energy efficiency and risk assessment of the introduction

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Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction of Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles in a Mediterranean town Smaragdakis Angelos ( MSc, Environmental Engineer) Dr. Sotiris Kamenopoulos Prof. Theocharis Tsoutsos www.resel.tuc.gr

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Page 1: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of

the Introduction of Fuel Cell Electric

Vehicles in a Mediterranean town

Smaragdakis Angelos (MSc, Environmental Engineer)

Dr. Sotiris Kamenopoulos

Prof. Theocharis Tsoutsos

www.resel.tuc.gr

Page 2: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Topics

Sustainable Energy Systems Policy and Planning• Regional/local energy planning• Renewables and environment• Sustainable energy development• Life Cycle Assessment•Technology Transfer

Sustainable Building• Sustainable Energy

Building Design• RES Integration• Phase Changing Materials• Energy audits in buildings

RES Technologies• Design• Testing• Environmental Impact Assessment• Sustainability Analysis

Biomass – Biofuels• Exploitation of agrofood residues• Production of liquid biofuels• Biofuel heating of buildings• Technically and economically available

potential

Page 3: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

EU funded projects (i.e. Intelligent Energy-Europe, Interreg,

COST, FP5, FP6, FP7, LEONARDO, LIFE+) and national contracts:

Involved in more than 40 projects as coordinators and more

than 60 participating as experts, mainly concerning:

˃ sustainable energy planning at regional/local level

˃ technoeconomic analysis of sustainable energy applications

˃ minimization of environmental impact of large scale RES

projects

˃ knowledge transfer (industry, buildings, transport)

˃ commercialization of new energy technologies

˃ planning and implementation of dissemination activities on

energy and environment

˃ professional training and capacity building for trainers,

technical staff and public authorities

Experience with energy efficiency, RES &

Sustainable Mobility

Page 4: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Recent EU contracted projects

Coordination

Participation

Page 5: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Publications

Page 6: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Special Issues

Page 7: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Introduction

❖ Emissions due to transportation in 2015 were 23 % more than

1990 levels despite a decline between 2008 and 2013→Emissions

increased by almost 2% compared with 2014

❖ Reliable solution to CO2 mitigation→ Electric vehicles emitting

zero tailpipes

❖ Types of electric vehicles around the world:

• Battery electric

• Plug-in hybrid electric

• Hybrid electric

• Fuel cell electric

Page 8: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Introduction

Graph 1: Global EV sales forecasting by geography (International Energy Agency).

Page 9: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Introduction

• Sales of EVs in Greece are extremely low:

Graph 2. Sales of different technology cars between years 2012-2018 in Greece.

Page 10: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Introduction

Why Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles?

• Electric vehicles produce zero tailpipes (FCEV water as tailpipes).

• Use hydrogen as an alternative fuel

• Environmental friendly construction and operation in comparison with conventional

vehicles

• CO2 mitigations and reduce GHG emissions

How FCEV work?

1. Insert hydrogen and oxygen(air)

2. Combination of the above in the fuel cell

3. Production of electricity and movement

Fig 2. FCEV conceptual diagram (https://www.toyota-

global.com/innovation/environmental_technology/fuelcell_vehicle/).

Page 11: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Introduction

Fuel Cell Vs. Carnot Cycle Efficiency

• The efficiency limit of a Carnot heat engine is defined as: 𝐧𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐨𝐭 = 𝟏 −𝐓𝐋

𝐓𝐇

• The efficiency level of an Otto engine is defined as :𝐧𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐨𝐭 = 𝟏 +𝑸𝐋

𝑸𝑯

Fuel cells are not limited by the Carnot & Otto efficiency limit.

• Operate isothermally – no temperature cycling

• Operate with less energy lost in maintaining the temperature of the “hot

source”

• Are inherently less irreversible

• The maximum efficiency of the fuel cell could be 83%

• Hydrogen powered fuel cells can have two to three times the energy efficiency

of traditional combustion technologies

Page 12: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Introduction

Advantages Disadvantages

Great fuel efficiency in electricity > 60% Relatively high purchase costs

Low harmful emissions (depending of fuel type) Limited life

No noise Low availability

Variety in fuel supply using the fuel reformer. Fuel reform adds complexity and cost.

Absence of mechanical/rotating parts, increasing

the reliability Incomplete hydrogen infrastructure

Direct power generation

Table 1. Advantages & disadvantages of fuel cell technologies.

Page 13: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Scope & goal of the research

➢ Identify and assess the hazards that are related to the operation and

maintenance of an FCEV

➢ Assess the associated hazards

➢ Elucidate the importance of safety at FCEV during normal operation

➢ Provide a critical view of the hazards of vehicles and relate them with

the introduction of sustainable mobility into the local society

➢ Provide a Risk Management regarding FCEV operation/maintenance:

• Operational Risk Management was chosen

Page 14: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Methodology

• ORM(Operational Risk Management): was designed mainly for

defence operations.

• A dynamic tool with the help of which someone may continuously provide

essential risk management procedures

• An essential tool to build a qualitative commencement assessment of

related hazards

• Why ORM?

• Usage of vehicles as an indispensable part of our life

• Lack of statistical data regarding FCEV operational misfortunes

Page 15: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Methodology

• Five Steps of ORM:

1. identify hazards and their sources

2. assess the hazards

3. make risk decisions

4. implement controls

5. supervise and watch for a change

Define Scope

System Description

Hazard Identification

Hazards Analysis

Risk Assessment

Hazards Control

Control Verification

Risk Decisions

Implement Controls

Supervise and watch for change

Modify SystemNo

Yes

1

2

5

3

4

Fig 3. Steps of operational risk assessment.

Page 16: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Methodology

➢ Identify hazards and their sources & assess the hazards

Fig 2. FCEV hazard categories.

Page 17: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Methodology

• Several Experts and people relevant to the topic, to asses the

probability, the severity and the weight of each scenario.EVENT (1) CONDITION (2) RESULT (3)

PROBABILITY (4)

A, B, C, D

SEVERITY (5)

I, II, III, IVWEIGHT (6)

NOT FOLLOWED

BASIC

ELECTRICAL

REQUIREMENTS

(ELECTRICAL CODE-NEC )

ELECTRIC SHOCKS PRODUCED BY ELECTRIC

COMPONENTS (e.g. ELECTRIC MOTOR, FUEL

CELL)

ELECTRIC SHOCK, FIRE-

EXPLOSION

NOT FOLLOWED

BASIC

ELECTRICAL

REQUIREMENTS

(ELECTRICAL CODE-NEC )

FLYWHEELS ARE UNBALANCED OR THEIR

ENCLOSURES BROKEN BY ACCIDENTELECTRIC SHOCK

POOR SAFETY PROGRAMFUEL CELL INSTALLATION ELECTRIC SHOCK

NOT FOLLOWED

BASIC

ELECTRICAL

REQUIREMENTS

(ELECTRICAL CODE-NEC )

ELECTROSTATIC SPARKS FROM POORLY

EARTHED OR NON-CONDUCTIVE PIPEWORK

ELECTRIC SHOCK, FIRE-

EXPLOSION

POOR SAFETY PROGRAM ISOLATION FAULT ELECTRIC SHOCK

Table 1. A sample of ‘’Event-Probability matrix’’

Page 18: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Methodology

Table 2. Stakeholders to fill out the ‘’Event-Probability matrix’’

1 • Maintenance

2 • Producers

3 • Users

4 • Researchers

5 • Env. Organizations

6 • Refueling stations/ Chargers owners

7 • Policy makers

Stakeholders

Page 19: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Methodology

• Risk Decision

Step Description Level of probability, severity and weight

1 Assess the

‘’Probability’’

A. Likely to occur immediately or within a short period

B. Probably will occur in timeC. May occur in timeD. Unlikely to occur

2 Assess the ‘’Severity’’ I. Catastrophic: May cause death or loss of vehicle facilityII. Critical: May cause severe injury, occupational illness of vehicleIII. Marginal: May cause minor injury, occupational illness or vehicle

damageIV. Negligible: Probably would not affect personal safety or health but is

a violation of a safety standard

3 Provide the

‘’Weights’’

The weight should be a number from 0 to 1 with a step at 0.05

Table 3.The 3-steps process that the experts should follow in order to assess the hazards.

Page 20: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Methodology

Severity Probability

↓ A B C D

I 1 1 2 3

II 1 2 3 4

III 2 3 4 5

IV 3 4 5 5

1. Critical2. Serious3. Moderate4. Minor5. Negligible

Table 4. Risk assessment code

matrix.(https://www.bia.gov/sites/bia.gov/files/assets/public/pdf/idc-

017618.pdf)

Page 21: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Results

• Ranking each scenario by its mean score

• Mean scores between 4 & 5→ Accepted

• Mean scores between 1 & 2→Rejected

• Risks with a RAC equal to 3→Need to be re-engineered

• Standard deviation→ to quantify the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of data values

• Confidence level→ to quantify the level of confidence that the parameter lies in the interval

Page 22: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Results analysis-Conclusion

Negatives

❖ Technological hazards→ Fuel

cell and catalyst operation

❖ Vehicle operation→ No noise

during operation of engine

❖ Lack of experience→ High

standard deviation

Positives

❖ Progress of transport sector→ vehicles

to be safer and safer

❖ Use of alternative fuel→ Hydrogen

treatment as LPG

❖ Experts opinion→ FCEV are as safe as

conventional vehicles

❖ Public opinion→ Electric vehicles

market to grow in the years to come

Page 23: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Future research

• More stakeholders

• Economic analysis(TCO &

Payback Period)

• Establish renewed codes,

standards and guides for

hydrogen applications

• Gradually informing the

public about the benefits

of electrification

• Increase the accuracy of the

results

• Provide more information

about the introduction of FCEV

to the local community

• Worldwide increase of FCEV

sales, inform about the

changes

• Better understand about how

electric vehicle work

Page 24: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

• More information and results:

• Status: paper review

Page 25: Energy Efficiency and Risk Assessment of the Introduction

Smaragdakis Angelos

[email protected]

www.resel.tuc.gr

THANK YOU

FOR YOUR KIND ATTENTION!