external and industry environment analysis dr. k. rangarajan 20 november 2015
TRANSCRIPT
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External and Industry Environment Analysis
Dr. K. Rangarajan
April 20, 2023
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SESSION : 2
Two Determinants of Profitability
Environmental Attractiveness
CompetitivePosition
Advantage
Disadvantage
Low High
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Business Environment
External & internal conditions effecting the firm
Firm trades & competes within an economy, & an industryConstant changes require systematic monitoringEnvironmental changes destroy & create business opportunities
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External Environment
Outside forces which impact on the firmEconomyTechnologySocietyGovernmentCompetitorsCustomersSuppliers
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Internal Environment
Conditions & forces within the firmOwnersManagersEmployeesFirm culturePhysical resources
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Environmental Uncertainty
Level of uncertainty depends on 2 dimensions:
Degree of change within the industry Stable to dynamic
Degree of Homogeneity within industry Simple to complex
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Strategy Making Department
Environmental Turbulence
Amount of simultaneous expansion, contraction, entry & exit within an industrySmall firms exhibit higher level of turbulence than big businessLess able to control environment through market dominance & political lobbying
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Competition
Grounded in underlying industry economics + other external forces: government, suppliers etcPorter’s model for analyzing industry attractiveness useful toolKnowledge of competitive pressure within an industry provides basis for strategy formulation
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Questions to Ask in Societal Environmental Analysis
What are the current and emerging trends in each segment?
What are the indicators of these trends?
What is the historic evolution of these trends?
What is the degree of change within these trends?
How will competitors deal with these trends?
How will these trends impact my organization?
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Strategic Issues and Strategic Factors
Strategic Issues
Trends likely to affect future environment
Strategic Factors
Those strategic issues with high probability of occurrence and high
probable impact on corporation
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Issues Priority Matrix
High Priority
HighPriority
HighPriority
Medium Priority
Medium Priority
Medium Priority
Low Priority
LowPriority
Low Priority
LowMediumHigh
Med
ium
Hig
hLow
Probable Impact on CorporationProbable Impact on Corporation
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Source: Adapted from L. L. Lederman, “Foresight Activities in the U.S.A.: Time for a Reassessment?” Long Range Planning (June 1984), p. 46. Copyright © 1984 by Pergamon Press, Ltd. Reprinted with permission.
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Some Important Variables in the Societal Environment
Economic Technological Political-Legal Socio-cultural
GDP trendsInterest ratesMoney supplyInflation ratesUnemployment levelsWage/price controlsDevaluation/revaluationEnergy availabilityand costDisposable anddiscretionary income
Total governmentspending for R&DTotal industryspending for R&DFocus of technologicaleffortsPatent protectionNew productsNew developments intechnology transferfrom lab tomarketplaceProductivityImprovementsthrough automation
Antitrust regulationsEnvironmentalprotection lawsTax lawsSpecial incentivesForeign traderegulationsAttitudes towardforeign companiesLaws on hiring andpromotionStability ofgovernment
Lifestyle changesCareer expectationsConsumer activismRate of familyformationGrowth rate ofpopulation Age distribution of populationRegional shifts inpopulationLife expectanciesBirth rates
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Related and supporting industries
Related and supporting industries
Demand conditionsDemand
conditions
Factor conditions
Factor conditions
Firm strategy structure and
rivalry
Firm strategy structure and
rivalry
ChanceChance
GovernmentGovernment
Porter’s Diamond
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Determinants in the Diamond
I. Factor ConditionsThe nation’s position in factors of productionThese factors can be grouped as follows:
Human Resource; Physical Resource; Knowledge Resource; Capital Resource; Infrastructure
Competitive advantage from factors depends on how efficiently and effectively they are deployed
II. Demand ConditionsThe quality of home demand determines competitive advantage
Nature of domestic Buyers + Size and Pattern of Growth + Transmission to Foreign Market Competitive Advantage
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Determinants in the Diamond (Contd.)
III. Related and Supporting IndustriesThe presence or absence of supplier industries and related industries that are internationally competitive
IV. Firm Strategy, Structure and RivalryThe conditions in the nation governing how companies are created, organised and managed and the nature of domestic rivalry
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Inter-relationship in the Diamond
New EntrantsEarly product
penetration feeds industry
Attracts New Entrants though factor abundance or specialisation
Firm Stgy. Structure and
Rivalry
Encourages formation of more
specialists
Stimulated growth of supplier industries
Factor pools are transferable to related
industries
Related & Supported Industries
Rivalry boosts home demand and
its specification
Pull foreign demand for the industry product
Attract Foreign firms/individuals for
the nation’s products
Demand conditions
Stimulates faster creation though
rivalry/ challenges
Create or stimulate creation
of transferable factors
Influence priorities for faster creation
of investments
Factor conditions
Firm Stgy. Structure and
Rivalry
Related & Supported Industries
Demand conditions
Factor conditionsDeterminants
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Competitive Diamond Indian Apparel Cluster
Weak/MediumWeak/Medium
WeakWeak
Weak-With Potential
Weak-With Potential
Basic=StrongAdvanced=Weak
Basic=StrongAdvanced=Weak
Demand Condition
s
Strategy Structure
Rivalry
Factors
Cluster
-Dependency on intermediaries-Lack of first-hand exposure to demanding or trend-setting consumers-Low knowledge of high-income segments-Dependency on foreign brands-Poorly Exposed to stringent buyer requirements+Entrepreneurs read and travel widely+Indirect exposure via clients
-Over-dependence on privileged market access-Mainly supplying labor-Mainly commodity/price competition+Some moving to full package/design+Many industry participantsBasic:
+Proximity to Stgic. Mkts.+Good IT Support+Good managerial/supervisory base+Favorable tax incentives+Good park infrastructure and policy+Relatively low labor costsAdvanced:-Weak Telecom support- Weak port and airport-Weak in higher skills training--Weak financial sector+/-Transport logistics and costs+Some emerging CAD capability -Lack of local base of critical related industries
-Dependency on foreign providers of technology-Inadequate schools and training providers-Lack Govt. vision for cluster development-Bureaucracy & Red-tapisim
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Industry Analysis
An Industry is defined as:A group of organizations offering products or services which are close substitutes for each otherBoundaries of the industry are determined from a user’s point of view
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SuppliersSuppliers
Bargainingpower ofsuppliers
Bargainingpower ofsuppliers
NewEntrants
NewEntrants
Threat ofnew entrants
Threat ofnew entrants
BuyersBuyers
Bargainingpower ofbuyers
Bargainingpower ofbuyers
SubstitutesSubstitutes
Threat ofsubstitutesThreat of
substitutes
IndustryCompetitors
Intensity of rivalry
Forces in the Industry Analysis
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Intensity of Rivalry
Determinants of rivalryIndustry growthShare of fixed costs to total value addedDepth of product differentiationConcentration and balance among competitors
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Strong Rivalry Occurs When:
Low industry growthHigh relative fixed costsLittle product differentiationFragmented industry with different competitive perspectives
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Rivalry Among Established Companies
Consolidated
One firm or onedominant firm.
(monopoly)
Fragmented
Many firms.No dominant
firmFew firms,
Shared dominance(Oligopoly)
The Continuum of Industry Structures
Industry Competitive Structure
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Threat of New Entrants
Likelihood of New Entrants is Determined by Height of Entry Barriers
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Some Barriers to Entry:
Economies of Scale
Product Differentiation
Capital Requirements
Switching Costs
Access to Distribution Channels
Cost Disadvantages Independent of Size
Government Policy
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High Entry Barriers Means High Profitability
High barriers restrict new entrants
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Bargaining Power of Buyers
Buyers as consumers of the industry’s outputPowerful buyers can demand lower prices, higher quality or better servicesPowerful buyers reduce industry profitability
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Buyers become powerful when:
Few important buyers
Buyer switching costs are low
Buyers can easily vertically integrate
Substitutes for the industry’s product are readily available
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Bargaining Power of Suppliers
Suppliers provide inputs to the industry
Powerful Suppliers--raise prices or reduce quality of raw materials
Powerful suppliers reduce industry profitability
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Suppliers become powerful when:
Few substitutes exist
Differentiation or high switching costs
Small number of suppliers
Supplier threat of vertical integration is high
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Threat of Substitutes
Substitutes can replace the industry’s products and services or
present an alternative to fulfill demand
Substitutes establish a price ceiling for the industry’s product
Substitutes establish a quality threshold for the industry’s product
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Substitutes become powerful when:
Buyers perceive performance and value of the substitute to be similar to the industry’s productBuyer’s switching cost is lowSubstitutes are readily available
Vs.
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The Five Forces are Unique to Your Industry
Five-Forces Analysis is a framework for analyzing a particular industry
Yet, the five forces affect all the other businesses in that industry
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Industry Scenarios
1. Examine possible shifts in societal variable globally.2. Identify uncertainties in each of the six forces of the task
environment.3. Make a range of plausible assumptions about future trends.4. Combine assumptions into internally consistent scenarios.5. Analyze the industry situation under each scenario.6. Determine sources of competitive advantage under each scenario.7. Predict competitors’ behavior under each scenario.8. Select most likely scenario to use in strategy formulation.
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THANK YOU