gazprom: 3q2019 ifrs results...5 3q2019 ifrs results 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000...

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GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS NOVEMBER 29, 2019

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Page 1: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

13Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTSNOVEMBER 29, 2019

Page 2: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

23Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

Alexey Finikov

Deputy Head of Department

Page 3: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

33Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

DISCLAIMER

This presentation has been prepared by PJSC Gazprom (the “Company”), and comprises the slides for a presentation to investors

concerning the Company. This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of

any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any shares or other securities representing shares in the Company, nor shall it or any part of it nor

the fact of its presentation or distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision.

Any viewer of this presentation considering a purchase of such securities is hereby reminded that any such purchase should be made

solely on the basis of the information contained in the prospectus or other offering document prepared in relation thereto and will be

subject to the selling restrictions set out therein. The information in this presentation should not be treated as investment advice. Care

has been taken to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate, and that the opinions expressed are fair and

reasonable. However, the contents of this presentation have not been verified by the Company. Accordingly, no representation or

warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its members, directors, officers or employees or

any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in or discussed at this

presentation. None of the Company or any of their respective members, directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts

any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection

therewith.

The information in this presentation includes forward-looking statements, such statements may also occur during the Q&A session.

These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts, statements regarding the Company’s intentions,

beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company’s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity,

prospects, growth, strategies, and the industry in which the Company operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks

and uncertainties, including, without limitation, the risks and uncertainties to be set forth in the prospectus, because they relate to

events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The Company cautions you that forward looking

statements are not guarantees of future performance and that its actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the

development of the industry in which the Company operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-

looking statements contained in this presentation. In addition, even if the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and

liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements

contained in this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in future periods.

The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change

without notice. No person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein.

By attending the presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations.

Page 4: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

43Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

3Q2019 MARKET ENVIRONMENT

+2.1%

HIGHLIGHTS

• GAZPROM PRICES IN EUROPE IN 3Q19 WERE HIGHER THAN GAS SPOT PRICES

• AFTER HITTING THE BOTTOM IN 3Q19 GAS SPOT PRICES REBOUNDED.

IN 4Q19 SPOT PRICES INCREASED BY 90% UP-TO-DATE

AVERAGE GAS PRICES

USD/mcm

65.5364.56

60

62

64

66

3Q2018 3Q2019

-1.5%

END OF PERIOD EUR/RUB EXCHANGE RATE

WEATHER INDEX IN EUROPE

71.8

70.370

71

72

Jun 30, 2019 Sept 30, 2019

-2.1%

AVERAGE USD/RUB EXCHANGE RATE

• RUBLE

STRENGTHENING BY

1.5% Y-O-Y WAS NOT

FAVORABLE FOR

EBITDA MARGIN

• DURING 3Q2019 RUBLE

STRENGTHENED VS

EURO BY 2.1% WHICH

RESULTED IN

FX GAIN

0

100

200

300

Ряд1TTF 1 Month Ahead

Page 5: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

53Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

1,622

371212

436270

-166

2,467

-500

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Sales EBITDA Net profit CAPEX Operating CF adj. FCF adj. Net debt adj.1 2 3 4

3Q2019 KEY FINANCIALS

1 EBITDA adjusted for changes in impairment provisions

2 Profit attributable to PJSC Gazprom’s shareholders for the period

3 Cash capital expenditures

4 Compared to Net debt as of June 30, 2019

3Q2018 vs 3Q2019

Adjusted for analytical purposes*

*In order to reflect the effects of the changes in bank deposits (reported as

part of Other current assets and Other non-current assets)

-16%

RUB bn

-44%-45% +9% -33%

+19%

Page 6: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

63Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

33

77 84

42 37

3,8314,140 4,141 4,020 4,051

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

0

25

50

75

100

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

VOLUMES AVERAGE PRICE IN RUSSIA

69

113 117

6271

0

50

100

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

NET SALES TO FSU

729811 837

596

450

0

200

400

600

800

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

NET SALES TO EUROPE & OC

GAS BUSINESS

RUB/mcmbcm

RUB bn

Calculations may differ due to rounding.

1 Net of value added tax (VAT)

2 OC - other countries, including LNG sales

3 VAT is not charged on export sales

4 Net of custom duties and excise tax on gas exports

bcm USD/mcm

1 3,4

Russia Europe & OC 2 FSU

USD/mcmbcm

RUB bn RUB bn

3,4

128

318349

169148

0

100

200

300

400

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

NET SALES TO RUSSIA

+15%

57 58 62 56 54

251274

259

208

170

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

0

20

40

60

80

100

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

VOLUMES AVERAGE PRICE IN EUROPE & OC

(38%)

7

11 12

7 8

181 176 167155 150

0

50

100

150

200

0

5

10

15

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

VOLUMES AVERAGE PRICE IN FSU

+3%

Page 7: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

73Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

41%

54%

5%

800 778697 729 739

0

200

400

600

800

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

46%

49%

6%

CRUDE OIL AND GAS CONDENSATE; REFINED PRODUCTS

GAS BUSINESS, TRANSPORTATION AND OTHER REVENUES

ELECTRICITY AND HEAT

Crude oil and gas condensate; refined products sales

OIL AND ENERGY BUSINESS

Calculations may differ due to rounding.

1 Net of value added tax (VAT), excise tax and custom duties.

Total sales1 breakdown

RUB bn

3Q2018 3Q2019

Electricity and heat sales

(8%)

88

160 173

104 95

0

100

200

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

+9%

RUB bn

Page 8: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

83Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

401

448

441

347

436

200

300

400

500

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

CAPITAL EXPENDITURES

Cash CAPEX (RUR bn)

CONSTANT COST CONTROL AND CAPEX OPTIMIZATION

MOST PART OF CAPEX NOMINATED IN RUBLES

+9%

26.7 26.3

25.324.9

25.6

15

20

25

30

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

LTM Cash CAPEX (USD bn)

+3%

Page 9: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

93Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

Changes in working capital (a part of Operating cash flows)

include changes in ST bank deposits

Operating cash flows and Free cash flow need to be adjusted

for changes in ST bank deposits for analytical purposes

IMPACT OF BANK DEPOSITS

Impact of bank deposits on Net debt:

Bank deposits are NOT included in Сash and cash

equivalents

Net Debt and Net Debt/EBITDA need to be adjusted for

bank deposits for analytical purposes

ST and LT bank deposits volumes

Applying of LT and ST bank deposits is aimed at improving the efficiency of liquidity management

328

796 766

487391

2

1 1

0

0

0

200

400

600

800

2017 2018 1Q2019 2Q2019 3Q2019ST DEPOSITS LT DEPOSITS

330

798

243

510

-30

-279

-96

-300

0

300

600

2017 2018 1Q2019 2Q2019 3Q2019

RUB bn

RUB bn

Early withdrawal clause

Deposit term of over 3 months

Key features of bank deposits2:

ST bank deposits changes

Impact of changes in ST bank deposits on Cash flows:

1 Source: Gazprom 3Q2019 IFRS report, note 13

2 Reported as a part of Other current assets and Other non-current assets

767

487

391

Page 10: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

103Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

1,526 1,5261,623

1,218

1,641

115

405308

1,623

405

1,218 1,225

-7-100

100

300

500

700

900

1,100

1,300

1,500

1,700

1,900

2,100

REPORTED AS A PART OF CHANGES IN WORKING CAPITAL

9M2019 ADJUSTED FREE CASH FLOW BREAKDOWN

RUB bn

CHANGES IN BANK DEPOSITS NEUTRAL FCF ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN ST DEPOSITS IN 9M2019

OCF before

working

capital

changes

Changes in working

capital excl.

changes in

ST deposits

Changes in

ST depositsTax paid OCF reported

Adjustments for the

decrease of

ST deposits

OCF adj. CAPEX FCF adj.

Page 11: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

113Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

59.3

14.9

44.4

6.1 0.00

38.3

1.3

1.1

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

0

20

40

60

Total Debt Cash &

equivalents

Net Debt

reported

ST deposits LT deposits Net Debt

adjusted

Net Debt/EBITDA

KEY DEBT METRICS

3Q2019 adjusted Net Debt structure1 Total Debt breakdown

by currency

Cash, cash equivalents,

bank deposits breakdown

by currency

1 Net Debt adjusted for the bank deposits reported as a part of Other current assets and Other non-current assets (see Slide 9 for details). Based on calculations in USD.

RUB

23%

USD

22%

EUR

47%

Other

8%

Total Debt maturity profile, 3Q2019Net Debt adjusted for bank deposits1

RUB

55%

USD

17%

EUR

25%

Other

3%

USD bn

USD bn

14%16%

46%

24%

2Q2019Less than 1 year 1-2 years 2-5 years More than 5 years

28.835.9 31.9

38.3

17.9

20.8 23.721.0

1.51.4

0.8

1.1

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

0

20

40

60

80

100

2016 2017 2018 3Q2019

Net Debt adj. Cash & equivalents (incl. deposits) Net Debt adj./EBITDA

Page 12: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

123Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

0.36

2.393.85

8.97

5.997.2 7.2

7.89 8.0397 8.04

16.61

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

NEW DIVIDEND POLICY

1% 7% 9% 16% 12% 15% 107% 24% 20% 27% 27%

% Payout ratio

RUB / share

1 Dividends based on the results of the respective year

1

50% of IFRS Net income (adj.) in 2022Target payout level:

• Management Committee on dividend policy is

planned on 5th December, 2019

• Meeting of the Board of Directors in

December, 2019

• Net income adjustments for

non – cash items

• Dividends are not to be linked to DPS of

the previous year

• ENHANCING OF TRANSPARENCY AND PREDICTABILITY

• SHAREHOLDERS RETURNS GROWTH

In 2020 dividend payment is to be based on the new policy

Page 13: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

133Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

UNIQUE

FUNDAMENTALS

BUSINESS

GROWTH

STRONGER

FINANCIAL

OUTLOOK

CONSERVATIVE

FINANCIAL POLICY,

COSTS CONTROL

IMPROVING FCF

PROFILE

DIVIDEND GROWTH

POTENTIAL

STRATEGIC TRANSFORMATIVE

PROJECTS

(CAPEX PEAK IN 2018 - 2019)

BUSINESS GROWTH IN GAS

AND OIL SEGMENTS;

FURTHER GROWTH POTENTIAL

PRODUCTION AND EXPORT

GROWTH.

OUTSTANDING

RESOURCE BASE

AND INFRASTRUCTURE

HIGH COMPETITIVENESS OF

GAZPROM’S GAS. RECORD HIGH

EXPORTS, LOW COST BASE

WORLD LARGEST PRODUCER AND

EXPORTER OF NATURAL GAS –

THE CLEANEST FOSSIL FUEL

INVESTMENT CASEFROM PEAK INVESTMENTS TO HIGHER FCF

Page 14: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

143Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

Page 15: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

153Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

111.7

133.5 137.0122.3

109.4

0

50

100

150

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

9.9

45.451.4

18.6

11.6

0

20

40

60

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

12.7 12.0 11.6 12.2 12.5

0

5

10

15

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

3.7

4.4 4.44.1

3.7

0

2

4

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

Crude oilGas condensate

Gazprom Group’s volumes produced in Russia

Calculations may differ due to rounding.

mt mt1% (2%)

PRODUCTION

31.0

41.244.1

34.630.4

0

20

40

3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19

Electricity Heat

bn kWh mn Gcal(2%) 17%

Natural gas

bcm(2%)

Page 16: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

163Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

RUSSIAN NATURAL GAS BALANCE16

Bcm 2017 2018 3Q2018 3Q2019

Natural gas resources 770.29 810.64 175.33 176.39

Domestic gas production 691.19 725.41 166.96 166.85

Other sources including Central Asian and Azerbaijani gas 25.33 23.49 6.00 7.19

Gas withdrawn from underground storage in Russia, Latvia and Europe 50.45 59.33 1.59 1.66

Decrease in the amount of gas within the gas transportation system 3.31 2.42 0.78 0.69

Natural gas distribution 770.29 810.64 175.33 176.39

Domestic consumption 468.01 493.18 90.58 88.52

including needs of the gas transportation system

and underground storages37.81 40.55 9.36 8.30

Gas pumped into underground storages 53.02 56.17 25.35 22.71

Gas for LNG production 15.46 20.94 3.04 10.65

Foreign supplies 197.40 200.29 49.17 46.48

FSU supplies 32.88 36.70 6.56 7.27

Increase in the amount of gas within the gas transportation system 3.52 3.07 0.62 0.77

Source: Company Operating Data

Page 17: GAZPROM: 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS...5 3Q2019 IFRS RESULTS 1,622 371 212 436 270-166 2,467-500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sales EBITDA 1 Net profit 2 CAPEX 3 Operating CF adj. FCF adj

173Q2019 IFRS RESULTS

THANK YOU!