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    Benefit-Cost Analysis inEnvironmental Decision Making

    Chapter 9

    2004 Thomson Learning/South-Western

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    Adjusting for the Time Dimension ofEnvironmental Benefits and Costs

    Present Value Determination a procedure

    that discounts a future value (FV) into itspresent value (PV) by accounting for the

    opportunity cost of moneyDiscount factor the term 1/(1+r)t, where tis the

    number of periods

    Social discount rate discount rate used for publicpolicy initiatives based on the social opportunity

    cost of funds

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    Adjusting for the Time Dimension ofEnvironmental Benefits and Costs

    Inflation correction a magnitude stated interms of the current period

    Nominal value a magnitude stated in terms of the

    current periodReal value a magnitude adjusted for the effects of

    inflation

    Deflating converts a nominal value into its real value

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    Adjusting for the Time Dimension ofEnvironmental Benefits and Costs

    Summary of Deriving Time-Adjusted Benefitsand Costs

    Present value of benefits (PVB) the time-adjusted

    magnitude of incremental benefits associated withan environmental policy change

    Present value of costs (PVC) the time adjustedmagnitude of incremental costs associated with anenvironmental policy change

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    The Final Analysis: ComparingEnvironmental Benefits and Costs

    Step One: Determining Feasibility

    Benefit-cost ratio the ratio of PVBto PVCused todetermine the feasibility of a policy option if itsmagnitude exceeds unity

    Present value of net benefits (PVNB) thedifferential of (PVB PVC)used to determine thefeasibility of a policy option if its magnitude exceedszero

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    The Final Analysis: ComparingEnvironmental Benefits and Costs

    Step Two: Decision Rules to Select AmongFeasible Options

    Maximize the present value of net benefits (PVNB)

    a decision rule to achieve allocative efficiency byselecting the policy option that yields greatestexcess benefits after adjusting for time effects

    Minimize the present value of costs (PVC) adecision rule to achieve costeffectiveness by

    selecting the least-cost policy option that achieves apreestablished objective

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    Reservations About the Use of Benefit-Cost Analysis

    Measurement Problems

    Estimation is particularly problematic due tointangibles

    Implicit costs

    Equity Issues

    Distribution of benefits and costs may be highlyskewed

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    U.S. Government Support of Benefit-CostAnalysis

    Executive order 12291: Regulatory ImpactAnalysis (RIA)

    Regulatory impact analysis (RIA) a requirement

    under Executive Order 12291 that called forinformation about the potential benefits and costs of

    a major federal regulation

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    U.S. Government Support of Benefit-CostAnalysis

    Executive order 12866 Economic Analysis (EA)

    Economic analysis (EA) - a requirement underExecutive Order 12866 that called for information onthe benefits and costs of a significant regulatory

    action

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    Reducing Lead in Gasoline: A RegulatoryImpact Analysis

    Estimating the incremental benefits of thelead standard proposal health benefits

    Nonhealth Benefits

    Reduction in harmful emissions caused bymisfueling (i.e., the use of leaded gasoline invehicles requiring unleaded gasoline)

    Lower maintenance costs

    Increased fuel economy

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    Reducing Lead in Gasoline: A RegulatoryImpact Analysis

    Figure 9.1 Correlation Between Lead in Gasoline and AverageBlood Lead Levels

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    Reducing Lead in Gasoline: A RegulatoryImpact Analysis

    Estimating the Incremental Costs of the LeadStandard Proposal

    Engineering cost model

    Putting It All Together: Benefit-Cost Analysis The Final Decision