evm+agile estimating

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+ 21.5 Estimating 1. Agile Process Framework 2. Features and Stories 3. Scaled Agile for Enterprise (SAFe) 4. Earned Value Management 5. Estimating for Agile Programs 6. Requirements 7. Systems Engineering 8. Root Cause Analysis 9. Agile Transformation 10. Risk Management 11. Agile Maturity Models The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them Steve McConnell 21. Resources Performance–Based Project Management ® , Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 2016 922

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21.5 ‒ Estimating

1. Agile Process Framework

2. Features and Stories

3. Scaled Agile for Enterprise (SAFe)

4. Earned Value Management

5. Estimating for Agile Programs

6. Requirements

7. Systems Engineering

8. Root Cause Analysis

9. Agile Transformation

10. Risk Management

11. Agile Maturity Models

The primary purpose of software estimation is not to predict a project’s outcome; it is to determine whether a project’s targets are realistic enough to allow the project to be controlled to meet them ‒ Steve McConnell

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016 922

+ Estimating

n “Believing is Seeing: Confirmation Bias Studies in Software Engineering, “Magne Jørgensen and Efi Papatheocharous, 41st Euromicro Conference on Software Engineering and Advanced Applications (SEAA)

n “Numerical anchors and their strong effects on software development effort estimates,” Erik Løhrea, and Magne Jørgensen, Simula Research Laboratory, Oslo.

n “Review on Traditional and Agile Cost Estimation Success Factor in Software Development Project,” Zulkefli Mansor, Saadiah Yahya, Noor Habibah Hj Arshad, International Journal on New Computer Architectures and Their Applications (IJNCAA) 1(3): 942–952.

n “Release Planning & Buffered MoSCoW Rules,” Dr. Eduardo Miranda Institute for Software Research ASSE 2013 - 14th Argentine Symposium on Software Engineering / 42 JAIIO (Argentine Conference on Informatics) September 16th, 2013, Cordoba, Argentina

21. Resources

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n “Fixed price without fixed specification,” Magne Jørgensen Simula Research Laboratory, https://www.simula.no/file/refsq-fixed-price-jorgensen-march15pdf/download

n “The Use of Precision of Software Development Effort Estimates to Communicate Uncertainty,” Magne Jørgensen, Software Quality Days. The Future of Systems-and Software Development. Springer International Publishing, 2016.

n “The Influence of Selection Bias on Effort Overruns in Software Development Projects,” Magne Jørgensen, Simula Research Laboratory & Institute of Informatics, University of Oslo.

n “Software effort estimation terminology: The tower of Babel,” Stein Grimstad, Magne Jørgensen, Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold, Information and Software Technology 48 (2006) 302–310.

n “Planning and Executing Time-Bound Projects,” Eduardo Miranda, IEEE Computer, March 2002, pp. 73 ‒ 78.

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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+ Estimating

n “When 90% Confidence Intervals are 50% Certain: On the Credibility of Credible Intervals,” Karl Halvor Teigen and Magne Jørgensen, Applied Cognitive Psychology Applied Cognitive Psychology, 19: 455–475 (2005), http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/acp.1085/abstract

n “Software quality measurement,” Magne Jørgensen, Advances in Engineering Software 30 (1999) 907–912, ftp://163.13.201.222/Prof_Shyur/Software%20Project%20Management/99_2/Unit_5%20software%20quality%20assurance/Reading/software%20quality%20measurement.pdf

n “Group Processes in Software Effort Estimation,” Kjetil Moløkken-østvold and Magne Jørgensen, Empirical Software Engineering, 9, 315–334, 2004, http://faculty.ksu.edu.sa/ghazy/Documents/Emp%20SWE%2004/Group%20Processes%20in%20Software%20Effort%20Estimation.pdf

n “Story Point Estimating,” Richard Carlson, ALEA, http://www.a2zalea.com/wp–content/uploads/2014/02/Story–Point–Estimating_20140213.pdf

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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n Project Estimation in the Norwegian Software Industry – A Summary Kjetil Moløkken, Magne Jørgensen, Sinan S. Tanilkan, Hans Gallis, Anette C. Lien, and Siw E. Hove, Simula Research Laboratory, http://developer.skolelinux.no/~knuty/simula_estimation_survey_2004.pdf

n “A Comparison of Software Project Overruns—Flexible versus Sequential Development Models,” Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold, Member, IEEE, and Magne Jørgensen, http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.458.5585&rep=rep1&type=pdf

n “Software Estimation using a Combination of Techniques,” Klaus Nielsen, PM Virtual Library, https://www.pmi.org/~/media/PDF/Knowledge-Shelf/Nielsen_2013.ashx

n “Software effort estimation terminology: The tower of Babel,” Stein Grimstad, Magne Jørgensen, Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold, Information and Software Technology 48 (2006) 302–310, https://www.st.cs.uni-saarland.de/edu/empirical-se/2006/PDFs/grismstad.pdf

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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n “An Effort Prediction Interval Approach Based on the Empirical Distribution of Previous Estimation Accuracy,” Magne Jørgensen and D. I. K. Sjøberg, Simula Research Laboratory, Norway, https://www.simula.no/file/se4joergensen2003bpdf/download

n “Better Sure than Safe? Overconfidence in Judgment Based Software Development Effort Prediction Intervals,” Magne Jørgensen, Karl Halvor Teigen, and Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold, Journal of Systems and Software, February 2004 https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Karl_Teigen/publication/222433989_Better_sure_than_safe_Over-confidence_in_judgement_based_software_development_effort_prediction_intervals/links/09e4150bf98695d74d000000.pdf

n “The Impact of Irrelevant and Misleading Information on Software Development Effort Estimates: A Randomized Controlled Field Experiment,” Magne Jørgensen and Stein Grimstad, https://www.simula.no/file/simulase299pdf/download

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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n “Experience With the Accuracy of Software Maintenance Task Effort Prediction Models, Magne Jørgensen, IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering, Vol. 21, No. 8, August 1995, http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?tp=&arnumber=403791

n “Conducting Realistic Experiments in Software Engineering,” Dag I. K. Sjøberg, Bente Anda, Erik Arisholm, Tore Dybå, Magne Jørgensen, Amela Karahasanovic, Espen F. Koren and Marek Vokác, https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Bente_Anda/publication/3998285_Conducting_Realistic_Experiments_in_Software_Engineering/links/00b7d518406c335133000000.pdf

n “Forecasting of software development work effort: Evidence on expert judgement and formal models,” Magne Jørgensen, http://interaction-room.de/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Improving-task-breakdown-comprehensiveness-in-agile-projects-with-an-Interaction-Room.pdf

21. Resources

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n “A Systematic Review of Software Development Cost Estimation Studies,” Magne Jørgensen and Martin Shepperd, IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering, Vol. 33, No. 1, January 2007, http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/bitstream/2438/1076/3/04027147.pdf

n “Towards a Fuzzy based Framework for Effort Estimation in Agile Software Development,” Atef Tayh Raslan, Nagy Ramadan Darwish, and Hesham Ahmed Hefny, (IJCSIS) International Journal of Computer Science and Information Security, Vol. 13, No. 1, 2015,

n “Evaluation of Model Evaluation Criterion for Software Development Effort Estimation,” S. K. Pillai, and M. K. Jeyakumar, International Journal of Electrical, Computer, Energetic, Electronic and Communication Engineering Vol: 9, No: 1, 2015, http://waset.org/publications/10000667/evaluation-of-model-evaluation-criterion-for-software-development-effort-estimation

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n “Software Effort Estimation with Ridge Regression and Evolutionary Attribute Selection,” Efi Papatheocharous , Harris Papadopoulos and Andreas S. Andreou, http://arxiv.org/pdf/1012.5754.pdf

n “The Business of Software Estimation Is Not Evil: Reconciling agile approaches and project estimates,” Phillip G. Armour, Communications of the ACM, January 2014, Vol. 57, No. 1.

n “Analysis of Empirical Software Effort Estimation Models,” Saleem Basha and Dhavachelvan P, (IJCSIS) International Journal of Computer Science and Information Security, Vol. 7, No. 3, 2010, http://arxiv.org/pdf/1004.1239.pdf

n “Empirical Estimation of Hybrid Model: A Controlled Case Study,” Sadaf Un Nisa and M. Rizwan Jameel Qureshi, I.J. Information Technology and Computer Science, 2012, 8, 43–50, http://www.mecs–press.org/ijitcs/ijitcs–v4–n8/IJITCS–V4–N8–5.pdf

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n “Identification of inaccurate effort estimates in agile software development,” Florian Raith, Ingo Richter, Robert Lindermeier, and Gudrun Klinker, 2013 20th Asia-Pacific Software Engineering Conference (APSEC), http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?tp=&arnumber=6754353

n “Efficient Indicators to Evaluate the Status of Software Development Effort Estimation inside the Organizations,” Elham Khatibi and Roliana Ibrahim, International Journal of Managing Information Technology (IJMIT) Vol. 4, No. 3, August 2012, http://arxiv.org/pdf/1209.2516.pdf

n “Modern Project Management: A New Forecasting Model to Ensure Project Success,” Iman Attarzadeh and Ow Siew Hock, International Conference on Future Computer and Communication, 2009, http://www.computer.org/csdl/proceedings/icfcc/2009/3591/00/3591a426.pdf

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n “What We Do and Don’t Know about Software Development Effort Estimation,” Magne Jørgensen, IEEE Software, March / April 2014, https://www.computer.org/csdl/mags/so/2014/02/mso2014020037.pdf

n “A review of studies on expert estimation of software development effort,” Magne Jørgensen, The Journal of Systems and Software 70 (2004) 37–60, http://www.idi.ntnu.no/grupper/su/publ/ebse/RK15-reviewexpertestim-jorgensen-jss04.pdf

n “How to Avoid Impact from Irrelevant and Misleading Information when Estimating Software Development Effort,” Magne Jørgensen & Stein Grimstad Simula Research Laboratory, https://www.simula.no/file/simulase112pdf/download

n “Avoiding Irrelevant and Misleading Information When Estimating Development Effort,” Bente Anda , Hege Dreiem , Dag I. K. Sjøberg1, and Magne Jørgensen,

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n “The ROI of Agile VS. Traditional Methods? An Analysis of XP, TDD, Pair Programming, and Scrum (Using Real Options),” Dr. David Rico, http://w.davidfrico.com/rico08b.pdf

n “Exploring the ‘Planning Fallacy’: Why People Underestimate Their Task Completion Times.” Roger Buehler, Dale Griffin, and Michael Ross, http://web.mit.edu/curhan/www/docs/Articles/biases/67_J_Personality_and_Social_Psychology_366,_1994.pdf

n “Estimates, Uncertainty, and Risk,” Barbara Kitchenham and Stephen Linkman, University of Keele, IEEE Software, May / June, 1997, https://www.unf.edu/~ncoulter/cen6070/handouts/minorreport/Kitchenham-risk.pdf

n “Software Project Scheduling under Uncertainties,” Intaver Institute Inc., http://www.intaver.com/Articles/Article_SoftwareProjectManagement.pdf

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n “Cost Estimating Issues for MAIS Programs Using an Agile Approach for SW Development,” Richard Mabe, 22 September 2015, http://www.acq.osd.mil/evm/resources/AgileSep2015/DOD%20AGILE%20DAY%201%20-%20MAIS%20AND%20SW%20CE%20CHALLENGES.pdf

n “An Empirical Investigation on Effort Estimation in Agile Global Software Development,” Ricardo Britto, Emilia Mendes, and Jurgen Borstler, 2015 IEEE 10th International Conference on Global Software Engineering, https://www.computer.org/csdl/proceedings/icgse/2015/8409/00/8409a038.pdf

n “Planning, Estimating, and Monitoring Progress in Agile Systems Development Environments,” Suzette S. Johnson, STC 2010, http://www.ieee-stc.org/proceedings/2010/pdfs/SSJ2669.pdf

n “Improving Subjective Estimates Using Paired Comparisons,” Eduardo Miranda, IEEE Software, January/February, 2001, http://mse.isri.cmu.edu/software–engineering/documents/faculty–publications/miranda/pdf1.pdf

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n “Using Performance Indices to Evaluate the Estimate at Completion,” David Christensen, Journal of Cost Analysis and Management, Spring 17–24.

n “Reliability Improvement of Major Defense Acquisition Program Cost Estimates—Mapping DoDAF to COSMO,” Ricardo Valerdi, Matthew Dabkowski, and Indrajeet Dixit, Systems Engineering, Volume 18, Issue 4, 2015

n “Fallacies and biases when adding effort estimates.” Magne Jørgensen, https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula2762pdf/download

n “The Use of Precision of Software Development Effort Estimates to Communicate Uncertainty,” Magne Jørgensen, Software Quality Days. The Future of Systems-and Software Development. Springer.

n “Communication of software cost estimates,” Magne Jørgensen, https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula2498pdf/download

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n “Relative Estimation of Software Development Effort: It Matters With What and How You Compare,” Magne Jørgensen, IEEE Software (2013): 74-79.

n “Reasons for Software Effort Estimation Error: Impact of Respondent Role, Information Collection Approach, and Data Analysis Method Magne,” Jørgensen and Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold, IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering, Vol. 30, No. 12, December 2004.

n “Use Case Points: An estimation approach,” Gautam Banerjee, http://www.bfpug.com.br/Artigos/UCP/Banerjee-UCP_An_Estimation_Approach.pdf

n “Software Cost Estimation Methods: A Review, “ Vahid Khatibi and Dayang N. A. Jawawi, Journal of Emerging Trends in Computing and Information Sciences, Volume 2 No. 1.

21. Resources

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n “Estimating Development Time and Effort of Software Projects by using a Neuro-Fuzzy Approach,” Venus Marza and Mohammad Teshnehlab, in Advanced Technologies, INTECH Open, October 2009.

n “Function Points, Use Case Points, Story Points: Observations From a Case Study,” Joe Schofield, Alan W. Armentrout, and Regina M. Trujillo, CrossTalk: The Journal of Defense Software Engineering, May–June 2013.

n “Advanced Topics in Agile Estimating,” Mike Cohn, Mountain Goat Software

n “Schedule Assessment Guide: Best Practices for Schedule Assessment,” GAO-16-89G.

n Agile Estimating and Planning, Mike Cohn, Prentice Hall, 2006

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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+ Estimating

n “A Model for Software Development Effort and Cost Estimation,” Krishnakumar Pillai and V.S. Sukumaran Nair, IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering, Vol. 23, No. 8, August 1997.

n “An Alternative to the Rayleigh Curve Model for Software Development Effort,” F. N. Parr, IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering, Vol. SE–6, NO. 3, May1980.

n Fifty Quick Ideas to Improve Your User Stories, Gojko Adzix and David Evans, http://leanpub.com/50quickideas

n “The Use of Agile Surveillance Points: An Alternative to Milestone Reviews,” Richard “Dick” Carlson, http://www.a2zalea.com/wp–content/uploads/2014/02/Agile–Surveillance–Points_20140113.pdf

21. Resources

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n “An Effort Estimation Model for Agile Software Development,” Ziauddin, Shahid Kamal Tipu, Shahrukh Zia, Advances in Computer Science and its Applications (ACSA) 314 Vol. 2, No. 1, 2012.

n “Successful Solutions Through Agile Project Management,” ESI InternationalWhite Paper, 2010.

n “Towards a Fuzzy based Framework for Effort Estimation in Agile Software Development,” Atef Tayh Raslan, Nagy Ramadan Darwish, and Hesham Ahmed Hefny, (IJCSIS) International Journal of Computer Science and Information Security, Vol. 13, No. 1, 2015.

n “Improving Subjective Estimations Using Paired Comparisons,” Eduardo Miranda, IEEE Software Magazine, Vol. 18, No. 1, January 2001,

21. Resources

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n “Effort Estimation in Global Software Development: A Systematic Literature Review,” Ricardo Britto, Vitor Freitas, Emilia Mendes, and Muhammad Usman, IEEE 9th International Conference on Global Software Engineering, 2014.

n “An evaluation of the paired comparisons method for software sizing,” Eduardo Miranda, Proceedings of the 2000 International Conference on Software Engineering.

n “Protecting Software Development Projects Against Underestimation,” Eduardo Miranda and Alain Abran, Project Management Journal, Volume 39, Issue 3, Pages 75-85, September, 2008.

n “Sizing User Stories Using Paired Comparisons,” Eduardo Miranda, Pierre Bourque, and Alain Abran, Information and Software Technology, Volume 51, Issue 9, September 2009, Pages 1327–1337.

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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+ Estimating

n “Effort Estimation in Agile Software Development using Story Points,” Evita Coelho and Anirban Basu, International Journal of Applied Information Systems (IJAIS), Volume 3, Number 7, August 2012.

n “A Model for Estimating Agile Project Schedule Acceleration,” Dan Ingold, Barry Boehm, Supannika Koolmanojwong, and Jo Ann Lane, Center for Systems and Software Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, 2013.

n “Cost Estimation in Agile Development Projects,” Siobhan Keaveney and Kieran Conboy, International Conference on Information Systems Development (ISD2011) Prato, Italy.

n “Analysis of Empirical Software Effort Estimation Models,” Saleem Basha and Dhavachelvan P, (IJCSIS) International Journal of Computer Science and Information Security, Vol. 7, No. 3, 2010.

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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n “Replanning, Reprogramming, and Single Point Adjustments,”July 2013, NAVY CEVM (Center for Earned Value Management).

n “Software Cost Estimating for Iterative / Incremental Development Programs –Agile Cost Estimating,” NASA CAS, July 2014.

n “Distinguishing Two Dimensions of Uncertainty,” Craig Fox and Güllden Ülkümen, Perspectives on Thinking, Judging, and Decision Making, Brun, W., Keren, G., Kirkeboen, G., & Montgomery, H. (Eds.). (2011). Oslo, Norway: Universitetsforlaget.

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Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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n “Fix Your Estimating Bad Habits,” Ted M. Young, http://www.slideshare.net/tedyoung/fix-you-some-bad-estimation-habits

n “How to Estimate and Agile Project,” Saunders Learning Center, http://www.slideshare.net/FloydSaunders/how-to-estimate-an-agile-project

n Software Cost Estimation Metrics Manual for Defense Systems, Bradford Clark and Richard Madachy (editors), 2015.

n “Metrics for Agile Projects: Finding the Right Tools for the Job,” ESI International, https://www.projectsmart.co.uk/white–papers/metrics–for–agile–projects.pdf

n “The Sprint Planning Meeting, Richard “Dick” Carlson, http://www.a2zalea.com/wp–content/uploads/2014/02/SprintPlanningMeeting_20140118.pdf

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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n “Software Development Estimation Biases: The Role of Interdependence,” Magne Jørgensen and Stein Grimstad, IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering, Vol. 38, No. 3, May/June 2012.

n “Managing Projects of Chaotic and Unpredictable Behavior,” Richard “Dick” Carlson, http://www.a2zalea.com/wp–content/uploads/2014/02/Managing–Projects–of–Chaotic–and–Unpredictable–Behavior_20140219.pdf

n ‘Practical Guidelines for Expert-Judgement-Based Software Effort Estimation,” Magna Jørgensen, IEEE Software, May/June 2005.

n “How do you estimate on an Agile project?,” ThoughtWorks, http://info.thoughtworks.com/rs/thoughtworks2/images/twebook-perspectives-estimation_1.pdf

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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n “On the problem of the software cost function,” J. J. Dolado, Information and Software Technology 43 (2001) 61–72.

n Software Project Effort Estimation: Foundations and Best Practice Guidelines for Success, 2014th Edition, Adam Trendowicz and Ross Jeffery, Springer.

n “Unit effects in project estimation: It matters whether you estimate in work-hours or workdays,” Magne Jørgensen Journal of Systems and Software (2015).

n “Estimating Software Development Effort based on Use Cases – Experiences from Industry,” Bente Anda , Hege Dreiem , Dag I. K. Sjøberg1, and Magne Jørgensen, http://www.bfpug.com.br/Artigos/UCP/Anda-Estimating_SW_Dev_Effort_Based_on_Use_Cases.pdf

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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n “A Program Manager's Guide For Software Cost Estimating,” Andrew L. Dobbs, Naval Postgraduate School, December 2002.

n “An Engineering Context For Software Engineering,” Richard D. Riehle, September 2008, Naval Postgraduate School.

n “Application of Real Options theory to software engineering for strategic decision making in software related capital investments,” Albert O. Olagbemiro, Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2008.

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n “Application of selected software cost estimating models to a tactical communications switching system: tentative analysis of model applicability to an ongoing development program,” William B. Collins, Naval Postgraduate School

n “An examination of project management and control requirements and alternatives at FNOC,” Charlotte Ruth Gross, Naval Postgraduate School.

n “Software cost estimation through Bayesian inference of software size, In Kyoung Park, Naval Postgraduate School.

n “Using the agile development methodology and applying best practice project management processes,” Gary R. King, Naval Postgraduate School.

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n Practical Software Project Estimation: A Toolkit for Estimating Software Development Effort & Duration, Peter Hill, International Software Benchmarking Standards Group.

n Software Estimation Best Practices, Tools & Techniques: A Complete Guide for Software Project Estimators, Murali K. Chemuturi.

n Software Project Cost and Schedule Estimating: Best Practices, William H. Roetzheim, Prentice Hall.

n Estimating the Scope of Software Projects Using Statistics, Louis Newstrom, Louis Newstrom Publisher, December 4, 2015.

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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n “Estimate of the appropriate Sprint length in agile development by conducting simulation,” Ryushi Shiohama, Hironori Washizaki, Shin Kuboaki, Kazunori Sakamoto, and Yoshiaki Fukazawa, 2012 Agile Conference, 13-17 August 2012, Dallas Texas

n “Advancement of decision making in Agile Projects by applying Logistic Regression on Estimates,” Lakshminarayana Kompella, 2013 IEEE 8th International Conference on Global Software Engineering Workshops.

n “Estimating in Actual Time,” Moses M. Hohman, IEEE Proceedings of the Agile Development Conference (ADC’05), Denver, Colorado 24-29 July, 2005

n COST ESTIMATION IN AGILE DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS, Siobhan Keaveney and Kieran Conboy, https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/c8fb/8e11a1e2fdca59db0ab823e2ec6e354bf5ee.pdf

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Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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n “Combining Estimates with Planning Poker – An Empirical Study,” Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold and Nils Christian Haugen, Proceedings of the 2007 Australian Software Engineering Conference (ASWEC'07).

n “A Case Study Research on Software Cost Estimation Using Experts’ Estimates, Wideband Delphi, and Planning Poker Technique,” Taghi Javdani Gandomani , Koh Tieng Wei, and Abdulelah Khaled Binhamid, International Journal of Software Engineering and Its Applications, Vol. 8, No. 11 (2014), pp. 173-182.

n “Algorithmic Based and Non-Algorithmic Based Approaches to Estimate the Software Effort,” WanJiang Han , TianBo Lu , XiaoYan Zhang , LiXin Jiang and Weijian Li, International Journal of Multimedia and Ubiquitous Engineering, Vol. 10, No. 4 (2015), pp. 141-154.

n “Reducing Estimation Uncertainty with Continuous Assessment: Tracking the 'Cone of Uncertainty’” Pongtip Aroonvatanaporn, Chatchai Sinthop and Barry Boehm, Center for Systems and Software Engineering University of Southern California Los Angeles, CA 90089, ASE’10, September 20–24, 2010, Antwerp, Belgium, 2010.

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Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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n “Integrated Approach of Software Project Size Estimation,” Brajesh Kumar Singh, Akash Punhani, and A. K. Misra, International Journal of Software Engineering and Its Applications Vol. 10, No. 2 (2016), pp. 45-64.

n “Investigating the Effect of Using Methodology on Development Effort in Software Projects,” Vahid B. Khatibi, Dayang N. A. Jawawi, and Elham Khatibi, International Journal of Software Engineering and Its Applications Vol. 6, No. 2, April, 2012.

n “Data-Driven Decision Making as a Tool to Improve Software Development Productivity,” Mary Erin Brown, http://scholarworks.waldenu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2074&context=dissertations

n “Applying Agile Practices to Space-Based Software Systems,” Arlene Minkiewicz, Software Technology Conference, Long Beach, CA 31 March – 3 April, 2014

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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n “A Proposed Framework for Software Effort Estimation Using the Combinational Approach of Fuzzy Logic and Neural Networks,” Pawandeep Kaur and Rupinder Singh, International Journal of Hybrid Information Technology Vol. 8, No. 10 (2015), pp. 73-80.

n “Software Estimating Rules of Thumb,” Capers Jones, http://www.compaid.com/caiinternet/ezine/capers-rules.pdf

n “Why Are Estimates Always Wrong: Estimation Bias and Strategic Misestimation,” Daniel D. Galorath, http://www.iceaaonline.com/ready/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/RI03-Paper-Galorath-Estimates-Always-Wrong.pdf

n “Using planning poker for combining expert estimates in software projects,” K. Moløkken-Østvold, N. C. Haugen, and H. C. Benestad, Journal of Systems and Software, vol. 81, issue 12 (2008) pp. 2106–2117.

n “Effort Distribution to Estimate Cost in Small to Medium Software Development Project with Use Case Points,” Putu Linda Primandari and Sholiq, The Third Information Systems International Conference, 2015

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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n “Estimation of IT-Projects Highlights of a Workshop,” Manfred Bundschuh, Metrics News, Vol. 4, Nr. 2, December 1999, pp. 29 – 37, https://www.itmpi.org/Portals/10/PDF/bundschuh-est.pdf

n “Curbing Optimism Bias and Strategic Misrepresentation in Planning: Reference Class Forecasting in Practice,” Bent Flyvbjerg, European Planning Studies Vol. 16, No. 1, January 2008.

n “The Use of Precision of Software Development Effort Estimates to Communicate Uncertainty,” Magne Jørgensen, Software Quality Days. The Future of Systems-and Software Development. Springer International Publishing, 2016.

n “Numerical anchors and their strong effects on software development effort estimates,” Erik Løhrea, and Magne Jørgensen, Journal of Systems and Software (2015).

21. Resources

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+ Estimating

n “Unit effects in project estimation: It matters whether you estimate in work-hours or workdays,” Magne Jørgensen, Journal of Systems and Software (2015), https://www.simula.no/file/time-unit-effect-woauthorinfpdf/download

n “Fallacies and biases when adding effort estimates,” Magne Jørgensen, Proceedings at Euromicro/SEEA. : IEEE, 2014.

n “How Does Project Size Affect Cost Estimation Error? Statistical Artifacts and Methodological Challenges,” International Journal of Project Management 30 (2012): 751-862, https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula742pdf/download

n “Does the Use of Fibonacci Numbers in Planning Poker Affect Effort Estimates?” Ritesh Tamrakar and Magne Jørgensen, 16th Int. Conference on Evaluation & Assessment in Software Engineering. IET, 2012.

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

954

+ Estimating

n “Software Development Effort Estimation: Why it fails and how to improve it,” Magne Jørgensen, Simula Research Laboratory & University of Oslo, https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula1688pdf/download

n Contrasting Ideal and Realistic Conditions As a Means to Improve Judgment-Based Software Development Effort Estimation,” Magne Jørgensen, Information and Software Technology 53 (2011): 1382-1390.

n Software Effort Estimation as Collaborative Planning Activity Kristin Børte, https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula1226pdf/download

n “Human judgment in planning and estimation of software projects,” https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula886pdf/download

n “Guideline for Sizing Agile Projects with COSMIC,” Sylvie Trudel and Luigi Buglione, http://cosmic-sizing.org/publications/guideline-for-sizing-agile-projects-with-cosmic

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

955

+ Estimating

n “The COSMIC Functional Size Measurement Method, Version 3.0.1, Guideline for the use of COSMIC FSM to manage Agile projects, VERSION 1.0,” September 2011, http://cosmic-sizing.org/cosmic-method-v3-0-1-agile-projects-guideline-v1-0/

n “Using the COSMIC Method to Evaluate the Quality of the Documentation of Agile User Stories,” Jean-Marc Desharnais, Buğra Kocatürk, and Alain Abran, http://cosmic-sizing.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/mensura2011_submission_14.pdf

n “An Empirical Study of Using Planning Poker for User Story Estimation,” Nils C. Haugen, Proceedings of AGILE 2006 Conference (AGILE’06).

n “A Framework for the Analysis of Software Cost Estimation Accuracy,” Stein Grimstad and Magne Jørgensen, ISESE'06, September 21–22, 2006.

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

956

+ Estimating

n “Software Effort Estimation: Unstructured Group Discussion as a Method to Reduce Individual Biases,” Kjetil Moløkken and Magne Jørgensen, http://folk.uio.no/isu/INCO/Papers/ppig_molokken_2003.pdf

n “A Case Study on Agile Estimating and Planning using Scrum,” V. Mahnic, Electronics And Electrical Engineering, 2011. No. 5(111).

n “Review on Traditional and Agile Cost Estimation Success Factor in Software Development Project,” Zulkefli Mansor, Saadiah Yahya, Noor Habibah Hj Arshad, International Journal on New Computer Architectures and Their Applications (IJNCAA) 1(3): 942-952.

n “A Collective Study of PCA and Neural Network based on COCOMO for Software Cost Estimation,” Rina M. Waghmode, L.V. Patil, and S.D Joshi, International Journal of Computer Applications (0975 – 8887) Volume 74– No. 16, July 2013.

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

957

+ Estimating

n “Estimating Software Project Effort Using Analogies,” Martin Shepperd and Chris Schofield, IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SOFTWARE ENGINEERING, VOL. 23, NO. 12, NOVEMBER 1997.

n “Software Engineering Economics,” Barry W. Boehm, https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/Software-Engineering-Economics-Boehm/970fc1889f7097bbb5c0a13c965567070a0df6d2/pdf

n “Adapting, Correcting, and Perfecting Software Estimates: A Maintenance Metaphor,” Tarek K. Abdel-Hamid, IEEE Computer, March 1993.

n Estimating software projects R. Agarwal, Manish Kumar t, Yogesh, S. Mallick, RM. Bharadwaj, D. Anantwar, ACM Software Engineering Notes Vol 26 no 4 July 2001 Page 6.

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

958

+ Estimating

n “Managing Uncertainty in Agile Release Planning,” K. McDaid, D. Greer, F. Keenan, P. Prior, P. Taylor, G. Coleman, Proceedings of the Eighteenth International Conference on Software Engineering & Knowledge Engineering (SEKE'2006).

n “Research Challenges of Agile Estimation,” Rashmi Popli, Dr. Naresh Chauhan, International Journal of IT & Knowledge Management, Volume 7 • Number 1 • December 2013 pp. 108-111 (ISSN 0973-4414),

n “Allowing for Task Uncertainties and Dependencies in Agile Release Planning,” Kevin Logue, Kevin McDaid, and Des Greer,

n “Agile Software Development in Large Organizations, ” Mikael Lindvall, Dirk Muthig, Aldo Dagnino Christina Wallin, Michael Stupperich, David Kiefer, John May, adn Tuomo Kähkönen, IEEE Computer, December 2004.

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

959

+ Estimating

n “The Relationship between Customer Collaboration and Software Project Overruns,” Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold and Kristian Marius Furulund, IEEE Agile Conference, 13-17 August, 2007.

n “Improving Estimations in Agile Projects: Issues and Avenues,” Luigi Buglione, Alain Abran, Proceedings Software Measurement European Forum (SMEF) 2007.

n “Allowing for Task Uncertainties and Dependencies in Agile Release Planning,” Kevin Logue, Kevin McDaid, and Des Geer, Proceedings Software Measurement European Forum (SMEF) 2007.

n “Fundamental uncertainties in projects and the scope of project management,” Roger Atkinson , Lynn Crawford, and Stephen Ward, International Journal of Project Management 24 (2006) 687–698.

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

960

+ Estimating

n “Effort Estimation in Agile Software Development: A Systematic Literature Review,” Muhammad Usman , Emilia Mendes , Francila Weidt , and Ricardo Britto, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/263330486_Effort_Estimation_in_Agile_Software_Development_A_Systematic_Literature_Review

n “Incremental effort prediction models in Agile Development using Radial Basis Functions ,” Raimund Moser, Witold Pedrycz , and Giancarlo Succi, https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/5368/3c5bb34d486d0761d25c4267abd8efeba7a1.pdf

n “Applying Combined Efforts of Resource Capability of Project Teams for Planning and Managing Contingency Reserves for Software and Information Engineering Projects,” Peter H. Chang, GSTF Journal on Computing (JoC) Vol. 2 No. 3, October 2012.

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

961

+ Estimating

n Estimating Software Intensive Systems: Project, Products, and Processes, Richard Stutzke, Addison Wesley.

n Estimating Software Costs: Bringing Realism to Estimating, 2nd Edition, Capers Jones, McGraw Hill

n Software Estimation: Demystifying the Black Art, Steve McConnell, Microsoft Press.

n Software Metrics: A Rigorous and Practical Approach, 3rd Edition, Norman Fenton and Janes Bieman, CRC Press.

n Probability Methods for Cost Uncertainty Analysis: A Systems Engineering Perspective, Paul R. Garvey, CRC Press.

n Forecasting and Simulating Software Development Projects: Effective Modeling of Kanban & Scrum Projects using Monte-Carlo Simulation, Troy Magennis, http://www.amazon.com/Forecasting-Simulating-Software-Development-Projects/dp/1466454830

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

21. Resources

962

+ Estimating

n “Effort estimation for Agile Software Development Projects,” Andreas Schmietendorf, Martin Kunz, Reiner Dumke, Proceedings 5th Software Measurement European Forum, Milan 2008, http://www.dpo.it/smef2008/papers/SMEF08_proc_204_schmietendorf.pdf

n “The QUELCE Method: Using Change Drivers To Estimate Program Costs,” Sarah Sheard April 2016, Software Engineering Institute, http://resources.sei.cmu.edu/asset_files/WhitePaper/2016_019_001_453977.pdf

n “Software Cost and Schedule Estimating: A Process Improvement Initiative,” Robert Park, Wolfhart Goethert, J. Todd Webb, Special Report CMU/SEI-94-SR-3 May 1994, ttp://resources.sei.cmu.edu/asset_files/SpecialReport/1994_003_001_16256.pdf

n “Organizational Considerations for the Estimating Process,” Bob Ferguson, http://resources.sei.cmu.edu/asset_files/Presentation/2004_017_001_23778.pdf

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

21. Resources

963

+ Estimating

n “Checklists and Criteria for Evaluating the Cost and Schedule Estimating Capabilities of Software Organizations,” Robert E. Park, http://repository.cmu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1093&context=sei

n “A Manager's Checklist for Validating Software Cost and Schedule Estimates,” Robert E. Park, Special Report CMU/SEI-95-SR-004 January 1995, http://resources.sei.cmu.edu/asset_files/SpecialReport/1995_003_001_16358.pdf

n ACE Accurate Confident Estimating TSP Symposium November 4, 2014 Pittsburgh, PA, http://resources.sei.cmu.edu/asset_files/presentation/2014_017_101_423644.pdf

n How to Lie with Statistics, Darrell Huff, W. W. Norton, 1954

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

21. Resources

964

+ Estimating

n “Avoid Software Project Horror Stories: Check the Reality Value of the Estimate First!”, Harold van Herringen, ICEAA 2014, http://documentcenter.meetingcaddie.mobi/Events//2ffb743d-7bc3-492c-b756-cfb6eeea0110/Documents/ef7d120c-c386-471a-9f86-bac6bc7a80f7.pdf

n COSMIC: Guideline for Sizing Business Software, Version 3, http://www.etsmtl.ca/Unites-de-recherche/GELOG/accueil

n “Factors Affecting Duration And Effort Estimation Errors In Software Development Projects,” Ofer Morgenshtern, Tzvi Raz, and Dov Dvir, Working Paper No 8/2005, Henry Crown Institute of Business Research, Israel. http://recanati-bs.tau.ac.il/Eng/?CategoryID=444&ArticleID=747

n “An Empirical Validation of Software Cost Estimation Models,” Chris F. Kemerer, Research Contributions, Management of Computing, Communications of the ACM , May 1987, Volume 30, Number 5.

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

21. Resources

965

+ Estimating

n “Protecting Software Development Projects Against Underestimation,” Eduardo Miranda, Alain Abran, École de technologie supérieure - Université du Québec, http://mse.isri.cmu.edu/software-engineering/documents/faculty-publications/miranda/mirandaprotectingprojectsagainstunderestimations.pdf

n “Improving Subjective Estimates Using Paired Comparisons,” Eduardo Miranda, IEEE Software, January/February 2001.

n “Improving Estimations in Agile Projects: Issues and Avenues,” Luigi Buglione, Alain Abran, Software Measurement European Forum – SMEF2007, Rome (Italy), May 8-11, 2007.

n “Estimation of Software Development Effort from Requirements Based Complexity,” Ashish Sharma , Dharmender Singh Kushwaha, 2nd International Conference on Computer, Communication, Control and Information Technology (C3IT 2012), February 25 - 26, 2012

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

21. Resources

966

+ Estimating

n “Estimating the Test Volume and Effort for Testing and Verification & Validation,” Alain Abran, Juan Garbajosa, , Laila Cheikhi1, First Annual ESA Workshop on Spacecraft Data Systems and Software - SDSS 2005, ESTEC, Noordwijk, European Space Agency, Netherlands, 17-20 October 2005.

n “A General Empirical Solution to the Macro Software Sizing and Estimating Problem,” Lawrence H. Putnam, IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering, VOL. SE-4, NO. 4, JULY 1978.

n “A Comparison of Software Cost, Duration, and Quality for Waterfall vs. Iterative and Incremental Development: A Systematic Review,” Susan M. Mitchell and Carolyn B. Seaman, Third International Symposium on Empirical Software Engineering and Measurement, 2009.

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

21. Resources

967

+ Estimating

n “A Review of Surveys on Software Effort Estimation,” Kjetil Molkken and Magne Jorgensen, Proceeding of International Symposium on Empirical Software Engineering, ISESE '03.

n “Accurate Estimates Without Local Data?” Tim Menzies, Steve Williams, Oussama Elrawas, Daniel Baker, Barry Boehm, Jairus Hihn, Karen Lum, and Ray Madachy, Software Process Improvement And Practice, (2009).

n “An Assessment and Comparison of Common Software Cost Estimation Modeling Techniques,” Lionel C. Briand, Khaled El Emam, Dagmar Surmann, Isabella Wieczorek, and Katrina D. Maxwell, Proceedings of the 21st international conference on Software engineering, Pg. 313-322

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

968

+ Estimating

n “An Efficient Approach for Agile Web Based Project Estimation: AgileMOW,” Ratnesh Litoriya and Abhay Kothari, Journal of Software Engineering and Applications, 2013, 6, 297-303.

n “Corad Agile Method for Agile Software Cost Estimation,” Govind Singh Rajput and Ratnesh Litoriya, http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/oalib.1100579

n “Anchoring and Adjustment in Software Estimation,” Jorge Aranda and Steve Easterbrook, ESEC-FSE’05, September 5–9, 2005.

n “A Baseline Model for Software Effort Estimation,” Peter A. Whigham, Caitlin A. Owen, and Stephen G. MacDonell, ACM Transaction on Software Engineering Methodology, 24, 3, Article 20 (May 2015).

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

969

+ Estimating

n “Core Estimating Concepts,” William Roetzheim, CrossTalk: The Journal of Defense Software Engineering—January/February 2013.

n “A Practical Approach to Size Estimation of Embedded Software Components,” Kenneth Lind and Rogardt Heldal, IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering, Vol. 38, No. 5, September/October 2012.

n “A Probabilistic Model for Predicting Software Development Effort,” Parag C. Pendharkar, Girish H. Subramanian, and James A. Rodger, IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering, Vol. 31, No. 7, July 2005.

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

970

+ Estimating

n “The Inaccurate Conception: Some thoughts on the accuracy of estimates,” Phillip G. Armour, Communications Of The ACM, March 2008/Vol. 51, No. 3

n “Understanding Software Project Estimates,” Katherine Baxter, Cross Talk The Journal of Defense Software Engineering, March/April 2009,

n “Validation Methods for Calibrating Software Effort Models,” Tim Menzies, Dan Port, Zhihao Chen, and Jairus Hihn, May 15–21, 2005, http://menzies.us/pdf/04coconut.pdf

n “Requirements Instability in Cost Estimation,” Abiha Batool, Sabika Batool, and Mohammad Ayub Latif, https://www.academia.edu/4493828/Requirements_Instability_in_Cost_Estimation

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

971

+ Estimating

n “Creating Requirements-Based Estimates Before Requirements Are Complete,” Carol A. Dekkers, Cross Talk The Journal of Defense Software Engineering, April 2005.

n “Rational Cost Estimation of Dedicated Software Systems,” Beata Czarnacka-Chrobot, Journal of Software Engineering and Applications, 2012, 5, 262-269.

n “Summarization of Software Cost Estimation,” Xiaotie Qina and Miao Fang, Advances in Control Engineering and Information Science, 2011

n “Software Project Development Cost Estimation,” Barbara Kitchenham, The Journal of Systems and Software 3, 267-278 (1985).

n “Cost Estimation in Agile Software Development Projects,” Michael Lang, Kieran Conboy and Siobhán Keaveney, International Conference on Information Systems Development (ISD2011) Prato, Italy.

21. Resources

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

972

+ Estimating

n “Project Estimating and Scheduling,” Terry Boult, University of Colorado, Colorado Springs, CS 330 Software Engineering.

n “Practical Guidelines for Expert-Judgment-Based Software Effort Estimation,” Magne Jørgensen, IEEE Software, May/June 2005.

n “Predicting Software Projects Cost Estimation Based on Mining Historical Data,” Hassan Najadat, Izzat Alsmadi, and Yazan Shboul, ISRN Software Engineering, Volume 2012, Article ID 823437.

n “Models for Improving Software System Size Estimates during Development,” William W. Agresti, William M. Evanco, William M. Thomas, Journal of Software Engineering & Applications, 2010, 3: 1-10.

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21. Resources

+ Estimating

n “A Method for Improving Developers’ Software Size Estimates,” Lawrence H. Putnam, Douglas T. Putnam, and Donald M. Beckett, Cross Talk The Journal of Defense Software Engineering, April 2005.

n “PERT, CPM, and Agile Project Management,” Robert C. Martin 5 October 2003, http://www.codejournal.com/public/cj/previews/PERTCPMAGILE.pdf

n “Reliability and accuracy of the estimation process Wideband Delphi vs. Wisdom of Crowds,” Marek Grzegorz Stochel, 35th IEEE Annual Computer Software and Applications Conference, 2011

n “Predicting development effort from user stories,” P. Abrahamsson, I. Fronza, R. Moser, J. Vlasenko, and W. Pedrycz, International Symposium on Empirical Software Engineering and Measurement, 2011

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

974

21. Resources

+ Estimating

n “Effort prediction in iterative software development processes - incremental versus global prediction models,” Pekka Abrahamsson, Raimund Moser, Witold Pedrycz, Alberto Sillitti, Giancarlo Succi, First International Symposium on Empirical Software Engineering and Measurement, 2007.

n “Planning Poker or How to avoid analysis paralysis while release planning,” James Grenning, https://wingman-sw.com/papers/PlanningPoker-v1.1.pdf

n “Agile Estimation using CAEA: A Comparative Study of Agile Projects,” Shilpa Bhalerao , Maya Ingle, 2009 International Conference on Computer Engineering and Applications IPCSIT, Vol.2 (2011).

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21. Resources

+ Estimating

n “An Empirical Approach for Estimation of the Software Development Effort,” Amit Kumar Jakhar and Kumar Rajnish, International Journal of Multimedia and Ubiquitous Engineering, Vol. 10, No. 2 (2015), pp. 97-110.

n “Forecasting of Software Development Work Effort: Evidence on Expert Judgment and Formal Models,” Magne Jørgensen, International Journal of Forecasting, 2007

n Software Project Effort Estimation Foundations and Best Practice Guidelines for Success, Adam Trendowicz and Ross Jeffery, Springer 2014.

n “Agile Release Planning: Dealing with Uncertainty in Development Time and Business Value,” Kevin Logue and Kevin McDaid, 15th Annual IEEE International Conference and Workshop on the Engineering of Computer Based Systems, March 31 – April 4, 2008.

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

21. Resources

976

+ Estimating

n “Why Are Estimates Always Wrong: Estimation Bias and Strategic Misestimation,” Daniel D. Galorath, AIAA SPACE 2015 Conference and ExpositionPasadena, California, 2015.

n “Estimation of Project Size Using User Stories,” Murad Ali, Zubair A Shaikh , Eaman Ali, International Conference on Recent Advances in Computer Systems (RACS 2015).

n “A Survey of Agile Software Estimation Methods,” Hala Hamad Osman and Mohamed Elhafiz Musa, International Journal of Computer Science and Telecommunications, Volume 7, Issue 3, March 2016.

n “Why Can’t People Estimate: Estimation Bias and Mitigation,” Dan Galorath, IEEE Software Technology Conference, October 12-15, 2015Hilton Hotel, Long Beach California

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

21. Resources

977

+ Estimating

n “Cost-Effective Supervised Learning Models for Software Effort Estimation in Agile Environments,” Kayhan Moharreri, Alhad Vinayak Sapre, Jayashree Ramanathan, and Rajiv Ramnath, 40th Annual IEEE Computer Software and Applications Conference (COMPSAC), 2016

n “A Review of Surveys on Software Effort Estimation,” Kjetil Moløkken and Magne Jørgensen, http://folk.uio.no/isu/INCO/Papers/Review_final8.pdf

n “Project Duration Forecasting Using Earned Value Method and Time Series,” Khandare Manish A., Vyas Gayatri S., International Journal of Engineering and Innovative Technology (IJEIT) Volume 1, Issue 4, April 2012.

n “Integrating Risk Assessment and Actual Performance for Probabilistic Project Cost Forecasting: A Second Moment Bayesian Model,” Byung-Cheol Kim, IEEE Transactions On Engineering Management, Vol. 62, No. 2, May 2015.

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

21. Resources

978

+ Estimating

n “A study of project selection and feature weighting for analogy based software cost estimation,” Y.F. Li , M. Xie, and T.N. Goh, The Journal of Systems and Software 82 (2009) 241–252.

n “Complementing Measurements and Real Options Concepts to Support InterSprint Decision-Making in Agile Projects,” Zornitza Racheva , Maya Daneva , Luigi Buglione, 34th Euromicro Conference Software Engineering and Advanced Applications

n “Software Cost Estimation and Sizing Methods: Issues and Guidelines,” Shari Lawrence Pfleeger, Felicia Wu, and Rosalind Lewis, RAND Corporation, Project Air Force, 2005.

n “Anchoring and Adjustment in Software Estimation,” Jorge Aranda and Steve Easterbrook, ESEC-FSE’05, September 5–9, 2005, Lisbon, Portugal.

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

21. Resources

979

+ Estimating

n “Cycle Time Analytics: Making Decision using lead Time and Cycle Time to avoid needing estimates for every story,” Troy Magennis, LKCE 2013 ‒ Modern Management Methods,

n “Probabilistic Forecasting Decision Making: When Do You Want it?” Larry Maccherone, http://www.hanssamios.com/dokuwiki/_media/larry-maccherone-probabilistic-decision-making.pdf

n “Software Project Planning for Robustness and Completion Time in the Presence of Uncertainty using Multi Objective Search Based Software Engineering,” Stefan Gueorguiev, Mark Harman, and Giuliano Antoniol, GECCO’09, July 8–12, 2009, Montréal Québec, Canada.

n “Empirical Validation of Neural Network Models for Agile Software Effort Estimation based on Story Points,” Aditi Panda, Shashank Mouli Satapathy, and Santanu Kumar Rath, 3rd International Conference on Recent Trends in Computing 2015 (ICRTC-2015).

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

21. Resources

980

+ Estimating

n “When 90% Confidence Intervals are 50% Certain: On the Credibility of Credible Intervals,” Karl Halvor Teigen and Magne Jørgensen, Applied Cognitive Psychology, 19: 455–475 (2005)

n “Scaling Agile Estimation Methods with a Parametric Cost Model,” Carl Friedrich Kreß, Oliver Hummel, Mahmudul Huq, ICSEA 2014 : The Ninth International Conference on Software Engineering Advances, 2014

n “Expert Estimation and Historical Data: An Empirical Study,” Gabriela Robiolo, Silvana Santos, and Bibiana Rossi, ICSEA 2013 : The Eighth International Conference on Software Engineering Advances

n “Agile Monitoring Using The Line Of Balance,” Eduardo Miranda, Institute for Software Research – Carnegie-Mellon University and Pierre Bourque, École de technologie supérieure – Université du Québec

n “Managerial Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty,” Ari Riabacke, IAENG International Journal of Computer Science, 32:4, IJCS_32_4_12

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

21. Resources

981

+ Estimating

n “Simple Method Proposal for Cost Estimation from Work Breakdown Structure,” Sérgio Sequeira and Eurico Lopes, Conference on ENTERprise Information Systems / International Conference on Project Management/ Conference on Health and Social Care Information Systems and Technologies, CENTERIS / ProjMAN / HCist 2015 October 7-9, 2015.

n “From Nobel Prize to Project Management: Getting Risks Right,” Bent Flyvbjerg, Aalborg University, Denmark, Project Management Journal, vol. 37, no. 3, August 2006, pp. 5-15.

n “The Uncertainty Principle in Software Engineering,” Hadar Ziv and Debra Richardson, ICSE 97, 9th International Conference on Software Engineering, Boston MA, 17 ‒ 23 May, 1997

n “Analyzing Software Effort Estimation using k means Clustered Regression Approach,” Geeta Nagpal, Moin Uddin, and Arvinder Kaur, ACM SIGSOFT Software Engineering Notes, January 2013 Volume 38 Number 1.

Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016

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