first annual excellence in investing conference

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® 1 1 st Annual Excellence in Investing Conference, in Partnership with the Ira Sohn Research Conference Foundation October 6, 2010 A Supply Side View of Tech IPO’s: A Rising Tide Through 2014

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Page 1: First Annual Excellence In Investing Conference

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1st Annual Excellence in Investing Conference, in Partnership with the Ira Sohn Research Conference FoundationOctober 6, 2010

A Supply Side View of Tech IPO’s:A Rising Tide Through 2014

Page 2: First Annual Excellence In Investing Conference

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A Global Firm

2Accel Partners Confidential

Page 3: First Annual Excellence In Investing Conference

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Who We Are

Accel works in support of exceptional entrepreneurs to build world-class companies. Our contributions extend far beyond pure financing.

3Accel Partners Confidential

Page 4: First Annual Excellence In Investing Conference

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Who We’ve Backed

Accel Partners Confidential 4

Page 5: First Annual Excellence In Investing Conference

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IPOs Filed Monthly IPO Backlog

IPOs Priced Annually IPOs Priced Monthly

Source: Equidesk.Data as of September 12, 2010. Data does not include REITs, Closed End Funds, and SPACs.

0

29

10

150

125

7

0 0

30

Accel Partners Confidential 5

…as the Current IPO Backlog Continues to Build

Page 6: First Annual Excellence In Investing Conference

®Tech IPO Market Peaks About Every15 Years – ’69, ‘83, ‘99, ’14?

Supply: Real Causality

• Quantity of Innovative Companies

- High Growth- High Quality

Demand: “The Watched Pot”

• Positive Cash Flow into mutual/hedge funds with tech/growth small cap charters

• Rising momentum price trend

• Consistent trading of IPO’s to premiums

6Accel Partners Confidential

Necessary Conditions:

Page 7: First Annual Excellence In Investing Conference

®Supply: Why 15 Years?Forces of Creative Destruction Need Enough Time

• Semiconductors – Moore’s Law is intact• Storage costs and densities • Fiber/Broadband Costs and Ubiquity• Mobile Broadband• Software Development Productivity

10x Productivity improvement at all levels

7Accel Partners Confidential

CreatingYour

Future

Page 8: First Annual Excellence In Investing Conference

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Supply: Pent-Up

• Hostile Public Market• SOX Costs - $2M plus per year• M&A Alternatives at 5-10x Revenue• IPO Size Minimum at $100MM• Poor IPO Trading Experience

Real but Nuisance Factors

8Accel Partners Confidential

Page 9: First Annual Excellence In Investing Conference

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Convergent Synergistic Platforms

Social Media

Ad Serving/Targeting

Mobile Broadband/LTE

Mobile Apps

SaaS Models

Security

Cloud Utilities Services/Storage

E-commerce Models

Digital Media

9Accel Partners Confidential

SpectacularAccelerated

Growth

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Build it and they will come:Many Great Companies Await in the Venture Portfolios

10Accel Partners Confidential

Tech Enabled - ExampleseCommerce Gilt, Diapers, Etsy, Fingerhut, Vente-Privee,

Iron Planet, Groupon, Hautelook, ModCloth, Showroomprive, Chegg

SaaS Jive Software, Trustwave, Meltwater, Service-Now.com, WorkXpress, Cloud9 Analytics, Grid Dynamics, Brightcove, Workday, Cornerstone

Social Media Facebook, Twitter, Yelp, LinkedIn

Financial Technology

Integral Tech, Yodlee, FX Alliance, Liquidnet, Trading Screen, NetSpend, Mercury Payment Systems, FXCM, LPL Financial, Promiss Solutions, Fleetcor, Gain Capital, SunRun

Healthcare/IT ePocrates, Passport Healthcare, Meditech, Epic Systems, MEDecision, ZirMed

Page 11: First Annual Excellence In Investing Conference

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Build it and they will come:Many Great Companies Await in the Venture Portfolios

11Accel Partners Confidential

Enablers - ExamplesDigital Media Glam Media, Sugar, Inc., HomeAway, Zillow, Trulia,

TheLadders, Kayak, Zynga, MLB.com, eHarmony, NexTag, Gameforge

Mobile Apps/LTE MetroPCS, Sabre Industries, Force10, Skype, NextG

Cloud Utilities Atempo, Fusion-io, Nimbus Data Systems, Asigra

Low-TouchSoftware

Atlassian, Acronis, ExactTarget, Zoho, TeamViewer, SurveyMonkey

Ad Models Adknowledge, Collective Media, Demand Media, Announce Media, Vibrant Media, Media Bank, Responsys, Nextjump

Security SafeNet, Avast, Splunk, Qualys, Imperva, Webroot, Barracuda Networks, AVG, ESET

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Final Points

• Benefits of being Early to the Cycle- Lower Prices- More seasoned companies- Higher Quality- Longest Future Growth Trajectories

• Despite some even larger companies, this Cycle will be more like ‘83 than ’99, moderated by both the memories of excesses and weaker macro environment

• Health Care and CleanTech will participate tangentially but have distinct characteristics – e.g. Government Regulations and Capital Intensivity.

12Accel Partners Confidential

Page 13: First Annual Excellence In Investing Conference

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1st Annual Excellence in Investing Conference, in Partnership with the Ira Sohn Research Conference FoundationOctober 6, 2010

A Supply Side View of Tech IPO’s:A Rising Tide Through 2014