finding hidden gems in emerging markets...marketing material swiss edition finding hidden gems in...
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Marketing MaterialSwiss Edition
Finding hidden gems in emerging marketsUBS (Lux) Equity SICAV – Global Emerging Markets Opportunity (USD)
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506 455
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102 78
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EM consumers are upping their spendingAs incomes and the number of better-off households rise in EM, consumers are trading up for better quality brands and premium goods
Growing with a growth market Demographics and urbanization are key drivers of emerging markets (EM) growth …
Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects, December 2018.
By 2050 EM represent 100% of working age population growthAs developed markets (DM) aged, working age population in EM massively expanded
EM urbanized rapidlyUrbanization brought workers into urban labor markets, boosting employment in the formal sector, and creating a large, urban consumer base
Leading to the emergence of a growing middle class and increasing consumption habits …
Middle Class in EM has grown significantlySectors, like consumer, financials, and IT, have strong growth prospects over the coming years, particularly as the emerging markets middle class increasingly shift online
Source: European Environmental Agency (Khara, H. 2010. The emerging middle class in developing countries, p. 29, OECD Development Centre, Working Paper No. 285. OECD), Brookings Institution, HSBC calculations.
Source: Carsalesbase, as of December 2018. Car sales statistics from China only include domestic production and exclude imported models.
As a result trading within EM as well as EM share of world GDP increases
Source: UBS Asset Management, FactSet, 29 September 2018. Source: IMF, MSCI, March 2019.
EM became less dependent on exports to DMEM are less dependent on exports to developed markets overseas and are producing more for either their own domestic markets, or to other EM
EM share of global economy increased but this growth is currently not represented in global indicesInvestors need to up their allocations to EM in order to fully capture the expected growth coming in the next five to ten years
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199525%
200528%
201540%
201844% 2000
2019
19980.9%
2018
EM Share of world economy MSCI EM weight in MSCI ACWI
1.24 bn in 2016
expect to grow by
+986 m between 2017 and 2023
Between 2018 and 2050,,
1.1 bn people
will move to EM cities
0
600
1200
1800
20182017201620152014201320122011201020092008200720060
600
1200
1800
2018201720162015201420132012201120102009200820072006
Audi BMW Mercedes Benz
Thou
sand
s
Sales of premium brand cars (Audi, BMW and Mercedes-Benz) saw increased sales in China
VietnamBrazilEgypt
ThailandIran
PakistanMexico
India China Indonesia
30.2%
45%
12%
Between 2018 and 2050, EM will see its working
population grow by
1.23 bn while DM will see its working age population fall by 68.4 m.
Source: United Nations, Morgan Stanley Research. Projections are UN Estimates. As at end of December 2017.
• Existing middle class (2016) • Additional middle class (2023)
Developed markets
Emerging markets
The best of both sides – high conviction and diversified
Opportunities – Very active concentrated portfolio of top conviction stock ideas
– High flexibility to take focused views on significant opportunities
– Access to proven investment specialists and portfolio managers who have years of experience of investing in emerging markets
– Access to a network of equity analysts around the globe – Investors benefit from UBS Asset Management’s global investment platform
Risks – Equities may be subject to high fluctuations in value – An investment horizon of at least five years and corresponding risk tolerance and capacity are required
– We pursue an active management style, performance can deviate from that of its reference index
– All investments are subject to market fluctuations – Risks can significantly increase under unusual market conditions
– The fund can use derivatives, which may result in additional risks (particularly counterparty risk)
Selecting long term stock winners in each industry
For illustrative purposes only. Source: UBS Asset Management
UBS Global Emerging Markets
Opportunity (USD)
FocusedHighly selective and we strive to invest only in quality companies at reasonable valuations
High conviction25-35 best ideas across countries, sectors, and regions to achieve true diversification
Boots on the groundCompany visits, speaking with vendors, suppliers, customers and management, and attending industry trade shows
DiversifiedAcademic studies indicates >90% diversification achieved with only 20 stocks
ESG are integral partEnvironmental, social and governance (ESG) factors are integral to our search for “gems”
Active approachVery actively managed fund which portfolio composition can deviate substantially from its reference indexLow turnover
Typically 20-50% p.a.
Portfolio construction – Typically, the top 1 – 4 stocks eligible for inclusion in portfolio
– Assessment of macro warning flags, and country/sector considerations
Peer review and ranking Rank stocks on overall attractiveness, including quality assessment and valuation, within their own universe
123 1 14 1 1 1 2 2 15 2 2 2 3 3 2 16 3 3 3 4 4 3 2 1 1
High 123 1 14 1 1 1 2 2 15 2 2 2 3 3 2 16 3 3 3 4 4 3 2 1 1
7 4 4 4 5 5 4 3 2 1 28 5 5 5 6 6 5 4 3 2 3
6 6 6 7 6 5 4 3 47 7 7 8 6 4
Low 8 8 8Asia –
FinancialsChina –Internet/
ecommerce& Edu. Svc.
Asia –Tech.
Hardware
Asia –Consumers,
Comm.and IT Svcs
Asia –Energy &Materials
ex-Asia –Financials
ex-Asia –Energy &Materials
Asia –Healthcare,Autos andIndustrials
ex-Asia –Comm.Svcs.
ex-Asia –Consumers
Asia –Real
Estate
Ove
rall
attr
acti
ven
ess/
Ran
king
Buy/Hold portfolio
Characteristics and fees
Fund name UBS (Lux) Equity SICAV – Global Emerging Markets Opportunity (USD)
Fund currency USD; other currencies: EUR hedged, SGD hedged, HKD hedged
Portfolio management UBS Asset Management
Custodian bank UBS Europe SE, Luxembourg Branch
Financial year 1 June to 31 May
Subscriptions/redemptions daily
Distribution acc-share classes: none, (m)dist-share classes: yes
Share class P-acc (USD) Q-acc (USD) P-acc (EUR hedged) P-acc (SGD hedged) P-4%-mdist (HKD hedged)
Launch date 25.09.2008 09.03.2018 15.09.2015 10.11.2017 09.02.2018
ISIN LU0328353924 LU0399011534 LU1676115329 LU1717043241 LU1769817179
Management fee p.a. 1.54% 0.78% 1.54% 1.54% 1.54%
TER p.a. * 2.03% 1.07% 2.03% 2.0% 2.09%
Share class P-4%-mdist (USD) Q-dist (USD) Q-acc (EUR hedged) P-4%-mdist (SGD hedged)
Launch date 09.02.2018 11.07.2017 10.11.2017 27.07.2018
ISIN LU1769817096 LU0399011450 LU1691467994 LU1815428534
Management fee p.a. 1.54% 0.78% 0.78% 1.54%
TER p.a. * 2.09% 1.06% 1.05% n.a.
*Total expense ratio p.a. (as at 31.05.2018)
For further information please contact your client advisor. Investors should not base their investment decisions on this marketing material alone.
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Gross Domestic Product (GDP): Broad measurement of a nation’s overall economic activity. GDP is the monetary value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a specific time period.
ESG: Environmental, social and governance (ESG) refers to the three central factors in measuring the sustainability and ethical impact of an investment in a company or business. These criteria help to better deter-mine the future financial performance of companies (return and risk).
MSCI ACWI: Market capitalization weighted index designed to provide a broad measure of equity-market performance throughout the world. The MSCI ACWI is maintained by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) and is comprised of stocks from 23 developed countries and 24 emerging markets.
MSCI EM: Consists of 24 countries representing 10% of world market capitalization. The Index is available for a number of regions, market segments/sizes and covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in each of the 24 countries.
Risk: Exposure to damage or financial loss, e.g. a fall in the price of a security, or insolvency on the part of a debtor.
More explanations of financial terms can be found at ubs.com/glossary
Glossary