future technologies in the energy market · voltage direct current transmission systems (hvdc) ‒...

Future Technologies inthe Energy MarketPrague, May 3rd, 2017Michael Weinhold, CTO Siemens Energy Management

siemens.com© Siemens AG 2017

© Siemens AG 2017May 3rd, 2017 Michael Weinhold, Prague / Siemens Energy Management

Agenda

1 Global Trends

3 Summary and Outlook

2 Innovation Fields


The Energy Revolution: Big Picture

Distributed Energy Systems

Distribution and ConsumptionTransmission

From centralized powerand unidirectional grid …

… to Decentral andDistributed EnergySystems andbidirectional balancing

Distance fromsource to load

Refurbishment/upgrades

Decentralization(public/private)

Changinggeneration mix

Generationcapacityadditions

3 5421


Three major factors are driving the revolutionof energy systems

• Sensors, analytical algorithms• Small scale power generators• Energy storage• e-Mobility• Electrical heating/cooling,

heat pumps• Power-to-x

Consumer-centric

energy world

Breakthrough technology

• Energy efficiency leads toincreasing electrification

• CO2 reduction targets leadto increasing renewablepower generation

Political targets

• From passive consumersto active participants

• Own energy generationsystems (e.g. nano-grids)

Changing customerbehavior


Growing electricity supplyGeneration in 1000 TWh

Increased electrification…

• in emerging countries e.g.China, India, Indonesia

• of building heating andindustrial processes

• of mobility (eCars, eBus,..)

Distributed Power GenerationNew installations in GW p.a.

DES & critical power systems

• Energy storage solutions• Micro- /Nanogrids arising• Low & Medium Voltage

growth

Digitalization & AutomationNew Smart Meter installations(Electricity, Gas, Water) in mio units p.a.

Drives agility in energysystems

• Sensors / meters provide data,IT solutions make it actionable

• New market participants• New pricing / business models• Efficient Asset Management

Increase of RenewablesNew installations in GW p.a.

Increased distance to Load /Need for Balancing

• Reinforcing national grids• Interconnect national grids• Connect large Renewables

The revolution of energy systems has just started…

Note: Siemens assumptions based on market and industry analysts

2030

~303

14%

58%

29%

2020

~191

20%

47%

33%

2010

~90

45%19%

36%

OthersSolarWind

2030

~32

60%

40%

2020

~26

71%

29%

2010

~21

80%

20%

ConventionalRenewables

2030

~444

33%

67%

2020

~358

38%

62%

2010

~373

51%

49%

centraldecentral

~18

2015 2020

~9

2025

~14

Smart Grid IT Spendingsin bln USD

2015

~50~90

2020

~100

2025


Global capacities of wind and solar power increasewhile prices for renewables decrease massively

Note: overall installed global Power Generation capacity ca. 6500 GW

Sources: http://www.photon.info/en/news/bnef-estimates-70-gw-solar-were-added-2016-worldwidehttp://www.ren21.net/GSR2015-Renewables-2015-Global-Status-Report-Figures-EN(figures) and BNEF (additions in 2015, 2016)

plus ca. 56 GW

2015

2016

plus ca. 63 GW

Wind Power Global Capacity

plus ca. 70 GW

2015

2016

plus ca. 56 GW

Solar PV Global Capacity Solar Power Auction Prices

Abu Dhabi 9/2016: 2.42 US cents / kWhRecord low bids submitted for Abu Dhabi’s350MW solar plant in Sweihan by Asiancompany


Impact on Grid businessEU28 generation capacity until 2030 (TW)

2030

1.3

33%

9%3%12%

21%

22%

Additions

0.5

Retirements

0.3

2015

1.1

50%

12%3%

12%9%

+1.4%

7.8%

5.1%

0.5%

2.6%

-1.3%

-0.7%

• Integration of Renewables• Grid extensions• Stability challenges (less inertia, towards “solid state grid”)• Power quality and reliability of supply• Cyber Security• Automated operation and situational awareness• New business models, solutions and customers

x% CAGR

Generation mix in 2030, example European Union(forecast to be further verified)

Fossil (incl. Engines, CHP)other Renewables

NuclearHydro

Wind

Solar PV

• Regulatory uncertainty and public acceptance• Disruptive potential from cheap storage

Source: Siemens


Agenda

1 Global Trends


2 Innovation Fields


Energy Management lives up to future challengeswith the most comprehensive portfolio

Service and support: Consulting and planning – Financing – Training – Conventional and digital services

Digitalization

Automation

Infrastructureand facilitiesManufacturing

Heavyindustries

Largegenerationand TSOs

Municipalitiesand DSOs

DES andrenewablegeneration

Grid control ‒ grid applications ‒ planning and simulation ‒data analytics

Smart communication ‒ smart metering ‒ grid protection ‒grid automation ‒ power quality, measurement and monitoring

High-voltage substations ‒ flexible AC transmission systems (FACTS) ‒ high-voltage direct current transmission systems (HVDC) ‒ grid access solutions ‒power transmission lines ‒ medium-voltage power supply solutionsHigh-voltage switchgear and devices ‒ medium-voltage switchgear and devices ‒low-voltage switchboards and devices, busbar trunking systems ‒ transformers

Electrification


EnergyIP running on MindSphereCreating outstanding customer value

Additional value: Integration from generation to consumption

MindSphere

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1001

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TransmissionDistribution

ProsumersSmart meters Smart inverters,storage

Distributedgeneration

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Energy MarketTransactionManagement

Metering /Meter DataManagement

Asset andDeviceManagement

DistributedEnergyResourceManagement

CustomerEngagement

AnalyticsSuite

EnergyIP applications

Connected devices

70’smart meterscontracted


But what’s especially important for YOUR business?

Let’s see some examples…

Safety & security

Uptime

Speed to market

Energy efficiency


Mobile transformers for fast replacementPower utility Con Edison, New York

Safety & security

Reduce transformer replacement time frommonths to mere days• Six mobile resilience transformers: More compact,

lighter and environmentally-friendly transformers

• First transformer of its kind worldwide

• Transformers for quick replacement in response toextreme weather and unexpected events


Sub-Module Converter branch

Couplinginductor

STATCOM based on MMC (Modular Multilevel Converter)

Safety & security

• Series connection of coupling inductor andSub-Modules builds up a converter branch

• 3 converter branches are connected in Deltafor 3-phase system (then: each converter branchis de facto a single phase converter)

• MVAr scaling is achieved by scaling theconnection voltage = scaling number ofSub-Modules


Energy automation &management, software

Electrical equipmentand power electronics

Storage solutions

Distributed generation

Distributed energysystems (DES)

eCar charging station

Battery storage, power to gas

Wind turbines

Medium voltage,low voltage,circuit breakers, etc.

Photovoltaic systemMicrogrid manager,energy management systems, etc..

Combined heatand power

Holistic end-to-end energy management –example of an industrial facility

Uptime &Energy efficiency


Defining DES: Solutions that deliver value to campus,industrial and commercial environments

DescriptionGeneration assets 100kW-100MW connected to theMV/HV grid for flexibility ofsupply delivery

Value• Power supply where grid may

be unreliable unavailable orexpensive

• Reduced cost of electricity

Small-scalepower generation

DescriptionGrid operating independentlyor in conjunction with the mainutility grid

Value• Integrates various generation

components;manages energy demand

• Enables low cost,independent supply

Microgrids

DescriptionStorage of energy, producingelectricity on demand,connected to grid, microgrid orgeneration source

Value• Reduces peak generation

needs, enables load shifting• Reduces cost and increases

reliability of electricity supply

Energy Storage

DescriptionCombined generation ofelectricity behind the meter andheat near the point of use

Value• Delivers lower cost electricity

and thermal energy,independently from utilities

• Increased energy efficiency

Cogeneration /Combined Heat & Power

UptimeEnergy efficiency


Distributed energy resources:Microgrid on Native American reservation Blue Lake Rancheria

UptimeEnergy efficiency

Solution• 1 MW Indian reservation powered by Microgrid

using and storing renewable energy

Benefits• Reservation operates independently of power grid• 150 tons carbon reduced per year


Research projectMicrogrid: IREN2 research project in Wildpoldsried, Germany

SolutionCombining micro grid and VPPto form a topological powerplant, which can be operated inisland mode

Benefits− Stable and economically

optimized grid operation

− Black start capability

− Profitable use of renewableresources

− Ancillary services from thedistribution grid


Pumped storage H2/Chemicals Battery Thermal

Energy storage applications and sector couplings

Power to gasPower-to-chemicals

Grid stability, self-supply,electro-mobility Power-to-heatGrid balancing

and stability

Application cases by location of storage

Electricity Electricity H2/Methane(gas grid)

H2 Fuelfor car

Electricity Heat

CentralLarge Utilities

DistributedSmall utilities, municipalities, industry – prosumer

Safety & securityUptimeEnergy efficiency


Off-grid electrification of an entire islandVentotene, Italy

• 500 kW / 600 kWh SIESTORAGE accompaniedby a Microgrid Controller for a stand-alone grid

• Optimized diesel engine operation

• Management of electricity from renewable sourcesduring periods of low load

• Reduced diesel emission for 4 hours /day in winter season

• Network stabilization

Safety & securityUptimeEnergy efficiency


New Technology:Hydrogen-Electrolyser, example: Energiepark Mainz

• Three SILYZER 200

• In total about 4 MW DC nominalload and DC 6 MW overload

• High dynamic:load changes within sec.

• 35 bar pressure at gas outlet

• Produced were so far up to500 kg(H2)/day-> Fuel for about 50.000 km in afuel cell passenger car*

Key facts

Assumption: Passenger Fuel cell car consumptionabout 1 kg/100km


At the front edge of digital innovation:Elhub: Market transaction management, Statnett, Norway

EnergyIP® 8• Meter Data Management

(MDM) application• Market Transaction

Management (MTM)

Benefits• Peak avoidance• Distributed optimization• CO2 and cost avoidance• Allocation of grid losses

and unaccounted energyDSO: Distribution System Operators TSO: Transmission System Operators MTM: Market Transaction Management

SiemensEnergyIP

MTM

Wind Solar e-Mobility

DSO Generation TSO

End-Point/MeteringPoints

3rd party andother entities

Retailers

DSOEnd user

MarketPlayer Entities

Integration

Speed to market


Advanced Control Center for PJM Interconnection –North American transmission organization

Safety & securitySpeed to market Spectrum Power ensures stability and security

of North America’s largest transmission grid• Groundbreaking dual, “hot” control centers to

operate the grid independently or jointly as onesingle virtual control center

• Industry changing solution: Secure and model-driven shared architecture platform jointlydeveloped by Siemens and PJM

Benefits• Increased security and reliability of the grid• Easy integration of IT systems, investment

protection and faster innovation


Research projectDynamic Grid Control Center

PJM interconnection

Challenge:ƒ Changing system dynamics

ƒ More power electronicswithin the grid, less rotatingmass

Target:ƒ Autopilot and Master Power

Control operation

ƒ Controllable grid dynamics

ƒ Self healing capabilities

Partnering:ƒ 3 universities

ƒ 4 TSOs

ƒ 2 scientific institutesSPECTRUM 7


Agenda

1 Global Trends


2 Innovation Fields


Summary

More Wind- and PV, Electrification, Distributed Energy Systems1Sector-couplings and Energy Storage increasingly relevant2Digitalization is key enabler (simulation, operation, market integration)3


This document contains forward-looking statements and information – that is, statements related to future, not past,events. These statements may be identified either orally or in writing by words as “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”,“plans”, “believes”, “seeks”, “estimates”, “will” or words of similar meaning. Such statements are based on our currentexpectations and certain assumptions, and are, therefore, subject to certain risks and uncertainties. A variety of factors,many of which are beyond Siemens’ control, affect its operations, performance, business strategy and results and couldcause the actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens worldwide to be materially different from any futureresults, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. For us,particular uncertainties arise, among others, from changes in general economic and business conditions, changes incurrency exchange rates and interest rates, introduction of competing products or technologies by other companies, lackof acceptance of new products or services by customers targeted by Siemens worldwide, changes in business strategyand various other factors. More detailed information about certain of these factors is contained in Siemens’ filings withthe SEC, which are available on the Siemens website, www.siemens.com and on the SEC’s website, www.sec.gov.Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actualresults may vary materially from those described in the relevant forward-looking statement as anticipated, believed,estimated, expected, intended, planned or projected. Siemens does not intend or assume any obligation to update orrevise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from those anticipated.

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future technologies in the energy market · voltage direct current transmission systems (hvdc) ‒...

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