energy consumption modelling in the injection moulding ... · moulding is a relatively low energy...

98
Energy Consumption Modelling in the Injection Moulding Industry Gonçalo Nuno Alfredo Cardeal Thesis to obtain the Master of Science Degree in Mechanical Engineering Supervisors: Prof. Inês Esteves Ribeiro Prof. Paulo Miguel Nogueira Peças Examination Committee Chairperson: Prof. Rui Manuel dos Santos Oliveira Baptista Supervisor: Prof. Inês Esteves Ribeiro Members of the Committee: Prof. Elsa Maria Pires Henriques Doctor António José Caetano Baptista November 2016

Upload: others

Post on 11-Feb-2020

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Energy Consumption Modelling in the Injection Moulding

Industry

Gonçalo Nuno Alfredo Cardeal

Thesis to obtain the Master of Science Degree in

Mechanical Engineering

Supervisors: Prof. Inês Esteves Ribeiro

Prof. Paulo Miguel Nogueira Peças

Examination Committee

Chairperson: Prof. Rui Manuel dos Santos Oliveira Baptista

Supervisor: Prof. Inês Esteves Ribeiro

Members of the Committee: Prof. Elsa Maria Pires Henriques

Doctor António José Caetano Baptista

November 2016

i

ii

Acknowledgments

I would like to express my sincere gratitude to Prof. Inês Ribeiro and Prof. Paulo Peças for supporting

me and this thesis with their time, knowledge and most important, understanding during the development

of this dissertation.

I would like to thank the company that opened its doors to me and allowed the completion of my master

thesis. I would like to thank specially Eng. Filipe Santos, José Lopes and Francisco for their assistance

during the time I spent in the company, and for their guidance and friendship.

Also, I would like to thank my colleagues, Diogo, João, Rita, Maria, Rafael, Manuel, Vasco and Tiago

for the companionship during this journey. I would like to thank in particular Ana Rita for the help,

companionship and collaboration regarding the last part of both our thesis.

To my family I would like to thank specially for the patience and support given not only during this thesis

but during all of my studies. Thank you for the patience, encouragement and attention.

Last but not least, I would like to thank Barbara for all the support during the last few years and especially

during the development of this dissertation, for giving me the courage I needed to complete this journey.

iii

Abstract

The injection moulding process is a large-scale process at a global level, and therefore leads to a high

environmental and economic impact. Because of this large scale, small efficiency improvements may

lead to large energy savings. In general, the injection moulding companies are focused on energy

consumption and their main goal is to reduce energy in order to achieve a sustainable manufacturing.

Several models have been developed to predict energy consumptions in different industries, and plastic

injection is no different. Specific energy consumption models, SEC, are used throughout the industry

and process based models have been developed to account for the properties of the injection moulding

process. Nevertheless, the scarce of data inhibit those models to estimate the energy consumption with

the required accuracy to be assumed as validated to a wide universe of technological and production

contexts.

This thesis evaluates different models to estimate the energy consumption in injection moulding parts

production based on an extensive data collection set in industrial environment. SEC and process based

models are developed and extensively tested with the data gathered in industrial environment.

Further, it was developed a model to estimate energy consumptions in the injection moulding industry

based on neural networks. This model takes advantage of the extensive industrial data gathered and

uses a carefully selected group of parameters as inputs to obtain estimations of the energy consumed

in the process.

Keywords: Sustainable Manufacturing, Energy Consumption, Injection Moulding, SEC, Process Based

Model, Neural Network

iv

Resumo

O processo de injeção de plástico envolve grandes volumes produtivos a nível global, resultando em

consideráveis impactos económicos e ambientais. Como resultado da grande escala, pequenas

melhorias na eficiência do processo podem conduzir a significantes poupanças de energia. Em geral,

as empresas envolvidas nesta área produtiva mostram grande preocupação com os consumos de

energia, e o seu principal foco é a redução da energia consumida para atingir uma produção mais

sustentável.

Diversos modelos foram desenvolvidos com o objetivo de estimar consumos energéticos em diferentes

processos e a injeção de plásticos não é exceção. Modelos de energia específica são vastamente

utilizados em diversos processos, incluindo a injeção de plásticos, e vários autores desenvolveram

modelos do processo para contabilizar as particularidades deste processo. Contudo, a diminuta

quantidade de dados experimentais utilizados no desenvolvimento das abordagens existentes significa

que os modelos propostos não podem ser assumidos como validos perante as comunidades científicas

e industrial.

Esta tese analisa diferentes modelos de estimativa de consumos de energia na indústria de injeção de

plásticos com base numa vasta base de dados recolhidos em ambiente industrial. São desenvolvidas

e testadas abordagens de consumo específico de energia, SEC, bem como um modelo do processo,

PBM, utilizando os dados recolhidos.

Adicionalmente, é proposto um modelo de estimativa de consumos de energia baseado em redes

neuronais. Este modelo beneficia da extensa base de dados recolhida e utiliza um número bem

estudado de variáveis de entrada para propor estimativas de energia consumida.

Palavras-Chave: Produção Sustentável, Consumo de Energia, Injeção de Plástico, SEC, Modelo do

Processo, PBM, Redes Neuronais

v

Contents

Acknowledgments ................................................................................................................................. ii

Abstract ................................................................................................................................................. iii

Resumo.................................................................................................................................................. iv

Nomenclature ......................................................................................................................................... x

1. Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 1

2. Injection Moulding ......................................................................................................................... 3

2.1. Origins and Growth ................................................................................................................ 3

2.2. Process Description ............................................................................................................... 4

2.2.1. Machines Used ......................................................................................................... 4

2.2.2. Process ..................................................................................................................... 5

2.3. Energy Consumption in Injection Moulding ........................................................................... 6

3. Energy Modelling ........................................................................................................................... 8

3.1. Overview ................................................................................................................................ 8

3.2. Energy consumption modelling in injection moulding ......................................................... 13

3.2.1. Thermodynamic models ......................................................................................... 14

3.2.2. Machine models ...................................................................................................... 15

3.2.3. Dual Model .............................................................................................................. 15

3.2.4. SEC models ............................................................................................................ 16

3.2.5. SEC vs Throughput ................................................................................................ 17

3.2.6. Artificial Neural Networks........................................................................................ 18

4. Methodology ................................................................................................................................. 20

4.1. Literature Revision ............................................................................................................... 21

4.2. Experimental work ............................................................................................................... 21

4.3. Model development ............................................................................................................. 22

5. Energy consumption analysis .................................................................................................... 24

5.1. Measuring Equipment .......................................................................................................... 24

5.2. Measuring method ............................................................................................................... 25

5.3. Experimental data ................................................................................................................ 29

5.4. Data analysis ....................................................................................................................... 31

5.5. Causes of the variation of energy consumptions for similar processes .............................. 35

vi

6. Model Development ..................................................................................................................... 38

6.1. Specific Energy Consumption ............................................................................................. 38

6.1.1. SEC vs Material type .............................................................................................. 39

6.1.2. SEC vs Clamping Force ......................................................................................... 41

6.1.3. Combined Data ....................................................................................................... 44

6.2. Process-Based Model ......................................................................................................... 46

6.2.1. New coefficients ...................................................................................................... 50

6.3. Neural Networks .................................................................................................................. 52

7. Discussion .................................................................................................................................... 60

7.1. SEC Model .......................................................................................................................... 60

7.2. Process-Based Model ......................................................................................................... 61

7.3. Neural Networks Model ....................................................................................................... 62

8. Conclusion ................................................................................................................................... 63

9. Future Work .................................................................................................................................. 65

10. References .................................................................................................................................... 66

11. Annex ............................................................................................................................................ 69

11.1. Annex I- Data Gathering Sheet ........................................................................................... 69

11.2. Annex II- Machine List ......................................................................................................... 70

11.3. Annex III- Experimental data ............................................................................................... 73

11.4. Annex IV- Matlab Code ........................................................................................................ 84

vii

List of figures

Figure 2.1- Schematics of a typical injection machine [7] ....................................................................... 4

Figure 2.2- Energy consumed during an injection moulding cycle by a hybrid (electric screw drive) and

an all-electric machine [3] ........................................................................................................................ 5

Figure 2.3- Contribution of the different machine parts in the energy consumption ............................... 6

Figure 3.1- Graphic showing the evolution of the specific energy consumption with the variation in

throughput [27] ...................................................................................................................................... 10

Figure 3.2- Energy balance “approach” [12] .......................................................................................... 16

Figure 3.3: Energy used in an automobile machining line as function of production rate [27] .............. 17

Figure 3.4: SEC vs Throughput [28] ...................................................................................................... 18

Figure 3.5 Schematic of a multi-layer artificial neural network [34] ....................................................... 19

Figure 4.1- Scheme of the methodology chosen to approach the thesis .............................................. 20

Figure 5.1- Equipment used to measure energy consumptions, PROVA 6830 .................................... 24

Figure 5.2- Instalation of equipment A ................................................................................................... 25

Figure 5.3- Example of the consumption profile obtained with method A ............................................. 26

Figure 5.4- Detailed view of a power consumption graphic (Method A) ................................................ 27

Figure 5.5- Detailed view of the different stages of the injection cycle ................................................. 27

Figure 5.6- Example of power usage graphic obtained by method B ................................................... 28

Figure 5.7- Influence of the machines installed power on the energy consumption ............................. 31

Figure 5.8- Close up of the influence of the machines installed power on the energy consumption .... 32

Figure 5.9- Influence of the cycle time on the energy consumption ...................................................... 32

Figure 5.10- Influence of the injected mass on the energy consumption .............................................. 33

Figure 5.11- Detail of the influence of the injected mass on the energy consumption .......................... 34

Figure 5.12- Relation between the energy consumption and the maximum thickness of the injected part

............................................................................................................................................................... 34

Figure 5.13- Power consumption profile for machine 58 with and without the VFD ............................. 36

Figure 6.1- Graphic showing the relation between the specific energy consumption of the measures took

and the throughput for each case. ......................................................................................................... 38

Figure 6.2- Graphic showing the relation between the specific energy consumption of the measures took

and the throughput for each case, highlighting the different materials used. ........................................ 40

viii

Figure 6.3- Graphic relating the specific energy consumption of the different experimental cases with

the correspondent machines clamping force. The average SEC value for each case is highlighted. .. 41

Figure 6.4- Graphic showing the SEC vs Throughput for the data from companies A, B, C ................ 45

Figure 6.5- Table showing the specific energy consumption for the measures taken in the three

companies group by the machines clamping force ............................................................................... 46

Figure 6.6- Evolution of the estimated machine power coefficient with the ratio between the

thermodynamic power and the installed power. .................................................................................... 51

Figure 6.7- Correlation between the target and output for the training, test and overall sets ............... 56

Figure 6.8- Correlation between the target and output for the training, test and overall sets for the

combined data set ................................................................................................................................. 58

ix

List of tables

Table 3-1- Comparison of the models found in the literature ................................................................ 13

Table 5-1- Distribution of the different machines by clamping force ...................................................... 29

Table 5-2- Material properties used for modelling energy consumptions [40] ....................................... 30

Table 5-3- Example of the data gathered .............................................................................................. 30

Table 5-4- Comparison of the average power consumption between the same machine, using VFD's

and working in normal condition. ........................................................................................................... 37

Table 6-1- Correlation of the curve relating each material specific energy consumption and its throughput

............................................................................................................................................................... 40

Table 6-2- Average values of specific energy consumption [MJ/kg], sorted by clamping force [ton] .... 42

Table 6-3- Average values of specific energy consumption [MJ/kg], sorted by clamping force [ton] .... 43

Table 6-4- Distribution of the data used ................................................................................................. 44

Table 6-5- Inputs and outputs used in Ribeiro et al model [12]. ............................................................ 47

Table 6-6- Example of the average error obtained using the selected PBM model .............................. 49

Table 6-7- Inputs and output used in the ANN learning process ........................................................... 52

Table 6-8- Results of the experiments for the first training set, {70,15,15} ........................................... 54

Table 6-9- Results of the experiments for the second training set, {60,25,15} ...................................... 55

Table 6-10- Results of the experiments for the third training set, {50,25,25} ........................................ 55

Table 6-11- Key variables used in the model ranked in terms of influence in the results...................... 56

Table 6-12- Results of the experiments for the first training set, {70,15,15} [Combined data] .............. 57

Table 6-13- Results of the experiments for the first training set, {60,25,15} [Combined data] .............. 57

Table 6-14- Results of the experiments for the first training set, {50,25,25} [Combined data] .............. 58

Table 6-15- Comparison of the MSE and standard deviation results in both the single and the combined

data set .................................................................................................................................................. 59

x

Nomenclature

SEC Specific Energy Consumption

PBM Process Based Model

NN Neural Network

ABS Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene

POM Polyoxymethylene

PP Polypropylene

PS Polystyrene

1

1. Introduction

Plastic is one of the materials more used in the manufacturing industry and injection moulding is the

main process responsible for the manufacturing of plastic components and products. Plastic injection

moulding is a relatively low energy process, however, the large scale of this process at a global level

means that there are significant amounts of energy being spend in this process, thus, an apparently low

reduction in energy consumption can lead to significant power savings.

The topic of energy saving is increasingly important at a global scale. A reduction in the amount of

energy consumed in large scaled processes throughout the industry can lead not only to significant

reductions in the cost of the final product, but also to a significant positive impact on the environmental

crisis that is affecting the worlds nowadays. In fact, most companies have already put in motion

environmental plans intending to reduce the impact caused by their production to achieve sustainable

production. Most of this plans include energy monitoring and planning as this is a preponderant factor

to achieve environmental sustainability and sustainable production.

The topic of energy impact reduction is already approached by monitoring and controlling the patterns

of energy consumption during the process. However, the most common practice for this objective is to

act in the planning stage of the process. Throughout the industry, products are planned and designed

with the objective of achieving the lowest possible energy consumption. This is, in fact, the best time to

approach the problem, as decision and options made during the design stage of the part/process can

difficult the process of reducing energy consumptions during the manufacturing of the product. To

improve the results obtained in this stage and reach the process with the lowest impact possible it is key

to properly estimate energy consumptions.

In this thesis it is presented an extensive analysis of the models available to estimate energy

consumptions in the injection moulding industry. A group of models were selected to be tested,

developed and validated using a comprehensive data set gathered in industrial environment using

coherent techniques and methodologies.

The first chapter introduces the theme and provides a small description of the document.

The second and third chapters present the review of the existing literature, the selection of the relevant

models to test and develop and the identification of the key variables in energy consumption.

In the fourth chapter is presented and described the methodology used to approach this thesis.

The fifth chapter introduces the data gathered in the visited company. In this chapter the data is

presented in detail and a study of the influence of each monitored parameter is shown. There is also

presented a combination of information gathered in the company regarding different process and

machines characteristics and relating them to the energy consumption.

Different approaches are tested in chapter six for the most commonly used method for predicting energy

consumptions, the SEC model. This metric is capable of producing estimations without requiring great

2

knowledge of the process and its conditions. With only one input energy consumptions can be estimated.

This metrics is developed using different approaches, first a generic SEC value is calculated and

posteriorly the machines and materials are grouped to obtained new values.

This chapter also presents an analysis of applicability of a process based model to the case study

mounted. This analysis consists of the validation of the previously presented model and the further

development of the same model.

Lastly, the sixth chapter presents the development and testing of a neural network model for estimating

energy consumptions. This model is sensitive to a large number of processing parameters as well as

machine and material used. It is relatively simple and fast to use because it works similarly to a black

box, in a way that it does not require the understanding of the process behind the model.

The seventh chapter provides a discussion of the results obtained during the thesis. In this chapter the

limitations/advantages of each tested model are pointed out.

Chapter eight is composed by the conclusion of the work developed. This chapter compares and places

the different models observed during this thesis.

3

2. Injection Moulding

Plastic injection moulding is a process widely used in global level. Plastic injection industry is becoming

more important in recent years, being used in different sectors throughout the market.

In the present day, plastic is a widely use material and injection moulding is a process responsible for a

considerable part of the plastic used. It is estimated that 32% of the plastic used in the manufacturing

industry comes from injection moulding [1].

According to Fisher et al. [2], plastics have a significant presence in several different industries. In 2000

it was estimated that 42% of the produced toys constitution was plastic, small house appliances were

constituted 33% by plastic and that monitoring and control systems were 38% made out of this material.

Plastic injection moulding is a fairly inexpensive process that can be used in a large scale and allows

the manufacturing of complex parts maintaining high quality standards, there for, most of the plastic

used in this cases results of injection moulding processes [3].

This chapter presents a brief history of injection moulding as well as a small discussion of the process

and its components.

2.1. Origins and Growth

Injection moulding first appeared in the late 1800’s and it was used to produce medical appliances, small

buttons and components for the aerospace industry [4]. The process began to grow until 1930s when

the major development in vinyl thermoplastics begun. In 1946 the first injection machine using a screw

mechanism was invented and this configuration it’s used to this date in 95% of the machines [5]. With

this new structure of machine, the industry continued to grow and more materials were introduced.

Latter, in 1979 the plastic production overtakes the steel production and just six years after, in 1985 the

first electric machine is invented. Today, plastic moulding is one of the main manufacturing technics, and

in the UK alone it evolved from an 18 million pound (2002) business to a 3,2 billion pound in the modern

days [5].

In Portugal, both the injection moulding industry and the moulding making industry are preponderant.

The mould making industry is growing and counts with 532 companies distributed over two major areas,

employing a total of around 8250 workers. This numbers might appear small, but Portugal is amongst

the major mould makers in the world, exporting 90% of the annual production to country’s such as

Germany, USA, France, amongst others [6].

4

2.2. Process Description

2.2.1. Machines Used

In the modern injection moulding industry, 95% of the machines used are based on a screw mechanism

[5]. This type of machine is constituted by two different units, the injection, and the clamping unit, as

shown in Figure 2.1.

Figure 2.1- Schematics of a typical injection machine [7]

The two units present in the constitution of injection machines serve different purposes during the

injection process.

1. Injection unit: This part of the machine is responsible by injecting the material and maintaining

the pressure during the injection. In order to achieve this, the injection unit is responsible for

receiving the material, melting the polymer, injecting it into the mould cavity and maintaining the

pressure.

2. Clamping unit: The clamping unit is the part of the machine responsible for closing the two sides

of the mould and by maintaining the pressure during the process. It’s also responsible for

opening the face of the mould to extract the injected part.

There are currently three different types of injection machines using the screw system, [8]. Each one

presenting different energy profiles. The most commonly found machine is the hydraulic, but there are

also hybrid and electric machines. Hydraulic machines are the most significant in terms of energy

consumption,[8], their method of functioning requires hydraulic pumps in order to assure the large

movements of oil involved. Therefore, hydraulic machines display large quantities of energy spent in

idle, reducing overall efficiency of the process. The biggest advantage of hydraulic machines is the large

capacity and clamping force that those machines are able to achieve.

5

Hybrid machines differ from hydraulic because they have either, an electric clamping unit and a hydraulic

injection unit, or the opposite. This configuration allows to maintain some desired capacity properties of

their hydraulic equivalents but reducing energy consumptions.

The most efficient type of machine in terms of energy is the electric. Being all-electric, it works with servo

motors actuating only when needed, resulting in significant saving, mainly because it eliminates idle

power consumptions.

Figure 2.2- Energy consumed during an injection moulding cycle by a hybrid (electric screw drive) and an all-electric machine [3]

2.2.2. Process

Plastic injection moulding is a process capable of mass production, because of the repeatability it

guarantees due to its cyclic nature. This process occurs in cycles, beginning with the entrance of the

material in the machine and ending with the extraction of the injected part. The cycle that results in an

injected part is composed of a series of smaller stages, as listed below:

1. Material entrance stage- The polymer enters the injection machine from the feeder. Feeding

systems are fundamental to the injection and usually work in parallel with the machine. This

systems are usually constituted by a silo (used to store the material), a series of tubes and a

pump to move the polymer thru the tubes and into the injection machine.

2. Melting stage- Once inside the barrel of the machine, the material is heated to its fusion

temperature, becoming a liquid. This is achieved by a variable number of heaters mounted in

series around the barrel of the machine. During this stage the material is being continuously

pushed to the interior of the mould, starting the filling stage.

6

3. Filling stage- In this phase the material is pushed to the interior of the moulds cavity.

4. Compaction stage- This phase marks the beginning of the post filling. During this time, the

material is already inside the cavity, and pressure is applied to the mould.

5. Cooling stage- The cooling stage is marks the final transformation to the material. During this

time, mould is cooled by a series of interior channels, resulting in a decrease of the material

temperature. This is the longest part of the injection cycle, it is estimated that the cooling stage

takes between 50 to 80% of the cycle time [9].

6. Unmoulding stage- The cycle ends with the unmoulding or extraction of the injected part. In this

stage, the clamping cylinder pushes the movable plate to open the mould, thus realising the

injected part. In some cases the extraction requires a robotic arm, this is usually used in more

complex parts, or when the machine is connected to an assembly line.

2.3. Energy Consumption in Injection Moulding

Plastic injection moulding is a complex process in terms of energy consumption. There are several

conditions involved in the power required by the injection machine to produce a certain part.

Injection moulding machines are composed by different components, as described before. Injection

moulding is a process that depends not only of the injection machine but also, of its peripherals. Cooling

unit, feeding units, mould heating units and plasticizing units consume energy during the process. Some

studies show the distribution of the energy spent during an injection cycle by the average hydraulic

injection machine, [10], [11].

Figure 2.3- Contribution of the different machine parts in the energy consumption

1%

17%

33%32%

15%

2%

Robot Plasticizing unit heating

Mould temperature regulation Injection moulding machine drive

Peripheral equipment Injection moulding machine control

7

Figure 2.3 shows the distribution of the energy spent by each unit involved in the process. Looking at

the graphic it is evident that the main part of the energy spent is consumed by the injection moulding

machine drive and by the mould temperature regulation. It is also evident that peripherals such as the

robot and the machine control are irrelevant in terms of consumption [11].

Ribeiro et al. [12], developed a model to estimate energy consumption, that will be explained in the next

chapter. During the development of this model the authors gathered experimental data, more

specifically, energy consumptions and processing conditions. That data was used to see the influence

of several parameters in the energy consumption. The parameters defined by the authors as key in

influencing energy consumptions are the following:

1. Installed power- The installed power of the injection machine is related with its dimension and

its expected that higher values of installed power results in highest energy consumptions,

2. Cycle time- The longer the duration of the cycle, the longer the machine is consume energy,

therefore, an increase in this variable results in higher consumptions,

3. Part maximum thickness- Empirical models to estimate the cooling time assume that the

maximum thickness of the part is directly related to this aspect [13], [14]. As said before it is

known that the cooling time constitutes 50 to 80% of the cycle time [9], therefore the increase

in the maximum part thickness leads to an higher energy consumption, as verified by [12],

4. Mass of injected material- More mass usually means a bigger part and thus, a bigger machine

and therefore an increase in energy consumption,

5. Material properties- Properties such as the melting temperature of the injected polymer,

diffusivity, density, specific heat and injection pressure are directly related to the energy

consumption as they influence the parametrization of the process,

A further analysis around the influence of the maximum thickness was conducted by Domingues [15].

In this work the author test the influence of the parts thickness on the energy consumption for a larger

set of data than the one used before, [12]. With this analysis, the author concluded that there is not

necessarily a direct relation between this factors. It was expected that thicker parts take more time to

cool than thinner ones, resulting in higher cycle times, thus increasing the energy consumption.

This hypothesis is supported by Stelson [16] who studied the same influence and came to the conclusion

that thinner parts might require higher cooling time due to their geometry. According to the author,

imperfect thermal contact between the mould cavity and the injected part can lead to errors in the

theoretical approximations. This work also points to the fact that for thicker parts the theoretical

approximation [13], [14], will predict longer times than reality, this happens because the ejection is also

related with the stiffness of the part. Thicker parts are stiffer, thus they can be ejected with higher

temperatures than thin parts, resulting in a miss estimation of the theoretical models, [13], [14].

8

3. Energy Modelling

As said before, injection moulding is a large scale process used widely and constitutes a significant part

of the worlds manufacturing, therefore, a small reduction in the energy consumption of this process can

lead to significant energy saving in a global scale. This can cause a big impact on the environmental

crisis caused by the pollution and scarcity of current resources.

In this chapter there will be presented some approaches to model energy consumptions in different

manufacturing processes, with examples of applications for those models based on an extensive

literature review. There will also be displayed a more detailed analysis of the models used in injection

moulding, as well as their strong and week points.

3.1. Overview

Over the last few years there has been an ever-growing concern about the environmental crisis.

Although the concern for obtaining electricity using greener methods is growing, this practice is still far

from being the main source of energy. In 2013, the World Energy Council for Sustainable Energy

estimated that around 82% of the energy requirements were met by fossil sources, and only 13% of the

energy was generated using clean methods [17].

The problem of the world energy crisis is being extensively studied throughout the scientific community.

Sustainable decision making tools are found on several papers addressing energy consumptions and

energy saving methodologies in the manufacturing industry. It is very common to analyze the problem

of eco efficiency and sustainable production in terms of life cycle assessments and the life cycle cost

[18], [19]. Both this analysis appear as a tool to help decision making throughout the product’s life in

terms of eco-efficiency and sustainable production. Life cycle analysis models allow the industry to

evaluate the environmental and cost impacts of every step of the product life and its overall significance

in the full life cycle.

Extensive analysis on predicting energy consumptions have been developed in the past few years. A

great number of models were developed to estimate consumptions in a large spectrum of industrial

processes. The most commonly developed models can be sub-divides into three main categories:

1. SEC- Specific Energy Models, this type of models intends to relate the energy consumption of

a certain process with one of its characteristics,

2. PBM- Process Based Models, this type of models intends to estimate energy consumptions by

characterizing closely the different parts and aspects of the process,

9

3. Empirical Models- This type of models, estimates energy consumptions using mathematical

formulations based on the physical and chemical properties of the process, this models are

developed using experimental data,

Recently, in 2016, Zhou et al. [20], compiled an extensive literature review on the subject of energy

consumption modelling and energy efficiency of machine tools. In this analysis the authors compiled

models from several different authors, with models to estimate both the efficiency of machining

processes and their energy consumptions. Looking at this article it’s evident that a big part of the

modelling being done in this area is achieved using SEC models.

Many authors use specific energy consumptions models to estimate energy consumptions, however the

majority does it for machining processes and just a few used this method for injection moulding. Recently

some authors developed SEC models for machining processes using the material removing rate as an

input, [21]–[23].

Duflou et al. [22] studied the effects of the optimization of the process control in the milling industry, and

for the energy related part of his studies used SEC models. With this work, the author concluded that

SEC technics can be really useful for reducing energy consumptions in the milling process.

Balogun et al. [24], developed a SEC model comparing the specific energy consumption with different

cutter swept angle. This model was developed to evaluate the relation between the cutter angle and the

specific ploughing energy. The proposed methodology allowed the authors to identify the optimum angle

to achieve the desired value of energy consumption in the milling process.

Benchmarking efficiency is a powerful tool to help modify practices and simplify sustainable decision

making in manufacturing processes [25]. Recently, a research team [25] proposed an energy efficiency

label for the specific case of injection moulding in the automotive industry. This label contains information

about the mould and the machine used, and provides estimations of the energy required, obtained using

a SEC model developed by the authors.

Some authors are working on improving traditional SEC models. Li et al. [26] developed an improved

SEC model to predict and evaluate relations between the energy consumption of the milling process

and several different aspects related to it. The proposed model is based on an empirical background

and uses coefficients obtained by a statistic analysis of experimental data. The coefficients used,

account for different machine tools and with this model the authors were able to achieve energy

estimation with 97% of average accuracy.

SEC models are most often used for predicting energy consumptions in machining process such as

10

milling and turning. However, some authors, [27], done extensive research on this models for a wider

range of manufacturing processes. Gutowski et al. [27], proposed SEC values for different experimental

cases in a wide range of processes, such as machining, grinding, waterjet and most importantly for this

case, injection moulding. The author intends to prove with this work that the process rate is the most

important parameter when it comes to influencing the specific energy consumption. This article also

compares the specific energy consumption of an all-electric injection machine versus a hydraulic one,

concluding that redesigning the machines can be very useful way to reduce energy consumptions.

Figure 3.1- Graphic showing the evolution of the specific energy consumption with the variation in throughput [27]

Thiriez, [28], developed a more detailed analysis of the effects of the machines powering method using

SEC models. In this article the authors compare electric injection machines with hydraulic (electric screw

drive) and evaluate the impact of each one in a life cycle analysis.

Specific energy consumption models are obviously predominant in energy estimation. However, some

authors developed approaches to model energy consumptions in machining processes using

mathematical models. Liu et al. [29], developed a model to estimate energy consumptions in machining

processes. The model is based on the idea that the energy spent during the process can be divided into

three parts, start-up periods, idle periods and cutting periods. The first two periods are obtained using

experimental data, by looking at the curve representing the energy consumption as function of the

speed. The last part of the model, the cutting period, is obtained by using the power required based on

the cutting parameters. The model was validated with a practical case study, and the author manage to

obtain low values of error, around 8%.

Balogun and Mativenga [30], presented an article were a mathematical model was developed to

estimate energy consumptions considering once again three states of the machine. The basic and ready

state power and the cutting power. The requirements in terms of power for the different states in various

conditions are calculated using experimental data.

11

He et al. [31] proposed a model to estimate energy consumptions in CNC machining processes based

on the physics involved in milling and turning. The model divides the energy consumption in various

parts and determine each value theoretically using the expected power required based on processing

conditions.

Zhang et al. [32] proposed a method to reduce energy consumption by improving planning and

scheduling in turning. The authors propose a framework in which the energy of each machine used is

accounted in both the working condition and in idle. The model then proposes based on the energy in

both states the best planning for the process in terms of energy efficiency. For this goal the authors

calculate the energy consumption based on a mathematical model.

Process based models are expected to characterize the process stages and their processing conditions.

Some works use PBM approaches to estimate energy consumptions in injection moulding [12], [33].

Ribeiro et al. [12], developed a process-based model to estimate energy consumptions in injection

moulding. The authors propose a model that considers a larger set of inputs than the one taken into

account in the rest of the works. Characteristics such as the geometry of the injected part, cycle time,

machine properties and others are integral parts of this model. The model is sensitive to processing

condition, material type and geometry of the part, and it was developed using empirical relations and a

set of experimental data. It uses specific coefficients to account for different parameters, obtained using

a static analysis of the experimental data.

Kalogirou [34], outlined various applications of artificial neural networks for modelling energy

engineering systems, showing the wide variety of applications for such methods. According to the author

they are used to predict and forecast different parameters.

Neural networks based models are commonly found when modelling energy consumption in buildings.

Khosravani et al. [35], compared models using artificial neural networks to predict energy consumption

of bioclimatic buildings and concluded that this methods are very promising but require a considerably

large data set to be properly developed.

Karatasou et al. [36] extensively studied the development of neural networks model to predict energy

consumptions. The research group conducted a series of experiments pointing the importance of

selecting the right input variables and the proper parametrization of the network.

Table 3-1 contains a compilation of the models and approaches discussed in this chapter, for comparison

of the work developed in the field.

12

Injection

moulding Machining Others Description

Duflou et al.

[22] x SEC model with the material removal rate

Balogun et al.

[24] x

SEC model with the material removal rate

for different cutter angles

Siering et al.

[25] x

Energy efficient label with energy

estimations using a SEC model with the

throughput

Li et al. [26] x

SEC model with the material removal rate

and coefficients for various processing

parameters

Gutowski et al.

[27] x x x

SEC indicators for different processes

using the throughput

Thiriez et al.

[28] x

SEC for different types of injection

machines

Liu et al. x Empirical model based on the different

states of the process

Balogun and

Mativenga [30] x

Empirical model based on the different

states of the process

Li and Kara [21] x Empirical model to predict energy

consumptions

Ribeiro et al.

[12] x

Process based model sensitive to

processing condition, material condition

and machine properties

13

He et al. [31] x Uses physical properties of the process to

estimate energy consumptions

Karatasou et

al. [36] x

Neural network model to predict energy

consumption in buildings

Table 3-1- Comparison of the models found in the literature

Several models have been developed to estimate energy consumptions in different processes, however,

all of them are based, either, in relatively small sets of data, or are purely theoretical and do not use

any experimental measurements. Most models would benefit from being tested in an industrial

environment, using large sets of data including wide ranges of different machines, parts and processing

conditions.

Specific consumption models appear particularly useful when estimating energy consumptions and are

the most used in different processes.

Process based models such as the one developed by Ribeiro et al. [12] provide a faithful

characterization of the injection process, having a significant number of inputs. However, its precision is

still unknown for larger sets of data, and there appears to be room to test and develop it further.

Neural networks models appear to be a valid tool to estimate energy consumption, [34], but are still to

be applied to the injection moulding industry.

3.2. Energy consumption modelling in injection

moulding

As seen before most of the work done recently in terms of energy consumption modelling is applied to

machining processes such as milling and turning. There are, however, some models to estimated energy

consumptions in injection moulding. All of the three main types of models presented before were found

for the injection moulding case, and a more detailed analysis of each one in presented below

14

3.2.1. Thermodynamic models

Every injection moulding process requires thermodynamic energy. Some authors proposed models

based on thermodynamic fundamentals in order to predict energy consumptions during plastic

injection[28], [33]. During the injection moulding process thermodynamic energy is required to melt the

polymer and later to inject it into the mould cavity. Based on this knowledge, this model formulation

would be the one seen on equation (1).

thermo melt fillE E E ( 1 )

Where the first parcel, 𝐸𝑚𝑒𝑙𝑡, represents the energy used to melt the polymer and the second, 𝐸𝑓𝑖𝑙𝑙, is

the energy used to fill the mould cavity.

Being this a model based on the fundamentals of thermodynamics, it’s possible to calculate the energy

necessary to melt the polymer, 𝐸𝑚𝑒𝑙𝑡, to a certain degree of error. This amount of energy depends on

whether the polymer is crystalline or non-crystalline. For both cases the amount of energy necessary

can be expressed according to the fundamentals of thermodynamics [equation (2)].

𝐸𝑚𝑒𝑙𝑡 = {𝑚𝑐𝑝(𝑇𝑚𝑒𝑙𝑡 − 𝑇𝑎𝑚𝑏), 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑛𝑜𝑛 − 𝑐𝑟𝑦𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑒 𝑝𝑜𝑙𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑠

𝑚𝑐𝑝(𝑇𝑚𝑒𝑙𝑡 − 𝑇𝑎𝑚𝑏) + 𝜆𝑚𝐻𝐹 , 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑐𝑟𝑦𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑒 𝑝𝑜𝑙𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑠 ( 2 )

Where m is the mass of the injected material, 𝑐𝑝 is the polymer specific heat, 𝑇𝑎𝑚𝑏 is the ambient

temperature, 𝑇𝑚𝑒𝑙𝑡 is the melting temperature of the polymer. The term 𝜆𝑚𝐻𝐹 used for crystalline

polymers represents the energy needed to transform the polymer crystalline structure to the fluidic

disorganized structure, where 𝜆 is the degree of crystallisation and 𝐻𝐹 is the heat fusion for a 100%

crystalline polymer. The energy required to melt the polymer,𝐸𝑚𝑒𝑙𝑡, is the main parcel of the energy

required for the processes, 𝐸𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙, [28].

The energy needed to fill the mould cavity, 𝐸𝑓𝑖𝑙𝑙 , unlike the previous, depends on the form and dimension

of the mould cavity and runner system, thus it is impossible to formulate this parcel accurately. Therefor

it’s used a simplified formulation to illustrate this amount of energy [equation (3)].

fill injE pdV pV ( 3 )

Where p is the instantaneous pressure, V is the volume. This equation is obtained by integrating the

instantaneous pressure, p, in each volume increment, V. To simplify the problem caused by the diversity

15

of mould and runner systems, equation (3) can be simplified using the average pressure, �̅�, and the

volume of injected material, 𝑉𝑖𝑛𝑗.

3.2.2. Machine models

As seen previously, thermodynamic models only account for the amount of energy spent on melting and

filling processes. Even though those processes represent most of the energy consumption, sometimes

it’s necessary to account for the energy used by the machine in the rest of the cycle. Therefor the

machine model includes the thermodynamic and adds to it a component related to the machine, [28],

[33], [equation (4)].

𝐸𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 = 𝐸𝑚𝑒𝑙𝑡 + 𝐸𝑓𝑖𝑙𝑙 + 𝐸𝑝𝑎𝑐𝑘 + 𝐸𝑐𝑙𝑎𝑚𝑝 + 𝐸𝑒𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡 ( 4 )

Equation (4) first two terms, 𝐸𝑚𝑒𝑙𝑡 and𝐸𝑓𝑖𝑙𝑙, are obtained from the thermodynamic model, and the others

relate to the machine model. 𝐸𝑝𝑎𝑐𝑘 is the energy needed for the packing stage, 𝐸𝑐𝑙𝑎𝑚𝑝 is the energy

used to clamp the mould and 𝐸𝑒𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡 is the amount of energy needed to eject the part from the mould.

The last three terms of the equation are often ignored, as a simplification, based on the fact that the

energy required to clamp, pack and eject only accounts for 25% of the total usage [33].

The energy required for packing, clamping and ejecting is also not easy to evaluate as it depends greatly

on the mould characteristics, as well as on the machines power and it size.

3.2.3. Dual Model

The model proposed by Ribeiro et al. [12], takes advantage of the two previously described model. It is

based on an energy balance, in which the total energy consumption can be obtained by combining two

of the previously explained models, the thermodynamic and the machine model. In this model, the

authors propose to solve the difference between different properties and characteristics of the processes

by using specific coefficients.

Unlike some other models found in the literature, this one is based on an extensive use of experimental

data in order to be developed and validated. In its development stage, this model had significant

industrial data input, to achieve this, the authors [12] evaluated 11 different energetic consumptions,

with varying parameters and working conditions. By doing so, it was possible to understand the effect

of the various factors that determine energetic consumptions in this process. Every measurement used

in this stage was obtained by utilizing the same measure equipment in order to assure the scientific

relevance of the data.

16

Figure 3.2- Energy balance “approach” [12]

This models methodology is illustrated in Figure 3.2, as mentioned above, the model consist of two

parts. The first one, obtained in literature, considers the impact caused by part design and process

conditions (average pressure and temperatures) but fails to account for the machine characteristics and

the production cycle time. Thus, the authors added a second parcel, the machine model. This parcel of

the energy balance, allows the model to consider the influence of the machine type (electric vs

hydraulic), machine installed power and part geometry. For each one of these parameters a specific

coefficient is used, in other to account their individual impact.

3.2.4. SEC models

Specific energy consumption (SEC) models are widely used to evaluate energy consumption related to

other processing parameters. These models are very useful when comparing different equipment’s and

working parameters.

In most manufacturing processes, the amount of energy consumed for the actual process is only a

fraction of the total amount of the total energy used. In those cases, a significant part of the energy

consumed during the process is due to the start-up and maintaining the machines idle, in the case of

injection moulding, this occurs mainly when using hydraulic or hybrid equipment, as seen previously.

17

Figure 3.3: Energy used in an automobile machining line as function of production rate [27]

The example of Figure 3.3 represents the amount of energy used in a machining line for the automobile

industry as function of production rate. In this case 85.2% of the energy consumed is used to maintain

the equipment in a ready state, by maintaining oil pressure and other parameters at ideal conditions.

According to this model the total energy consumption during the process can be formulated using a

fixed parcel as function of the equipment characteristics (machines size, power, parallel equipment, hot

runner etc…) and a variable parcel, as function of processing parameters [equation (5)].

𝐸𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 = 𝐸𝑓 + 𝐸𝑣 ( 5 )

Where 𝐸𝑓 is the fixed parcel of energy consumption, and 𝐸𝑣 is the variable part.

3.2.5. SEC vs Throughput

One of the most used SEC models is the SEC vs throughput, because the majority of variable

parameters (Shot size, clamping force, cycle time etc…) can be accounted in the quantity of material

going through the production line [28] [equation (6)].

{𝑆𝐸𝐶 =

𝑃𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙

�̇�=

𝐸𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙

𝑚=

𝑃𝑓

�̇�+ 𝑝𝑣

𝑃𝑣 = 𝑝𝑣 ∗ �̇� ( 6 )

18

Where 𝑃𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 is the total power required, 𝐸𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 is the total energy consumed, 𝑃𝑓 is the fixed power

consumption, 𝑃𝑣 is the variable power used, 𝑝𝑣 is the variable power per unit of mass, 𝑚 is the shot size

and �̇� is the machine throughput �̇� =𝑚

𝑡.

Figure 3.4 illustrates equation (, it shows that SEC consumption is reduced significantly with the increase

of throughput for hydraulic machines.

Figure 3.4: SEC vs Throughput [28]

3.2.6. Artificial Neural Networks

Artificial neural networks systems are widely used throughout the scientific community to model complex

problems found on several different industries [34], [37]. Some authors developed approaches based

on neural networks systems to model energy in different areas. Even though this approach is complex

to apply and requires large amount of data in its development, after the training stage they became fairly

simple to apply in the industry.

Artificial neural networks (ANN) are inspired by the way biological systems work. Much like people,

ANNs learn by example. An ANN is developed to solve a certain problem by a training phase, were the

network learns using examples from the data set available, [38]. Artificial neural networks resemble the

human brain in the following ways,[39]:

1. The knowledge of the subject to model and its variables is acquired by learning,

2. The obtained knowledge is stored in the connection between neurons called synaptic weights,

Artificial neural networks are particularly useful when modelling complex systems, given that they are

able to deal with non-linear problems, by learning from the data inputted, allowing the models to select

19

or discard data to achieve the pretended objective. To achieve this, neural network systems, are

developed in three stages, learning, validation and testing, [34][38].

ANNs are composed by three main groups of layer. The first layer is usually called the input layer, and

it is followed by a set of hidden layers, also called neurons. After flowing thru this layers the information

is then presented in the final layer, the output layer, [34]. The composition of a generic artificial neural

network in displayed in Figure 3.5.

Figure 3.5 Schematic of a multi-layer artificial neural network [34]

Neural networks are trained to learn the characteristics of the problem in hand by a process

called backpropagation. Backpropagation is a process in which the network is repeatedly submitted to

the input data set. During this process the training algorithm compares the output of the network with

the experimental results and computes de error, which is later back propagated to the neural network.

In each iteration the networks revaluates the weight of each input to reduce the error. This process is

commonly known as training the neural network, [39].

The applications of neural networks are extensive as they take advantage of their configuration to

simplified otherwise complex non-linear problems. Neural networks are widely used in the fields of sales

forecasting, industrial process control and costumer research amongst others. They especially useful

because there is no need to develop specific algorithms to solve each problem. Furthermore there is no

need to understand the computational procedure used. They are also particularly useful in real time

systems as the computational time is usually small, [38].

20

4. Methodology

The following chapter explains the methodology chosen to approach this thesis. The steps took are

shown and explained in detail in the next three sub-chapters. The first sub-chapter, preparation, explains

the preparation phase of the project. The second, experimental work, represents the gathering data

phase and the stay at the company. The last part, model development, treats the work done with the

selected models, using the data gathered in the company.

Figure 4.1- Scheme of the methodology chosen to approach the thesis

21

4.1. Literature Revision

The preparation stage of the project was the first to be done. Before going to the company and start

gathering data, there was the need to understand and decide what information was relevant to this

objective. This phase started before the stay at the chosen company in order to prepare the work to be

done and understand the relevant variables and conditions of the process in terms of energy

consumption.

Choosing the variables

The first group of information to define will be the variables with influence on the energy consumption.

This will be achieved by gathering information available on the literature, researching existent models

around energy consumption in the injection moulding industry and studying the injection process.

This selected group of variables will later be tested, to identify the relation between each one and the

energy consumption of the injection moulding process in different scenarios

Selecting relevant approaches

Once completed the phase of identifying the variables, a research process will be conducted to identify

and select relevant approaches to energy modelling in the industry of injection molding. This process

was achieved by researching several models, referring not only to the injection molding industry, but

also, to others processes, such as, machining. The chosen approaches will later be adapted and tested

with data from the experimental work.

4.2. Experimental work

This phase took place in the selected company. During this time, there was gathered information about

the process as well as data referring to energy consumptions.

Energy consumption measures

The company selected has a large number of injection machines (around 80) working in three shifts, 24

hours per day with several different moulds, meaning that it’s possible to gather massive quantities of

data providing that the right methodology is applied.

Two methods were used to measure energy consumptions, both are explained in the next chapter. One

of the equipment used to gather the measures of energy consumption involved an extensive

22

parametrization process, once it was new to the company and it hadn’t been properly tested. At the

same time as the measuring procedure took place, the information was gathered regarding processing

condition of the part, the machine and the mould.

During the period in the company the consumption of peripherals necessary to the injection process

were measured. Consumptions of material feeding systems, cooling systems and waste recycling

machines were gathered in order to understand the process as a whole, and justify possible differences

in the consumption of apparently identical situations.

Gathering information on the process

Taking advantage of the extensive knowledge of some of the professionals that deal with the process in

a daily base, the stay in the company involved a significant process of understanding the details of the

injection moulding industry. Factors such as the properties of the injection machines and their relation

with the age of such equipment were studied to explain possible differences in the consumptions of

similar machines.

4.3. Model development

This phase consists of the analysis of the data obtained in the prior stage of the project and its usage in

the selected approaches from the literature.

Data analysis

Once the experimental work was completed, there was a phase of organizing and analyzing the data

gathered. The first step was to do a detailed analysis of the instant power consumption graphics

obtained. In each one of these there was computed the average power consumption for the experience,

and in a few of them there were identified the different stages of the injection cycle.

The next step was to test the influence of the variables previously selected, to better understand the

characteristics of the process with the biggest contribution to the consumption. In this stage there were

created graphics relating parameters such as the cycle time and installed power of the machine, with

the energy consumption of the experimental cases.

The analysis of the data was then used simultaneously with the knowledge acquired during the time in

the company to find new variables in order to explain unexpected values in the measures.

23

Developing, Testing and adapting relevant models

The selected models were tested, to understand the applicability of each one in the experimental case

in hand. For this, the data gathered was used to estimate the consumption output with the selected and

errors were calculated to evaluate their precision.

A new approach was developed to further improve the modelling of the practical case study.

Comparing the different models

After developing, testing and adapting the three different models to the case study in hand, the

approaches were compared. This process led to creating a set of advantages for each model to specific

situations possible in the industry.

24

5. Energy consumption analysis

The following chapter explains both the methods of obtaining data and the first tests to the information

gathered. It is divided in three sub-chapters. The first one explains in detail both methods used to gather

data and the advantages of each one. The second shows the influence of different parameters on the

consumption of energy. The third and final sub-chapter contains information about the influence of some

properties of injection machines and their parameterization on the energy consumptions.

5.1. Measuring Equipment

The measurements were taken using two different equipment’s. Each equipment used is explained

bellow, and the method used for each one is in detail in the next sub-chapter.

Equipment A

The first equipment used to evaluate the energy consumption of injection moulding machines and

peripherals was a PROVA 6830 power and harmonics analyser, as shown in Figure 5.1.

This equipment allows the semi-continuous monitoring of active power, reactive power, tension, intensity

for the three phases plus the neutral as well as the monitoring of the angle between phases. It works in

a semi-continuous way because it allows the user to select the measurements interval which can range

from 2 to 6000 s/measurement.

Figure 5.1- Equipment used to measure energy consumptions, PROVA 6830

25

Equipment B

In an attempt to increase the volume of data gathered during the stay in the company a second

equipment was used.

The visited company recently acquired and installed a system capable of monitoring the energy

consumed by each machine in live time. This system is uses a set of clamps for each phase, and is

capable of measuring the following parameters:

1. Current

2. Voltage

3. Effective power

4. Energy

5. Angle between phases

This systems uses a Bus terminal manufactures by BECKHOFF (KL3403) to read the measured values

and an Ethernet TCP/IP bus coupler (BK9100) to send the data to the computer. This equipment is

capable of reading the parameters above 64000 times per second. It later calculates the true root mean

squared to eliminate the influence of the peaks in current and output the energy consumption to the

computer in 30 seconds intervals.

5.2. Measuring method

Equipment A

The data gathered in the development stage of this thesis

was obtained using two different methods. The first method,

using equipment A, requires a time consuming setup

procedure as it need to be repeated for each measurement.

To apply this method the first step is to connect the

equipment described in the previous sub chapter to the

injection machine electric box as shown in. This process

requires the presence of an experienced technician in order

to prevent accidents affecting both the machine and the

operators. The correct set up of the measuring equipment

was assured using clamp meters to compare the current

output.

Figure 5.2- Instalation of equipment A

26

As said before, the measuring equipment A, used in this method, provides a precision of up to a reading

in each two seconds, which translates to 30 readings per minute. To achieve the maximum precision

possible, each measurement was taken during an interval superior to 30 minutes, granting a total of, at

least, 900 readings. During the experiment duration the machine was monitored to insure that there was

no external influence in the process.

The data obtained was exported to the computer as a .CSV file, and then converted to excel. This

resulted in a file containing not only the active power during the experience, but also, other parameters,

such as the current and the tension in each phase, the angle between phases and reactive power. The

result of applying this method can be translated to a graphic as shown in Figure 5.3.

Figure 5.3- Example of the consumption profile obtained with method A

The graphic displayed in Figure 5.3 is an example of the measurements taken. By analyzing it closely,

is possible to identify a cyclic behavior that works as an indication of the injection cycles that are

occurring during the time of the experience, as illustrated in Figure 5.4. The graphic in Figure 5.3 was

obtained by monitoring the energy consumption of a 120 ton injection machine during a period of around

30 minutes (2000s).In Figure 5.4 it´s displayed a detailed view of an energy consumption graphic,

illustrating the different stages of the injection and it´s cyclic behaviour. This measurement was taken

from an injection machine with a capacity of 110ton, injection a part made of ABS with a cycle time of

29,3 s.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000

Ins

tan

t p

ow

er

(kW

)

Time (s)

Power consumption

Média…

27

Figure 5.4- Detailed view of a power consumption graphic (Method A)

In Figure 5.5, it´s shown a detail of the previous image, in this it´s possible to identify the different stages

of the injection cycle, the opening and closing of the mould, followed by the injection and at the end the

cooling of the injected part.

Figure 5.5- Detailed view of the different stages of the injection cycle

Equipment B

The second method used to measure energy consumptions takes advantage of the energy monitoring

system installed on the company visited. Using this system, engineers at the company can monitor live

information about the energy used by each individual injection machine and cross it with the information

provided by the production management software also available.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

Ins

tan

t p

ow

er

(kW

)

Time (s)

Power consumption

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

Ins

tan

t p

ow

er

(kW

)

Time (s)

Power consumption

2

3

1- Opening and closing of the mould;2- Injection;3- Packing and cooling;

1

28

This method doesn´t require any pre-measurements set up, once it was all done in the beginning of the

data gathering. The fact that it doesn´t require any preparation, means that there was no need to wait

for the technician as in the previous method, thus making it possible to acquire a larger number of

measurements.

As explained before, the used equipment measures the power consumption of the machines in small

time frames, around 64000 samples/s. It calculates the root mean square of those values and sends the

information to the computer in 30s intervals. This facts means that it is impossible to use the graphic

resultant of this equipment to identify the different phases in each cycle. Figure 5.6, shows an example

of the graphics obtained using this method. As seen in the image, the graphic receives a new impute

every 30 seconds, and that value is a result of a series of measurements taken each second, granting

a semi-continuously monitoring of the power usage.

Figure 5.6- Example of power usage graphic obtained by method B

In order to by-pass possible errors in communication between the system and the measuring

equipment’s, we chosen a measuring interval no shorter than 2 hours, like the one shown in Figure 5.6.

The graphic shown was used in combination with the production management software to assure that

during the time of the experience, the machines were working continuously. The power consumption

during the time of the experiences was gathered by exporting the values to and excel file and analysing

it. Using this equipment it was possible to gather around 200 different measurements, even with the loss

of a significant amount (around 90) due to a set-up error.

The utilization of two different equipment allowed for the comparison and validation of, not only the

equipments used, but also the method and the set up procedure. This led to finding problems in the

29

initial configuration of the system installed in the company, and was key to the correct parametrization

of the same system.

5.3. Experimental data

The experimental data was gathered during a period of approximately 2 months in the visited company.

During this time, both equipment’s described previously were used in order to collect a total of 200

measurements of energy consumption, each associated with processing, material and machine

properties related to the injected parts in study.

The energy consumptions were measured in a vast array of injection machines. Ranging from 35 to 830

ton of clamping force, as shown inTable 5-1. A complete list of the machines is available in annex II.

Clamping force [ton] Number of machines

[35-100] 27

]100-200] 17

]200-300] 6

]300-400] 5

]400-500] 0

>500 12

Table 5-1- Distribution of the different machines by clamping force

The data gathered includes energy consumption measurements of different parts made of four different

materials, ABS, PS, PP and POM. In order to model the energy consumption of the machines used in

the experience, generic material properties were chosen. The properties used for the different materials

used in the visited company are displayed in Table 5-2.

30

Material ABS PS PP POM

𝝆 [𝒈

𝒄𝒎𝟑] 1,06 1,05 0,901 1,41

𝑪𝑷[𝒌𝑱

𝑲𝒈º𝑪]

1,67 5,02 1,92 1,48

𝑯𝒇[𝑱

𝒈]

0 0 0 326

𝑻𝒎𝒆𝒍𝒕[º𝑪] 233 214 200 1900,7

𝝀 0 0 0,75 0,7

Table 5-2- Material properties used for modelling energy consumptions [40]

The energy consumption were measured in the different machines available in the company. In some

cases the energy consumption was measured multiple time in the same machine, a few of those

maintaining the same injected part and the others comparing different parts, this method of obtaining

data allow the posterior application of different types of energy modelling approaches .

In Table 5-3 is exemplified some of the data gathered during the measurements, with the type of

information collected for each sample. It´s possible to see that, in general, the power consumption

increases with the increase of the machines installed power.

Machine Clamping

force [ton]

Installed

power

[kW]

Cycle

time [s]

Injected

mass [g]

Material Experimental power

consumption [kW]

63 140 34,5 27,3 106,2 PP 9,17

40 135 35 41,8 41,8 PS 9,91

46 50 21 16,1 8,51 ABS 5,25

92 260 60 44,9 104 ABS 13,75

58 350 71 51,2 154,08 PP 12,39

56 80 24,5 21,7 14,67 ABS 6,38

Table 5-3- Example of the data gathered

31

5.4. Data analysis

As said before, the energy consumption of injection machines can be influenced by a number of factors.

The ones chosen as the key parameters with influence on energy consumption were material type,

injected mass, injection time, installed power and thickness. After presenting examples of the data

gathered, in the present chapter there will be shown the relation between energy consumptions and the

mentioned variables.

The machines installed power is expected to be the main factor with influence on consumptions once it

translates the dimension of the machines, and thus, the dimension of the injected part. The mentioned

relation can be observed in Figure 5.7. Although at first sight the graphic doesn’t appear to show any

relation between this to parameters, by analyzing it closely, it is possible to see that the consumption

increases for higher capacity machines.

Figure 5.7- Influence of the machines installed power on the energy consumption

The main problem with the graphic displayed in Figure 5.7 is the large concentration of data for low

power and low capacity machines. In these cases there seem to be other factors with more influence

than the installed power of the machine. This evidence will be studied in the next chapters.

Figure 5.8 shows a close up of the previous graphic (Figure 5.7), demonstrating the issue with having a

high concentration of data for similar machines. In both figures there are marked the different materials

injected for each measurement, it´s is possible to see that there is no clear relation between the material

and neither of the variables shown.

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

0 50 100 150 200 250Energ

y C

onsum

ption p

er

Cycle

[kJ]

Installed Power [kW]

Energy consumption vs installed power

PP

POM

PS

ABS

32

Figure 5.8- Close up of the influence of the machines installed power on the energy consumption

Is expected that the influence of the cycle time in the energy consumption of the process shows the

same behaviour as the installed power, that is, for longer cycle times there should be higher power

consumption. Figure 5.9 shows the influence caused by the increase of the cycle duration on the energy

consumption. The graphic displays the expected behaviour with the exception of a few cases where the

consumption appears to be higher than expected. Once again there is no clear influence of the Material

used in each measurement in the energy consumption.

Figure 5.9- Influence of the cycle time on the energy consumption

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50Energ

y C

onsum

ption p

er

Cycle

[kJ]

Installed Power [kW]

Energy consumption vs installed power

PP

POM

PS

ABS

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90Energ

y C

onsum

ption p

er

Cycle

[kJ]

Cycle Time

Energy consumption vs cycle time

PP

POM

PS

ABS

33

The relation between the mass of the injected material with the energy spent on the process appears to

display the same problem that the one seen on the Energy consumption vs Installed power graphic.

There appears to be a large concentration of data for machines injecting low quantities of material

(Figure 5.10) in which the variation of results within the same amount of material is higher than the one

seen between different injected masses. This problem is translated in the apparently non-linear growth

of the graphic displayed in Figure 5.10.

Figure 5.10- Influence of the injected mass on the energy consumption

Figure 5.11 however show a detailed view of the graphic shown before. Although is possible to identify

the problem with the large variation within the same range of injected mass is also possible to see that

the values of energy consumption are increasing with the increase of the mass of injected material, as

expected. Once again it is impossible to identify any relation of the parameters shown in the graphic

with the material used.

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

Energ

y C

onsum

ption p

er

Cycle

[kJ]

Injected mass

Energy consumption vs injected mass

PP

POM

PS

ABS

34

Figure 5.11- Detail of the influence of the injected mass on the energy consumption

The last variable with expected influence on the power used to injected plastics is the thickness of the

final part. The premises of this assumption are that thicker areas of an injected part take longer to cool

down, which is translated in longer cooling times of the process and thus more extended cycle times.

As seen before, higher cycle times are expected to cause higher energy consumption values. However,

as seen in Figure 5.12, the graphic does not behave as expected, and the thickness of the injected parts

does not appear to have any direct influence on the energy consumption. The reasons behind this

observation may have to do with the complexity of the part. The premise that thicker parts need higher

cooling times is true for simple geometries, however, that might not be case for parts with high geometry

complexity. In this case the mould used can have areas where the refrigeration is more difficult, leading

to higher cooling times for parts with low thickness aspect.

Figure 5.12- Relation between the energy consumption and the maximum thickness of the injected part

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

Energ

y C

onsum

ption p

er

Cycle

[kJ]

Injected mass

Energy consumption vs injected mass

PP

POM

PS

ABS

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

0 5 10 15 20Energ

y C

onsum

ption p

er

Cycle

[kJ]

s [mm]

Energy consumption vs Maximum thickness

PP

POM

PS

ABS

35

5.5. Causes of the variation of energy

consumptions for similar processes

During the data gathering stage there was a significant amount of contact with people from the industry,

some of which works closely with plastic injection machines, both at the ground floor level and at the

office level. During this time were identified a number of factors that can influence the energy

consumption, outside of the ones presented before. This factors are mainly related to characteristics of

the machines used.

The variation of energy consumptions for processes in similar conditions can be due to different reasons:

1. Parametrization of the process

2. Technology of the machine

3. Part and material properties

In most injection molding factories, the parameterization of the machines for each mold used is part of

the responsibility of different teams, each has to setup a group of machines, making sure that the final

product meets the standards required by the costumer. During the setup operations there is some

flexibility in the parameters chosen. These parametrization in setup is also linked with the productivity

required by the company. Some companies have their production more focused on reducing cycle times

to increase productivity while others prefer to reduce the cycle time to increase the quality of the injected

parts. This two different approaches have distinct effects of the power required to inject a certain part.

Productivity focused parameterizations, while reducing cycle times, increase the temperature of the

material, the pressure used and often involve the reduction of the refrigerator fluid temperature. This

usually causes a higher energy consumption. This factor can explain the different values of energy

consumed in apparently similar processes in terms of cycle time, machine and part.

The second point, technology of the machine was explained briefly in chapter 2. There are three different

types of injection machines. Electric, hybrid and hydraulic. Is expected that the hydraulic machines have

the higher energy consumption of the three types. That is due to the fact that hydraulic machines require

the motors driving the pumps to be continuously working in order to maintain the oil pressure and other

working conditions. This fact is translated in the generation of an idle energy consumption, this means

that even when the machines are not performing any action there is still power consumption. This

evidence is illustrated in Figure 5.3, where it´s possible to see that at any point in the experience the

instant power is null.

Electric machines, on the other hand, do not require motors to drive pumps. They simply use electric

motors to move the necessary components, thus, when the machine is stopped in a position, the motors

36

can be shut down, not consuming energy. Because of this factor, electric machines are expected to

consume around half of the energy than hydraulic machines.

It is also expected for newer machines to consume less energy than old ones. Recent machines are not

only more efficient due to new motor technologies, advanced process parametrization control but also

due to the presence of power saving features, such as variable-frequency drives. The motors used to

power the pumps of the hydraulic injection machines are usually three phasic with a fixed speed. This

means that independently of the solicitation caused by the process the motors work at their full capacity.

There is, however, a system to control the rotation of the electric motors. This system is called Variable-

Frequency Drives (VFD). This drive is present is most of the recent injection machines, and can be

installed in most three-phase induction motors.

VFD manufacturers claims that the energy savings achieved by using this equipment’s can go up to

50% of the total energy consumed during the process.

To test this claim, several tests were conducted in which the energy consumption was measured in the

same machine, with equal working conditions, but with the variable-frequency drive turned on and off.

Figure 5.13 represents the comparison between measurements took from machine 58 in a period of 20

minutes with the VFD turned on and off.

Figure 5.13- Power consumption profile for machine 58 with and without the VFD

By analyzing the graphic it is possible to see that the average power consumption, when using the

variable frequency drive is 18.3 kW. Machine 58 is an injection machine with a clamping force of 350

ton, and 71 kW of installed power.

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

Ins

tan

t p

ow

er

(Wa

tt)

Time (s)

VFD_on

AveragePowerVFD_ON

VFD_off

AveragepowerVFD_off

37

In the graphic displayed in Figure 5.13 there is also representation of a similar experiment, taken with

the installed VFD temporarily turned off. This experiment allows us to see the total energy saving

achieved by this device. In this case, the machine was operating with the same parameterization,

injecting the same part without using the aftermarket VFD installed. By analysing the image it´s possible

to see that in this case the average power consumption of the machine is superior, 28.5 kW. This values

mean that with the VFD turned on, the consumption of this machine is around 64.21% of the standard

consumption, this represents an energy saving of around 35.79%.

The same methodology was applied to other machines, the results are shown in Table 5-4.

Machine Installed power

kW

Consumption (VFD off)

kW

Consumption (VFD on)

kW

Power saving

%

31 45 11,8 8,7 26,3

32 45 18,9 11,7 38,2

58 71 28,5 18,3 35,8

110 108 39 31,4 19,5

Table 5-4- Comparison of the average power consumption between the same machine, using VFD's and working in normal condition.

Looking at Table 5-4, it is possible to see the differences in energy consumption caused by the usage

of VFDs. It is evident that in the studied cases, systems like this have a considerable impact. For the

four cases analysed in this company, the variable-frequency drive provides an average power

consumption saving of around 30%. This value, although lower than the 50% claimed by some

manufacturers, represents a significant reduction in power consumption, and therefore it is a factor to

consider when evaluating this parameter.

38

6. Model Development

The following chapter displays the tests done with the selected models and explains in detail how they

were conducted. It is divided in three sub-chapters. The first, specific energy consumption model,

explains how SEC models were applied and shows the results of using them. The second, process-

based model, works like the previous but using the selected PBM type model. The third and last sub-

chapter, neural network explains the development of the model, and shows the results achieved.

6.1. Specific Energy Consumption

The applications of specific energy consumption models, SEC, were explained in chapter 2. This

approach to model energy consumption is the most widely used, mainly because it can be done simply

and can provide useful estimations.

The first step in applying SEC models to the data gathered is to develop a graphic relating the specific

energy consumption from the different measures with the throughput. Figure 6.1 shows the evolution of

the specific energy consumption, with the throughput. The graphic behaves as expected, showing that

for lower values of work flow the SEC value tends to the infinite and when the throughput increases the

energy becomes closer to zero. The data displayed on Figure 6.1 was calculated equation (7).

𝑆𝐸𝐶 =𝑃

𝑚 ̇=

𝐸

𝑚 ( 7 )

Figure 6.1- Graphic showing the relation between the specific energy consumption of the measures took and the throughput for each case.

39

In the above figure there’s a magnification of the area of the graphic with the biggest concentration of

experiences to better understand the behaviour of this variable. In this graphic it’s possible to see that

for the main part, the specific energy values follow the tendency line, with only a few clearly higher than

expected.

It was explained previously in chapter 1, that SEC models are usually developed using the average

specific energy consumption for a series of experiments. This approach was tested by Thiriez and

Gutwoski [3], in an experiment where they calculated the expected SEC value for a series of energy

measures. The average SEC value proposed by Thiriez and Gutwoski was 11.3 MJ/kg. The average

SEC value calculated using the data gathered in the company is 12.2 MJ/kg. The difference in both

estimations can be explained by a number of reasons, the first being the difference in the production

planning technique of the companies. As explained before, some companies have a focus on higher

production rates and therefor set their operating parameters to achieve that goal, while others choose

to reduce the quantity of parts produced to improve the quality of the final product. The difference in the

technology of the machines used can also be a factor, as seen before newer machines include systems

like VFDs that can cause a significant reduction in energy consumptions. The differences in the material

and geometry of the injected part may have a dramatic effect in the specific energy consumption.

Looking at the results of calculating the SEC value for each experiment it is evident that there are

significant variations, however, the average value obtained is still fairly close to the ones found in

previous works [3], [15]. This leads to the conclusion that a simple SEC vs throughput analysis is a good

approach to modelling energy consumptions.

In an attempt to further improve the precision of the SEC methodology, new approaches were tested.

The first being the analysis in terms of clamping force, and the second separating the different materials

used.

6.1.1. SEC vs Material type

The large amount of data gathered at the company, means that it is possible to select considerable

quantities of data for each material used. This fact allows the usage of new approaches to model the

energy consumption using SEC models. The first tested approach was to compare the specific energy

consumption of each process with the material used in the correspondent part. For this effect, the same

graphic as before was plotted, however, this time with the used materials highlighted in different colours

(Figure 6.2).

40

Figure 6.2- Graphic showing the relation between the specific energy consumption of the measures took and the throughput for each case, highlighting the different materials used.

In the above figure there’s a magnification of the area of the graphic with the biggest concentration of

the experiences to better understand the behaviour of this variable. In this graphic, similarly with what

has been said before, the different materials used are highlighted in different colours. Looking at it

closely, it doesn’t appear to be possible to distinguish different tendency lines for each material .To

further analyse this evidence, the tendency line for each of the materials were traced. The result, as

shown in Table 6-1, is that there is no significant increase in the correlation obtained when compared to

the previous analysis (0,78).

Material R-squared (𝒓𝟐)

POM 0,64

PS 0,74

PP 0,77

ABS 0,87

Table 6-1- Correlation of the curve relating each material specific energy consumption and its throughput

41

The table above leads to the exclusion of this approach. By comparison with the previous approach,

SEC vs throughput, this distribution by material type does not appear to increase the precision of the

model, thus the previous approach is consider to be superior to the SEC vs material type.

6.1.2. SEC vs Clamping Force

The company visited in the data gathering stage has a large number of machines ranging from low

clamping capabilities to high capacity of clamping force. There are several measures available for each

machine. That factor combined with the fact that there are several machines for each class of clamping

force, means that it is possible to calculate average SEC values for practically each one of the clamping

forces available at the visited company. This method, such as the previous, works as an alternative to

computing average SEC values for the totality of the data, allowing the user to reduce the influence of

the injected part in the estimation.

Figure 6.3- Graphic relating the specific energy consumption of the different experimental cases with the correspondent machines clamping force. The average SEC value for each case is highlighted.

The analysis of Figure 6.3 shows that the average SEC value, in general, decreases with the increase

in the machines clamping force. There are, however, exceptions in a few cases.

The results shown above, appear to have some differences to what was expected. As said before, it is

expected that the specific energy consumption decreases with the increase in clamping force. That is,

because, a bigger injection machine is able to inject more material, thus having a higher throughput.

While this is true, a bigger machine doesn’t necessarily consume more energy in a proportional way to

a smaller one.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

SE

C [

MJ/k

g]

Clamping force [ton]

SEC vs Clamping forceSEC

Average SEC

35 40 50 60 80 85 100 110 130 140 170 180 200 210 220 240 250 260 280 300 320 380 650 830

42

Looking at the graphic it’s possible to see that, especially for smaller machines, the standard deviation

is considerably big. In some cases, such as the 50 and the 80 ton machines, it’s obvious that the average

specific energy consumption is greatly affected by one or two high values. The same can be said of the

650 ton case, where there is a concentration of small SEC values and one considerably higher, resulting

in an increase in the average value. Given that the specific energy consumption of a process is the

result of the energy spent by unit of mass used, is apparent that the high values of SEC described, are

the result of a significant decrease in the mass of the respective injected parts.

To exemplify the fact mentioned above, Table 6-2 contains every measurement took in a 50ton machine.

As shown in Figure 6.3, a large concentration of the data available was gathered in machines with 50ton

of clamping force, mainly because that’s the most common size of machine available in the company.

Machine Installed

power

[kW]

Injected

mass [g]

SEC

[MJ/kg]

Machine Installed

power

[kW]

Injected

mass [g]

SEC

[MJ/kg]

42 20 5,56 24,56 46 21 18,75 6,11

54 21 10,39 29,01 53 21 15,13 21,18

76 21 20,1 4,18 54 21 6,57 104,29

54 21 13,25 38,62 46 21 49,61 2,94

42 20 7,46 15,36 53 21 16,4 19,94

76 21 14,5 9,25 80 21 5,55 48,11

76 21 18,72 7,44 76 21 5,04 23,05

46 21 8,54 9,93 80 21 11 9,37

53 21 40,9 10,33 76 21 12,5 11,94

53 21 40,9 9,86 54 21 20,6 17,55

Table 6-2- Average values of specific energy consumption [MJ/kg], sorted by clamping force [ton]

The table above, shows that the SEC values for the same machine, can display large variations

depending on the injected part as well as the processing condition.

43

Using the values presented in Table 6-2 it was calculated the average SEC value for the 50ton machines.

It is expected that a machine of this capacity has the specific consumption of 21.15 MJ/kg. This value,

as expected is higher than the one computed in the first approach, using a simple SEC vs throughput

for the totality of data. It is expected that smaller machines display higher SEC values that larger

machines, that’s because the decrease in throughput present when using smaller machines is bigger

than the reduction in energy consumed during the process.

Table 6-3 shows de value of average SEC for the classes of clamping force with more data. The rest of

the machines were excluded, because the lack of data (less than five measurements) available doesn’t

allow us to obtain proper estimations of the average SEC.

Clamping force [ton] Average SEC [MJ/kg]

35 38,26

50 21,15

60 15,28

80 29,71

85 7,80

100 8,47

110 4,21

130 8,54

140 4,40

170 8,37

Table 6-3- Average values of specific energy consumption [MJ/kg], sorted by clamping force [ton]

44

6.1.3. Combined Data

A final analysis was made to verify the capabilities of SEC models, when used to estimate energy

consumptions between different companies. For this effect, the previously presented SEC models were

tested using data from other similar studies [12], [15].

Company Measures

A 180

B 29

C 11

Total 220

Table 6-4- Distribution of the data used

This analysis allows us to access not only the capabilities of SEC models, when used in a multi company

industrial environment, but also to verify the weight of the differences between the different companies.

It is expected that there are significant changes in SEC values between the different companies due to

the big amount of differences that can be found in this industry:

1. Machines used

2. Injected parts geometry

3. Parametrization of the machines

4. Machine/Part fitness

The first tested approach was to use the combined data in a SEC vs throughput analysis. The results

are displayed in Figure 6.4.Table 6-5

45

Figure 6.4- Graphic showing the SEC vs Throughput for the data from companies A, B, C

In the graphic shown above, it’s evident that the data from company C, [15], is situated in the top part

of the spectre. Opposite to that, the data from company A, [12], is at the lower limit of the SEC values

displayed. The average SEC value for the combined data is 11.32, identical to the one defined by

Gutwoski, 11.3.

The second approach tried for this data set was to evaluate the SEC values divided by the different

machines available. For this objective the measures were grouped by the machines clamping force. The

result of this analysis is displayed in Figure 6.5.

46

Figure 6.5- Table showing the specific energy consumption for the measures taken in the three companies group by the machines clamping force

The results don’t show considerable differences when compared to the ones obtained using exclusively

data from company A. There are however some conclusions to be taken of this analysis:

1. There appears to be insufficient data gathered in company c to do this analysis, however, the

few measures used are within the range found in company A

2. The data from Company B blends in the one gathered in company A.

Based on the evidences found on the graphic is possible to conclude that an analysis in terms of SEC

vs clamping force, can be used for different companies.

The last analysis made with the present data set, was a SEC vs Material type. This analysis however is

inconclusive given that the inclusion of the data gathered in previous works includes new materials and

does not add a significant amount of data for the materials found in the visited company.

6.2. Process-Based Model

One of the approaches tested was to use a process-based model (PBM) to estimate energy

consumptions. As explained before, this type of models intends to estimate energy consumptions by

taking into consideration the combination of the main factors involved in the process. The model to be

used in this approach is the Ribeiro et al [12].

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

SE

C

Clamping force

SEC vs Clamping force

Company A

Company B

Company C

47

The model used, as any other, uses a series of inputs to predict a certain output. In this case, the output

is the energy required to produce a certain part. The inputs, however, are not so simple. This model

uses a few different inputs in order to provide a close approximation to the process, hence the name

process-based model.

The inputs necessary to use this PBM are the following:

Inputs Outputs

Machine type (electric vs hydraulic)

Installed power

Part geometry

Cycle time

Injected mass

Material type

Power consumption

Table 6-5- Inputs and outputs used in Ribeiro et al model [12].

The selected process-based model was previously tested in two different companies. The first was

during its developing stage, and the second by Domingues [15]. The original model, used the inputs

shown above in Table 6-5, plus the maximum thickness of the part, given that it is expected to have a

direct influence on the cooling time, and therefor on the cycle duration. However, in his work, Domingues

[15], came to the conclusion that the maximum thickness of the injected part has no direct influence on

the energy consumption, result that is coherent with the data analysis done in this thesis.

The proposed model, it’s a dual model, meaning that it consists of two different parts, each approaching

a part of the process, in an attempt to simplify it.

1. Thermodynamic model

2. Machine model

𝐸𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 = 𝐸𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑜 + 𝐸𝑚𝑎𝑐ℎ𝑖𝑛𝑒 ( 8 )

The first parcel, is based on the thermodynamic models developed by a number of authors, [28], [33]. It

is based on the fact that a significant part of the power required in this process, is used to melt the

48

polymer and to fill the cavity of the mould. The formulation proposed by the authors is the one present

in chapter 3.2.1.

The machine part of the model, accounts for the influence caused by the different properties of the

machine used in the energy consumption, as well as a few different processing conditions. Therefore, it

is based on the usage of three coefficients.

𝐸𝑚𝑎𝑐ℎ𝑖𝑛𝑒 = 𝐶𝑓𝑀. (𝐶𝑓𝑃. 𝑃𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑡).𝑡𝑐

𝐶𝑓𝑇 ( 9 )

Where, 𝐶𝑓𝑀 is the machine type coefficient, 𝐶𝑓𝑃 is the power coefficient, 𝐶𝑓𝑇 is the thickness coefficient,

𝑃𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑡 is the power of the machine and 𝑡𝑐 is the cycle time.

As seen previously, hydraulic machines have high stand-by energy consumption, in fact, studies shows

that, in general, hydraulic machines consume 50% more energy than their electric equivalent [27]. Based

on this information, and on a comparison made by the authors, the machine type coefficient was defined

as 𝐶𝑓𝑀 = 0.5 for electric machines, and 𝐶𝑓𝑀 = 1 for hydraulic machines.

The machine power coefficient accounts for the impact of the machine’s installed power and its relation

with the part’s design. Precise formulation of this coefficient is nearly impossible, therefor, the authors

made a simplification based on the industrial data gathered. According to [12] the fitness of the machine

installed power to the part’s design is preponderant in terms of energy consumptions. To evaluate briefly

the machine fitness to the part, the authors use the ratio between𝑃𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑜/𝑃𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑡, meaning that for smaller

values there is an excessive machine dimension for the injected part characteristics.

To address the machine power coefficient, 𝐶𝑓𝑃, the authors considered that it is a measure of the

amount of the machines installed power that is actually used in the injection. In this case the 𝐶𝑓𝑃 is

computed by assuming that the measured energy consumptions must be equal to the ones estimated

by the model and then evaluating his variation for the different measurements [equation (10)].

𝐶𝑓𝑃𝑒𝑠𝑡 =𝑃𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑜

𝑃𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑡1.507 + 0.084 ( 10 )

Where the coefficients added to the 𝑃𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑜

𝑃𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑡 ratio are function of the variation observed.

The part thickness coefficient, 𝐶𝑓𝑇, considers the effects of the thickness in the machine energy

consumption for a specific cycle. This coefficient considers only the feature with higher thickness in the

part and was computed in the same way as the machine power coefficient. [Equation (11)]

49

𝐶𝑓𝑇𝑒𝑠𝑡 = 0.0884𝑠 + 0.7629 ( 11 )

Following an approach similar to the one used by Domingues [15], the model will be tested first in its

original configuration, and after that analysis, there will be selected two sets of data in order to

recalculate the coefficients and to test the final result. For this initial analysis, the thickness coefficient

won’t be used, given that it doesn’t appear to have direct influence on the consumption.

The error of the model predictions was calculated using the following equation:

𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟(%) =𝐸𝑒𝑥𝑝−𝐸𝑒𝑠𝑡

𝐸𝑒𝑥𝑝 ( 12 )

Where, 𝐸𝑒𝑥𝑝 is the experimental value obtained in the company, 𝐸𝑒𝑠𝑡 is the model estimated energy

consumption. Table 6-6, shows an example of the error obtained for a group of 22 experiments.

Nº E_exp

[kJ]

E_est

[kJ]

Error

[%]

Nº E_exp

[kJ]

E_est

[kJ]

Error

[%]

1 180,8 212,61 -17,59 12 455,97 123,95 72,82

2 113,17 26,51 76,58 13 603,97 736,06 -21,87

3 151,72 80,3 47,08 14 245,75 213,11 13,28

4 84 63,82 24,02 15 284,08 155,88 45,13

5 214,96 89,47 58,38 16 118,8 46,77 60,38

6 202,31 308,04 -52,26 17 330,69 137,09 58,54

7 852,31 418,46 50,90 18 251,02 332,31 -32,39

8 194,4 107,04 44,94 19 617,38 386,77 37,35

9 176,63 145,34 17,71 20 136,54 37,46 72,56

10 397,76 178,33 55,17 21 344,78 449,77 -30,45

11 225,55 82,14 63,58 22 1719,67 323,08 81,21

Table 6-6- Example of the average error obtained using the selected PBM model

50

Analysing Table 6-6, it is possible to see that the error of the estimation varies significantly. The lines in

the table highlighted in grey represent examples of cases in which the estimated value is superior to the

real consumption. Given this results, it’s obvious that not only the variance of the error is considerable,

but also, the model estimates higher consumptions for some cases, and lower for others. This fact leads

to the conclusion that the proposed model is incapable to properly model the experimental data

obtained.

Using the model as proposed by its authors, resulted in errors superior to what was expected based on

the works done before. This can be due to a number of reasons, some of which are highlighted bellow:

1. The model was originally developed using a rather small amount of experimental data (11) when

compared to the number of measures available (180). This can create differences in the

adaptation of the coefficients for both companies.

2. The parts injected in the company visited are completely different from the ones used in the

original company.

3. The machines present in both companies are from different manufacturers, and differ in their

age.

4. The influence of the relevant parameters can be different in both companies, as seen for the

maximum thickness.

5. The injection parameters chosen by both companies can also be a factor. As seen before the

parameterization of the process be orientated towards a shorter cycle time or towards longer

time cycles (usually improved part quality).

6.2.1. New coefficients

In an attempt to adapt the Ribeiro et al. [12] model to the available data, an approach consisting of

recalculating the coefficients is going to be made. This approach was tried with success by Domingues

[15], who managed to recalculate new coefficients and validate those obtaining low values of error.

In order to calculate new coefficients for the original model, the data available from the experimental

stage was divided into two groups:

1. Development group (150)

2. Test group (30)

51

As explained before, the coefficients are calculated by linear regression. In this case, the thickness

coefficient will be ignored, as this parameter appears to have no direct influence on the energy

consumption. Therefore, the only coefficient to be calculated is the machine power coefficient, 𝐶𝑓𝑃. This

coefficient is calculated by doing a linear regression of the graphic comparing the computational

machine power coefficient with the relation between the thermodynamic and the installed power.

The computational machine power coefficient is calculated using the values of energy measured for

each experiment. Using equation13 it is possible to calculate this value.

𝐶𝑓𝑃𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝 =𝐸𝑒𝑥𝑝−

𝐸𝑓𝑖𝑙𝑙+𝐸𝑚𝑒𝑙𝑡

𝜀𝑚𝑒𝑙𝑡,𝑓𝑖𝑙𝑙

𝑃𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑡𝑡𝑐𝐶𝑓𝑀 ( 13 )

Where 𝐶𝑓𝑃𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝 is the computational machine power coefficient, 𝐸𝑒𝑥𝑝 is the experimental energy

consumption, 𝐸𝑓𝑖𝑙𝑙 is the energy needed to fill the cavity, 𝐸𝑚𝑒𝑙𝑡 is the energy required to melt the polymer,

𝜀𝑚𝑒𝑙𝑡,𝑓𝑖𝑙𝑙 is the thermodynamic efficiency of the process, 𝑃𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑡 is the installed power of the machine, 𝑡𝑐 is

the cycle time and 𝐶𝑓𝑀 is the machine type coefficient.

In Figure 6.6 it is shown the evolution of the machine power coefficient with the variation of the ratio

between the thermal and the installed power.

Figure 6.6- Evolution of the estimated machine power coefficient with the ratio between the thermodynamic power and the installed power.

Analysing the graphic is possible to see that there is no apparent relation between the variables. The

estimated power coefficient doesn’t appear to vary linearly with the ratio. This fact is supported by the

correlation factor, 𝑟2, being very low, 0.1184. Looking at the results, the conclusion is that there is

impossible to compute a new coefficient for the set of data used.

y = -2,1627x + 0,4325R² = 0,1184

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

1,2

1,4

1,6

1,8

0 0,05 0,1 0,15 0,2 0,25

CfP

𝑃_𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑜/𝑃_𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑡

52

In addition to the previous fact, the estimated power coefficient decreases with the increase of the ratio,

unlike what was expected. This result appears for the first time for this experimental case, being

completely different than what was seen in previous works. This behaviour leads us to believe that there

is an incorrect fitting of the machines used for each injected part.

In addition to the experiment made, and keeping the coherency with the analysis done previously, the

model was tested with data from the three companies. This, as expected by the previous results,

conducted to same conclusion. The model appears to be incapable of modelling energy consumptions

between different companies.

6.3. Neural Networks

The final approach selected to model energy consumptions an artificial neural networks (ANN) model.

As said before, this type of model is already used for estimating energy consumptions, and according

to Kalogirou, SA [34] it can be very useful in this area.

In order to model energy consumptions using artificial neural networks, a set of inputs had to be selected.

Being the output of such model the energy consumption, the inputs were selected based on the

information gathered from the literature and the data testing done to the experimental data. Of the

parameters selected initially as the main factors with influence on the energy consumption, only one

was excluded, given that, based on the experimental data, it appears to be unrelated with the

consumption, the maximum thickness of the injected part.

The selected inputs were the following:

Inputs Outputs

Installed power

Cycle time

Injected mass

Material type

Power consumption

Table 6-7- Inputs and output used in the ANN learning process

53

The database used in the development stage of this model is composed by 177 measures of energy, all

taken from the same company, in the data gathering stage of the thesis.

The total amount of data was divided into the three phases of the ANN developing, training, testing and

validation. To optimize the network, the proportion of the data used for each stage has to be selected

and tested. However, this is not the only parameter that is subject to variation during the development.

The following parameters will be tested:

1. Proportion of data that goes into, training, testing and validation,

2. Number of neurons in the hidden layer,

3. Training algorithm used

The number of neurons present in the hidden layer of the NN has influence on the results obtained,

therefore, this parameter has to be tested to achieve good results.

Another parameter that is usually taken into account when developing neural networks models is the

computational time. ANN’s, due to the considerable amount of data it requires, usually take long time to

compute, therefore this is taken into account when selecting the training algorithm and its respective

sets of data. In this case, however, the computational time required to train, test and validate the NN is

not too long and it doesn’t vary much between the different algorithms, mainly because the set of data

used, although large enough for this model, is not consider to be a big set of data for this sort of networks.

The training algorithm is key to the behaviour of the model. The selected algorithm is responsible for

determining the correct weight of each input in order to achieve the best estimations of the energy

consumption. The toolbox selected to develop this model, allows the user to use one of three different

training algorithms: Levenberg-Marquardt, Bayesian Regularization and Scaled Conjugate Gradient.

The main objective of the training algorithms, as said before, is to evaluate the best weigh distribution

of the parameters used, for any given test. And they achieve this goal, using and iterative process in

which the network performance function in minimized. The performance function used in the training

algorithms available is the means squared error (MSE), given by equation14.

𝑉(𝑥) =1

𝑁∑ 𝑒𝑞

2(𝑥)𝑁𝑞=1 ( 14 )

Where N is the size of the training dataset, and 𝑒𝑞 is the error (difference between the target and

predicted value) of the 𝑞𝑡ℎ input. With the main objective being to minimize the performance function,

lower values are desired and the optimal value, 0, means that there is no difference between the models

output and the target.

54

Although the objective of the three training functions is the same, the path each uses to achieve it is

what differs between them.

The experiments was divided in three different situations, according to the training algorithm used in

each one:

A. Levenberg-Marquardt

B. Bayesian Regularization

C. Scaled Conjugate Gradient

For each of the above cases the variable parameters were tested according to the following sets:

{Training Set, Validation Set, Test Set} = {70, 15, 15}, {60, 25, 15} and {50, 25, 25};

Hidden Neurons= {10, 20, 30};

The combination of the three algorithms with the different sets of parameters chosen above, resulted in

a total of 27 experiments, each one involving a total of 10 runs. Every experiment was made using a

specific toolbox available with MATLAB, the code developed is available in Annex IV. The results will be

analysed in terms of finding the lowest value of MSE mean and standard deviation.

As the aim is to minimize the performance function, the lowest MSE mean and standard deviation are

desired. In the following tables, the results are evaluated like:

1) The sets highlighted by a green colour are the favoured ones when the training, validation and

test sets, and the train algorithm are fixed;

2) The sets whose box is with grey background are the favoured ones when the train algorithm is

fixed (analyse the entire column regarding each train algorithm). It consists in best green MSE

configuration of the column;

3) The set whose MSE values are larger and highlighted in green is the ideal configuration of all,

being the best amongst the grey background ones.

Training set: 70 % Validation set: 15 % Test set: 15 %

Train Algorithm Levenberg-Marquadt Bayesian

Regularization

Scaled Conjugate Gradient

MSE Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev

Hidden

Neurons

10 34.4346 8.9878 30.5372 0.3570 35.7941 6.1885

20 45.7016 38.1621 30.4702 0.2298 47.9224 29.4893

30 62.3711 59.7110 29.5967 4.0936 40.5492 8.3568

Table 6-8- Results of the experiments for the first training set, {70,15,15}

55

Training set: 60 % Validation set: 25 % Test set: 15 %

Train Algorithm Levenberg-Marquadt Bayesian

Regularization

Scaled Conjugate Gradient

MSE Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev

Hidden

Neurons

10 32.0591 6.7105 30.5404 0.1971 35.7939 6.8480

20 40.5160 23.5518 30.3926 0.1564 43.2853 9.5811

30 56.4868 42.3390 29.7978 4.2247 36.2383 12.9626

Table 6-9- Results of the experiments for the second training set, {60,25,15}

Training set: 50 % Validation set: 25 % Test set: 25 %

Train Algorithm Levenberg-Marquadt Bayesian

Regularization

Scaled Conjugate Gradient

MSE Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev

Hidden

Neurons

10 55.4423 44.9845 30.4274 0.5249 34.3451 4.7178

20 37.4856 11.8003 30.4888 0.1447 40.5401 7.4334

30 50.1542 23.9479 30.4519 0.2579 44.4799 24.6593

Table 6-10- Results of the experiments for the third training set, {50,25,25}

Based on the information displayed in Table 6-8 to Table 6-10, the data set distribution that better

represents the energy consumption for this case study is, training set= 60%, validation set=25% and

test set=15%. The training algorithm with the best results is Bayesian Regularization and it is best

configuration the NN uses 20 hidden neurons.

For the selected configuration an analysis was made to evaluate the behaviour of the model. For that

purpose, graphics showing the regression, R, that represents the correlation between the output and

the targets were plotted. The following results were obtained using the randomly selected training and

test sets of respectively 50% and 25% of the total data.

56

Figure 6.7- Correlation between the target and output for the training, test and overall sets

As seen in Figure 6.7 the correlation between the targets and the outputs for the selected sets of data

appears to be considerably low. A correlation close to 1 would be ideal as it would mean the model was

estimating energy consumptions perfectly. This results appear to be incoherent to the results seen when

choosing the best training algorithm, sets of data and number of hidden neurons.

The low correlation factor as to do with the previously explained fact that the data gathered in the

company is composed by a large number of measures in small capacity machines. This fact combined

with the random nature of the sets selection results in a model that provides good estimations for small

machines, but is unable to do it for larger capacity machines.

In parallel with the development of the neural network model an analysis was conducted to evaluate the

importance of the inputs selected. This analysis allows the creating of a ranking placing the variables

given as the most influent on the energy consumption.

With this objective, using the data set gathered at the company (180 measures), the variables were

ranked in terms of importance to the model using a k nearest neighbour algorithm.

Installed power Cycle time Total mass Material

1 2 3 4

Table 6-11- Key variables used in the model ranked in terms of influence in the results

Similarly to what was done with the other tested models, the developed neural network model was tested

using both the data gathered and the complete set of data (222 measures), combining original measures

with the ones available on previous works [12], [15].

To achieve this goal a new selection of the data sets distribution, training algorithm and number of

neuron present in the hidden layer was made. The results were interpreted as before.

57

Training set: 70 % Validation set: 15 % Test set: 15 %

Train Algorithm Levenberg-Marquadt Bayesian

Regularization

Scaled Conjugate

Gradient

MSE Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev

Hidden

Neurons

10 93.3004 28.0784 83.1292 111.3426 113.3437 32.7345

20 121.4437 116.1017 80.7713 68.6918 115.4658 42.2734

30 210.0287 370.3890 82.5848 153.1040 145.5127 52.9062

Table 6-12- Results of the experiments for the first training set, {70,15,15} [Combined data]

Training set: 60 % Validation set: 25 % Test set: 15 %

Train Algorithm Levenberg-Marquadt Bayesian

Regularization

Scaled Conjugate

Gradient

MSE Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev

Hidden

Neurons

10 135.3836 75.2371 68.3650 93.0471 131.2592 58.9495

20 126.0701 89.4438 121.3876 139.0588 120.3454 53.4396

30 109.4847 43.3885 158.9578 281.7223 120.2134 25.3590

Table 6-13- Results of the experiments for the first training set, {60,25,15} [Combined data]

Training set: 50 % Validation set: 25 % Test set: 25 %

Train Algorithm Levenberg-Marquadt Bayesian

Regularization

Scaled Conjugate

Gradient

MSE Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev

10 101.6435 37.3302 76.0914 41.1872 127.5179 28.0823

58

Hidden

Neurons 20 198.2700 122.3784 75.7302 42.0561 170.0482 50.4229

30 265.9584 247.9895 111.3106 101.6935 199.9640 73.4575

Table 6-14- Results of the experiments for the first training set, {50,25,25} [Combined data]

Analysing the information available on Table 6-12 to Table 6-14 it’s possible to select the best

configuration for de different sets of data, training algorithm and number of neurons in the hidden layer.

The best configuration is similar to the one selected in the previous case with de only difference being

the number of neurons in the hidden layer, 10 instead of 20. The distribution is, training set= 60%,

validation set=25% and test set=15%. The training algorithm with the best results is Bayesian

Regularization and it is best configuration the NN uses 10 hidden neurons.

A more detailed analysis of the table reveals that in this case (three companies) the mean squared error

is considerably higher, 68.36, and the standard deviation is much more significant than in the previous

case, 93.04.

As before, for the selected configuration an analysis was made to evaluate the behaviour of the model.

For that purpose, graphics showing the regression, R, that represents the correlation between the output

and the targets were plotted. The following results were obtained using the randomly selected training

and test sets of respectively 50% and 25% of the total data.

Figure 6.8- Correlation between the target and output for the training, test and overall sets for the combined data set

By comparison with the correlation factors found in the previous set of data, the combination of the three

companies promotes considerably higher correlations. In fact, the R values in the three cases (training,

test, all) are fairly close to the ideal value of 1. The difference can be explained by the fact that this larger

array of data includes measurements for larger capacity machines, making the destitution more even

throughout the spectre.

59

Gathered data Combined data

MSE 30.39 68.36

STD. Dev 0.16 93.04

R (training set) 0.5 0.96

R (test set) -0.08 0.90

R (overall set) 0.48 0.95

Table 6-15- Comparison of the MSE and standard deviation results in both the single and the combined data set

Table 6-15 displays a comparison between the results obtained using neural networks for both the

proposed data sets. Comparing the results draws the conclusion that the model provides lower MSE

values for the simpler data set, and that in this case the standard deviation is negligible when compared

to the values obtained for the three companies.

Even though the initial case study appears to provide better estimations of the energy consumption, this

array of data lack in measurements for larger machines, resulting in a model that is incapable to estimate

energy consumptions for those machines. The second case study, reveals itself worst when modelling

energy consumptions but allows the estimation of this output for larger capacity machines.

60

7. Discussion

In this chapter the results of the approaches selected to model energy consumption in the injection

moulding are discussed. It is also discussed the applicability of each model as well as their limitations

and the causes behind them.

7.1. SEC Model

The proposed SEC model appears to be a useful tool in energy consumption modelling and prediction.

It can provide good estimations when it is developed for a specific company, using data from the

machines available there. Furthermore, it can be applicable when a company uses a generic value,

such as the one calculated on this thesis. Ideally a company should develop SEC values for each

machine individually, based on a sample of several injected parts, and use that value to predict the

consumption of new parts to be injected in that machine for comparing machines and serve as a tool to

improve the process planning in the early design phase.

Obviously the estimations obtained with this model have errors when compared to the real values, but

can provide useful estimations of the energy consumption in this process with considerable reliability.

SEC models are relatively effortless and inexpensive do develop as they can be assessed using small

quantities of data. The main cost associated with developing this models is the purchase of the

equipment necessary to measure energy consumptions.

Gathering energy consumption it is a fairly simple process and with time, a company can obtain large

quantities of data, improving the precision of the model. Systems able to assure continuous monitoring

of energy and mass flow, such as the one found in the company visited, allow faster processes of data

gathering. This systems also provide the ability to continuously update the SEC reference values and

maintaining higher precision when estimating consumptions.

One of the biggest limitations of SEC models is the downside of its biggest advantage. The limited

amount of inputs required is what makes it simple to develop and to use SEC models, but is also one of

its major limitations. By having few inputs, the model doesn’t consider important factors to the energy

consumption. In the literature it was found that the geometry of the part can have a big influence when

it comes to the power used in the process, fact that is not totally considered by the approach in question.

The size and geometry of a certain part is limited in maximum dimensions by the machine used but the

part/machine fitness is not accounted in this model.

61

Although there were found significant differences in the data gathered in different companies, the

proposed SEC model reacts well, maintaining close values of average specific energy consumption

between the three companies. Even when compared with the value obtained by Gutowski [27], the

average value is similar. This evidence assures the usability of calculated SEC average in different

companies with acceptable precision.

Given what was said before, the SEC model developed is proposed as a tool to obtain quick and simple

estimations with a fairly good precision, especially when developed with large quantities of data and

used within the same company.

7.2. Process-Based Model

In an attempt to fill the limitations left by the low number of inputs used by SEC models, it was tested a

process-based model. Process-based models are very sensitive to the characteristics of each process,

and achieve this by integrating a larger number of inputs.

From the literary research, the selected model was the Ribeiro et al. [12]. This model appears to be the

most complete for the injection moulding process, and it was developed originally with a serious

consideration by the industrial environment, including several energy consumption measures. This

model was also further tested and developed by Domingues [15].

Even though the model was developed in as industrial environment, it is originally created using a

relatively small set of data, and was further tested by Domingues [15] with a larger but still considerably

small set. This fact led to interest of studying the results and applicability of this model with larger sets

of data. Thanks to the live resource monitoring system available ate the company, it was possible to

achieve this goal.

The application of such model on a larger set of data led to a group of new conclusions. The model has

limitations and could not model properly the energy consumption in the visited company.

The company visited during this thesis has wide variety of machines. Some big, but mostly smaller

machines. Besides that, each smaller machine uses different moulds and injects several different parts

while the larger equipment is usually associated with large scale production of a single part. This fact

resulted in a considerably higher amount of data for small machines, which does not appear to be helpful

when applying this model.

Another consideration taken from the data available is the fact that unlike the two companies visited in

previous works, the visited company has machines from several different manufacturers and with

different ages. The data used by Ribeiro et al. [12] was taken in a group of machines from the same

62

manufacturer and had approximately the same age. The same can be said for the work developed by

Domingues [15].

The model proposed by Ribeiro et al. [12] is still a useful way of predicting energy consumptions if

developed with consistent set of data, as shown by Domingues [15]. Its application requires attention to

the two fact explained above. With the right set of data, containing identical parts, machines and

production focus, this model can be used to provide high precision estimations of energy consumption.

7.3. Neural Networks Model

Given the possibility to gather larger sets of data, provided by the monitoring system installed in the

visited company, there came the idea of applying neural networks to this experimental case.

Neural Networks are complex systems able to solve nonlinear problems, however, they are made

relatively simple to develop due to the established knowledge and tools available with this purpose. It is

a question of defining the right input variables and providing sufficient data for the model to be trained,

tested and validated. The main requirement for developing this models is gathering enough data to

develop it, and like the SEC models, this is considerably easier when a continuous monitoring system

is available.

The NN-based model developed in this thesis displays the same problems as the ones seen in the

applied PBM. The uneven distribution of the data in the machine capacity spectrum results in the

incapability of estimating energy consumptions for larger machines. This model could use a more evenly

distributed set of data, with more measurements for larger machines. Despite this limitation, the model

appears to provide good estimations for smaller capacity machines, with low error and negligible

standard deviation.

The proposed NN model allows the estimation of energy consumptions for companies other than the

one where the data to develop was gathered, as seen with the data from the three companies combined.

However, much like the previous models it benefits from being developed with data from the company

where it will be used.

Overall, neural networks models can be really useful in energy estimation. They provide simple yet

precise energy estimations if the right inputs are chosen and if the data used in the development is

coherent.

63

8. Conclusion

This work was developed having the context of resources efficiency and production costs in mind. For

that factor, energy consumptions modelling technics were tested and developed to improve the precision

of the forecasting and evaluate the specific applicability of each model. The injection moulding process

was studied and the parameters with influence on the power required for the process were listed and

tested using experimental data.

Three approaches were selected to model energy consumptions. Two of them were tested and

compared to previous works and the third was adapted to the case of the injection moulding industry.

The first is based on a SEC approach and includes three different tests to that metric. In an initial

analysis, a SEC reference value was calculated, using the average of the specific energy consumption

of the totality of the experimental measurements. In an attempt to improve the precision of this model,

new reference values were calculated using the average of the individual measurements divided by

machine clamping force and by material. This attempt revelled itself unable to improve the precision of

the traditional SEC model.

Motivated by the limitation found on SEC models, there was the need to test more comprehensive

models. For this, a process based model was tested. This model is sensitive to the properties of the

injected part, the material, the machine, the processing conditions and the machine/part fitness, and

achieves this by using two parcels. The first is a thermodynamic model that considers the melting and

the filling part of the process. The second is a machine model that accounts for the rest of the

parameters. This model was tested before with good results, however, in the context of the visited

company it revelled itself inapplicable. Not only was it incapable of achieving predictions with acceptable

error but it was also impossible to adapt the coefficients to the data from the visited company.

One possible reason for the high deviation of the PBM estimations to the measured values is the set of

data used. The company where the data was gathered have a large number of small injection machines

and only few larger ones, this led to a big concentration of the measurements taking place in smaller

machines. Another factor is the age of machines found in the company. The visited company has

machines with varying ages, some fairly new and others considerable old. Other possibility is the

complexity of the injected parts, the measurements taken include simple parts such as tubes, and more

complex parts. The model does not account for details in this area.

To take advantage of the large set of data gathered, a new methodology was created using neural

networks. This models, however used before for energy modelling, had not been adapted to the injection

moulding industry prior to this work. When using NN’s a large set of data is necessary to allow the model

64

to learn from the measurements and improve the precision given by it. It was found a similar problem to

the process based models. The distribution of the measurements in the various dimension of the

machines means that the NN model is incapable of estimating energy consumptions for larger machines.

However, in smaller machines the model appears to provide fairly good estimations. The model was

also tested with data from other companies, resulting in an improvement in the capacity of modelling

larger machines energy consumption but a decrease in the overall precision.

The first and the third approach, both have positive results for the case of the visited company. The SEC

approach is preferred when the objective is to provide fast estimations requiring few variables and

development time. Neural networks can be very interesting in the injection moulding industry as they

can solve complex problems, however, this models require more data and a more evenly spread set of

data.

65

9. Future Work

The work developed in this thesis raised some consideration about future work to develop in this field.

The first suggestion is to improve the studies done around the geometry of the part. As seen during this

thesis the existing models could benefit of considering with more detail the geometry of the part.

Especially the effect it has on the cooling time and therefore on the cycle time of the injected part. The

fitness of certain injected parts in the machines used should also be reviewed.

For the developed SEC model, it is suggested that new reference values are created for each machine.

By using several measurements for the same machine injecting different parts it would be possible to

calculate a specific SEC value for each machine. Is possible that this leads to a big improvement on the

precision of the model.

In the case of the process based model, there is still the need to test it with large sets of data, and this

should be done using measurements distributed evenly in machines with different dimensions.

For the neural networks model it is recommended the development of a new model considering an even

larger set of experimental data with more evenly distributed measurements throughout the machine

dimension spectre. This models could benefit from being used with monitoring systems, such as the one

found in the visited company. By receiving new measurements from the monitoring system the model

could be constantly updated and the data set could be expanded to better train the model, thus

improving the precision of the estimations.

66

10. References

[1] P. H. Kauffer, Ed., Injection Molding: Process, Design, and Applications. 2010.

[2] M. M. Fisher, F. E. Mark, and T. Kingsbury, “Energy Recovery in the Sustainable Recycling of

Plastics from End-of-Life Electrical and Electronic Products,” IEEE, pp. 83–92, 2005.

[3] A. Thiriez and T. Gutowski, “An environmental analysis of injection molding,” Electron. Environ.

2006., pp. 195–200, 2006.

[4] “The history of plastic moulding.” [Online]. Available: http://www.plasticmoulding.ca/history.htm.

[Accessed: 07-Sep-2016].

[5] “A short history of injection moulding.” [Online]. Available: http://www.avplastics.co.uk/a-short-

history-of-injection-moulding. [Accessed: 07-Sep-2016].

[6] “A indústria portuguesa de moldes.” [Online]. Available:

http://www.cefamol.pt/cefamol/pt/Cefamol_IndustriaMoldes/Historia. [Accessed: 07-Sep-2016].

[7] I. Pires, “Moldação por injecção: Class notes,” IST, 2014.

[8] “Plastics Technology.” [Online]. Available: http://www.ptonline.com/articles/electric-hydraulic-or-

hybrid-what’s-the-rightinjection-press-for-you. [Accessed: 07-Sep-2016].

[9] M. Khan, S. K. Afaq, N. U. Khan, and S. Ahmad, “Cycle Time Reduction in Injection Molding

Process by Selection of Robust Cooling Channel Design,” ISRN Mech. Eng., vol. 2014, 2014.

[10] D. Godec, M. Rujnić-Sokele, and M. Šercer, “Energy Efficient Injection Moulding of Polymers,”

Acta Tech. Corviniensis-Bulletin Eng., 2012.

[11] D. Godec, M. Rujnić-Sokele, and M. Šercer, “Processing parameters influencing energy efficient

injection moulding of plastics and rubbers,” Polim. Plast. Rubber J., vol. 33, pp. 112–117, 2012.

[12] I. Ribeiro, P. Peças, and E. Henriques, “Modelling the energy consumption in the injection

moulding process,” J. Sustain. Manuf., vol. 3, no. 4, pp. 289–309, 2015.

[13] J. Z. Liang, “The calculation of cooling time in injection moulding,” Process. Technol, vol. 57, pp.

62–64, 1996.

[14] D. M. Zarkadas and M. Xanthos, “Prediction of Cooling Time in Injection Molding by Means of a

Simplified Semianalytical Equation,” Adv. Polym. Technol., vol. 22, no. 3, pp. 188–208, 2003.

[15] D. Domingues, “Análise e Modelação do consumo de energia no processo de injeção de

plásticos,” 2016.

67

[16] K. A. Stelson, “Calculating cooling times for polymer injection,” J. Eng. Manuf., vol. 217, 2013.

[17] World Energy Counsil, “World Energy Resources 2013 Survey,” 2013.

[18] I. Ribeiro, P. Peças, and E. Henriques, “A life cycle framework to support materials selection for

Ecodesign : A case study on biodegradable polymers,” J. Mater., vol. 51, pp. 300–308, 2013.

[19] A. Kicherer, S. Schaltegger, H. Tschochohei, and B. Ferreira Pozo, “Combining Life Cycle

Assessment and Life Cycle Costs via Normalization,” Life Cycle Manag., vol. 12, no. 7, pp. 537–

543, 2007.

[20] L. Zhou, J. Li, F. Li, Q. Meng, J. Li, and X. Xu, “Energy consumption model and energy efficiency

of machine tools : a comprehensive literature review,” J. Clean. Prod., vol. 112, pp. 3721–3734,

2016.

[21] W. Li and S. Kara, “An empirical model for predicting energy consumption of manufacturing

processes: a case of turning process,” J. Eng. Manuf., vol. 225 B, pp. 1636–1646, 2011.

[22] J. R. Duflou, J. W. Sutherland, D. Dornfeld, C. Herrmann, J. Jeswiet, S. Kara, M. Hauschild, and

K. Kellens, “Towards energy and resource efficient manufacturing : A processes and systems

approach,” CIRP Ann. - Manuf. Technol., vol. 61, no. 2, pp. 587–609, 2012.

[23] S. Kara and W. Li, “Unit process energy consumption models for material removal processes,”

CIRP Ann. - Manuf. Technol., vol. 60, pp. 37–40, 2011.

[24] V. A. Balogun, I. F. Edem, A. A. Adekunle, and P. T. Mativenga, “Specific energy based evaluation

of machining efficiency,” J. Clean. Prod., no. 116, pp. 187–197, 2016.

[25] T. Spiering, S. Kohlitz, H. Sundmaeker, and C. Herrmann, “Energy efficiency benchmarking for

injection moulding processes,” Robot. Comput. Integr. Manuf., vol. 36, pp. 45–59, 2015.

[26] L. Li, J. Yan, and Z. Xing, “Energy requirements evaluation of milling machines based on thermal

equilibrium and empirical modelling,” J. Clean. Prod., vol. 52, pp. 113–121, 2013.

[27] T. Gutowski, J. Dahmus, and A. Thiriez, “Electrical Energy Requirements for Manufacturing

Processes,” in 13th CIRP International Conference on Life Cycle Engineering, pp. 623–628.

[28] A. Thiriez, “An Environmental Analysis of Injetion Molding,” 2006.

[29] F. Liu, J. Xie, and S. Liu, “A method for predicting the energy consumption of the main driving

system of a machine tool in a machining process,” J. Clean. Prod., vol. 105, pp. 171–177, 2015.

[30] V. A. Balogun and P. T. Mativenga, “Modelling of direct energy requirements in mechanical

machining processes,” J. Clean. Prod., vol. 41, pp. 179–186, 2013.

68

[31] Y. He, F. Liu, T. Wu, F. Zhong, and B. Peng, “Analysis and estimation of energy consumption for

numerical control machining,” J. Eng. Manuf., vol. 226 B, pp. 255–266, 2011.

[32] Z. Zhang, R. Tang, T. Peng, L. Tao, and S. Jia, “A method for minimizing the energy consumption

of machining system : integration of process planning and scheduling,” J. Clean. Prod., 2016.

[33] J. Mattis, P. Sheng, W. DiScipio, and K. Leong, “A framework for analyzing energy efficient

injection-molding die design,” Proc. 1996 IEEE Int. Symp. Electron. Environ. ISEE-1996, pp.

207–212, 1996.

[34] S. A. Kalogirou, “Applications of artificial neural networks in energy systems A review,” Energy

Convers. Manag., vol. 40, pp. 1073–1087, 1999.

[35] H. R. Khosravani, M. Del, M. Castilla, M. Berenguel, A. E. Ruano, and P. M. Ferreira, “A

Comparison of Energy Consumption Prediction Models Based on Neural Networks of a

Bioclimatic Building,” Energies, vol. 9, no. 57, pp. 1–24, 2016.

[36] S. Karatasou, M. Santamouris, and V. Geros, “Modeling and predicting building ’ s energy use

with artificial neural networks : Methods and results,” Energy Build., vol. 38, pp. 949–958, 2006.

[37] A. Azadeh, R. Babazadeh, and S. M. Asadzadeh, “Optimum estimation and forecasting of

renewable energy consumption by artificial neural networks,” Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev., vol.

27, pp. 605–612, 2013.

[38] “Neural Networks.” [Online]. Available:

https://www.doc.ic.ac.uk/~nd/surprise_96/journal/vol4/cs11/report.html. [Accessed: 20-Sep-

2016].

[39] “NeuroSolution.” [Online]. Available: http://www.neurosolutions.com/products/ns/whatisNN.html.

[Accessed: 20-Sep-2016].

[40] A. Cunha, A. J. Pontes, and A. M. Brito, Manual do Projectista, Vol 2. Lisbon.

69

11. Annex

11.1. Annex I- Data Gathering Sheet

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Máquina

Marca/Modelo

Potência instalada [kW]

T1 [ºC]

T2 [ºC]

T3 [ºC]

T4 [ºC]

T5 [ºC]

T6 [ºC]

Cforce [ton]

Molde Nº Cavidades

Peça

Espessura máxima [mm]

Massa peça [g]

Massa gito [g]

Processo Tc [s]

Ta [s]

Material

Material

P_inj [bar]

ρ [g/cm^3]

Cp [kJ/kgºC]

Hf [J/g]

λ

Tmelt [ºC]

Medição Pexp [kW]

Nº da medição

Inf. Peça/Molde

Nº do molde

Nº Peça

70

11.2. Annex II- Machine List

Máq. Marca Ano Fabrico Modelo Potência

(kW)

Distância entre

colunas (mm)

Força fecho

(ton)

Cap.

Injeção

(cm3)

MA29 Sandretto 1979 6GV110TON 45,0 350 110 250

MA30 Sandretto 1979 6GV70T 30,0 300 70 170

MA31 Sandretto 1979 6GVT170TON 45,0 400 170 383

MA32 Sandretto 1979 6GVT170TON 45,0 400 170 383

MA36 Sandretto 1979 6GVT170TON 45,0 400 170 383

MA38 Sandretto 1979 6GVT170TON 45,0 400 170 383

MA40 MIR 1991 RMP 135/360 35,0 420 135 330

MA41

Negri

Bossi 1978 200 TON 40,0 500 200 990

MA42 Sandretto 1982 6GV50TON 20,0 265 50 72

MSA44 Sandretto 1996 SERIE OTTO 400 67,3 650 353 1370

MSA45 Sandretto 1996 SERIE OTTO 400 72,3 650 353 1370

MA46 Victor 1998 VS-50 21,0 310 50 87

MA47 Victor 1997 VS-130 25,6 460 130 265

MA49 MIR 1998 RMP140 34,5 465 140 412

MA50 MIR 1998 RMP280 68,0 625 280 904

MSA51 Sandretto 1998 SERIE OTTO 380 68,0 650 353 1370

MA52 MIR 1995 RMP65 21,5 320 58 108

MA53 Victor 1998 VS-50 21,0 310 50 87

MA54 Victor 1998 VS-50 21,0 310 50 87

MA55 Victor 1998 VS-80 24,5 360 80 163

MA56 Victor 1998 VS-80 24,5 360 80 163

MA57 Victor 1998 VS-130 25,6 460 130 165

MA58 Victor 1998 VR-350H 71,0 700 350 1160

MA59 MIR 1998 MPO 35 16,0 275 35 59

MA60 MIR 1998 MPO 35 16,0 275 35 59

MSA61 Victor 1999 VR-550T 87,0 850 550 2544

MA62 MIR 1999 RMP280 68,0 625 280 904

MA63 MIR 1999 RMP140 34,5 465 140 412

MA64 MIR 1999 RMP80 29,0 370 80 238

MA65 MIR 2000 RMP80 29,0 370 80 238

MA66 MIR 1999 RMP100 29,0 370 100 238

MA67 MIR 2000 RMP60/95 22,5 320 60 108

MA68 MIR 2000 RMP60/95 22,5 320 60 108

MSA69 MIR 2000 RMP830 217,0 930 830 4560

MA70 MIR 2000 RMP100 29,0 370 100 238

71

MA71 Victor 2000 VS-100 24,0 410 100 147

MA72 Victor 2000 VS-100 24,0 410 100 147

MA73 Victor 2000 VS-100 24,0 410 100 147

MA74 Victor 2001 VS-100 24,0 410 100 147

MA75 Victor 2001 VS-100 24,0 410 100 147

MA76 Victor 2001 VS-50 21,0 310 50 87

MA77 MIR 2002 RMP200 53,0 540 200 617

MA78 MIR 2003 RMP60/95 22,5 320 60 108

MA79 MIR 2003 RMP140 34,5 465 140 412

MA80 Victor 2003 VS-50 21,0 310 50 87

MA81 Victor 2003 VS-100 24,0 410 100 147

MSA82 Victor 2003 VR-550T 87,0 850 550 2544

MSA83 Sandretto 1987 SERIE 7 650 128,0 820 650 2860

MA84 MIR 2004 RMP280 68,0 625 280 904

MA85 MIR 2004 RMP200 53,0 540 200 617

MA86 Victor 2004 VS-100 24,0 410 100 147

MA87 Victor 2004 VS-100 24,0 410 100 147

MA88 Victor 2004 VS-100 24,0 410 100 147

MA89 Sandretto 1994 SERIE SETTE 40 15,2 265 40 105

MSA90 Maico 2006 M-L-650T 160,0 910x800 650 2900

MA91 Maico 2006 SAVING 180 40,0 500 180 451

MA92 Maico 2006 SAVING 260 60,0 600 260 650

MSA93 Maico 2006 M-L-650T 160,0 910x800 650 2380

MA94 Sandretto 2007 SERIE9 1000/1200 26,3 415 100 214

MA95 Sandretto 2007 SERIE9 2200/860 43,1 510 220 475

MA96 Sandretto 1995 SERIE OTTO 85T 29,0 370 85 286

MA97 Sandretto 2007

SERIE9 -

650HP165 32,4 460 165 319

MSA98 Maico 1994 M-L-650T 143,0 820 650 3897

MA99 Maico 1996 380T 84,0 640 380 1455

MA100 Maico 2000 TEM 240 44,0 560 240 792

MA101 Maico 2000 TEK-S 320 80,0 650x580 320 1270

MSA102 Maico 2011 M-L-650 150,0 910 x 800 650 2380

MSA103 Maico 2012 SAVING 650 142,0 960x960 650 2670

MA104 Victor 2012 Victor 250 44,0 610x610 250 190

MA105 ENGEL 2001 ES 500/110 HL 27,7 110 251

MA106 ENGEL 2001 ES 200/45 HL 17,8 45 99

MA107 ENGEL 2001 ES 500/110 HL 27,7 110 251

MA108 ENGEL 2002

ES 200/45 HL -

Victory 17,8 45 99

72

MA109 ENGEL 2001 ES 1050/200 HL 46,3 200 510

MSA110 MAICO 1996

CORSA 600 EL

NR 29 108,0 805x805 589 2620

MAA111 MAICO 2006 SPRINT 300 153,0 660x600 300 805

MSA112 MAICO 2000 TEK-S 520 107,0 810x740 520 2550

MA113 Victor 2015 VS-100

73

11.3. Annex III- Experimental data

Maquina 42 89 55 54 60 65 66 76 73 97 38 87 47

Potência instalada [kW] 20 15,2 24,5 21 16 29 29 21 24 32,4 45 24 25,6

Força de fecho [ton] 50 40 80 50 35 80 100 50 100 165 170 100 130

Tbico [ºC] 0,3 0,65 185 200 230 229 210 181 196 0,55 0,3 177 180

T1 [ºC] 180 190 190 230 192 239 199 189 189 225 200 190 190

T2 [ºC] 190 200 190 231 183 240 210 180 199 230 200 200 188

T3 [ºC] 180 180 180 220 164 229 190 180 185 220 190 178 190

T4 [ºC] - - - - - - - - - 210 - - -

Tempo de ciclo [s] 15,55 14,5 24,3 20,6 21,44 47,02 19,95 15,4 25,5 25,5 45,98 24,3 36,1

Tempo de arref. [s] 8 6 8 6 10,71 20,01 4,01 8 9 10 30 6 14

Nº de cavidades 2 6 2+2+1 2+2 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2

Peça

Massa peça [g] 2,2 0,33 2,92/2,27/0,68 1,86/0,75 0,73 25,46 26,5 20,1 20,87 65,74 117,64 13,96 32,37

Massa gito[g] ? 1,94 5,55 5,17 2,29 2,94 N/A N/A N/A 3,96 2,34 3,91 N/A

Massa total [g] 5,56 3,92 16,61 10,39 5,21 53,86 26,5 20,1 20,87 69,7 119,98 31,83 32,37

Espessura máxima [mm] 4,4 3,13 10,1 1,8 4,3 ? 3,5 ? 4 2,4 ? ? ?

Material PP PP POM ABS POM PS PP POM POM PS PP POM POM

Potência exp [kW] 8,780488 7,804878 6,243902 14,63415 10,2439 13,17073 16,58537 5,454545 8,429752 7,933884 18,53659 8 9,756098

Maquina 74 94 96 32 56 55 54 67 64 89 40 42 32

Potência instalada [kW] 24 26,3 29 45 24,5 24,5 21 22,5 29 15,2 35 20 45

Força de fecho [ton] 100 100 85 170 80 80 50 60 80 40 135 50 170

Tbico [ºC] 180 0,5 0,4 0,4 180 180 216 210 230 0,7 220 0,7 0,4

T1 [ºC] 199 210 195 220 190 190 250 180 235 200 220 190 220

T2 [ºC] 200 210 200 230 200 200 250 185 240 190 235 190 230

T3 [ºC] 185 190 180 210 180 180 230 170 225 170 220 180 210

74

T4 [ºC] - 180 - - - - - - - - - - -

T5 [ºC] - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tempo de ciclo [s] 21,3 30,2 32 28,49 20,2 22,3 34,4 19,2 46,54 21 29,5 16,06 22,12

Tempo de arref. [s] 5 15,3 8,5 17 10 4 14 4,01 22,01 10 15 7 10

Nº de cavidades 4 4 8 1 2 1+1 1+1+1+1 1 1+1 1 1 4 1+1

Peça

Massa peça [g] 10,03 15,3 7,06 45,5 3,85 8,2 ? 16,8 84,23+60,7 7,2 22 1,53 5,61+27,13

Massa gito[g] 10,1 N/A 18,85 - 1,5 N/A ? N/A 13,04 N/A 1,5 1,34 6,76

Massa total [g] 50,22 61,2 75,33 45,5 9,2 16,4 13,25 16,8 157,97 7,2 23,5 7,46 39,5

Espessura máxima [mm] 7,5 ? 4,5 ? 7,8 9 3,51 ? 3,5 ? 5 2,5 2,5

Material PP POM PP ABS PP POM ABS POM PS PP POM PP ABS

Potência exp [kW] 8,292683 13,17073 8 13,38843 8,648649 6,27027 14,87603 34,05405 9,72973 7,837838 10,37838 7,135135 15

Maquina 92 78 79 76 88 47 71 70 38 49 99 95 94

Potência instalada [kW] 60 22,5 34,5 21 24 25,6 24 29 45 34,5 84 43,1 26,3

Força de fecho [ton] 260 60 140 50 100 130 100 100 170 140 380 220 100

Tbico [ºC] 0,4 200 240 180 177 180 185 211 0,3 220 0,3 0,35 0,2

T1 [ºC] 248 190 210 190 190 189 198 220 200 190 205 210 199

T2 [ºC] 250 200 213 195 200 199 188 230 200 200 211 200 200

T3 [ºC] 242 170 190 180 190 190 180 200 190 180 216 200 180

T4 [ºC] 226 - - - - - - - - - 190 185 180

T5 [ºC] - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tempo de ciclo [s] 22,5 22,3 35,48 17,6 30 45,8 15,3 32,22 37 29,27 70 15,7 25

Tempo de arref. [s] 3 9 19 2 10 25 3 13,01 20 15,01 15 4 10

Nº de cavidades 2 2 2+2 4 8 4 4 1 1+1+1 2 2 4 8

Peça

Massa peça [g] 25,4 27,11 24,1+25,22 3,625 0,99 19,7 6,79 76 32,56//1,59//5,391 35,05 242,7 15,36 4,5

Massa gito[g] N/A 1,79 5,94 N/A 3,07 N/A N/A N/A - N/A - N/A N/A

75

Massa total [g] 50,8 56,01 104,58 14,5 10,99 78,8 27,16 76 49,541 70,1 485,4 61,44 36

Espessura máxima [mm] 4 1,7 ? 5 4,5 12,3 4,85 ? 11 2 ? 4 3,9

Material ABS PP PP POM POM POM POM ABS PP PP PP PP POM

Potência exp [kW] 13,25967 9,281768 14,25414 7,624309 9,281768 11,27072 9,421488 16 12,48 10,93923 16,95652 19,56522 7,304348

Maquina 72 76 75 79 77 105 78 81 96 46 57 55 53

Potência instalada [kW] 24 21 24 34,5 53 27,7 22,5 24 29 21 25,6 24,5 21

Força de fecho [ton] 100 50 100 140 200 110 60 100 85 50 130 80 50

Tbico [ºC] 205 193 180 190 230 190 228 230 0,25 200 2,25 183 160

T1 [ºC] 215 200 190 180 244 200 190 220 190 250 245 189 185

T2 [ºC] 225 200 190 180 250 200 200 210 200 255 245 190 190

T3 [ºC] 217 180 180 175 230 190 170 200 180 235 230 180 170

T4 [ºC] - - - - - - - - - - - - -

T5 [ºC] - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tempo de ciclo [s] 34,2 18 25,2 27,36 28,24 40,52 19,56 25,5 31 16,1 19,2 20,9 21,3

Tempo de arref. [s] 14 5 10 10 10 12,02 9 5 17 4 5 10 6

Nº de cavidades 2 8 2 1+1 2 2 2 1 4 1 1+1 1 10

Peça

Massa peça [g] 22,04 2,34 21,78 31,31+65,79 70,66 68 14,45 42,5 5,9 8,514 8,29 13,8 4,09

Massa gito[g] 5,88 N/A 8,55 10,36 N/A N/A 1,94 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Massa total [g] 49,96 18,72 52,11 107,46 141,32 136 30,84 42,5 23,6 8,514 16,58 13,8 40,9

Espessura máxima [mm] 4 6 6 ? ? 7 3,4 6 17,3 5,1 7 ? 5,8

Material PS POM POM PP PS PP PP PP PP ABS ABS POM POM

Potência exp [kW] 3,809524 7,741935 9,756098 15 8,292683 9,193548 8,709677 8,709677 8,648649 5,25 11,89831 5,694915 19,83051

76

Maquina 56 65 63 32 40 40 89 57 53 60 59 67 64

Potência instalada [kW] 24,5 29 34,5 45 35 35 15,2 25,6 21 16 16 22,5 29

Força de fecho [ton] 80 80 140 170 135 135 40 130 50 35 35 60 80

Tbico [ºC] 190 250 230 0,4 210 200 0,7 2,27 160 2,2 225 250 230

T1 [ºC] 200 240 230 230 230 235 195 245 185 200 220 230 230

T2 [ºC] 200 245 240 235 240 240 200 245 180 210 210 235 240

T3 [ºC] 180 230 220 220 220 230 100 230 170 195 200 217 218

T4 [ºC] - - - - - - - - - - - - -

T5 [ºC] - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tempo de ciclo [s] 25,9 41,12 25,51 26 24 41,8 13 19,5 21,4 20,81 17,84 37,63 26,03

Tempo de arref. [s] 15 17,01 10,01 16 12 30 5 5 6 10,01 4,01 15,01 10,01

Nº de cavidades 4 1+1 2 1 1+1 2+2 2 1+1 10 4 1+2 2 2

Peça

Massa peça [g] 3,075 3,6+2,72 50,7 28,96 20,1//16,64 8,5 + 19,41 1,19 11,74+8,38 4,09 5,96 3,29+0,32 18,08 1,16

Massa gito[g] 6,84 ? 12,26 N/A 2,83 5,19 0,91 n/a n/a 4,94 1,45 3,61 -

Massa total [g] 19,14 6,32 113,66 28,96 39,57 61,01 3,29 20,12 40,9 28,78 5,38 39,77 2,32

Espessura máxima [mm] 2,65 ? ? 2,5 10 5 2 7 5,8 8,9 5 15,5 1,25

Material PP ABS ABS ABS PS PS PP ABS POM POM PP PP ABS

Potência exp [kW] 11,18644 14,0339 8,644068 13,72881 9,762712 9,917355 8,181818 11,60331 18,84298 11,60331 16,32 39,42149 10,16529

Maquina 68 65 92 100 72 73 78 97 62 70 51 45 69

Potência instalada [kW] 22,5 29 60 44 24 24 22,5 32,4 68 29 68 72,3 217

Força de fecho [ton] 60 80 260 240 100 100 60 165 280 100 353 353 830

Tbico [ºC] 230 220 0,6 0,3 208 190 200 0,5 2,55 200 200 0,2 180

T1 [ºC] 200 250 248 195 210 190 190 240 220 190 230 250 230

T2 [ºC] 200 250 245 205 220 190 200 240 215 180 240 250 250

T3 [ºC] 180 230 230 200 210 180 180 230 205 166 230 235 250

77

T4 [ºC] - - 211 195 - - - 210 180 - 210 225 240

T5 [ºC] - - - 180 - - - - - - - - -

Tempo de ciclo [s] 25,27 36,49 40,6 51,8 35,4 33,7 16,4 35,4 40,9 25,65 50,5 39,5 75,56

Tempo de arref. [s] 12,01 14,01 10 18 10 12 6 17 8,01 10,01 19 7 31,01

Nº de cavidades 2+2+2 2 2 2 2 2 4 1 2+2 1+1 1+2 4+4+4+4+4 2

Peça

Massa peça [g] 2,66+1,61+2,37 11,36 77,61 36,9 17,77 24,11 1,54 68,92 26,5 22,03+11,46 346,5 ? 1325

Massa gito[g] 5,57 n/a n/a n/a 5,86 n/a 1,58 N/A N/A 7,42 - - -

Massa total [g] 18,85 22,72 155,22 73,8 41,4 48,22 7,74 68,92 106 40,91 346,5 489,024 2650

Espessura máxima [mm] 2,59 5 3 13 2,5 ? 3,7 ? 4 ? ? ? 4,7

Material POM ABS PS PP PS POM PP PS PP POM PS POM PS

Potência exp [kW] 8,92562 12,49587 14,87603 32,72727 6,942149 8,429752 7,2 7,090909 8,429752 12,89256 11 33 36

Maquina 92 72 73 78 97 87 100 63 65 68 58 95 91

Potência instalada [kW] 60 24 24 22,5 32,4 24 44 34,5 29 22,5 71 43,1 40

Força de fecho [ton] 260 100 100 60 165 100 240 140 80 60 350 220 180

Tbico [ºC] 0,6 210 180 200 0,5 180 0,3 230 275 190 210 0,5 0,5

T1 [ºC] 230 230 185 190 240 190 195 230 240 190 205 195 200

T2 [ºC] 240 230 175 200 240 200 205 240 245 200 205 200 205

T3 [ºC] 240 220 170 170 230 100 200 230 230 180 195 190 195

T4 [ºC] 215 240 - - 210 - 195 - - - 195 175 185

T5 [ºC] - - - - - - 180 - - - - - -

Tempo de ciclo [s] 44,9 22,6 25,3 22,7 34,2 29,3 51 27,3 35,9 33,67 51,2 26,3 39,5

Tempo de arref. [s] 15 12 10 9 17 13 18 8,01 14,01 17,01 18 10 22

Nº de cavidades 8 1 8 2 1 4 2 1 2 4 1+1+1 4 2

Peça

78

Massa peça [g] 13 41,43 3,95 27,11 68,92 25,9 36,9 106,2 10,66 4,81 77+19,43+48,3 37,99 43,92

Massa gito[g] N/A 7,36 0,47 1,79 N/A N/A N/A N/A 3,63 N/A 9,35 N/A N/A

Massa total [g] 104 48,79 32,07 56,01 68,92 25,9 73,8 106,2 24,95 19,24 154,08 151,96 87,84

Espessura máxima [mm] 10,4 ? 4,32 1,7 ? 3,9 13 ? 4,35 1,9 ? ? 3,5

Material ABS PS POM PP PS POM POM PP ABS POM PP POM PP

Potência exp [kW] 13,75 8 12,5 10 7,5 9,75 33,71901 9,173554 12,79339 10,16529 12,39669 19,83471 4,640884

Maquina 93 73 104 62 70 113 86 87 74 96 29 46 53

Potência instalada [kW] 160 24 44 68 29 22,8 24 24 24 29 45 21 21

Força de fecho [ton] 650 100 250 280 100 100 100 100 100 85 110 50 50

Tbico [ºC] 0,3 180 240 255 255 200 190 200 180 0,4 0,45 220 171

T1 [ºC] 210 190 240 220 220 210 190 210 200 200 205 250 190

T2 [ºC] 220 200 240 215 215 210 190 210 205 200 210 255 190

T3 [ºC] 225 190 220 210 210 205 190 190 190 185 200 230 180

T4 [ºC] 215 - - 180 180 - - - - - - - -

T5 [ºC] 205 - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tempo de ciclo [s] 69,8 32,3 27 41,29 20,43 31,1 42,4 41,1 28,5 24,9 23 25,1 28,1

Tempo de arref. [s] 26 15 8 8,01 5,01 10 10 12 8 17 13 4 16

Nº de cavidades 1 1+1+1+1 4 2+2 8 4 4 1+1 1 2 2 2+2 2

Peça

Massa peça [g] 1025,95 ? 20,77 ? 3,36 ? ? 10,95+23,7 27,12 8,54 40,35 4,85+2,14 5,45

Massa gito[g] N/A N/A N/A N/A 4,13 N/A N/A N/A N/A 3,72 N/A 4,77 4,23

Massa total [g] 1025,95 30,823 83,08 64,58 31,01 31,74 35,6 34,65 27,12 20,8 80,7 18,75 15,13

Espessura máxima [mm] 3 5,6 9,63 4 4,8 6,8 4,5 6 5 ? 1,9 5,5

Material PP POM ABS PP POM POM POM POM PP PP PP ABS POM

Potência exp [kW] 10,60773 8,108108 15,86777 7,933884 14,4 6,942149 9,421488 9,421488 8,429752 7,933884 8,92562 4,561983 11,40496

79

Maquina 54 59 60 56 92 72 91 95 94 109 93 90 111

Potência instalada [kW] 21 16 16 24,5 60 24 40 43,1 26,3 46,3 160 160 153

Força de fecho [ton] 50 35 35 80 260 100 180 220 100 200 650 650 300

Tbico [ºC] 210 240 220 180 230 210 0,5 0,3 0,2 200 0,3 0,6 0,5

T1 [ºC] 215 200 191 190 240 240 200 190 190 190 205 185 230

T2 [ºC] 230 200 200 200 240 230 205 200 190 200 210 195 240

T3 [ºC] 230 170 175 180 220 220 195 190 180 190 215 190 240

T4 [ºC] - - - - - - 185 185 175 190 205 190 235

T5 [ºC] - - - - - - - - - - 197 183 220

Tempo de ciclo [s] 37 24,16 24,7 33,7 80 29,6 39 31,3 25,8 24,12 73 47,5 44,9

Tempo de arref. [s] 13 11,01 14,01 15 15 12 22 16 10 11,02 30 15 18

Nº de cavidades 2+2 1+1 2 8 8 1 2 4 4+4 2 1 1 2

Peça

Massa peça [g] ? ? 4,84 1,31 ? 22,78 43,92 7,19 1,67 // 6,85 41,41 992 876 259

Massa gito[g] ? ? 2,03 3,91 N/A 5,11 N/A N/A 1,96 N/A - N/A N/A

Massa total [g] 6,57 12,5465 11,71 14,39 104 27,89 87,84 28,76 36,04 82,82 992 876 518

Espessura máxima [mm] 2 9,35 ? 2,5 10,4 ? 3,5 7,16 5,51 2 ? 4,7 4,3

Material ABS POM POM PP ABS PS PP POM POM PP PP PP PS

Potência exp [kW] 18,51852 18,34711 14,28099 14,38017 14,87603 6,942149 4,958678 18,59504 6,446281 12,89256 9,917355 34,63918 20,33058

Maquina 85 101 103 31 29 89 57 46 53 60 63 64 32

Potência instalada [kW] 53 80 142 45 45 15,2 25,6 21 21 16 34,5 29 45

Força de fecho [ton] 200 320 650 170 110 40 130 50 50 35 140 80 170

Tbico [ºC] 240 230 190 220 0,45 220 227 215 170 192 220 2,5 240

T1 [ºC] 230 230 235 190 205 190 245 230 190 180 240 250 240

80

T2 [ºC] 240 260 240 200 210 200 245 240 190 163 240 250 240

T3 [ºC] 220 260 235 180 200 180 230 220 180 - 230 236 225

T4 [ºC] - - 220 - - - - - - - - - -

T5 [ºC] - - 215 - - - - - - - - - -

Tempo de ciclo [s] 35,09 56 100 37 23 10,5 18,8 28,6 28 22,1 37,61 42,25 31

Tempo de arref. [s] 14 18 35 23 13 3 4 15 16 10,71 15,01 15,01 15

Nº de cavidades 2 2 1 2+4 2 4 1+1 2 2 4 1 1+1+1 1

Peça

Massa peça [g] 40,4 140,2 ? 2X17,05+4X11,33 40,35 1,48 11,74+8,38 22,86 0,73 ? ? ?

Massa gito[g] N/A N/A ? 7,23 N/A 2,05 N/A 3,89 2,29 ? ? ?

Massa total [g] 80,8 280,4 1218,64 86,65 80,7 7,97 20,12 49,61 16,4 5,21 69,93 28,95 44,2

Espessura máxima [mm] 3 1,8 ? ? ? 1,45 ? ? 5,8 4,3 3,8 14,48 ?

Material PP ABS PS PP PP PP ABS ABS POM POM ABS ABS ABS

Potência exp [kW] 7,438017 5,950413 22,56637 14,0177 8,761062 8,495575 9,876106 5,097345 11,68142 14,0177 7,433628 10,61947 15,9292

Maquina 47 72 73 79 87 105 66 72 78 80 96 97 105

Potência instalada [kW] 25,6 24 24 34,5 24 27,7 29 24 22,5 21 29 32,5 27,7

Força de fecho [ton] 130 100 100 140 100 110 100 100 60 50 85 165 210

Tbico [ºC] 180 205 200 200 180 200 2,1 220 240 180 0,5 0,5 200

T1 [ºC] 190 215 200 200 200 190 200 240 210 200 210 240 190

T2 [ºC] 190 225 200 210 200 200 210 235 210 200 210 240 200

T3 [ºC] 180 220 190 200 190 180 190 230 190 180 190 230 180

T4 [ºC] - - - - - - - - - - 210 -

T5 [ºC] - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tempo de ciclo [s] 49 32,2 40,6 32,78 33,1 27,96 19,98 22,7 33,5 35,6 22 33,9 27,96

Tempo de arref. [s] 20 14 20 20 15 12,02 4,01 10 19 15 10 17 12,02

Nº de cavidades 1 2 2+1 1 1 2 1 1 2+2 1 4 1 2

Peça

81

Massa peça [g] 55,68 22,04 ? 41,54 22,78 21,89 26,51 24,94 24,1+25,22 - 7,46 68,92 17,67

Massa gito[g] 9,06 5,88 ? N/A 18,3 6,31 N/A N/A 5,94 - 3,56 N/A 4,59

Massa total [g] 55,68 49,96 49,4 41,54 41,08 50,09 26,51 24,94 104,58 5,55 33,4 68,92 39,93

Espessura máxima [mm] 10 6,1 4 3,5 3,3 4

Material POM PS POM PP POM PP PP PS PP POM PP PS PP

Potência exp [kW] 7,317073 4,778761 8,108108 10,81081 8,108108 7,027027 15,86777 8 9,5 7,5 10 7,5 6

Maquina 72 76 80 96 97 104 105 72 75 76 79 87 96

Potência instalada [kW] 24 21 21 29 29 81 27,7 24 24 21 34,5 24 29

Força de fecho [ton] 100 50 50 85 85 250 210 100 100 50 140 100 85

Tbico [ºC] 210 1,8 190 0,5 0,3 235 175 210 210 180 200 175 0,5

T1 [ºC] 240 190 190 210 240 240 200 240 200 190 200 190 210

T2 [ºC] 230 190 200 210 240 240 200 235 210 200 200 190 210

T3 [ºC] 220 100 180 180 240 240 190 230 190 180 195 170 190

T4 [ºC] - - - - 230 230 - - - - - - -

T5 [ºC] - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tempo de ciclo [s] 28 21,3 21 19 29,5 26 27,81 21,5 32 28,2 27,6 17,6 23,3

Tempo de arref. [s] 12 12 8 5 11 8 12,02 8 13 16 12 5 10

Nº de cavidades 1 2 2 4 2 4 1 1 4 2 1 1 4

Peça

Massa peça [g] 22,78 3,11 - 63,86 17,67 24,94 - 4,36 65,79 4,71 6,88

Massa gito[g] 5,11 4,78 N/A N/A N/A 4,59 N/A N/A 3,78 10,36 2,31 3,09

Massa total [g] 27,89 5,04 11 10,93 127,72 35,79 22,26 24,94 41,06 12,5 76,15 7,02 30,61

Espessura máxima [mm] 8,47 4 2 1,5 4 2 5,8 - 3,5 3 -

Material PS POM POM PP PS ABS PP PS POM POM PP POM PP

Potência exp [kW] 8,181818 5,454545 4,909091 8,727273 9,272727 13,09091 7,090909 8,117647 7,058824 5,294118 14,11765 9,176471 8,470588

82

Maquina 97 30 36 47 66 70 81 88 90 91 94 95 109

Potência instalada [kW] 32,4 30 45 25,6 29 24 24 24 160 40 26,3 43,1 46,3

Força de fecho [ton] 165 70 170 130 100 100 100 100 650 180 100 220 200

Tbico [ºC] 0,4 210 0,45 180 200 240 180 160 50 195 0,3 190 200

T1 [ºC] 240 210 200 200 192 230 195 180 185 200 200 200 195

T2 [ºC] 240 255 200 200 200 230 200 180 195 190 200 190 200

T3 [ºC] 230 255 190 180 180 230 185 170 190 - 190 185 195

T4 [ºC] 210 - - - - - - - 190 - 185 - 190

T5 [ºC] - - - - - - - - 185 - - - -

Tempo de ciclo [s] 33,5 34 20 35 33,6 30 28,8 25 85 27 32,7 31,1 22

Tempo de arref. [s] 17 20 5 20 16 15 15 10 15 3 18 16 4

Nº de cavidades 1 2 6 2 2 1 4 8 1 2 8 4 2

Peça

Massa peça [g] 69,92 34,4 10,4 41,32 39,8 44,26 6,3 1 70,7 6,2 8,2 7,2 28,9

Massa gito[g] N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A - - -

Massa total [g] 69,92 68,8 62,4 247,92 79,6 44,26 25,2 8 70,7 24,8 65,6 28,8 57,8

Espessura máxima [mm] - 3 4,8 3,7 4 4,5 1 7,16 2

Material PS PP PP POM PP ABS PP POM PP PP POM POM PP

Potência exp [kW] 7,411765 7,368421 13,33333 11,57895 13,33333 13,33333 7,017544 9,824561 33,68421 4,210526 6,666667 16,37931 11,92982

Maquina 105 40 54 56 100 105 107 113

Potência instalada [kW] 27,7 35 21 24,5 44 27,7 27,7 22,8

Força de fecho [ton] 110 135 50 80 240 110 110 100

Tbico [ºC] 220 - - - - - - -

T1 [ºC] 260 220 220 200 195 220 200 200

T2 [ºC] 260 230 240 225 205 260 220 200

T3 [ºC] 245 235 250 235 200 260 230 200

T4 [ºC] - 219 230 220 195 245 220 180

83

T5 [ºC] - - - - 180 - - -

Tempo de ciclo [s] 40,88 31,3 37,1 21,7 50,1 38,9 36,51 21,4

Tempo de arref. [s] 18,02 15 15 10 18 17,02 15,02 5,8

Nº de cavidades 2 2 2 4 2 4 1 2

Peça

Massa peça [g] 37,8 15,1 10,3 2,27 37,77 8,49 72,47 ?

Massa gito[g] N/A 12,5 N/A 5,59 N/A 9,41 7,75 ?

Massa total [g] 75,6 42,7 20,6 14,67 75,54 43,37 80,22 24,4

Espessura máxima [mm] 3,7

Material PP PS ABS ABS PP POM PS PP

Potência exp [kW] 9,87013 13,41176 9,74359 6,38961 16,49123 10,2 7,234043 5,405405

84

11.4. Annex IV- Matlab Code

clear;clc

% filename = 'Medições.xlsx';

filename = 'MediçõesOLI_4.xlsx';

sheet = 1;

%Ler inputs

Potencia_instalada = xlsread(filename,sheet,'5:5');

Tempo_ciclo = xlsread(filename,sheet,'15:15');

Massa_total = xlsread(filename,sheet,'22:22');

[~,Material,~] = xlsread(filename,sheet,'B25:FV25');

%%

% Espessura = xlsread(filename,sheet,'23:23');

% Forca_fecho = xlsread(filename,sheet,'6:6');

%%Passar de string para numéricos

%%PP=1;POM=2;ABS=3;PS=4

for i=1:length(Material)

switch Material{1,i}

case 'PP'

Mat(1,i)=1;

case 'POM'

Mat(1,i)=2;

case 'ABS'

Mat(1,i)=3;

case 'PS'

Mat(1,i)=4;

case 'TPE'

Mat(1,i)=5;

85

case 'PMMA'

Mat(1,i)=6;

end

end

% Ler output

Potencia_exp= xlsread(filename,sheet,'34:34');

%% Variáveis input e output

x=[Potencia_instalada; Tempo_ciclo; Massa_total; Mat];

% x=[Potencia_instalada; Massa_total];

t=Potencia_exp;

%%

% x - input data.

% y - target data.

x = x;

t = t;

for i=1:10

% Choose a Training Function

% For a list of all training functions type: help nntrain

% 'trainlm' is usually fastest.

% 'trainbr' takes longer but may be better for challenging problems.

% 'trainscg' uses less memory. Suitable in low memory situations.

trainFcn = 'trainbr';

% Create a Fitting Network

hiddenLayerSize = 20;

net = fitnet(hiddenLayerSize,trainFcn);

% Setup Division of Data for Training, Validation, Testing

net.divideParam.trainRatio = 60/100;

net.divideParam.valRatio = 25/100;

86

net.divideParam.testRatio = 15/100;

% Train the Network

[net,tr] = train(net,x,t);

% Test the Network

y = net(x);

e = gsubtract(t,y);

net.performFcn = 'mse';

performance = perform(net,t,y)

mse(1,i)=performance;

% View the Network

% view(net)

% Plots

% Uncomment these lines to enable various plots.

% figure, plotperform(tr)

%figure, plottrainstate(tr)

% figure, ploterrhist(e)

% figure, plotregression(t,y)

% figure, plotfit(net,x,t)

end

mse_mean=mean(mse)

std_mse=std(mse)

% %%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% Para ver quais as variáveis mais determinantes

% xtrain=x(:,1:round(0.6*length(x)));

% xtest=x(:,1:(length(x)-length(xtrain)));

% ytrain=t(:,1:round(0.6*length(t)));

% ytest=t(:,1:(length(t)-length(ytrain)));

% f = @(xtrain, ytrain, xtest, ytest) sum(ytest ~= classify(xtest, xtrain, ytrain));

% fs = sequentialfs(f,x',t')

87

% %%

% [RANKED,WEIGHT] = relieff(x',t',100)