eu regulation coming into force january 2012 quality reports on data submitted required annually...
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EU Regulation
Coming into force January 2012 Quality reports on data submitted
Required annually Data transmission
Rapid key indicators required 8 weeks after reference period - problematic
All other data transmissions feasible
EU Regulation New data requirements – INTERNAL
TOURISM Locality (degree of urbanisation and proximity
to sea) – annual
Number of hotels and similar accommodation having one or more bedrooms accessible for persons with reduced mobility, including wheelchair users - triennial
Nights and arrivals by residents and non-residents at camping grounds, recreational parks and trailer parks and holidays and other short term accommodation - monthly
EU Regulation
New data requirements – NATIONAL TOURISM All requirements currently collected via
new domestic survey and IPS
Same day visits, number and expenditure collected via CHS
Tourism Statistics Branch
Established July 2010 3 NISRA Statisticians, located in DETI Data collected by NISRA, CSU Analysis and production of all Official
Tourism Statistics, Tourism Statistics Branch
Monthly, quarterly, annual publications Future Work – TSA, LA estimates,
further development of current surveys
Northern Ireland Passenger Survey COR breakdown Jan-
June 2011
2010 2011 2010 2011
Great Britain 85 85 -2% +/- 8% 73 69 +8% +/- 9%Other Europe 6 8 19% +/- 13% 8 11 +50% +/- 21%North America 4 4 -3% +/- 17% 8 8 +13% +/- 24%Other 5 4 -25% +/- 17% 11 12 +14% +/- 51%
Confidence Interval
% change in actual numbers
% change in actual numbers
Expenditure (%)Visitors (%)Confidence
Interval
NIPS Purpose of Trip breakdown
2010 2011 2010 2011
VFR 54 57 +1% 45 54 +20%Holiday 20 19 -8% 21 23 +10%Business 19 20 -1% 29 30 +3%Other 3 3 -2% 5 7 +40%NK* 3 1 NA
Visitors (%) % change in actual
numbers#
Expenditure (%) % change in actual numbers
* In 2010, there were 15,000 visitors for which purpose of trip was not known, in 2011 this number was reduced to 2,900
# For the purpose of this analysis the NK's have been spread proportionately across the known purposes
Northern Ireland Passenger Survey
Top 5 activities whilst in NI Shopping (14%) Beaches/coastline (10%) Walking/rambling (9%) Country/forest parks & gardens (6%) Giant’s Causeway (5%)30% none
Northern Ireland Passenger Survey
Closest ancestral link to island of Ireland Born here (29%) Mother/father of travel party member born
here (11%) Spouse/travelling companion born here (6%) One or more grandparents of travel party
member born here (6%) Other ancestor of party member (4%) No ancestral link (44%)
Domestic Tourism The CHS is one of the largest continuous surveys
carried out in Northern Ireland, designed and conducted by the Central Survey Unit of the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA).
It is based on a sample of the general population resident in private households and has been running since 1983.
The Survey is designed to provide a regular source of information on a wide range of social and economic issues relevant to Northern Ireland.
Domestic Tourism CHS collects information on day trips (7
day recall) and overnight trips (4 week recall) taken by NI residents
Measure of value and volume domestic tourism within NI
Provide Fáilte Ireland with estimates of trips taken by NI residents to RoI.
Provide ONS with estimates of trips taken by NI residents to GB (Eurostat return)
Domestic Tourism
Overnight trips taken by NI residents 2010/11
NI RoI GBOvernight trips 34% 35% 31%Main reasonHoliday 62% 57% 38%VFR 26% 28% 26%Business 3% 9% 20%Other 8% 6% 15%
2.3 2.4 3.0Average length of trip
Domestic Tourism
Attractions influencing NI resident to holiday in NI
Giant’s Causeway (11%) Fermanagh Lakelands (11%) Mournes (10%) Walled City of Derry (4%) Titanic and maritime Belfast (1%) Sperrins (0%) Saint Patrick/Christian heritage (0%) None of the above (70%)
Domestic Tourism
Top 5 activities participated in by NI residents on holiday in NI
Walking/rambling (35%) Wildlife (25%) Learning activities (21%) Gardens (19%) City tours (15%)
Domestic Tourism
Tourism Day Trips An outing or trip, not for business
purposes, made on the same day from home and is outside the respondent’s usual environment and they are away from home for more than 3 hours.
Source: Eurostat
Domestic Tourism
Top 5 main activities on tourism day trips
Drive/sightsee/picnic/pleasure boating (18%)
Walk/hillwalk/rambling (11%) Visiting friends/relatives (10%) Shopping for leisure (10%) Informal sports, games, relaxation (10%)Average distance 62 miles, average
duration 6 hrs, average party size 4.
Domestic TourismAge of NI residents taking tourism day trips 2010/11
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+
Domestic Tourism
Top 5 reasons why no trips were taken within NI
Too busy with work/studying - no time (27%)
Did not think about it (20%) Poor health/Family responsibilities
(16%) Poor weather (14%) Lack of disposable income (12%)
Quality Improvement Fund
Background Funded by the UK Statistics Authority
to enable government statisticians to implement recommendations from the assessment process, or to
prepare for assessment by addressing known weaknesses
2010/11 QIF Project Outcomes
First-phase weights, accounting for the probabilities of selection, observed patterns of non-response and passenger flow
Second-phase weights that are calibrated to totals from first-phase weights (improves coherence between results)
Standard errors for visitor numbers and associated revenue
Time series between “old” and NISRA NIPS
Greater user confidence in estimates SE’s allow policy to make meaningful decisions
2010/11 QIF Project Outcomes
Confidence Intervals - 2010 NIPS
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Great Britain Other Europe North America Rest of the World
2010/11 QIF Project Outcomes
NIPS - Number of visitors
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
2000Q1 2001Q1 2002Q1 2003Q1 2004Q1 2005Q1 2006Q1 2007Q1 2008Q1 2009Q1 2010Q1
Old survey New survey
2010/11 QIF Project Outcomes
NIPS Quarterly Expenditure
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
70,000,000
80,000,000
90,000,000
100,000,000
110,000,000
2005Q1 2006Q1 2007Q1 2008Q1 2009Q1 2010Q1
Old survey New survey
2010/11 QIF Project Outcomes
Visitor estimates from new NIPS more consistent with historical time series
Expenditure estimates from new NIPS more consistent with historical time series – 2010 “old” estimates show a very different seasonal pattern
Time series for both visitor numbers and expenditure to be formed using estimates from the old survey up to Quarter 4, 2009 and the estimates from the new survey from Quarter 1, 2010.
All published tables and charts showing these time series should clearly illustrate there has been a change in survey methodology between Quarter 4, 2009 and Quarter 1, 2010.
QIF 2011/12 Tourism Statistics
Successful bid in 2011/12 in relation to ongoing development of official tourism statistics
The survey estimates will be used to monitor and measure new Targets as set out in the New Northern Ireland Tourism Strategy and produce sub-NI estimates Weighting/grossing new domestic survey and calculation
of SE’s Identify outliers and treatment of missing values (NIPS
and new domestic survey) Weighting of occupancy data and calculation of SE’s Investigation of continuity and seasonal adjustment for
both NIPS and domestic surveys
Cross border data North to South
NIPS Domestic
South to North SOT HTS
•Frequency/timing of publication/release•Quality/Fit for purpose•Opportunities for improvements