energy in morocco - daldrup management... · 2018. 4. 7. · regasification terminal in safi,...
TRANSCRIPT
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ENERGY IN MOROCCO
Difficulties and challenges
supervised by : Prof. Dr Ulrich Daldrup
prepared by : Tanji Fatima Zohra
Summer semester 2017
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Summary
1. Geography and climate : ................................................................................................................. 4
Geography: .................................................................................................................................. 4
Climate: ....................................................................................................................................... 5
2. Morocco’s energy potential in oil and coal: .................................................................................... 5
3. Could this potential decrease the dependence on oil and coal imports? ....................................... 6
4. Demand and supply in energy and economical impact: ................................................................. 7
5. Morocco and the Potential Consequences of Climate Change ....................................................... 7
6. Morocco Energy police: ................................................................................................................... 8
7. Morocco's Electricity Mix in 2013 ................................................................................................... 9
8. Energy Optimization choices for the future generations: ............................................................. 10
1. Hydropower energy:.............................................................................................................. 10
2. Nuclear power: ...................................................................................................................... 10
3. Wind energy: ......................................................................................................................... 11
4. Solar power: .......................................................................................................................... 11
9. Major solar energy projects: ......................................................................................................... 12
10. Other initiatives: ........................................................................................................................ 15
Ain Beni Mathar project ............................................................................................................ 15
ONEE solar project:.................................................................................................................... 15
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I. Introduction and summary
Morocco officially known as the Kingdom of Morocco is a constitutional monarchy with
an elected parliament.
The northern African country has a population of 35 million and an area of (446550 sq
km).
The biggest issue of the country of all times , is The Western Sahara conflict .this ongoing
conflict between the Polisario Front and the Kingdom of Morocco is the continuation of
the past insurgency by Polisario against the Spanish colonial forces in 1973–75 and the
subsequent Western Sahara War between the Polisario and Morocco (1975–91).
Economically speaking, Morocco is considered a relatively liberal economy governed by
the law of supply and demand.
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Morocco is worth 111.1 billion US dollars in 2016.
The GDP value of Morocco represents 0.16 % of the world economy and it has become a
major player in the African economic affairs, and it is the 5th African economy by GDP.
Energy sector plays a very important role in the country’s economical growth,
unfortunately morocco even with remarkable qualifications in term of climate ,
geography etc , it has almost no natural gas, coal or oil resources , at this same its
economy relies on this sort of energy to produce electricity with more than 85 % of its
needs in all sectors . In one hand the demand is rising up more and more on the other
hand the energy consumption is also to increase due to many factors.
The cost of imports represents a significant part of Moroccan trade. So, Today Morocco’s
goal is to secure the most reliable and sustainable energy supply at the lowest possible
cost.
In response, the Moroccan authorities have rolled out some assertive strategies that aim
primarily at developing renewable energies, so today the country is given itself the
resources to accomplish its goals, and we hope to start to reap the first rewards very
soon.
In this report we will have a closer look on morocco’s energy potential , the influence of
this data on its economy, the most significant difficulties the country suffer from in the
same contest and then challenges , choices and measures taken by the government to
overcome these issues and to make a new step further its economical independence and
growth .
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitutional_monarchyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polisario_Fronthttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kingdom_of_Moroccohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Western_Sahara_Warhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal_economyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supply_and_demandhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_African_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)
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1. Geography and climate :
Geography:
Morocco is a Northern African country, located in the extreme northwest of Africa on the
doors of continental Europe, bordering Algeria to the east, Mauritania Sahara to the
southwest, the Atlantic Ocean to the west and the Mediterranean to the north.
The strait of Gibraltar separates Spain off Morocco with a 13 km span of water.
Large mountainous areas in the interior body, are extended, the Atlas and Rif mountain
chains.
In the extreme South-East of the country, is located the Sahara desert, considered the 3th
largest desert in the world with 9000 000 miles squared.
Map of Morocco
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moroccohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_Africa
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Climate:
Due to this diversity in geography, the weather in morocco is also not unified.
Morocco's climate can be divided into two parts: The northwest and the southeast.
In the southeast, the climate is more arid or dry.
In the northwest the climate is temperate and akin to the climatic conditions that
coming from the Iberian Peninsula.
Along the Mediterranean coast, the climate is typically Mediterranean.
The summers are moderately hot and the winters are mild.
Further away from the coast, into the Rif Mountain range, the climate starts to become
more continental in character, with colder winters and hotter summers. At elevations
above 1,000 meters, the climate is alpine with warm summers and cold winters.
Rainfall is much higher on the west side, than it is on the east side
The southern regions of the northwest are Semi-arid influenced. Rainfall is lower, and
is between 250 and 350 mm annually.
Although temperature ranges generally do not change in comparison with the upper
provinces, a slight increase in high averages is not to be dismissed. Largely due to the
lower latitudes where they fall.
Snow is abundant at higher elevations (There are two ski stations, one in the middle-
Atlas Mischliffen, and the other in the High-Atlas Oukaïmeden.)
2. Morocco’s energy potential in oil and coal:
Currently, Morocco sources its natural gas from the royalties that it receives for gas
transported from Algeria over a 522 km stretch of its territory via the Maghreb-Europe Gas
Pipeline (1,620 km). As Morocco does not wish to depend entirely on Algeria – relations
between the two countries have been strained due to the ongoing dispute over Morocco's
Saharan provinces, with Algeria backing the Polisario Front independence movement – the
government has chosen to focus on increasing LNG imports for regasification then sale to
generate electricity. The very ambitious Gas to Power project aims to build an LNG
regasification terminal in Safi, several gas-fired combined cycle power plants with an
installed capacity of 2,400 MW, a gas pipeline and associated facilities. Natural gas is
expected to make up 30% of the energy mix by 2025.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mischliffenhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ouka%C3%AFmeden
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Potential oil shale reserves in Morocco estimated at 57 billion barrels. Three deposits have
been identified to date. The most promising is Tarfaya, located 890 km southwest of Rabat
and mined using open pits. The other two are Timhadit in the Middle Atlas Mountains and
Tanger.
Morocco also has potential shale gas reserves in the Anti-Atlas Mountains in the country's
southwest. Experts believe that the geological conditions are highly favorable,
although drilling is needed to accurately assess the reserves. According to the United States
Energy Information Administration (EIA), Morocco has 340 billion cubic meters of
technically recoverable shale gas in the Tindouf and Tadla basins. These figures, although
unconfirmed, should be read against Morocco's current level of gas consumption, which
stands at an average of one billion cubic meters per year. The lack of water resources in the
region and current low gas prices could, however, stand in the way of shale gas development.
3. Could this potential decrease the dependence on oil and coal imports?
Several partnership agreements have been signed with foreign firms. While unfortunately
pilot projects are underway, no industrial-scale extraction has begun.
Nowadays Morocco produces only very small volumes of oil and natural gas from the
Essaouira Basin and small amounts of natural gas from the Gharb Basin.
Consequently, Morocco is heavily dependent on imports to meet its energy needs. Fully 91%
of its energy is sourced from abroad, with imports including crude oil, petroleum products,
coal, gas from Algeria, and electricity from Spain via dual interconnectors. No significant
reserves of hydrocarbons have yet been discovered.
Major energy indicators for Morocco between 1990-2014[1]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gharb_Basin
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4. Demand and supply in energy and economical impact:
Morocco has witnessed a continuous rise in energy demand since the early 20th century,
driven by industrialization, overall economic development, the new Renault plant in Tangier
and Tangier-Med port as key examples , besides other factors like ; modernization ,” rural
electrification (98%),and increased urbanization (60% in 2014, up from 42% in 1981)”[2]
Energy demand is projected to experience a three-fold increase to 2030, especially electricity
demand .Other, more energy intense scenarios, point to an increase in electricity demand up
133.000 GWH in 2030.
Demand has grown by an average of 6% to 7% a year over the last 25 years.
“Energy consumption is also to increase due to new plans launched by the Moroccan
government, all of them implying new energy needs: Plan Vert, Plan Emergence, developing
a world hub for phosphates, and expanding transport infrastructures”. [1]
Consequently, the energy bill has been rapidly rising during the last decades in two
dimensions: the cost of imports represents a significant part of Moroccan trade deficit (oil
imports only represent almost 20% of total imports and 50% of the trade deficit); and energy
subsidies represent a relevant part of budget expenditures (up to 25%).
5. Morocco and the Potential Consequences of Climate Change
New danger has appeared in the form of climate change, threatening the already water-poor
country with potentially catastrophic consequences.
For Morocco, for the moment, climate change has had no observable influence on the water
cycle in Morocco “(the 13% decline in rainfall in the past 30 years is not totally significant)”
[2].
Despite this, the Moroccan government closely monitors water resources in order to detect
any new trends. And regardless of the consequences of climate change.
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“Should current trends continue unchecked, Morocco's Ministry of Agriculture estimates that
there could be a 10% drop in output from rainfalls agriculture, or farming that relies solely on
rainfall for water. Agriculture accounts for 10% of the country's GDP, and still employs 40%
of the working population” [2]
In a show of its commitment, Morocco has hosted recently the COP22 climate conference in
2016, fifteen years after the COP7 in Marrakesh. Morocco strives to lead by example in the
fight against climate change, both by actively participating in all international initiatives and
by taking tangible steps at home, for instance the ban use of plastic bags on first July 2016.
6. Morocco Energy police:
Morocco's energy policy is set independently by two agencies, the Office of Hydrocarbons
and Mining (ONHYM) which sets domestic oil policy and the Office National de l'Electricité
(ONE) which sets policy with regard to electricity. The two major weaknesses of the energy
policy of Morocco are the lack of coordination between these two agencies and the lack of
development of domestic energy sources.
Morocco's goal is to secure the most reliable and sustainable energy supply at the lowest
possible cost.
In response, the Moroccan authorities have rolled out an assertive, ambitious strategy aimed
primarily at developing renewable energies. In doing so, the country has given itself the
resources to accomplish its goals, and is now starting to reap the first rewards.
[2]: the GUARDIAN electronic Magazine, energy, climate change, 2016
[1] Morocco: Indicators for 2014 , International Energy Agency (IEA)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moroccohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_policyhttp://www.iea.org/statistics/statisticssearch/report/?year=2014&country=MOROCCO&product=Indicators
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7. Morocco's Electricity Mix in 2013
The electricity mix describes what share of various energy sources is used to generate
electricity. Morocco's situation is characterized by a large proportion of coal, and fossil fuels
in general, and only a small percentage of renewable energies, despite a recent surge in wind
power.
Source: IEA, 2013.
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8. Energy Optimization choices for the future generations:
Optimizing the electricity mix is one of the five priorities of Morocco's National Energy
Strategy. The country had installed power generation capacity of 8,160 MW in 2015, which it
plans to develop as part of a coherent, industrially sensible plan.
Hopefully, Morocco has great potential when it comes to renewable energies so; one of the
main focuses of this plan is the development of theses energies, such as hydro, wind and solar
power, and some small initiative to developed nuclear power energy.
Morocco expects to generate 42% of its energy from renewable by 2020, with one-third of
that total coming from solar, wind and hydropower a piece.
The exploitation of this clean energy will also help Morocco to save hundreds of thousands of
tons of carbon emissions per year
1. Hydropower energy:
Morocco currently has installed hydropower capacity of 1,400 MW. This looks set to increase
with new hydropower projects such as:
El Menzel complex south of Fez (125 MW), the mini-hydropower plant (3 MW) program,
and the construction of pumped-storage power plants like the 350 MW Abdelmoumen project
near Agadir.
Pumped-storage plants are a special type of hydropower plant with two reservoirs at different
heights. Water is pumped to the upper reservoir during off-peak times. Then, during periods
of high demand, the water is released through turbines to generate electricity.
In all, Morocco's installed hydropower capacity is expected to rise to 2,000 MW by 2020.
2. Nuclear power:
Morocco is also placing its hopes in nuclear power. Abdelkader Amara, Morocco's Energy
Minister was quoted in October 2015 as saying that Morocco planned to produce electricity
from nuclear energy "starting in 2030". The country currently only has one experimental
2 MW reactor used for research into nuclear medicine. On September 3, 2015, Morocco's
Governing Council passed a decree establishing the Moroccan Nuclear and Radiation Safety
and Security Agency.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/morocco
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3. Wind energy:
Wind profiles – the strength and direction of the wind – in the country's north and south are
particularly suitable for the development of wind power, thanks to the regular, steady breeze.
The initial results are promising. Wind power projects began in the early 2000s and Morocco
now has operational facilities with a combined capacity of 280 MW.
New plants under construction are expected to add another 720 MW. The country is also in
the process of completing its integrated wind power program. Phase 1 is underway with the
construction of the 150 MW Taza wind farm, and a call for tenders for five other farms
(850 MW) has been launched.
The Moroccan Integrated Wind Energy Project
The Moroccan Integrated Wind Energy Project was launched in 2010, with an estimated
investment of MAD31.5 billion (approximately $ 3.7 billion) and aims to:
bring installed wind capacity from 280MW to 2000MW by 2020
increase the share of wind power in the national energy balance to 14 per cent by 2020
achieve a production capacity from wind power of 2MW and annual production
capacity of 6,600 GWh
achieve savings of 1.5 million tons of fuel a year, corresponding to $750 million
dollars and prevent the emission of 5.6 million tons of CO² per year.
Morocco’s Office National de l’Electricité (ONE)
As part of Morocco’s Integrated Wind Energy Project, ONE has tendered for the construction
of five wind farms with a total capacity of 850MW at the following locations:
Tanger II 150MW, Midelt 100MW, Jbel Lahdid (Essaouira) 200MW; Tiskrad (Laayoune)
300MW; and Boujdour 100MW.
ONE is also tendering a 150MW wind farm at Taza, northern Morocco, which will be
constructed on a build-own-operate-transfer (BOOT) basis.
4. Solar power:
Morocco also has abundant sunshine. The government has decided to harness these
comparative advantages to stimulate development in solar power.
Morocco's preference has gone to concentrated solar power technology, because, in addition
to offering greater stability, the thermodynamic plants have the advantage of being able to
delay power generation by a few hours to meet strong demand in the evening.
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9. Major solar energy projects:
NOUR Ouarzazate:
The Noor One concentrated solar power plant in Ouarzazate is one of the largest solar plants
in the world [1] .
The project is a planned 500MW solar plant which will be among the largest CSP
(Concentrated solar power) plants in the world.
The power station on the edge of the Saharan desert will be the size of the country’s capital
city by the time it is finished in 2018, and provide electricity for 1.1 million people, helping
African country to supply most of its energy from renewable by 2030.
The project is divided into three phases; Noor 1 (160 MW), Noor 2 (200 MW), and Noor 3
(150 MW).
The first section at the town of Ouarzazate provides 160 MW of the ultimate 580MW
capacity. The first solar plants have recently been inaugurated and, once all are complete, they
will spread across 3,000 hectares and feed a total of 500 MW into the grid.
After it is switched on, the plant will initially provide 650,000 local people with solar
electricity from dawn until three hours after sunset.
The project is receiving finance from, amongst others, the World Bank’s Clean Technology
fund and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development.
[1]: The GUARDIAN magazine, Article; Morocco lights the way for Africa on renewable
energy, December, 2016
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MASEN ; (the Moroccan solar energy Agency) , has invited commercial bids for Phase 1 a
160MW plant, and final bids to design, build, operate, maintain and finance the plant were
recently submitted. Three groups submitted bids with the following tariffs:
Acwa Power (Saudi Arabia), Aries Ingeniería y Sistemas (Spain) and TSK Electronica
y Electricidad (Spain): MAD 1.597944 (18.87 $ cents) a kWh.
Enel (Italy) and ACS Servicios Comunicaciones y Energia (Spain): MAD2.057201 a
kWh.
Abeinsa (Spain), Abengoa Solar (Spain), Mitsui (Japan) and Abu Dhabi National
Energy Company (UAE): MAD 2.057503 a kWh
DESERTEC project:
A map of the most cost-effective distribution of renewable-energy sources in 2050, based on
simulations run by the Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research in Karlsruhe,
Germany.[1]
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The DESERTEC concept involves the development of a trans-national super grid that
integrates all types of renewable energies:
Concentrating Solar-Thermal Power (CSP) in desert regions
Wind power in coastal areas
hydro power in mountainous regions
photovoltaics in sunny areas
biomass and geothermal power where geographic conditions are favorable
The DESERTEC concept aims to build CSP plants to supply renewable energy from MENA
to European countries using high-voltage direct current (HVDC) transmission lines, and
established the industrial initiative Dii (the latter being a consortium of 55 companies
including E.ON, Siemens, Munich Re and Deutsche Bank), which amongst other things will
work towards developing a framework for investments.
Morocco it considered as an active part in this project and showed his interest toward this
initiative. “In 2014 MASEN and Dii signed a cooperation agreement to develop a large solar
project in Morocco, which would amongst other things demonstrate the feasibility of the
export of solar generated electricity to Europe” [1]
Nevertheless, this project didn’t know remarkable success, as announced in some occasions
by Dii, and others parts of the project.
“Desertec Industrial Initiative decided to abandon its mission of industrial lobby promoter
of the exploitation of solar energy in deserts, to become a simple consulting company for its
shareholder companies. Its decision is the logical consequence of the many failures recorded
in the last two years.”[2]
“The great project of supplying Europe with energy produced by solar power plants in the
Sahara seems to be at a standstill” [3]
But, this project still not totally abandoned after the decision of Dii to completely stop its
mission.
“For some people, the shrinking of Dii signaled the demise of Desertec. However, with or
without Dii, the Desertec vision is still going ahead with projects in Tunisia, Morocco
and Algeria” [1]
[1]: new internationalist Magazine, March, 2015
[2]: Moroccan electronic news papers ‘yabiladi’, 15/10/2014
[3]: Electronic newspapers ‘ATAC MAROC ‘ 16/03/ 2015
http://www.ecomena.org/renewables-algeria/
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10. Other initiatives:
Ain Beni Mathar project
Ain Beni Mathar is a 470MW hybrid solar-gas plant which will be located approximately
625 km east of the capital, Rabat. It will be the first plant to be constructed with cylinder
parabolic mirror technology in Morocco. The African Development Bank is financing two-
thirds of the cost of the plant, approximately €187.85 million.
ONEE solar project:
ONEE's (Office of Electricity and Drinking Water) electricity division has already selected
PV technology for a program to build three plants with a total capacity of 400 MW in regions
located at the end of transmission lines. Morocco is also running the PROMASOL program to
install solar water heaters.
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II. Conclusion
Energy Efficiency is another very important element to discuss .The Moroccan authorities are
fully aware of the challenge they face. The country's new National Energy Strategy has made
energy efficiency a national priority.
Morocco has also implemented a range of measures to improve efficiency, including
incentive-based pricing systems, under which households that reduce their consumption by
20% receive a 20% rate discount. Other measures include the adoption of thermal regulations
to cap energy consumption in new buildings, an audit program for existing buildings,
widespread use of energy-saving light bulbs (seven million bulbs delivered to date), the
development of light rail, and an import ban on vehicles older than five years.
While plenty remains to be done, Morocco's energy efficiency program has been praised by
experts around the world. Its goal is to reduce energy use by 12% by 2020, and 15% by 2030.
And economically speaking, RES deployment entails significant opportunities for Morocco in
terms of GDP and employment. In the proposed scenarios, the figures for economic impact on
GDP vary from 1.17% to 1.9% at the end of the period, with employment figures for full-time
equivalent direct and indirect effects on the economy between 267 and 482 thousand jobs.
Results conclude that the alternative that produces more benefits in terms of GDP and
employment growth is the installation of wind, whatever the framework of exports and
imports is contemplated. Obviously.
While there are still a number of unknowns, notably in terms of choice of technology and
project scheduling, Morocco's program is already making its first tangible achievements and
setting an example for other developing economies, particularly in Africa. And has far
reaching ambitions for the renewable energy sector.
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III. References
o Web sites:
1 http://www.planete-energies.com/en/medias/saga-energies/morocco-energy-challenges-emerging-economy
2 https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C3%89nergie_au_Maroc
3 https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/feb/04/morocco-to-switch-on-first-phase-of-worlds-largest-
solar-plant
4 https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2016/nov/17/cop22-host-morocco-lights-way-africa-
renewable-energy-2020
5 http://www.femise.org/en/studies-and-research/renewable-energies-and-sustainable-development-in-the-
mediterranean-morocco-and-the-mediterranean-solar-plan-msp/
6 http://www.nortonrosefulbright.com/knowledge/publications/66419/renewable-energy-in-morocco
7 https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/oct/26/morocco-poised-to-become-a-solar-superpower-with-
launch-of-desert-mega-project
8 https://www.yabiladi.com/articles/details/30166/desertec-industriels-quittent-definitivement-navire.html
9 http://attacmaroc.org/fr/2015/03/16/desertec-accaparement-des-sources-denergie-renouvelable/
10 https://newint.org/features/2015/03/01/desertec-long/
11 http://www.desertec.org/
12 https://www.gfmag.com/global-data/country-data/morocco-gdp-country-report
o AGENCES:
(ONEE) (Electric Power Department of the Moroccan National Electricity and Drinking Water Board)
(MASEN) (Moroccan Agency for Solar Energy)
(MENEE) (Moroccan Ministry of Energy, Mines, Water and the Environment)
International Energy Agency (IEA)
The world bank PDF :
o PDF : ‘Les énergies renouvelables et l’efficacité énergétique au Maroc‘- published by Ministère fédéral de
l’Economie et de l‘Energie
http://www.planete-energies.com/en/medias/saga-energies/morocco-energy-challenges-emerging-economyhttps://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C3%89nergie_au_Maroc3%20%20%20%20https:/www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/feb/04/morocco-to-switch-on-first-phase-of-worlds-largest-solar-plant3%20%20%20%20https:/www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/feb/04/morocco-to-switch-on-first-phase-of-worlds-largest-solar-planthttps://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2016/nov/17/cop22-host-morocco-lights-way-africa-renewable-energy-2020https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2016/nov/17/cop22-host-morocco-lights-way-africa-renewable-energy-20205%20%20%20%20%20http:/www.femise.org/en/studies-and-research/renewable-energies-and-sustainable-development-in-the-mediterranean-morocco-and-the-mediterranean-solar-plan-msp/5%20%20%20%20%20http:/www.femise.org/en/studies-and-research/renewable-energies-and-sustainable-development-in-the-mediterranean-morocco-and-the-mediterranean-solar-plan-msp/http://www.nortonrosefulbright.com/knowledge/publications/66419/renewable-energy-in-moroccohttps://www.yabiladi.com/articles/details/30166/desertec-industriels-quittent-definitivement-navire.htmlhttp://attacmaroc.org/fr/2015/03/16/desertec-accaparement-des-sources-denergie-renouvelable/https://newint.org/features/2015/03/01/desertec-long/http://www.desertec.org/
1. Geography and climate : Geography: Climate:
2. Morocco’s energy potential in oil and coal:3. Could this potential decrease the dependence on oil and coal imports?4. Demand and supply in energy and economical impact:5. Morocco and the Potential Consequences of Climate Change6. Morocco Energy police:7. Morocco's Electricity Mix in 20138. Energy Optimization choices for the future generations:1. Hydropower energy:2. Nuclear power:3. Wind energy:4. Solar power:
9. Major solar energy projects:10. Other initiatives: Ain Beni Mathar project ONEE solar project: