.79
Birmingham-5 8.53 9.99
Southwark North 7.72 7.52
City and Hackney 7.47 7.79
Bradford City 6.99 9.89
Newham 6.99 8.79
Lambeth North 6.91 7.42
Birmingham-8 6.75 9.55
Tottenham 6.28 7.03
Birmingham-4 6.21 8.63
Manchester East 6.05 9.99
South Camden 6.05 8.37
Manchester West 5.99 9.62
South Islington 5.79 6.61
Central West Liverpool 5.50 9.18
Bristol Inner City 5.25 8.54
North Kensington
and Paddington
5.16 8.66
Southwark South 4.82 8.40
Manchester North 4.71 9.71
North Islington 4.43 9.35
Birmingham-6 4.19 8.79
South Walsall 3.87 9.98
Nottingham City
Central
3.79 9.36
North West Liverpool 3.76 9.16
Brent Central 3.76 9.13
City Central Leicester 3.70 7.23
Hammersmith 3.67 7.65
Salford East 3.62 8.24
Nottingham City:
South and East
3.51 8.46
Rochdale 3.34 8.13
D. Baker, M. Hann / Health & Place 7 (2001) 67–74 71
2200. Twenty-two (54%) practices offer all four services,including 11 single handers. Fifteen of the remainder
offer 3 services, with the other four offering 2. The largenumber of practices not offering all services is why theuw score is relatively low. However, the w score is very
high, and this is because 40 of the 41 practices offer acomplete CDM programme; the other practice notoffering on-site care for asthma.
St. Albans (uw=8.25, w=8.18, £=0.00)This PCG is in the Eastern region and has 11 practices
which serve a population of 86,460. The practices havefairly favourable characteristics (no single handers,
average of 4 WTEs per practice, 7 training practices)and none of them receive deprivation payments for theirpatients. Nevertheless, the provision of primary care
services is, on average, very poor. Two practices do notoffer any CDM services, which appears to be a smallnumber, but in such a small PCG, is a relatively high
proportion. The other 9 practices offer all 4 services.
Trafford North (uw=6.51, w=7.20, deprivationpayment=£0.30)
Trafford North is a PCG in the Northwest region inwhich there is no evidence of high levels of populationneed. The provision of services is nevertheless relativelypoor, seemingly because of the high number of single-
handed practitioners. There are 23 practices in TraffordNorth PCG, serving a registered population of 95,158.Fourteen (61%) of these practices are single-handed and
only 1 is a training practice. Of the single-handedpractices, only 3 offered the full range of services and 3did not offer any of the services at all } none of these
practices received deprivation payments. Eight (57%) ofthese 14 single-handed practices failed to providecomplete chronic disease management services.
South Islington (uw=4.13, w=6.61, £=5.79)South Islington is a London PCG serving a popula-
tion of 71,890. There are 15 practices in South Islington,
4 (27%) of which are single-handed. All the practices inSouth Islington receive deprivation payments for theirregistered patients (range=£4.54–£7.47). Only 5 (33%)of the practices deliver the full range of services; of the
remaining 10, 3 practices do not provide any of theservices and 2 practices provide no chronic diseasemanagement. There is no particular relation in this PCG
between the availability of services and list size ornumber of partners. Four of the 10 practices that do notoffer the full range of services are single-handed, but
partnership size in the other 6 practices ranges from 2 to6; none of them are training practices.
Discussion
In the late 1990s, the coverage of chronic diseasemanagement, minor surgery and child health surveil-lance in PCGs in England is widespread. This study
found some evidence of the ‘inverse care’ law in theprovision of these services to the populations of PCGs,but this tended to be geographically specific rather thana systematic pattern across the country. The relation
between high levels of population ‘deprivation’, asmeasured by the Jarman Index, and relatively low levelsof availability for all four services was most apparent in
London PCGs with predominantly disadvantaged po-pulations. In contrast, similarly disadvantaged PCGpopulations in the Midlands (Birmingham) and in the
North (Manchester) had above-average levels of serviceprovision. This confirms the findings of some previouslocality-based studies carried out in Manchester in the
early 1980s and in Glasgow in the early 1990s. Thesestudies found no evidence that general practice indeprived inner city areas was poorer than in moreaffluent parts of the city (Wood, 1983; Wilkin et al.,
1984; Wyke et al., 1992).It appears from the findings in this study that the
geographical differences observed were related to under-
lying variation in the link between practice character-istics, particularly single-handedness, and levels ofservice provision. In London poorer levels of service
provision were not associated with single-handedpractice, but in PCGs outside London, and particularlyin the northwest, there was a weak to moderatecorrelation between them. This suggests that inequity
in the provision of primary care services in LondonPCGs will not necessarily be resolved by increasingpartnership size. Further work is required, using a wider
range of practice characteristics to examine whetherother practice ‘inputs’ are more closely associated withlevels of service provision in these PCGs. For example,
the availability of chronic disease management could bemore closely related to the number of nurses employedby the practice, rather than the number of doctors, since
clinics for the management of asthma and diabetes arecommonly nurse led (Barnes et al., 1994; Neville et al.,1996).
Methodological issues
PCG service score
A central part of this study was to develop a measurethat could summarise the presence or absence of a rangeof services at practice and at PCG level and also be able
to measure the distribution of these services in relationto one another. One- and two-parameter item responsemodels were used for this purpose. In the two-parameter
model, the provision of chronic disease management forasthma and diabetes was identified as discriminating
D. Baker, M. Hann / Health & Place 7 (2001) 67–7472
best between high and low levels of service provision andas a consequence, these services attracted a higher
weighting in the practice and PCG scores. A higherweighting of these two services made conceptual sense inthis study, because they are likely to be of most
relevance for health improvement for locality-basedpopulations of PCGs. But weights determined statisti-cally may not always be the best way of discriminatingbetween levels of provision for different services. There
may be good theoretical justification for weightingaccording to the importance of a service for achievingpolicy objectives, but this method would not have this
degree of flexibility, since weights cannot be forced intothe model.The main advantage of the method is that it produces
a score for PCGs and a score for each practice within aPCG allowing identification of variation both betweenand within PCGs along the same dimensions.
Measuring population needMuch has been written about the conceptual and
methodological limitations of the Jarman Index as a
measure of population need for use in primary care andthese will not be rehearsed again in this paper. The mainpoint of relevance for this study is that this measure does
incorporate both demographic and socio-economicsources of need, thus acknowledging that ‘need’ is notentirely defined by ‘deprivation’. But this also means
that the index cannot be regarded as a precise measureof deprivation (Hutchinson et al., 1987). Moreover,when the indicators forming the index are dis-aggre-
gated, they vary in the strength and even in the directionof the relation they have with measures of theavailability and uptake of primary care services (Bakeret al., 1994). A further disadvantage is that such an
index constrains any allowance for need to a predeter-mined set of variables and a weighting that may not beappropriate for the specific purposes concerned (Carr-
Hill, 1999). More work is required to develop a measurethat can reflect more precisely the balance of differentsources of need in locality-based populations.
Conclusions and implications for future research
This study shows that, in the late 1990s, coverage ofchronic disease management for asthma and diabetes,child health surveillance and minor surgery in general
practice is widespread. In these circumstances, there waslittle systematic evidence of a strong relation betweenservice provision and population need; rather the
‘inverse care law’ appeared to be geographically specificand particularly pronounced for London PCGs. Poorlevels of service provision in these PCGs were however
no longer related to factors indicative of lack ofcapacity, such as single-handed practice, although this
was the pattern in other parts of the country. In the lightof geographical variation in the provision of primary
care observed in this study, policies directed at ensuringthe equitable provision of primary care services may wellbe more effective if they are devised at PCG or at health
authority level, to address local needs. Future researchcould productively focus on more localised studies,learning lessons from PCGs where the supply of primarycare services is meeting high levels of population need.
The ‘service scores’ developed in this study wouldprovide a means for PCGs to examine the balance ofservice provision for practices within their boundaries
and their relation to a range of practice inputs.
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