esas-2 (2017) steering committee january 19, 2016...
TRANSCRIPT
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ESAS-2 (2017) Steering Committee
January 19, 2016 1
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OUTLINE
• Budget reminder (FY16 appropriation)
• ESD program structure overview
• On-orbit constellation overview
• ESAS-2’s “Legacy/Foundational” Missions in development but not launched
• Key NASA/ESD interests for ESAS-2
Recommendations on Balance
Recommendations on Role of Private/Commercial Sector
Recommendations on International Collaboration
Reassessment of priority of unfulfilled mission recommendations from the first Decadal
The Decadal Survey covers the entire scope of the
NASA ESD program
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Earth Science Budget:
FY16 Request and Appropriation
FY10 request
FY11 request
FY09 request
(previous Admin)
FY14 request FY12 request
FY13 request Appropriation FY15 request
FY16 request
FINAL OMNIBUS APPROPRIATION: $1.921B 98.6% / 108%
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ESD Overall Strategy/Scope • Budget and execute a balanced program that:
• advances Earth system science
• delivers societal benefit through applications development
• provides essential global spaceborne measurements supporting science and operations
• develops and demonstrates technologies for next-generation measurements, and
• complements and is coordinated with activities of other agencies and international partners
• Operate and provide core data production for on-orbit missions in prime and extended phases, in keeping with Senior Review recommendations/decisions; expand data system to provide a US Portal for international (e.g. Copernicus) data
• Complete top-priority missions: SAGE-III (2016), ICESat-2 (2018), GRACE-FO (2018), SWOT (10/2020), CYGNSS (10/2016), TEMPO (2018 inst del.), RBI (2019 inst del), OMPS-Limb
• Develop (for launch beyond the FY16 budget window): ECOSTRESS (2018 inst. comp.), GEDI (2019 inst. comp.), NISAR (~2021), SLI (2020-2021, 2027-2028, …), PACE (2022), TSIS-1/2 on ISS (2017, ~2022)
• Continue all originally planned Venture Class solicitations/selections on schedule
• Support vigorous Research, Applied Sciences, and Technology Development activities
• Support National Climate Assessment, CDI, BEDI, GCIS, USGCRP, international (CEOS) coordination activities , USGEO, GEO, Carbon Monitoring System, JCSDA, GLOBE, etc. 4
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NASA’s Earth Science Division
Research Flight
Applied Sciences Technology
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Earth Science Instruments on ISS: RapidScat, CATS,
LIS, SAGE III (on ISS), TSIS-1/2, OCO-3,
ECOSTRESS, GEDI,
CLARREO-PF
Altimetry-FO (Formulation in FY16; Sentinel-6/Jason-CS)
Earth Science Missions and Instruments
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94th AMS Meeting, 5 February 2014, Atlanta, GA
SAGE III (CY2016)
CATS (2015-) HICO (2009-2014)
GEDI (2020) ECOSTRESS (2020)
RapidSCAT (2014-)
ISERV (2012-2015)
LIS (2016)
CLARREO Pathfinders (CY2019)
TSIS-1 (2017)
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Earth Science Research
Focus Areas
Carbon cycle and Ecosystems
Climate Variability and Change
Atmospheric Composition
Global Water and Energy Cycle
Earth Surface and Interior
Weather
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Applied Sciences
• Ends Gulf of Mexico Initiative after FY16
• Begins Snow & Water Availability Focused Activity
• Begins Food Security Focused Activity
• Establishes realistic approach to disaster response
Health & Air Quality Applications Ecological Forecasting Applications Disaster Applications Disaster Response Teams Capacity Building program SERVIR (joint with USAID) ARSET: Applied Remote Sensing Training DEVELOP Early Adopters/Applications Support to
Mission Planning Socioeconomic Impact Analyses Earth Science & Food Security Activity Snow & Water Availability Activity
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Earth Science Technology
Advanced Component Technologies (ACT) - development of critical components and subsystems for instruments and platforms - 11 new projects added in FY14 (total funding approximately $13M over 3 years) Future solicitations planned in FY17 and FY20
In-Space Validation of Earth Science Technologies (InVEST) - on-orbit technology validation and risk reduction for small instruments and instrument systems that could not otherwise be fully tested on the ground or in airborne systems - InVEST-15 Selection Pending; 3 to 5 new projects anticipated (total funding approximately $14.6M over 3 years) Future solicitations possible in FY18 and FY21
Advanced Technology Initiatives (ATI)
Instrument Incubator Program (IIP) - robust new instruments and measurement techniques - 17 new projects added in FY14 (total funding approximately $71M over 3 years) Future solicitations planned in FY16 and FY19
Advanced Information Systems Technology (AIST) - innovative on-orbit and ground capabilities for communication, processing, and management of remotely sensed data and the efficient generation of data products - 24 new projects added in FY15 (total funding approximately $25M over 2 years) Future solicitations planned in FY16, FY18 and FY20
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Legacy/Foundational Missions for ESAS-2
• TSIS/ISS (-1: late 2017 launch; -2: 10/2020 instrument delivery)
• OCO-3/ISS (9/2017)
• GRACE-FO (2/2018) w/GFZ
• GEDI/ISS (5/2018 instrument delivery)
• ICESAT-2 (6/2018)
• TEMPO (2018 instrument delivery, 2020- LRD on comm. sat. )
• RBI (JPSS-2) (4/2019 instrument delivery)
• ECOSTRESS/ISS (2019)
• CLARREO-Pathfinder/ISS (2019)
• SWOT (2020) w/CNES
• Landsat-9 (2020-2021); “Landsat-10” (2027-2028); SLI Technology w/USGS
• Jason-CS (2020, 2024 [w/ GPSRO capability from NASA]) w/Copernicus
• NISAR (6/2022) w/ISRO
• Venture Class Program (EV-Suborbital, EV-Mission, EV-Instrument)
• OMPS-Limb (JPSS-2)
• PACE (2022)
• SAGE-III/ISS (~6/2016) and CYGNSS (10/2016) will have launched
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BALANCE and SCOPE EVALUATIONS
• Flight::Non-Flight (presently ~60%::40%)
• Within Flight:
oSystematic::Competed (Venture; presently 10-12% of ESD total)
oMission size balance
o “New” vs. Extending Time Series (Sr. Rev. and follow-on missions; presently
operations costs for on-orbit extended missions are ~10% of ESD total)
• Within Non-Flight:
o “R&A”::Applied Sciences::Technology (presently ~88%::5%::7%)
o Are the individual scopes of the R&A, Applied Sciences, and Technology elements correct and appropriate?
The Decadal Survey covers the entire scope of the
NASA ESD program
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Commercial/Private Sector Considerations
• Research community is risk averse and desires maximum capability
o NASA missions deliver capability as “specified” – often at premium cost o Little incentive to compromise capability
• Agency and external stakeholders recognize the potential of commercial partnerships, but often have competing objectives
oReport language accompanying the FY15 Appropriations Bill, wrt Landsat-9:
“The [Conference] does not concur with various administration efforts to
develop alternative ‘‘out of the box’’ approaches to this data collection —
whether they are dependent on commercial or international partners.”
• Divergent Agency vs. Industry approaches
o Agency: System and product designed/validated to meet specific requirements
o Commercial: Assertion of useful geophysical information in products
o No clear mechanism for agencies to determine utility/information content of private sector products (how to structure/fund independent science evaluations)
• Property rights and free/open data principles
• Thoughtful Decadal Survey recommendations will be useful and influential
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• 2007 Earth Science and Applications from Space is most recent Decadal Survey (Jan 2007); NRC mid-term assessment May 2012
– “NASA responded favorably and aggressively to the decadal survey, embracing its overall recommendations for Earth observations, missions, technology investments, and priorities for the underlying science. As a consequence, the scientific and applications communities have made significant progress over the past 5 years.“ (Mid-Term Report overarching Finding)
– All Legacy Missions launched: OSTM (2008), OCO-1 (2009*), Aquarius (2011), Glory (2011*), NPP (2011), LDCM (2013), GPM (2014), OCO-2 (2015)
– 31 July 2017 completion date for 2nd ESAS Decadal Survey
• Main 2007 Decadal Survey New Mission recommendations/status – Tier I
• Venture Class: 3 strands, multiple solicitations in each strand, on-schedule, fully funded – EV-S 1: all 5 investigations completed data acquisition 2015; EV-S 2: 6 investigations selected 2015 – EV-Instrument 1: TEMPO in Phase C for Sept 2017 instrument delivery, NLT Dec 2021 launch on host – EV-Mission 1 CYGNSS in Phase D for Oct 2016 launch – EV-Instrument 2: GEDI in Phase B for May 2018 launch to ISS; ECOSTRESS in Phase B (24 Sept KDP-C) for May 2017 delivery, Aug 2017 launch to ISS – EV-Instrument 3: Proposals in-hand, under review
• SMAP: Launched 31 January 2015 • ICESat-2: In Phase C for June 2018 launch • NI-SAR: In Phase B for Dec 2020-Sept 2021 launch; NI-SAR is radar component of DESDynI; GEDI (EVI-2) contributes substantially to DESDynI lidar/ecosystem • CLARREO-Pathfinder: Proposed 2-instrument initiation in FY16 budget, flight to ISS, Sept 2019 launch
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Decadal Survey Status (1)
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• Main 2007 Dec. Survey Mission recommendations/status (cont.) – Tier II, III
• SWOT: In Phase B for Oct 2020 launch (joint with CNES) • GRACE-FO: In Phase D for Feb 2018 launch (GFZ partner) • Pre-formulation: GEO-CAPE, ASCENDS, ACE, HySpIRI, CLARREO-PF • PACE: In pre-Phase A Design-to-Cost study, for development and launch by 2022; PACE substantially covers ocean color component of Decadal ACE mission
• Climate Architecture Missions (not included in Decadal Survey)
– RBI, TSIS-1, TSIS-2, OMPS-L: FY16 appropriation includes funding Altimeter Follow-On: FY16 appropriation includes funding for NASA
contribution (radiometer, GPS, Laser Retroreflectors, LV) to Jason-CS/Sentinel-6A (w/ESA/EUMETSAT/EU), 2020 LRD – OCO-3: FY16 appropriation restarts OCO-3 development
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Decadal Survey Status (2)