gees conference – 25 june 2007 recruitment to he: patterns and issues anthony mcclaran chief...
TRANSCRIPT
GEES Conference – 25 June 2007
Recruitment to HE:
Patterns and Issues
Anthony McClaran
Chief Executive
Overview
Setting the scene UCAS today Admissions trends
Changes and challenges
Questions and answers
Setting the scene
Established central role in UK admissions providing a wide-ranging, impartial service to schools, applicants and HEIs
UCAS is the central application agency for full-time Undergraduate degree courses Foundation degree courses HND courses HNC courses Diploma of Higher Education courses Certificate of Higher Education courses
Setting the scene
UCAS today
“The UCAS system is sophisticated and allows for many different routes. Its advantages for both applicants and institutions are that it eliminates duplication of effort, and provides a fair and consistent framework within which both applicants and institutions can compete.”
Wikipedia
Setting the scene
1966 2006
90,900 applicants 500,596
44,500 acceptances 383,061
63 institutions 325
GTTR – CUKAS
Setting the scene
Information and advice CPD Programme
Marketing services Publications
UCAS Card Website
Data & statistics Consultancy
Liaison with sector bodies/ Conferences & conventionsDevelopment of HE policy
Qualifications& curriculum development
Setting the scene
UCAS applicants and acceptances 1996-2006
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Year of entry
Applicants
Acceptances
Source: UCAS Data and Information Unit
Admissions levels
Setting the scene
Source: UCAS Data and Information Unit
Upward trend continues:
Applications received by 21 May 2006: 447,763
Applications received by 21 May 2007: 470,158
% increase (2007 over 2006): 5.0%
Source: UCAS Data and Information Unit
Setting the scene
Applicants by subject areas
2002 2005 2006
Medicine & dentistry 13,644 22,039 21,590
Subjects allied to medicine 26,082 41,441 42,195
Social studies 25,386 37,109 36,627
Creative arts and design 48,365 59,547 55,970
Physical sciences (including physical geography, geology & environmental
studies) 13,635 14,384 14,499
Linguistics & Classics 11,086 12,907 12,583
Maths & computer sciences 34,136 26,250 24,722
Source: UCAS Data and Information Unit
Setting the scene
Changes and challenges
Overview
Demographic change
The Leitch Report
14-19 curriculum
Foundation degrees
Differentiation
International recruitment
Post Qualification Application (PQA)
600,000
650,000
700,000
750,000
800,000
850,000
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Changes and challenges
Source: The Knowledge Partnership
Demographic change
2005 to 2028 projected 18 year old population
Changes and challenges The Leitch Report
“Prosperity for all in the global economy: world class skills” (December 2006)
4 objectives for 2020
i. 95% of adults to achieve the basic skills of functional literacy and numeracy
ii. More than 90% of adults qualified to at least Level 2
iii. Shifting the balance of intermediate skills from Level 2 to Level 3
iv. Exceeding 40% of adults qualified to Level 4 and above
Changes and challenges
Objective iv: Exceeding 40% of adults qualified to Level 4 and above
Up from 29% in 2005 with a commitment to continue progression
Unlikely to be achieved by further expansion of current model of HE
Rebalance the priorities of HEIs to make available relevant, flexible and responsive provision that meets the high skills needs of employers and their staff
Changes and challengesHighest qualification held by young accepted applicants to full-time degree courses, 2004 entry (% of applicants accepted with these different qualifications/combinations at different types of institutions)
Qualification Russell Group university
Other Pre-92 university
Post-92 university
HE or FE college
L3 voc qual (BTEC, AVCE)
3.2 11.2 19.9 30.1
GCE A Level only 71.2 64.5 58.9 49.1
L3 qual but no GCE A Level
2.8 7.5 11.4 17.0
L3 voc – BTEC, AVCE A/AS or AVCE double, but no GCE A Level
0.5 3.7 8.6 13.1
Numbers 60,573 67,756 184,324 20,865
Source: UCAS special analysis provided for Action on Access
Changes and challenges
14-19 curriculum
A* A level grades
Diplomas
How will HE react to Diplomas?
14-19 HE Engagement Project Board
Changes and challenges
Foundation Degrees
Continue to rise in popularity but still only account for low
percentage of applicants to HE
Applications received by 24 March 2006: 23,506
Applications received by 24 March 2007: 28,567
% increase (2007 over 2006): 21.50%
Source: UCAS Data and Information Unit
Changes and challenges
100%
95%
90%
85%
80%
75%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
’92 ’94 ’96 ’98 ’00 ’02 ’04 ’05
Source: Inter Board Statistics 2005
28.8%
A - E
A
96.2%
Differentiation Percentage of A level Scripts Achieving Grades
Changes and challenges
Differentiation
14 – 19 curriculum changes
New forms of evidence
Unit grades
Admissions tests
Changes and challenges
International recruitment
Numbers increasing year-on-year Fraud and verification Financial implications Perception that international students take HEFCE-
funded places Competition from other countries providing HE UCAS International Board
Changes and challenges International recruitment
Overseas acceptances
Area of domicile
2001 2003 2005 2006
Home 325,472 333,942 360,244 345,564
EU 12,175 12,572 17,247 18,280
Other overseas
20,392 27,793 27,878 27,046
Total 358,041 374,307 405,369 390,890
Source: UCAS Data and Information Unit
Changes and challenges International recruitment
Country 2003 2005 2006
China 6,114 4,848 4,502
Ireland 2,874 3,186 2,675
France 2,029 2,168 2,388
Hong Kong 2,200 2,136 2,360
Nigeria 1,675 3,187 2,078
Germany 1,675 2,002 2,077
Cyprus 782 1,724 2,022
Malaysia 1,871 1,895 1,698
Poland 85 1,034 1,555
Greece 1,690 1,498 1,521
Overseas acceptances by top ten contributing countries in 2006
Source: UCAS Data and Information Unit
Changes and challenges
Post Qualification Application (PQA)
Present system based on predicted examination results
Implementation of PQA long-delayed by logistical and
political issues
Supported by Schwartz
“The Steering Group wholeheartedly supports a move to PQA”
Professor Steven Schwartz - September
2004
Consultation process
Delivery Partnership with Steering Group
Future challenges and changes
Post Qualification Application (PQA)
What are we trying to do with admissions?
freedom v assurance (mutual commitment) institutions’ interest v applicants’ interest ‘gathered field’ v ‘first come – first served’ speed of processingv time for good decision making
“the need to balance technical against human consideration has been a continuous theme in our office and committee considerations”
Ronald Kay, General Secretary, UCCA, 1985
Future challenges and changes
Post Qualification Application (PQA)
Delivery Partnership: Sector wide representation Steering group Initial proposals:
I. Choices reduced - 6 down to 5
II. Re-brand and re-launch Extra and Entry Profiles
Longer-term proposals:
I. ‘Gathered field’ and ‘trade-up week’
II. Integration of Entry Profiles
III. Route B
IV. Integration of access courses and qualifications
Any Questions
??Anthony McClaran, Chief Executive
Rosehill, New Barn LaneCheltenham GL52 3LZt: +44 (0) 1242 544990f: +44 (0) 1242 544959
GEES Conference – 25 June 2007