Future Ready Schools

ABCs/AYP - 2007Background Briefing

August 23, 2007

Lou Fabrizio, Ph.D.

Director of Accountability Services

NC Department of Public Instruction

Future Ready Schools

2

ABCs Standards

• Growth

• Performance

at the school level

• AYP (adequate yearly progress)

2

Future Ready Schools

3

ABCs in the 21st Century

• Comprehensive review of ABCs during 2004-05

• New growth formulas developed as a result

• 2005-06 – Major transitions and major interactions with US Department of Education (USED)

Future Ready Schools

4

ABCs - 2007Key Points

• 2nd year of new growth formulas

• Continued focus on student achievement, school-level performance

• Comparisons across years not always “apples to apples”

Future Ready Schools

5

NC Testing Program• Foundation for all test-related

components used in accountability program

• Based on NC Standard Course of Study

• End-of-Grade (Grades 3-8)

• End-of-Course (High Schools and some Middle Schools)

• Writing Assessments

• Alternate Assessments and Other Tests5

Future Ready Schools

6

New in 2006-07

• New EOC math (Algebra I, Algebra II, Geometry) and English I assessments with higher standards

• Third grade mathematics back in growth

• New Alternate Assessment for students with significant cognitive disabilities (NCEXTEND1)

Future Ready Schools

7

ABCs in 2006-07 (Growth)

• EOG growth in Grades 3-8• EOC growth• College University Prep/College

Tech Prep (CUP/CTP)• Competency Test Passing Rate • ABCs Dropout Rate

Future Ready Schools

8

Additional High School Components of Growth

• College University Prep/College Tech Prep completion rate, and the ABCs dropout rate (Not measured on matched set of students; compares this year’s class to previous classes)

• Competency Passing Rate is measured on matched set of students; 8th grade and 10th grade

Future Ready Schools

9

2nd Year ofNew Growth Formulas

• Use two years of prior performance to predict current year’s performance

• Includes adjustment for regression to the mean

• Are designed to be more resilient and reliable as curricula change

• Reading and mathematics growth calculated independently

Future Ready Schools

10

Terms to Know

• Academic change• C-ratio [# met growth

divided by # not met growth]

• AYP growth vs. ABCs growth – they are different

Future Ready Schools

11

New Formula

AC = CSc-scale – (0.92 x ATPAc-scale)

Where

• AC = academic change

• CS = current score

• ATPA = average of two previous assessment scores

Future Ready Schools

12

C-Scale (Change scale)

• Subtract state mean (standard setting year) from student’s score

• Divide by standard deviation (from standard setting year)

• Scale runs for -4 to +4

Future Ready Schools

13

A Single Student

Actual Expected Difference

1.382 1.067 +0.315

• Met the individual growth standard • Use with caution – Precision is +/- 0.5

Future Ready Schools

14

How To Interpret

• Student had 0.315 change (growth)

• For growth purposes when included with the rest of the school, counts as met

• For individual interpretations, not out of the range of typical

Future Ready Schools

15

School Level – Expected Growth

• Average all students’ Academic Change scores together

• Also, changes in– Dropout rates– CUP/CTP and– Competency pass rate

• Note: Model is compensatory.

Future Ready Schools

16

School Level – High Growth

• Must make expected growth

• Must also have C-ratio at or above 1.50 to make high growth

Future Ready Schools

17

Performance Composite 2006-07

Percent of Students’ Scores At or Above Achievement Level III in: • EOG Reading and Math (Grades 3-8)• 7 EOC tests (Chemistry, Physical Science

and Physics were statewide field tests and therefore not included)

• Writing Grades 4, 7 & 10 • Alternate Assessments (NCCLAS,

NCEXTEND1, NCEXTEND2)• Computer Skills at grade 8

Future Ready Schools

18

Calculation of Performance Composite (Example Without Writing, Computer Skills

or EXTEND2)

 

# III 65 68 1 2Total # 72 75 4 3

136 154

%: 90.3 90.7 25.0 66.7 88.3

Read Math NCCLAS EX1 Total

Note: Add all “numerators” and “denominators” to yield total.

Future Ready Schools

19

Incentive Awards/ Consequences

• Schools Designations

• Incentive Awards

• Assistance

19

Future Ready Schools

20

School Status Labels and Recognitions

20

Future Ready Schools

21

NCLB Component

• Demonstrating Proficiency• All Schools Required to Have 100%

Proficiency by 2013-14 School Year• Schools Must Make AYP “Adequate

Yearly Progress”

Future Ready Schools

22

NCLBAdequate Yearly Progress (AYP)

• State Determines Baseline • Subgroups Include: American Indian,

Asian, Black, Hispanic, Multi-Racial, White, School as a Whole, Limited English Proficient, Economically Disadvantaged, and Students With Disabilities

• 95% of Each Subgroup Must Be Tested• More Flexibility Granted (Safe Harbor,

Confidence Interval, AYP Growth)

Future Ready Schools

23

AYP – 2007Key Points

• Full Academic Year (FAY) = 140 Days at the Time for Testing Students on EOG/EOC Tests (School & District)

• Minimum Number of Scores for AYP Group = 40 (School); 40 or 1% (whichever is greater, District)

• 4-Year Cohort Graduation Rate part of AYP

• All or Nothing Model

Future Ready Schools

24

Think of 41 Hurdles in a Race.(Most Schools Will Have Less,

Some May Have More.)

• 10 Hurdles (Groups) for Reading Achievement

• 10 Hurdles (Groups) for Reading (95% Tested Rule)

• 10 Hurdles (Groups) for Mathematics Achievement

• 10 Hurdles (Groups) for Mathematics (95% Tested Rule)

• 1 Hurdle for Other Academic Indicator (Attendance or Graduation Rate) for School as a Whole

Future Ready Schools

25

AYP Proficiency Goals

Year Grades 3-8 (%) Grade 10 (%)

  Reading Math Reading Math

2006-07

2007-08

76.7

84.4

65.8

77.2

35.4

56.9

70.8

80.5

Future Ready Schools

26

AYP Growth Model

• Results (% students making growth) by subgroup reported • Include proficient students

using ABCs growth formula• Include non-proficient

students using AYP Growth

Future Ready Schools

27

Steps for Title I Schools

Steps for Title I Schools NOT Making AYPYear School’s Status Sanctions/Improvement Strategies

Year One

Fails to make AYP None

Year Two

Fails to make AYP None

Year Three

In Title I School Improvement Year One; Fails to make AYP

Public School Choice, technical assistance

Year Four

In Title I School Improvement Year Two; Fails to make AYP

Public School Choice, supplemental educational services, technical assistance

Future Ready Schools

28

Steps for Title I Schools

Steps for Title I Schools NOT Making AYPYear School’s Status Sanctions/Improvement Strategies

Year Five

In Title I School Improvement Year Three; Fails to make AYP

Public School Choice, supplemental educational services, corrective action, technical assistance

Year Six

In Title I School Improvement Year Four; Fails to make AYP

Public School Choice, supplemental educational services, corrective action, plan for restructuring, technical assistance

Year Seven

In Title I School Improvement Year Five

Public School Choice, supplemental educational services, implement plan for restructuring

Future Ready Schools

29

Cohort* Graduation Rate

• Four-Year Cohort Graduation Rate (now part of AYP in 2006-07)

*Follows the same students from grade 9 to12

Future Ready Schools

30

Quality Control(Local, Regional, State)

• Schools (Principals, Teachers, School Testing Coordinators)

• LEA Testing/Accountability Coordinator/Director

• Regional Accountability Coordinators (RACs) & Regional Computing Consultants (RCCs)

• NCDPI Division of Accountability Services

Future Ready Schools

31

ABCs/AYP Results for 2006-07

• ABCs Report – September 6

http://abcs.ncpublicschools.org