en indonesian energyupdates_oct13
TRANSCRIPT
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Indonesian Energy Updates: Policy and Investment Opportunities Edition #1 - October 2013. Highlight: Solar PV and Assessment on the New MEMR Decree
China 1,3 Bi
India 1,2 Bi
US 310 Mn
Indonesia 242 Mn Brazil
Consultancy Division Energy Nusantara Indonesia's Leading Energy Network Divisions: Consultancy, Capacity Building, Strategic Partnership, Business Networking, MICE
Inquiries Phone: +62-21-8307426, +62-898-8807956 Email: [email protected] FB Group & Page: Energy Nusantara Twitter & LinkedIn: energynusantara Website: www.energynusantara.com
Head Office
Indonesia Stock Exchange Building Tower II 17th Fl
Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 52-23 Jakarta 12190, Indonesia
International Offices in France and Germany
Oil and Gas (up-mid-downstream value chain) including Unconventional on CBM, Hydrate and Shale Gas; Coal, Mining and Mineral; Renewable Energy on Geothermal, Solar PV, Wind, Bio, Waste, Hydro, and Nuclear; Electricity Power
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# Publication in Slides
- Consultancy division portfolio - Indonesia and its energy sector strategic role in global portfolio - Indonesian energy regulation and policy direction towards energy mix target in 2025 - Key energy stakeholders in Indonesia - Indonesian energy sector overview: oil & gas, coal, mineral, renewable energy and electricity Power # Video of floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU) visit [8 mins] # Conclusion and Remarks
Outline
Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by PT Komunitas Energi Nusantara (the “EN”) independently and is circulated for the purpose of general information only. It is not intended for the specific person who may receive this report. The information in this report has been obtained from sources which we deem reliable. No warranty (expressed or implied) is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information. All opinions and estimations included in this report constitute our judgment as of this date and are subject to change without prior notice. We disclaim any responsibility or liability which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a result of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither the EN and/or its respective employees and/or agents accepts liability for any errors, omissions, negligent or otherwise, in this report and any inaccuracy herein or omission here from which might otherwise arise.
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Energy Nusantara
Consultancy
Capacity Building
MICE Strategic Partnership
Business Networking
Consultancy Division of Energy Nusantara There are all 5 Divisions: Consultancy, Capacity Building, Business Networking, Strategic Partnership and MICE (Meeting, Incentive, Convention, Exhibition)
Portfolio Activities Explanation
Monthly Publication on Indonesian Energy Updates
Energy Nusantara published monthly publication on "Indonesian Energy Updates: Policy and Investment Opportunities" which covers energy spectrum in Indonesia: Oil and Gas (up-mid-downstream value chain) including Unconventional on CBM, Hydrate and Shale Gas; Coal, Mining and Mineral; Renewable Energy on Geothermal, Solar PV, Wind, Bio, Waste, Hydro, and Nuclear; Electricity Power. Access to this publication is complimentary to its members.
Investor Roadshow Provided analysis and presentation on Indonesian Energy Sector for clients on Investor Roadshow in August 2013 in Singapore. The clients are BNP Paribas, J.P. Morgan, Nomura, Meryl Lynch, Pine Bridge, GE Asset Management, Morgan Stanley, GIC and Invesco Investment Banking
Business Development Performed business development on Pertamina's field acquisition in Republic of Yemen
Engineering Conducted engineering activity on the evaluation of Plan of Development (POD) SKKMIGAS (formerly BPMIGAS) : • ENI Muara Bakau BV in Jangkrik field, South Kalimantan • Tately NV in Budi Field Musi Banyuasin, South Sumatra
Social Community and Economic Study
Conducted social community and economic study with local multiplier impact analysis on POD and Plan of Further Development (POFD) of PSC Companies at: • Tropik Energi Pandan (TEP) in Musi Rawas Field, South
Sumatra • Medco E&P Indonesia in Musi Banyuasi Block, South Sumatra • PetroChina International Jabung Ltd in Tanjung Jabung Timur
Field, Jambi • Pertamina EP in Rantau Field - North Sumatra, Tapian Timur
Field/ Kutai Barat Field - Central Kalimantan and Talang Jimar Field - South Sumatra
Quality and HSE Management System
Quality, safety, health & environment management system (ISO 9001, ISO 14001, OHSAS 18001, ISO/TS 16949)
Political Risk, Stakeholder Engagement
Performed political risk and analysis, stakeholder engagement, government policy and corporate development
Feasibility Study and Financing
Conducted feasibility study and financing of Solar PV Project, engaged with potential investors.
Energy Nusantara through its Consultancy Division providing wide range of services starting from guidance on how to do energy business in Indonesia, partnership for training and capacity building, and give support to business partners who are looking for strategic partners and investment in Indonesia.
Head Office Indonesia Stock Exchange Building, Tower II 17th Fl Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 52-23 Jakarta 12190, Indonesia International Offices in France and Germany Phone: +62-21-8307426, +62-898-8807956 Email: [email protected] Website: www.energynusantara.com
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Source: *Estimation 2010, DEN 2010-2025, **BAU EBTKE Source: Energy Nusantara, Bank Indonesia, Pertamina, MEMR 2013, McKinsey, IEA, FGE - FACTS Global Energy
Indonesia - in a nutshell. Key player in global power
China 1,3 Bi
India 1,2 Bi
US 310 Mn
Indonesia 242 Mn
Archipelago Country Indonesia is the biggest archipelago country in the world with 13,667 islands, its 5 main islands are Sumatra, Kalimantan, Java, Sulawesi and Papua. 70% of its territory are ocean. For comparison, Philippines is the 2nd largest with approximately 7000ish islands Top 5 Population Indonesia is the 4th most populous nation in the world, with 60% is under the age of 39 providing a dynamic workforce G-20 Countries Currently 16th largest economy, Indonesia is projected to be 7th largest in the world by 2030 Stable GDP Growth Indonesia is one of the most stable consistent growth countries with average GDP growth of around 6 - 6.5 %
Brazil
-Exports contribute the smallest portion of GDP growth, while consumption reached above 60% portion. -The driver of the growth is not from its large labor population size, but the improved labor productivity -Over the last decade, 61% of growth came from improved productivity, versus 39% resulting from the increased number of labor input itself -Indonesia is ranked number 25 on macroeconomic stability in 2012, up from rank 89 in 2007 -Energy is Indonesia’s backbone and engine of economic growth with oil and gas is the prominent part
GDP = US$ 700B with its estimated growth at 6.5%
Energy Supply Security; Utilization & Pricing
Energy Conservation
Energy Demand, growing by population & current industry age
Increasing National Capacity In Oil And Gas Industry
ECONOMY & ENERGY
§ Maintain oil production level of 1 Million BOPD
§ 50% national operatorship § Security of domestic fuel & industrial
feedstock § 91% local content (goods and services) § 99% skilled national workforce § Achieving oil and gas safety, zero
accidents, zero failure, and achievement of zero flares, and zero waste
INDONESIA ENERGY TARGETS FOR 2025 5 %
9 %
5 %
2 %
Growth/ year
Indonesia Energy Demand 2025 Million ton oil equivalent, per year
2010
Growth 2010-2025
Others.1 24
Natural Gas 38
Coal 75
Oil 63
Surplus/Defisit Million ton oil equivalent
38
63
79
65
55
128
24
7529 104
33 7128(~30 bcm)
42(~50 bcm)
109(~210 Mt)
113
-86(~1.7 Mmbpd)
-18(~0.4 Mmbpd)
Decreasing on Gas export for domestic demand Securing oil supply is important ~70% oil is imported in 2025 vs. ~25% currently.
1) Solar, wind, hydro, geothermal, nuclear, fire wood, manure, biomass (rice residue, sugar, rubber, palm, agribusiness cogeneration). Mton = Million tons; Bcm = Billion cubic meter. Mmbpd = Million barrel of oil per day.
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PESTLE: Political, Economic, Sociological, Technological on Indonesia’s Macro Situation
Nationalism spirit Regional Autonomy Election year 2014
G 20 Countries High GDP Growth of 7-8%/ year
Job Creation Land Acquisition Manpower availability to match job qualification
Deepwater in offshore in frontier area in the eastern part
Oil and Gas Law Amendment Geothermal Law Amendment Energy Mix Policy
Climate Change
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PORTER’s Five Forces Model Analysis on Energy sector in Indonesia
Overseas buyer for Fossil Energy and Domestic for all energy types Asia Pacific as the highest economic growth region in high demand for energy
[LOW]
Competition among PSCs Major oil and gas companies
[STRONG]
Qualified and proven EPC contractor Equipment and service availability Advanced and proprietary technology
[STRONG]
High investment and operation, skilled man power, technology Procedures and Licensing
[STRONG]
Oil and gas Vs cheaper coal, development of renewable energy and unconventional resources
[LOW]
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Source: Energy Nusantara, BP Statistical Review 2013, IEA 2012
Energy outlook 2030. Gas will likely dominate with global resources exceed 250 years of current production. Indonesia is among top 3 both reserve and production of oil and gas in Asia Pacific and is currently also the biggest thermal coal exporter country, thus Indonesia is strategically plays important role in the region and global power
Asia Pacific Countries
Gas Oil
Reserve (TCF)
Production (BCFD)
Reserve (Bil BO)
Production (MBOPD)
Australia 132 (1) 4.7 (4) 3.9 (5) 458 (5) China 109 10.3 15.5 4158 Indonesia 103 (3) 6.9 (2) 4.7 (3) 918 (2) Malaysia 46 6.3 4.5 657 India 47 3.9 5.6 894
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Source: *Estimation 2010, DEN 2010-2025, **BAU EBTKE Source: Energy Nusantara, MP3EI
Masterplan acceleration and expansion of economic development 2011-2025 (MP3EI)
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Energy Security: National Interest Vs Foreign Threat. Indonesia has 10 bordering countries: India, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, Vietnam, Phillippine, Palau, PNG, Australia and Timor Leste. Just slightly north of Indonesia’s natuna sea, there is a territorial disputed area over the ownership of Spratly islands among China, Brunei, Malaysia, Philippines, Taiwan and Vietnam. The trigger was the giant oil discovery in 1968 in the area with estimation of the reserve is 4th largest in the world
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Law No 30 / 2007, Oil and Gas Law No. 22/ 2001 Energy Diversification Presidential Regulation No. 5 / 2006 National Energy Policy (17% from Renewable Energy) Vision 25/25 – Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (MEMR) and National Energy Council
to achieve 25% from renewable energy in 2025
NRE
Gas Coal
Oil 21.9 % 26.38 %
47 %
4.8 %
2010 2015 2020 2025
ENERGY CONSERVATION (33,85%)
ENER
GY
DIVER
SIFICATIO
N
25 %
22 %
30 %
23 % 41.7 %
20,6 %
34.6 %
3.1 % 4300 Million BOE
2852 Million BOE
1066 Million BOE
3200 Million BOE
20 %
30 %
33 %
17 %
MEMR VISION 25/25
BAU
PRIMARY ENERGY MIX 2010
Policy Direction Goals
Source: *Estimation 2010, DEN 2010-2025, **BAU EBTKE
PRIMARY ENERGY MIX 2025
Oil20%
Coal 33%
Natural Gas30% Biofuels
5%
Geothermal5%
Solar, Wind, Biomass, Nuclear, Hydro
5%Liquified Coal
2%
Renewable Energy17%
Primary Energy Mix (2025)
• Reduce of oil’s role in energy mix • Fulfillment of domestic energy needs • Price subsidy become direct subsidy • Electrification ratio 93% in 2025 • Energy Elasticity less than 1 in 2025 • New & Renewable Energy can be developed optimally Energy Law No. 30/ 2007
v Diversification : Towards Renewable Energy v Conservation : Efficient Energy Use v Intensification : Exploitation of Energy Sources to increase resources Geothermal Law No. 27/ 2003 Oil and Gas Law No. 22/ 2001
Source: Energy Nusantara, Pertamina, MEMR 2013
Indonesian Energy Regulation and Policy Direction. Except for oil, others are projected to increase in energy mix target in 2025. Oil and gas milestone timeline: oil and gas law no. 22/ 2001 resulting SKKMigas and BPHMigas
Regulation Hierarchy 1. Undang Undang 2 .Peraturan Pemerintah 3. Peraturan Presiden 4. Instruksi Presiden 5. Keputusan Presiden 6. Peraturan Menteri 7. Instruksi Menteri 8. etc
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Indonesian Key Energy Stakeholders
PRESIDENT 2004-2009, 2009-2014
BPHMIGAS Ministry of State Enterprise (BUMN)
• Govt. Liaison for oil & gas
• Determine policy on oil & gas activities
• Award PSC
• Undertake / supervise on SOE, PERTAMINA, PGN
Ditjen Oil and Gas SKKMigas
Downstream
§ Refinery, marketing, pipelines, distribution and logistic.
§ This includes tariff, supply regulation and price
Upstream - E & P § Manage exploration
acreage § Manage PSC § Manage sales of
Govt. oil & gas portion
§ Report to Minister on upstream activities
Johannes Widjanarko (act)
Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources (ESDM)
Jero Wacik
Andy Noorsaman Sommeng Dahlan Iskan
Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono
Edy Hermantoro
Ditjen Electricity
Energy Commission (DPR RI Komisi VII) Party (Fraksi) 1. Fraksi Partai Demokrat 2. Fraksi Partai Golongan Karya 3. Fraksi Partai Demokrasi Indonesia Perjuangan (F-PDIP) 4. Fraksi Partai Keadilan Sejahtera 5. Fraksi Partai Amanat Nasional 6. Fraksi Partai Persatuan Pembangunan 7. Fraksi Partai Kebangkitan Bangsa 8. Fraksi Partai Gerakan Indonesia Raya (F-Gerindra) 9. Fraksi Partai Hati Nurani Rakyat (F-Hanura)
Marzuki Ali
Partners (Mitra Kerja) Departemen Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral Menteri Negara Lingkungan Hidup Menteri Negara Riset dan Teknologi Badan Tenaga Nuklir (BAPETAN) Badan Koordinasi Survei dan Pemetaan Nasional (BAKOSURTANAL) Lembaga Penerbangan dan Antariksa Nasional (LAPAN) Badan Pengatur Kegiatan Hilir Migas (BPH Migas) SKK Migas Dewan Energi Nasional (DEN) PP IPTEK Lembaga EIKJMEN Badan Pengkajian dan Penerapan Teknologi (BPPT) Dewan Riset Nasional Lembaga Ilmu Pengetahuan Indonesia (LIPI) Badan Tenaga Nuklir (BATAN) Badan Pengawas Tenaga Nuklir (BAPETAN)
Chairman: President, Vice Chairman: Vice President Executive Chairman: Minister of EMR Members (15): 7 Ministers: Keuangan, Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional/ Ketua Bappenas, Perhubungan, Pertanian, Perindustrian, Ristek, LH 8 Unsur Pemangku Kepentingan: Industri, Akademisi, Konsumen, Teknologi, LH
Ditjen New, Renewable Energy and Energy
Conservation Ditjen Mineral and Coal
Nur Pamudji Karen Agustiawan Hendi PS
National Energy Council (DEN)
Association
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Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) Republic of Indonesia
Source: ESDM
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Fossil energy share and subsidy. Ironically as we import crude and refined product, in high crude price in 2008 the energy subsidy also hit the country all time record.
Jan-
98
May
-98
Sep
-98
Jan-
99
May
-99
Sep
-99
Jan-
00
May
-00
Sep
-00
Jan-
01
May
-01
Sep
-01
Jan-
02
May
-02
Sep
-02
Jan-
03
May
-03
Sep
-03
Jan-
04
May
-04
Sep
-04
Jan-
05
May
-05
Sep
-05
Jan-
06
May
-06
Sep
-06
Jan-
07
May
-07
Sep
-07
Jan-
08
May
-08
Sep
-08
Jan-
09
May
-09
Sep
-09
Jan-
10
May
-10
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Oil and gas are getting more expensive and difficult to extract. Unconventional on CBM, Heavy Oil, Gas Shales and Gas Hydrates are progressing
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Indonesia’s current reserve and production are concentrated in western part with the country's future is in the frontier area in the eastern part
Moving from the western to eastern part by expanding exploration activities in the eastern part of Indonesia Shifting from oil to gas, both in the upstream industry and its utilization: - Numerous Gas Development Projects - Stronger oil to gas substitution in many areas of utilizations, such as: electricity, industrial sector, and CNG - Turning gas allocation from export to domestic market, - Switching gas as the source of revenue to gas as the engine of economy.
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Oil and gas production: historic and outlook. Gas is the trend with the increasing gas production outlook despite declining oil production trend
Source: SKKMigas
Outlook
0
500
1000
1500
2000
1966
19
67
1968
19
69
1970
19
71
1972
19
73
1974
19
75
1976
19
77
1978
19
79
1980
19
81
1982
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83
1984
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85
1986
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87
1988
19
89
1990
19
91
1992
19
93
1994
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1996
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1998
19
99
2000
20
01
2002
20
03
2004
20
05
2006
20
07
2008
20
09
2010
20
11
2012
20
13
2014
20
15
2016
20
17
MB
OE
PD
Oil Gas PEAK 1977
Plateau stage
Decline 2-3%
*) Outlook per January 29th,2013
PEAK 1995
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Indonesia’s fuel distribution is the most complex in the world. Pertamina as national energy company maintains the public service obligation (pso) providing fuel across the archipelago with the same consumer price
Source: Pertamina
MERAUKE
JAYAPURA
BITUNG
SABANG
KRUENG RAYA
LHOK SEUMAWE
UP. I - PKL. BRANDAN
LAB. DELI
UP. II - DUMAI
SIAK
MEULABOH
SIBOLGA
G. SITOLI
TT. TLK. KABUNG
BENGKULU
JAMBI
PANJANG
UP. III - PLAJU
P. NATUNA
P. BATAM
SEMARANG
SURABAYA
CAMPLONG
MENENG
TT. TLK MANGGIS
AMPENAN BIMA
BADUNG
REO
ENDE
WAINGAPU
MAUMERE
L. TUKA
KALABAHI
ATAPUPU
DILI
KUPANG
SAUMLAKI
DOBO TUAL
FAK - FAK
NABIRE
BIAK
SERUI
MANOKWARI
SORONG
BULA
MASOHI
NAMLEA
SANANA
PABUHA
UP. IV CILACAP
PONTIANAK
SINTANG
SAMPIT CILIK RIWUT
PKL.BUN P. PISANG
BANJARMASIN
BALIKPAPAN
SAMARINDA
TARAKAN
TOLI - TOLI
MOUTONG
DONGGALA
PARIGI
POSO
GORONTALO
KOLONDALE
PALOPO
TAHUNA
KOTA BARU
PARE - PARE
P. SAMBU
TT. TG. GEREM/MERAK
BONTANG
PLUMPANG UP.VI
BALONGAN
LUWUK
KENDARI
KOLEKA
RAHA
BAU -BAU
UJ. PANDANG
SUBUNG
TT. WAY AME
TOBELO
TERNATE
BANGGAI
KALBUT
IMPORT
T. SEMANGKA
KETERANGAN
: REFINERIES
: DISTRIBUTION PATTERN
: TERMINAL BACK LOADING
: DISCHARGE PORT IMPOR
: FUELS DEPOT
: TRANSIT TERMINAL
: FLOATING STORAGE
• 14 Transit Terminal & Instalasi
• 51 Terminal & Depo Utama • 85 Depo Darat & Laut
Lainnya • 5 STS & Jobber • 55 DPPU
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Gas Utilization, Export Vs Domestic. Domestic being used and prioritized for oil and gas lifting, fertilizer, electricity and industry. In period of 2003-2012, the domestic use is increased 9% per yr CAGR.
0
5
10
15
20
25
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Cumulative Volume (TCF) Gas Domestic Utilization
Fertilizer Electricity Industry
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
MTPA Indonesian LNG – Export Realization
Domestic USA China Taiwan South Korea Japan
Lifting, 4.7% Fertilizer,
8.1%
Electricity, 12.3%
Industry + CO2, 16.8%
Citygas, 0.003%
LNG Domestic,
0.4%
LNG Export, 40.0%
LPG, 3.7%
Gas Pipe Export, 13.9%
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Gas in the form of LNG is a global traded commodity. Indonesia was #1, now is #3 biggest LNG exporting country after Qatar and Malaysia
Source: WoodMackenzie at World Gas Conference 2012
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LNG exporting and importing countries and FSRU worldwide. FSRU West Java is #4 FSRU in operation, and it is the 1st in Asia Pacific. It starts operating in mid 2012
Source: Energy Nusantara LNG Workshop 2013, Marine Service GMBH
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1st FSRU in Asia Pacific, Value Chain and Ship to Ship Operation
LNG Carrier FSRU
Source: Energy Nusantara, Nusantara Regas
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LNG Infrastructure in Eastern Indonesia. Mini LNG is the most effective solution considering the geographic challenges and low demand
• Unlike in Java and Sumatra, construction of extensive gas transmission pipelines in eastern Indonesia is not feasible as the relatively low gas demand does not justify the high CAPEX
• Gas pipeline networks are not well established in eastern Indonesia, LNG is the most strategic solution to balance the supply-demand gap in respect to geographical condition and distance between gas supply to demand points in Indonesia
• Due to marginal demand in the range 3 to 30 MMSCFD in the eastern part of Indonesia, small scale LNG plant is the most suited and efficient way for gas distribution
There will be 8 mini LNG plants with each varies from 3-30 mmscfd capacity
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Ferro and Associates : Fe, Nickel, Cobalt, Chromit , Mangan, Molibdenum, Titanium
Precious Metal : Gold, Silver, PlaFnum Base Metal : Zinc, Cupper, Tin, Lead, Mercury Light and Rare metal : Bauxite, Monasit
NO Commodity Resource
(Million TON ORE)
Reserve (Million TON ORE)
1 Copper 4.925 4.161 2 Bauxite 551 180 3 Nickel 2.633 577 4 Pasir Besi 1.649 5 5 LateriFc Iron 1.462 106 6 Primary Iron 563 30 7 Sediment Iron 18 -‐
8 Mangan 11 4 9 Alluvial Gold 1.455 17 10 Primary Gold 5.386 4.231 11 Silver 3.406 4.104 12 Zinc 577 7 13 White Lead 354 0,7
14 Lead 363 1,6
Source: Badan Geologi, 2010
Mineral resources and reserve map. Law no. 4/ 2009 stipulates on mineral and coal mininng
To increase added value, investors are expected to process any metal minerals into metal products in Indonesia, by establishing owned smelters or using others’. In five years since 2009, it is prohibited for companies or investors to export raw materials of mining commodities.
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Very High ( > 7100 kal/gr )
Low ( < 5100 kal/gr )
Total Resource 161.34 Billion Ton*
Total Reserve 28.17 Billion Ton
*) 41 Billion Ton
High ( 6100 -‐ 7100 kal/gr ) Medium ( 5100 -‐ 6100 kal/gr )
Coal resources and reserve map. Indonesia is the largest coal exporting country
Source: Badan Geologi, 2010
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Source: Pertamina
Geothermal potential, Indonesia is currently 3rd biggest installed capacity after US and the Philippines (1/2)
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Lahendong Operator : Pertamina Capacity : 20 MW
Dieng Operator : GeoDipa Capacity : 60 MW
Kamojang Operator : Pertamina Capacity : 140 MW
Gunung Salak Operator : Chevron Capacity : 375 MW
Wayang Windu Operator : Star Energy Capacity : 110 MW
Sibayak Operator : Pertamina Capacity : 2 MW
13,800 MW
9,250 MW
1,900 MW
2,000 MW
50 MW
Darajat Operator : Chevron Capacity :255 MW Exploration/ Development
Open Area
Geothermal potential, Indonsia is currently 3rd biggest installed capacity after US and the Philippines (2/2)
Source: Energy Nusantara, ESDM
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Indonesia is relatively well exposed compared to other countries, with solar irradiation levels highest in Jawa, Sulawesi and Nusa Tenggara
1
Solar Module Solar System Electricity Solar Cell Wafer Polysilicon
Solar PV, the right time for project developer. Government also recently issued ministerial decree on this (1/5)
Project scope is to build 60 Megawatt peak solar cell plant & 30 Megawatt peak solar module plant Project scheme : JV with State Owned Enterprise
Target for commercialization in early 2015
Estimated solar irradiation map of Indonesia kWh/sqm/day Solar insolation map Peak sun hours January
July 4.75 – 4.90 4.90 – 5.25 5.25 – 7.50
POTENSI PASIR KUARSA
PROPINSI. NUSATENGGARA BARATPROPINSI. NUSATENGGARA BARATPROPINSI. NUSATENGGARA BARATPROPINSI. NUSATENGGARA BARATPROPINSI. NUSATENGGARA BARATPROPINSI. NUSATENGGARA BARATPROPINSI. NUSATENGGARA BARATPROPINSI. NUSATENGGARA BARATPROPINSI. NUSATENGGARA BARAT
PROPINSI. GORONTALOPROPINSI. GORONTALOPROPINSI. GORONTALOPROPINSI. GORONTALOPROPINSI. GORONTALOPROPINSI. GORONTALOPROPINSI. GORONTALOPROPINSI. GORONTALOPROPINSI. GORONTALO
PROPINSI DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTAPROPINSI DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTAPROPINSI DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTAPROPINSI DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTAPROPINSI DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTAPROPINSI DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTAPROPINSI DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTAPROPINSI DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTAPROPINSI DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTA
PROPINSI. BANTENPROPINSI. BANTENPROPINSI. BANTENPROPINSI. BANTENPROPINSI. BANTENPROPINSI. BANTENPROPINSI. BANTENPROPINSI. BANTENPROPINSI. BANTEN
PROPINSI. MALUKU UTARAPROPINSI. MALUKU UTARAPROPINSI. MALUKU UTARAPROPINSI. MALUKU UTARAPROPINSI. MALUKU UTARAPROPINSI. MALUKU UTARAPROPINSI. MALUKU UTARAPROPINSI. MALUKU UTARAPROPINSI. MALUKU UTARA
PROPINSI. MALUKUPROPINSI. MALUKUPROPINSI. MALUKUPROPINSI. MALUKUPROPINSI. MALUKUPROPINSI. MALUKUPROPINSI. MALUKUPROPINSI. MALUKUPROPINSI. MALUKU
PROPINSI. KALIMANTAN SELATANPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN SELATANPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN SELATANPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN SELATANPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN SELATANPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN SELATANPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN SELATANPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN SELATANPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN SELATAN
PROPINSI. KALIMANTAN BARATPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN BARATPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN BARATPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN BARATPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN BARATPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN BARATPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN BARATPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN BARATPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN BARAT
PROPINSI IRIAN JAYA TENGAHPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA TENGAHPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA TENGAHPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA TENGAHPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA TENGAHPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA TENGAHPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA TENGAHPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA TENGAHPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA TENGAH
PROPINSI. BALIPROPINSI. BALIPROPINSI. BALIPROPINSI. BALIPROPINSI. BALIPROPINSI. BALIPROPINSI. BALIPROPINSI. BALIPROPINSI. BALI
PROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGAHPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGAHPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGAHPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGAHPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGAHPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGAHPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGAHPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGAHPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGAH
PROPINSI. SUMATERA UTARAPROPINSI. SUMATERA UTARAPROPINSI. SUMATERA UTARAPROPINSI. SUMATERA UTARAPROPINSI. SUMATERA UTARAPROPINSI. SUMATERA UTARAPROPINSI. SUMATERA UTARAPROPINSI. SUMATERA UTARAPROPINSI. SUMATERA UTARA
PROPINSI BANGKA BELITUNGPROPINSI BANGKA BELITUNGPROPINSI BANGKA BELITUNGPROPINSI BANGKA BELITUNGPROPINSI BANGKA BELITUNGPROPINSI BANGKA BELITUNGPROPINSI BANGKA BELITUNGPROPINSI BANGKA BELITUNGPROPINSI BANGKA BELITUNG
PROPINSI. SUMATERA BARATPROPINSI. SUMATERA BARATPROPINSI. SUMATERA BARATPROPINSI. SUMATERA BARATPROPINSI. SUMATERA BARATPROPINSI. SUMATERA BARATPROPINSI. SUMATERA BARATPROPINSI. SUMATERA BARATPROPINSI. SUMATERA BARAT
PROPINSI. KALIMANTAN TENGAHPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN TENGAHPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN TENGAHPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN TENGAHPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN TENGAHPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN TENGAHPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN TENGAHPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN TENGAHPROPINSI. KALIMANTAN TENGAH
PROPINSI. LAMPUNGPROPINSI. LAMPUNGPROPINSI. LAMPUNGPROPINSI. LAMPUNGPROPINSI. LAMPUNGPROPINSI. LAMPUNGPROPINSI. LAMPUNGPROPINSI. LAMPUNGPROPINSI. LAMPUNG
PROPINSI. BENGKULUPROPINSI. BENGKULUPROPINSI. BENGKULUPROPINSI. BENGKULUPROPINSI. BENGKULUPROPINSI. BENGKULUPROPINSI. BENGKULUPROPINSI. BENGKULUPROPINSI. BENGKULU PROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGGARAPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGGARAPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGGARAPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGGARAPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGGARAPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGGARAPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGGARAPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGGARAPROPINSI. SULAWESI TENGGARA
PROPINSI SULAWESI BARATPROPINSI SULAWESI BARATPROPINSI SULAWESI BARATPROPINSI SULAWESI BARATPROPINSI SULAWESI BARATPROPINSI SULAWESI BARATPROPINSI SULAWESI BARATPROPINSI SULAWESI BARATPROPINSI SULAWESI BARAT
PROPINSI. RIAUPROPINSI. RIAUPROPINSI. RIAUPROPINSI. RIAUPROPINSI. RIAUPROPINSI. RIAUPROPINSI. RIAUPROPINSI. RIAUPROPINSI. RIAU
PROPINSI. KEPULAUAN RIAUPROPINSI. KEPULAUAN RIAUPROPINSI. KEPULAUAN RIAUPROPINSI. KEPULAUAN RIAUPROPINSI. KEPULAUAN RIAUPROPINSI. KEPULAUAN RIAUPROPINSI. KEPULAUAN RIAUPROPINSI. KEPULAUAN RIAUPROPINSI. KEPULAUAN RIAU
PROPINSI KALIMANTAN TIMURPROPINSI KALIMANTAN TIMURPROPINSI KALIMANTAN TIMURPROPINSI KALIMANTAN TIMURPROPINSI KALIMANTAN TIMURPROPINSI KALIMANTAN TIMURPROPINSI KALIMANTAN TIMURPROPINSI KALIMANTAN TIMURPROPINSI KALIMANTAN TIMUR
PROPINSII PAPUA TIMURPROPINSII PAPUA TIMURPROPINSII PAPUA TIMURPROPINSII PAPUA TIMURPROPINSII PAPUA TIMURPROPINSII PAPUA TIMURPROPINSII PAPUA TIMURPROPINSII PAPUA TIMURPROPINSII PAPUA TIMUR
PROPINSI IRIAN JAYA BARATPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA BARATPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA BARATPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA BARATPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA BARATPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA BARATPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA BARATPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA BARATPROPINSI IRIAN JAYA BARAT
PROPINSI. NANGGROU ACEH DARUSSALAMPROPINSI. NANGGROU ACEH DARUSSALAMPROPINSI. NANGGROU ACEH DARUSSALAMPROPINSI. NANGGROU ACEH DARUSSALAMPROPINSI. NANGGROU ACEH DARUSSALAMPROPINSI. NANGGROU ACEH DARUSSALAMPROPINSI. NANGGROU ACEH DARUSSALAMPROPINSI. NANGGROU ACEH DARUSSALAMPROPINSI. NANGGROU ACEH DARUSSALAM
PROPINSI. JAMBIPROPINSI. JAMBIPROPINSI. JAMBIPROPINSI. JAMBIPROPINSI. JAMBIPROPINSI. JAMBIPROPINSI. JAMBIPROPINSI. JAMBIPROPINSI. JAMBI
PROPINSI JAWA TENGAHPROPINSI JAWA TENGAHPROPINSI JAWA TENGAHPROPINSI JAWA TENGAHPROPINSI JAWA TENGAHPROPINSI JAWA TENGAHPROPINSI JAWA TENGAHPROPINSI JAWA TENGAHPROPINSI JAWA TENGAH
Indonesia has the potential for very large quartz sand (17,491 billion tons) that can be used as a main ingredient a silicon-based solar energy industry
Source: Pertamina
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Solar PV Project Development Timeline and Business Scheme (2/5)
Source: Energy Nusantara
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Solar PV Project Development Timeline and Business Scheme (3/5)
Source: Energy Nusantara
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Solar Feed-in-Tariff at MEMR Decree 17/ 2013 (4/5)
Source: Fuadi Nasution – Energy Nusantara Industry Expert
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Implication of MEMR Decree 17/ 2013 on Solar PV (5/5)
Source: Fuadi Nasution – Energy Nusantara Industry Expert
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Chemicals
Hydro is high CAPEX but low opex
Source: Sampoerna ITB Energy Management 2007 Class Lecture Material
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Favorable Wind Resource Area at East Nusa Tenggara
Wind Map West Timor and Sumba Islands
Current status : mapping the potential of wind energy
Wind energy highest potential in Indonesia is located in Nusa Tenggara Timur
Source: NREL
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Wind and Solar PV Hybrid ImplementaSon
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Nuclear - Uranium, no progress as no political will and lack of public acceptance
Source: SBM ITB
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Source Reduction & Reuse
Recycling / Composting Energy Recovery Treatment &
Disposal
Capacity 10MW Produce: 500kg/ day
From 6000T waste/ day, only2000T can be managed by GTJ
Potential to be developed Current System
Proposed technology systems Integrated Plasma Gasification Combined Cycle (IPGCC) Scope converts waste products into potential 120 MW electricity with bioavtur
Scheme JV with municipal waste management contractor in Jakarta and technology provider Commercialization target 2015
Waste to Energy
Source: Pertamina
2015
951
2014
544
2013
197 61
2011
20
on grid (MW)
Capacity Development of WTE in Indonesia
2012
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Electricity Investment Scheme
PT PLN (Persero)
Government
Banking: International
and National
Electricity Consumer
Contractor (EPC)
Private Investor
(IPP)
Mechanism Auction
Legal Basis Presidential decree no. 80/ 2003 concerning guidance for government procurement of goods/ services jo presidential regulation no. 95/ 2007
Mechanism Auction, Direct Appointment, Direct Selection
Legal Basis PP No. 10/1989 jo PP No. 3/ 2005, PP No. 26/ 2006
Direct Appointment
a. The sale of electric power from power generator using renewable, marginal gas, mine mouth coal and other local energy
b. The purchase of excess electric power c. Local electric power system in critical
condition of electric power supplly d. Capacity extensions of electric power
generator in power generators which has been operating at the same location with cooperative state owned enterprise, private, NGO, individual acting as holder of IUKU
Direct Selection
a. Developer apply for direct appointment in the system of PKUK or IUKU Holder more than one
b. Capacity volume over by developer exceeds the additional needs of system capacity of PKUK or Holder of local IUKU
APBN
Auction
Revenue
Loan
Sale of electric power
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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 RAPBN-P 2013
RAPBN 2014
HSD 36% 25% 22% 22,95% 14,97% 10,87% 9,70% Gas 17% 25% 25% 21,00% 23,41% 22,45% 22,02% Coal 35% 39% 38% 44,06% 50,27% 55,15% 57,24% Hydro 9% 8% 12% 6,80% 6,39% 6,40% 6,09% Geothermal 3% 3% 3% 5,13% 4,85% 4,60% 4,43% Bio Diesel & Other RE 0% 0% 0% 0,07% 0,11% 0,52% 0,52%
Source: Energy Nusantara, MEMR 2013
% fr
om to
tal
prod
uctio
n (G
Wh)
Power Plant 2008 – 2014, coal is the biggest contribution
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NAD 91,06%
Sumut 88,69%
Sumbar 78,72%
Riau 86,10%
Sumsel 74,50%
Bengkulu 79,88%
Babel 94,77%
Lampung 77,39%
Jakarta 99,99%
Banten 80,20%
Jabar 77,36%
Jateng 83,98%
Jambi 75,30%
DIY 81,43%
JaSm 77,15%
Bali 77,35%
NTB 62,86%
NTT 60,78%
Kalbar 76,37%
Kalsel 77,71%
KalSm 73,69%
Sulut 77,90%
Sulteng 70,40%
Sulsel 78,77%
Malut 79,74%
Maluku 75,92%
Papua 50,20%
Category : > 60 %
41 -‐ 60 % 20 -‐ 40 %
Sulbar 75,01%
Kepri 84,50%
Sultra 66,93%
Papua Barat 71,49%
Kalteng 80,41%
Gorontalo 66,03%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Rasio Elektrif ikasi
63% 64,3% 65,1% 65,8% 67,2% 72,95% 76,56% 79,3% 81,4%
RENCANAREALISASI (Tahun)
NTB 53,63%
NTT 53,42%
Papua 34,62%
Source: Energy Nusantara, PLN 2013
Electricity ratio target in 2013, with NTB, NTT and Papua are the lowest indicated with yellow and red colored box
2012
2012 2012
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FSRU Visit Video: Stakeholders witnessed the operational of this facility (4th in the world) in Youtube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VjGeAFY-8Fk [copyright of Energy Nusantara 2013]. Due to PDF file conversion, you can look for Energy Nusantara FSRU in the Youtube in order to view this 8 minutes FSRU visit video
FSRU West Java Nusantara Regas Pertamina (60%) and
PGN (40%) Start Operation in Mid 2012 Gov Budget Saving USD 700 Mil/yr
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Indonesia plays strategic role in global context, as G-20 and high GDP growth country. It also posses abundant energy resources but in order to expedite resource monetization and meet the energy mix target in 2025 In Indonesia, there are quite a number of stakeholders overseeing energy sector. Need to minimize the overlapping roles by strengthening the existing one. Renewable energy implementation is still low due to lack of strong leadership, high interest in fossil energy and the energy pricing policy is not yet supporting B to B. In fossil energy, gas is the trend with the recent discovery and increasing production but infrastructure especially offshore marine is required to support this growing industry
Remarks
INDONESIA I
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Thank You
Energy Nusantara Indonesia's Leading Energy Network Head Office Indonesia Stock Exchange Building, Tower II 17th Fl Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav. 52-23 Jakarta 12190, Indonesia International Offices in France and Germany Phone: +62-21-8307426, +62-898-8807956 FB Group & Page: Energy Nusantara Twitter, LinkedIn, Youtube: energynusantara Email: [email protected] Website: www.energynusantara.com
Energy Nusantara is an energy based consultancy and business partner, providing wide range of services starting from guidance on how to do energy business in Indonesia, partnership for training and capacity building, and give support to business partners who are looking for strategic partners and investment in Indonesia. Five Divisions under Energy Nusantara are Business Consultancy, Capacity Building, Business Networking, Strategic Partnership and MICE (Meeting, Incentive, Convention, Exhibition)
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