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    TOPIC Fundamental Analysis of ICICI Bank Ltd.Name Ashwin Kulkarni

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    Sr.

    No.

    Title Page

    No.

    1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 6

    2. COMPANY PROFILE 7

    3. OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY 16

    4. METHODOLOGY OF STUDY 17

    5. ECONOMY ANALYSIS 18

    6. INDUSTRY ANALYSIS 21

    7. PROFILE OF ICICI BANK 30

    8. DATA ANLYSIS 36

    9. LIMITATIONS/CONCLUSIONS 51

    10. BIBLIOGRAPHY 53

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    Acknowledgment

    It gives me great pleasure to express my gratitude towards all the individuals

    who have directly or indirectly helped me in completing this project. First of all, I am

    extremely grateful to Mr. Mayank Saxsena, Branch Manager, Anand Rathi Securities

    Limited, Kalyani Nagar Branch, Pune, for providing me summer project in stock

    market for sixty days. I would also like to express my sincere gratitude to Mr. Vikrant

    Darak, for his invaluable guidance during the project period which helps me in

    completing this project.

    I wish to express my sincere thanks to our Director Dr. Sharad Joshi and my

    project guide Prof. Mahesh Halale for providing me valuable guidance and inputs

    which help to complete this project in true sense.

    I also extend my thanks to all the staff of Anand Rathi Securities Limited,

    Kalyani Nagar Branch, Pune, for their support, which helped me a lot in completing

    this project.

    This project report is a collective effort of all and I sincerely remember andacknowledge all o them for their excellent help and assistance throughout the project.

    - Ashwin R. Kulkarni

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    INTRODUCTION

    The stock market is the most volatile market and is difficult to understand as the

    weather. Though this does not mean that the markets cannot be predicted but it onlymeans that trends may change without warning, as with weather. The stock markets

    are characterized by almost all factors, again starting right from weather and ending at

    the political environment. Effects of one market also causes a spillover into the other

    and an external cause in one market can lead to the reaction in another market. For

    instance, its been proved that a delayed monsoon in India will create the problems of

    flooding in the European countries, effecting adversely economies of both the regions.

    The pulse of the market also depends upon timely exit and entry. For arriving at a

    correct conclusion reasonable data is required to understand the mechanics of the

    stock and the industry vis--vis global and local in which the company operates.

    While a practical long-term view will help reduce risks, marrying the stock on the

    other hand may totally increase risks.

    By going through the Industry Reports, Financials the investor can arm himself

    with reasonable information about the stocks, which are being tracked by the investor.

    However, for consistent monitoring of stocks, it is imperative that the investor has

    limited exposure to the stocks, which are being capable of being tracked by him a

    too big a portfolio will divert attention and ultimately harm investor interests.

    In the present project an attempt is made to study the importance of fundamental

    analysis for investors.

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    SHARES: -

    The companies Act 1956 defines Shares as a share in the capital of a company

    and includes stock except where distinction between stock and share is expressed or

    implied. A share is regarded as property, which can be bought and sold like any other

    property. It also consists of other rights given by Articles of Association of company.

    EQUITY OR ORDINARY SHARES: -

    These are those shares, which do not enjoy any special rights in respect of

    payment of dividend or repayment of capital. The return of capital to equity

    shareholders is not guaranteed. Also when the company is wound up, capital of equity

    shareholders is lastly paid, only after all other claims have been paid in full. That is whyequity is also called as The Risk Bearing or Venture Capital.

    There are two sources of return on equity shares: -

    1. Dividend: -When companies earn sufficient profit, then Board of Directors

    declares for all shares.

    2. Capital Gain: -Which arises from an increase in the market price of shares,

    which is generally associated with growth in per share earning.

    Benefits of Investments in Equity shares: -

    1. You can earn good rate of dividend or can make better profit on market

    fluctuation.

    2. Bonus issue: - These are given as free gift to existing shareholders either fullyor partly paid up out of accumulated profits.

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    3. Existing shareholders can get Right issue in case of further issue of capital by

    company.

    4. Equity shareholders have Right to vote in annual general meeting and other

    rights like call meeting, winding up of the company.

    5. Shareholders get free copy of Annual Report in which details of all business

    conducted in last year is mentioned.

    6. A share is Transferable Property. It can be transferred or transmitted by

    shareholder to any other person.

    7. Tax Exemption: -As per Income Tax Act, Dividend is not taxable in the hands

    of shareholders similarly Long Term Capital Gain on shares is exempted up to

    March 2007.

    8. Liquidity: -Because of large market for share investor can convert his

    investments into liquid money easily.

    What is Fundamental analysis?

    Fundamental analysis is the examination of the underlying forces that affect the

    well being of the economy, industry groups, and companies. As with most analysis, the

    goal is to derive a forecast and profit from future price movements. At the company

    level, fundamental analysis may involve examination of financial data, management,

    business concept and competition. At the industry level, there might be an examination

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    of supply and demand forces for the products offered. For the national economy,

    fundamental analysis might focus on economic data to assess the present and future

    growth of the economy. To forecast future stock prices, fundamental analysis combines

    economic, industry, and company analysis to derive a stock's current fair value and

    forecast future value. If fair value is not equal to the current stock price, fundamental

    analysts believe that the stock is either over or under valued and the market price will

    ultimately gravitate towards fair value. Fundamentalists do not heed the advice of the

    random walkers and believe that markets are weak-form efficient. By believing that

    prices do not accurately reflect all available information, fundamental analysts look to

    capitalize on perceived price discrepancies.

    Fundamental analysis is a method used to determine the value of a stock by

    analyzing the financial data that is 'fundamental' to the company. That means that

    fundamental analysis takes into consideration only those variables that are directly

    related to the company itself, such as its earnings, its dividends, and its sales.

    Fundamental analysis does not look at the overall state of the market nor does it include

    behavioral variables in its methodology. It focuses exclusively on the company's

    business in order to determine whether or not the stock should be bought or sold.

    In India many traditional people are very risk averse. They are not aware of the

    investment opportunities in the stock market. They consider stock market as a game of

    gambling. But the original scenario is quite different. There is no doubt that there are

    speculators who try to hike the price of a stock artificially. Investing in equities

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    involves high risk and the return on it totally depends on the companys performance.

    But investing in the right stock at the right price and holding for a longer time horizon

    would surely be a better investment.

    The reason behind choosing this project is that it provides hands on experience

    with what goes on in the stock market on a day to day basis. The field of equity

    research is very vast and one has to look into various aspects of the functioning of the

    company to get to any conclusion about the possible performance of the company in the

    market. Investors like warren buffet made a fortune out of investments in the stock

    market, which is quiet impossible without proper research about the companies. The

    field of equity research is full of challenges.

    The project is done with Anand Rathi Securities Limited a very well known

    company in the field of stock broking and capital market services sector. This project

    gave me a chance to get valuable insights from a hoard of vastly experienced people in

    this field and to get various approaches each one adopts to evaluate various companies.

    The duration of the project was two months. These two months were not only limited to

    learning and devoting time towards equity research but it also provided an insight on

    what various services such broking houses provide and what efforts are required to

    manage such organizations.

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    ANAND RATHI

    Group Profile

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    G roup O verv iewSe t up in 1994,2000 peo ple

    A nand R a th i S ecu rities L im ited W ealth M a na ge me nt

    In ve stm en t Ba nk in g

    M e m ber B SE

    D e p o s ito ry P a rtic ip a n t C D S L

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    Navratan CommoditiesMember- NCDEX, MCX& NMCE

    Navratan Capital &SecuritiesMember- NSE

    Depository Participant-NSDL

    Rathi Global FinanceNBFC

    AR Insurance BrokersInsurance Broking

    AR Middle East DMCCMember- Dubai Gold &Commodities Exchange

    Anand Rathi International

    International Operations

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    Anand RathiSecurities Limited

    AR Venture FundsManagementReal Estate Private EquityFund

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    Business Overview

    Wealth Management Investment Banking &

    Corporate Finance

    Brokerage &

    Distribution

    Mumbai, Delhi, Kolkata,Bangalore, Chennai,Hyderabad, Dubai,

    Bangkok and Singapore

    Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai,Kolkata, Bangalore,

    Hyderabad

    Present at 300 + locationsacross India

    Institutions

    Private Clients

    Priority Clients

    M & A

    IPOs Buybacks,

    Offers, Placements

    Debt Raising,

    Syndication and

    Restructuring

    Equities

    Derivatives

    Bonds

    Mutual Funds

    Commodities

    Insurance

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    Wealth Management

    Value Adds Products

    Comprehensive Product Range

    Strong alternativeinvestment expertise

    Equities

    Stocks, PMS, Derivatives,Mutual Funds

    Risk Management Skills

    Sophisticated assetallocation &

    risk modeling

    Fixed Income

    Bonds, Mutual Fund

    Proprietary global economic &

    investment strategy research

    Focusing on long termdynamics & trends

    Commodities & Precious Metals

    Client Centric Model Life & General Insurance

    Ranked amongst South Asias

    top 5 private banks by Asia

    Money 2006 polls

    Clients with more than Us$ 20 million in assets

    Real Estate Private Equity Fund

    Currencies

    Structured Products & Capital

    Guaranteed Notes

    Alternative & Non-correlated

    Investments

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    Investment Banking & Corporate Finance

    Value Adds Products

    Comprehensive Services Equity Capital market

    IPO/Rights/Secondaryissues

    Delisting & Open Offers

    Block Deals & PrivateEquity

    Management Buy-outs

    Deep Industry & SectorKnowledge

    Advisory

    BusinessSale/Disposal

    M&A/ JVs/Strategic Alliances

    Valuations

    Local Strength

    Underpinned by networkof national offices

    Debt Advisory

    Rupee & ForeignCurrency

    Debt Raising/Negotiation

    Debt Restructuring

    Creditor Settlement/OTS

    Truly Independent Advice

    Not tied to any product,market or bank

    Strong Distribution Capability

    Resources to draw together a

    seasoned team of professionals

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    Brokerage & DistributionReaching out nationwide

    Specialist teams providing best-of-breed research, execution and settlement

    through branches nationwide

    Licenses

    Member, BSE+NSE [Cash & Derivatives]

    Depository Participant [CDSL & NSDL]

    Member, NCDEX, MCX, NMCE [Commodities Exchanges]

    Insurance Brokerage [IRDA]

    Member, Dubai Gold & Commodities Exchange [DGCX]

    MF Distribution [AMFI]

    Cutting-edge technology support providing real-time

    access to clients through a private broadband satellite network, leased links and

    the internet.

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    Brokerage & Distribution

    Products Clients Size

    Equities

    Derivatives

    Commodities

    IPOs

    Mutual Funds

    Life & Non-Life

    Insurance

    Depository Services

    Bonds

    Value-add Services

    - backed by independentresearch team

    - real-time support to clients

    Institutional

    clients most

    leading Mutual

    Funds, Banks

    and Insurance

    Companies

    Individuals,

    Families &

    Corporates

    across India

    Non-Resident

    Indians

    Daily

    turnover in

    excess of Rs

    4 bn

    1,00,000+clients

    nationwide

    Leading

    distributor of

    IPOs

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    Key LocationsMumbai

    Corporate Office

    JK Somani Bldg, British Hotel Lane, Bombay Samachar Marg,Mumbai-400023

    Web Address: www.rathi.com

    Brokerage & Retail Head Office

    B-2, Shubham Centre, 5th

    Floor, Cardinal Gracious road, Chakala,Andheri [E], Mumbai-400099New Delhi

    911/912 Ansal Bhavan, 16Kasturba Gandhi Marg,

    New Delhi-110001

    Ahmedabad

    2nd Floor, Parth, Swastik,Char Rastha, Near PizzaHut, Off C.G. Road,

    Navrangpura-380009

    Banglore

    307, Prestige Central Point,Cunningham Road,Banglore-560051

    Chennai

    8A, Ega Trade Centre, 8th

    Floor, New No. 318, OldNo. 809, Poonamalee High

    Road, Kilpauk,Chennai- 600010

    Kolkata

    202, Central Plaza,2/6 Sarat Bose Road,Kolkata-700020

    Hyderabad

    6-3-346/1, Scotia BankBldg., Road No. 1, BanjaraHills,

    Hyderabad-500034

    Dubai

    A R Middle East DMCCM-14, AI Attar GrandKhalidBin Waleed St., P.O. Box120830Dubai, U.A.E.

    Bangkok

    Anand Rathi Advisors[Thailand] Co. Ltd.24, Prime Office Building,Sukhumvit Soi 21, AsokeRoad, Klong Toey Nur,Wattana, Bangkok, Thailand

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    http://www.rathi.com/http://www.rathi.com/
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    OBJECTIVE OF STUDY

    TO STUDY THE CONCEPTS AND TECHNIQUES OF FUNDAMENTAL

    ANALYSIS.

    TO STUDY THE GROWTH TREND IN BANKING SECTOR AND IN

    PARTICULARLY OF ICICI BANK.

    TO EVALUATE THE PERFORMANCE OF ICICI BANK IN INDIAN

    STOCK MARKET WITH RESPECT TO ITS FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE.

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    In order to fulfill the above objectives, the project was undertaken in Anand

    Rathi Securities Limited, Kalyani Nagar Branch, Pune from 1st June 2007 to 31st July,

    2007 and the information is collected through:

    Primary Sources:

    The primary data was collected specifically on project hand. One can obtain

    information from dealers, salesmen, branch managers etc. The entire study wasconducted in Anand Rathi Kalyani Nagar branch, Pune, which consisted of information

    on understanding the level of awareness regarding the concepts and techniques of

    fundamental analysis. Data was also collected through observation during the training

    period of two months from 1st June to 31st July, 2007.

    Secondary Sources:

    Secondary data is already collected by someone else. This data is not collected

    for solving present problem. This information is relevant and can be used for our

    purpose. The information was drawn from published journals by Reserve Bank of India,

    in house magazines of the bank, capital market magazine. Information was also

    gathered from news papers and related magazines. Besides data was also collected from

    the internet.

    Limitations:

    The study was restricted only to ICICI Bank and hence may not be applicable to

    other banks.

    The information available on the internet, journals, magazines, brochures was

    limited.

    The employees in the branch had a busy schedule therefore there was delay in

    getting concepts clear.

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    During 2006-07, the Indian economy exhibited acceleration in growth, led by

    manufacturing and services sector activities. The sustained high growth since 2003-04

    has been supported by increased in domestic savings and investment. Robust growth

    during 2006-07, however, was accompanied by inflationary pressures on account of

    rising capacity utilization, strong growth in monetary and credit aggregates, demand-

    supply gaps in domestic production of food grains and oil seeds, and firm global

    commodity prices.

    Real GDP growth accelerated from 9.0% during 2005-06 to 9.4% during 2006-

    07. The growth, thus, averaged 8.6% p.a. during the four period ended 2006-07. Real

    GDP growth during the Tenth Five Year Plan period averaged 7.6% p.a., the highest in

    any plan period. Acceleration in the growth rate during 2006-07 was attributable to

    buoyancy in the industrial and service sector which exhibited double-digit growth

    (11.0% each). Higher growth in the industry and services sector more than offset the

    deceleration in the agriculture sector. Growth in the agricultural sector decelerated from

    6.0% in 2005-06 to 2.7% in 2006-07, partly on account of uneven rainfall during the

    south-west monsoon and partly due to the base effect.

    7.5

    9 9.4

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    Growth Rate

    2004-05 2005-06 2006-07

    Year

    GDP Growth %

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    Macro Perspective

    Monetary Developments

    Money supply increased by 21.3% (Rs. 5, 80,733 crore) as compared with

    17.0% (Rs. 3, 96,878 crore) during 2005-06. Amongst the major components, time

    deposits exhibited growth of 23.2% (Rs. 4,41,913) during 2006-07 as compared with

    15.3% (Rs. 2,53,056 crore) during 2005-06. Higher growth in time deposits could be

    attributed to factors such as higher interest rates on bank deposits and availability of tax

    benefits under section 80C for bank deposits.

    On the sources side, growth of bank credit remains high, although there was

    some moderation. Demand for bank credit was largely broad based with agriculture,

    industry and personal loans absorbing 14%, 36% and 24% respectively, offering

    incremental expansion in overall non-food credit during 2006-07. 7

    Inflation

    Headline inflation firmed up from 4.0%, year on year, April 1st, 2006 to 5.9% on

    March 31st, 2007 with an intra-year high of 6.7% on January 27 th, 2007 and a low of

    3.7% on April 15th, 2006. Both demand and supply side factors added to inflationary in

    pressure during 2006-07. Demand pressures emanated from, high investments and

    consumption demand, strong growth in credit and monetary aggregates, and elevated

    assets price. Supply side pressures emerged from demand-supply gaps in domestic

    production of major food grains has exhibited stagnation over the past few years.

    Inflation Trend

    6.00%

    5.00%4.50%

    6.25%6.75%

    6.00% 6.25% 6.25% 6.05%

    0.00%

    1.00%

    2.00%

    3.00%

    4.00%

    5.00%

    6.00%

    7.00%

    8.00%

    29/04/0

    9/6/200

    26/10/0

    6/1/200

    31/01/0

    17/02/0

    3/3/200

    30/03/0

    14/04/0

    Year

    Inflation(

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    Balance of Payments

    Indias balance of payments in 2006-07 reflected a number of positive features,

    merchandise trade continue to exhibit robust growth during 2006-07, although there

    was some loss of pace from a strong growth of 2005-06. The higher growth of imports

    vis--vis experts lead to a persistent rise in trade deficit, on the balance of payments

    basis. Nonetheless the current account deficits as per cent of GDP remain unchanged

    (1.1% of GDP) from the previous year since the widening of the merchandise trade

    deficit was offset to a large extent by the continuing buoyancy in net invisibles surplus.

    Net capital inflows to India remained buoyant (4.9% of GDP), fart exceedingthe current account deficit. Higher capital flows could be attributed to the strengthening

    of micro economic fundamentals, greater investor confidence and ample global

    liquidity. Net FDI inflows from abroad US$ 19.4 billion exceeded FII inflows (net)

    during 2006-07 aggregating US$ 3.2 billion the debt flows (net) at US$ 25.0 billion

    were led by external commercial borrowings reflecting strong investment demand. Net

    capital flows, after financing the current account deficit, led to accretion of US$ 36.6

    billion, excluding valuation changes, to foreign exchange reserves during 2006-07.

    Financial Market

    Financial markets remained orderly during 2006-07, barring some episodes of

    volatility, especially during the second half of March, 2007. Capital inflows and

    movements in Government cash balances continued to be the key drivers of liquidity

    conditions and overnight interest rates. Interest rates in the various market segments

    hardened during the year, broadly in tandem with the pre-emptive monetary tightening

    measures taken by the Reserve Bank of India. By and large, the exchange rate of the

    Indian rupee exhibited two-way movement with respect to the main reserve currencies

    during 2006-07. The stock market remained buoyant with the benchmark indices

    reaching record highs during 2006-07 amidst intermittent corrections. The primary

    segment of capital market exhibited buoyant conditions.

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    Currently (2007), overall, banking in India is considered as fairly mature in

    terms of supply, product range and reach-even though reach in rural India still remains

    a challenge for the private sector and foreign banks. Even in terms of quality of assets

    and capital adequacy, Indian banks are considered to have clean, strong and transparent

    balance sheets-as compared to other banks in comparable economies in its region. The

    Reserve Bank of India is an autonomous body, with minimal pressure from the

    government. The stated policy of the Bank on the Indian Rupee is to manage volatility-

    without any stated exchange rate-and this has mostly been true.

    With the growth in the Indian economy expected to be strong for quite some

    time-especially in its services sector, the demand for banking services-especially retail

    banking, mortgages and investment services are expected to be strong. M&As,

    takeovers, asset sales and much more action (as it is unraveling in China) will happen

    on this front in India.

    In March 2006, the Reserve Bank of India allowed Warburg Pincus to increase

    its stake in Kotak Mahindra Bank (a private sector bank) to 10%. This is the first time

    an investor has been allowed to hold more than 5% in a private sector bank since the

    RBI announced norms in 2005 that any stake exceeding 5% in the private sector banks

    would need to be vetted by them.

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    Banks Working In India

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    The Indian Banking sector comprises of 88 scheduled commercial banks of which 28

    are public sector banks, 18 old private sector banks, 11 new private sector banks and 31

    foreign banks as on March 31, 2007. In addition, there are 102 regional rural banks and

    1,864 urban Co-operative Banks. They have a combined network of over 53,000

    branches and 17,000 ATMs. According to a report by ICRA Limited, a rating agency,

    the public sector banks hold over 75% of assets of the banking industry, with the

    private and foreign banks holding 18.2% and 6.5% respectively.

    Private Sector Banks:

    At December 31, 2006, private sector banks accounted for approximately 19.9%

    of aggregate deposits and 20.2% of gross bank credit outstanding of the scheduled

    commercial banks. Their network of 6,567 branches accounted for 9.4% of the total

    branch network of scheduled commercial banks in the country. At December 31, 2006,

    ICICI Bank accounted for approximately 8.3% of aggregate deposits and 8.8% of non-

    food credit outstanding of the scheduled commercial banks.

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    Banking on strong fundamentals

    Pvt.S.Bs P.S.Bs Total

    Particulars 200706(3) 200606(3)Var.

    (%)200706(3) 200606(3)

    Var.

    (%)200706(3) 200606(3)

    Var.

    (%)

    InterestEarned 16055.83 10776.04 49 47819.67 35751.43 34 63875.50 46527.47 37

    Interestexpended

    11327.53 6940.99 63 31596.31 21383.75 48 42923.84 28324.74 52

    Net InterestIncome

    4728.30 3835.05 23 16223.36 14367.68 13 20951.66 18202.73 15

    OtherIncome

    3323.12 1975.45 68 4748.95 3723.41 28 8072.07 5698.86 42

    Net totalincome

    8051.42 5810.50 39 20972.31 18091.09 16 29023.73 23901.59 21

    Operatingexpenses 4308.93 3265.91 32 11087.41 9976.99 11 15396.34 13242.90 16

    Operatingprofit

    3742.49 2544.59 47 9884.90 8114.10 22 13627.39 10658.69 28

    Provisions 1197.88 759.14 58 1791.35 2605.11 -31 2989.23 3364.25 -11

    Profit beforeTax

    2544.61 1785.45 43 8093.55 5508.99 47 10638.16 7294.44 46

    Taxprovisions

    673.74 396.86 70 2355.15 1565.03 50 3028.89 1961.89 54

    Net Profit 1870.87 1388.59 35 5738.40 3943.96 45 7609.27 5332.55 43

    Figures are in Rs. croreFor aggregates 26 P.S.U. Banks & Pvt. S. Bs are taken into consideration.

    CRR:

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    CRR stands for the cash reserve ratio. These are the specified proportion of

    deposits that a bank has to maintain with the RBI. Last week, RBI announced a 50 basis

    points hike in CRR in two phases of 25 basis points each in February and early march.

    Impact of CRR change:

    When there is a change in the CRR, the first impact is seen in the banks. For

    banks, the rise in CRR would mean that a larger proportion of funds will be with RBI,

    while a fall in rate will mean a lower proportion will be with the apex bank.

    How is the impact on banks evaluated?

    There are specific angles that one has to consider while evaluating the impact of

    CRR on banks. In time of boom, like is the currently, lending will give a higher rate of

    return to banks. Hence, if they have to keep a large proportion of their funds away from

    lending and in the form of deposits, it is a loss of opportunity for them. This will bring

    down their earnings.

    An increase in CRR would also mean that money is sucked out of the system.

    This would mean that funds are hard to come by and hence banks will have to pay more

    to depositors in order to induce them to keep their funds banks. This will push up the

    cost of funds for banks. Due to this banks will also have to raise lending rates in order

    to meet the increased cost while maintaining their margins.

    The market will analyze banks on the basis of their margins, and whether they

    will be able to maintain this going forward. A CRR rise in it self means tougher

    condition for banks but what is important is that they should also be able to keep pace

    with this entire situation. That is the key to the way in which the bank stocks will

    perform in the market.

    Movement in key policy rates in India

    Effective Rate Reverse Repo Repo Rate Cash Reserve

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    Rate Ratio

    March 31,2004 4.50% 6.00% 4.50%

    September 19,2004 4.50% 6.00% 4.75%

    October 02,2004 4.50% 6.00% 5.00%

    October 27,2004 4.75% 6.00% 5.00%

    April 29,2005 5.00% 6.00% 5.00%October 26,2005 5.25% 6.25% 5.00%

    January 24,2006 5.50% 6.50% 5.00%

    June 9,2006 5.75% 6.75% 5.00%

    July 25,2006 6.00% 7.00% 5.00%

    October 31,2006 6.00% 7.25% 5.00%

    December 23,2006 6.00% 7.25% 5.25%

    January 6,2007 6.00% 7.25% 5.50%

    January 31,2007 6.00% 7.50% 5.50%

    February 17,2007 6.00% 7.50% 5.75%

    March 03,2007 6.00% 7.50% 6.00%March 30,2007 6.00% 7.75% 6.00%

    April 14,2007 6.00% 7.75% 6.25%

    April 28,2007 6.00% 7.75% 6.50%

    Note: With effect from 29.10.2004, the nomenclature of repo & reverse repo was

    changed in keeping with international usage. Now reverse repo indicates absorption of

    liquidity & repo signifies injection of liquidity. Prior to 29.10.2004, repo indicated

    absorption of liquidity while reverse repo meant injection of liquidity.

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    Deposit and Lending Rates

    Deposit Rate March,05 March,06 March,07

    Public Sector Banks

    Upto 1 year 2.75-6.00 2.25-6.50 2.75-8.75More than 1 year & upto 3yrs. 4.75-6.50 5.75-6.75 7.25-9.50

    More than 3 yrs 5.25-7.00 6.00-7.25 7.50-9.50

    Private Sector Banks

    Upto 1 year 3.00-6.25 3.50-7.25 3.00-9.00

    More than 1 year & upto 3 yrs 5.25-7.25 5.50-7.75 6.75-9.75

    More than 3 yrs 5.75-7.00 6.00-7.75 7.75-9.60

    Foreign Banks

    Upto 1 year 3.00-6.25 3.00-6.15 3.00-9.50

    More than 1 year & upto 3 yrs 3.50-6.50 4.00-6.50 3.50-9.50

    More than 3 yrs 3.50-7.00 5.50-6.50 4.05-9.50

    Benchmark Prime LendingRates

    Public Sector Banks 10.25-11.25 10.25-11.25 12.25-12.7

    Private Sector Banks 11.00-13.50 11.00-14.00 12.00-16.5

    Foreign Banks 10.00-14.50 10.00-14.50 10.00-15.5

    Actual Lending Rate

    Public Sector Banks 2.75-16.00 4.00-16.50 4.00-17.00

    Private Sector Banks 3.15-22.00 3.15-20.50 3.15-25.50

    Foreign Banks 3.55-23.50 4.75-26.00 5.00-26.50

    Key Points:

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    Supply Liquidity is controlled by THE Reserve Bank of India.

    Demand India is a growing economy and demand for credit is highthough it could be cyclical.

    Barriers to Entry Licensing requirement, investment in technology and branchnetwork.

    Bargaining power High during periods of tight liquidity. Trade unions inof suppliers public sector banks can be anti reforms. Depositors

    may invest elsewhere if interest rate falls.

    Bargaining power For good creditworthy borrowers bargaining power isof customers high due to the availability of large number of banks.

    Competition High- There is public sector banks, private sector

    and foreign banks along with non banking finance.

    Financial Year07: Incremental credit/deposit ratio on a steady decline:

    With most banks having run out of excess statutory liquidity ratio (SLR)

    holdings, the gap in credit and deposit growth is slowly going to close as banks

    are witnessing currently. The incremental credit/deposit ratio has steadily

    declined from 120% to 75% at present.

    58%

    60%

    62%

    64%

    66%

    68%

    70%

    72%

    5-Apr 5-Jun 5-Aug 5-Oct 5-Dec 6-Feb 6-Apr 6-Jun 6-Aug

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    120%

    140%

    CD Ratio Incremental CD Ratio

    30

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    Retail Credit- Spiraling Ahead:

    FY07 witnessed banks shedding their surplus investment portfolio and trading

    the same for a larger proportion of advance portfolio. At the same time, pick up

    in incremental capex lending led to a record growth of 31% (yoy) and increasedthe average credit deposit ratio to 65%.

    Retail Credit

    05

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    Year

    (%)Y-O-

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    (%)

    Growth [LHS] % of total credit [RHS]

    Mortgage Loans- The Growth Driver

    Mortgage loans comprised nearly 53% of total retail credit in FY07. Despite therise in lending rates, the fiscal benefits accorded to them kept mortgage loans

    relatively attractive. Bank also leveraged on the home loan portfolio to comply

    with their priority sector norms.

    Mortgage Loans

    0246810

    1214

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    Year

    (%)

    0102030

    4050

    60

    (%)

    % of total credit [LHS] % of total loans [RHS]

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    Overview:

    ICICI Bank is Indias second-largest bank with total assets of Rs. 3,4456.58

    billion (US$ 79 billion) at March 31, 2007 and profit after tax of Rs. 31.10 billion for

    fiscal 2007. ICICI Bank is the most valuable bank in India in terms of market

    capitalization and is ranked among top five companies in terms of free float market

    capitalization. The bank has a network of about 950 branches and 3,300 ATMs in India

    and presence in 17 countries. ICICI Bank offers wide range of banking products and

    financial services to corporate and retail customers through a variety of delivery

    channels and through its specialized subsidiaries and affiliates in the areas of

    investment banking, life and non- life insurance, venture capital and asset management.

    The Bank currently has subsidiaries in the United Kingdom, Russia and Canada,

    branches in Singapore, Bahrain, Hong Kong, Sri Lanka and Dubai International

    Finance Centre and representative offices in the United States, United Arab Emirates,

    China, South Africa and Bangladesh, Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia. Its UK

    subsidiary has established a branch in Belgium.

    ICICI Banks equity shares are listed in India on Bombay Stock Exchange andthe National Stock Exchange of India Limited and its American Depositary Shares

    (ADRs) are listed on New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).

    History:

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    ICICI Bank was originally promoted in 1994 by ICICI Limited, an Indian

    financial institution, and was its wholly owned subsidiary. ICICIs shareholding in

    ICICI Bank was reduced to 46% through a public offering of shares in India in fiscal

    1998, an equity offering in the form of ADRs listed on NYSE IN FISCAL 2000, ICICI

    Banks acquisition OF Bank of Madura Limited in an all-stock amalgamation in fiscal

    2001, and se4condary market sales by ICICI to institutional investors in fiscal 2201 and

    2002. ICICI was formed in 1955 at the initiative of World Bank, the Government of

    India an Indian industry. The principal objective was to create a development financial

    institution for providing medium-term and long term project financing to Indian

    businesses.

    After consideration of various corporate structuring alternatives in the context

    of emerging competitive scenario in the Indian banking industry and the move towards

    universal banking, the managements of ICICI and ICICI Bank formed the view that the

    merger of ICICI with ICICI Bank would be the optimal strategic alternative for both

    entities, and would create the optimal legal structure for the ICICI groups universal

    and banking strategy.

    In October 2001, the Board of Directors of ICICI and ICICI Bank approved the

    merger of ICICI and two of its wholly owned retail finance subsidiaries, ICICI Personal

    Financial Services and ICICI Capital Services Limited, with ICICI Bank. The merger

    was approved by shareholders of ICICI and ICICI Bank in January 2002, by the High

    Court of Gujarat at Ahmedabad in March 2002, and by the High Court of Judicature at

    Mumbai and the Reserve Bank of India in April 2002.

    Sangli Bank has merged with ICICI Bank effective April 19, 2007 as per the

    order of Reserve Bank of India dated April 18, 2007. Pursuant to the merger of Sangli

    Bank with ICICI Bank Limited, the shareholders of Sangli Bank were allotted

    34,55,008 equity shares of Rs. 10 each on May 28, 2007.

    SUBSIDIARIES/JOINT VENTURE/ ASSOCIATES

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    ICICI Venture Funds Management

    Company Ltd.

    Manages funds that provide venturecapital to start-up companies andundertake private equity investments.

    ICICI Primary Dealership Ltd. Engaged in equity underwriting, brokerageand primary dealership in governmentsecurities.

    ICICI Securities Ltd. Leading Investment BankingOrganization.

    First Source Solutions Ltd. Leading third party BPO service provider.

    ICICI Prudential Life Insurance

    Company Ltd.

    Retail market share of about 28% in new

    business by private sector life insurancecompanies during FY 2007.

    ICICI Lombard General Insurance

    Company Ltd.

    Market share of about 34% in grosswritten premium among the private sectorgeneral insurance companies duringFY2007.

    ICICI Prudential Asset Management

    Company

    Among the top two mutual funds in Indiain terms of total funds under managementin the Indian Mutual Fund Industry for

    FY07 with a market share of over 11%.(Source: AMFI)

    Domestic Subsidiaries

    ICICI Brokerage Services Limited.

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    ICICI Distribution Finance Private Limited.

    ICICI Home Finance Company Limited.

    ICICI Investment Management Company Limited.

    ICICI Trusteeship Services Limited.

    Prudential ICICI Trust Limited.

    International Subsidiaries

    ICICI Bank Canada.

    ICICI Bank Eurasia Limited Liability Company.

    ICICI International Limited.

    ICICI Securities Holding Inc*.

    ICICI Securities Inc*.

    ICICI Bank UK Limited.

    Background of ICICI Bank

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    As onJune 30, 2007 FY08

    CMP: - 955.45 Target Price: - 1,710

    Incorporation Year 1994

    Managing Director K. V. Kamath

    Registered Office

    Landmark, Race CourseCircle, Alakapuri,

    Vadodra-390007,Gujrat

    Telephone 91-265-2339923/25/27/28

    Fax 91-265-2339926

    Website www.icicibank.com

    Face Value [Rs] 10

    BSE Code 532174

    BSE Group A

    NSE Code ICICIBANK

    Bloomberg ICICIBC IN

    Reuters ICBK.BOISIN Demat INE090A01013

    Market Lot 1

    Listing BSE, NSE, NYSE

    Financial Year End 03

    Book Closure Month Jun/Jul

    AGM Month Jul

    36

    http://www.icicibank.com/http://www.icicibank.com/
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    SHARE HOLDING PATTERN

    Share holding pattern as on:

    31/03/2006 31/03/2007

    Face Value 10.00 10.00

    No. of Shares % Holding No. of Shares % Holding

    Promoters Holding

    Sub Total - - - -

    Non Promoters Holding

    Institutional Investors

    Banks, Fin. Inst.,Insurance

    109664301 17.27 107789571 16.5

    FIIs 399746652 44.71 405033806 45.04

    Sub Total 554119342 61.98 552358029 61.42

    Other Investors

    Private CorporateBodies

    45010772 5.03 46685349 5.19

    NRIs/OCBS/Foreign 48971 0.01 48971 0.01

    Government 1250 - 1250 -

    Others 238530478 26.68 238530478 26.68

    Sub Total 283591471 31.72 285266048 31.88

    General Public 56292130 6.30 61642595 6.85

    Grand Total 894002943 100.00 899266672 100.00

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    Performance with major indices:

    The performance of ICICI Bank Price in stock market with three major indices

    is given below. Performance with-

    Sensex - Sensitive Index for 30 Major Stocks replicates

    the movement of market.

    NIFTY- National Index for 50 major stocks.

    Bank nifty - Replicates the movement in price of stock of

    various banks.

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    NIFTY & ICICI Bank P r

    050 0

    100015002000

    250030003500400045005000

    2007

    /06

    2007

    /05

    2007

    /04

    2007

    /03

    2007

    /02

    2007

    /01

    2006

    /12

    2006

    /11

    2006

    /10

    2006

    /09

    2006

    /08

    2006

    /07

    Peroi

    NIFTY

    0

    20 0

    40 0

    60 0

    80 0

    1000

    1200ICICIBank

    Price

    NIFTY

    ICICI Bank Pri

    Bank and Sensex

    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    14000

    16000

    2007

    /06

    2007

    /05

    2007

    /04

    2007

    /03

    2007

    /02

    2007

    /01

    2006

    /12

    2006

    /11

    2006

    /10

    2006

    /09

    2006

    /08

    2006

    /07

    Period

    Sensex

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    ICICIBankPrice

    Sensex

    ICICI Bank Price

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    Ba nk N ifty & ICICI Bank P

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    7000

    8000

    2007

    /06

    2007

    /05

    2007

    /04

    2007

    /03

    2007

    /02

    2007

    /01

    2006

    /12

    2006

    /11

    2006

    /10

    2006

    /09

    2006

    /08

    2006

    /07

    Perio

    Bank

    Nifty

    0

    20 0

    40 0

    60 0

    80 0

    1000

    1200ICIC

    IBankPrice

    Bank Ni fty

    ICICI Bank Pri

    ICICI Bank Price Movement over a period of one year:

    Price Movement for One Year

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    Period

    Price

    STRATEGY

    Business Composition

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    ICICIs loan book is predominantly composed of retail assets as it feels retail

    finance offers significant risk diversification benefits with the credit risk being spread

    over a large number of relatively small individual loans. The growth of its retrial

    finance portfolio has been the principal driver of its portfolio diversification strategy.

    Retail loans constituted 65.2% total loans for FY07 compared to 62.9% for FY06 and

    60.9% for FY05.

    0.00%10.00%20.00%30.00%40.00%50.00%60.00%70.00%

    Percentage

    2005 2006 2007

    Financial Year

    Movement of Advances

    Retail

    Corporate

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    Compared to its peers ICICI Banks CASA ratio (current account/saving account) is

    relatively lower. As of FY07 ICICI bank had a CASA ratio of 21.8% compared to SBI

    48.5%, UTI 39.9% and HDFC bank 57.7%.

    42

    Total Outstanding Retail Finance

    Portfolio

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    March,2005 March,2006 March,2007

    Year

    Percentage

    Home

    Automobile

    Businesses

    Two-Wheeler

    Personal

    Credit Cards

    Against Securities

    and others

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    0.00%

    10.00%

    20.00%

    30.00%

    40.00%

    50.00%

    60.00%

    70.00%

    80.00%

    Percentage

    2005 2006 2007

    Year

    Outstanding Deposits

    Current Account Savings Time

    Cost of Deposits

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    2005 2006 2007

    Financial Year

    PercentageSavings

    Time

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    Enhancing its strong corporate franchise

    ICICI is seeking to build a global corporate and investment banking franchise

    focused on Indian companies, covering advisory, origination, structuring, execution and

    syndication. Their corporate lending activities will focus corporate finance and working

    capital lending to highly rated corporation emerging global competitiveness of the

    Indian industry offer growth opportunities in the area of project financing.

    Growing its International Presence

    ICICI intends to grow its international business based on leveraging home

    country links for international expansion by capturing market share in select

    international markets. The focus areas are supporting Indian companies in rising

    corporate and project finance overseas for their investment in India and abroad.

    Personal financial services (including remittance and deposit products) for non-resident

    Indians are another area of focus.

    Penetrating Rural India

    ICICI offers a comprehensive suite of products for all customer segments

    operating in the rural areas-corporate, small and medium enterprises and finally the

    individual traders and farmers. Future growth of India is depended on rural India. There

    is tremendous opportunity for the banking sector in rural India and ICICI to win big

    share of the same.

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    Insurance and Asset Management Business

    ICICI has a joint venture partnership both in Life as well as non life Insurance

    business it holds 74% interest in both the JV the balance being held by foreign partners.

    It is the largest private sector life as well as non-life insurance company in India, with a

    retail market share of approximately 28% and 34% for respectively in the private sector

    and an overall market share of approximately 10% and 12% based on new business

    premiums during FY07.

    ICICI 51% interest in its joint venture partnership with Prudential Plc of the

    United Kingdom for the asset management business. It is among the two largest mutual

    funds in India, with total assets under management approximately Rs. 379 billion and a

    market share of approximately 11.6% for FY07.

    Other Income-Fee based avenues

    ICICI earns fee income from their commercial banking services to retail

    customers, including retail loan processing fees, credit card and debit card fees,

    transaction banking fees and fees from distribution of third party products. Its focus is

    on meeting the working capital requirements, deposit accounts and other banking

    products and services of small and medium enterprises.

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    FINANCIALS

    Profit & Loss Statement:

    [Rs. in billion]

    Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08

    NII 28.39 41.87 66.36 88.06

    Non-Interest Income 27.05 40.55 59.44 77.27

    - Fee Income 20.98 32.59 50.12 67

    - Others 6.07 7.96 9.02 1029Core Operating Income 55.44 82.42 125.49 164.77

    Operating Expenses 25.17 35.47 49.79 62.5

    Other DMA1 Expenses 8.85 11.77 15.24 18.27

    Lease Depreciation 2.97 2.77 1.88 1.61

    Core Operating Profit 22.45 37.63 58.59 80.67

    Treasury Income 7.11 9.28 10.14 11.41

    Operating Profit 29.56 46.91 68.73 92.08

    Provisions 14.29 15.94 14.95 15.17

    Profit Before Tax 25.27 30.17 53.78 76.91

    Tax 5.22 5.57 5.38 5.43PAT 20.05 25.60 48.40 71.48

    Note: The projected Profit & Loss statement for the period Mar-08 is prepared with thehelp of Compounded Annual Growth Rate formulae. [Base year is Mar-05].

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    Balance Sheet: Assets

    Balance Sheet: Liabilities

    [Rs. in billion]

    Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08

    Net Worth 125.50 222.06 243.13 303.13

    - Equity Capital 7.37 8.90 8.99 9.03

    - Reserves 118.13 213.16 234.14 294.10

    Preference 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50

    Deposits 998.91 1,650.83 2,305.10 3,046.18

    Borrowings 224.05 354.77 598.24 727.78

    eICICI

    Borrowings

    193.48 131.90 108.37 89.33

    Other Liabilities 131.87 150.83 188.24 211.96

    Total Liabilities 1,676.59 2,513.89 3,446.58 4381.88

    Note: The projected Balance Sheet for the year Mar-08 is prepared with the help ofCompounded Annual Growth Rate formulae. [Base year is Mar-05].

    Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08

    Cash balances with banks &

    SLR

    474.12 618.14 1044.89 1359.72

    - Cash & bank balances 129.30 170.40 371.21 527.60

    - SLR Investments 344.82 510.74 673.68 842.17

    Advances 914.05 1,461.63 1,958.66 2510.89

    Other Investments 160.05 204.73 238.90 273.01

    Fixed & Other Assets 128.37 166.39 204.13 238.26Total Assets 1,676.59 2,513.89 3,446.58 4381.88

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    Dividend:

    Dividend is that portion of total profit earned by the company which is

    distributed among shareholders of the company and is declared by the Board of

    directors.

    Year Month Dividend [%]

    2007 April 100

    2006 April 85

    2005 May 85

    2004 April 75

    2003 April 752002 May -

    2002 January 20

    2001 April 20

    Dividend

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    2001 2002 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    Year

    Percentage

    Dividend

    Interpretation:In case of ICICI Bank, the bank has given good dividends to its shareholders

    over a period of 7 years. It indicates that the bank is earning handsome profit over the

    years which it passes on to its shareholders.

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    Capital Adequacy Ratio:A banks capital ratio is the ratio of qualifying capital to risk adjusted

    [or weighted] assets. The RBI has set the minimum capital adequacy ratio at 10% as on

    March, 2002 for all banks. A ratio below the minimum indicates that the bank is not

    adequately capitalized to expand its operations. The ratio ensures that the bank do not

    expand their business without having adequate capital.

    March 31, 2006 March 31, 2007

    Rs. bn % Rs. bn %

    Total Capital 278.43 13.35 338.96 11.69

    - Tier 191.82 9.20 215.03 7.42

    - Tier 86.61 4.15 123.93 4.27

    Risk Weighted Assets 2,058.94 2,899.93

    Interpretation:The above statistics indicates that ICICI Bank is aggressively expanding

    their business to increase its operations year-on-year basis. The bank has less capital

    adequacy ratio in 2007 in spite of increase capital as compared to 2006 due to the

    pressure of cash reserve ratio and repo rate.

    Non-Performing Asset ratio:The net non-performing asset to loans (advances) ratio is used as a

    major of the overall quality of the banks loan book. Net NPAs are calculated by

    reducing cumulative valance of provisions outstanding at a period end form gross

    NPAs..

    Asset Quality and Provisioning:[Rs. in billion]

    Mar-31,2006 Mar-31,2007

    Gross NPAs 29.63 48.50

    Less: Cumulative w/offs &provisions

    18.88 28.31

    Net NPAs 10.75 20.19

    Net NPA Ratio 0.71% 0.98%

    Interpretation:NPAs of ICICI Bank has increased from 0.71% in 2006 to 0.98% in

    2007 which is a serious concern for the bank. The higher ratio reflects rising bad quality

    of loans.

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    Earning Per Share:It is widely used ratio to measure the profit available to the equity shareholders

    on a per share basis. EPS is calculated on the basis of current profit and not on the basis

    of retained profits.

    Earning Per Share

    13.4918.31

    22.4328.41

    53.82

    64.29

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Year

    EP

    Interpretation:

    The EPS of bank is increasing year-on-year basis and the projected EPS is

    calculated on the basis of projected profit after tax for year Mar-08. The increasing EPS

    indicates the increasing trend of profits per share.

    Return on Equity:The return on equity measures the profitability of equity funds invested in the

    firm. It is regarded as a very important measure it reflects the productivity of the

    ownership (or risk) capital employed in the firm.

    Return on Equity

    18.30%

    21.80%

    17.90%16.40%

    13.40%11.22%

    0.00%

    5.00%

    10.00%

    15.00%

    20.00%

    25.00%

    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Year

    (%

    50

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    Price Earnings ratio:P/E Ratio indicates the price currently being paid in the market for each rupee

    of EPS. It measures the expectation of the investors. A high P/E Ratio may indicate the

    possibility of increase in EPS. A low P/E Ratio may indicate that there is no possibility

    of any increase in EPS and the investors will be reluctant to invest in such shares.

    Price Earning Ratio

    0

    5

    10

    1520

    25

    30

    35

    40

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    Year

    P

    EPE

    Interpretation:

    P/E Ratio of ICICI Bank has a declining trend from 2004 to 2008, a low P/E

    Ratio is considered as one of the important criteria from the point of view of investors.

    Peer Comparison

    Company SBI HDFC UTI ICICI

    NII 160,542 37,098 15,671 66,358

    NP 45,413 11,415 6590 31,102ROE 15.4 19.3 21 13.4

    EPS 86.3 35.74 23.4 34.5

    P/E 11.5 26.6 20.9 24.8

    P/ABV 2.0 4.8 4.4 3.5

    Key Ratios:

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    Given below are some of the key ratios for evaluating the banks performance

    and their performance over a period of 3 years.

    Key Ratios

    Mar-07 Mar-06 Mar-05Credit-Deposit (%) 86.46 89.68 91.74

    Investment / Deposit (%) 41.15 46.07 55.52

    Cash / Deposit (%) 6.99 5.77 7Interest Expended / Interest Earned(%) 71.14 67.09 69.83

    Other Income / Total Income (%) 23.24 26.14 27.33

    Operating Expenses / Total Income (%) 25.78 30.24 25.49

    Interest Income / Total Funds (%) 7.7 6.8 6.39

    Interest Expended / Total Funds (%) 5.48 4.56 4.46

    Net Interest Income / Total Funds (%) 2.22 2.24 1.93Non Interest Income / Total Funds (%) 2.33 2.41 2.4

    Operating Expenses / Total Funds (%) 2.59 2.79 2.24Profit before Provisions / Total Funds(%) 1.97 1.86 2.09

    Net Profit / Total funds (%) 1.04 1.21 1.36

    RONW (%) 13.37 14.62 19.51

    Projected Market Price for FY08:

    The projected market price can be calculated as-

    Market Price = P/E Ratio for FY07 * Projected EPS for FY08

    = 26.60 * 64.29

    = Rs. 1710.

    Note: It is a projected price which is based on various factors and mostly on EPS andP/E Ratio. Variations may be there to attain this price, no assurance of target priceachievement. P/E Ratio has taken as constant of FY07

    Concerns for ICICI Bank

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    Their banking and trading activities are particularly vulnerable to interest rate

    risk and volatility in interest rates could adversely affect their net interest

    margin, the value of their fixed income portfolio, their income from treasuryoperations, the quality of their loan portfolio and their financial performance.

    Their rapid retail expansion in India and their rural initiative expose them to

    increased risk that may adversely affect their business.

    The failure of their restructured loans to perform as expected or a significant

    increase in the level of restructured loans in their portfolio could affect their

    business.

    0.00%

    20.00%

    40.00%

    60.00%

    80.00%

    Percenatge

    2005 2006 2007

    Financial Year

    Gross NPAs

    Retail

    Corporate

    LIMITATIONS

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    Fundamental analysis has some limitation involved in it. This limitation can be

    explained as under:

    Time Constrain:

    Fundamental analysis may offer excellent insights, but it can be extraordinarily

    time-consuming. Time-consuming models often produce valuations that are

    contradictory to the current price prevailing on the exchange.

    Company Specific:

    Valuation techniques vary depending on the industry group and specifics of

    each company. For this reason, a different technique and model is required for different

    industries and different companies. This can be quite time-consuming process, which

    can limit the amount of research that can be performed.

    The sales and inventory ratio may be very important for the cement sector

    company but these ratios are not very useful for the banking sector.

    Inadequacies of Data:

    While making analysis one has to often wrestle with inadequate data. While

    deliberate falsification of data may be rare, subtle misrepresentation and concealment

    are common.

    Future Uncertainties:

    Future changes are largely unpredictable; more so when the economic and

    business environment is buffeted by frequent winds of change. In an environment

    characterized by discontinuities, the past record is a poor guide to future performance.

    Irrational Market Behaviour:

    The market itself presents a major obstacle while making analysis on account of

    neglect or prejudice, undervaluation may persist for extended periods; likewise,

    overvaluations arising from unsatisfied optimism and misplaced enthusiasm may

    endure for unreasonable lengths of time.

    CONCLUSION

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    Fundamental analysis holds that no investment decision should be

    without processing and analyzing all relevant information. It strength lies in the fact the

    information analyzed is real as opposed to hunches or assumptions. On the other hand,

    while fundamental analysis deals with tangible fact, it does not tend to ignore the fact

    that human beings do not always act rationally. Market prices do sometimes deviate

    from fundamentals. Prices rise or fall due to insider trading, speculation, rumor, and a

    host of other factors.

    This is true to an extent but strength of fundamental analysis is that an investment

    decision is arrived at after analyzing information and making logical assumptions and

    deductions. Furthermore, fundamental analysis ensures that one does not recklessly buy

    or sell shares- especially buy.

    Fundamental analysis can be valuable, but it should be approached with caution.

    If you are reading research written by a sell-side analyst, it is important to be familiar

    with the analyst behind the report. We all have personal biases, and every analyst has

    some sort of bias. There is nothing wrong with this, and the research can still be of great

    value.

    The analysis carried out at Anand Rathi Securities Limited on the ICICI Bank,

    their profit and loss account, balance sheet and ratios. I shall suggest the investors to

    invest in ICICI Bank than the other banks as a value investment.

    Reasons:

    Largest private sector bank in India, second largest in entire banking

    industry.

    Strong increase in profit year-on-year basis.

    Increasing EPS indicate good earnings.

    Increase in sharing profit with shareholders in form of dividend.

    ICICI Bank is expanding its footholds on international level also; its

    insurance and asset management business are also performing well.

    The bank also expanding their business in rural area.

    Bibliography

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    Books:

    Investment Analysis & Portfolio Management- Prasanna Chandra.

    News Papers:

    Economic Times

    Business Standard

    Magazines:

    Capital Market

    Dalal Street

    Bank Quest

    Websites:

    www.intra.rathi.com

    www.icicibank.com

    www.rbi.org.in

    www.moneycontrol.com

    www.equitymaster.com

    www.nseindia.com

    http://www.intra.rathi.com/http://www.icicibank.com/http://www.rbi.org.in/http://www.moneycontrol.com/http://www.equitymaster.com/http://www.nseindia.com/http://www.intra.rathi.com/http://www.icicibank.com/http://www.rbi.org.in/http://www.moneycontrol.com/http://www.equitymaster.com/http://www.nseindia.com/