frsh jan 2016 investor presentation

Upload: ala-baster

Post on 07-Aug-2018

223 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    1/32

    INVESTOR

    PRESENTATIONJanuary, 2016

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    2/32

    Forward-Looking StatementsThis presentation contains forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. All statements other than statements of historical fact or relating to present facts or current conditions

    included in this presentation are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements give the Company’s current expectations and projections relating to its financial condition, results of operations,

    plans, objectives, future performance and business. You can identify forward-looking statements by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. These statements may include

    words such as “anticipate,” “estimate,” “expect,” “project,” “plan,” “intend,” “believe,” “may,” “should,” “can have,” “likely” and other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with any

    discussion of the timing or nature of future operating or financial performance or other events.

    The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are based on assumptions that the Company has made in light of its industry experience and perceptions of historical trends, current

    conditions, expected future developments and other factors it believes are appropriate under the circumstances. As you read and consider this presentation, you should understand that these

    statements are not guarantees of performance or results. They involve risks, uncertainties (many of which are beyond our control) and assumptions. Although the Company believes that these forward-

    looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, you should be aware that many factors could affect its actual operating and financial performance and cause its performance to differ 

    materially from the performance anticipated in the forward-looking statements. The Company believes these factors include, but are not limited to, those described under the sections “Risk Factors”

    and “Management’s  Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in its Annual Report on Form 10-K and its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 

    28, 2015, both of which are incorporated by reference in the Company’s preliminary prospectus supplement. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of theseassumptions prove incorrect, the Company’s actual operating and financial performance may vary in material respects from the performance projected in these forward-looking statements.

    Any forward-looking statement made by the Company in this presentation speaks only as of the date on which it is made. Factors or events that could cause the Company’s actual operating and

    financial performance to differ may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for the Company to predict all of them. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update any forward-

    looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except as may be required by law.

    Non-GAAP Financial Measures

    This presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial measures. A “non-GAAP financial measure” is defined as a numerical measure of a company’s financial performance that excludes or includes

    amounts so as to be different than the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP in the statements of income, balance sheets or statements of cash flow

    of the company. The Company has provided a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP financial measure, to net income on the company’s corporate web-site at investors.papamurphys.com.

    Adjusted EBITDA is presented because management believes that such financial measure, when viewed with the Company’s results of operations in accordance with GAAP and the reconciliation of

    Adjusted EBITDA to net income, provides additional information to investors about certain material non-cash items and about unusual items that the Company does not expect to continue at the same

    level in the future. Adjusted EBITDA is used by investors as a supplemental measure to evaluate the overall operating performance of companies in the Company’s industry, you should not consider it in

    isolation, or as a substitute for analysis of results as reported under GAAP. Our calculation of Adjusted EBITDA may not be comparable to that reported by other companies. For additional information

    about our non-GAAP financial measures, see our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

    JOBS Act

    The Company is an “emerging growth company” within the meaning of the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act. As a result, the Company is subject to reduced public company reporting requirements.

    Legal Stuff

    2

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    3/32

    Award-Winning Fresh High Quality Pizza at a Good Value

    Foundational Investments in Operations and Technology

    National Brand with Significant Room to Grow

    Attractive Franchise Model; Store-Level Economics

    System-Leading Company Store Division

    Experienced Restaurant/Franchise Industry Leadership Team

    Attractive Long-Range Growth Model

    InvestmentThesis

    http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=hDlscuXi4D_slM&tbnid=4QvyEuQfZ9qR3M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://pro.baldorfood.com/Artichoke-Large-Loose-3622-prod.htm&ei=xbYDU6rVH5S-sQSSuIHIBA&psig=AFQjCNHeUvQAJUgF1flwjWWQX3jlrsOtDQ&ust=1392838706814128http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=hDlscuXi4D_slM&tbnid=4QvyEuQfZ9qR3M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://pro.baldorfood.com/Artichoke-Large-Loose-3622-prod.htm&ei=xbYDU6rVH5S-sQSSuIHIBA&psig=AFQjCNHeUvQAJUgF1flwjWWQX3jlrsOtDQ&ust=1392838706814128http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=hDlscuXi4D_slM&tbnid=4QvyEuQfZ9qR3M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://pro.baldorfood.com/Artichoke-Large-Loose-3622-prod.htm&ei=xbYDU6rVH5S-sQSSuIHIBA&psig=AFQjCNHeUvQAJUgF1flwjWWQX3jlrsOtDQ&ust=1392838706814128http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=hDlscuXi4D_slM&tbnid=4QvyEuQfZ9qR3M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://pro.baldorfood.com/Artichoke-Large-Loose-3622-prod.htm&ei=xbYDU6rVH5S-sQSSuIHIBA&psig=AFQjCNHeUvQAJUgF1flwjWWQX3jlrsOtDQ&ust=1392838706814128

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    4/32

    4

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    5/32

    Gaining Dollar Share of $

    40B+ Pizza

    Category

    5

    Q3 ‘15

    -6pts

    56%

    +6pts

    44%Big 5

    +25%growthdollarshare

    2.0% 2.5%

    2010

    Big 5

    Mom & Pop/ Regional

    62% 38%

    Mom & Pop/ Regional

    Big 5

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    6/32

    3.7%

    5.6%

    6.6% 6.7%

    5.1%

    3.4%

    1.2%1.6%

    0.6%

    3.6%3.0%

    4.0%

    3.3%

    1.5%

    4.6%

    8.4%

    5.6%

    4.5%

    1.4%

    Strong Same Store Sales & Unit Growth

    19 Straight Quarters of Comparable Store Sales Growth

    201320122011 2014

    18.1% increase in total store count

    3.9%

    avg.

    2015

    6

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    7/32

    1ST

    CUSTOMERS PARTNERS COMMUNITYTEAM

    SERVE WITH PURPOSE

    OPERATIONALEXCELLENCE

    FOCUSEDDEVELOPMENT

    CUSTOMERS1ST CHOICECUSTOMER’S1ST CHOICE

    CHOICEaspiration

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    8/32

    A Fresh Approach to Pizza

    fresh, handmade dough

    fresh cut vegetables

    real meat, no fillers

    unique high qualityingredients

    fresh grated mozzarella

    fresh-baked...hot out of your oven!

    8

    http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=B6WTM4KDCnQdYM&tbnid=VoxOhP4NRWKiZM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.papamurphys.com/m/&ei=61BYUuKCDrG34APF8IDIBw&bvm=bv.53899372,d.dmg&psig=AFQjCNEAGMgflpFuU25aNWSYuYzTjpXyCA&ust=1381605993218486http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=B6WTM4KDCnQdYM&tbnid=VoxOhP4NRWKiZM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.papamurphys.com/m/&ei=61BYUuKCDrG34APF8IDIBw&bvm=bv.53899372,d.dmg&psig=AFQjCNEAGMgflpFuU25aNWSYuYzTjpXyCA&ust=1381605993218486

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    9/32

    CREST®

    Survey

    1

    #

    Multi Award-Winning!

    9

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    10/32

    1#

    Latest #1 from Consumer Picks

    10

    Source: NRN Consumer PicsApril 2015

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    11/32

    #1 in Brand Loyalty

    11

    July 8, 2014

    #2

    #1

    #1#1

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    12/32

    Pizza/QSR/Fast CasualAverage Per Person Spend

    $7.91$8.27

    $7.58

    $4.01

    $6.09$6.46

    $5.54$5.11

    $7.84

    $7.24

    Strong Customer Value

    Source: NPD / CREST Decision Key Report: Restaurant Scorecard - MM.Note: Represents per person spend for the January 2015 to June 2015 time period.(1) Average party size for Pizza Hut is 2.2. (4) Average party size for Little Caesars is 2.6.(2) Average party size for Papa John’s is 2.4. (5) Average party size for Papa Murphy’s is 3.3.(3) Average party size for Domino’s is 2.3.

    (1)(2)

    (3)

    (4)

    (5)

    12

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    13/32

    1ST

    CUSTOMERS PARTNERS COMMUNITYTEAM

    CUSTOMERS1ST CHOICE

    SERVE WITH PURPOSE

    PARTNERING FORPROFITABILITY

    FOCUSEDDEVELOPMENT

    CUSTOMER’S1ST CHOICE

    OPERATIONALEXCELLENCE

    CHOICEaspiration

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    14/32

    customers•  min. 30 surveys per month & 85 + KDS

    Operational Excellence

    14

    QSC•  AAA

    sales & transactions•  Positive Transactions & plus Comp%

    profit•  COGS Var. 0-1.0% of Net sales

    speed of service•  avg. for year 3 min. or less

    5 Star Program:

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    15/32

    2013 Q3 2015 Stars

    2.3 3.9 5

    9.7 15.1 426.2 27.7 3

    31.9 30.0 2

    23.5 17.1 1

    6.4 6.2 0

    1.2 2.3 Avg.

    % Stores

    Operations Performance Drives Sales

    15

    Note: Based on 1305 eligible stores for 5 Star YTD through Q2 2015Source: PMI

    0.3%

    1.8%

    3.2%

    6.0%

    8.6%

    9.8%

    Comp Sales/Star Level

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    16/32

    Growth

    viaTechnology

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    17/32

    1. drives sales and profitability

    2. unlocks online/mobile ordering

    3. pathway to precision marketing

    POS is Foundational for Digital Strategy

    - sales lift and gross margin improvement

    - increased guest-check for orders placed on-line

    - targeted digital promotions based on uniquebehaviors

    17

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    18/32

    POS/On-Line Ordering Reaching Critical Mass

    Q2 2016 *20142013

    77%74%

    57%

    56%13%

    2%

    % Stores

    with POS

    % Stores

    with On-Line

    Ordering

    18

    100%

    Q3 2015

    May 2014 mandated installation within 12 months

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    19/32

    Accelerating Digital with Deloitte Digital

    19

    http://www.deloittedigital.com/

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    20/32

    1ST

    CUSTOMERS PARTNERS COMMUNITYTEAM

    CUSTOMERS1ST CHOICE

    SERVE WITH PURPOSE

    OPERATIONALEXCELLENCE

    CUSTOMER’S1ST CHOICE

    FOCUSEDDEVELOPMENT

    CHOICEaspiration

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    21/32

    Fast Growing National Brand

    21

    3,000

    NSOs

    ~2,400

    1,500

    Source: Indicia and PMI.Note: Based on U.S. Census Bureau data; 2012 Population Estimate.

    # of Stores

    Existing Store Density(stores per million people)

    New Store Opportunity

    4,500

    4,500 Store Opportunity in U.S.

    Existing TotalU.S.

    Higher Density

    Lower Density

    ExistingMarkets

    FutureMarkets

    ~600

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    22/32

    $9.7 $10.0

    $10.9 $11.1$11.7

    Performance Improves as Density Increases

    22

    Store Average Weekly Sales (“AWS”) Performance Improvements (select markets)

    $7.2 $8.1

    $8.7 $8.9$9.1

    $-

     $4

     $8

     $12

    Phoenix

    21 26 30

    AWS

    (000)

    39

    Denver

    41 42 46 51 54

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    Stores

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    42

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    23/32

    new

    CREATEstores

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    24/32

    Attractive Operating Model for Franchisees

    Efficient Franchise Operating Model

    • No ovens

    • No delivery

    • No dining areas

    • One day-part/limited operating hours

    • Lower labor costs

    • Customer controls the experience

    • Accepts EBT (Food Stamps)

    • Access to financing sources including SBA

    24

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    25/32

    Company Stores (CSD): Leading by Example

    #1 Lead franchisees from the front

    #2

    #3

    Provide financial scale to the business

    Develop Operations team

    #4 Accelerate market density

    #5 Develop future franchisee pipeline

    25

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    26/32

    CSD Leading from the Front

    CSD presence

    new in 2014/15

    CSD presence

    pre-2014

    100% Franchised

    26

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    27/32

    Growth Strategies

    Leverage Infrastructure to Improve Profitability

    Grow Store Base to Scale Existing Markets

    Increase System-wide Comparable Store Sales

    Improve Operational Excellence

    fresh made by us fresh baked by you

    Execute Digital Strategy

    High Quality Award-Winning Pizza

    27

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    28/32

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    29/32

    Post-IPO Performance & Capital Structure

    2014 2015

    29

    US Comp Sales (%)

    Pro Form EPS (cents)

    Adjusted EBITDA (millions) Pro Forma Net Income (millions)

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    3.3

    5.6

    1.5

    4.54.6

    8.47.5

    8.0

    5.76.4

    5.6

    8.8

    2.0

    2.6

    1.3

    2.8

    1.6

    1.1

    1215

    97

    8

    17Q2 2014 IPO proceeds reduced bank debt to $112 million

    - leverage reduced to ~ 4.3X Adjusted EBITDA

    Q3 2014 Refinancing lowered current rate by ~200bps- revolver capacity doubled to $20 million

    Current bank term loan balance of $109.9 million- leverage at ~ 3.3X Adjusted EBITDA

    Capital Structure

    1.5

    6.1

    1.1

    7

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    30/32

    (1) Includes net sales by all system-wide stores.

    Strong Performance Continues in Q3, 2015

    System-wide Sales(1)Total Stores

    $194.0 $203.11,437

    1,500

    ($ millions)

    US SystemComparableStore SalesGrowth

    +4.6% +1.4%

    Total Revenues

    $22.2

    $28.1

    Adjusted EBITDA

    $5.6$6.1

    $10,487 $10,568Domestic

    AWS

    ($ millions)($ millions)

    2014 2015

    30

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    31/32

    Attractive Long-Term Growth Model

    Attractive Business Model

    EPS Growth

    Comparable Store Sales

    Adjusted EBITDA Growth

    +20%

    +2% to +4%

    Ramping to +10%

    Annual Growth Targets

    Estimated Annual Tax Rate 38.5%

    Unit Growth Opportunity +6% to +8% Net

    31

  • 8/20/2019 FRSH Jan 2016 Investor Presentation

    32/32

    Award-Winning Fresh High Quality Pizza at a Good Value

    Foundational Investments in Operations and TechnologyNational Brand with Significant Room to Grow

    Attractive Franchise Model; Store-Level Economics

    System-Leading Company Store Division

    Experienced Restaurant/Franchise Industry Leadership Team

    Attractive Long-Range Growth Model

    InvestmentThesis

    http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=hDlscuXi4D_slM&tbnid=4QvyEuQfZ9qR3M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://pro.baldorfood.com/Artichoke-Large-Loose-3622-prod.htm&ei=xbYDU6rVH5S-sQSSuIHIBA&psig=AFQjCNHeUvQAJUgF1flwjWWQX3jlrsOtDQ&ust=1392838706814128http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=hDlscuXi4D_slM&tbnid=4QvyEuQfZ9qR3M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://pro.baldorfood.com/Artichoke-Large-Loose-3622-prod.htm&ei=xbYDU6rVH5S-sQSSuIHIBA&psig=AFQjCNHeUvQAJUgF1flwjWWQX3jlrsOtDQ&ust=1392838706814128http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=hDlscuXi4D_slM&tbnid=4QvyEuQfZ9qR3M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://pro.baldorfood.com/Artichoke-Large-Loose-3622-prod.htm&ei=xbYDU6rVH5S-sQSSuIHIBA&psig=AFQjCNHeUvQAJUgF1flwjWWQX3jlrsOtDQ&ust=1392838706814128http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=hDlscuXi4D_slM&tbnid=4QvyEuQfZ9qR3M:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://pro.baldorfood.com/Artichoke-Large-Loose-3622-prod.htm&ei=xbYDU6rVH5S-sQSSuIHIBA&psig=AFQjCNHeUvQAJUgF1flwjWWQX3jlrsOtDQ&ust=1392838706814128