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  • 8/6/2019 Edison Research American Youth Study Radios Future

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    Radio's Future II:The 2010 American Youth Study

    Sponsored by:

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    Recommendations to Radio from the2000 "American Youth Study"

    Send stations after these demos or watch

    them fade awayCo-opt Internet audio or lose it

    Just like Cable TV to Broadcast

    Explore co-branded side channelsConsider industry advertising

    a la "Got Milk"

    Recruit young people -- we can't just dependon them showing up any longer

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    How the 2010 Survey Was Conducted:

    A sequel to Edison Research's survey from 2000,

    "Radio's Future: Today's 12 to 24 year-olds"1533 interviews nationwide

    875 interviews age 12-24 (demo)

    888 interviews age 22-34 (cohort)Online survey of respondents ages 12 to 34

    employing "KnowledgePanel" from Knowledge

    NetworksInterviews conducted 9/8 - 9/13, 2010

    Data matched to national age and sex demographics

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    What you will see today:

    The impact of an incredible decade ofmedia transformation

    The extraordinary resilience of radio

    And -- the challenges radio faces

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    27%37%

    27%

    6%

    3%

    "Which best describes your spending over the past twelve months on

    discretionary expenses, such as entertainment, recreation, or leisure items?"

    Have significantly

    cut back

    Have cut back a little

    Have not changed spending ondiscretionary expenses

    Spending a little more

    Spending significantly more

    Base: Age 12-24

    Remember the halcyon days of theInternet Bubble leading into 2000?

    They aren't here anymore

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    The Cell Phone:

    The most influentialdriver of changed habits

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    Yes

    81%

    No

    19%

    2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s

    Yes

    29%

    No

    71%

    "Do you have your own cell phone?"

    The cell phone goes fromsomewhat rare device to must-have

    among 12-24s in ten years time

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    Yes

    43%

    No

    52%

    Don't know

    5%

    "Is your cell phone also a smart phone?

    (It has advanced capabilities beyond a typical mobile phone such as the ability to send and receive

    email, access the Internet, listen to audio and watch video, and download apps)"

    Base: Age 12-24 and have own cell phone

    More than four-in-ten 12-24swho carry cell phones say

    theirs is a 'Smart Phone'

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    "Do you ever (item) on your cell phone?"

    92

    51

    50

    45

    40

    37

    18

    16

    0 20 40 60 80 100% ever doing each activity

    Send or receive text messages

    Browse the Internet

    Play games

    Use social networking sites such asFacebook or Twitter

    Listen to music you havetransferred/downloaded onto the phone

    Watch video

    Listen to Internet-only radio

    such as Pandora

    Listen to the stream of any

    FM or AM radio stations

    Base: Age 12-24 and have own cell phone

    12-24 year old cell users engage in abroad variety of behaviors on phones;'Radio' streams narrowly trail Pandora

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    "Do you have your own...?"

    81

    56

    46

    35

    7

    3

    2

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    % owning device

    Laptop computer

    Apple iPod

    Portable MP3 player

    other than Apple iPod

    Apple iPhone

    Apple iPad

    Portable hand-held book readersuch as Amazon Kindle

    Cell phone

    Base: Age 12-24

    Today's 12-24s own a broadvariety of devices -- most of

    which did not even exist in 2000

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    Radio:

    Good News and Bad News

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    hours:minutes

    "In the last 24 hours, approximately how much time did you spend...?"

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    On the Internet

    Watching television

    Listening to the radio

    Playing video games

    Talking on the telephone

    Reading magazines

    Reading newspapers

    2000: 12-24s

    0:59

    2:37

    1:44

    0:24

    0:17

    2:43

    0:42

    In 2000, 12-24s self-reported one hourper day on Internet; 2:43 on radio

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    hours:minutes

    "In the last 24 hours, approximately how much time did you spend...?"

    3

    3

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    On the Internet

    Watching television

    Listening to the radio

    Playing video games

    Talking on the telephone

    Reading magazines

    Reading newspapers

    2000: 12-24s

    2010: 12-24s

    2:52

    1:24

    0:08

    2:47

    0:11

    1:10

    1:04

    0:59

    2:37

    1:44

    0:24

    0:17

    2:43

    0:42

    Ten years later, teens and youngadults report nearly three hours perday on Internet and much less radio

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    "Compared to one year ago, are you spending more, less or the same amount of time...?"

    2

    2

    7

    16

    4

    22

    27

    40

    12

    14

    35

    22

    30

    23

    23

    17

    17

    28

    36

    44

    43

    35

    45

    45

    46

    33

    40

    48

    18

    27

    19

    28

    10

    10

    9

    20

    On the Internet

    Watching television

    Listening to the radio

    Playing video games

    Talking on the telephone

    Reading magazines

    Reading newspapers

    Going to concerts

    Going to movies

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    LessMore SameDon't Know/

    NA

    Base: Age 12-24

    Radio is one of only three options with a'net more' among 12-24s; along withInternet and surprisingly, telephone

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    Almost every day

    4%

    Regularly, but not daily

    10%

    Sometimes28%

    Almost never

    58%

    "How often do you read a printed newspaper?"

    Base: Age 12-24

    If 'Schadenfreude' helps:Hey, you could be working in

    the Newspaper Industry!

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    38

    45

    42

    39

    46

    45

    40

    27

    51

    46

    31

    23

    18

    17

    16

    14

    88

    90

    72

    62

    65

    62

    56

    42

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    % finding out about new music from (item)

    Listening to the radio

    Friends

    YouTube

    Music video channels

    Music featured on television shows

    Appearances by artists on television

    Social networking Web sites

    Internet radio stations like

    Pandora, Last.fm or Yahoo Music

    page 1

    Base: Age 12-24

    Frequently Sometimes"How often do you learnabout new music by...?"

    Radio remains the leading sourcefor learning about new music

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    22

    26

    34

    27

    32

    23

    18

    11

    11

    10

    9

    8

    8

    3

    34

    36

    43

    36

    40

    31

    20

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    % finding out about new music from (item)Base: Age 12-24

    Frequently Sometimes

    Looking through friends libraries

    using Limewire or a similar service

    Recommendations from online musicstores like iTunes or Amazon.com

    Songs featured in video games

    Streaming AM/FM radio stations online

    Concerts or other live performances

    Web sites/blogs thatdiscuss new music

    Music magazines such as

    Rolling Stone, Spin or Vibe

    page 2

    "How often do you learn

    about new music by...?"

    Radio streams are referencedby more than one-third of 12-24s

    as a source for new music

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    5

    8

    10

    11

    10

    17

    21

    31

    15

    20

    24

    31

    37

    36

    40

    37

    53

    52

    49

    45

    33

    37

    31

    25

    27

    20

    17

    13

    20

    9

    8

    8

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    You listen to AM/FM radio in order tohear your favorite songs

    You listen to AM/FM radio in order

    to learn about new songs

    You listen to AM/FM radio in order to find outwhat the popular songs are

    You only ever listen to AM/FM radio in the car

    You enjoy hearing personalities and

    DJs along with the music

    You regularly use AM/FM radio for news updates

    Agree

    Strongly

    You listen to AM/FM radio in order to find outabout things going on in your community

    You regularly listen to talk radio/sports talk

    radio hosts on AM/FM radio

    Base: Age 12-24 and ever listen to AM/FM radio

    Agree Disagree

    Disagree

    Strongly

    "Do you agree or disagree...?"

    Radio's strengths: Hits, New Music,to know what's popular; and a

    majority do want personality

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    None64%

    One15%

    Two9%

    Three or more12%

    "Approximately how many concerts have you attended in the last year?"

    None43%

    One

    20%

    Two13%

    Three or more24%

    Mean: 0.9 concerts attendedMean: 2.1 concerts attended

    2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s

    Also the concert industry -- onceseen as the great hope of music --

    has been whacked by the economy

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    From friends, family or coworkers43%

    Heard on AM/FM radio station

    17%

    Social network site

    10%Music artist/group Web site

    8%Ticket Web site

    7%Email from the concert venue3%

    AM/FM radio station Web site

    1%

    Other

    4%

    Don't know

    7%

    "Of those concerts you attended, where did you most often first hear about them?"

    Base: Age 12-24 and have attended at least one concert in last year

    Radio tops social media assource for concert information

    2 2 l f h i l

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    Average number of music CDs

    purchased in last 12 months

    "Approximately how many music CDs have you bought in the last 12 months --

    that is, the physical or packaged disk?"

    11.3

    3.4

    11.3

    4.3

    2000: 12-24s

    2010: 12-24s

    2000: 12-24s

    2010: 22-34s

    12-24s report vastly fewer physicalCDs purchased; even the 'cohort'

    members have dropped by 62%

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    785 770

    680655 667

    615 595

    500

    427380

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    Digital album salesPhysical album sales

    Album sales in millionsSource: Soundscan

    Soundscan, tracking all ages, showsthe dramatic drops in album sales

    With th d t f d i ' t '

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    Yes

    65%

    No

    35%

    2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s

    Yes

    31%

    No

    69%

    "Have you ever downloaded MP3s or other digital music files from the Internet?"

    With the advent of devices, 'stores'and broadband, way more

    12-24s now download music

    M f

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    "How often do you obtain music by...?"

    16

    12

    9

    8

    6

    5

    4

    3

    6

    7

    4

    4

    4

    3

    2

    2

    23

    19

    13

    12

    10

    8

    6

    5

    0 10 20 30

    Purchasing digital music files

    online from iTunes

    Downloading for free from peer-to-peer or

    BitTorrent apps like Limewire

    Receiving digital music files from a friend viae-mail/IM/Internet/sharing a flash drive

    Downloading music for free from an

    artist/record label Web site

    Downloading music for free

    from an MP3 blog

    Downloading files online fr. music sub. services

    w/ monthly fee for unlimited downloads

    Once per weekor more

    Once per month or more(but less than once per week)

    Purchasing through a direct link from an onlinemusic service such as Pandora or Shazam

    Purchasing digital music files

    online from Amazon.com

    Base: Age 12-24

    Many of our youngrespondents were happy to

    report their 'illegal' downloads

    I th l t d d R di h l t it

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    % saying "yes"

    "In the morning, do you regularly...?"

    49

    42

    42

    41

    8

    62

    38

    16

    74

    29

    Listen to music other than the radio

    Watch TV

    Use the Internet

    Listen to the radio

    Read a newspaper

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    2000: 12-24s

    2010: 12-24s

    In the last decade, Radio has lost itsedge as the most prevalent activity

    in the morning for young people

    Radio remains the top choice for

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    % saying "yes"

    "In the morning, do you regularly...?"

    35

    45

    47

    53

    14

    62

    38

    16

    74

    29

    Listen to music other than the radio

    Watch TV

    Use the Internet

    Listen to the radio

    Read a newspaper

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    2000: 12-24s

    2010: 22-34s

    Radio remains the top choice for22-34s, but Internet and TV have

    nearly eliminated the gap

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    Watch TV

    24%

    Listen to radio

    22%

    Read newspaper

    2%

    Music other than radio

    18%

    Use Internet21%None/Don't know

    14%

    "Which do you do most in the morning?"

    2000: 12-24s

    Watch TV

    18%

    Listen to radio

    44%

    Read newspaper

    6%

    Music other than radio

    21%Use Internet

    4%

    None/Don't know

    6%

    2010: 12-24s

    Television has passed Radio as the

    'most used' in the morning among 12-24s

    Over ten years this cohort still

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    Watch TV

    25%

    Listen to radio

    29%

    Read newspaper

    3%Music other than radio

    9%

    Use Internet

    23%None/Don't know

    11%

    "Which do you do most in the morning?"

    2010: 22-34s

    Watch TV

    18%

    Listen to radio

    44%

    Read newspaper

    6%

    Music other than radio

    21%Use Internet

    4%

    None/Don't know

    6%

    2000: 12-24s

    Over ten years, this cohort stilluses Radio most in the mornings

    but Internet and TV grow

    Biggest reason they don't listen

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    74

    73

    62

    45

    39

    75

    74

    63

    47

    25

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    2000: 12-24s

    2010: 12-24s

    AM/FM radio stations play too many commercials

    "Do you not listen to AM/FM radio more because...?"

    % saying "yes" this is a reason they

    do not listen to AM/FM radio more

    You would rather listen to your own music instead,such as on your iPod/mp3 player or CDs*

    *2000 wording: "CDs and cassettes"

    page 1

    AM/FM radio stations have too much talk

    You prefer to watch television instead

    You prefer to play video games instead

    Biggest reason they don t listenmore hasn't changed one bit:

    Too Many Commercials

    Interestingly today's 12 24s are less

  • 8/6/2019 Edison Research American Youth Study Radios Future

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    37

    36

    30

    26

    16

    43

    51

    44

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    2000: 12-24s

    2010: 12-24s

    You dont hear the music you like on AM/FM radio

    "Do you not listen to AM/FM radio more because...?"

    You just dont think to listen to

    AM/FM radio more often

    page 2

    You dont have enough time to listen

    You prefer Internet-only radio such as Pandora

    DJs and personalities that you

    like are no longer on the air

    % saying "yes" this is a reason they

    do not listen to AM/FM radio more

    Interestingly, today s 12-24s are lesslikely to say that they aren't hearing

    the music they like on the radio

    In these job-challenged days --

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    64

    60

    59

    36

    25

    66

    71

    31

    29

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    2000: 12-24s

    2010: 12-24s

    The radio stations in your local area

    do a good job of playing all the

    kinds of music you want to hear

    Being a radio station DJ seems like

    it would be a really cool job

    % agreeing with statement

    You would be very disappointed if the AM/FM radiostations you listen to no longer existed

    In the future, no one your age will

    listen to the radio because

    everything will be on the Internet

    In the future, no one your age

    will watch television because

    everything will be on the Internet

    In these job-challenged days --why do so few young people think

    Radio DJ sounds like a cool job?

    They like us, theyreally ike us!

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    Social Networking:

    An Entire New Form

    of Media Emerges

    Three-quarters of 12-24s use

  • 8/6/2019 Edison Research American Youth Study Radios Future

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    8

    4

    16

    28

    17

    61

    17

    2

    2

    18

    3

    8

    18

    19

    8

    12

    55

    4

    MySpace

    Facebook

    Twitter

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Unfamiliar

    Actively

    Use

    Occasionally

    Use

    Haveacct./profile,

    do not use

    Hadacct./profile,

    deleted it

    Familiarwith, but

    never used

    Base: Age 12-24

    Three-quarters of 12-24s useFacebook at least occasionally;

    MySpace struggles

  • 8/6/2019 Edison Research American Youth Study Radios Future

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    "Compared to one year ago, are you spending more, less or the same amount of time using...?"

    9

    3

    14

    59

    17

    34

    22

    30

    28

    10

    51

    24

    MySpace

    Facebook

    Twitter

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    LessMore SameDon'tKnow

    Base: Age 12-24 and have ever used (social network)

    Facebook appears unstoppable

    Communication between listener

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    35/50

    22

    8

    8

    7

    2

    Phone

    Text message

    Facebook

    Email

    Twitter

    0 10 20 30 40

    "Have you ever communicated with an AM/FM radio station or one of its DJs or personalities by...?

    % saying "yes"

    Communication between listenerand radio station via modern

    means is still in development stage

  • 8/6/2019 Edison Research American Youth Study Radios Future

    36/50

    Music Trends:

    Some things change;

    One thing stays exactly

    the same

    Top 40 is ascendent in the

  • 8/6/2019 Edison Research American Youth Study Radios Future

    37/50

    "Think about the radio station you listen to most. What type of music does it play?"

    22

    18

    108 8 8

    5 4

    1 1

    23

    10

    20

    6

    12

    5

    2

    8

    3

    1

    Hip-Ho

    pan

    dRa

    p

    Top40

    HitM

    usic

    Alte

    rnative

    Rock

    Country

    R&B

    ClassicR

    ock

    Cont

    .Christia

    n

    H

    ardRo

    ck/Hea

    vyMetal

    SoftRo

    ck

    Classic

    al0

    10

    20

    30

    2000: 12-24s 2010: 12-24s

    Top 40 is ascendent in thelast decade while both

    Contemporary Rock formats are halved

    Today's 22-34s have grown

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    38/50

    "Think about the radio station you listen to most. What type of music does it play?"

    13

    16

    12 119

    75

    32 3

    23

    10

    20

    6

    12

    5

    2

    8

    3

    1

    Hip-Ho

    pan

    dRa

    p

    Top40

    HitMu

    sic

    Alte

    rnativeR

    ock

    Country

    R&B

    Clas

    sicR

    ock

    Cont

    .Christia

    n

    HardRo

    ck/Heavy

    Metal

    SoftRo

    ck

    Clas

    sical

    0

    10

    20

    30

    2000: 12-24s 2010: 22-34s

    Today s 22 34s have grownaway from Rap and Rock; into

    Top 40, Country and Christian

    What are your five favorite

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    39/50

    2000 2010

    1. Eminem 1. Eminem

    2. 'N Sync 2. Lady Gaga

    3. Limp Bizkit 3. Lil Wayne

    4. Britney Spears 4. Taylor Swift5. Korn 5. Drake

    6. Backstreet Boys 6. Rihanna

    7. DMX 7. Beatles

    8. Dr. Dre 8. Katy Perry

    9. Metallica 9. T.I.

    10. Blink-182 10. Green Day

    at a e you e a o temusical artists or group?

    (most mentions)

    Base: Age 12-24

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    40/50

    The Big Threat:

  • 8/6/2019 Edison Research American Youth Study Radios Future

    41/50

    Yes

    33%

    No

    67%

    "Have you ever listened to the Internet-only radio station called Pandora?"

    Base: Age 12-24

    One-in-three 12-24s have tried Pandora

    Pandora has a self-reported 13%

  • 8/6/2019 Edison Research American Youth Study Radios Future

    42/50

    8

    5

    20

    1311

    6

    Last Month Last Week0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    AM/FM online streams Pandora Other Internet-only streams (not Pandora)

    % listening to each type of online radioBase: Age 12-24

    pweekly cume, more than all other

    Internet and AM/FM streams combined

    Pandora's most 'non-radio' aspects

  • 8/6/2019 Edison Research American Youth Study Radios Future

    43/50

    55

    52

    46

    46

    42

    39

    29

    8

    0 20 40 60 80

    You like the ability to create radio stationsbased on your favorite songs or artists

    You like the ability to skip songs

    Pandora is easy to use

    Pandora seems to play a wider selection ofsongs than AM/FM radio stations

    Pandora has fewer commercials

    than AM/FM radio

    Pandora learns about your personal music tastesand continues to adapt the music it selects

    Pandora has no personalities or DJs

    Pandora would be better if it had personalities orDJs who talk about the music

    Base: Age 12-24 and ever listen to Pandora

    "Do you agree or disagree you

    listen to Pandora because...?"

    % agreeing "strongly"

    p(create stations and skip songs)

    are its most 'killer apps'

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    44/50

    Our Next Steps:

    Radio Innovations

    One-third of 12-24s say that putting

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    45/50

    Listen a lot more

    11%

    Listen a little more

    23%

    No effect35%

    Do not have cell phone

    19%

    Don't know

    12%

    "If your cell phone had an FM radio tuner, would it lead you to listen to FM radio a lot more than you donow, a little more than you do now or would it have no effect on your radio listening?"

    Base: Age 12-24

    an FM tuner on their cell phones

    would lead to more listening

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    46/50

    Very interested

    28%

    Somewhat interested

    39%

    Not very interested

    23%Not at all interested

    3%

    Don't know

    7%

    "Suppose the vehicle you are in the most had a radio with the ability to pause, rewind

    and fast forward live AM/FM broadcasts, similar to a television DVR.

    It would also be able to record AM/FM shows on demand.

    How interested would you be in your vehicle having a radio with these features?"

    Base: Age 12-24

    There is significant interest in a

    Radio TiVo type of radio application

    Today's 12-24s are only slightly morelik l h i i d R di S i i

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    47/50

    % saying "yes"

    42

    46

    42

    61

    2000: 12-24s

    2010: 12-24s

    2000: 12-24s

    2010: 22-34s

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    "Have you ever visited a radio station's Web site?"

    likely to have visited a Radio Station site;

    the 'cohort' does show increased usage

    After all these years and all the radioi l l f i t 12 24

  • 8/6/2019 Edison Research American Youth Study Radios Future

    48/50

    Yes

    42%

    No

    58%

    "Have you ever heard of HD Radio?"

    Base: Age 12-24

    commercials, only four-in-ten 12-24s

    have even heard of HD Radio

    R d ti t R di f th

  • 8/6/2019 Edison Research American Youth Study Radios Future

    49/50

    Recommendations to Radio from the

    2010 "American Youth Study"

    Send morestations after these demos or

    watch them fade away -- the consumer andthe advertisers stillsee radio as a youthmedium -- why don't the owners?

    Claim Internet audio or lose itIt can't just be your over-the-air productMust be a font of innovation -- learn from what isdriving Pandora

    Find ways to work together as an industryStandardization and co-ordination can createmultiplier effects

    Recruit young people -- Radio's biggestchallenges are HR challenges

  • 8/6/2019 Edison Research American Youth Study Radios Future

    50/50