education & skills user event – ess, eps & working futures marc bayliss uk commission for...
TRANSCRIPT
Education & Skills User Event – ESS, EPS & Working
Futures
Marc BaylissUK Commission for Employment and Skills
Follow us on Twitter: @ukces
Agenda
Our products
Introducing the UK Commission for Employment and Skills and our research
Employer Skills Survey 2011
Employer Perspectives Survey 2012
Accessing UKCES LMI
Working Futures
About us: Our goals
More employers investing in the
skills of their people
More employers taking ownership of
skills
More career opportunities for
young people
More collective action by employers through stronger sectors and
local networks
Provide outstanding labour market intelligence which helps businesses and people make the best choices for them
Maximise the impact of employment and skills policies and employer behaviour to support jobs and growth
Work with businesses to leverage greater investment in skills
Aim: Transform the UK’s approach to investing in the skills of people as an intrinsic part of securing jobs and growth
Five assets and 100 staff to deliver outcomes
Key resources for decision-makers
UK Commission’s Employer Skills
Survey87,500 interviews
To understand employer investment and skills challenges
Monitor employer investment
Assess employer skills needs
Understand recruitment practices
Working Futures
850,000 time series extrapolations
To understand labour market prospects for next ten years
Input to careers and skills advice
Inform policymakers at national & local levels
Inform curriculum strategies
Employer Perspectives Survey
15,000 interviews
To understand employer perspectives of recruitment and young people
development
Young People
Apprenticeships
Work placements
Employer Skills Survey 2011
Follow us on Twitter: @ukces #ESS11
UK Employer Skills Survey Scope
*i.e. excludes those with 1 working proprietor and no employees
Skill deficiencies, vacancies, training and investment in training, workforce development, retention of staff, business strategies, and high performance working practicesThis includes:
For the first time this year, we measure skills use where businesses report that the skills of at least one of their staff was under-used in their current role.
Skills shortage vacancies i.e.. when a business fails to recruit due to applicants nothaving the right skills or work experience.
Skills gaps i.e. are when an employee does not have the right skills to be fully proficient in their role.
UK Employer Skills Survey Topic coverage
Across Wales
£1.71 billionIs spent on training.
However:
£1.19 billionIs the wages of those
being trained.
UK Employer Skills Survey
Investment in Training Follow Up
£533 millionis spent on the direct
costs of training.
£140 millionon payments to
external providers
£393 millionOther tradeable and non-tradeable costs
(i.e wage costs of internal trainers, management of training, operational costs)
Key messages‘An inconvenient truth’
17-18 yr olds leaving school
17-18 yr olds leaving FE
Young people leaving HE
47%
26%
Most businesses found education leavers well prepared for work
(with preparedness increasing with age)
The minority of employers report issues with education leavers.
The two key issues were:
•Experience of world of work
•Poor attitude / personality
Across Wales, 24% of businesses had recruited education leavers in the past 2-3 yrs, and these were generally seen as well prepared for work:
16 yr olds
53%
35%65%
74%
80% 20%
Employer Perspectives Survey 2012
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What is the Employer Perspectives Survey?
• Large scale, UK-wide employer survey (c. 15,000 interviews)
• Focuses on how employers meet their skill needs, and their interface with the skills system
• Robust, quality assured data
• Complements the ESS
• First survey published in 2010, second published December 2012
How can we improve partnerships to ensure future investment really adds value?
EPS 2012: Overview
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EPS Coverage
Recruitment
People Development
Vocational Qualifications
How can we improve partnerships to ensure future investment really adds value?
Apprenticeships
Young People & Work Experience
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Working Futures
What is Working Futures?
• UK labour market model focusing on employment prospects – “where will future jobs come from”?
• Projections for 2010-2020, historic picture for 1990-2010
• Comprehensive, detailed, transparent assumptions
• Well-established
• All four iterations produced by CE and IER
The Model
Macro-economic modelDemand and supply
Occupational employment model
Qualification modelReplacement demand
model
Key Lenses
Employment
Industryx6
x22x79
Occupationx9
x25
Employment status
GeographyUK
NationRegion
Gender
Qualification Level
Changes in Employment in Wales, 1990-2020
Percentage share of total employment, 1990-2020
Replacement demand is important (2010-2020)
Accessing UKCES Data
ESS 11 & EPS 12
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Reports – UK and countryReports – UK and country
SPSS datasetsSPSS datasets
ONS Virtual Microdata LaboratoryONS Virtual Microdata Laboratory
Excel data tablesExcel data tables
Webisodes and mapsWebisodes and maps Online at ukces.org.ukOnline at ukces.org.uk
Online at ukces.org.ukOnline at ukces.org.uk
At ukces.org.uk / via [email protected]
At ukces.org.uk / via [email protected]
Data access request: [email protected]
Data access request: [email protected]
Application packs at ons.gov.uk
Application packs at ons.gov.uk
Working Futures• Available from
http://www.ukces.org.uk/ourwork/working-futures
• Published reports include:
– Main UK report
– Wales National Report
– Sectoral report (22 industries at UK level)
– Technical report
• Micro data also available for four economic areas: SE, SW, Mid & North
• To commence application process email: [email protected]
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Thank You
Marc Bayliss, Senior Research Manager
UK Commission for Employment and Skills
Download our reports:
www.ukces.org.uk/ourwork/research