food & beverage sector in athex - economist conferences · 2013-02-07 · the food and beverage...
TRANSCRIPT
Athens Exchange
Nicos Porfiris, Deputy Chief Operating Officer
Food & Beverage Sector in ATHEX How companies can access international long-term investors
The Food and Beverage Sector is appealing
Page 4 www.athex.gr
During recession periods the Food & Beverage Sector is a defensive sector for investors due to the relative inelasticity of demand
There is a trend in the global investor community which indicates appreciation of the sector perspectives
During the ATHEX roadshows in US and UK we have had a lot of queries regarding Med Diet sector in Greece
The sector has been highlighted as strategically important for Greece in the recent McKinsey report
BlackRock is introducing its World Agriculture Fund for small investors who, according to them, can profit from the long-term increase in food prices as rising affluence in China, India and Brazil dramatically changes dietary habits. They aren’t the only ones who see this industry as ready for
investment returns. Baring launched a global agriculture fund that allowed early investors a 30% gain.
20/1/2013
Why investing in Greece is an opportunity?
There is a plethora of mostly Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in the Agriculture Sector, with healthy financials and export orientation, that are in need of capital to finance their development and expansion
The question to address is why should foreigners invest in such companies in Greece?
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… because as bond prices move higher company valuations improve
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Data: 31/01/2013
The primary deficit declined by 80% from €5.9 bil. in 2011 to €1.2 bil in the 10 months to October 2012 In the month of October 2012, a primary surplus of €900 mil. was recorded
As Greek Government Bond prices move higher, the lower yields increase company valuations
… because International Investors are still in Greece
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Data: 31/12/2012
Consistently Strong presence of International Investors
Investors from the USA, Luxembourg and United Kingdom are the most
heavily represented
(% of total Market Cap)
… because there are investment window opportunities
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Data: 31/12/2012
ATHEX Market Cap over GDP ratio
at 1 / 5 of the European average at 1 / 3 if we adjust for the €22.3 bil of the Greek Bank’s recapitalization scheme
The Liquidity Gap is relative close to the European average
… because liquidity is there
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Data: 31/01/2013
2012 liquidity was higher than 2007(previous record year)
Average Daily Trade volume
… because local investors indicate confidence in the market
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Data: 31/12/2012
Increasing activity by Local Retail Investors in 2012
Consistently high activity levels since July2012
(% of total trading value)
… because the Athens Exchange is a Reliable, Developed Market
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Fully Compliant with the European Union regulatory environment
Settlement efficiency rate 100% (ECSDA Statistical Exercise)
3rd best performing market in the world in failed trades (OMGEO Report by Global Custodians)
Transactions’ settlement occurs through EUROSYSTEM (Target 2) of the ECB
With a highest standard Risk Management System for central counterparts
Greece is in the Top 10 Most Improved Countries («Most Improved in Doing Business in 2012» report by World Bank)
Improvement of rating in the category «Protecting Investors» by 38 places.
Upgrade of Greece creditworthiness to B- (S&P evaluation)
The Agricultural Sector is well represented in ATHEX
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The Agricultural Sector in ATHEX includes
The Food and Beverage sector
in the Main Market, comprising of
19 companies, representing 23% of the average 2012 market capitalization of the M.M.
in the Alternative Market, E.NA., comprising of
2 companies, representing 7% of the average 2012 market capitalization of E.NA.
Related companies, in the areas of plastics, logistics etc
in the Main Market, comprising of
12 companies, representing 2.6% of the average 2012 market capitalization of the M.M.
in the Alternative Market, E.NA., comprising of
1 company, representing 9% of the average 2012 market capitalization of E.NA.
Food & Beverage and related companies have raised ~ € 2.5 bn, with € 0.375 bn through the IPO and the remaining € 2.1 bn through capital increases
Solid Turnover for the wider Agricultural Sector in ATHEX
Solid, increasing revenues have been observed in the Food & Beverage sector and related companies listed in ATHEX, despite the macro situation in Greece.
Strong export orientation is among the drivers of the trend
2012 9m results are also strong
Current
2009 2010 2011 2012 (9m)%
FluctuationTrend
Main Market 8.977.803 9.544.789 9.855.386 7.516.488 10%
Listed Companies in the F & B Sector 8.001.416 8.338.319 8.474.388 6.465.709 6%
Listed Companies related to the F&B Sector 976.387 1.206.471 1.380.998 1.050.779 41%
ENA 28.044 27.410 30.386 8%
Listed Companies in the F & B Sector 11.310 9.623 11.086 -2%
Listed Companies related to the F&B Sector 16.734 17.788 19.301 15%
Total 9.005.847 9.572.200 9.885.772 7.516.488 10%
* Companies in EN.A. don't have the obligation to
publish F.S. for 9month period.
Turnover
(in thousands € - .000)Statistics (2011 vs 2009)
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Equity for the wider Agricultural Sector in ATHEX
Equity of the Food & Beverage sector and related companies listed in ATHEX, has on average grown since 2009
Equity, according to the FY 2011 published results, has reached € 4.33bn
2012 9m results also indicate further increase in equity
Current
2009 2010 2011 2012 (9m)%
FluctuationTrend
Main Market 4.067.214 4.558.491 4.317.526 4.339.709 6%
Listed Companies in the F & B Sector 3.464.601 3.912.883 3.630.063 3.619.276 5%
Listed Companies related to the F&B Sector 602.613 645.608 687.464 720.433 14%
ENA 16.053 15.707 16.962 6%
Listed Companies in the F & B Sector 8.872 7.892 7.806 -12%
Listed Companies related to the F&B Sector 7.182 7.816 9.157 28%
Total 4.083.267 4.574.198 4.334.489 4.339.709 6%
* Companies in EN.A. don't have the obligation to
publish F.S. for 9month period.
Total Equity
(in thousand € - .000)Statistics (2011 vs 2009)
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EBITDA for the wider Agricultural Sector in ATHEX
Despite the increasing turnover, EBITDA since 2009 has slipped a little during 2011 but remains positive to 28 out of the 31 companies
2012 9m results are strong
Current
2009 2010 2011 2012 (9m) % Fluctuation Trend
Main Market 1.248.514 1.290.141 1.097.312 934.330 -12%
Listed Companies in the F & B Sector 1.114.869 1.135.866 919.459 789.930 -18%
Listed Companies related to the F&B Sector 133.645 154.275 177.852 144.400 33%
ENA 3.011 1.884 2.224 -26%
Listed Companies in the F & B Sector 839 -247 722 -14%
Listed Companies related to the F&B Sector 2.172 2.131 1.501 -31%
Total 1.251.525 1.292.025 1.099.536 934.330 -12%
* Companies in EN.A. don't have the obligation to
publish F.S. for 9month period.
EBITDA
(in thousand € - .000)Statistics (2011 vs 2009)
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Why equity raising is appealing today
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Since the 2008 global crisis there is a strong trend for banks to deleverage both globally and in Europe
With Basel III further deleveraging is expected
In Greece, following the PSI, the banks are in the process of being re-capitalised
Equity is the viable funding solution for companies that wish to fund growth and exports, as long as lending remains expensive
A summary report of the corporate governance of the top 25 banks Nestor Advisors, autumn 2012
Raising equity in ATHEX’s Main Market – Comparative Advantages for larger companies
Page 12 www.athex.gr
ATHEX Euronext NYSE Deutsche
Borse
NASDAQ LSE HKEX
6.92%
7.60% 8.00%
8.34%
9.70%
12.00%
13.20% Average IPO cost as % of raised capital
Source: Deutsche Boerse, "Cost of capital study: Choosing a listing venue to raise equity or debt" (November 2011)
Based on ATHEX IPO data (for overall 3rd party and ATHEX/HELEX/HCMC fees) and the Deutche Boerse report of the overall fee (page 6).
The Main Market of ATHEX is suited for medium and larger companies (for Greek standards) that wish to raise capital from a large number of investors
Even medium market cap size companies could benefit from their inclusion in ATHEX indices
Such companies could be considered small for larger Exchanges, therefore lacking increased visibility
The overall listing costs (as % of raised capital) for the Greek market compare well to other alternatives
Raising equity in ATHEX’s ENA– The Alternative Market
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ENA of ATHEX is suited for smaller companies that wish to raise capital from a few (e.g. less than 150 retail) investors
Financing business plans and expansion/exports
In full accordance to EU directives (e.g. MiFID) with less strict obligations/regulatory costs for the issuer
Flexible and easy means of fund raising and achieving objective company valuation
The listing and ongoing costs are extremely low
Concrete gains from
increased awareness and visibility to clients, business partners and suppliers
experience in the capital markets (IAS reporting, financial reporting, transparency)
Exit strategy for VCs or strategic investors
Longer term transition to the Main Market
Investments in SMEs – The challenge !
The Institutional Foreign investors :
Are looking, generally, for larger companies
It is not cost/risk efficient for them to invest in several small companies
Because each Company :
Is of different Size and in need of different absolute amount of capital
Has different liquidity, investment horizon and risk-return profile
Requires different cash outlays (initial, on-going)
Allows for different exit strategies depending on the type of project and the investment maturity cycle
… Therefore, there is no “one size fits all approach” – How ATHEX tries to help?
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(1) Introduction of new indices to increase Visibility of SMEs
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Data: 31/12/2012
FTSE/ATHEX Global Traders Plus
2012 Returns +53.7%
FTSE/ATHEX Factor Weight Index,
2012 Returns +62.6%
28 out of 30 index constituents had positive performance in 2012
17 out of 20 index constituents had positive performance in 2012
(2) Listed Investment Funds on ATHEX – The innovative alternative
Page 19 www.athex.gr
Funds investing in non-listed companies are instruments that fit well in a long term investment strategy
They allow access to illiquid asset classes by offering more liquidity and the opportunity to pool resources and disperse risk with other investors
Through Listing on ATHEX they increase transparency and access to both institutional and retail investors
Sector Timing
….
Other Investors Fund Manager
Listed Funds
on ATHEX
Anchor Investor Fund raiser/Underwriter
Listed Investment Funds on ATHEX – Possible Vehicles
Page 20 www.athex.gr
Fund type Description Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Fund for the acquisition and administration of real estate property and
financial instruments. Operates under a very advantageous tax regime
both at the fund and investor level.
Amendments to legislation underway to make it even more competitive vs
EU peers
Closed Ended Investment Funds Fund for investment in listed shares, cash, derivatives and financial
instruments. Operates under a very advantageous tax regime both at the
fund and investor level.
Amendments to legislation underway to increase the Fund’s ability to
invest in non listed companies.
Venture Capital Companies Non-listed Fund for investment in Greek non listed companies. Operates
under a very advantageous tax regime both at the fund and investor level.
Amendments to legislation underway to provide for listing of the Fund on
ATHEX
Venture Capital Trusts Non-listed unincorporated Fund for investment in Greek non listed
companies. It is tax transparent and investors are taxed for income
attributed to them on the basis of what applies at their own jurisdiction.
Amendments to legislation underway to provide for listing of the Fund on
ATHEX
Listed Investment Funds on ATHEX – There are additional advantages
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Investment FundsListed
Investment Funds Professional management
Risk reduction via diversification
Pooling resources with other investors
Tax efficiency
Liquidity
Increased Exit strategy alternatives
Transparency
Stronger Governance
Benefits from simultaneous Listing of
Fund and mature Target companies
Broad participation
Visibility
ATHEX contribution in IPO costs,
marketing effort etc
Ease to raise further capital
Listed Investment Funds - How ATHEX can assist
ATHEX
Provides on-going support to the issuer in every stage of the process
Subsidizes the IPO cost
Gives success fee to underwriter depending on the Market Cap of the IPO in order to incentivize the fund raiser
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How is ATHEX promoting the Food & Beverage Sector
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We are convinced about the great potential and the bright perspectives of the Greek food and beverage sector and are committed to assisting the growth of businesses operating therein.
We promote the sector during roadshows, conferences and other events and increase visibility to potential investors
We have created a micro-site for the Sector, highlighting 16 sub-sectors and showing some of the products available and companies producing them
We have provided statistics based on sector studies and database information regarding the sector
We keep a database of interested companies providing us with their latest financial results and products
Examples of Sector information in Appendix 4
Appendices
Page 24 www.athex.gr
Appendix 1 – The Agricultural Sector in ATHEX
Main market :
Listed companies related to the F&B Sector
# Name of company Sector Sub Sector
1 EURODRIP SA Chemicals Specialty Chemicals
2 FRIGOGLASS SA Industrial Goods & Services Industrial Machinery
3 THE HOUSE OF AGRICULTURE SPIROY SA Chemicals Specialty Chemicals
4 VIS Container Manufacturing Co. Industrial Goods & Services Containers & Packaging
5 DAIOS PLASTICS SA Chemicals Specialty Chemicals
6 E. PAIRIS S.A Industrial Goods & Services Containers & Packaging
7 ELTON SA Chemicals Commodity Chemicals
8 KARATZIS SA Industrial Goods & Services Containers & Packaging
9 PAPERPACK SA Industrial Goods & Services Containers & Packaging
10 THRACE PLASTICS CO. Chemicals Specialty Chemicals
11 CRETE PLASTICS SA Chemicals Specialty Chemicals
12 FLEXOPACK SA Industrial Goods & Services Containers & Packaging
Main market :
Listed companies in the F&B Sector
# Name of the Company Sector Sub Sector
1 COCA-COLA HELLENIC BOTTLING COMPANY SA Food & Beverage Soft Drinks
2 KARAMOLENGOS BAKERY INDUSTRY SA Food & Beverage Food Products
3 GALAXIDI FISH FARMING SA Food & Beverage Farming & Fishing
4 EVROFARMA SA Food & Beverage Food Products
5 SELONDA AQUACULTURE SA Food & Beverage Farming & Fishing
6 KRE.KA SA Food & Beverage Farming & Fishing
7 KRETA FARM SA Food & Beverage Food Products
8 KRI-KRI SA Food & Beverage Food Products
9 KTIMA KOSTAS LAZARIDIS SA Food & Beverage Distillers & Vintners
10 FLOUR MILLS C. SARANTOPOULOS SA Food & Beverage Food Products
11 LOULIS MILLS SA Food & Beverage Food Products
12 NIREUS SA Food & Beverage Farming & Fishing
13 CHATZIKRANIOTIS & SONS MILLS SA Food & Beverage Food Products
14 DIAS AQUACULTURE SA Food & Beverage Farming & Fishing
15 FLOUR MILLS KEPENOS SA Food & Beverage Food Products
16 ELGEKA SA Food & Beverage Food Products
17 HELLENIC SUGAR INDUSTRY SA Food & Beverage Food Products
18 PERSEUS SA Food & Beverage Food Products
19 STELIOS KANAKIS SA Food & Beverage Food Products
ENA :
Listed companies in the F&B Sector
# Name of company Sector Sub Sector
1 MEDITERRA S.A. Retail Food Retailers & Wholesalers
2 KRITON ARTOS S.A. Food & Beverage Food Products
ENA :
Listed companies related to the F & B Sector
# Name of company Sector Sub Sector
1 FOODLINK S.A. Industrial Goods & Services Transportation Services
Companies in the Food and Beverage Sector Related Companies in other Sectors
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Appendix 2 - Listing requirements in ATHEX – summary (1)
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Main MarketAlternative Market (EN.A.
Market)(defined as Regulated Market in
EU - MiFid Directive)
(defined as Multilateral Trading
Facility in EU - MiFid Directive)
> 3,000,000 € > 1,000,000 €
2
(Companies with 1 fiscal year may be
accepted for listing provided that the
Advisor adequately subtantiates the
relevant request)
EBITDA 3 years aggregate > 3,000,000 €
Per annumPositive EBITDA for last 2
fiscal years
or
3 years aggregate > 2,000,000 €
Per annumProfitability for last 2 fiscal
years
25% 10%
(15% for capitalization > 700 mln €)(within 6 months since listing, free
float must run up to at least 15%
> 2,000 > 50
(> 7,000 for capitalization > 700 mln
€)
Desirable, but listing is
effective even with losses
provided that accrued loss
does not exceed 50% of the net
worth
Free Float
Shareholder's equity
Profitability
3Published financial
statements
Pre tax profit
number of persons
holding <2%
minimum %
MiFid: Markets in Financial Instruments Directive
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Main MarketAlternative Market (EN.A.
Market)(defined as Regulated Market in
EU - MiFid Directive)
(defined as Multilateral Trading
Facility in EU - MiFid Directive)
The company must have been
tax audited
The company must have been
tax audited
The last published fiscal year prior
to the admission may not have
been tax audited
The last two published fiscal years
prior to the admission may not
have been tax audited
(applies also to all companies,
which have been included in the
last consolidated financial
statements)
(applies also to all companies,
which have been included in the
last consolidated financial
statements)
For companies with estimated
capitalization < 100 mln €, during
the first year after the listing,
major shareholders (>5%) are
allowed to transfer shares that
represent a maximum of 25% of
the shares they hold
For companies listed with 1 fiscal
year or with losses, during the first
year after the listing, major
shareholders (>5%) are not
allowed to transfer any of the
shares they hold
at least 2,000,000 € -
Mandatory Desirable
-
Mandatory, for the first 2 years
following the commencement of
trading
Minimum value of shares
offered
Tax Audit
Nominated Advisor
Corporate Governance
compliance
Shares lock-up
Appendix 2 - Listing requirements in ATHEX – summary (2)
Appendix 3 – Portfolio Investment Companies (PIC)
Tax benefits in summary
Page 28 www.athex.gr
Source : Ernst & Young presentation at NY Roadshow, Sep 2012
Income Tax
(similar to REITs)
-
-
-
-
Shareholder Taxation
-
-
-
Tax treament at company (PIC) Level
Tax treament at Investor level
No further income tax liability for shareholders (exhausted at Portfolio
Investment Company level)
Dividends received by shareholders are exempt of Greek WHT
Sale of PIC listed shares is subject to the 0.2% transactions tax
10% of ECB reference rate + 1% (today 1,75‰)
Basis : 6m average investments value + available funds
No withholding tax on Greek or foreign-source securities income (in principle)
Greek tax withheld on received dividends is offset agains PIC' s income tax
liability
Under conditions, bond loans interest is exempt from WHT
Appendix 3 –
Venture Capital Company (VCC) and Venture Capital Fund (VCF) Tax benefits in summary
Page 29 www.athex.gr
Source : Ernst & Young presentation at NY Roadshow, Sep 2012
Income Tax
-
-
Shareholder Taxation
-
-
-
Tax treament at company (VCF) Level
They are tax transparent, therefore NOT subject to any kind of taxation
The formation of a VCF and the contributions of the investors to the Fund are exempt from any kind of
Greek tax
Tax treament at Investor level
Investors are taxed in their names on income they realize in the capacity as co-owners of the fund's assets
Any transaction on VCF units is regarded as a transaction on the relevant ownership rights in the underlying
assets
Non-resident VCF investors do not face Greek tax residency or permanent establishment risks, expicitly by
Income Tax
-
Shareholder Taxation
-
-
Tax treament at company (VCC) Level
Effective rate : 0%
Tax treament at Investor level
Dividends received by shareholders are exempt of Greek WHT
Dividends received and further distributed by corporate shareholders are exempt from Greek WHT
Appendix 4 - Examples of Sub-Sectors of Interest (1)
OLIVE OIL 2009 2010 2011 Δ (2009 - 20011)
Owner's Equity (in € ) 307.369.069 325.762.755 334.456.854 8,8%
Turnover (in €) 950.156.653 931.820.136 1.034.184.720 8,8%
Profits Before Interest, Tax & Depreciation (in €) 45.667.405 62.303.062 68.298.961 49,6%
Gross Margin (%) 8,22% 10,18% 9,80% 19,2%
Foreign/Own capital 1,44 1,45 1,49
Strengths 1. Excellent product quality compared to
competitors 2. Olive oil demand is on the rise globally due
to its health benefits
Weakness 1. Fragmented market 2. Higher cost of production of olives 3. Lack of large scale modern and productive
capacity 4. Large co-operative companies distort the
market.
Threats 1. Rising competition from “new” oil producing
countries (i.e. Turkey, Tunisia, Syria)
Opportunities 1. Create a strong Greek brand 2. Convert exports of bulk olive oil to branded
packaged olive oil. 3. Substitute – to the extent possible – palm
and sunflower oil imports with either olive or corn oil
4. The reduced subsidies from the C.A.P. will lead to structural changes in the sector (i.e. consolidation etc.)
5. Access new markets (mainly Asian).
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Appendix 4 - Examples of Sub-Sectors of Interest (2)
WINES 2009 2010 2011 Δ (2009 - 20011)
Owner's Equity (in € ) 196.462.060,02 213.770.290,54 213.467.583,54 8,7%
Turnover (in €) 199.657.486,18 204.352.584,81 200.924.346,88 0,6%
Profits Before Interest, Tax & Depreciation (in €) 23.831.873,91 23.609.884,23 21.828.696,53 -8,4%
Gross Margin (%) 33,37% 34,57% 33,83% 1,4%
Foreign/Own capital 1,49 1,54 1,49
Strengths 1. Favorable climatic conditions for
wine yards 2. Long tradition of winery in Greece 3. International reputation of Greek
wines has improved in the past few years
4. The sector was modernized substantially in the past decade
Weaknesses 1. Fragmented sector
2. High cost of production due to lack of
scale
3. Bulk sales distort competition
4. Weak export performance due to lack
of national promotion strategy
5. The vast majority of exports (c.85%)
is in the EU
Threats 1. Strong competition by non-traditional
export countries 2. Reduction of global wine consumption
Opportunities 1. Create a strong Greek brand 2. New market penetration (China,
Russia, India) 3. Alternative tourism efforts (agro-
tourism, wine-tourism) 4. EURO weakness benefits exporters
Page 31 www.athex.gr
Appendix 4 - Examples of Sub-Sectors of Interest (3)
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FISH 2009 2010 2011 Δ (2009 - 20011)
Owner's Equity (in € ) 476.192.449 436.601.536 368.588.713 -22,6%
Turnover (in €) 911.725.800 1.004.453.703 1.036.651.146 13,7%
Profits Before Interest, Tax & Depreciation (in €) 77.354.916 50.092.899 24.053.268 -68,9%
Gross Margin (%) 22,90% 18,96% 12,31% -46,2%
Foreign/Own capital 2,91 3,33 3,69
Strengths 1. 11th longest coastline in the world
(13,676km) and mild weather conditions favor fish farming.
2. Global demand growing approximately by 3% p.a. – Sea bass and Sea Bream are growing even faster.
3. Competitive cost position. 4. Extrovert companies 5. Vertical integration.
Weaknesses 1. Long product life leads to high working
capital needs 2. Ineffective branding due to the nature
of the product, unsophisticated processing skills and high certification costs
3. Absence of a clear zoning plan 4. Lack of clear licensing procedures
Opportunities 1. Expand geographic coverage by further
penetrating markets of presence as well as penetrating new markets (mainly Asia)
2. Broaden product portfolio into larger size, higher value added categories.
3. Substantial room for building competitiveness through scale, product focus and labor efficiency
Threats 1. Lack of funding due to the
banking sector’s difficulties 2. Stiff competition from lower
labor cost countries 3. Rising food costs (more than
50% of cost of production)
Recovery of financials has been observed in 2012 (9m)
Appendix 4 - Examples of Sub-Sectors of Interest (4)
Page 33 www.athex.gr
Strengths 1. The Dairy market is very resilient despite
the current crisis. 2. “Greek Feta” and “Greek style yoghurt” are
strong brand names internationally. 3. Existing majors have modern production
capacities and nationwide distribution networks.
4. High barriers to entry in the domestic market.
5. Yoghurt exports are on stable rising path.
Weaknesses 1. Super markets and, to a lesser extent,
milk suppliers have a strong bargaining power over dairy companies. The 10 largest Super markets command a 70% share in food sales.
Opportunities
1. Continue growing and capture larger share of Greek feta and yoghurt by introducing greater product innovation and communicating Greek origin.
2. Promote Greece’s quality yellow cheeses (graviera, kaseri, katiki, kefalotyri).
Threats 1. A huge portion of cow milk is
currently imported.
DAIRY 2009 2010 2011 Δ (2009 - 20011)
Owner's Equity (in € ) 504.234.196 813.343.643 753.128.980 49,4%
Turnover (in €) 1.465.492.327 1.698.081.730 1.778.514.953 21,4%
Profits Before Interest, Tax & Depreciation (in €) 126.112.894,83 93.276.900 88.426.131 -29,9%
Gross Margin (%) 23,09% 22,28% 19,19% -16,9%
Foreign/Own capital 2,12 1,64 1,77
Page 9 www.helex.gr