energy policy in china, the united states and france:
TRANSCRIPT
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Energy Policy in China, the United States and France:
A Case for Government Intervention
Byung Kim, Sean Wang, Dustin Lang, Jean-Baptiste Leger, Ross Perez
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The WorldProblems & Solutions
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Fossil Fuel History
Oil= 347CE China, drilled the first oil well, burned to produce salt.
Coal= 206 BC–220 AD Han Dynasty, China first used Coal as fuel and ornamentations.
Natural Gas= 500BC China, discovered natural gas, burned it to remove salt from sea water to make it drinkable.
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Usage Trend
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Demand
Source: http://EarthTrends.org , 2008
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Problems
Extraction and production process disturb wild life. (i.e. Removal of geologic material, cutting trees, Oil leaks, and etc.)
Global Warming due to burning of fossil fuels.Rise of Sea Level.Frequent/Strong Storms.Loss of bio-diversity.
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Current Solution
Kyoto Protocol.1997 in Kyoto, Japan.A Treaty to reduce green house gases.As of 2008, 128 countries ratified the
treaty. (Including China, and France)2004, France shut down all coal mines.2007, China revealed its climate change
planUS, ratified nor withdrawn from protocol,
due to potential harm to its economy.
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Possible Solutions?
10/27/2007 Reuters News.The European Renewable Energy Council
(EREC) and environmental group Greenpeace said: The world could eliminate use of all fossil fuels by 2090 with trillions of dollars investment on renewable resources.
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ChinaEnvironmental Damages & Energy Policy
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Development History
Deng Xiaoping began the rapid industrial development in 1978, the end of the Cultural Revolution.
Government prioritizes exports-led growth economy, which brought down the poverty rate from 53% pre-1978 to 12% by 1981.
Development led to extreme pollution: the top-10 most polluted cities worldwide are all in China (Forbes, 2006).
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Environmental Damages
Soil problems and river cessationWater pollutionAir pollution
All three are direct results of rapid development in China
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Soil Problems and River Cessation
Approx. 30% of surface area is desertDesertification is the most severe in the
northern plains, a main agricultural areaIncreased demands for water from
industry and agriculture led to river cessation
In 1997, the lower Yellow River stopped flowing for 230 days out of the year
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Water Pollution
Approx. 300 million Chinese people have no access to clean water, and more than 700 million drink water below WHO standards
90% of underground water in urban areas and 80% of the rivers are polluted
Bureaucracy makes water management extremely difficult
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Air Pollution
Two thirds of the cities are considered polluted according to the Chinese government
Acid rain falls on 30% of the countryRespiratory and heart diseases related to
air pollution are the leading cause of deathWHO estimates 750,000 Chinese die
prematurely each year due to air pollution
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Beijing air on a day after rain (left) and a sunny but smoky day (right)
Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 2.5 License <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Beijing_smog_comparison_August_2005.png>
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Energy Resources
Six industries – electricity generation, steel, non-ferrous metals, construction materials, oil processing and chemicals – account for 70% of the energy use, and they produce the most pollution as well
China exceeded the US as the largest greenhouse gas emitter in 2006
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Greenhouse gas emissions by country, 2000
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Electricity Generation
Coal, hydropower, other renewables, and nuclear are the top-4 means of generation
Coal-fired power station generate two thirds of the electricity, which contributes to the air pollution
Tremendous hydropower output (e.g. Three Gorges Dam)
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“Thermal” refers to coal-fired power stations, and “renewables” excludes hydropower
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Hydro and Renewable Energy
China is expected to be the largest renewable energy producer by the end of 2009, surpassing Germany
Highest hydro capacity – 416 billion kWhNo.2 solar producer after Japan, No.1
solar consumerWind power has a 95% annual growth
rate in 2008
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Environment Protection
March 1998: State Environmental Protection Administration (SEPA) became a ministry-level agency
Regulations such as “No Car Day” and “Great Green Wall Project” are largely ignored
June 2007: National Action Plan on Climate Change – reduce 30% of 2004 emission level by 2010 if fully implemented
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Renewable Energy Benchmarks
“Wind Three Gorges” – 10GW total wind power capacity by 2010; new estimation shows that it could reach 20GW by then
Increase nuclear production to 40GW & 4% by 2020, 250GW & 16% by 2030
Cut energy intensity by 20% by 2010
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United States
Energy History, Use and Issues
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The Beginning
United States was the land of opportunityLarge tracts of land handed out to
promote settlementIn turn also yielded very low density land,
making demands for new types of transport
Coal powered trainsGasoline powered vehicles and the
interstate highway
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Oil Crisis
1970s oil embargos were mostly overlooked due to the United State’s ability to produce a larger amount of oil at the time, along with other political issues.
Some mandates were made in reference to efficiency
MPG / 55mph
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Oil Imports by the US
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Oil Galore
After the 1970s, oil prices dropped substantially, making it possible for the public and government to forget the 1970s
Coal and petroleum usage rise higherMPH standards are lifted while car
manufacturers seem to not care much at all about MPG
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Rude Awakening
The United States has been able to enjoy relative ease with energy up until recently with issues of cost and side effects coming into play
Historic highsEnvironmental focusEnergy resilience
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The Future?
Oil prices have dropped considerably since their highs
Will the 1970s amnesia repeat?Alternative energy solutions will most
likely come about in electricity production first, while development will follow suit in transportation
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US Energy Consumption
Fossil Fuels accumulate 85% of the US Energy
Transportation is the largest consumer of petroleum
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US Energy Consumption by Sector
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Energy Consumption Timeline
Fossil fuels have been the main sources of energy since the late 19th century
Nuclear has increased a bit in a short time, but is limited due to policies
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US Electricity Demands
The US currently demands around 500GW of electricity
Approximately 70% of this is made up with fossil fuels, coal is 52% of the total with petroleum and natural gas making up the other 18%
30% of the US electricity comes from non fossil fuel sources
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US Nuclear Electricity
A little over 100 nuclear reactors currently licensed in the United States, making the most commercial nuclear energy in the world
20% of the US electricity comes from nuclear reactors 100GW
Development into new means to make nuclear reactors more efficient
Hydrogen
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Renewable Electricity
Approximately 10% of the US electricity comes from renewable sources
Hydro power is the largest producer in this sector 80GW
Wind power currently makes about 18GWGeothermal power currently makes
roughly 3GW but could rise to 15GW by 2025
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New Policies
With the recent spikes in energy costs, the US government has taken serious ventures into making it rewarding for developers to find new ways to create energy, either by improving efficiency or by making it have less of an environmental impact
20 in 10Energy Independence and Security Act
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France
L’exception française
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The choice of nuclear power
The geopolitical argument : national military independency (atomic bomb in 1960)
The energetic argument: national energy independency and supply security since 1973
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French energy packages in 1973 and 2004
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France’s energetic independency rate since 1970
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Rate of CO2 production for European countries (2004)
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How to Solve the Energy Puzzle
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China, France and the US have different situations but all can implement renewable and environmentally sound strategies
The government will be the main driver of this change and will need to foster it from the “top down”
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Three(.5) Pronged Strategy
1. Cut petroleum use
2. Increase renewable fuels
3. Establish efficiencies throughout energy system
(.5) STOP COAL USE
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Cut Petroleum Use
China using 15.6 MBD by 2030 (BP)US still using worlds largest share of
petroleumCAFE will play a large partHopefully, high gas prices reduce demandSmall cars encouraged by government
(use less gas than normal sized cars and are cheaper than hybrids)
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Cut Petroleum Use (Cont.)
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Increase Use of Renewables
Governments need to sponsor research into renewables likeEthanolHydrogen (despite entropy issues)Bio-diesel
While we have cheap resources we should use them to break our dependency instead of increase it
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Increase Efficiency
By increasing the efficiency of the homes, cars, power plants, etc. that we already have, we maintain a high standard of living but at a smaller footprint
IdeasFluorescent bulbs only
30-60% decrease in lighting electricity usage (Harper)
Improved insulation40-60% decrease in space heating (Harper)
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Decreasing Coal
If all of these strategies are implemented, and hydropower increased, a decrease in coal can be afforded
Coal is the most destructive energy producer, environmentally
No viable long term strategy can work, environmentally that is, with the coal use habits of China and the US
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Conclusions
Together, this 3(.5) pronged strategy can help China, France and the US be energy efficient and environmentally sound
Government will need to take the leadCost of not doing so will be
Environmental problems (global warming)Economic problems lack of energy resources)Social Problems Pollution in cities, NIMBYism)