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Emergency Conservation Regulation Update Carlos Mejia, Katheryn Landau, Mark Emmerson, Eric Oppenheimer Office of Research, Planning, and Performance February 3, 2015

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Emergency Conservation Regulation Update

Carlos Mejia, Katheryn Landau, Mark Emmerson, Eric Oppenheimer

Office of Research, Planning, and PerformanceFebruary 3, 2015

Status of Implementation

• Water production data collected from June through December (7 months)

• Compliance action and assistance underway

• Emergency regulation set to expire in April 2015

Data Collection• 411 Retail Urban Water Suppliers

• 386 provided December production numbers

384 404 404 408 408 401 386

27 7 7 3 3 10 25

93%

98% 98%99% 99% 98%

94%

90%

91%

92%

93%

94%

95%

96%

97%

98%

99%

100%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14

Response Rate (# of Suppliers)

No Response Response Percent Reporting

Note: Some suppliers submit data after the reporting deadline because they do not receive it in time, these data will be reflected in the following reporting month.

Mandatory Restrictions on Outdoor Water Use

• Over 90% now implementing mandatory restrictions

267 288327

369 370 370 364

117116

7739 38 31

22

70% 71%

81%

90% 91% 92%

94%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14

No Mandatory Restrictions Mandatory Restrictions Compliance Rate

Water Suppliers Implementing Mandatory Restrictions

Over 134 Billion Gallons Saved June 2014 – December 2014

216,128

239,743 233,930

215,375

190,441

152,740

134,728

206,690

221,764

206,946

193,347

177,296

137,599

104,828

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

220,000

240,000

Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14

2013 2014

Statewide Water Conservation ResultsWater Production June-December (Million Gallons)

Over 413,102 Acre-Feet Saved June 2014 – December 2014,enough to provide 1.8 million Californians with water for 1 year

134.61

9.44

17.98

26.98

22.03

13.14 15.14

29.90

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

-

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14

Cumulative Water Conserved

Statewide Water Conservation ResultsWater Conserved June-December (Billion Gallons)

4.4%

7.5%

11.5%10.2%

6.9%

9.9%

22.2%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14

Statewide Water Conservation ResultsWater Production Percentage Reduction

(Compared to Previous Year)

6.7%8.5%

14.2%15.9%

18.9%21.4% 21.6%

23.2%

27.4%29.1%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

Production Dec 2013 Production Dec 2014

Percent Dec Reduction State Average Dec 2014 Reduction (22.2%)

December Water Production by HydrologicRegion and Percent Reduction (Million Gallons)

December Weather Conditions(Select Cities)

Precipitation Temperature

Data Source: U.S. Climate Data http://www.usclimatedata.com/

Data Sources: 1942-2014 - NOAA Climate at a Glance Time Series http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/time-series2015 - estimated Sacramento January 2015 precipitation http://www.sacbee.com/news/local/article8446458.html

January 2015 is the driest for Sacramento on record

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

101

94

2

19

44

19

46

19

48

19

50

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52

19

54

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56

19

58

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60

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62

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66

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68

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70

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98

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00

20

02

20

04

20

06

20

08

20

10

20

12

20

14

Sacramento January Precipitation (in)

January Total Precipitation (in) 1942-2014 Average Precipitation (3.51 in)

December 2014 Residential Gallons per Capita per Day

• Highest R-GPCD figures = 330• Lowest R-GPCD figures = 33• Average December 2014 R-GPCD = 67, down

from 88 in November• 55 GPCD is the performance standard for indoor

use (78 suppliers representing about 9.5 million people are reporting less total use in December)

• High R-GPCD plus low percentage reduction raises questions about factors inhibiting conservation response

151

81

102

60 74 77

53 66

82

55

6.7%8.5%

14.2%

15.9%18.9%

21.4% 21.6%23.2%

27.4%29.1%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

December 2014 Average R-GPCD Percent Dec Reduction

December 2014 Water Conservation Results

140

109

131124

109

88

67

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14

Statewide Monthly R-GPCD

Noteworthy December 2014 South Coast Conservation AchievementsConservation greater than 20% and R-GPCD less than 60 gallons

• San Diego City of • California-American Water-San Diego

• Eastern Municipal Water District • Vallecitos Water District

• Oxnard City of • Chino Hills City of

• Oceanside City of • El Toro Water District

• California Water Service-Dominguez • Camarillo City of

• Escondido City of • San Juan Capistrano City of

• Vista Irrigation District • Fallbrook Public Utility District

• Valencia Water Company • Crescenta Valley Water District

• San Buenaventura City of • Port Hueneme City of

>55 R-GCPD, 9,544,871, 20%

55-75 R-GCPD, 16,844,937, 39%

75-100 R-GCPD, 6,206,370, 29%

100-150 R-GCPD, 1,354,088, 10%

150-200 R-GCPD, 98,250, 1%

>200 R-GCPD, 282,992, 1%

December 2014 R-GPCD by Population

Indoor VS. Outdoor Use Estimates

0.10 0.49 0.66 0.811.16

1.67

2.38

3.80

4.44

5.94

3.022.66

3.72

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan

Mill

ion

s o

f Sq

uar

e Fo

ot

Residential Turf Removal Requests in Metropolitan Water District Service Area

2014 2015

Total ≈31 million Square Feet or 711 acres

0.02 0.10 0.19 0.17 0.77

2.03

5.00

7.497.84

4.47

6.35

5.285.61

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan

Mill

ion

s o

f Sq

uar

e Fo

ot

Commercial Turf Removal Requests in Metropolitan Water District Service Area

Total ≈45 million Square Feet or 1,033 acres

2014 2015

Next Steps

• Continue working with suppliers to achieve compliance with emergency regulation

• Evaluate recommendations from December 17 workshop and written comments

• Present an Information Item at February 17-18 Board Meeting focused on potential options for next steps-Including:– Extending and/or augmenting current emergency

regulation before April 2014 expiration date– Funding Opportunities– Focused/location specific use of other authorities