experience with renewable electricity (res-e) support schemes in europe

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Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe Current status and recent trends Dr. Corinna Klessmann 08/04/2014

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Which instruments should be chosen to support renewable electricity? What are their cost implications? Could renewables support be aligned across Europe? These are some of the hot questions of the European policy debate. With this webinar presentation Corinna Klessmann, Managing Consultant at Ecofys, gave an overview of renewable electricity support schemes currently applied in Europe. The presentation informs on best practices, trends and challenges in renewable energy policy design, based on recent assignments for the European Commission.

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Page 1: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe Current status and recent trends

Dr. Corinna Klessmann

08/04/2014

Page 2: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

© ECOFYS | | 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 2

• Feed-in tariff (FIT)

• Feed-in premium (FIP)

• Quota

• Tenders

Note: This map does not

include secondary support

instruments like tax incentives,

investment grants, etc. Source: Ecofys

What are the main RES-E support schemes in Europe?

Diversity of RES-E support

schemes in the EU-28

Page 3: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

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We will explore three major policy trends for RES-E

1. Quota schemes are losing ground

2. More and more countries use sliding feed-in premiums/contracts for

difference (Cfd)

3. More and more countries experiment with tendering schemes

08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 3

Page 4: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

© ECOFYS | |

A closer look will explain these trends…

08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 4

Page 5: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

© ECOFYS | | 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 5

• Feed-in tariff

• Feed-in premium

• Quota

• Tenders

Source: Ecofys

Trend 1: Quota schemes are losing ground

Trend 2: More countries use sliding FIPs/Cfds

Countries that (plan to) phase out

their quota scheme

Countries that have recently

introduced sliding FIP/Cfds (or

plan to do so)

Page 6: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

© ECOFYS | |

The main support schemes expose RES-E producers to

different levels of risk

08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 6

Market price

RES-support

Green

certificate

revenues

FIT FIP

sliding/

Cfd

cap &

floor

fixed

Quota

Volume based Price based support

Source: Ecofys

Page 7: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

© ECOFYS | |

The main support schemes expose RES-E producers to

different levels of risk

08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 7

Market price

RES-support

Green

certificate

revenues

FIT FIP

sliding/

Cfd

cap &

floor

fixed

Quota

Electricity market

price risk

Green certificate

market risk

No market price risk

Limited market price risk

Full electricity market price risk

Certificate market price

risk

RES-E producer sells directly to the market

Volume based

Market integration

through TSO

Price based support Source: Ecofys

Page 8: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

© ECOFYS | |

The level of risk exposure plays a crucial role for the

effectiveness and efficiency of support schemes

08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 8

Low cost of capital Low risk =

High investor certainty

Low support level required (efficiency)

Risk-mitigating support schemes can reduce levelised cost of

electricity and resulting support costs to consumers by up to 30%

(de Jager et al. 2011)

Many investors attracted

Low risk =

High investor certainty

High RES-E growth (effectiveness)

Page 9: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

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Conclusions on risk exposure

Risk-conscious RES-E support policies that limit risks to investors are

generally more effective and efficient than high-risk support schemes

Several European countries have abandoned their quota schemes for

support schemes with potentially lower risk and cost to consumers

Exposure to certain market price risks may still be beneficial from a

macro-economic perspective, if the RES-E producer is able to react

Several countries have introduced sliding FIPs/Cfds as compromise

between revenue security of investors and RES-E exposure to market

signals

The European Commission calls all Member States to move from FITs to

FIPs (or other schemes with market exposure); discussion on whether this

is the right approach for supply-driven RES-E

08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 9

Page 10: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

© ECOFYS | | 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 10

• Feed-in tariff

• Feed-in premium

• Quota

• Tenders

Source: Ecofys

Trend 3: Countries experiment with tendering schemes

Countries that have recently

introduced or are planning to

introduce tendering (price

competition)

Note: The draft State Aid

Guidelines by the European

Commission push for the

increased use of tendering

schemes

Page 11: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

© ECOFYS | |

Some background on RES-E tenders/auctions

> A tender is not a support scheme by itself; it can be combined with all other

support schemes, most commonly with FITs or FIPs

> In traditional FIT/FIP schemes the support level is determined

administratively, usually based on estimated production cost (LCOE)

> In a tender/auction, the FIT/FIP is determined in a competitive procedure

(requirement: demand for support greater than tendered volume)

08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 11

Volume (e.g. in MW)

Pri

ce

(su

pp

ort

le

ve

l)

Successful bids Unsuccessful bids

Tendered

volume

Clearing price

Page 12: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

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> Not all winning projects will be

implemented risk of under-

fulfilling political targets

> Higher risk for RES-E producers than

FIT/FIP, favouring bigger market

actors

– Uncertainty in the preparation phase

– Sunk cost for unsuccessful bidders

– Penalty risk for successful bidders

> Risk of underbidding or winner‘s

curse leading to prices below costs

> Risk of strategic behaviour

(collusion) leading to high prices and

producer rents

> Control of maximum volume and

support cost

> Support level is determined by the

market, not the administration

> Competition between RES-E

producers may lower prices

(compared to administrative

FIT/FIPs)

> Potential to discover real

production cost of RES-E

Opportunities Challenges

Specific opportunities and challenges of tenders/auctions

Page 13: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

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The experience with tendering schemes in Europe is

mixed and limited

Too early to conclude on overall best practice for Europe – further

policy learning required

Some ingredients for potentially successful RES-E tender design

Adjust the tender design to the specific RES-E market structure (requires

detailed knowledge on market actors, project risks, etc.)

Find the right balance between stringent penalties/qualification requirements

and limiting risks for bidders (high implementation rates = high costs)

Allow time for testing, evaluating and up-scaling tendering schemes

08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 13

Page 14: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

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Trends and challenges ahead that cannot be further

explored in this presentation…

08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 14

Page 15: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

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Further trends and challenges for RES-E policy

Some countries have stopped their support

schemes or changed them retroactively

How to attract renewables investments

under strong budgetary constraints?

When can support be phased out?

Not yet a trend: increased cooperation between

Member States, e.g. partial opening of RES-E

support schemes

How to open support schemes?

Role of cooperation beyond 2020?

High RES-E deployment impacts the electricity

system and markets

How to further align RES-E policies and

general power market regulations?

08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 15

Page 16: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

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Recent reports on RES-E policy in the EU

> Held et al. (2014). Design features of support schemes for renewable electricity. http://www.ecofys.com/en/publication/renewable-electricity-support-schemes-and-cooperation-mechanisms-in-/

> Klessmann et al. (2014). Cooperation between EU Member States under the RES Directive. http://www.ecofys.com/en/publication/renewable-electricity-support-schemes-and-cooperation-mechanisms-in-/

> Resch et al. (2014). Beyond2020 – Design and impact of a harmonised policy for renewable electricity in Europe. http://www.res-policy-beyond2020.eu/downloads.html

> Klessmann et al. (2013). Policy options for reducing the costs of reaching the European renewables target. Renewable Energy 57(2013), 390-430

> Ragwitz et al. (2012). RE-Shaping: Shaping an effective and

> efficient European renewable energy market. http://www.reshaping-res-policy.eu/

> Klessmann (2012). Increasing the effectiveness and efficiency of renewable energy support policies in the European Union. http://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/218063

> Rathmann et al. (2011). Towards triple-A policies: More renewable energy at lower cost. http://www.reshaping-res-policy.eu/downloads/Towards-triple-A-policies_RE-ShapingD16.pdf

> de Jager et al. (2011). Financing Renewable Energy in the European Energy Market. http://ec.europa.eu/energy/renewables/studies/doc/renewables/2011_financing_renewable.pdf

08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 16

Page 17: Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe

© ECOFYS | | 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann 17

Please contact us for more information

Ecofys Germany GmbH

Am Karlsbad 11

10785 Berlin

Germany

T: +49 (0)30 297 735 79-0

E: [email protected]

I: www.ecofys.com