energy efficient propulsion systems optimization execution j. brent staubach & michael winter...
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Energy Efficient Propulsion Systems
Optimization
Execution
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ETHERMALS
DRAFTING
MFG
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ETHERMALS
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MFG
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J. Brent Staubach & Michael WinterPratt & WhitneyUnited Technologies Corporation
Energy & ComputationMIT
May 10th 2006
Simulation
CAD/CAM
Computing Power Will Fundamentally Change How We Design Gas Turbines
• Review Current Manual Design Optimization Practices
• Computer Based Design & Key Enablers
• Future New Design Paradigms; Less Time; Fewer People
Computer Speed- 2x Every 18 months -
Network Speed- 2x Every 9 months -
TremendousGrowth
Billion X SpeedBillion X Speed by 2025by 2025
Hardware: 100,00X
Massive Parallel Grid Computing, Assume ~10,000X
IBM & IntelExpect ContinuedGrowth
• Transistor Scaling• Manufacturing: Copper, SiGe,• Parallelization: chip, board, rack• Quantum Computing
Cost of Sending1012 BitsData AcrossCountry HasDropped From$150,000 in 1970To 12 cents In 2000
Cost of aThreeMinutePhone Call FromNew YorkToLondon
# T
ran
sist
ors
(K
s)
RELEASE THIS POWER ON DESIGN PROCESSES
Integrated TEC& Augmentor
Integrated TEC& Augmentor
Variant-common F135Turbomachinery
LO Axi-symmetricNozzle
LO Axi-symmetricNozzle
Lift Fan, Clutch,& Driveshaft
Roll ControlDucts and Nozzles
Roll ControlDucts and Nozzles
3-BearingSwivel Duct3-Bearing
Swivel Duct
Controls & externals,engine gearbox
Pratt & WhitneyPratt & Whitney
Hamilton SundstrandHamilton Sundstrand Rolls-Royce Rolls-Royce
Propulsion System Complexity Driving Need for More Robust Systems Engineering Process and Tools
Propulsion has Become a System of Systems
System Engineering Process Driven by Product Needs
~ 80,000 PARTS
~5000 PART NUMBERS
~ 200 MAJOR PART NUMBERS REQUIRING 3D FEA/CFD ANALYSIS
~ 5000-10,000 PARAMETRIC CAD VARIABLES DEFINE MAJOR PART NUMBERS
~ 200 MAN-YEAR ANALYTICAL DESIGN EFFORT
~ 200 MAN-YEARS DRAFTING / ME EFFORT
Modern Gas Turbine Optimization Is An Exercise In Managing Complexity
• IPTs ARE THE ORGANIZATIONAL MECHANISM THAT ENABLES A BALANCED DESIGN - MANUAL MULTI-DISCIPLINARY DESIGN LOCAL OPTIMIZATION
INTEGRATEDPRODUCT TEAM
BURNERMECHANICAL
COMPRESSORAERO
COMPRESSORMECHANICAL
TURBINESTRUCTURES
COMPRESSORSTRUCTURES
FANSTRUCTURES.
FANMECHANICAL.
TURBINEAEROTURBINEAERO
BURNERSTRUCTURES
BURNERSTRUCTURES
TURBINESTRUCTURES
BURNERAERO
COMPRESSORAERO
TURBINEMECHANICAL
TURBINEMFG.
FANAERO.
Complexity Is Managed By Decomposing The Design, Coordinating & Re-assembling via The SIPT/CIPT/IPT
SYSTEM
CIPT CIPT
CIPTCIPT
Within Modules & Disciplines SophisticatedSimulation Based Design Systems Have Evolved
CADMODEL
PHYSICSMODEL
DECISIONDESIGN
DESIGN SPACE
- NON LINEAR - MULTI MODAL - DISCONTINUOUS - NOISEY - HIGHLY CONSTRAINED
ENGINEER MAY ITERATE 100s TO 1000s OF TIMES TO GETSATISFACTORY RESULTS -- MANUALLY !
Complex Designs Are Inherently & Brutally Iterative, Bounded By Best Practice Rules . . . . . . . .
WORKINSTRUCTIONS
CRITERIA
VALIDATEDANALYSIS
PREFERREDCONFIGURATIONS
STANDARDWORK
. . . and Complex Designs Are Iterated Across Disciplines & Organizations . . .
STAR
PROSTAR 3.00
23-SEP-97VIEW
1.000 1.000 1.000
ANGLE 0.000
DISTANCE 6.549
CENTER 10.138 -0.554 0.776
EHIDDEN PLOT
X
Y Z
CYCLE
1D AERO
COOLINGFLOWS
3D AERO
HEAT XDESIGN
PLATFORM
NECK
ATTACHMENT
DISK & SEALS
FEED FORWARD
FE
ED
BA
CK
IPTPROCESS
. . . And Iterations Can Take Place Across The Globe
• OUTSOURCING
• PARTNERSHIPS
• INTER-DIVISIONAL
• CUSTOMERS
STAFFINGSTAFFING
• STAFFING EXPLODES WITH FIDELITY: ANOTHER “CURSE OF DIMENSIONALITY”
FIDELITY
DESIGNSPACE
NEWENGINE
0D 1D 2D 3D 4D VTE
Iterations Are Simplified By Employing A Range Of Fidelity
KNOWLEDGE INFORMATION DATA
PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT PHASES
ConceptInitiation Detailed Design
PreliminaryDesign
Validation/Certification
ConceptOptimization
AirplaneValidation
Service &Support0 I 2 3 4 5
• REQUIRES EXTENSIVE KNOWLEDGE TO JUDGE LOW FIDELITY MODELS
SYSTEMOPTIMIZATIONENSURE CONFORMANCETO CUSTOMER NEEDS &BUSINESS GOALS
COMPONENTOPTIMIZATIONTEAMS - HUMAN INTERACTIONEXECUTE MANUAL MDO
PARTOPTIMIZATIONISOLATED MULTI-FIDELITY DESIGN SYSTEMS
Labor Intensive, Compartmentalized Design Process That Relies On Teams, Management, & Procedures
Result Is Manual “Human” Based Multidisciplinary Design Optimization – At Best
IPMT
CIPT CIPTCIPT
IPTIPTIPTIPTIPTIPT
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4LE
VE
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OF
FID
EL
ITY
NO
N-A
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TIC
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TIC
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NO
N-A
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TIC
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MARKETNEEDS
BUSINESSNEEDS
SYSTEM
Gains Can Be Made By Shifting From “Human” To “Computer” Based MDO
AUTOMATE WORKFLOW
AUTOMATE MODEL BUILDING & EXECUTION
AUTOMATE DESIGN EXPLORATION
MANUAL WORK FLOW per PROCESS MAPS
MANUAL CAD/CAE MODEL BUILDING& EXECUTION per STANDARD WORK
MANUAL EXPLORATION TO FIND OPTIMAL DESIGNS THAT MEET TECHNOLOGY LEVELS
“COMPUTER” BASED
WORKFLOW, RULES,WORKFLOW, RULES,And DESIGN ITERATIONSAnd DESIGN ITERATIONSAUTOMATED WITHINAUTOMATED WITHINAnd ACROSS SYSTEMS And ACROSS SYSTEMS & DISCIPLINES & DISCIPLINES
SYSTEM SUB-SYSTEM A SUB-SYSTEM B
Business PlanConcept &
Venture Definition
IntegratedBusiness
& Project Plan
Product/ Industrial Plan Execution & FETT
Validate, Certify, Deliver
EIS, OperationalService
& Support0 I II III IV V
Program Program Standard Work Flow
Business PlanConcept &
Venture Definition
IntegratedBusiness
& Project Plan
Product/ Industrial Plan Execution & FETT
Validate, Certify, Deliver
EIS, OperationalService
& Support0 I II III IV V
Program Program Standard Work Flow
Engineering Standard Work Flow
System
ConceptInitiation
Product Design Procurement & Initial Validation (FETT)
PreliminaryDesign
Validation/Certification
ConceptOptimization
AirplaneValidation
Service &Support0 I 2 3 4 5
Module
ConceptInitiation
Product Design Procurement & Initial Validation (FETT)
PreliminaryDesign
Validation/Certification
ConceptOptimization
AirplaneValidation
Service &Support
Part
ConceptInitiation
Product Design Procurement & Initial Validation (FETT)
PreliminaryDesign
Validation/Certification
ConceptOptimization
AirplaneValidation
Service &Support3I2 4 5I
SelectConcept
ProgramLaunch
After FETT
Release toProduction
I 2 3 4 5
2.52.5
“HUMAN” BASED
IPMT
CIPT CIPTCIPT
IPTIPTIPTIPTIPTIPT
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LE
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FID
EL
ITY
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N-A
NA
LY
TIC
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NO
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NA
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TIC
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NO
N-A
NA
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TIC
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-- LABOR INTENSIVE --
ASSESSMENT ASSESSMENT MODELINGMODELING
PHYSICS
COST
- SOLVE TURBULENCE- MULTIDISCIPLINARY ANALYSIS (MDA)- MATERIAL PROPERTIES- PROBABILISTICS
- MFG - MAINTENANCE - NEGOTIATED
INTEGRATION FRAMEWORKSINTEGRATION FRAMEWORKSPHYSICSMODELS
CAD/CAMMODELS
COSTMODELS
STANDARDWORK
COMPUTERESOURCESMDO
FIPER
Technologies Are Progressing To Enable Large Scale Computer Based MDO
GRID COMPUTINGGRID COMPUTING
CHALLENGES-SECURITY- POLITE COEXISTENCE- FAULT TOLERANCE
ROBUST ROBUST PARAMETRICPARAMETRIC
MASTER MODELMASTER MODEL
CHALLENGES -LARGE ASSEMBLIES -TOPOLOGICAL -GENERATIVE - DIRECT MFG
SYSTEM ANALYSISSYSTEM ANALYSIS
CHALLENGES-CYCLE BALANCE-2ND FLOWS-TRANSIENTS
COMPUTER BASEDCOMPUTER BASEDMDOMDO
NAVIGATETHE VIRTUAL
DESIGN SPACE
Implementation Path: Electronic Enterprise EngineeringElectronic Enterprise Engineering
LIBRARY OF“WRAPPED” TOOLS
A
B
C
B
CG
VALIDATED
CERTIFIED
EMBEDDEDKNOWLEDGE
CONTROLLED
INTEGRATIONFRAMEWORK
A
E
C
G
B
D
F
H
INTEGRATETHIRD PARTY& LEGACY TOOLS
INDUSTRYACCEPTED
COMMERCIAL
ELECTRONICPROCESS MAPS
A
B
D E
F
C
G
AA
BB
DD EE
FF
CC
GG
TOOLSINTEGRATEDINTO ELECTRONICPROCESS MAPS & ASSOCIATED WITH WORKINSTRUCTIONS
ELECTRONICIPT
A
B
D E
F
C
G
IPT 1
IPT 2
IPT 3
WORK FLOWMANAGEMENT
COLLABORATIVEENGINEERING
SECURE B2B
COMPUTER BASEDOPTIMIZATION
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B
D E
F
C
G
SYSTEMOPTIMIZER
OP
TIM
IZE
R
OP
TIM
IZE
R
IPT 1&2
IPT 3
AUTOMATEITERATION
SATISFY CRITERIA
GRID COMPUTING
Large Scale Computer Based MDO Is AlreadyPractical
Aero Xsections
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
AreaS1 AreaS2 AreaS3 AreaS4 AreaS5
Are
a
Initial
Iteration 515
Aero Xsections
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
AreaS1 AreaS2 AreaS3 AreaS4 AreaS5
Are
a
Initial
Iteration 515
AIRFOILSHAPE
OPTIMIZER
PARAMETRICCAD MESH
VIBRATORYANALYSIS
3D AEROCFD
EFFICIENCY
STRESS MODE 1
MODE 2 MODE 3 MODE 4
CAMPBELL DIAGRAM
3D Aero-Vibratory Shape Optimization Of A Cooled Turbine Airfoil(Single Row RANS CFD, Cooled UG Parametric Model, 3D ANSYS Vibes)
Large Scale Computer Based MDO Is AlreadyBecoming Practical
GENERATION0 10 20 30
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
DE
LT
A T
UR
BIN
E E
FF
ICIE
NC
Y
150 VARIABLES 15 CONSTRAINTS
LOSS CONTOURS
LOSS CONTOURS
3D Shape Optimization Based On Hybrid Genetic Algorithm & Rule System(3D RANS Multi Row CFD, Population Size 80, Total Runs 2400, Run Time 48 hrs on 40CPUs)
Discovered “bowed” rotorTo control tip leakageVortex
Efficient Scalable System Problem FormulationsAre Becoming Understood For Gas Turbine Design
APPROXIMATIONTO HIGH FIDELITYAPPROXIMATIONTO HIGH FIDELITY
LIFE
WEIGHT
COST
LIFE
WEIGHT
COST
MIN: WEIGHT & COST ST: JOB TCKT & SWVAR: MECHANICALS
LIFE
WEIGHT
COST
LIFE
WEIGHT
COST
MIN: WEIGHT & COST ST: JOB TCKT & SWVAR: MECHANICALS
LIFE
WEIGHT
COST
LIFE
WEIGHT
COST
MIN: WEIGHT & COST ST: JOB TCKT & SWVAR: MECHANICALS
HIGH FIDELITY PARTSHIGH FIDELITY PARTS
NUMERICALOPTIMIZATION
x1
x2Xi+1 = Xi - ifi
NUMERICALOPTIMIZATION
x1
x2Xi+1 = Xi - ifi
x1
x2Xi+1 = Xi - ifi
TURBINE (i) MIN: COST LOCAL ST: JOB TCKT & SWVAR: RADI & AIRFOILS
MEANLINE
COMPRESSOR (i)MIN: COST LOCAL ST: JOB TCKT & SWVAR: RADI & AIRFOILS
MEANLINE
BURNER (i) MIN: COST LOCAL ST: JOB TCKT & SWVAR: RADI & LENGTHS
MEANLINE
FLOWPATH
TURBINE (i) MIN: COST LOCAL ST: JOB TCKT & SWVAR: RADI & AIRFOILS
MEANLINE
COMPRESSOR (i)MIN: COST LOCAL ST: JOB TCKT & SWVAR: RADI & AIRFOILS
MEANLINE
BURNER (i) MIN: COST LOCAL ST: JOB TCKT & SWVAR: RADI & LENGTHS
MEANLINE
TURBINE (i) MIN: COST LOCAL ST: JOB TCKT & SWVAR: RADI & AIRFOILS
MEANLINE
COMPRESSOR (i)MIN: COST LOCAL ST: JOB TCKT & SWVAR: RADI & AIRFOILS
MEANLINE
BURNER (i) MIN: COST LOCAL ST: JOB TCKT & SWVAR: RADI & LENGTHS
MEANLINE
FLOWPATHFLOWPATH
PROBLEM FORMULATION
MIN: MANUFACTURING COSTST: DOC+I, RANGE, NOISE, EMISSIONSVARIABLES: SYSTEM DISCRETE & CONTINUOUS
DISCRETE PARAMETERS,--- Nspool, GEAR, ROTATION, MIXED, MOUNTS, etc.
CONTINUOUS PARAMETERS -- BPR, FPR, OPR, WS, CET, Wc, RPMi, etc
FULLENGINEMODEL(0D, 1D, 2D, 3D) VEHICLE ANALYSIS
REPRESENTATION
CONFIGURATOR
CYCLE
PROBLEM FORMULATION
MIN: MANUFACTURING COSTST: DOC+I, RANGE, NOISE, EMISSIONSVARIABLES: SYSTEM DISCRETE & CONTINUOUS
DISCRETE PARAMETERS,--- Nspool, GEAR, ROTATION, MIXED, MOUNTS, etc.
CONTINUOUS PARAMETERS -- BPR, FPR, OPR, WS, CET, Wc, RPMi, etc
FULLENGINEMODEL(0D, 1D, 2D, 3D) VEHICLE ANALYSIS
PROBLEM FORMULATION
MIN: MANUFACTURING COSTST: DOC+I, RANGE, NOISE, EMISSIONSVARIABLES: SYSTEM DISCRETE & CONTINUOUS
DISCRETE PARAMETERS,--- Nspool, GEAR, ROTATION, MIXED, MOUNTS, etc.
CONTINUOUS PARAMETERS -- BPR, FPR, OPR, WS, CET, Wc, RPMi, etc
FULLENGINEMODEL(0D, 1D, 2D, 3D) VEHICLE ANALYSIS
MIN: MANUFACTURING COSTST: DOC+I, RANGE, NOISE, EMISSIONSVARIABLES: SYSTEM DISCRETE & CONTINUOUS
DISCRETE PARAMETERS,--- Nspool, GEAR, ROTATION, MIXED, MOUNTS, etc.
CONTINUOUS PARAMETERS -- BPR, FPR, OPR, WS, CET, Wc, RPMi, etc
FULLENGINEMODEL(0D, 1D, 2D, 3D) VEHICLE ANALYSIS
MIN: MANUFACTURING COSTST: DOC+I, RANGE, NOISE, EMISSIONSVARIABLES: SYSTEM DISCRETE & CONTINUOUS
DISCRETE PARAMETERS,--- Nspool, GEAR, ROTATION, MIXED, MOUNTS, etc.
CONTINUOUS PARAMETERS -- BPR, FPR, OPR, WS, CET, Wc, RPMi, etc
MIN: MANUFACTURING COSTST: DOC+I, RANGE, NOISE, EMISSIONSVARIABLES: SYSTEM DISCRETE & CONTINUOUS
DISCRETE PARAMETERS,--- Nspool, GEAR, ROTATION, MIXED, MOUNTS, etc.
CONTINUOUS PARAMETERS -- BPR, FPR, OPR, WS, CET, Wc, RPMi, etc
FULLENGINEMODEL(0D, 1D, 2D, 3D) VEHICLE ANALYSIS
REPRESENTATION
CONFIGURATOR
CYCLE
REPRESENTATION
CONFIGURATOR
CYCLE
CONFIGURATOR
CYCLE
ALGORITHMS
$
WT
SFC
TRIAL A B C D E F G
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 4 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 5 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 6 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 7 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 8 2 2 1 2 1 1 2
RESPONSE SURFACEMODELS
Y1
ROBUSTDESIGN
DESIGNOFEXPERIMENT
ALGORITHMS
$
WT
SFC
TRIAL A B C D E F G
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 4 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 5 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 6 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 7 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 8 2 2 1 2 1 1 2
RESPONSE SURFACEMODELS
Y1
ROBUSTDESIGN
DESIGNOFEXPERIMENT
ALGORITHMS
$
WT
SFC
$$
WTWT
SFCSFC
TRIAL A B C D E F G
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 4 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 5 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 6 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 7 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 8 2 2 1 2 1 1 2
TRIAL A B C D E F G
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 4 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 5 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 6 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 7 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 8 2 2 1 2 1 1 2
RESPONSE SURFACEMODELS
Y1
ROBUSTDESIGN
DESIGNOFEXPERIMENT
LESS TIMELESS TIMEFEWER PEOPLEFEWER PEOPLE
Will Enable New Design ParadigmsNew Design Paradigms
COMPUTER BASED DESIGNCOMPUTER BASED DESIGNRUN 24/7 365 DAYS A YEAR
CONTINUOUS DETAILED DESIGN
SOLVE ALL POSSIBLEAPPLICATIONS @ TECHNOLOGY READINESS LEVEL
CUSTOMER NEEDS
UNDERSTAND THE FUTURE
CREATE TECHNOLOGY
IMPROVE MODELS
RE-FORMULATE PROBLEM
UPGRADE COMPUTER BASED DESIGN “MACHINE”
ENGINEERSENGINEERS
CUSTOMER REQ. EXCEED TECHNOLOGY
Powering Change………….Powering Freedom