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Page 1: Gender Differences in Risk Preferences of Children … differences in... · Gender Differences in Risk Preferences of ... and boys, who are taught to be ... Odean «Boys will be boys:

Gender Differences in Risk Preferences of Children and Adults

Kamila Sharifullina

Alexis Belianin

Vadim Petrovsky

Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia

JEL classification: C91, D8, J16

In this paper we explore the sources of gender differences in risk aversion, which is known to be higher among women than among men. Many reasons may exist for this difference, including biological explanation, according to which gender differences in attitudes towards risk are genetically predetermined; or socio-cultural explanation, which derives them from differences in breeding and educational strategies of girls, who are told to be quite and obedient, and boys, who are taught to be brave and fearless. While we cannot disentangle these hypotheses at the present stage of our research, we set up and conduct a novel experiment which tests the null hypothesis that differences in risk aversion of women and men are innate, vs. the alternative hypothesis that these are being formed gradually. We compare risk attitudes of young children aged 3-7 to those of adults aged 18-23. Our results show that boys and girls are indistinguishable in their risk behaviour, while adult group illustrates that men are significantly more risky that women when properly (financially) motivated. Thus, the hypothesis of innate differences may be rejected.

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In this paper we study the changes with age of gender differences in the levels and

dynamics of risk preferences. Numerous studies (Eckel and Grossman, 2008, Holt

and Laury, 2002, Powell and Ansic, 2002, Booth and Nolen, 2009, Schubert et al,

1999 etc) investigate the differences in risk attitudes between men and women, and

typical finding is that risk aversion is higher for women than for men. Recent

experimental research has also shown that the degree of gender differences in risk

preferences may be influenced by the context in which the decisions are made

(Schubert et al, Powell and Ansic, Eckel and Grossman), such as competition

(Gneezy et al, 2009, Niederle and Vesterlung, 2008, Booth and Nolen, 2009),

confidence in estimating self-abilities (Barber and Odean, 2001) and behaviour in

ambiguity context (Gysler et al, 2002).

A more fundamental question, however, is why such gender differences in risk

preferences exist at all, and – to rephrase it – when they are formed. There exists at

least two competing explanations. Social (or socio-cultural) theory of risk

preferences formation argues that when boys are raised up, they are told that they

should be brave, strong and fearless, while girls are taught to be quiet, obedient and

accurate. Such stereotypes are likely to start working at the early preschool age

(around 3-5 years). Alternative, biological theory would claim that such differences

are ultimately predetermined by differences in genetic code of men and women,

which may be manifested in hormonal changes at puberty. In this paper we do not

test whether biological and socio-cultural explanations are more important, focusing

at first on a simpler hypothesis: is it the case that gender differences in risk

attitudes are innate, or are these formed with age? To test this hypothesis, it is

necessary to design an experimental measure of risk that would be understandable

to small children (of kindergarden age, 3-6 years old), as well as to adults, and test

these two cohorts for the presence of gender effect.

We conduct a novel experiment which solves exactly this task. In a sheet of A4

paper, starting from one of its angles, we draw 9 diagonal parallel lines, which split

the corner area of the sheet into 8 diagonal sectors of different width, the largest

one being in the corner. Subjects have to put a pen mark in one of these sectors,

then close her/his eyes, lift her/his hand with a pen from the sheet for 30

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centimeters, and try to hit the mark, but necessarily the chosen sector without

opening eyes. The narrower the sector, the more difficult is the task, and thus the

higher is risk tolerance of the subject. As incentives, we used balloons for small

children (18 girls and 23 boys aged 3-7, recruited in Moscow kindergardens), and

experimented with incentives (none, stationery prizes and real money) for 63

women and 43 men students aged 18 to 23. To separate risk preferences from

aspiration level, we gave each subject five attempts, and use several measures of

risk stemming from this design. For the adult audience, our risk measure has been

compared with standard ones, such as Holt and Laury, 2002 and self-assessed risk

tolerance, which yield qualitatively similar results.

Preliminary results (data are still being collected) confirm our null hypothesis:

average risk attitudes of kindergarden boys and girls are statistically

indistinguishable, while men are significantly (at 1% confidence by the Wilcoxon-

Mann-Whitney test) more risky than women under conditions of financial motivation.

This evidence is in line with standard evidence (including recent all-Russian

representative survey of risk preferences, which is also being worked out by the

authors), and confirms the null hypothesis that differences in risk preferences in the

mean are being formed at school age, but not before. Further analysis of our data in

a simple regression framework shows that successes at the previous hit lead to

smaller increase in risk-taking among all considered groups (of different age and

gender dimensions), while failures at the previous hit have significant effect on risk

taking only for young boys. To summarize, our experiment provides evidence

against the hypothesis of innate gender differences in risk aversion. At the same

time, it points out at the significant role of incentives, sample composition (one of

our adult groups consisted of highly motivated female participants who have

revealed unusually high risk preferences), as well as difference with gender and age

in strategies in response to successful or unsuccessful previous risky choices, which

calls for further research.

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References

Barber, Odean «Boys will be boys: gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment», Quaterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 116 (1), pp. 261-292

Booth A.L., Nolen P.G. (2009) «Gender differences in risk behaviour: does nurture matter?» IZA Discussion Paper No. 4026

Borghans L., Golsteyn B.H.H, Heckman J.J, Meijers H. (2009) «Gender differences in risk aversion and ambiguity aversion», NBER Working Papers 14713, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Eckel C., Grossman P., «Forecasting risk attitudes: An experimental study using actual and forecast gamble choice», Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization (2008), Vol. 68, Issue: 1, Publisher: Elsevier, Pages: 1-17

Gneezy U., Leonard K.L., List J.A. (2009) «Gender differences in competition:evidence from a matrilineal and a patriarchical society», Econometrica, 77, 5, 1637-1664.

Gysler M., Kruse J.B., Schubert R. (2002) «Ambiguity and Gender Differences in Financial Decision Making: An Experimental Examination of Competence and Confidence Effects», Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Center for Economic Research, (2002), CER-ETH Economics working paper series with number 02/23,

Hartog J., Ferer-i-Camponell A., Jonker N. (2002) «Linking measured risk aversion to individual characteristics», Kyklos, Volume 55, Issue 1, pages 3–26

Holt C.A., Laury S. (2002) «Risk aversion and incentive effects» Andrew Young School of Policy Studies Research Paper Series No. 06-12

Jianakoplos N., Bernasek A., «Are women more risk-averse?», working paper, Colorado State University, March 1996

Niederle M. and Vesterlund L. (2008) «Gender Differences in Competition», Neotiation Journal, Volume 24, Issue 4, pages 447–463

Powell M., Ansic D. «Gender differences in risk behaviour in financial decision-making: An experimental analysis», Journal of Economic Psychology, 18 (6), 605-28.

Schubert R., Brown M., Gysler M., Brachinger H.W., Financial Decision-Making: Are

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Women Really More Risk-Averse?, American Economic Review. May 1999, Vol. 89, No. 2: Pages 381-385

PricewaterhouseCoopers и Ассоциация менеджеров России (2011) ”Карьерные возможности женщин в бизнес-среде”.