fish 513. seminar 1. april 3. the prism context jeff richey

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Fish 513. Seminar 1. April 3. The PRISM Context Jeff Richey

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Fish 513. Seminar 1. April 3.

The PRISM Context

Jeff Richey

                                  

        

                                 

       

                                    

      

                                   

     

                                                                                  

PRISM ISSUES

* What will the coupled Puget Sound system look like over time for different spatial units?

* How can the advanced information required to address the “futures” questions be mobilized and distributed?

* How can advanced information be incorporated into and developed from education?

•How can advanced information be incorporated into the general public and ultimately policy?

WRIA-SPECIFIC TO WHOLE BASIN/ESU

Flow Verification

• Using all available flow data

• Hourly, daily, monthly, and annual flows

Flood of record

Urban I (10-30% developed)Urban II (30-60%)Urban III (> 60%)Short GrassTall grassCrop/mixedIrrigated CropMixed WoodlandBog or MarshEvergreen ShrubConiferous IConiferous IIConiferous IIIConiferous IVDeciduous BroadleafNon-forested (Altered-unknown)Non-forested (Altered-shrub)Ice cap / GlacierWater

Prism ‘98 ClassifiedLandcover Snoqualmie Drainage Basin (M. Logsdon)

Evaluating the Impact of Landscape Pattern on Watershed

Hydrology

Classified“real”

Random

Patchy Smooth

Evaluating the Impact of Landscape Pattern on Watershed

Hydrology

Accumulated Sum Difference (1990 – 1991) The Difference in the total amount of water flowing past the mouth of the basin between the “real” landscape (1998 classified) and the “simulated”pattern – Random, Patchy, and Smooth

Random - 1998

Patchy – 1998 more water

Smooth – 1998Less water

A 12% change in the forest composition, impacts the total accumulated flow to a greater degree then does a change in the pattern of the landscape with the same composition.

Number of sockeye salmon present in the Cedar River, Wetland 79, and Cavanaugh Pond during the 1999 spawning season (August to December). Spawners are plotted on a logarithmic scale. Data for Cavanaugh Pond was interpolated for 12/18/99.

1

10

100

1000

10000

8/18/99

8/25/99

9/1/99

9/8/99

9/15/99

9/22/99

9/29/99

10/6/99

10/13/99

10/20/99

10/27/99

11/3/

99

11/10

/99

11/17

/99

11/24

/99

12/1/99

12/8/99

12/15/99

12/22/99

12/29/99

1/5/00

1/12/00

Date

Number

Wetland 79

Cavanaugh

River

Spawning Timing

Wissmar et al

SRF

What are the recovery actions on a WRIA-by-WRIA basis, which in the aggregate over the ESU would provide numerically definable targets for sustainable and harvestable populations of salmon at definable financial costs?