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WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALL February 28 th , 2013 Antonio Brufau CEO Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2012 Results

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Page 1: Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results …...Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results presentation slides Author Repsol, S.A. Subject Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results

WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALLFebruary 28th, 2013

Antonio Brufau ‐ CEO

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2012 Results

Page 2: Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results …...Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results presentation slides Author Repsol, S.A. Subject Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results
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ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED

© REPSOL, S.A. 2012

Repsol, S.A. is the exclusive owner of this document. No part of this document may be reproduced (including photocopying), stored,duplicated, copied, distributed or introduced into a retrieval system of any nature or transmitted in any form or by any meanswithout the prior written permission of Repsol, S.A.

This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, in accordance with the provisions of theSpanish Securities Market Law (Law 24/1988, of July 28, as amended and restated) and its implementing regulations. In addition,this document does not constitute an offer of purchase, sale or exchange, nor a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchangeof securities in any other jurisdiction.

This document contains statements that Repsol believes constitute forward‐looking statements which may include statementsregarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol and its management, including statements with respect to trendsaffecting Repsol’s financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration,production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forward‐looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil andother prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words “expects”, “anticipates”,“forecasts”, “believes”, estimates”, “notices” and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance,prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors whichmay be beyond Repsol’s control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors and circumstances described inthe filings made by Repsol and its affiliates with the Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores in Spain, the Comisión Nacional deValores in Argentina, the Securities and Exchange Commission in the United States and with any other supervisory authority ofthose markets where the securities issued by Repsol and/or its affiliates are listed.

Repsol does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward‐looking statements even if experience or future changesmake it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized.

The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the Auditors of Repsol.

Disclaimer

Page 4: Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results …...Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results presentation slides Author Repsol, S.A. Subject Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results

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Agenda

1. Main Events of 2012

2. Financial Situation

3. 4Q and FY 2012 Results

4. Outlook 2013

Page 5: Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results …...Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results presentation slides Author Repsol, S.A. Subject Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results

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Agenda

1. Main Events of 2012

2. Financial Situation

3. 4Q and FY 2012 Results

4. Outlook 2013

Page 6: Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results …...Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results presentation slides Author Repsol, S.A. Subject Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results

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Main Events of 2012

YPF Confiscation

Delivery of the Updated Strategic Plan

Page 7: Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results …...Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results presentation slides Author Repsol, S.A. Subject Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results

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Main Events of 2012Growth projects

ExplorationReggane(Algeria)

48 KboedWI: 29.25%FID: 2009FG: 2016

Capex 12-16:€0.4bn

Lubina-Montanazo(Spain)

5 KboedWI: 100-75%

FID: 2009FO: 2012

Capex 12-16:€0.02bn

Africa & EuropeBrazil

Carioca

150 KboedWI: 15%

FID: 2012FO: 2016

Capex 12-16: €0.8bn

Mid-continent (USA)

40 Kboed(1)

net production(1)

-FO: 2012

Capex 12-16:€2.3bn

Sapinhoa(Guara)

300 KboedWI: 15%

FID: 2010FO: 2013

Capex 12-16: €1.2bn

USA

AROG(Russia)

50 KboedWI: 49%

-FO: 2012

Capex 12-16:€0.4bn

Russia

1 2 4 53 6

North LatamMargarita-Huacaya

(Bolivia)

102 KboedWI: 37.5%FID: 2010FG: 2012

Capex 12-16:€0.3bn

7Kinteroni (Peru)

40 KboedWI: 53.8%FID: 2009FG: 2012

Capex 12-16:€0.07bn

8

Carabobo (Venezuela)

370 KboedWI: 11%

-FO: 2013

Capex 12-16:€0.7bn

9

Cardon IV (Venezuela)

53 Kboed(2)

WI: 32.5%FID: 2011FG: 2014

Capex 12-16:€0.5bn

10

2012-2016 Post 2016Next wave of growth

• Contingent resources– Alaska– C-33 (Seat, Gavea, Pao de Açucar)– Presalt Albacora– Sierra Leone– Buckskin– Malombe– Iguaçu– Piracuca-Panoramix-Vampira– NC200– Sagari– TIHS-1

• Prospective resources– GoM– Beaufort Sea– Louisiana– East Canada– Campos, Santos & Espiritu Santo– Colombia RC11, RC12 & Tayrona– Guyana – Angola and Namibia– Spain and Portugal– Norway offshore– Ireland Dunquin– Peru: Mashira– ...

Note: all production figures indicate gross plateau production; WI = Repsol Working Interest; FID = Final Investment Decision; FO: First Oil; FG: First Gas; Net capex 2012-2016, excluding G&G and G&A.1. Average Repsol net production post royalties 2. Phase I gross production

Key growth projects increasing Repsol net production: more than 200 Kboed in 2016 Low risk of delivery: 5 project already producing +1 starting

Producing as of February, 28th 2013

In 2012

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Main Events of 2012Upstream

332299

0

100

200

300

400

2011 2012

kboed

+11%

131

162

204

0

50

100

150

200

250

2010 2011 2012

%

Production Reserve Replacement Ratio

Contingent Resources as of the end of: 2011: 1.5 Bn boe2012: 2.1 Bn boe

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Main Events of 2012New Areas

Countries with New Exploratory Acreage

68 New blocks added during 2012

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Main Events of 2012Downstream

5.3

1.60

2

4

6

2011 2012

$/bbl

+231%

Refining Margin Indicator

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Agenda

1. Main Events of 2012

2. Financial Situation

3. 4Q and FY 2012 Results

4. Outlook 2013

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Billion €

Financial SituationNet Debt (Figures Ex Gas Natural)

4.4

6.86.4

0.4

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

4Q 11 Financial Effects ofYPF Confiscation

1st January 2012Proforma

4Q 12

- 2 Bn €

(*)

(*) As of 31st of December 2011: YPF net debt and Petersen’s vendors loan.

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4.63.0

4.4

0

2

4

6

8

10

Liquidity Short term maturitiesCash and equivalents Undrawn credit lines

3 x

ex YPF and ex Gas Natural

Billion €

Financial SituationLiquidity Position

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5% (1.4 Bn €)

64% (463 M€)(1) 69%(444 M€)(1)

Chile LPGEcuador 20%

Dependent upon LNG disposal

758 M€ (2) Ongoing

Sale of treasury stockSale of treasury stock

Working capital optimizationWorking capital optimization

Adjusted dividend policy(pay-out, scrip dividend)Adjusted dividend policy(pay-out, scrip dividend)

DivestmentsDivestments

Conversion of preferred shares

Conversion of preferred shares

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

551 M €

Financial SituationActions to strengthen the Balance Sheet

6.7 Bn $LNG DisposalLNG Disposal

(1) Acceptance Rate (Cash Savings)(2) Ex Gas Natural Fenosa

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YPF ConfiscationLegal Actions

US COURTSUS COURTS ARGENTINEANCOURTS

ARGENTINEANCOURTS

SPANISH COURTSSPANISH COURTS

Claims filed in:

ICSIDICSID

Progressing according to the legal procedures

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Agenda

1. Main Events of 2012

2. Financial Situation

3. 4Q and FY 2012 Results

4. Outlook 2013

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4Q12 Results (ex YPF and ex YPF Gas)

517

241

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

4Q 11 4Q 12

1053

504

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

4Q 11 4Q 12

CCS Adjusted Operating Income CCS Adjusted Net Income

+109% +115%

Million € Million €

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4Q 2012 UpstreamAdjusted Operating Income

Million €

196

18

33948 12

492

(121)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

4Q11 Price effectnet of taxes

Volume ExplorationCosts

Exchange rate Depreciation& Others

4Q12

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4Q 2012 LNGAdjusted Operating Income

110112

0

50

100

150

4Q 11 4Q 12

Million €

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4Q 2012 DownstreamAdjusted Operating Income

Million €

130

258

5

326

(42)(27)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

4Q11 Refining Marketing& LPG

Chemicals Others 4Q12

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4Q 2012 Gas NaturalAdjusted Operating Income

226185

0

50

100

150

200

250

4Q 11 4Q 12

Million €

+22%

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4321

2966

0500

10001500200025003000350040004500

2011 2012

22

FY 2012 Results 

Million €

+46%

Million €

1954

1329

0

300

600

900

1200

1500

1800

2100

2011 2012

CCS Adjusted Net Income

+47%

CCS Adjusted Operating Income

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FY 2012 Results CCS Net Income

536

170

1878

1407

0

300

600

900

1200

1500

1800

2100

2011 2012

Million €

+5%19432048

+34%

YPF Net Income (YPF as Discontinued Operations)

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Agenda

1. Main Events of 2012

2. Financial Situation

3. 4Q and FY 2012 Results

4. Outlook 2013

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Outlook 2013

UPSTREAMUPSTREAM

Increase production by 10%

>1 B$ Exploratory budget

65% in drilling: 30 wells + 2 Appraisal wells

Investigate around 6 Bboes in gross terms

75% of investments targeting oil

DOWNSTREAMDOWNSTREAM

High capacity utilization of conversion units

Maintain the Retail businesses results

Improve our product differentiation in Chemicals

LNGLNGPositive results during winter months

Deep analysis for future alternatives

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Q&A Session

Page 27: Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results …...Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results presentation slides Author Repsol, S.A. Subject Fourth quarter and full year 2012 results

WEBCAST – CONFERENCE CALLFebruary 28th, 2013

Antonio Brufau ‐ CEO

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2012 Results