environment america phone presentation october 21, 2008 state of the election and environmental /...
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Environment AmericaPhone PresentationOctober 21, 2008
State of the Election and State of the Election and Environmental / Energy Issues Environmental / Energy Issues
Lake Research Partners 2
Key Attitudes Around the Environment and Global
Warming
• Americans feel the environment is deteriorating and are pessimistic about the outlook for future generations.
• Environmental issues, including global warming, are of secondary concern to voters today, trailing behind issues such the economy, health care, and education.
• Awareness of global warming is increasing and it has emerged as one of the top environmental issues to voters. Americans also believe that global warming is one of the top threats to the U.S. and its allies.
• However, intensity of concern around global warming is still low.
• People believe we should take action now to address global warming and are taking personal action to reduce their carbon footprint. This is true whatever they think the cause.
Lake Research Partners 3
• Energy policy taps environmental, economic, pocketbook, and security concerns. It taps values of independence, security, prosperity, opportunity, and future.
• A majority of Americans trust the U.S. to do the right thing in protecting the environment compared to other countries.
• When developing new sources of energy is referenced, Americans tend to place greater emphasis on that goal over protecting the environment.
• The emergence of gas prices and energy concerns is problematic for environmental advocates since voters are growing more supportive of increasing domestic drilling. They want to do it all now.
• Americans do not know much about either Presidential candidates’ stance on global warming, but they think Barack Obama will do more to reduce global warming in the future than John McCain will.
Key Attitudes Around the Environment and Global
Warming
Top Environmental Issues and Values
Voters remain concerned about the environment
Lake Research Partners 5
Most Americans believe the condition of the natural environment is poor or fair. Less than one in four
say it is excellent or good.
How would you rate the condition of the natural environment in the world today--excellent, good, fair, poor, or very poor?
-9%-28%-75% 3% 24%
-75% -50% -25% 0% 25%
Very poor Somewhat poor Fair Excellent Good
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
Lake Research Partners 6
When asked to consider environmental issues generally, global warming stands out as the most pressing environmental issue facing the country
now as well as in the long term.
MWR Strategies. Conducted 1/26-2/2/07; surveyed 1,000 registered voters; margin of error +/-3.1%
38%
13% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 7%7%8%10%10%12%
38%
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
Globalwarming
Air pollution Toxic orhazardouswaste
Populationgrowth
Waterpollution
Garbageand landfills
Safedrinkingwater
Right Now Long Term
Which is the most pressing or important environmental issue facing the United States right now/in the long term?
Lake Research Partners 7
Thinking about threats to the U.S., global warming follows dependence on Middle Eastern oil and
terrorism as top threats.
Opinion Research Corporation, July 24-July 27, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,004.
24%21%
13% 11%8%
5% 4% 5%10%11%
16%12%
18%14%
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
Dependence onMiddle East oil
Terrorism Global warming,environmental
concerns
Iran's missileand nucleartechnology
Proliferation ofnuclear
weapons
China's militarypower
Countries likeN. Korea
Most significant threat Next most significant
The following have been cited by various commentators as threats to the United States and our allies. Which one do you believe is the most significant threat/ next most significant threat?...
Lake Research Partners 8
Two-thirds of Americans say they follow news about the environment.
How closely are you following news about the environment these days--a great deal, somewhat, just a little or not at all?
-7%-32% 26% 67%
-40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Not at all Just a little Great deal Somewhat
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
Lake Research Partners 9
Americans tend not to trust the things scientists say about the environment.
6%
24%
39%
23%
7%
Completely A lotA moderate amountA little Not at all
How much do you trust the things that scientists say about the environment--completely, a lot, a moderate amount, a little, or not at all?
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
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1%
28%
71%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Yes, doing anything No, not doing anything No opinion
A person's 'carbon footprint' is the amount of greenhouse gases put out as a result of his or her energy use. That includes energy used directly, like electricity and fuel, as well as the energy it takes to make all the products you use. Are you personally doing anything to reduce your carbon footprint, or not?
Over seven in ten Americans report doing something to reduce their carbon
footprint.
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
Lake Research Partners 11
Using less electricity, decreasing driving and recycling are the top ways people are
reducing their carbon footprint.
5%5%5%5%
7%11%12%
33%36%
48%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Carpooling
Walking/Biking/Scootering
Buying local/organic food
Using less water
Driving more fuel efficient car
Using less gas
Using compact light bulbs
Recycling
Driving less
Using less electricity
What are you doing to reduce your carbon footprint?
Subpopulation/Note: Asked of those who said they are doing anything to reduce their carbon footprint (71%).
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
Lake Research Partners 12
In our research, we have found that a number of core values resonate strongly in support of protecting the environment, including:
o Stewardshipo Responsibilityo Future generations o Public health (particularly as it relates to children)
Examples of language that resonates:
o We have a duty to future generations to be good stewards of the environment, and leave it in as good or even better shape than we found it.
o We have a responsibility to protect the lakes, rivers, forests, natural areas and parks that we all enjoy.
o Clean air to breathe and clean water to drink are critical to everyone’s health. By reducing pollution, we can prevent illnesses and disease.
Core environmental values for voters
Global Warming
Voters have a long-term concern about the environment
Lake Research Partners 14
Americans are divided on the importance of global warming.
How important is the issue of global warming to you personally--extremely important, very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not at all important?
-9%-54% 16% 46%
-60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60%
Not important at all Not too important Somewhat importantExtremely important Very important
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
Lake Research Partners 15
Global warming: How serious a problem?
Democrats: 85% serious (57% very serious)
Independents: 75% serious (46% very)
Republicans: 51% serious (22% very)
Even though global warming is seen as serious by a majority across political parties, it is not at the top of Americans’ issue agenda. In January 2008, only 35% of Americans said it should be a top priority for the president and Congress this year.
*Source: Pew Research Center for People and the Press. Results for this survey are based on telephone interviews conducted under the direction of Abt SRBI, Inc. among a nationwide sample of 1,502 adults, 18 years of age or older, from April 23-27, 2008.
There is a sharp partisan divide over the urgency of global warming, though even a
narrow majority of Republicans say it is serious.
Lake Research Partners 16
A plurality of Americans say they know a moderate amount about
global warming.
13%
49%
33%
4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
A lot A moderateamount
A little Nothing
How much do you feel you know about global warming--a lot, a moderate amount, a little, or nothing?
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
62%37%
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8%
25%
66%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Mostly because ofhuman activity such as
burning fossil fuels
Mostly because ofnatural patterns in theearth's environment
Don't know/ Refused
A strong majority believe there is solid evidence of global warming and a majority believe it is mostly due to human activity rather than natural weather
patterns.
Pew Research Center for the People & the Press Political Survey. Conducted by Abt SRBI, April 23-April 27, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,502.
Do you believe that the earth is getting warmer mostly because of human activity such as burning fossil fuels, or mostly because of natural patterns in the earth's environment? Subpopulation/Note: Asked of those who said there is solid evidence the average temperature on earth has been getting warmer over the past few decades (71%).
Lake Research Partners 18
4%
34%
4%
58%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
More frequent Less frequent Not influenced No opinion
While a third say global warming does not influence weather events, a majority say global warming makes these events more
frequent. (If Not sure temperatures are rising, add: Assuming its happening,) Overall, do you think global warming is making weather events like droughts and storms more frequent, making them less frequent, or do you think the frequency of these weather events is not being influenced by global warming?
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
Lake Research Partners 19
Weather events like fires in the Western U.S. and flooding in the Midwest are
thought to be unrelated to global warming, but melting ice caps are associated with it.
Do you think... in the last 12 months is associated with global warming, or unrelated to it?
-24%
-52%
-59%
45%
38%
74%
-60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Unrelated Associated
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, June 17-June 26, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national likely voters sample of 806.
Flooding in the Midwest
Melting of ice near the North and South Poles
Fires in the West
Lake Research Partners 20
A majority think there is a lot of disagreement among scientists on
this issue.
39%
57%
4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Most agree A lot of disagreement No opinion
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
Do you think most scientists agree with one another about whether or not global warming is happening, or do you think there is a lot of disagreement among scientists on this issue?
Lake Research Partners 21
Similarly, nearly two-thirds think there is a lot of disagreement among scientists about how much of
a threat global warming poses.
Do you think most scientists agree with one another about how much of a threat global warming poses, or is there a lot of disagreement among scientists about that? Subpopulation/Note: Asked of half sample .
-62% 33%
-70% -60% -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
A lot of disagreement Most agree
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
Lake Research Partners 22
A majority say average temperatures have been higher in the last three years,
less than one in ten say lower.
58%
8%
31%
3%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Higher Lower About the same Don't know
As far as you know, would you say that average temperatures around the world have been higher in the last three years than before that, lower, or about the same?
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
Lake Research Partners 23
(If Not sure temperatures are rising, add:Assuming it's happening,) If nothing is done to address it, do you think the effects of global warming will pose a serious threat…?
-61%
-25%
-16%
37%
73%
81%
-90% -70% -50% -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% 70% 90%
No, will not pose a threat Yes, will pose a threat
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
There is a sense that future generations will face a serious threat from the effects
of global warming.
To future generations
To people within the lifetimes of today’s children
To you or your way of life in your lifetime
Lake Research Partners 24
5%
22%
73%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Only if people makemajor changes
Even without peoplemaking changes
No opinion
(If Not sure temperatures are rising, add: Assuming it's happening,) Do you think global warming can be/could be reduced without people like you making major changes in your lifestyle, or only if people like you make major changes in your lifestyle?
Nearly three-fourths think global warming can be reduced only if people make major
changes in their lifestyle.
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
Lake Research Partners 25
5%
50%
19%25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Serious hardship Not serioushardship
Without hardship No opinion
Half of those who are not sure that temperatures are rising think global warming can be reduced without
causing financial hardship. A quarter foresee serious hardship and a fifth see not so serious hardship.
(If Not sure temperatures are rising, add: Assuming it's happening,) do you think global warming can be/could be reduced without causing people like you financial hardship or only with financial hardship to people like you? (If Hardship, ask:) Do you think it would be serious hardship, or not serious?
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
44%
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4%8%
45%43%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Government Businesses Both equally No opinion
(If Not sure temperatures are rising, add: If it's occurring,) which do you think would do a better job reducing global warming: the government, through laws intended to reduce the output of greenhouse gases, or businesses, through competition in the market system?
Americans split on government and business reducing global
warming.
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
Lake Research Partners 27
A plurality of Americans think China emits the most carbon dioxide.
42%39%
6%3%
10%
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%
China U.S. India Russia Don't know
Which one of the following countries do you think now emits the most carbon dioxide--the greenhouse gas that has been linked to global warming? Is it...China, Russia, United States, or India?
Princeton Survey Research Associates International, June 18-June 19, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,010.
Lake Research Partners 28
Attitude around China’s culpability in damaging the environment have shifted
up over the past year and a half.
22%
40%
33%
22%
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%
U.S. China
Spring 2008
Spring 2007
Which country is hurting the world’s environment the most among the U.S., China, India, Germany, Brazil, Japan and Russia?
Pew Global Attitudes Project. April 9-17, 2008 1,000 adults nationwide
-11+18
Lake Research Partners 29
A majority of Americans trust the U.S. to do the right thing in
protecting the environment.
2%
57%
3% 1%
15%
4%7% 10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
China U.S. India Russia Germany Brazil Japan Don'tknow
Which one of the following countries would you trust most to do the right thing in protecting the world's environment?...India, Germany, China, Brazil, Japan, United States, Russia,
Princeton Survey Research Associates International, April 9-April 17, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000. Parallel surveys were conducted in 23 other countries
Lake Research Partners 30
A strong majority think the U.S. should take action on global
warming.
2%
13%
68%
18%Take action only ifother countries do
Take action evenif other countries
do less
Should not takeaction at all
No opinion
Do you think the United States should take action on global warming only if other major industrial countries such as China and India agree to do equally effective things, that the United States should take action even if these other countries do less, or that the United States should not take action on this at all?
86%
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
Lake Research Partners 31
Americans are evenly divided over whether the U.S. doing more than other countries to
address global warming will help the economy, hurt it or have no effect.
15% 13%
32%33% 29%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Help Hurt No effect
Great deal Somewhat No effect
If the United States does more than other countries to address global warming, do you think that would help the US economy, hurt the US economy or have no effect? (If Help, ask:) Would it help a great deal or somewhat? (If Hurt, ask:) Would it hurt a great deal or somewhat?
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000.
Lake Research Partners 32
With which one of these statements about the environment and the economy do you most agree--protection of the environment should be given priority, even at the risk of curbing economic growth, or economic growth should be given priority, even if the environment suffers to some extent?
Until recently, voters set a priority of protecting the environment over economic
growth, now voters split.
6%
44%49%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Environment is priority Economic growth ispriority
Both equally (Vol.)
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Conducted by Opinion Research Corporation, June 26-June 29, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,026.
Energy Policies and the Environment
Past the energy crisis, voters now want to do it all, but don’t want to relax
environmental protections
Lake Research Partners 34
6%
60%
34%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Protecting theenvironment
Developing new sourcesof energy
Don't know/Refused
Pew Research Center for the People & the Press Voter Attitudes Survey. Conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International, June 18-June 29, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult including an oversample of 18-29 year olds sample of 2,004.
Right now, which one of the following do you think should be a more important priority for this country?...Protecting the environment, developing new sources of energy
Recently, when developing new sources of energy is referenced, Americans tend to place greater
emphasis on that goal over protecting the environment.
Lake Research Partners 35
The emergence of gas prices and energy concerns is problematic for environmental advocates since voters are growing more supportive of increasing
domestic drilling.
12%
15%
25%
48%Strongly favor
Mildly favor
Mildly oppose
Strongly oppose
How do you feel about increased drilling for oil and natural gas offshore in US (United States) waters--do you strongly favor, mildly favor, mildly oppose, or strongly oppose increased offshore drilling?
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Survey by Cable News Network. Methodology: Conducted by Opinion Research Corporation, June 26-June 29, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,026.
73%
27%
Lake Research Partners 36
25%
13%
17%
38%Strongly favor
Somewhatfavor
Somewhatoppose
Stronglyoppose
55%
38%
Democracy Corps Poll. Conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, June 22-June 25, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national likely voters sample of 2,008.
Given the high price of gas, would you favor or oppose allowing oil drilling in US (United States) coastal areas and wilderness areas that are currently protected by the federal government?
Additionally, when asked specifically about opening up wilderness areas that are currently protected by
the federal government, a majority support drilling in these areas.
Additionally, Pew’s recent Center for the People & the Press Voter Attitudes Survey found that 50 percent of Americans favor allowing oil and gas drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge in Alaska.
Lake Research Partners 37
Support for incentives in renewable energy sources, promoting
conservationism, and building wind power turbines is widespread.
69%
72%
83%
90%
92%
93%
-27%
-24%
-14%
-5%
-6%
-6%
-40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Favor Oppose
Now, thinking about the issue of energy and finding new sources of domestic energy. I would like to read you a list of proposals regarding finding new domestic sources for energy. Please listen carefully as I read each statement and tell me if you would favor or oppose each of these proposals.
Incentives for renewable energy sources like wind, solar and geothermal
Promoting energy conservation practicesBuilding new "wind power" generating turbines
Crack down on speculators and price gouging
Drilling for oil and natural gas off the Atlantic coastline
Building new nuclear power plants to generate electricity
Lake Research Partners 38
A majority support promoting use of coal fired electricity, ending oil company subsidies and drilling for oil in ANWR. Voters split on easing
environmental restrictions and a majority oppose selling strategic petroleum reserve oil.
40%
47%
58%
64%
64%
-51%
-48%
-39%
-27%
-30%
-60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Favor Oppose
Now, thinking about the issue of energy and finding new sources of domestic energy. I would like to read you a list of proposals regarding finding new domestic sources for energy. Please listen carefully as I read each statement and tell me if you would favor or oppose each of these proposals.
Promoting greater use of coal fired electricity
Ending subsidies for oil companies
Drilling for oil and natural gas in ANWR
Easing environmental restrictions
Selling oil from the strategic petroleum reserve
Lake Research Partners 39
Three-fourths of Americans are in favor of a five-year moratorium on new coal power plants in the US if we invest in clean, safe, renewable energy.
38%
11%
22%
75%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%
Yes No
Definitely Probably
Opinion Research Corporation, June 12-June 15, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,005.
More than half of power plant-generated electricity comes from coal. Experts say that power plants are responsible for about 40 percent of US (United States) carbon dioxide pollution linked to global warming. There are plans to build more than 150 new coal-fired power plants over the next several years. Would you support a five-year moratorium on new coal-fired power plants in the United States if there was stepped-up investment in clean, safe renewable energy--such as wind and solar--and improved home energy-efficiency standards? Would you say...definitely yes, probably yes, probably no, or definitely no?
Lake Research Partners 40
Support is even stronger for a five-year moratorium when an energy strategy includes tax incentives for new construction and homeowner
tax incentives to make homes more energy efficient.
49%
6%
13%
86%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Agree Disagree
Strongly Somewhat
Opinion Research Corporation, June 12-June 15, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,005.
Please tell me how much you agree or disagree with the following statement. 'A national energy strategy based on a 'phasing in' of new technologies and a phasing out of carbon based energy sources would require specific actions. America should commit to a five-year moratorium on new coal-fired power plants and, instead, focus on aggressive expansion of wind, solar, and other renewable energy sources. Tax and other incentives should be provided for all new construction to help reduce energy consumption. Homeowners should get incentives to make their homes more energy efficient to help reduce energy demands.' Would you say you...strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagree?
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4%
27%
69%
8%
45% 47%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Favor/Approve Oppose/Disapprove Don't know/No answer
Aug-08 Apr-07
Now, thinking about the issue of energy and finding new sources of domestic energy. I would like to read you a list of proposals regarding finding new domestic sources for energy. Please listen carefully as I read each statement and tell me if you would favor or oppose each of these proposals… Building new nuclear power plants to generate electricity
August 2008: Lake Research and The Tarrance Group August 10-14, 2008. 1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide. April 2007: Conducted by CBS News/New York Times, April 20-April 24, 2007 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,052.
A majority of Americans currently favor of the idea of building more nuclear power plants to generate
electricity. This sentiment has increased since one year ago.
According to a recent FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll, 53% of registered voters believe nuclear power is a safe source of energy.
Lake Research Partners 42
78%
21%
1%
61%
32%
8%4%
27%
69%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
Favor Oppose Unsure
Total Men Women
Lake Research and The Tarrance Group August 10-14, 2008. 1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters Nationwide.
There is a gender gap around nuclear power. Men favor building new nuclear power plants by 17
points compared to women.
Now, thinking about the issue of energy and finding new sources of domestic energy. I would like to read you a list of proposals regarding finding new domestic sources for energy. Please listen carefully as I read each statement and tell me if you would favor or oppose each of these proposals… Building new nuclear power plants to generate electricity
Election 08 and the Environment
It’s the economy, stupid, but green jobs are very popular.
Lake Research Partners 44
When thinking about the next President and Congress’s priorities, the environment trails other
issues, like the economy, health care and education.
9%
11%
14%
13%
21%
19%
5%
7%
8%
8%
15%
45%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
The environment
National defense
Homeland security
Education
Health care
The economy
Second priority Top priority
Opinion Research Corporation, July 24-July 27, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,004.
I'd like to read you a list of priorities. Please tell me which one response you feel is the most important priority/ second most important priority for the next President and Congress to address....The economy,
health care, education, homeland security, national defense, the environment?
Lake Research Partners 45
Now thinking overall about the goal of improving the economy. I am going to read some policies that could be taken by the next President and Congress. For each one, please rate how effective it would be at improving the economy. Use a scale from 0 to 10, where 10 means it would be very effective, and 0 means it would not be effective at all, and 5 is neutral. You can choose any number between 0 and 10.
Thinking of ways to improve the economy, tax rebates for more efficient homes and creating jobs in clean energy are the top two policies for these voters. “Manufacturing” jobs test better than just “jobs.”
86%
81%
76%
78%
75%
35%
32%
36%
38%
38%
43%
43%
40%
43%
48%Tax cuts and rebates for expenses related tomaking homes more energy efficient such as
insulation, more efficient appliances,
Incentives to create manufacturing jobs inclean energy technologies such as solar,
wind, geothermal, and biomass
Tax incentives to purchase more fuelefficient vehicles
26/27 Combined create jobs in clean energytechnologies
Incentives to create jobs in clean energytechnologies such as solar, wind,
geothermal, and biomass
Mean6-910 "10-6"
8.0
7.6
7.9
7.7
7.6
Survey for the Blue Green Alliance among 900 likely voters in Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin.
Lake Research Partners 46
6%12%14%
21%
47%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
BarackObama
John McCain Both equallygood
Neither good Not sure
Nearly half of voters think Barack Obama would be better on the issue of the environment and global
warming. One in five choose John McCain.
Hart and Newhouse Research Companies, August 15-August 18, 2008 national registered voters sample of 1,000
Now I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and John McCain on a few issues. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama or John McCain would be better on that issue. If you think that both would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular issue, just say so. Who do you think would be better when it comes to...the environment and global warming--Barack Obama or John McCain, or do you think that both would be equally good or neither would be good?
26
Lake Research Partners 47
By a more than two to one margin, Americans think Obama will do more to
reduce global warming in the future than will John McCain.
27%
11%
24%
55%
9%2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Obama McCain Neither Both
Strongly Somewhat Neither BothOpinion Research Corporation, June 12-June 15, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,005.
Regardless of how much detail you know, which (2008 presidential election) candidate do you think would do more to reduce global warming in the future, (Barack) Obama or (John) McCain? (If Obama/McCain, ask:) Do you think he would do a lot more, or more but not a lot?
31
Lake Research Partners 48
A strong majority of Americans say the candidates’ positions on the environment will
influence their vote at least somewhat; half say it will influence it a great deal.
8%8%
32%
52%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
A great deal Somewhat Not really much Nothing- notimportant
16%
84%
(There are a lot of issues that will have an impact on how people will vote in this election. If you do vote, when casting your vote for President (in 2008), how much will the candidates' positions on each of the following issues influence who gets your vote for President?)...The environment...A great deal, somewhat, not really much, nothing--not important to me.
Ipsos-Public Affairs, August 7-August 12, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,132.
Lake Research Partners 49
However, Americans are divided on the importance of global warming in voting in
this year’s presidential election.
10%8%
29%31%
20%
0%5%
10%15%
20%25%
30%35%
Extremelyimportant
Veryimportant
Somewhatimportant
Not tooimportant
Notimportant at
all
47%
(Here are some issues in the news these days. Please tell me how important the issue is to you personally in voting in this year's (2008) presidential election). Is...global warming an issue that is extremely important to you, very important, somewhat important, not too important, or not important at all?
Time. Conducted by Abt SRBI, July 31-August 4, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,502.
51%
Lake Research Partners 50
A strong majority are not familiar with either candidates’ positions on global warming; a
third say they know nothing at all about their positions.
5%
34%0%
19%
80%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
A lot Moderateamount
Nothing/ alittle
5%
33%1%
20%
78%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
A lot Moderateamount
Nothing/ alittle
Thinking about the (2008) presidential election, how much do you feel you know about... positions on global warming--a great deal, a lot, a moderate amount, a little or nothing at all? (If Moderate, ask:) Would you lean toward saying a lot or a little?
McCainObama
ABC News, July 23-July 28, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national adult sample of 1,000. *Darker colors reflect intensity of
response
Lake Research Partners 51
Barack Obama’s energy independence plan tests better than
John McCain’s.
I am going to read you a list of specific proposals that would be part of Obama's/McCain’s program. Please tell me whether each proposal would make you much more likely, somewhat more likely, a little more likely, no more likely, or less likely to support Barack Obama/John McCain in this year's (2008) presidential election
-14%
-17% 23%-36%
-26% 43% 72%
63%
-40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Less likely No more likley Much more likely Somewhat more likely Little more likely
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, June 17-June 26, 2008 and based on telephone interviews with a national likely voters sample of 806.
McCain
Obama
Lake Research Partners 52
Text of Candidates’ Plans
Obama: If we hope to take control of our own foreign policy and deal with the threat of global warming we must take a real commitment to energy independence. By investing in an alternative energy infrastructure, taking concrete steps to reduce carbon emissions and requiring that 25 percent of our electricity come from renewable sources I will cut our oil use by 35 percent and create millions of quality jobs.
McCain: Our national security depends on our energy security, that is why I have offered a common sense approach that reduces our dependence on foreign sources of energy and limits our carbon emissions by harnessing market forces that will bring advanced technologies such as alternative and nuclear energy to the market faster, promoting conservation and increasing domestic oil production.
State of the Election and State of the Election and Environmental / Energy Environmental / Energy
Issues Issues
Celinda [email protected]
202-776-9066