edc critical materials briefing june2012 low res
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Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Major manufacturing companies consider minerals and metals scarcity as an important issue for their business, but do not see su�cient awareness of this topic among all their stakeholders
The Ticking Time Bomb, PwC, November 2011
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
over 80% of CEOs of manufacturing companies said raw material shortgaes was a risk to their business in 2012
EEF membership survey, December 2011
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
A recent Eurobarometer survey of European entrepreneurs found that 75% have seen material costs in their business increase... 87% said they expect prices to continue rising
CBI ‘Made to Last’, December 2011
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
UK resource secturity action plan
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
relation between world production and demand for future technologies
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
what causes supply risk?
geostrategic risks
access to marketsconcentration of production, social and environmental limits
market power
high concentration of production in a few countries or companies
speed of R&D
recycling, substitution, material e�ciency, domesticmineral production
dependence on imports
importance of the mineral value chain
technical availability
supply/demand capacity in mining, processing, metallurgy and transport, production costs
geological availability
life time of resources,exploration activities
Key issue 1
Many critical metals are traded in relatively small quantities, compared to steel, copper etc. and the supply is concentrated in a few countries.
These countries have the ability to control supply for speculative, political or geo-strategic reasons
Mining and extraction is a slow and inelastic system. It can take 15 years or more to get a mine into production
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Key issue 2
Material criticality a�ects a number of materials simultaneously thus causing complexity for the supply and demand side.
For example, supply shortages for several critical metals may occur at the same time.
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Key issue 3
Currently recycling rates are minimal due to di�usion, product design and business models
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
recycling rate for 60 metals
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
recycling rate for 60 metals
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
recycling rate for 60 metals
Key issue 5The social and environmental limits. Many people demand iPhones and iPads but would not like a mine in their neighbourhood.
& conflict metals
& declining grades of ore requiring more energy to extract
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
according to UNEP
Since 1990, at least 18 violent conflicts have been fuelled by the exploitation of natural resources.
40% of all intrastate conflicts since 1960 have a link to natural resources
Intrastate conflicts linked to natural resources are twice as likely to relapse to conflict in five years.
Key issue 6
On the demand side (manufacturing, retail) there is complexity regarding substitution or maintaining performance while using resources e�ciently.
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
45% of all electrical energy goes to motors–7000 TWh/year–6040 Mt CO2/year
•>99% of all electrical energy from electrical generators
•40M electric motors produced in EU / US every year
•12M Electric Vehicles per year by 2030 requiring large, volume produced electric motors (Credit Suisse)
value of gold in EEE we buy each year in UK is estaimated at £350 million
by 2020 the UK will dispose of 12 million tonnes of WEEE = £1 billion of palladium and £380 indium
1/4 of WEEE sent to recycling could be repaired and resold = £200 million p/a
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Recycling has an energy e�ciency 2x to 10x times better than primary extraction
Metals thrown away, and not recycled, represent each year in Europe more than 7 billions euros lost, in metals value terms.
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
recovery rates depend on
material compositiontype of connections
accessibility / removal of key parts(catalysts, batteries, PCB)
quality of mechanicalseperation
quality of metallurgy
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
productmanufacture end of life
use
raw materials
industrial materials
new scrap
recycling
dissipation
residue
residue
residue
residue
oresconcentrates
historic waste(tailing, landfill)
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
productmanufacture end of life
use
raw materials
industrial materials
new scrap
recycling
dissipation
residue
residue
residue
residue
oresconcentrates
historic waste(tailing, landfill)
ecodesigndesign for disassemblydematerialisation
close loop
substitution
recyclability
substitution
Ecodesign Centre Critial Material briefing for Welsh Government, June 2012
• Small Business Research Initiative (SBRI) on feasibility of new approaches to gain value from domestic and commercial waste streams (i.e. through re-use and recovery) (Lead: Defra with the TSB)• improving data capture of WEEE (Lead: BIS)• critical resources dashboard (ES KTN, BGS etc.)• development of a materials flow analysis for WEEE ‘hot spots’ (Lead: WRAP)• recycling demonstration trials (Lead: WRAP)• industry-led consortium to further develop links between government, business and other organisations (Lead: Green Alliance)
New designs for a circular economy (tbc) TSB with RSA & Ellen MacArthurFoundation