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Midsweden university & Hogeschool van Amsterdam Institution of Information Technology and Media (ITM) Examiner: Leif Olsson, [email protected] Supervisor: Ronald Kleijn, [email protected] Authors email: [email protected], [email protected] Educational programme: Industrial engineering, 300 ECTS Extent: 11023 words including Appendix Date: 2012-10-09
Bachelor thesis in industrial engineering GR(C) IG023G
Flexibility in outsourcing A study of the value of flexibility in outsourcing
contracts using Real Options theory
Tobias Schavon Afshin Yavari
Flexibility in outsourcing
Tobias Schavon & Afshin Yavari
2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
ii
Abstract Creating a successful partnership between a supplier and its client is a
challenging task and is the reason for stressing the importance of a well-
defined and effective contract. Outsourcing deals are generally long-
term and for that reason, clients are pressing for more flexible contracts.
This research will express the value of flexibility in an outsourcing
contract. It will also examine whether the flexibility can be improved by
using Real Options theory.
At present, flexibility is highly integrated and it is not always clear what
its value is. Using Real Options theory it is possible to determine the
value of flexibilities and whether they are worth acquiring. By using the
option theory, the client will also be able to minimize risks and make the
contract more flexible.
Keywords: Outsourcing, flexibility and Real Options theory.
Flexibility in outsourcing
Tobias Schavon & Afshin Yavari
2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
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Sammanfattning
Att skapa ett framgångsrikt partnerskap mellan en leverantör och dess
kund, är i dagens samhälle en utmanande uppgift. Det är därför vikten
av ett väl definierat och flexibelt kontrakt inte kan betonas nog. Ett
partnerskap inom outsourcing är i allmänhet något man ser på lång sikt.
Det är därför kunder kräver mer flexibla avtal. Denna uppsats uttrycker
värdet av flexibilitet i ett outsourcing kontrakt. Den kommer också att
undersöka om flexibilitet kan förbättras med hjälp teorin för reala
optioner. Inom outsourcing idag, är flexibiliteten mycket integrerad och
det är inte alltid det framgår vad dess värde är. Med teorin för reala
optioner är det möjligt att bestämma värdet på flexibilitet och om det för
en kund är värt att införskaffa. Genom att använda optionsteori kan en
kund också minimera sina risker och det gör avtalen mer flexibla.
Nyckelord: Outsourcing, flexibilitet och Real Optionsteori.
Flexibility in outsourcing
Tobias Schavon & Afshin Yavari
2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
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Forewords
This research has been conducted as the final part of our bachelor
degree in Industrial Economics at Mittuniversitetet in Sundsvall. The
research was conducted in Holland during our exchange period.
We would like to give thanks to everyone who has been part of this
research and who have assisted us in reaching our goal. We would like
to give special thanks to Eric Bruinsma at IBM in Amsterdam for taking
his time to make this research possible. We would also like to give our
gratitude and appreciation to our supervisor Ronald Kleijn for all his
support.
Amsterdam the 12 august 2012
Tobias Schavon & Afshin Yavari
Flexibility in outsourcing
Tobias Schavon & Afshin Yavari
2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
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Table of Contents
Abstract ............................................................................................................. ii
Forewords ........................................................................................................ iv
Terminology ...................................................................................................... 7
Introduction ...................................................................................................... 8
1.1 Background .......................................................................................... 8
1.1.1 Atos 9
1.1.2 IBM 9
1.2 Purpose ................................................................................................. 9
1.3 Research question ............................................................................... 9
1.4 Delimitations ...................................................................................... 10
1.5 Outline ................................................................................................ 10
2 Theory .................................................................................................... 11
2.1 Flexibility ............................................................................................ 11
2.1.1 Robustness 11
2.1.2 New capability 11
2.1.3 Modifiability 12
2.1.4 Ease of exit 12
2.2 Discounted Cashflow ....................................................................... 12
2.3 Real Options ....................................................................................... 12
2.3.1 Binomial lattice 13
2.3.2 Option to Expand & Execute 16
2.3.3 Lognormal distribution 16
3 Method ................................................................................................... 18
3.1 Approach ............................................................................................ 18
3.2 Method theory ................................................................................... 18
3.2.1 Qualitative- & quantitative methods 18
3.2.2 Structured interviews 19
3.2.3 Validity & reliability 19
4 Results .................................................................................................... 20
4.1 Outsourcing contract ........................................................................ 20
4.2 Services ............................................................................................... 20
4.3 Cost of services .................................................................................. 20
Flexibility in outsourcing
Tobias Schavon & Afshin Yavari
2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
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4.4 Robustness ......................................................................................... 21
4.5 New capability & Modifiability ...................................................... 22
4.5.1 Renegotiation 22
4.5.2 Benchmark 22
4.6 Ease of exit.......................................................................................... 23
4.7 Case example: TP Vision .................................................................. 24
4.7.1 Case example: New capability 26
5 Discussion ............................................................................................. 28
5.1 Robustness & TP Vision ................................................................... 28
5.1.1 Pay per use VS Options 29
5.1.2 Modifiable & New capability 30
5.1.3 Case example: New capability 30
5.1.4 Modifiable 31
5.1.5 Ease of exit 31
6 Conclusion ............................................................................................. 33
References ........................................................................................................ 35
Appendix A: Interview I ............................................................................... 37
With F. Winnubst, Atos .................................................................................. 37
Appendix B: Interview II .............................................................................. 41
With G. Delen, an outsourcing consultant .................................................. 41
Appendix C: Interview III ............................................................................ 44
With Eric Bruinsma, IBM ............................................................................... 44
Appendix D: TP Vision case ........................................................................ 47
Lattice I ............................................................................................................. 47
Appendix E: TP Vision case ......................................................................... 48
Lattice II ............................................................................................................ 48
Appendix F: New capability ........................................................................ 49
Lattice 49
Flexibility in outsourcing
Tobias Schavon & Afshin Yavari
2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
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Terminology ABC: Activity Based Costing
BPO: Business Process Outsourcing
DCF: Discounted Cash Flow
IT: Information Technology
PV: Present Value
SLA: Service Level Agreement
Flexibility in outsourcing
Tobias Schavon & Afshin Yavari
2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
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Introduction
1.1 Background
An outsourcing contract is simply stated as an agreement between two
parties, in which one company agrees to supply the other with certain
services over a period of time (Delen 2009). In the book IT outsourcing:
An introduction, Delen (2009) expresses the definition to be; ”The
transfer of services, where if applicable, the accompanying employees
and resources are transferred to a specialized service provider and
consequently 2. The rendering back of those processes by that provider
as services for the duration of the contract at an agreed-upon level of
quality and financial compensation structure” (Delen 2009, s.3).
In outsourcing two strategies can be identified. If the strategies are
properly used, then it becomes possible for management to take a
company to a different level which would not be available using any
other strategy (Quinn & Hilmer 1995). The first strategy is to focus on a
company’s core activities. The core activities can provide unique value
for the customer and offer a company certain leverage, compared to its
competitors (Quinn, Doorley & Paquette 1990). The second strategy is to
strategically outsource other activities. A company has no special
expertise in these activities and they are able to be better provided
elsewhere (Quinn 1992).
When combining these two strategies in a successful way, companies
can: Focus on maximizing internal resources. Focus on core activities.
Obtain full utilization from the external supplier, such as investments,
knowledge, innovations and special capabilities. With joint strategies in
markets that are changing rapidly and with technology constantly being
developed, this should reduce the risks and lower investments (Quinn
& Hilmer 1992).
Creating a successful partnership between a supplier and its client is a
challenging task (Maurer & Ackerman 2012). Fafchamps (1996) argues
that, economic exchange between a supplier and client cannot take place
unless contracts are flexible, because parties cannot be certain of ful-
filling their contractual obligations. The importance of an effective and
well-defined outsourcing contract therefore cannot be sufficiently
Flexibility in outsourcing
Tobias Schavon & Afshin Yavari
2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
9
stressed. Outsourcing deals are generally long-term relationships and
deals signed today may not be the deal required in the future. Clients
are thus pressing for more flexible contracts (Maurer & Ackerman 2012).
1.1.1 Atos
Atos is an international information technology service company with
over 70.000 employees in 48 countries. They operate as a joined-up
global resource and offer consulting & technology services, system
integration & managed services and hi-tech transactional services to
clients all over the world. The focus of Atos is on business technology in
order to assist companies in bettering their own organization (Atos
2012).
1.1.2 IBM
IBM is one of the world’s leading companies in information processing,
with more than 400,000 employees and thousands of technology- and
business partners worldwide. They are a globally integrated organiza-
tion working across borders to provide their customers with the com-
bined expertise from all of their worldwide locations (IBM 2012).
1.2 Purpose
This research will express the value of/and the flexibility in outsourcing
with the assistance of Real Options theory in order to determine
whether it is possible to improve the flexibility in an outsourcing
contract.
1.3 Research question
The research question for this thesis is as follows; how can an outsourcing
contract be more flexible and yet profitable for both parties?
To answer the above research question, it has been supplemented with
sub-questions which were more manageable and easier to comprehend.
Sub-research questions:
1. How is the flexibility handled by vendors today?
a. What flexibilities do vendors offer their clients?
b. How much does flexibility cost?
c. How is the cost calculated?
2. How can we measure flexibility?
a. How can we calculate the value?
b. Is flexibility worth having?
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2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
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3. Can Real Options be applied to improve a contract?
a. What benefits are there?
b. What possible flaws/constraints does the method have
when applying it to flexibility in outsourcing?
1.4 Delimitations
Limitations in this research include:
- This research will only look at the cost of flexibility, and not its
quality aspects.
- This research will be concentrated on BPO (Business Process Out-
sourcing) and IT (Information Technology) Outsourcing.
1.5 Outline
The following chapter contains all the theory necessary to comprehend
the calculations and analysis which have been produced. Chapter three
describes the method used during the research. Chapter four contains
all the results of the research which, together with the theory, will be
analyzed in chapter five. The last chapter contains the final conclusions
of the research. In the final part of the document all the references and
all the appendixes used in this research are to be found in addition to
the excel spreadsheets and interview questions & answers.
Flexibility in outsourcing
Tobias Schavon & Afshin Yavari
2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
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2 Theory This section will deal with the necessary theory to understand and
comprehend the following chapters.
2.1 Flexibility
Upton (1994) expresses flexibility to be “the ability to change or react
with little penalty in time, effort, cost or performance”. It arises when
contractual performance is made, so in case of external events the client
is allowed to make changes to the original agreement. Bahrami and
Evans (2004) have stated three dimensions of flexibility. In addition Tan
and Sia (2006) have added a dimension called ‘ease of exit’ from Ybarra
and Wiersema (2003) and conceptualize it to be the four dimensions of
flexibility shown in Figure 2.1.
Figure 2.1 – Dimensions of flexibility
2.1.1 Robustness
Robustness means “the ability to endure variations and perturbations,
withstand pressure, or tolerate external changes. This relates to situa-
tions in which an organization has the built-in capacity to address
uncertainty for varying levels of demand, product mix, and resource
availability” (Barjis 2010, s. 43). This means a client is allowed to vary
the capacity usage of an existing service (Tia & Sia 2006).
2.1.2 New capability
New capability means the ability to innovate in response to changes
(Tan & Sia 2006). In other words this means that clients are allowed to
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2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
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add something new to the agreement at a later stage. According to Tan
& Sia (2006) new capability addresses radical changes in the business
environment that deviate substantially from the projections.
2.1.3 Modifiability
Modifiability means the ability to adjust attributes of existing services.
This means that the organization has the ability to make modifications
in relation to existing services in order to cope with less foreseeable
events as they occur (Tan & Sia 2006).
2.1.4 Ease of exit
Ease of exit is the ability to close an outsourcing relationship earlier than
anticipated, and transfer the services to another service provider or
backsource it to the client’s own organization (Venkatraman & Hender-
son 1998; Delen 2009). Both outcomes should have the fullest coopera-
tion of the current service provider (Delen 2009).
2.2 Discounted Cashflow
DCF (Discounted Cashflow) is a tool which can be used to determine the
value of an investment. The DCF method takes the present value of
future cashflow and then subtracts the required capital expenditure. If
the DCF is positive the investment will create future profits for the
company (Luehrman 1998).
To calculate the present value the DCF method uses the PV (Present
value) technique, which takes the time value of money into account
(Schmidt 2009). This means that future costs, revenues or profits will be
worth less than today’s costs, revenues or profits. The total PV over a
period of time is shown in equation (1). The x is the value of the ex-
pected cost, revenue or profit that year, the r is the risk-free rate and t is
the time period.
(1)
2.3 Real Options
DCF is a model which assumes a static, one-time decision-making
process. This could, however, provide a poor estimation, as all aspects
are not always known and it is very difficult to predict the future. Real
Options unlike the traditional approach DCF, assumes a dynamic
environment, where all aspects are not known and the management can
make future decisions to adapt to changes (Mun 2006).
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2012-10-09
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Real Options is a fairly new approach but it has its roots in Financial
Options, which has been around for several decades. This method
attempts to eliminate the risks associated with market trading by
determining the financial value of stocks and using stock option con-
tracts. Real Options however, uses the option theory to evaluate physi-
cal or real assets, as opposed to financial assets. Real Options can be
used to determine the value of free cash flow, commodity prices, market
demand and more (Mun 2006).
An option is simply an opportunity where someone has the right but
not the obligation to acquire or sell specific asset. All option can be
categorized either as a call option which means acquire, or put option
which means to sell (Mun 2006). This thesis will focus on call options,
“the right, but not the obligation to acquire something” (Luehrman 1998,
s.3).
2.3.1 Binomial lattice
There are many different means of calculating Real Options. This thesis
will focus on the binomial lattice approach. The binomial lattice ap-
proach, because of its high level of flexibility, is able to be used in
solving any types of options. It is also easy to understand and imple-
ment. In order to obtain a good approximation a binomial lattice solu-
tion requires a significant amount of steps and a great deal of computing
power. Because of the limited modeling flexibility and its preciseness, it
is better option to use closed-form equations, such as the Black-Scholes
formula, while solving financial options (Mun 2006).
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2012-10-09
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Figure 2.1 – Binomial tree
The binomial lattice method uses a decision tree containing two differ-
ent paths which it is possible for the value to take during each time
period. A solution can be obtained in two ways. The first involves the
use of risk-neutral probabilities, and the second, the use of market-
replicating portfolios. The method that this thesis concentrates on is the
risk-neutral probabilities approach (Mun 2006).
In any options model, there are at least two lattices. The first lattice is
that of the underlying asset, while the second is the option valuation
lattice. The basic inputs for calculating almost any type of Real Options
are S, X, σ, T, rf, b.
S is the present value of the underlying asset. X is the present value of
the implementation cost. Volatility (σ) is the natural logarithm of the
free cash flow returns in percentage terms. T is the time to expiration in
years. Risk-free (rf) rate is the return on a riskless asset. Dividend (b) is
the continuous outflows in percentage terms (Mun 2006).
When using the binomial lattice approach, several equations are re-
quired. Equation (2) is the up factor (u) for the first lattice. The up factor
is the exponential function of the cash flow returns volatility multiplied
by the square root of the time-steps. Time-steps means the time scale
between steps. If an option has, for instance, ten years to maturity and
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2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
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the lattice has been created using 10 steps, then every step has a step-
ping time of one year. To make the volatility equivalent to the time-
steps, its annualized value should be broken down by multiplying it
with the square root of time-steps (Mun 2006).
(2)
Equation (3) is the down factor (d) of the lattice, which is the reciprocal
of the up factor. The higher the volatility, the higher will be the up and
down factors (Mun 2006). The factors u and d use a lognormal distribu-
tion. The lognormal distribution is the distribution of a random variable
taking only real positive values. This is derived from the financial
options, where the value of a stock cannot be less than zero (Johnson,
Kotz & Balakrishnan 1994). The lognormal distribution has been chosen
because of the above stated characteristics. In addition it is based on the
fact that an assumption, in relation to statistical analysis it’s a standard-
ized form to go. More information about the lognormal distribution can
be viewed in chapter 2.3.3.
(3)
Equation (4) is the risk-neutral probability measure (p), which is proba-
bility that the underlying asset will increase in value in one time step. It
is the exponential function of the difference between the risk-free rate
and dividend multiplied by the stepping time. The down factor is then
substracted from this and then divided by the difference between the up
and down factors (J. Mun 2006).
(4)
It now becomes possible to create the lattice for the underlying assets.
This is achieved by multiplying the present value of the underlying
asset at time zero (So) with the up and down factors, using equations (2)
and (3) as shown in Figure 2.1. The intermediate branches recombine,
which means that if the volatility had been zero, equations (2) and (3)
would have been equal to one. Thus the lattice would have been a
straight line and it would have been sufficient to use a discounted cash
flow model since the value of the option would have been zero (Mun
2006).
To create the option valuation lattice, the backward induction process
should be used. In this stage, the values from the final nodes are multi-
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2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
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plied by their risk-neutral probability factors (p) and the reciprocal (1-p)
and then these are multiplied by each other. This value will also be
multiplied by the exponential of the risk-free rate to discount the value
to the following node (Mun 2006).
(5)
2.3.2 Option to Expand & Execute
The Expansion Option, values the opportunity to expand from one
existing state to a larger one. For this to occur an existing state must be
present and if this is not the case then an Execution Option should be
considered. This thesis will concentrate on American calls, which means
that the option can be executed at any given time up to maturity. This
means that while performing the backward induction, the nodes will
take either the maximum value of either the value zero or the option or
value from the previous nodes (5). This can be seen in equation (6). Ef is
the expansion factor which is the factor that is able to be expanded.
Using an European call would mean that option could only be exercised
on the option’s maturity date. Only the last node would then consider
the option and the remaining nodes would only contain equation (5) (J.
Mun 2006).
(6)
While dealing with an option to execute, equation (7) will be used
instead of equation (6).
(7)
2.3.3 Lognormal distribution
u and d are acquired from a lognormal distribution which is a continu-
ous probability distribution of a random variable, taking only real
positive values whose logarithm is normally distributed (Johnson, Kotz
& Balakrishnan 1994).
In statistical analysis, a normal distribution is required. On the other
hand it is well known that market returns are not normally distributed
(Peters 1994). “This information has been downplayed or rationalized
away over the years to maintain the crucial assumption of the tradition-
al capital market theory” (A. Weron & R. Weron 1999, s. 289). In finance
theory, information and investors are both treated as generic. All
investors are generalized to always look to maximize returns and to
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know how to value and handle current and new information. This
method fails because all types of information do, according to this
theory, have the same impact on every investor, which, in reality, is not
the case (A. Weron & R. Weron 1999).
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2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
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3 Method This chapter presents and justifies the methodology used during the
research. The reliability of the method has also been evaluated.
3.1 Approach
A qualitative study of the three main topics namely, outsourcing,
flexibility and the Real Options theory represents the theoretical founda-
tion in the research. This theoretical study then provided the framework
for the subsequent work. The next step was an empirical study which
was conducted by means of qualitative structured interviews. Inter-
views were carried out with two companies, namely IBM and Atos. An
additional interview was conducted with an outsourcing consultant.
The next step was to perform quantitative calculations using Real
Options.
Following on from this, it was time to produce a qualitative analysis,
according to the data required. This led to conclusions about today’s
situations, how Real Options theory can be used and what benefits it
could provide. An evaluation of the study’s validity and reliability has
also been implemented and can be viewed in chapter 3.2.3. The last step
was to complete the report and check for consistency and quality of the
work.
3.2 Method theory
This section presents and justifies the different methodological choices
in greater depth.
3.2.1 Qualitative- & quantitative methods
The purpose of a qualitative study is to gain a deeper understanding of
the study area (Lantz 2007). In this research a qualitative study was
made with regards to outsourcing, flexibility and mainly, Real Options,
to obtain the foundation for the work to be conducted. Of particular
importance of this study has been the book ‘Real Options Analysis’ by
Johnathan Mun.
A quantitative method can be used to find statistical and quantifiable
results (Holme & Solvang 1997). In this research the quantitative method
Real Options was used to calculate case examples and demonstrate how
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the methodology could be applied. Lastly, the interviews and analysis
were conducted in a qualitative way. The aim of the analysis was to
show how Real Options can be used and what benefits it could offer.
Thus, the qualitative analysis was considered to be an appropriate
approach.
3.2.2 Structured interviews
Structured interviews are intended to capture the respondent's percep-
tion of a given subject. The structured interviews allowed for a generali-
zation of the results. The interview questions and answers are available
in the Appendixes A, B and C. The interviews lasted, on average 40
minutes, and were recorded using a voice recorder on a mobile phone.
This allowed for a more complete compilation of the interviews.
3.2.3 Validity & reliability
The methods used are considered to have generated a result of high
validity. The validity is directly reinforced by calculations made and the
case study of the companies and for which the questions have been
answered and the purpose fulfilled. Since the research has been more
focused on contracts rather than on specific companies, the results can
be seen as a generalization. Reliability is directly dependent on the
consistency of the results. To increase the reliability, the analysis has
been based on a combination between the theory and results.
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2012-10-09
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4 Results This chapter contains all the results acquired during the research. The
first part is based on the results from the interviews described in the
appendix A-C which involved Winnubst, Delen and Bruinsma during
2012. The latter provided the calculation which has been used on the
specific case examples.
4.1 Outsourcing contract
The most common duration of an outsourcing contract according to
Bruinsma and Winnubst is five years. In the public sector Delen men-
tions that the most common time is about four years. All agree that the
minimum length is two-three years, and the maximum around 7-10
years. An outsourcing contract is according to Bruinsma often started by
the client sending a request for proposals to different suppliers and then
negotiating in order to discover the best deal.
4.2 Services
Services that companies such as IBM and Atos offer can according to
Winnubst be divided in different categories depending on the company.
Winnubst mentioned that Atos divides their services under three
different domains or towers as they call them: adaptive workplace
solution, application operations and manage infrastructure services.
Winnubst mentions that the majority of companies have the same
categories but that the terminology may differ.
4.3 Cost of services
Winnubst and Delen mention that the majority of outsourcing suppliers
charge their clients depending on both quality and quantity. For quality
Delen and Winnubst state, that companies usually divide this into
different ranks, for example; gold, silver and bronze. If a client wants to
have the golden quality then this will involve a higher cost than that for
silver or bronze.
For quantity Delen and Winnubst state that, companies usually use the
method pay per unit. This means that the client will pay for the exact
amount of the service used. For example, if a client rents storage space
then the client will pay per terabyte. Clients can also, according to
Bruinsma, Winnubst and Delen, pay per, for example, user, time period,
personnel, instance, seat, server image, invoice, call, function point and
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transaction. A few services still remain which are paid by a fixed
amount. If a client then wants more capacity than has been agreed upon,
then the client will, according to Bruinsma pay more but within the new
range. This indicates that there are three ways of paying for a service:
- Fixed cost + Fixed cost + … + Fixed cost.
- Fixed cost + Pay per unit.
- Pay per unit.
Winnubst states that the cost of a service is calculated by using the PQ
formula, in which P is equal to price and Q is equal to quantity. The
price is calculated by using the ABC (Activity Based Costing) method.
The ABC method does according to Winnubst and Delen break down
every service into activities and sets a price for each one.
4.4 Robustness
During the interviews it was confirmed that none of the companies will
deny their clients more capacity. As already covered by the sub chapter
‘cost of service’, the client will either pay within the new range or the
pay per use method will be applied. If the pay per use method is ap-
plied then the alteration of capacity is very easy. In order for the suppli-
er to then cover the fixed cost, Bruinsma mentions there will be a
minimum capacity which the client “has to use”. During the duration of
the contract the overall variance of the capacity use is usually about 20%
according to Delen and Bruinsma.
During the interview Bruinsma mentions an ongoing procedure which,
at the moment, for IBM, is an arrangement in which IBM provides
application management and hosting to TP vision. TP vision provides
Smart TV solutions which mean that, as a consumer, it is possible to
obtain access to the Internet through a television. How rapidly this new
trend will be adopted by consumers is, at present, not certain. This
makes the amount of capacity required by TP vision difficult to deter-
mine.
This service is provided by IBM for a fixed cost of €100,000 a month, for
one million unique users. The number of unique users is at the moment
approximately 700,000. The forecast is for an increase of an extra one
million users within a year, with a variance of 100,000 unique users a
month. Bruinsma says that IBM can reserve capacity, which TP vision
can choose to use at a later stage, but this will be provided for a particu-
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lar fee. For the next one million users, the monthly cost will be €85,000.
This robustness flexibility will be examined in chapter 4.7, to determine
what the option value would be for reserving the capacity.
4.5 New capability & Modifiability
Below are examples of flexibilities and tools which can exist in outsourc-
ing contracts. These tools can be used to modify or adjust an attribute of
an existing service and prove to be useful when negotiating a new
capability.
4.5.1 Renegotiation
A renegotiation clause enables some or all aspects of a contract to be
changed during its lifetime. Winnubst states that, even if there are
clauses that allow a client to renegotiate for a particular change, it is
somewhat irrelevant to make calculations. The reason being that renego-
tiation is an ongoing process and, as the world is changing, the client
will renegotiate the terms. If a supplier refuses to renegotiate, the client
will possibly not renew the contract when the duration period is over.
Winnubst also mentions, as a supplier, that there is no choice but to
renegotiate to maintain the relationship with the client intact.
Although renegotiating is an ongoing process Delen believes that it is
good to have clauses and regulations written down in the contract. This
is to prevent confusion, so that both the client and supplier know what
to expect and can meet on mutual grounds. At IBM, Bruinsma feels that
if the client, for example, does not have the budget, then the supplier
can take a look, but it does not indicate that there must be a change.
Bruinsma mentions that, in order to make the change possible, the client
will need to pay for the extra work that the supplier has to supply.
4.5.2 Benchmark
Winnubst, Delen and Bruinsma state that, external firms can be used to
conduct a benchmark on the suppliers’ services against their peers. The
supplier is required to score within a certain interval that is specified in
the SLA. If a score is above the interval, then credits will be awarded
and if a score is below the interval, then penalties are charged from the
supplier. A benchmark on a service is, according to Bruinsma, not very
common and there are very rare cases for which a client hires a third-
party in order to conduct one.
Winnubst, Delen & Bruinsma mention that, a client can also hire an
external firm to conduct a benchmark on the price. The firm will check
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whether the prices are competitive and if this is not the case then, prices
will be renegotiated. Bruinsma also points out that it is important that
the external firm is very precise during their benchmarking process.
This to ensure that the services, for which the price is being bench-
marked, do not differ from each other as, otherwise, the benchmark
would be irrelevant and not taken under consideration.
4.6 Ease of exit
As has been discovered during the interviews, there many different
clauses in relation to ease of exit, which can be used in an outsourcing
contract. According to Delen, all the clauses can be categorized into two
different groups:
- Termination for cause.
- Termination for convenience.
Winnubst mentions that the termination for cause could be for several
different reasons. Many outsourcing companies ask for the cause; poor
performance. This indicates whether the supplier performs poorly and
does not deliver as promised and thus enables the client to terminate the
contract. However, it takes careful planning and detailed sub clauses to
specify, what exactly poor performance is. Another cause, which is
common to have in an outsourcing contract, is, according to Winnubst,
the cause of ‘bankruptcy’, in case one of the companies becomes bank-
rupt. Also, the ease of exit clause ‘change of control’ often appears in an
outsourcing contract. This means that the outsourcing company can
terminate the contract if the outsourcing supplier is bought out by one
of their competitors, or the other way around, which is very unusual.
During the interviews both Bruinsma and Winnubst mentioned the
termination of convenience. This means that if the outsourcing company
starts to dislike their supplier or for some other reason wants to stop the
partnership, then this is achievable without having a relevant cause.
The usage of these termination clauses are difficult to determine. Kern
and Willcocks (2000) estimate that one in eight outsourcing deals ends
prematurely. According to Delen these clauses are used 14% of the times
(7% for cause and 7% for convenience). Bruinsma at IBM states that this
is extremely unusual and Winnubst at Atos states that it has only
happened once in fifty years. There is no up-front cost for having an
ease of exit clause in a contract, only a price when it is exercised. In all
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the interviews it was mentioned that the price for exercising the ease of
exit for convenience usually involves the remainder of the supplier’s
original investment, and also involves paying for the transference of
services from the provider to itself or another provider. Bruinsma and
Winnubst also add the following year’s transition costs and also five
percent of the lost year’s revenues.
4.7 Case example: TP Vision
It is now time to examine the case of IBM and TP Vision, using Real
Options with the option to expand. What is the option worth? What
would a reasonable price be? This will now be answered and further
discussed in the next chapter. Table 4.1 shows the data already provid-
ed. The income of €0.2 per user is an estimation that has been utilized,
since no real data has been provided.
Table 4.1 Statistics & Profit
Factors Figures
Option duration: 12 months
Unique users at the moment: 700.000
Estimated variation per month: ±100.000
1.000.000 Per/user +1.000.000 users +Per/user
Income €200000 €0.2 €200000 €0.2
Cost €100000 €0.1 €85000 €0.085
The first step in obtaining the option value was to determine the value
of the underlying asset. To obtain this value, the assumption firstly had
to be made that TP Vision earns twice as much as the cost per user. This
means an income of €0.2 per unique user. By using this it was possible
to calculate the monthly cash flows of all possible outcomes for the next
12 months. The cash flow at month zero is €40.000 and this was acquired
by multiplying the amount of users by the income per user, and then
subtracted from the monthly cost (700.000*0.2-1000.000*0.1). The next
month’s cash flow was calculated in the same way but with a variance
of 100.000 users per month. All the cash flow projections can be seen in
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Figure 4.1. Then an average of each month’s possible outcome was taken
and the present value from equation (1) was used in order to obtain the
value of the underlying asset, which was calculated to be €273,718.
Figure 4.1 - DCF
The second step was to determine the volatility of the option. It was
acquired by taking the difference in the highest growth possible with
the value of month zero ((100,000-40,000)/(100,000+40,000)), which gave
a percentage of 42%. The third step was to calculate the up and down
factors of the underlying asset lattice by using formulas (2) and (3). This
provided the up factor with a value of 1.129 and the down factor 0.886.
The fourth step was to obtain the risk-neutral probability factor, which
was given by equation (4) and has the value 0.487. The fifth step was to
decide the expansion factor which is 3. This value was obtained by
dividing the maximum cash flow after expansion by the maximum cash
flow without expansion. All these values can be seen in the table 4.2.
Table 4.2 Variables
Variables Values
Underlying asset (S): €273,718
Risk-free rate (rf): 5%
Volatility (σ): 42%
Expiration date of option (T): 1 year
Time step (δt): 1/12
Up-factor (u): 1.129
Down-factor (d): 0.886
Risk-neutral probability up (pu): 0.487
Risk-neutral probability down (pd): 0.513
Expansion factor: 3
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In order to acquire the exercise price another assumption had to be
made. Since the cost to expand would be €85.000 a month, this was
transformed and used as the exercise price. To obtain an accurate
exercise price for that particular month, the present value equation (1)
was used to discount the cost of each of the following months. If, for
example, exercising the option in month five, there will be seven months
left. This means that the exercise price would be €549,373.08. All the
exercise prices can be seen in table 4.3.
Table 4.3. Exercise prices
Month: Value
Exercise price 1: $753,376.39
Exercise price 2: $706,045.21
Exercise price 3: $656,347.47
Exercise price 4: $604,164.84
Exercise price 5: $549,373.08
Exercise price 6: $491,841.74
Exercise price 7: $431,433.83
Exercise price 8: $368,005.52
Exercise price 9: $301,405.79
Exercise price 10: $231,476.08
Exercise price 11: $158,049.89
Exercise price 12: $80,952.38
These are all the required variables to generate the lattice for the
underlying asset. Then by using backward induction and placing
equation (6) at every node, the option valuation lattice can now also be
generated and this lattice provides the option value €744,150.46. The
lattices have been placed in Appendix D.
4.7.1 Case example: New capability
If, for example, a client thinks that there is a possibility that their com-
pany will want to add something new to the contract within three years.
This is not certain, but, if the client does, then the implementation must
be rapid. To be able to feel certain of obtaining the resources in time
from the supplier, perhaps a new capability option should be consid-
ered.
The assumption is that the client has estimated a future discounted cash
flow for this particular capability to be €400,000, and the projected
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volatility to be approximately 45%. Time to maturity is three years and
the risk-free rate is 5%.
In order to calculate a new capability, the option to execute must be
used, since there is no existing state. This means that it is almost the
same calculations as above but instead of using equation (6), equation
(7) will be used at every node in the option valuation lattice.
Table 4.4 New capability
Factors Values
DCF €400,000
Time to maturity 3 years
Exercise price €600,000
Risk-free rate 5%
Volatility 45%
With the binomial lattice approach the option value is €87,626.67. This
can be confirmed by using the Black-Scholes calculator. The individual
approaches can be seen in Appendix D.
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5 Discussion This section contains the analysis of the results given in the previous
chapter.
5.1 Robustness & TP Vision
Robustness is definitely a valuable flexibility. If the variation of the
capacity is not specified in the contract, then the client could be paying
for capacity which is not being used. In some instances, it is possible
that the client might not increase the capacity as rapidly and efficiently
as desired. This would mean a loss of profit for both parties.
The option value given in the TP Vision case is obviously very high. The
reason is because, with Real Options, the maximum profit path is
always calculated. In this lattice the optimal profit path is to expand in
the last month, which gives the high option value. TP Vision is operat-
ing in an environment where the assumption is that expansion will take
place, as soon as the limit has been reached. Neglecting customers while
waiting for the most profitable period to expand, is bad marketing and
will generate unhappy potential customers. This means that TP Vision
has to expand when the limit of one million unique users has been
reached. This means that the option value will significantly decrease.
TP Vision projects that they have the potential to reach two million
users in one year. With a variance of 100,000 users a month, they should
reach the limit in about 3-5 months, if the projection is correct. A reason-
able option value would be between €85,000x3 and €85,000x5, which
would be €255,000, and €425,000 respectively. To force an expansion at
an earlier stage would reduce the option value. To force an expansion at
month four, an option value of €311,257.23 would be obtained. The
newly obtained option value is within a reasonable interval. The lattice
to expand at month four can be found in appendix E.
If TP Vision had chosen to expand from the beginning, it would have
generated an additional cost of €85,000 a month. In a one year period the
additional cost would be €85,000x12 which is equal to €1,020,000.
Comparing this with the initial option value obtained, which is €744,150
this can again be recognized as being too high a value. To pay the
options price of €744,150 and exercise it at month four will mean a total
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payment of €1,509,150 (€744,150+€765,000). This value is €489,150
greater than €1,020,000, which it would have cost to expand immediate-
ly. The latter option value obtained is a better estimate. The option value
and its exercise price provide a total of €1,076,257 (€311,257+€765,000).
In this scenario expanding at the beginning would actually have proved
to be the most profitable. There is still a very high possibility for the
market to react in a different way, which makes having the option
valuable.
In relation to the uncertainty of the market; the higher the volatility the
greater the importance of acquiring an option, because the client could
end up with not expanding at all. A great deal of money would then
have been wasted if the client had expanded from the beginning.
Whereas, by having an option, the client would only have spent the
money to acquire the option. It should be borne in mind that the option
value is the maximum amount to pay for acquiring an option. A rec-
ommendation would be to negotiate the price with the supplier after a
Real Options calculation has been made.
5.1.1 Pay per use VS Options
Pay per use, can be seen as a type of flexibility in which a client has the
option to vary the capacity use on a daily or hourly basis. The
calculation of this option would be significantly large and complex. As
the result states, the costs of the services are calculated using the ABC
calculation method, and there is no additional cost for the pay per use
price. This means that there is no interest in comparing the different
methods. The pay per use method will always be preferable if that
option exists. For TP Vision, the pay per use method would also have
been the optimal solution, if offered. In some instances it is not possible,
because of the huge amount of reserved capacity and other variables. In
these cases an option to expand is optimal. The supplier receives a small
amount of money for the reserved capacity. This makes the contract
more flexible and profitable for both parties.
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5.1.2 Modifiable & New capability
If it was not possible to modify or add new capabilities, companies
would not be able to adapt to the rapidly changing environment, and
thereby not be able to keep up with competitors. In all the interviews it
was confirmed that there are clauses about change/renegotiations. There
are, however, different views amongst companies about the actual value
of the clauses. No matter what point of view is held, the
recommendation would be to always include these clauses, in order to
avoid conflict.
5.1.3 Case example: New capability
For new capability options to function in reality, all aspects must be pre-
defined in order to calculate an option value and exercise price. By
using the new capability options, the customer will know the exact
amount required to execute an option. The supplier will, in advance, be
aware of the changes that might occur and thus be able to plan
accordingly. This will benefit both parties and create more flexible
contracts.
This type of option has the same characteristics as a financial option. In
this case we bought the right but not the obligation to in a future stage
add a new capability. Since this case is so close to a financial option, the
Black-Scholes formula gives the same result as the binomial lattice
method. The individual methods can be seen in Appendix F.
If there had been an option to expand as in the TP Vision case, then the
Black-Scholes formula and the binomial lattice method would have
provided different results. This example contains the same variables as
the case in chapter 5.1. For a detailed analysis refer to chapter 5.1.
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5.1.4 Modifiable
It has not proved possible to determine a method to calculate the
options in relation to modifiability. However, it could be interesting to
calculate how much money it would be worth spending in order to
conduct a benchmark. If a client is certain that the price of the service
provided is higher as compared to the service provided by another
supplier, it could be worth conducting a benchmark. It is the belief of
the authors that a lattice could possibly be created with the underlying
cash flow, with the up and down factors of the uncertainty (σ) of the
cash flow increasing after it has been conducted. For real option theory,
it is believed that the problem would be the duration.
On the other hand, it is possible that a very simple calculation could be
made, by using the option thinking. If the client believes that, after the
benchmark, it would save them €1,000,000 until the end of the contract
and that there is a 20% certainty of this assumption then, the option
value would be €200,000 (1,000,000*0.2) subtracted from the cost to
renegotiate the price. The obtained value must be compared to the cost
of conducting a benchmark to determine if it is worth performing the
process.
5.1.5 Ease of exit
To terminate a contract before the expiration date could be a valuable
option for a client to acquire. This would be particularly true if the
supplier does not deliver what has been promised. If the insourced
services do not create what has been expected, then the agreement will
no longer have any value. It will only be an unnecessary cost. However,
a client must have a very strong case and be prepared to take it to the
court, where it is possible that the case will be lost.
Terminating a contract for convenience is less valuable than the above,
since the agreement is still functional. Terminating a contract for
convenience is really expensive, and should not be attempted without a
really strong reason. In the opinion of the authors, it will never be worth
exercising this clause, at least not for a normal five year contract. This
clause can, however, have an implicit value. Meaning, that the client can
exercise the clause to avoid bad publicity or for moral values.
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Because of the above reasons, the amount of unknown variables and the
lack of knowledge of the authors in relation to Real Options this will not
be dealt with in this thesis. However, the value of this dimension
increases with the length of the contract's duration, and with the
companies’ environmental uncertainty. Another aspect to investigate
before entering an agreement is how many former clients of a supplier
have prematurely terminated their contracts. The higher the amount of
premature terminations, the higher the value of the clause.
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6 Conclusion
By answering the sub research questions, the main question (how can an
outsourcing contract be more flexible and yet profitable for both parties?) will
be answered and the purpose of this research can be seen as having
been fulfilled.
How is the flexibility handled by vendors today?
Vendors offer flexibilities in each dimension.
The flexibilities in contracts today are highly integrated.
The value of flexibility is not clear.
There is usually no clear upfront cost.
In today’s situation flexibility is always worth having.
The cost is calculated using the ABC method.
How can we measure flexibility?
Flexibility in a contract is similar to an option, where the client
has the right, but not the obligation, to exercise certain flexibili-
ties.
Real Options is a good approach for determining the value of
flexibilities and the upfront costs.
By using Real Options, it is possible for clients to determine
whether certain flexibilities are worth acquiring.
Robustness flexibilities can be determined by means of an expan-
sion option.
New Capability flexibilities can be determined by means of an
execute option.
Can Real Options be applied to better a contract?
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Benefits:
Clients will know what they are paying for.
Clients will know how much to pay for certain flexibilities.
Clients will reduce the amount of risk taking.
Clients will receive the required resources exactly when they are
necessary.
Suppliers will be more flexible.
Suppliers will know how much to be paid for the extra work that
has been involved, if an option is exercised.
Clients & suppliers will know which directions their partnership
can take.
To vary capacity usage, add something new and innovate with
new options over the agreements duration is a good means of
creating a successful partnership.
Flaws:
Prices and options that are decided today might not be the right
price or the right option required in the future.
Option values can be very difficult and complex to calculate.
Some parameters can be difficult to determine.
Suggestion for future research
As far as is known, this thesis is the first of its kind, covering flexibility
in outsourcing contracts with the assistance of Real Options Theory. It
has only been possible to arrive at a method for calculating the value of
flexibility in two of the four dimensions (Robustness & New capability).
It would therefore be interesting, in the future, to be able to cover the
remaining two dimensions (Modifiable & Ease of exit). It is also possible
to experiment with other types of options such as the option to abandon
rather than only using the option to execute or expand.
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Appendix A: Interview I With F. Winnubst, Atos
1. What does Atos insource?
Basically the whole area of IT except from traditional telephony and
printing/scanning (document) services that you usually have in offices.
To that we use subcontractors. Mainly IT infrastructure (80%) and
application management (maintaining the applications 10-20%).
a. How does the service work?
Pay per use(on demand)
2. What’s the general duration of most of Atos contracts?
Most usual 5 years. Some are 3 years and there are some rare contracts
that are for 10 years.
2. Do Atos offer their clients flexibilities like for example; ‘new
capacity’, ‘early termination’, ‘changes’ clauses in the contracts?
Early Termination
There are always termination clauses. Termination for cause, termina-
tion for convenience, termination for “bankruptcy” and many more.
Within termination for cause there are several clauses. One clause the
client always asks for is “poor performance”. If the supplier doesn’t
deliver, this clause can be used.
Another clause within termination for cause is “change of control”, this
one can be used if a competitor of the client takes over the contract from
us(the supplier), which can happen in rare cases.
Termination for convenience is basically if the client doesn’t like the
supplier anymore or if the client feels they can’t be partners for differ-
ent reasons. In those cases compensation must be paid to the supplier,
since the supplier has done a lot of investments and will lose future
turnover.
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2012-10-09
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Changes
Irrelevant. Because even if there is such a clause that allows our clients
to make changes for a certain amount of money, it will never be used.
Because the client will force the supplier to renegotiate. Even if there
are set prices for different services in the contract the client will still
force renegotiations since the world is constantly changing.
Benchmarking
Client hires an external firm every year that is benchmarking our
services against our peers. And we need to score between for example
5.5 – 7.7. If we score below we get penalties and if we score above we
will get credits. And in almost every outsourcing contract there are
rules written down about reward and penalties. There can be a mutual
pay for this clause.
There is also benchmarking on the price. The client can check if the
prices are competitive, if not prices will be renegotiated. In this case the
client always pays for the benchmark.
Innovation
Hard to arrange in a contract. The client always has a different view on
what innovation is. There is a clause in the contract that says that we
have to invest in new technology and not keep on “milking the cow”.
Usually what happens is that there will be an innovation board estab-
lished between the supplier and the client. The innovation board is a
part of the overall governance structure of the contract. The govern-
ances is usually at 3 different levels, operational (daily contact, formal
meeting every week), tactical and strategic(board to board, maybe
twice every year). The innovation board reports to the governance
board and the innovation boards task is to monitor if there is sufficient
innovation inserted into the contract (service delivery).
a. Is there any statistics on how often clients usually use them?
Ease of exit: Only happened once in 50 years
b. How much does it cost to use the clauses?
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2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
39
Ease of exit:
1. Outstanding (not yet depreciated) investments that were made
for this contract;
2. Outstanding (not yet depreciated) transition cost (one-time
cost made for this contract);
3. Missed profit for the period of the contract that was not
realized.
3. What kind of flexible services does Atos offer their clients?
We categorize our services in 3 different towers or domains. Adaptive
workplace solution, application operations(running applications on
machines and making sure they are accessible) and manage infrastruc-
ture services
a. How is the cost calculated?
Pricing is per/unit or (on demand) - Today
ARC = Additional Resource Capacity. - past
RRC = Reduced Resource Capacity. – past
You expect a certain volume of the services and you agree upon a price.
When more resources are required to produce that volume beyond a
certain bandwidth, you pay additionally and when less is required you
get a price reduction.
This was prior to the pay per unit, when it was impossible to keep
track of what was consumed in number of units. So instead it kept track
on resources that were used in producing those units (Input required
by the supplier to deliver the services and volumes) and you would be
benchmarked to see if you were efficient enough.
Nowadays we use the simple P*Q model where P = price and Q =
quantity. Price is of course decided by the SLA. But in this case the
client pays for the service.
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2012-10-09
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There are also different levels in the pricing and in the quality of service
you will get. There are bronze, silver and gold. Of course gold will cost
more than bronze, but it will also provide a better service but to a
higher price.
The level decides the price but also the quantity. If a client wants a
higher quantity of something they will probably get a price reduction if
they ask for it. Of course it will be negotiated and written in the SLA.
What’s important to know is that in the end there is no predefined
price. For example if you pick the level gold and a certain quantity,
Atos will not be able to give a predefined price, because every client
always wants something special or different. What will happen is that
the price is being calculated by breaking down the services into all
simple activities and look how many resources(people, machines,
cycles, etc) required to provide that service(activity based costing)
b. Are there any typical trends in usage, capacity in-
crease/decrease through the duration of a contract?
Storage cost and prices (per GB or TB) have decreased in the last 5 years
with (on average) annually (year-on-year) 15%.
c. Is there any other type of flexibilities that Atos offer their cli-
ents that’s not pay per unit?
There is one when we charge per unit but also depending on the
economic success. So if the client does well we do well. If the client does
badly we do badly. There was a minimum so we could get some
certainty. There was a complicated formula that was connected to this
and the P*Q calculations. What we were trying to achieve with this was
to build stronger relationships and say that “if your economic is bad,
our is bad” “if your economic is well our is well”. But this was not a
success because we started using this just before the financial crisis so
the economy was bad for most of our client.
Flexibility in outsourcing
Tobias Schavon & Afshin Yavari
2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
41
Appendix B: Interview II With G. Delen, an outsourcing consultant
1. What is the usual duration of an outsourcing contract?
Min: Public sector 2 years. Usually contracts are 4 years.
Max: Public sector 10 years can be finished every year. There is a fixed
amount to pay for the exit. The reason for that is that the supplier
makes investments, so the supplier needs to get paid for the invest-
ments of each year. So if a client wants to exit, he needs to pay the
investment of the upcoming year.
2. How the costs of services & flexibilities are usually calculated
from the supplier perspective?
ABC-calculations. You would hope that the supplier makes the costs
transparent, but that isn’t always the case. If you make the calculations
transparent you gain more trust from the client because they know
exactly what they pay for. IBM for example needs approval from USA
on how much they can negotiate on prices which makes it less trans-
parent and a bit inflexible.
3. Is it still according to you and your experience worth to have
clauses like modifiable and new capacity in a contract?
Even though renegotiations might be an ongoing process it’s still
important to have clauses like these in the contracts to have rules and
regulations clear incase issues might occur.
4. Are there any other flexibilities under these categories which you
can think of that a supplier offer their clients?
There are different levels of quality a client can get. There is Gold,
Silver and Bronze. And depending on how where the supplier scores
they will get paid accordingly. Contracts should contain rules for
negotiating, so all parties all clear on how they will take place. Never
really heard about postponed payment. If a client would like to pay
later it would make me more worried and I would want my money as
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Tobias Schavon & Afshin Yavari
2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
42
soon as possible and not postpone it.
5. Are there any services that you know where clients like to pay for
a fixed amount instead of pay per unit?
a. What would the reason be?
Nothing I can think about. Most clients usually pay for the amount they
use. Also with clouds nowadays it’s mostly pay per use.
b. What different units can you think of?
Pay per cycle, TB, it’s also important to know how fast you can retrieve
the data. KB etc. Number of seats for end-user computers. Develop-
ment and advice if paid/hour.
c. Do you know of any prices of some of these services?
I will send spreadsheets and pricing models but price for a seat is
around 1000euro/year, depending on how many applications are
supported by the seat.
d. Is there any common increase or decrease of these services over
time?
20% volatility.
8. What different early termination clauses do suppliers offer their
clients?
a. Do they always exist in every contract?
Nowadays all contracts have an exit clause. There have been contracts
in the past which haven’t had it. With exit it is usually the case of the
transfer from provider A to provider B. European regulations in the
public sector says that a client has to give the contract to the provider
that can provide the best price, therefore a client might have to switch
provider after the duration of a contract is over.
Providers must always have the documentation and technology ready
to be transferred to another supplier. Therefore documentation must
always be up to date.
b. Which are the most common to have in a contract?
Termination for convenience and termination for cause
c. What is usually the cost/price for having them and using them?
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2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
43
Usually what you have to pay is what’s left of the investment for the
supplier and also the cost of transferring everything from provider A to
provider B.
d. Do you know of any statistics on how often clients usually use
them?
14%, 7% convenience and 7% for cause
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Tobias Schavon & Afshin Yavari
2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
44
Appendix C: Interview III With Eric Bruinsma, IBM
1. What is the usual duration of an outsourcing contract?
Min: 3(short) normal 5 years.
Max: 7 years, rare 10 years
2. How the costs of services & flexibilities are usually calculated?
ABC based on what the client need, and how many people and what
kind of people IBM need to provide the services. So people, software,
network, third-party services. We also have the gold, silver and bronze
depending on how good quality the client is expecting.
3. In which services can IBM offer capacity increase and decrease?
a. Services that IBM offers pay per unit method?
In BPO more capacity usually means more people. Application out-
sourcing, more capacity is more changes in the application, so it’s about
coding, which is more people. Infrastructure outsourcing it usually
means more or less server capacity and storage, which grows and
usually never decreases.
i. What different units are there?
BPO = People and based on numbers of transactions or pay per
call/support. Application outsourcing it’s per person or per seat,
sometimes it’s price per function point depending on how big the
application is (international standard). Infrastructure it’s price per
server image or price per gigabyte.
b. Services that IBM offer fixed cost method.
There is a fixed price, but if you go beyond a certain range, you pay
more but within the new range. So it’s basically a sort of pay per use.
4. Is it still according to your experience worth to have clauses like
modifiable and new capability in a contract?
I do not agree with Frank. IBM doesn’t squeeze the margins on an
existing contract. If a client doesn’t have the budget we can have a look,
but it doesn’t indicate that we have to. If a client decides that they need
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2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
45
something different for example after 3 years, it will still cost to make
the changes. Here it’s interesting to adapt the option theory so a client
before signing a contract can add options that the client knows the price
of when they will be exercised later on during the period of the contract
if needed for the pre agreed price.
There is a change procedure in every contract so the client and supplier
can negotiate and agree on new things if both parties agree on it.
5. Are there any other flexibilities under the categories which you
can think of that a supplier offer their clients?
We have found: ‘benchmark on service’, ‘benchmark on price’,
‘renegotiating’ and ‘postponed payment’.
Benchmark on price is when you hire a third-party to check the market
and compare your services to other supplier services and see if the
price is competitive with the competitors. Benchmark on service is not
that common to us, happens rarely.
Postponed payment or what we call it “flexible payment terms” is a
unique service IBM offers. We have our own financing company. The
client can sign a contract with us but also a contract with our finance
company (IBM Global Finance). So for each invoice the client can
decide to postpone the payment up to 180 days. The insourcing
department of IBM will then get paid by the financing company and
the financing company will take an interest from the client depending
on how late they pay. So the financing company works as a bank. Every
customer can use this service.
6. What ease of exit clauses are there?
Convenience, cause and change of control
a. Which are the most common to have in a contract?
Convenience, cause and change of control.
b. Do you know of any statistics on how often clients usually use
them?
Not very often. It is very expensive.
c. What is usually the cost/price for having them and using them?
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2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
46
You cover all the investments for the duration of the contract. You pay
for the amortization of machines and other stuff that still has years of
value. You also pay around 5% of foregone revenue of the years left of
the contract.
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2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
47
Appendix D: TP Vision case Lattice I
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2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
48
Appendix E: TP Vision case Lattice II
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2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
49
Appendix F: New capability Lattice
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2012-10-09
Based on the Mid Sweden University template for technical reports, written by Magnus Eriksson, Kenneth Berg and Mårten Sjöström.
50
Black-Scholes