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FSF Mediterranean: 5 th International Conference “Aviation Safety Performance: Can it be Measured?” Session 1: Challenges Facing Aviation Safety EUROCONTROL Network Manager (NM) ‘Top 5’ Safety Priorities Richard “Sid” Lawrence EUROCONTROL NMD Safety 15 May 2014

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FSF Mediterranean: 5th International Conference“Aviation Safety Performance: Can it be Measured?” Session 1: Challenges Facing Aviation Safety

EUROCONTROL Network Manager (NM) ‘Top 5’ Safety Priorities

Richard “Sid” LawrenceEUROCONTROL NMD Safety

15 May 2014

Identifying the NM ‘Top 5’ - Scope

Strategic fit and challenge

The Process

The ‘Top 5’

Deliverables

Where are we now?

Questions

CAPACI

TY

CAPACI

TY

SAFETY

SAFETY

EFFICIENCY

EFFICIENCY

ENVIRONMENT

ENVIRONMENT

SES

ATM NETWORK PERFORMANCE

SES

ATM NETWORK PERFORMANCE

NETWORK MANAGERNETWORK MANAGER

Operational Safety Task

Regulatory Chain Service Provision Chain

EC, EASA, NSAs:

Safety Rulemaking, Certification Safety Oversight

EC, EASA, NSAs:

Safety Rulemaking, Certification Safety Oversight

NM, Aviation NM, Aviation Operators:Operators:

Safety ManagementSafety Management Operational SafetyOperational Safety Safety CultureSafety Culture

NM, Aviation NM, Aviation Operators:Operators:

Safety ManagementSafety Management Operational SafetyOperational Safety Safety CultureSafety Culture

NM safety work programme fully coordinated with EASA; non-regulatory.

Some deliverables contribute towards EASA European Aviation Safety Plan (EASp).

NM safety work programme fully coordinated with EASA; non-regulatory.

Some deliverables contribute towards EASA European Aviation Safety Plan (EASp).

NM Safety – ‘Top 5’ Strategic Fit

Network Strategy Plan

Network Strategy Plan NM Safety:

Identify Top 5 operational ATM Safety priorities

NM Safety:

Identify Top 5 operational ATM Safety priorities

Identify operational safety risks to mitigate safety risks at network level using relevant network safety data.

Identify operational safety risks to mitigate safety risks at network level using relevant network safety data.

NM Implementing Rule revision:

Safety Management

NM Implementing Rule revision:

Safety Management

Network Performance Plan

Network Performance Plan

Network Operations Plan

Network Operations Plan

The Challenge – find the ‘Top 5’ Operational ATM Safety Risk Priorities

How do we identify and prioritise the most important operational ATM risks facing the Network? Strategic fit - respond to the Network Manager mandate /

Network Strategy Plan - provide baseline for Network Top 5 Operational Safety Risk Priorities

More systematic review of risk areas More explicit portfolio of initiatives and deliverables Enhance the collaborative decision making

Another challenge, how to make sense of the available safety performance data/knowledge:

NM Safety Improvement Sub Group (SISG) in 2012:

Let’s see what we did…

Challenge Challenge

Where to put the SISG work priorities?

Mid-air Mid-air collisioncollision

Ground Ground Collision Collision

CFITCFIT

RERE

OUTCOMESOUTCOMESPRECURSORSPRECURSORS

Loss of Loss of SeparationSeparation

Airspace Airspace InfringementInfringement

Runway Runway Incursion Incursion

CFTTCFTT

Unstabilised Unstabilised ApproachApproach

OPS THREATSOPS THREATS

AG Comm. AG Comm. issuesissues

Severe WX Severe WX RisksRisks

Technical Technical failures failures

Laser Laser IlluminationIllumination

ATC Sector ATC Sector OverloadsOverloads

ORG ENABLERSORG ENABLERS

SMS MaturitySMS Maturity

Safety Safety CultureCulture

Competency Competency system system

The Process step-by-step: Potential Risk Areas

1. ANSPs’Safety Priorities

2. SuggestedPriorities

4. In-depth analysis

3. Collaborativedecision

5. Improvement Actions

•Loss of Separation•Runway Incursion•Airspace Infringements (inside CAS)•Weather•Unstabilised Approaches•Level Busts•Military activity•Oceanic Ops•Air Ground Communications•ANSP/ANSP Interface (internal and external coordination)•Ground operations•GA at small airports•Go-Arounds/Missed Approach

•Safety Nets•Systemic handling of Active Danger areas •Aircraft technical problems/unusual situations•Birdstrikes•Laser Illumination•Hot spots (route intersections)•Crossing traffic (airspace design)•Technical failures•Runway excursion•FOD•STCA•Simultaneous/Blocked Transmissions•HOTO

1. ANSPs’Safety Priorities

2. Suggested Priorities

4. In-depth analysis

3. Collaborativedecision

5. Improvement Actions

2.1Criticality of the Risk Areas -

how close events are to an accident

The Process step-by-step: Suggested Risk Priorities

Runway IncursionLoss of separationAirspace Infringement (of Controlled Airspace)Runway ExcursionIncident after Unstabilised ApproachLevel BustAdverse weather conditionsATC position/sector overloadsAir-Ground Communication IncidentsHOTO Incidents

1. ANSPs’Safety Priorities

2. Suggested Priorities

4. In-depth analysis

3. Collaborativedecision

5. Improvement Actions

2.2Suggested PrioritiesSuggested Priorities

The process step-by-step : Suggested Risk Priorities

• Airspace Infringement

• Runway Incursion

• Loss of Separation

• ATC sector overloads

• Level Bust

• Go Around Safety

• Severe Weather Risk

• Air Ground communications

1. ANSPs’Safety Priorities

2. Suggested Priorities

4. In-depth analysis

3. Collaborativedecision

5. Improvement Actions

33Safety Team - Risk ReviewSafety Team - Risk Review

• Runway Incursion

• Loss of Separation

The Process step-by-step: Agreed Risk Priorities

Simplified SAFMAP – Barriers

RUNWAY INCURSION

UNRESOLVED BY ATC RUNWAY CONFLICT

UNRESOLVED BY ATC AND PILOT/DRIVER RUNWAY CONFLICT

RUNWAY CONFLICT

Preventing Runway Incursion

Preventing Runway Incursion to turn into RWY conflict

ATC RWY Collision Avoidance

Pilot/Driver RWY Collision Avoidance

Providence

Findings - The efficiency of the barriers

10

8

7

26

PROVIDENCE

COLLISION AVOIDANCE BY PILOT OR VEHICLE DRIVER

COLLISION AVOIDANCE BY ATC

CONFLICT PREVENTION

36RWY INCURSION PREVENTION

WORKED FAILED

11 7

18

Findings – Runway Safety

Detecting RWY still occupied

44%

Detecting non-intended

runway use 28%

No landing without

clearance14%

other6%

sufficient spacing

8%

72%

Runway Incursion – ‘Top 5’Priorities:

Landing without ClearanceLanding without Clearance

Detecting occupied runway Detecting occupied runway

Loss of Separation En Route – ‘Top 5’ Priorities:

‘Blind spot’‘Blind spot’

Risk of operations without a transponder or with a dysfunctional one Risk of operations without a transponder or with a dysfunctional one

Conflict detection with adjacent sectorsConflict detection with adjacent sectors

19/04/23 21

‘Top 5’ ATM Operational Safety Priorities for 2013

1. ANSPs’Safety Priorities

2. Suggested Priorities

4. Top 5 Study

3. Collaborativedecision

5. Improvement Actions

4.1Collect information for the specific risk area

4.2Analyse the causes and their interdependence

4.3Consolidate Suggested Safety EnhancementsSuggested Safety Enhancements

The Process step-by-step: ‘Top 5’ Studies

Where are we today?

‘Top 5’ Safety Studies launched in 2013 – ongoing, nearing completion.

Prioritisation exercise repeated using 2012/3 data.

Results broadly similar – therefore, retain current ‘Top 5’ until completion of Studies.

However, runway incursion data revealed involvement of vehicles in RI incidents remains prevalent – intend to undertake survey of aerodromes/ANSPs:

‘Best’ practices for aerodrome driving etc Effectiveness of EAPPRI recommendations Possible Safety Study

Have we met the challenge?

We think so!

Structured, collaborative and robust process but without being over burdensome and time-consuming.

Uses existing safety data and contributes to our understanding of operational safety performance.

Enhances our collective safety knowledge and enables it to be widely spread to help others across the Network improve their safety performance.

2014 Safety Forum - Airborne Conflict

Date: 10 – 11 June

Venue: EUROCONTROL HQ Brussels

Registration closes soon! [email protected]

Date: 10 – 11 June

Venue: EUROCONTROL HQ Brussels

Registration closes soon! [email protected]

Top 5 Safety Priorities 27

Questions?