Frizington

Risk Management Review

- 1 - 13 October 2015 (v1.0)

1. Introduction

Our approach to responding to risk is well developed and as well as assessing the overall risk of a local area, our resource and response requirements will continue to be determined by considering the following:

Geographical cover – the area of service provision. This is driven by the geographical dispersion of potential incidents and the distance to travel by our response vehicles;

Workload – the likely number of independent responses required, taking into account historical incident data;

Type of response – the characteristics of the risk which determine the resource requirement within that area;

Weight of attack – the amount of equipment and staff required to deal with an incident based on an analysis of the potential impact of each emergency situation.

Inevitably some of the above factors are intrinsically linked. There is dependency between ‘type of response’ and ‘weight of attack’. Furthermore, other factors such as response time, firefighter safety and local topology serve as constraints for defining the limits of these variables. We will continue to focus our efforts on risk reduction initiatives, however, fully understand that a modern fire and rescue service should be governed by the following principles:

Maintain public protection from fire and, if possible, enhance that protection by means of proactive prevention and protection activity;

Actively promote firefighter safety;

Provide a primary focus of fire cover which continues to be directly addressed to life risk;

Continue to be cost effective and consistent with the principles of best value for public money.

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2. Our Performance – Frizington

In order to further develop an efficient, effective and economic risk plan for Frizington it is important to evaluate our performance. The following charts demonstrate our performance in recent years. 2.1 All Incidents The following tables demonstrate the incident activity in Frizington’s nominal Station area.

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15

Frizington 28 35 25 34 48 30

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

No

. of

Inci

den

ts

C06: Frizington - All Incidents (2009-10 to 2014-15)

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2.2 All Fires

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15

Frizington 17 15 11 16 28 8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

No

. of

Fire

s

C06: Frizington - All Fires (2009-10 to 2014-15)

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2.3 Dwelling Fires

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15

Frizington 3 1 3 2 3 1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

No

. of

Dw

ellin

g Fi

res

C06: Frizington - All Dwelling Fires (2009-10 to 2014-15)

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2.4 Injuries in Dwelling Fires

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2.5 Deliberate Fires

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15

Frizington 13 7 4 8 7 6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

No

. of

Del

iber

ate

Fire

s

C06: Frizington - All Deliberate Fires (2009-10 to 2014-15)

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2.6 All False Alarms

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2.7 All Special Service Calls

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3. Analysis of Risk

The Fire Risk Model In order to be in a position where we can analyse risk in a way that allows us to determine whether our prevention and protection strategies are having the desired effect, CFRS introduced a new fire risk model as part of the 2011-14 IRMP. This revised approach was subjected to a detailed public and key stakeholder consultation at that time and the outcomes from that process were used to determine our final risk model. The fire risk model involves an analysis of fires and associated casualties, along with a consideration of the deprivation within each Super Output Area (SOA) by use of the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) score. The Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) 2007 is a measure of multiple deprivations and is made up of seven domain indices. These are:

Income;

Employment;

Health Deprivation and Disability;

Education, Skills and Training;

Barriers to Housing and Services;

Crime;

Living Environment.

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3.1 Cumbria Risk Profile Using the above methodology the Service is in a position to assess each Super Output Area and classify the risk as high, medium or low. CFRS have adopted this approach since the start of the 2011 IRMP and can determine that overall risk has reduced by circa -19% when comparing the latest 5 years of statistics with those used in 2010/11. Furthermore, risk within our most vulnerable high risk (in terms of fire) communities has reduced by some -79% over the same period. The county now only has one small area that is classified by CFRS as ‘high risk’ and a summary of the risk profile is provided below:

Cumbria Risk Profile

Incidents 2005/6 - 09/10

Incidents 2006/7 - 10/11

Incidents 2007/8 - 11/12

Incidents 2008/9 - 12/13

Incidents 2009/10 – 13/14

Incidents 2010/11 – 14/15

2010/11 Risk* 2011/12 Risk 2012/13 Risk 2013/14 Risk 2014/15 Risk 2015/16 Risk

Score Risk Grade

Risk Score

No. of SOAs

Risk Score

No. of SOAs

Risk Score

No. of SOAs

Risk Score

No. Of SOAs

Risk Score

No. Of SOAs

Risk Score

No. Of SOAs

76 and above High 1294 15 1136 14 956 12 318 4 230 3 78 1

35 to 75 Medium 6980 139 6328 129 5526 116 5426 117 5006 108 4568 99

34 and below Low 3920 167 4198 178 4520 193 4622 200 4818 210 5200 221

12194 321 11662 321 11002 321 10322 321 10054 321 9846 321

Total Risk Score

12194

11622 11002 10366 10054 9846

Risk Score Increase/Reduction over the period

-4.4% -9.8% -15.0% -17.5% -19.3%

*Note: The risk score documented in 2010/11 shows a slight change (in terms of risk score, not number of SOAs in each band) to that documented in the

2011-14 IRMP. The reason is that the data to support the above has been taken from CLG and that used in the IRMP was local data; due to the timings of the

2011-14 IRMP publication a small number of incidents had not been quality assured and finalised on the national IRS database.

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3.2 Frizington Fire Risk Profile The Fire Risk model clearly shows that the risk across Frizington is reducing, with no ‘High Risk’ SOAs in the village. In recent years the fire risk model demonstrates that risk has reduced by over -17%:

Frizington Risk Profile

Incidents 2005/6 - 09/10

Incidents 2006/7 - 10/11

Incidents 2007/8 - 11/12

Incidents 2008/9 - 12/13

Incidents 2009/10 – 13/14

Incidents 2010/11 – 14/15

2010/11 Risk 2011/12 Risk 2012/13 Risk 2013/14 Risk 2014/15 Risk 2015/16 Risk

Score Risk Grade Risk

Score No. of SOAs

Risk Score

No. of SOAs

Risk Score

No. of SOAs

Risk Score

No. Of SOAs

Risk Score

No. Of SOAs

Risk Score

No. Of SOAs

76 and above High 0 0 76 1 76 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

35 to 75 Medium 338 7 164 4 156 4 214 5 216 5 218 5

34 and below Low 24 1 78 3 76 3 76 3 76 3 80 3

362 8 318 8 308 8 290 8 292 8 298 8

Total Risk Score

362

318 308 290 292 298

Risk Score Increase/Reduction over the period

-12.2% -14.9% -19.9% -19.3% -17.7%

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3.3 Next nearest Supporting Appliances The following table indicates the travel distance in miles from Frizington Fire Station to the next nearest two fire stations and the expected travel times based on road mapping software:

Frizington

Neighbour

Distance

(Miles) Supporting Station Name Time

(minutes)

1st Nearest 3.9 Whitehaven 8

2nd Nearest 5 Egremont 10

3rd Nearest 9 Workington 19

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4. Our Resources across Frizington

Fire Station and Appliances In Frizington, CFRS operate from a fire station in Main Street. The station has one fire appliance that is currently crewed by 13 On-Call firefighters. On-Call Firefighters On-Call firefighters are a vital part of Cumbria Fire and Rescue Service. Nationwide, approximately 18,000 On-Call firefighters provide efficient, cost effective and reliable fire and rescue cover to around 60% of the UK and across Cumbria they provide cover at 36 of our 38 fire stations. On-Call crews will be called upon to attend the full range of incidents including fires, floods, road traffic collisions, chemical spills and more, and work alongside their full-time colleagues at many incidents. Apart from a few hours a week for training sessions and to carry out other pre-arranged duties, On-Call firefighters only attend the fire station when they have received an emergency callout. Each On-Call firefighter carries a pocket alerter, which is activated when they are needed and they subsequently report to the fire station and mobilise the necessary appliance(s). On occasions, this type of duty system means that appliances are sometimes ‘off the run’ due to insufficient fire-fighters being available to form a crew.

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Fire Engine Provision/Comparison

Whitehaven (8 mile radius from Whitehaven Fire Station – the nearest Regular Fire Station to Frizington)

Household and population statistics (within the 8 mile radius as

detailed on the plan)

All Dwellings – 36,471

All Usual Residents – 82,191

Existing Fire Cover Provision: The area is covered by 2

Regular crewed fire engines and 4 on-call fire engines.

Support outside the 8 mile Workington radius is stationed at

Cockermouth, Maryport and Seascale.

Within the 8 mile radius resources are located as follows: Whitehaven Fire Station: 2 fire engines -1 fire engine crewed by regular fire-fighters and 1 by on-call fire-fighters Workington Fire Station: 2 fire engines - 1 fire engine crewed by regular fire-fighters and 1 by on-call fire-fighters Frizington Fire Station: 1 fire engine crewed by on-call fire-fighters Egremont Fire Station: 1 fire engine crewed by on-call fire-fighters

Fire stations

Fire engines

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Carlisle City (8 mile radius from Carlisle City Centre) – fire cover comparison:

Household and population statistics (within the 8 mile radius as

detailed on the plan)

All Dwellings – 45,244

All Usual Residents – 99,883

Existing Fire Cover Provision: The area is covered by 2

Regular crewed fire engines and 1 Aerial Ladder Platform

(ALP). One of the fire engines is stationed at Carlisle ‘West’ at

Brookside and the other resources are located at the Locality

Headquarters/fire station on Eastern Way. The crewing

models currently in place are based on the traditional 2/2/4

duty system with regular fire-fighters on 4 Watches.

Within the 8 mile radius resources are located as follows: Carlisle East – 5 per shift (4 for the fire engine and 1 to

alternate crew the ALP) 20 total

Carlisle West – 4 per shift to crew the one fire engine. 16 total

Carlisle City Centre

Fire Engines

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Frizington On-Call Appliance Availability

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Individual Fire Engine Activity In the 6 years from 2009 to 2015 (fiscal years), the Frizington fire appliance (06P1) was turned out and booked in attendance at the following number of incidents:

Incident Location Year/Number of Iincidents

2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 Total

C02 Whitehaven 10 14 10 17 25 15 91

C06 Frizington 26 28 24 30 40 13 161

C09 Seascale - 1 - 1 - 2 4

C05 Egremont 1 2 - 3 3 6 15

C01 Workington 2 1 - - 1 1 5

C04 Cockermouth - - - 1 1 1 3

C08 Maryport - - - - - 1 1

Total 39 46 34 52 70 39 280

The following table provides information on the actual number of ‘turnouts’ the fire engine has had over the period.

Year/Number of turnouts

2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 April 2015-Nov 2015

38 66 80 51 43

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Other Contextual Information

Frizington is situated in the Copeland District of Cumbria with a population of approximately 2,500 people.

Frizington

Risk in station area:

Heritage No significant Heritage Risk identified within the Station area

Environment 7 Sites of Specific Scientific Interest

Site Specific Risks No significant Site Specific Risks identified within the Station area

Flooding No significant Flooding Risk identified within the Station area

Rurality Of the 8 Super Output Areas that make up Frizington 7 are “Town and Fringe”

according to DEFRA Urban/Rural classifications and 1 is a “Village and Hamlet”

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5. Options/Proposals The proposal is to close Frizington Fire Station.

6. Transparency In order to provide transparency this section provides clarity on the impact on service provision should the above proposals be implemented: o Closing the fire station at Frizington would mean that the next nearest fire engine would respond to any incidents in the village.

The nearest fire engine is based in Whitehaven (3.9 miles). Therefore, there will be a time delay to respond to incidents in the village;

At present, all of the SOAs within Frizington’s station ground are classified as medium or low risk, therefore attracting a first fire engine response time to property fires of 10 or 15 minutes on 80% of occasions. Our standards for the ‘full attendance’ to property fires are 15 and 20 minutes (medium / low risk). Statistical evidence using the past 6 years of incidents and computer road mapping software indicates that the Fire Authority would still be able to achieve its response standards;

Removing the fire station may result in 11 on-call fire-fighters being made redundant, although some redeployment opportunities may be possible.