fundraising & investor appetite: cee as a mainstream market? richard sachar, almeida capital 23...
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Fundraising & Investor Appetite:CEE as a Mainstream Market?
Richard Sachar, Almeida Capital
23rd September 2008
3rd Annual Private Equity in CEE
LP Allocation
LP Appetite
Raising a CEE Fund
Attractive fund types for LPs worldwide LP APPETITE FUNDRAISINGAllocation
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Source: LP Allocation to Private Equity 2008, Almeida Capital survey (130 LPs)
77%
77%
72%
72%
49%
44%
Small Buyout
Medium Buyout
Special Situations
Growth/ Development Capital
Cleantech/ Sustainable Energy
Large Buyout
Mezzanine
Venture Capital
Direct Secondary Purchase
Infrastructure
Dedicated Secondary Funds
Real Estate
41%
51%
40%
36%
39%
24%
… and for European, N American, Asian LPs LP APPETITE FUNDRAISINGAllocation
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Source: LP Allocation to Private Equity 2008, Almeida Capital survey (130 LPs)
Europe North America Asia
85%
82%
77%
71%
51%
48%
45%
42%
38%
38%
24%
48%
75%
77%
80%
74%
53%
42%
68%
42%
39%
38%
21%
42%
51%
61%
37%
72%
34%
14%
39%
26%
48%
22%
32%
34%
Small Buyout
Medium Buyout
Special Situations
Growth/Development Capital
Cleantech/Sustainable Energy
Large Buyout
Mezzanine
Venture Capital
Direct Secondary Purchase
Infrastructure
Dedicated Secondary Funds
Real Estate
18%
27%
29%
29%
50%
52%
58%
58%
62%
69%
81%
89%Western Europe
North America
India
CEE
China
Other Asia
Japan
Australasia
South Africa
Latin America
Israel
MENA
Geographic interest of LPs worldwide
Source: LP Allocation to Private Equity 2008, Almeida Capital survey (130 LPs)
LP APPETITE FUNDRAISINGAllocation
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Global LPs 2008 allocation changes
Allocation Increase
Source: LP Allocation to Private Equity 2008, Almeida Capital survey (130 LPs)
LP APPETITE FUNDRAISINGAllocation
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2%
5%
8%
15%
17%
18%
28%
32%
35%
36%
37%
38%India
CEE
China
Other Asia
Western Europe
Japan
Australasia
North America
Latin America
MENA
Israel
South Africa 2%
5%
3%
2%
18%
5%
5%
6%
2%
2%
2%
2%
Allocation Decrease
Experienced investors remain positive LP APPETITE FUNDRAISINGAllocation
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Mid-Market Buyout Growth / Expansion Mezzanine Venture
‘Central European buyout was not affected by the leverage bubble – and is unlikely to be hit too hard by the credit crunch.’
‘This is a good time to invest with managers in the buyout arena. GPs should be able to pick up some good deals at very reasonable valuations’
Source: Interviews with LPs active in CEE.
‘Expansion capital is interesting across the region but particularly in Russia, which is a huge market, of course.’
‘Growth/expansion is particularly interesting in CIS.’
‘Mezzanine has become a very interesting opportunity in CEE.’
‘The mezzanine market in CEE may catch up with Western European levels over the next couple of years.’
‘Early stage venture capital is still underdeveloped and there are not enough proven managers.’
‘There have been some good exits of venture-backed companies, all via trade sales.’
Source: Interviews with LPs active in CEE.
Experienced LPs believe the market is developing well
LP APPETITEMARKET FUNDRAISING
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‘We are increasing our CEE exposure in two ways: through GPs focused on the region and via our investments in pan-European funds that are
increasingly looking at CEE.’
‘The awareness and knowledge of private equity has really improved in the region.’
‘GPs are putting more capital to work and find attractive investment opportunities, which means LPs can increase their allocations.’
‘With so many more GPs and LPs active in the region, it is easier to carry out due diligence and get referrals.’
Source: Interviews with LPs active in CEE.
Capital will continue to flow into the regionLP APPETITEMARKET FUNDRAISING
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‘We look with interest at the next-accession-wave countries and plan to put more money into those.’
‘Our confidence in the region is increasing and we now have a dedicated CEE fund of funds.’
‘The amount of capital invested in CEE will always depend on whether the few big players are currently in the market. When they raise money, a lot of capital flows into the region. The smaller funds are too small and too
few to make up for it when the big funds are not in the market.’
‘We are looking at more managers in the region now, particularly in Russia.’
Source: Interviews with LPs active in CEE.
Experienced investors are happy with the riskLP APPETITEMARKET FUNDRAISING
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‘Risk profiles across the region vary enormously. While the EU accession countries are actually quite similar to Western Europe now when it
comes to risk, the other countries are different.’
‘We have no issues with risk in the EU accession countries.’
‘The EU countries have no extra risk attached, but we are not always so sure about the risk-return profile in the other countries.’
Popular countries and regions LP APPETITEMARKET FUNDRAISING
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Major PE markets
‘Poland and Romania remain favourite destinations for
capital.’
‘While the risk in CIS remains much higher than in CEE, we feel confident that the return
potential is high too.’
Risky CIS
‘The growth of the Ukrainian private equity market is limited
by the small number of players.’
Ukraine needs to grow
‘Russia’s credentials remain basically unchanged, despite
the recent conflict.’
Russia still unchanged
Source: Interviews with LPs active in CEE.
Disappointments remain LP APPETITEMARKET FUNDRAISING
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Lack of consistency
‘Team turnover is disappointing as international
firms poach talent.’
Source: Interviews with LPs active in CEE.
Fear of overcrowding
‘We focus our DD even more on industry sectors now because we worry a few sectors are becoming
rather overcrowded.’
Lack of incentives
‘Countries across the region have very different approaches toward providing tax incentives.’Risk factors
‘Political stability does not go far enough, reform
programmes are needed.’
‘Regulatory risk remains a concern in some parts of the
region.’
Segregation and diversity
‘We would like to see private equity markets across CEE
link up in a similar way as the Nordic do.’
Source: Almeida Capital research
Fundraising targets for CEE FUNDRAISINGLP APPETITEMARKET
Screening or investing in CEE
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186
820
186
820
312
728Not interested in CEE
100% = 1006 LPs 100% = 1040 LPs
Fundraising: what’s different for CEE?
Professionally produced and in-depth materials now the ‘norm’
Identify very best quality prospects or fail with timewasters
Compelling, well supported story now the ‘norm’
Extensive information requests and LP issue resolution now the ‘norm’
Material preparation
LP targeting Presenting thestory
Projectmanagement
More detail and more contextual material required
CEE
General
LP targets harder to identify
LP misconceptions and lack of knowledge to overcome
Much greater support required to get LPs over the line
Source: Almeida Capital research
CD-Rom DUE DILIGENCE
Strictly Confidential
FUNDRAISINGLP APPETITEMARKET
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Fundraising: show me the money
‘Bought-in’ Already investing or allocated
‘On the line’ Need help or push
‘On the way’ Need lots of research & support
‘Miles behind’ Won’t commit during this cycle
Source: Almeida Capital research
5%
60%
20%
10%
10%
FUNDRAISINGLP APPETITEMARKET
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Fundraising: show me the money
Source: Almeida Capital research
5%
60%
20%
10%
10%‘Bought-in’
‘On the line’
‘On the way’
‘Miles behind’
FUNDRAISINGLP APPETITEMARKET
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Fundraising: dos and don‘ts
• Focus on LPs that are ‘on-the- line’
• Be meticulous and professional about your preparation
• Commit the right level of resources and support
• Only use an advisor or agent who has successfully raised money for CEE before
Source: Almeida Capital research
• Lose momentum with ‘researchers’ or ‘timewasters’
• Cut corners on planning, due diligence and material preparation
• Fail to respond to LPs or underestimate the workload
• Risk your reputation or future on anyone that hasn’t delivered on CEE before
CD-Rom
DUE DILIGENCE
Strictly Confidential
FUNDRAISINGLP APPETITEMARKET
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Richard Sachar
Almeida Capital Limited
Burleigh House
357 Strand
London WC2R 0HS
+44 (0)20 7845 7575
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