game analysis powerpoint presentation
TRANSCRIPT
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Game analysis A road map to winIradge Ahrabi-Fard University of Northern Iowa
Mark Jacobson University of Northern IowaJose Manuel Palao, Spain
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What are statistics? Stats are a numerical study of the players' and
teams' actions in order to make decisions based on their abilities
Volleyball Analysis
Theoretical Review
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Reference values (trainingand competition)
New perspective forgame analysis
Volleyball analysis (Proposal)
Serve (S) At tack (A) Block (B) Op. errors (E)
Team As Points = S + A + B + E
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Ex. Box score
Purpose of statistics => Objective idea of player and team actions in competition
Info to press and fans
Occurrence and efficacy of skills
Analysis of actions in relation to
their effect on the game and the
following action
Own team
Volleyball Analysis
Theoretical Review
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Winning Philosophical StrategyEarn point to get to30/25 sooner than the opponent
Stop or slow down the opponent point earning to reach30/25 before your team
Both game strategies are important. Unless a
team develops an effective capability to earn
point while stopping or slowing down the
opponent to get to 30/25 sooner, winning
cannot be predictable
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Serve (S) Attack (A) Block (B) Opponent errors (E)
Team's Points = Serve + Attack + Block + Opp. Errors
WAYS TO OBTAIN POINTS IN VOLLEYBALL
Volleyball Analysis
Theoretical Review
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Team As Points > Team Bs Points
Serve (S) Attack (A) Block (B) Op. errors (E)
Team As Points = S + A + B + E
Serve (S) Attack (A) Block (B) Op. errors (E)
Team Bs Points = S + A + B + E
Volleyball Analysis
Theoretical Review
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Analyzing the official score stat sheet (new method)
New method of stat gathering design
Serve (S) Attack (A) Block (B) Op. errors (E)
Team As Points = S + A + B + E
Serve (S) Attack (A) Block (B) Op. errors (E)
Team Bs Points = S + A + B + E
Volleyball Analysis
Theoretical Review
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Analyzing the official score stat sheet
(with a more details method)
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Ind. effort
Teams points = Serve + Attack + Block + Op. Errors
Serve (S) Attack (A) Block (B) Opp. errors (E)
Unforced error
(serve E & BHE)
Forced error
Attack E, Block E
Volleyball analysis (Theoretical review)
Team effortInd. & team
effort
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Opponents Error
Opponents unforced error:Opponent serve error
Opponents ball-handling error
Opponents forced error: Attack error
Block error
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Data Gathering Design
From Official Stat SheetTeam A
Earned Points Oppts Unforced E Oppts Forced ErrorAtt.K BA SA Oppt SE Oppt BHE Oppt Att. E Oppt. BE
Team B
Earned Points Oppts Unforced E Oppts Forced ErrorAtt.K BA SA Oppt SE Oppt BHE Oppt Att. E Oppt. BE
The above data gathering method keep data
for each game and total for the entire match result
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Result Analysis - Sample Selection University level 11 matches were analyzed
3 matches won 3-0 3 matches lost 0-3
20 games from five 5 game matches(5th games were excluded)
Total of 38 games 19 winning and 19 losing games
High school 10 matches Total of 33 games
(7 matches in 3 and 3 matches in 4)
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Volleyball Analysis
General Findings (Point Earning Priorities)
Attack kill
Opponents attack and block error (forced error)
Opponents serve and ball handling error (unforced error)
Serve or block ace (forced error)
Attack kill
Opponents
Forced Error
Opponents
Unforced Error
Serve and
Block Ace
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Findings Over 80 percent of points were from team attack and
opponents error Attack kill games won 56.5
Attack kill games lost 57.9
Opposition error team won 36.1
Opposition error team lost 31.6 Winning and losing did not have proportion difference of
attack kill
There was a significant difference in opponents error
Opponents forced error was much higher than their unforcederror
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Volleyball Analysis
Reference Values
Serve (S) Attack (A) Block (B) Opp. errors
Games lost 4.4% 56.5% 3.0% 36.1%
Games won 4.5% 57.9% 6.0% 31.6%
Attack (A) Opp. Attack errors Pts. relative attack
Games lost 56.5% 17.5 points (80.4%)
Games won 57.9% 7.1 points 24.1 points (82.7%)
Rest of points (Aces, blocks,and rest of opp. errors)
* No Significantdifference found in T
Test for two related
samples
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Statistical Analysis of Offense Difference
T test out put indication:
Game lost .6604Game won .5701
Difference 0f .09023 alpha level of 90%
Not enough to establish a 95% level of confidence
The result shows offensive attack could
not be the cause of loss
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Opponents Contribution
Opponents unforced error: Opponents SE+BHE=3.2 (WG)
Opponents SE+BHE=2.5 (LG)
Opponents forced error: Opponents AE+BE=7.7 (WG)
Opponents AE+BE=6.0 (LG)
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Statistical Analysis of Opponents
Forced Error Difference
T test out put indication:
Game lost .6998Game won .8046
Difference of -.10475 almost 10.5% higher in games
wonP value0.044
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1,0 1,3 0,50,5
2,75,5
12,7
0,60,52,0
7,1
17,1
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
14,0
16,018,0
AK SA Op_AE Op_SE Op_BHE Op_BE
Lost Won
COLLEGE LEVEL
Volleyball Analysis
Reference Values
*
Serve Ace Attack Kill Block A Opp. errors
Games lost 4.4% 56.5% 3.0% 36.1%
Games won 4.5% 57.9% 6.0% 31.6%
* Significant differences found in T Test for two related samples
Attack Kill Service ace Opp. Attack E Opp. Serve E BHE Opp. Block E
*
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Serve (S) Attack (A) Block (B) Op. errors (E)
Team As Points = S + A + B + E
Error (point opp team)Opp attack
opportunityLimited attack
Attack
opportunityPoint analyzed team
- 1 -.25 0 +.25 + 1
Volleyball analysis (Proposal)
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More Intricate Analysis Required New value system for earning points
Attack Block
Serve
Understanding of Influencingopponents error
Block influence on oppositions attack
Serve influence on oppositions attack
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Serve (S) At tack (A) Block (B) Op. errors (E)
Teams points = S + A + B + E
Error attack No limited attack Limited attack No attack Kill
-1 -0.25 0 +0.25 +1
Volleyball analysis (Proposal)
Data Gathering Offense
Dig
Attack
Block
Dig
Attack
Block
Dig
Attack
Block
X Dig
At tack
Block
Dig
Attack
BlockX
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Serve (S) At tack (A) Block (B) Op. errors (E)
Teams points = S + A + B + E
Volleyball analysis (Proposal)
Offense Sophistication
Dig
Serve/Pass Attack
In System
# of Blockers
Sophisticated
One or no Block
Sophistication Level
Serve/Pass Attack
Out of System
# of Blockers# of Blockers
# of Blockers
Dig AttackIn System
Dig AttackOut of System
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Serve (S)Attack (A) Block (B)
Op. errors (E)
Teams points = S + A + B + E
ErrorIn system
No limited attack
Out of system
Limited attackNo attack Ace
-1 -0.25 0 +0.25 +1
Serve
Pass
Serve
Pass X
Serve
Pass
X
Serve
Pass
Serve
Volleyball analysis (Proposal)
Serve Influence
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Serve General Analysis Data range:
SA = 1Serve result in no attack opportunity =+.25
Serve causes out of system attack opportunity =0
Serve provides the opponent with an in system attackopportunity =-.25
Serve error =-1
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Earning point Serve Strategy
Individual Capability
Serve ace from: Position serve
Tough serve
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Serve (S) Attack (A) Block (B) Op. errors (E)
Teams points = S + A + B + E
Out of system or in system
block
- Blocker(s) L. M. & R
- Rotations
- Blocking the zone or area
of the net
- 1 B = one block
- OB = out of posit ion block
- LB = late block
Volleyball analysis (Proposal)
Block Out of System In System
Attack
One block
X
Dig
Attack
Late block
Dig
Attack
Out of position block
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Block AceTeam Capability
Block ace Rotation
Area of the block
Type of block Out of system 1B, LB, OP
Solo BS
B (2 or 3 in system block)
Ratio of block over
Ratio of soft block
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Serve (S) Attack (A) Block (B) Op. errors (E)
Teams points = S + A + B + E
Error No limited attack Limited attack No attack Point
-1 -0.25 0 +0.25 +1
Components of block over
evaluation
- Blocker(s) L. M. & R
- Rotations
- Blocking the zone or area
of the net
Volleyball analysis (Proposal)
Block Over
Attack
Block
Dig
Attack
Block
Dig
Attack
Block
X
X
Dig
Attack
Block
Dig
Attack
Block
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Serve (S) Attack (A) Block (B) Op. errors (E)
Teams points = S + A + B + E
Error No attackOut of system
limited attackIn stem full attack
-1 -0.25 0 +.25
Components of soft block
evaluation
- Blocker(s) L. M. & R
- Rotations
- Blocking the zone or area
of the net
Volleyball analysis (Proposal)
In System Soft Block
Attack
Soft block
Dig
Attack
Soft block
X
Dig
Attack
Soft block
Dig
Attack
Soft block
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Studied variables were way to obtain & probability of obtaining points in relation to result
Volleyball analysis (Reference values)
11 matches of women's teams of
Division I NCAA were analyzed
(season 2007)
38 games were studied
10 matches of female varsity
teams in Iowa were analyzed
(season 2007)
35 games were studied
COLLEGE LEVELHIGH SCHOOL LEVEL
A descriptive, transversal, and correlation design was used.
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Serve Analysis
Teams that were in the study could improve
their winning chances by improving their
serve influence of opponents attack
E i i S S
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Earning point Serve Strategy
Individual Capability
The probability added values
prioritizes the servers accordingto their influence on the
opponents attack ability
Servers that provide more than
80 % of 0 or -.25 values should
be instructed to avoid serve error
from tough serve and resort toposition serving
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Serve General Analysis
Very rare to find 1+.25> -1+0+-.25 Calculate the number of serves of each server in each
game
Total value of each server 1+.25> -1+0+-.25
Prioritize your servers according to who influences
opponents attack most least
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Serve General Analysis Analyzing serve influencing the opponents
attack error independently from block
6 servers serve ratio (example):
#10 3 serves
#11 4 serve
#12 7 serve #11 3 serve
#11 8 serve
#11 5 serve
The number of serves indicate the strength ofrotation
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Serve General Analysis 6 servers serve ratio (example):
#10 3 serves
#11 4 serve
#12 7 serve
#11 3 serve
#11 8 serve
#11 5 serve
Coach can play with line up, finding best & weakest rotations
Manipulate line up to put best server with best front row(increasing point earning capability getting to 30/25 sooner)
Manipulate line up to put best server with weakest front row(increasing side out chance of that rotation)
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Team Block Capability
Evaluate the ratio of out of
system and in systemblocks against a certainopponent
Evaluate the blockers ratioof Block over and softblock and make instructionof block action during
high block and morepenetration during regularblock
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Attack Evaluation
Adding probable points gave several statistically
significant values UNI in the 11 matches had significantly higher
proportion of attack kills at home than in the road
UNI had less sophistication in their offense during thegames that they did not go beyond 20
Oppositions had more serve influence on their attack
during the losing games than tUNI had on the
opposition
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Attack Evaluation
Team under study did not have much success
during dig attack with sophistication. More
mobility of middle players could berecommended and designed
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HIGH SCHOOL LEVEL SUMMERY
Volleyball Analysis (Reference values)
- Problems with data stabilization (large differences between teams).
- Analysis of the probability of the actions does not help to predict the
result of the game.
- Percentage of attack points per team lower than at college level.
- Offense is the most important point earner.
- At lower level, more points are obtained from opponent error.
- Winning teams obtained more points by themselves than losing teams.
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Volleyball Analysis (Conclusions)
- At lower levels, opponent error is more important (in the sample
studied).
- The second largest amount of points is from opponent error.
- Offense is the most important point earner.
> 80%
- Block and serve influence the opponents forced error the second
highest game earning points (in the sample studied).
- More studies (and data) are needed to establish solid conclusions and
reference values.
- At higher levels, more information is obtained with the analysis of the
probability of the actions to predict detail performance outcome.
- Teams have to be evaluated on the basis of their own specification.
COLLEGE LEVEL SUMMERY
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More Studies - Larger Sample
I am looking for institutions who
are willing to join me in
continue this study in largersample with more accurate
measurement tools
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Game analysis - A road map to win
THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION!
ANY QUESTIONS?