electrical products group conference · distribution network down to 3 regional distribution...
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© 2019 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
Electrical Products Group Conference
Craig Arnold, Chairman and Chief Executive OfficerMay 21, 2019
2© 2019 Eaton. All Rights Reserved..
Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Information
This presentation or the comments we make on our call today contain forward-looking statements concerning, among other matters, performance of our worldwide end markets, second quarter and full year 2019 adjusted earnings per share, expected organic revenue growth, segment operating margins, EBIT margins, currency translation, pension expense, acquisitions, share repurchases, capitalexpenditures, cash flow, corporate expenses, revenue growth, foreign currency exchange impact, 2019 and beyond expected effective tax rate, our 2020 goals, capital allocation plans, pension funding needs, strategic growth initiatives, the impact of potential tariffs, the divestiture of our Automotive Fluid Conveyance business and the intended spin-off our lighting business. These statements should be used with caution and are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are outside the company’s control. The following factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements: unanticipated changes in the markets for the company’s business segments; unanticipated downturns in business relationships with customers or their purchasesfrom us; competitive pressures on sales and pricing; unanticipated changes in the cost of material and other production costs, or unexpected costs that cannot be recouped in product pricing; the introduction of competing technologies; unexpected technical ormarketing difficulties; unexpected claims, charges, litigation or dispute resolutions; strikes or other labor unrest; the performance of recent acquisitions; unanticipated difficulties integrating acquisitions; new laws and governmental regulations; interest rate changes; stock market and currency fluctuations; war, civil or political unrest or terrorism; and unanticipated deterioration of economic and financial conditions in the United States and around the world. We do not assume any obligation to update these forward-looking statements.
This presentation includes certain non-GAAP measures as defined by SEC rules. A reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP equivalent is provided in the investor relations section of our website at www.eaton.com and is included in your packets.
3© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Eaton – A Power Management Leader
• Our Performance
• Our Strategy
• Goals and Guidance
4© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Eaton is a leading power management company with premier global businesses
Electrical Products
Electrical Systems & Services
Hydraulics
Aerospace
Vehicle
eMobility
Electrical Products
Hydraulics Aerospace Vehicle
• Leading businesses in large, global markets selling well-recognized brands
• Aligned with secular, long-term growth drivers
• Doing mission critical work that protects people and assets, while improving productivity
• Highly engineered products in markets where application expertise matters
• Occupying valuable real estate that positions us to grow in a connected and intelligent IoT world
• Significant scale, providing an attractive cost position
Electrical Systems & Services
Operating Margin What We Like2018 Sales Mix
10%
20%
2018 2020 Goal
~18%
eMobility
5© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
¹Eaton segment margins exclude acquisition integration charges²Adjusted to exclude impact from 2018 arbitration decision and certain 2014 legal settlements³Adjusted to exclude impact from 2018 arbitration decision
We have transformed the company and created a better portfolio of businesses
2008 2018
Electrical Products
Electrical Systems & Services
Hydraulics
Aerospace
Vehicle Electrical Products
Electrical Systems & Services
Hydraulics
Aerospace
eMobility• Deployed over $14B of
capital in M&A towards higher growth, higher margin, and lower volatility
• Spent ~$1.3B on restructuring and integrating acquisitions
• Invested ~$11B in R&D and capex to drive growth
• ~$16B free cash flow²
• ~$4.5B share repurchases
Vehicle
Revenue $15BEBIT Margin 8.4%Segment Margin¹ 12.2%Free Cash Flow $1.0BFree Cash Flow / Share $3.06
Revenue $22BEBIT Margin³ 13.7%Segment Margin 16.8%Free Cash Flow³ $2.4BFree Cash Flow³ / Share $5.47
6© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
0%
20%
$0
$4
2000 20180%
25%
$0
$4
2000 20180%
20%
$0
$4
2000 2018
Sale
s ($
B)
Sale
s ($
B)
Sale
s ($
B)
10% 12% 14% 16%17.1% -17.5%
2000 - 04 2005 - 09 2010 - 14 2015 - 18 2019 2020 Goal
~18%
0%
20%
$0
$8
2000 2018
Segment Operating Margin¹
Elec Products Hydraulics Aerospace Vehicle
Sale
s ($
B) M
argin1
Margin
1
Margin
1
Margin
1
1 Excludes acquisition integration charges
0%
20%
$0
$8
2000 2018
Elec S&S
Sale
s ($
B) M
argin1
And have a consistent track record of improvement
7© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Vehicle component manufacturer
Eaton’s future will be built on digitally-enabled solutions, what we call Intelligent Power Management
Eaton Past Eaton Today
Power Management Company
Eaton Future
Intelligent Power Management
Digitally-enabled revenues Insights
Software
AppsServices
8© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Eaton – A Power Management Leader
• Our Performance
• Our Strategy
• Goals and Guidance
9© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Strategic Growth Initiatives – Develop technology leadership (safe, reliable, efficient, connected, and intelligent), convert on our channel and service strength, deliver superior value
Expand Margins – Accelerate our operational excellence, implement multi-year productivity plans, focus on outliers (fix the tail, grow the head)
Disciplined Capital Allocation – Invest to win, consistently return cash to shareholders (dividends, share buybacks), criteria-based product and business evaluation
Our corporate strategy is working
10© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Strategic partnershipsTechnology leadership Superior value
We have increased focus on organic growth
• Intelligent Power Management focused on intelligent machines, computational intelligence, and data science
• In partnership with Microsoft, received the Data Center Dynamics award for Mission Critical Innovation
• Won the Leadership in Engineering Achievement award for mobilevalve technology
• Established JV with Shaanxi Fast Gear to gain access to China light duty truck transmission market
• Accelerating growth in our distribution channel and thru relationships with non-traditional partners
• Partnered with NREL on microgrids, energy storage, and grid edge controls
• Crouse-Hinds launching an IEC panel & circuit breaker manufactured in China to support global IEC growth
• Localized manufacturing of heavy duty pump in China resulting in 30% cost reduction and share gain with OEMs
• Localized automated manual light duty truck transmission driving higher market share in Brazil
11© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
We have IoT Centers of Excellence that are creating intelligent power management solutions
Energy management circuit breaker
xStorage Home
Intelligent ground refueling systems
Integrated Hydraulics Sensing and Software Solution
Intelligent factory PredictPulse™
12© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Our eMobility business increased its portfolio over last 12 months by accelerating product development…
Power ElectronicsManaging electrical power
Power SystemsManaging mechanical power
Power Distribution and ProtectionSafely and reliably distributing power
Traction inverter
DC/DC converter
On board charger
48v auxiliary inverter
EV fuel tank isolation valve
Low and high voltage fuses
48V mild hybrid
EV transmission
Resettable circuit protection
Power distribution unit
…and we are winning across the portfolio
Won development agreement
Program win
EV = all electric vehicle architectures
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…achieving significant program wins and building a strong program pipeline since March 2018 launch
Development programs
Launch to mature year revenue
Pursuit3 to 9 months
12 to 30 months
Campaign Win Process
24 to 36 months
Strong momentum with program wins and development agreements
$1.1B11Development
agreements
$200M+Mature yearprogram wins
Pursuit pipeline
Current ScorecardTraction Inverter Win
$100M+ Mature year revenue win
• ~$450M life of program win
• Major global automotive OEM customer, PSA
• Won with superior technical solution against global competitors
14© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Productivity plansOperational excellence Focus on outliers
• Increased our number of World Class manufacturing plants by 75%
• Received multiple supplier excellence awards for outstanding performance in each Vehicle Group region
• Consolidated North American Electrical Distribution network down to 3 regional distribution centers
• Drove ~5% indirect purchase cost out in 2018 through our centralized, global indirect purchasing office
• Investing to optimize our financial shared service centers, driving 20-30% cost reduction
• Launched in-house IoT solution that reduces energy costs by 20%
• Successfully grew our North America Vehicle Aftermarket business over 20%
• Drove ~50% growth and profitability expansion in our medium voltage drives business
• Divested a low margin wireless connectivity business in Electrical Products
We remain focused on running the business better
15© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
And delivering scale benefits across the organization
TechnologySharing expertise and developing
deep capabilities
Support FunctionsSharing best practices and leveraging a
global network
Serving Customers
Deepen relationships by
providing a broader solution
Knowledge Sharing
Transferring best practices across
company
Corporate Structure
Highly efficient corporate structure
Access to New MarketsLeveraging our
size and our diverse portfolio
Supply ChainCentralizing and optimizing our supply chain
ManufacturingCreating superior
operating leverage
Cash FlowGenerating strong cash flow through
the cycle
Eaton Scale Benefits
16© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Our capital allocation strategy is focused on growth and returning capital to shareholders
Reinvest in the business to drive organic growthCapital expenditures plus R&D expected to be 5.5% - 6.0% of sales going forward
Growing dividend in line with earnings growthOver the last 10 years, dividend CAGR of 11%
Repurchase shares each year equal to 1% - 2% of our market capitalizationRepurchased $3.5B of shares from 2015-2018, exceeding our $3B commitment
Pursue acquisitions while retaining our disciplineWill focus on our Electrical, Aerospace and eMobility segments
1
2
3
4
We expect ~$8B of FCF through 2021, average FCF conversion of >100%, and cash available post dividends of ~$4.5B
17© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
We expect to have record amounts of cash to re-deploy over the next 3 years
Past 5 Years2014-2018 cumulative
Next 3 Years2019-2021 cumulative
Free cash flow1
Pension contributions2
Debt pay-down
Available cash
We expect to have ~$1.5B cash available annually for repurchases and M&A
R&D and Capex
Dividends
Share repurchases
Optionality
Period of increased optionality
24%
14%
32%
30%
Dividend
1 Excluding US qualified pension contributions, payments for 2018 arbitration decision, and certain 2014 legal settlements
$5B ~$3.5B
$2B $0B
$1B $0B
$11B ~$8B
$3B ~$4.5B
2019-2021 cumulative
2 US qualified pension plans
18© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Ability to lead in large global markets
Above average growth potential
High margin potential
High returns
Consistent profitability
Addressable market >$2B
Long-term growth > real GDP
Segment operating margin in mid- to high-teens
Return on tangible assets mid-twenties or above
Minimum of low-teens margin at the trough
And have a disciplined process to continually evaluate our portfolio of businesses using a specific criteria
We like our mix of businesses and are driving significant improvement
19© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Our recently announced portfolio decisions demonstrate our active approach to portfolio management
Heavy duty truck transmission JV with Cummins
Acquisition of Turkish electrical switchgear manufacturer Ulusoy
Light duty truck transmission/clutch JVs with Shaanxi Fast Gear
Announced spin-off of Eaton Lighting Business
We have completed 68 acquisitions and 47 divestitures since 2000
20© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Eaton – A Power Management Leader
• Our Performance
• Our Strategy
• Goals and Guidance
21© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
We are on track to achieve our 2020 financial goals
2015 – 2020 Goals 2018 results
2019 guidance
2020goal
2-4% annual revenue growth, excluding FX 6% ~4% On track
17-18% segment margin 16.8% 17.1-17.5% On track
14-15% EBIT margin 13.7% 14.1-14.6% On track
>10% free cash flow as % of sales 11.1% 11-12% On track
8-9% EPS growth 16% 9% On track
Note: EBIT margin, free cash flow as a % of sales, and EPS growth numbers are adjusted to exclude the impact from the 2017 gain on formation of the Cummins JV, the impact of 2017 U.S. tax reform, the 2018 arbitration decision, and the one-time impacts of the 2019 Lighting spin and sale of Automotive Fluid Conveyance
22© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Our 2019 organic growth is expected to be ~4%Segment 2019 organic
revenue growth Key market drivers
Electrical Products 4 - 5%
Industrial markets and large commercial projects up mid-single digitsSingle-phase power quality to grow mid-single digitsLighting up low-to-mid single digitsSmall commercial projects to grow low-single digits
Electrical Systems and Services
6 - 7%
Power distribution assemblies in the Americas show strong growthData center markets to grow high-single digitsHarsh and hazardous markets grow mid-single digitsUtilities markets up low-single digits
Hydraulics 3 - 4% Mobile equipment markets growing low-single digits Industrial equipment markets flat
Aerospace 9 - 10% Commercial OEM and aftermarket markets showing solid growthContinued strength in military OEM and aftermarket
Vehicle (4) - (5)%Growth in Brazil truck markets, impacted by decline in Argentina export marketNAFTA Class 8 truck market flat with 2018 at high levelsGlobal light vehicle market down slightly
eMobility 11 - 12% Continued progress on over 30 growth opportunitiesEaton ~4%
23© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
We expect to fully offset the impact of tariffs
• Tariff update• May 10, 2019 – Government announced intent to increase List 3 from 10% to 25%• May 14, 2019 – Government announced intent to impose tariffs on additional
$300B of imports - comments due by June 17, 2019• May 17, 2019 – Government reached deal with Canada, Mexico to lift steel,
aluminum tariffs
• We are confident in our ability to offset tariff impacts in 2019• We expect $100M of additional tariff costs in 2019• Pricing increases/cost reductions will cover the expected tariff impact• We have strong management processes in place to ensure timely execution
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While continuing to expand segment margins with many reaching record highs
Segment 2017 segment margin1
2018 segmentmargin
2019E segmentmargin
Electrical Products 17.9% 18.4% 19.0% - 19.6%
Electrical Systems & Services 13.6% 14.9% 15.2% - 15.8%
Hydraulics 11.7% 13.4% 13.4% - 14.0%
Aerospace 19.0% 21.0% 21.8% - 22.4%
Vehicle 16.3% 17.5% 16.5% - 17.1%
eMobility 17.7% 13.8% 6.1% - 6.7%
Total Eaton 15.8% 16.8% 17.1% - 17.5%
¹Segment operating margin excludes acquisition integration chargesNote: Cells highlighted in light green were an all-time record at the time; cells highlighted in dark green will be an all-time record if midpoint is achieved
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Our 2019 guidance is unchanged2nd Quarter Outlook (1)
$1.45 - $1.55 Adjusted Earnings Per Share
Organic Revenue Growth ~4%
Forex $(100)M
Segment Operating Margins 17.2% - 17.6%
Corporate Expenses Flat with 2Q18
Tax Rate 13.5% - 14.5%
2019 Full Year Outlook (1)
$5.72 - $6.02 Adjusted Earnings Per Share
Organic Revenue Growth ~4%
Acquisition Revenue Growth $100M
Forex $(300)M
Segment Operating Margins 17.1% - 17.5%
Corporate (interest, pension, other corp) Flat with 2018 levels
Tax Rate 14.0% - 16.0%
Operating Cash Flow $3.1B - $3.3B
Free Cash Flow $2.5B - $2.7B
Capex $600M
Share Repurchases $400M(1) Guidance excludes acquisition integration and divestiture transaction costs from the Ulusoy acquisition, the impact of the spin of Lighting business and the sale of Automotive Fluid Conveyance business.
26© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
• Expect to see solid growth in end market and ~4% organic revenue growth in 2019• Attractive growth initiatives will allow us to grow faster than our markets
• Segment margins have significantly improved over time and will continue to get better • 2019 expected to be another record year, with guidance margins of 17.1% - 17.5%
• We have a long history of evolving our portfolio and improving performance• Announced spin of Lighting and sale of Automotive Fluid Conveyance
• Cash flow generation remains strong with FCF/net income above 100%• Expect to generate over ~$8B in free cash flow over next three years
• We will deploy cash in a shareholder friendly way • Do not anticipate further U.S. pension contributions or debt paydown• Will continue to grow dividends with earnings growth, dividend yield now ~3.5% • Targeting acquisitions with returns > 11-12%
• We are on track to deliver our 2019 guidance
Eaton is an attractive investment opportunity
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28© 2019 Eaton. All rights reserved..
Contact InformationYan Jin – Senior Vice President, Investor RelationsPhone: +1 (440) 523-7558Email: [email protected]
Chip Walker – Director, Investor RelationsPhone: +1 (440) 523-2284Email: [email protected]
Rachel Morrison – Administrator, Investor RelationsPhone: +1 (440) 523-3634Email: [email protected]
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