feasibility study of large gas turbine outer casing bolts

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http://siemens.com/energy/power-generation/gas-turbines Feasibility study of large gas turbine outer casing bolts with optiSlang November 2015 Uwe Lohse Siemens AG Large Gas Turbines PG GT LGT EN DI DO EU Burkhard Voss Siemens AG Large Gas Turbines PG GT LGT EN SC CAS Anton Enns ITB Dortmund Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reserved

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Security classification © Siemens AG 2013 All rights reserved. http://siemens.com/energy/power-generation/gas-turbines

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedFeasibility study of large gas turbineouter casing bolts with optiSlang

November 2015

Uwe Lohse Siemens AG Large Gas Turbines PG GT LGT EN DI DO EUBurkhard Voss Siemens AG Large Gas Turbines PG GT LGT EN SC CASAnton Enns ITB Dortmund

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reserved

ConfidentialPage 2 WOST 2015

ECC

Technology not specified in the CCL, AL or ECL

Technical Classification: ECCN: EAR99 AL: N ECL: N US-Content:

This document is subject to U.S. and/or national export regulations. Unauthorized diversion may be prohibited. In cases of doubtcontact your Export Compliance Department.

Dieses Dokument unterliegt nationalen und/oder U.S. Ausfuhrvorschriften. Die Verbreitung kann eine Genehmigung benötigen. ImZweifel wenden Sie sich an Ihre ECC Abteilung.

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Introduction

Content

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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optiSlang model and results

Calibration of FE-Model by measurements

Robust design

55 Summary

ConfidentialPage 4 WOST 2015

Large scale Siemens Gas Turbines:The right engine for every power category

50H

z

SGT5-8000H

SGT5-4000F

SGT5-2000E

307 MW

172 MW

400 MW

SGT6-8000H

114 MW

SGT6-5000F

SGT6-2000E

296 MW

242 MW

60H

z

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Where we are – Gas Turbine Locations & JointVenture Partners

JV location

Gas Turbines location

Muelheim, Germany

SGTT,St. Petersburg, Russia

SEPG/SGTP,Shanghai, China

Erlangen, Germany

Charlottesville, USA

Gurgaon, India

Shanghai, China

Jupiter, USAOrlando, USA

Charlotte Plant, USA

Berlin Plant, Germany

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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SGT5-8000H during assembly at Berlin plant

EfficiencyGT 40%GUD >60%With district heating~85%

PowerGT 400MWCCPP 600MW

Weight ~390tLength ~13,1 mDiameter ~4,9 m

Fleet > 74 units

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Key thermodynamic values for bolting design

-40°C +50°C

~440°C >10 bar

~580° to ~650°C

Compressor section

Combustion section

Turbine section

Exhaust section

SUCK

SQUIZEBANG

BLOW

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Introduction – Motivation

§ The estimation of the pretension loss due to bolt temperature shows astrong effect of the temperature difference between bolt / flange

§ The temperature difference is direct proportional to the low cyclefatigue of the bolts

§ To identify the major influences a study by use of optiSlang wasperformed

§ A second goal of this study was to show the feasibility to use optiSlangin the daily design process ( optimization, robust design )

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Introduction – Procedure

Following steps are performed

1. Develop a simplified parametric FE-model

2. Define design space for estimated parameter

3. Run a DOE to find a meta model

4. Evaluate the meta model to reduce the model to significant parameters

5. Perform a calibration of the FE-model based on measurements

6. Investigate the robustness of the design

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU.

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Introduction

Content

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33

22

11

optiSlang model and results

Calibration of FE-Model by measurements

Robust design

55 Summary

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Parameterization and OptimizationFE-Model

FE-Model

Temperature

optiSLang

Target Value

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

Geometry Contact

Temperature over time Material Properties

Input Parameter

HTC shaft to hole

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ParameterizationGeometry

Parametricdimensions

Dimensions driven byparametric dimensions

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

• The parametric geometrical FE model can be defined by two parameters only

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ParameterizationThermal Contact

HTC1 nut to bolt

HTC3 flange to washer

HTC2 nut to washer

HTC4 shaft to hole

HTC1 to HTC4 are parameters

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ParameterizationSummary FE-Model

Action Geometry ContactProperties

Boundaryconditions

Material properties

ValuesConstant

Valuesto depend on temperature

- -

Valuesto depend on time

-

Workbench function, low effort

Small APDL commands, low effort

APDL commands, high effort

§ In GeneralFor all input data used in this example a parameterization is possible.However, with different effort.

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Input Parameters for the Sensitivity Analysis

Number Description Variable RangeMinimum

RangeMaximum

Unit

1 radius R 20 60 mm

2 flange-Height H 100 400 mm

3 HTC bolt to nut HTC_bolt_nut 1 000 50 000 W/m² C

4 HTC nut to flange HTC_nut_flange 1 000 50 000 W/m² C

5 HTC washer to flange HTC_washer_flange 1 000 50 000 W/m² C

6 HTC shaft to hole HTC_shaft hole 10 50 000 W/m² C

7 thermal conductivitybolt material

lambda_bolt 25 40 W/mK

8 thermal conductivityflange material

lambda_flange 28 35 W/mK

9 specific heatbolt / flange material

sp_heat_flange 500 600 J/kgK

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU.

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T1 T2

ResultsOutput Parameter

max. DT

§ Output Parameter:Maximum temperature difference DTmax between T1 (bolt)and T2 (flange) to be evaluated by APDL or Enhanced Tool Kit (ETK)

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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ResultsDOE

§ The sensitivity analysis is driven by optiSlang§ 100 Design Points are calculated§ Every Design Point is one correlation of input parameters in the

given ranges§ With the calculated design points the meta-model is created

...

...

optiSLang – Input Parameters Workbench Design Points

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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ResultsDOE

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

Significant influence of inputparameters on Output Parametermy_Delta_Temp:§ Bolt radius 55%§ HTC shaft to hole 34%§ Flange height 11%

§ Negligible important inputparameters were automaticallyfiltered by optiSlang and notconsidered in the CoP.

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ResultsDOEDT (bolt radius; HTC shaft to hole)

Design Point (DP1) withDTmax = 280.1 °CR = 51.4 mmH = 350.5 mmHTC shaft to hole = 16 W/m²K

Design Point (DP85) withDTmin = 105.6 °CR = 21 mmH = 212.5 mmHTC shaft to hole = 76 W/m²K

• Surface plot shows also points outside of CoP 99%• Formula is inside of optiSlang

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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• Surface plot shows also points outside of CoP 99%• Formula is inside of optiSlang

Design Point (DP1) withDTmax = 280,1°C

R = 51,4 mmH = 350,5 mm

HTC shaft to hole = 16W/m²K

Design Point (DP85) withDTmin = 105,6°C

R = 21 mmH = 212,5 mm

HTC shaft to hole= 76W/m²K

ResultsDOEDT (flange height; bolt radius)

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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• Surface plot shows also points outside of CoP 99%• Formula is inside of optiSlang

Design Point (DP1) withDTmax = 280,1°C

R = 51,4 mmH = 350,5 mm

HTC shaft to hole = 16 W/m²K

Design Point (DP85) withDTmin = 105,6°C

R = 21 mmH = 212,5 mm

HTC shaft to hole = 76W/m²K

ResultsDOEDT (flange height; HTC shaft to hole)

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Introduction

Content

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11

optiSlang model and results

Calibration of FE-Model by measurements

Robust design

55 Summary

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Detailed calibration of the HTC(variation of the HTC value over time)

• Instead of one HTC value over time, the time vector is divided in several sections• For every section one HTC value is defined (HTC over time)• Purpose is to minimize the deviations between the measurement and the analysis for

the bolt

HTC 1 HTC 2 HTC 3 = HTC (t)

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU.

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Detailed calibration of the HTC in the bolt cavity(variation of the HTC value over time)

• Process chain for thecalibration of themeasurement data is shown

• This process will be donethree times, for every sectionof the bolt temperature - curve

• In the ETK one section is selected• On the next pages the results for every

section are presented

HTC

Bolt-temperatureover time

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Calibration of FE-ModelResults for BoltExample for overall calibration

Coefficient of Prognosis = 100 %The Approximation is very fine.

x-axis:HTC value

y-axis:difference betweensignal and signalreference

Best design

Approximation of results

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU.

ConfidentialPage 26 WOST 2015

Detailed calibration of the HTC in the bolt cavity(variation of the HTC value over time)

Summary• The variation of the HTC value

over time is possible withANSYS and opitSlang, bydividing the time vector inseveral sections

• the calibration of themeasurement date with HTC(t)shows improved results

• for a higher improvement a finerresolution of the time vector andmore sections are required

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Comparison of Calibration with Measurement

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Introduction

Content

44

33

22

11

optiSlang model and results

Calibration of FE-Model by measurements

Robust design

55 Summary

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Result of Robust Design Study / Sensitivity study

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

Distribution for HTC

Distribution for R

Distribution for H

Result of Distributions

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Available plots of the Sensitivity study in optiSlang

Will be probably available inthe next optiSlang version

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Vision

§ Often the designer are asked during a meeting about the influence of parameter to thedesign. The second question deals with the release of budget and resources, if apotential change of a parameter makes sense.

§ Actual the designer has no tool for fast estimations, so he has to answer this questionlater on or makes statements based on his experiences.

§ This may lead to loss of time, budget and reputation of the designer.

Ø The vision is to have a simplified meta model of the significant parameter as Excel orMat lab available, e. g. for meetings, for a very fast and first estimation of the effect ofa proposed change of the parameter.

Ø This helps to save money and accelerates the development time.

Ø The final optimization will be made again with ANSYS and optiSlang!

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU.

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MOP Solver in ExcelActual available solution in optiSlangfor the vision

Excel-file

Import 1Data Set from optiSLang:Input and OutputParameters

Import 2Meta model based on thedata setMoP solver required asMacro in EXCELMoP License required!

Table template

New input parameters• Values within chosen range• There is an option to

extrapolate (notrecommended due todeviations to the meta model)

New output parameters• are calculated from the

meta model• Small deviations to the

data set results due to theapproximation

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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ConfidentialPage 33 WOST 2015

Introduction

Content

44

33

22

11

optiSlang model and results

Calibration of FE-Model by measurements

Robust design

55 Summary

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Summary I/II

§ The study shows the significant input parameter of the investigated designparameter and design space very fast. The definition of the parametric modeltakes the most time!

§ The results show a very good Coefficient of Prognosis (COP) For the choosenparameter.

§ In any case, if possible, the model should validated, by testes. The goal of thisto check that the chosen parameter covers all significant impacting parametersis considered in the DOE.

§ The data fit with the meta model to real measurements shows a goodagreement. This is the additional hint that all major parameters were consideredin the study.

§ A validation of the identified meta model due to measurements is stronglyrecommended.

§ Robust design study is easily possible with the meta model. Direct input of theparameter distribution in Workbench is possible.

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Summary II/II

§ Major hurdles are the definition of the parametric FE-model.

§ For the nonlinear material properties and the transient temperature and heattransfer coefficients a script with APDL must be written.

§ A direct input in ANSYS Workbench is not feasible. APDL knowledge isrequired.

§ Distribution of the significant parameter have to be known for the robust designstudy.

§ To reduce the data fitting on an interesting section of the transient, ETK has tobe used.

§ In the transient case the average value over the whole transient is possible tofit. Perhaps calibration of several segments are required, if jumps or kinksfound in the measurement.

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Potential further projects in discussion

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

Optimization on differentcomponents regarding weight,stress, low cycle fatigue,deformation, creep

Probabilistic study of differentoperation behavior. Regarding lowlife cycle fatigue

Probabilistic study random casingtolerances regarding low life cyclefatigue

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Uwe Lohse

Siemens AGLarge Gas TurbinesPG GT LGT EN DI DO EUMellinghofer Str. 5545473 Mülheim an der Ruhr, DeutschlandTel.: +49 208 456-4062Mobil: +49 1522 8874918mailto:[email protected]

Burkhard Voss

Siemens AGLarge Gas TurbinesPG GT LGT EN SC CASMellinghofer Str. 5545473 Mülheim an der Ruhr, DeutschlandTel.: +49 208 456-2214Mobil: ++49 (172) 1333677mailto:[email protected]

Anton Enns_________________________________________________________

ITBIngenieurgesellschaft für technische Berechnungen mbHEuropaplatz 7, 44269 Dortmund

Tel.: +49 (0)231 94 53 65 - 23Fax: +49 (0)231 94 53 65 - 11

Geschäftsführer: Dr. Frank BrehmerHandelsregister Dortmund: HRB 16440

www.itb-fem.de

AcknowledgmentsPaul Levitan ITBFrank Bremer ITBVeit Bayer Dynardo

Contact

Intern © Siemens AG 2015 All rights reservedUwe Lohse PG GT EN LGT DI DO EU

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Thanks for your attention!

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Disclaimer

This document contains forward-looking statements and information – that is, statements related to future, not past,events. These statements may be identified either orally or in writing by words as “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”,“plans”, “believes”, “seeks”, “estimates”, “will” or words of similar meaning. Such statements are based on our currentexpectations and certain assumptions, and are, therefore, subject to certain risks and uncertainties. A variety of factors,many of which are beyond Siemens’ control, affect its operations, performance, business strategy and results and couldcause the actual results, performance or achievements of Siemens worldwide to be materially different from any futureresults, performance or achievements that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. For us,particular uncertainties arise, among others, from changes in general economic and business conditions, changes incurrency exchange rates and interest rates, introduction of competing products or technologies by other companies,lack of acceptance of new products or services by customers targeted by Siemens worldwide, changes in businessstrategy and various other factors. More detailed information about certain of these factors is contained in Siemens’filings with the SEC, which are available on the Siemens website, www.siemens.com and on the SEC’s website,www.sec.gov. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions proveincorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in the relevant forward-looking statement asanticipated, believed, estimated, expected, intended, planned or projected. Siemens does not intend or assume anyobligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of developments which differ from thoseanticipated.

Trademarks mentioned in this document are the property of Siemens AG, it's affiliates or their respective owners.

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