first quarter results 2011...4.8 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.9 npa ratio bbva spain vs local peer group (1) mar.11...
TRANSCRIPT
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Ángel Cano, BBVA's President & COO
First quarter results 2011
1
May 5th 2011
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
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2
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1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Different economies
Emerging Developed
Slow recovery
3
Engines of global
growth
Slow recovery
Differences between
regions
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Contents
1 Group Highlights
4
2 Geographical areas
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
1Q11 highlights
1Q11 earnings are higher than 3Q10 and 4Q101Q11 earnings are higher than 3Q10 and 4Q10
Fifth consecutive quarter of improvement in risk indicators
11
22
5
Core capital ratio of 8.9% after incorporating Garanti
Record gross income in Mexico and South America
Franchises strengthened in developed economies
33
44
55
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Strong earnings
Net attributable profitBBVA Group(€m)
Growth plans in expanding
Good performance of revenues
Highlights
-7.3%
+22.5%
6
1,150
939
1,1401,240 1,287
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
Growth plans in expanding franchises
Risk premium improves
Performance of emerging economies
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Resilience of net interest income …
Net interest incomeBBVA Group(€m)
-6.2%
+1.2%
Resilience
• Buoyant activity in
emerging economies
7
3,3863,551
3,2453,138 3,175
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
emerging economies
• Slower decline in
developed economies
Good performance by emerging economies offsets decline in developed markets
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
... and good performance of other revenue sources
Gross incomeBBVA Group(€m)
-0.7%
+6.4%•Markets activity
• Portfolio sales in the Americas
High NTI in quarter
8
Additional generic allocation of €175M
• Portfolio sales in the Americas
5,3015,579
5,084 4,9465,263
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Costs are in line with our growth plans ...
CostsBBVA Group(€m)
+11.4%
+1.4%
Investment: +15.9%
Depreciation: +11.2%
Technology
9
2,118 2,262 2,262 2,325 2,359
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
Distribution capability in
emerging markets
Staff Branches ATMs
+3,710Yr-on-yr
+67Qtr-on-qtr
+1,181Yr-on-yr
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
... and improvement in risk premium
Loan-loss provisionsBBVA Group (€m)
-2.1%
-3.0%
Cumulative risk premiumBBVA Group (%)
10
1,044
1,306
1,1591,054 1,022
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
1.2%
1.3%
1.5%
2009 2010 1Q11
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
In summary, very resilient earnings ...
Income statementBBVA Group(€m)
1Q11 / 4Q10
Growth
1.2%
%
Accum.1Q11 / 1Q10
%
-6.2%
Abs.1Q11
- 2113,175Net Interest Income
BBVA Group
11
ROA 0.95% ROE 12.8%
42.9%
22.5%
10.8%
1.2%
6.4%
-6.2%- 211
Operating IncomeM A R G E N N E T O
2,904
3,175
M A R G E N B R U T O
Net Interest Income
Gross Income - 38 -0.7%
Net Attributable ProfitR E S U L T A D O A T R IB U IB L E A L G R U P O
1,150 - 90 -7.3%
Income Before TaxR E S U L T A D O S A N T E S D E IM P U E S T O S
1,659 - 203
- 279
5,263
-8.8%
M A R G E N D E IN T E R E S E S
-10.9%
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
… well balanced by geographies
Gross income by geographies*BBVA Group(%)
Net attributable profit by geographies*BBVA Group(%)
Spain
USA
Spain
South
America
USA
33.7%
11.5%
32.4%19.0%
5.5%
12
* Excludes Corporates Activities
EurAsia
Mexico
South
America
Spain
EurAsiaMexico
America
Emerging 52%
Developed 48%
Emerging 57%
Developed 43%
33.7%
6.4%
27.4%
21.1%
32.4%
13.5%29.6%
19.0%
Break down * Break down *
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
1Q11 earnings are higher than 3Q10 and 4Q10
1Q11 highlights
11
22 Fifth consecutive quarter of improvement in risk indicatorsFifth consecutive quarter of improvement in risk indicators
13
Core capital ratio of 8.9% after incorporating Garanti33
44
55
Record gross income in Mexico and South America
Franchises strengthened in developed economies
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Decreases in NPA balances …
Balance of NPABBVA Group(€bn)
Gross additions to NPABBVA Group(€m)
Net additions to NPABBVA Group(€m)
-23.5%-61.4%
14
2,685
1,036 922
Ave qtr2009
Ave qtr2010
1Q11
15.916.1
15.515.6 15.7
Mar.10 Jun.10 Sep.10 Dec.10 Mar.11
4,3163,302
2,804
Ave qtr2009
Ave qtr2010
1Q11
-15.1%
-23.5%
-11.0%
-61.4%
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
NPA & coverage ratiosBBVA Group(%)
Specific risk premium accum. BBVA Group (%)
... and improvement in risk indicators
1.9%Coverage ratio
15
6159 61 62 62
4.1 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.1
Mar.10 Jun.10 Sep.10 Dec.10 Mar.11
1.0%
1.4%
1.9%
2009 2010 1Q11
NPA ratio
Coverage ratio
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
1Q11 highlights
1Q11 earnings are higher than 3Q10 and 4Q1011
22 Fifth consecutive quarter of improvement in risk indicators
16
33
44
55
Core capital ratio of 8.9% after incorporating GarantiCore capital ratio of 8.9% after incorporating Garanti
Record gross income in Mexico and South America
Franchises strengthened in developed economies
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Capital base strengthened
Core capital ratioBBVA Group(%)
Core Capital
8.9%8.9
9.6 +0.2
-1.1
+0.2
17
Tier 1 9.8 %
BIS Ratio 13.0%
Capital
Moody´s confirm Aa2 rating
4Q10 Organic
generation
Dividend
option
Garanti &
other
effects
1Q11
-1.1
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Solid financial and liquidity positions
Customer funds euro: +11.7% year-on-year
70% of euro maturities in 2011 are already covered
18
$2 billion issue in Mexico
Additional €62 billion available in collateral at euro level
70% of euro maturities in 2011 are already covered
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
1Q11 earnings are higher than 3Q10 and 4Q10
1Q11 highlights
11
22 Fifth consecutive quarter of improvement in risk indicators
19
33
44
55
Core capital ratio of 8.9% after incorporating Garanti
Record gross income in Mexico and South AmericaRecord gross income in Mexico and South America
Franchises strengthened in developed economies
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Emerging markets: strong growth
Vigorous business . . .
Mexico South America
Customer funds*
Lending* +14.0% +28.6%
+8.6% +15.9%* Average balances
20
Record gross income in Mexico, South America and Asia
Net attributable profit
Mexico S. Amer. Asia Turkey
Gross income €1,437M(+4.3%)
€1,106M(+16.4%)
€147M(+96.8%)
€24Mn.a.
€436M(+17.3%)
€280M(+17.5%)
€116M(+123%)
€12Mn.a.
. . . is boosting earnings to record levels
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
1Q11 highlights
1Q11 earnings are higher than 3Q10 and 4Q1011
22 Fifth consecutive quarter of improvement in risk indicators
21
33
44
55
Core capital ratio of 8.9% after incorporating Garanti
Record gross income in Mexico and South America
Franchises strengthened in developed economiesFranchises strengthened in developed economies
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Developed markets: franchises strengthened
Focused growth
Spain USA
160
35Residential
mortgages
Private
sector
deposits20
11
8980
+9%
-43%
Non construction
Compass BG – loan portfolio(%)
Market share gainsFeb.11 vs Feb.10(bp)
Construction
YoY change
22
The risk profile improves
Spread management
deposits20
11
Mar.10 Mar.11
-43%
•Slower decline in net interest income
•Customer spreads during quarter: +14 bp
•Customer spreads: +17 bp yr-on-yr
0.7%1.0%
1.5%
2009 2010 1Q11
1.1%
1.7%
3.3%
2009 2010 1Q11
Specific risk premium accum. Risk premium accum.
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
1. Strong earnings Net attributable profit: €1.15 billion1Q11 net interest income is higher than 4Q10
2. Risk indicators improveNPA ratio: - 3 bpRisk premium accum: -13 bpNet additions to NPA: -11 %
In summary . . .
23
3. Strong balance sheet70% of euro maturities in 2011 already coveredEuro customer funds: +11.7% yr-on-yr
4. Strong growth in emerging economies
Record gross income in Mexico, South America and in Asia
5. Outperforming the sector average in developed economies
Market share gains in Spain and firmer fundamentals in USA
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Contents
1 Group Highlights
24
2 Geographical areas
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Changes in the reporting structure
Regional perspective
Rest of Rest of Rest of Rest of
EurAsia• More consistent with business
• More comparable
Reasons
25
SpainSpainSpainSpainRest of Rest of Rest of Rest of EuropeEuropeEuropeEurope
AsiaAsiaAsiaAsia
Mexico*Mexico*Mexico*Mexico*South South South South
America*America*America*America*United United United United States*States*States*States*
• More comparable
• Incorporation of new regions (Garanti)
• Global reporting of WB&AM
* Areas not affected by the change in reporting structure
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Geographical areas: highlights
Spain
EurAsia
Slower rate of decline in net interest income, market share gains and superior risk indicators
Growing contributions from strategic investments in China and Turkey, and from wholesale business in Europe
26
Mexico
South America
United States
Strong business activity results in record revenues and risk stabilises
Dynamic activity, main margins at record levels and the best risk indices in the Group
Positive signs of business activity with a better mix and a jump in attributable profit
WB&AMRevenues are recurrent and more diversified, reflecting a stronger customer franchise
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
1,1031,045 1,021
1,182
Spain: positive dynamics lead to slower decline in net interest incomeCost of gathering time deposits vs 12-mth euriborVariation Mar.11 vs 2010 maximum(Basis points)
Net interest income excluding Markets Quarter-by-quarter (€m)
Decline in net interest income slows
71
-89
12-mth
euribor
Cost of
new time
deposits*
27
1,045 1,021
2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
Spreads on new business originationVariation Mar.11 vs 2010 minimum(basis points)
From less to more in the second half of 2011
* Retail + CBB
Customer spread: +14bp in the
quarter74
69
109
45
C&IB
CBB
Consumer
Resid.
mortgage
1,252 1,178 1,143 1,109Interest income
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Spain: market share gains in key items continue
Lending Average balances .Year-on-year variation(%)
-0.7%
Mar.10 Mar.11
14.3%
16.1%
Mkt share of new residential mortgages(%)
+186 bp
Mkt share of stock13.3%
28
-2.6%Jan.-Feb. 10 Jan.-Feb.11
Customer funds on balance sheet (Average balances .€m)
83,231
105,141
Mar.10 Mar.11
+ 26.3%
Mkt share of stock: +35 bp
8.5%10.1%
Feb.10 Feb.11
Mkt share private sector deposits(%)
+160 bp
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
4.84.84.84.94.9
NPA ratioBBVA Spain vs local peer group (1)
Mar.11 vs Mar.10(basis points)
Spain: outperforming in risk indicators for another quarter
NPA ratio and specific risk premium accum. (%)
NPA ratio
29
4.84.84.8
0.71.00.90.90.7
Mar.10 Jun.10 Sep.10 Dec.10 Mar.11
Plus €175M allocation to generic provisions
86
-12BBVA Spain
Ave. for local
peer group
(1) Local peer group:(1) Local peer group:(1) Local peer group:(1) Local peer group: BANKIA, BTO, BKT, CAIXA, B. CM, POP, SAB and SAN. Latest available data used where there is no figure for Mar.11....
Specific. risk premium
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Spain: income statement
(€m)
1Q11 / 4Q10SpainAccum.
Growth
1Q11 / 1Q10
1Q11 Abs. % %
30
27.3%Net Attributable ProfitR E S U L T A D O A T R IB U IB L E A L G R U P O
477 - 238 -33.3%
32.4%Income Before TaxR E S U L T A D O S A N T E S D E IM P U E S T O S
672 - 336 -33.3%
24.8%
10.9%
Operating IncomeM A R G E N N E T O
1,062 - 176 -14.2%
-3.0%
Gross IncomeM A R G E N B R U T O
1,767 - 162 -8.4%
Net Interest IncomeM A R G E N D E IN T E R E S E S
1,109 - 195 -14.9%
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
EurAsia: buoyant business in both areas
Rest of Europe - gross income(€m)
164
191
Europe - organic
Turkey12%
88%
EurAsia - breakdown of net attrib. profit(%)
Yr-on-yr
Yr-on-yr
change
31
Asia - gross income(€m)
106
147
Ave qtr 2010 1Q11 Breadown
1Q11
85%
15%
CITIC
Asia - organic
Ave qtr 2010 1Q11 Breadown
1Q11
41.4%
Asia Rest of Europe
+14%
+123%Yr-on-yr
change
change
58.6%
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
(€m)
EurAsia: income statement
1Q11 / 4Q10
Gross Income 337 + 108 47.0% 0.1%
Net Interest IncomeM A R G E N D E IN T E R E S E S
104 + 23 28.6% 6.5%
EurAsiaAccum.
Growth
1Q11 / 1Q10
1Q11 Abs. % %
32
Net Attributable ProfitR E S U L T A D O A T R IB U IB L E A L G R U P O
198 + 74 60.0%
25.3%
17.0%
Income Before TaxR E S U L T A D O S A N T E S D E IM P U E S T O S
226 + 77 51.3%
Gross Income
Operating IncomeM A R G E N N E T O
249 + 90 56.4% -3.0%
M A R G E N B R U T O
337 + 108 47.0% 0.1%
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Mexico: surge in business
14.0%
0.5%
6.4%
13.1%9.5%
9.1%8.2%
7.1%
8.6%
Mar.10 Jun.10 Sep.10 Dec.10 Mar.11
LendingAverage balances .(Year-on-year change.%)
Customer fundsAverage balances . (Year-on-year change.%)
33
New business by product/segment(Year-on-year change.%)
-3.3%
Mar.10 Jun.10 Sep.10 Dec.10 Mar.11
Mar.10 Jun.10 Sep.10 Dec.10 Mar.11
5.6%
9.6%
14.9%
8.2%
16.8%
Mortgages* Consumer +
cards
CBB loans Transactional Mutual funds
* Excluding old residential
Market share gains in main items
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Mexico: improvement in risk premium
NPA & coverage ratios(%)
Provisions(Constant €m)
Cumulative risk premium(%)
-12,6%
34
131131131131 136136136136150150150150 152152152152
136136136136
4.14.14.14.1 3.83.83.83.8 3.43.43.43.4 3.23.23.23.2 3.23.23.23.2
Mar.10 Jun.10 Sep.10 Dec.10 Mar.11
Coverage ratio
NPA ratioNPA ratioNPA ratioNPA ratio 3.6%3.9%
4.1%
4.3%
3.4%
Mar.10 Jun.10 Sep.10 Dec.10 Mar.11
354
310
1Q10 1Q11
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Mexico: in summary, strong results
Gross income(Constant €m)
Net interest income(Constant €m)
+5.1% +4.3% +17.3%
Net attributable profit(Constant €m)
35
Record revenues and sharp increase of bottom line
920967
1Q10 1Q11
1,378
1,437
1Q10 1Q11
371
436
1Q10 1Q11
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Mexico: income statement
(Constant €m)
1Q11 / 4Q10
0.8%Net Interest Income 967 + 47 5.1%
MexicoAccum.
Growth
1Q11 / 1Q10
1Q11 Abs. % %
36
-5.5%Net Attributable ProfitR E S U L T A D O A T R IB U IB L E A L G R U P O
436 + 64 17.3%
3.2%Income Before TaxR E S U L T A D O S A N T E S D E IM P U E S T O S
595 + 75 14.5%
2.1%
2.9%
Operating IncomeM A R G E N N E T O
916 + 17 1.8%
0.8%
Gross IncomeM A R G E N B R U T O
1,437 + 59 4.3%
Net Interest IncomeM A R G E N D E IN T E R E S E S
967 + 47 5.1%
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
South America: buoyant business
22.9%
16.0%
7.3%
28.6%
15.9%17.3%13.7% 14.1%
18.1%
LendingAverage balances .(Year-on-year change. %)
Customer fundsAverage balances .(Year-on-year change. %)
37
-0.5%
Mar.10 Jun.10 Sep.10 Dec.10 Mar.11Mar.10 Jun.10 Sep.10 Dec.10 Mar.11
9
59
Deposits
Loans
Market Share Change: Feb.11 vs Feb.10(basis points)
Market share gains in main
items
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
132132132132 133133133133139139139139
130130130130134134134134
South America: best risk indicators in the BBVA Group
Loan-loss provisions(Constant €m)
NPA & coverage ratios (%)
Coverage ratio+8,5%
38
132132132132 133133133133130130130130
134134134134
2.82.82.82.8 2.72.72.72.7 2.42.42.42.4 2.52.52.52.5 2.52.52.52.5
Mar.10Mar.10Mar.10Mar.10 Jun.10Jun.10Jun.10Jun.10 Sep.10Sep.10Sep.10Sep.10 Dec.10Dec.10Dec.10Dec.10 Mar.11Mar.11Mar.11Mar.11
1.7% 1.6%
NPA ratio
Risk
premium
110119
1Q10 1Q11
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
South America: in summary, excellent results
Net interest income(Constant €m)
+23.5% +16.4% +17.5%
Gross income(Constant €m)
Net attributable profit(Constant €m)
39
562
694
1Q10 1Q11
950
1,106
1Q10 1Q11
238
280
1Q10 1Q11
Record level of main lines
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
South America: income statement
(Constant €m)
1Q11 / 4Q10
7.5%Net Interest Income 694 + 132 23.5%
South AmericaAccum.
Growth
1Q11 / 1Q10
1Q11 Abs. % %
40
48.0%Net Attributable ProfitR E S U L T A D O A T R IB U IB L E A L G R U P O
280 + 42 17.5%
29.7%Income Before TaxR E S U L T A D O S A N T E S D E IM P U E S T O S
503 + 49 10.9%
22.0%
13.7%
Operating IncomeM A R G E N N E T O
639 + 62 10.7%
7.5%
Gross IncomeM A R G E N B R U T O
1,106 + 156 16.4%
Net Interest IncomeM A R G E N D E IN T E R E S E S
694 + 132 23.5%
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
United States: optimising the portfolio mix in terms of lending ...
New business origination *Change: 1Q11 vs 1Q10(%)
20 11
8980
Loan portfolio *(Average balances. %)
44.3
102.9 99.5+9%
-43%
Construction
Non
Construction
Yr-on-yr
change
41
20 11
Mar.10 Mar.11 Companies Consumer Res. mortgage
-43%
... and customer funds, with better spreads
23 27
7377
Mar.10 Mar.11
Customer funds *(Average balances. %)
+13%
-4%
Unremunerated
Remunerated
Customer spread *(%)
3.75
3.92
1Q10 1Q11
Yr-on-yr
change
* Compass BG
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
United States: decrease in risk premium
Provisions(Constant €m)
NPA - balance (€m)
171
357
2,068
- 12.1 %
42
3.3% 1.7%
4.4% 4.5%
56% 64%
Cum. risk
premium
NPA ratio
Coverage
106
171
Ave qtr
2009
Ave qtr
2010
1Q11
1.1%
2009 2010 1Q11
1,817
1Q10 1Q11
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
United States: income statement
(Constant €m)
1Q11 / 4Q10
-0.7%Net Interest Income MARGEN DE INTERESES402 - 38 -8.6%
USAAccum.
Growth
1Q11 / 1T10
1Q11 Abs. % %
43
n.a.Net Attributable ProfitR E S U L T A D O A T R IB U IB L E A L G R U P O
81 + 26 47.5%
n.a.Income Before Tax RESULTADOS ANTES DE IMPUESTOS114 + 33 40.8%
12.8%
4.1%
Operating Income MARGEN NETO229 - 26 -10.3%
-0.7%
Gross Income MARGEN BRUTO604 - 12 -1.9%
Net Interest Income MARGEN DE INTERESES402 - 38 -8.6%
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Wholesale Banking: recurrence and diversification of revenues
66%
34%
Gross income by type of economy(%)
Gross income(Constant €m)
Emerging
829
653 652 685
811
-2.2%
+18.5%
44
66%
Developed
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
80 86
1420
Mar.10 Mar.11
Customer
franchise
Trading income
Source of revenue (%)
+2%
-35%
Stronger customer
franchise
Yr-on-yr
change
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Wholesale Banking: income statement
(Constant €m)
1Q11 / 4Q10
-15.5%Net Interest Income 365 - 43 -10.6%
Wholesale Banking Accum.
Growth
1Q11 / 1Q10
1Q11 Abs. % %
45
53.9%Net Attributable Profit RESULTADO ATRIBUIBLE AL GRUPO364 - 51 -12.2%
64.2%Income Before Tax RESULTADOS ANTES DE IMPUESTOS552 - 70 -11.3%
20.5%
18.5%
Operating Income MARGEN NETO580 - 53 -8.3%
-15.5%
Gross Income MARGEN BRUTO811 - 18 -2.2%
Net Interest Income MARGEN DE INTERESES365 - 43 -10.6%
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Outlook for coming quarters
Emerging Strong growth and record earnings
46
Developed
Euro zone: net interest income in slow decline until 2Q11/3Q11
Euro zone plus USA: consolidation of the improvement in risk premium
1Q11 Results / May 5th 2011
Á n g e l C a n o , B B V A ' s P r e s i d e n t & C O O
First quarter results 2011
47
May 5th 2011