ecr march 2013
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Economic and Commercial Report EOI/BrasiliaTRANSCRIPT
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ECONOMIC &COMMERCIAL REPORT
Number 05| March 2013Embassy of India
Brasília
The Packaging
Industry
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2 | Economic and commErcial rEport
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Index
Editorial Board
Economic and Commercial Report
Number 04March2013
Published by Embassy of India
BrasíliaSHIS QL 08 conjunto 08
casa 01 - Lago Sul Brasília-DF
Editor:Raj Srivastava
Texts:Yatin Patel
Layout:Hadassah Levyski
04 Brazilian Economy
08 Focus Story: The Packaging Industry
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4 | Economic and commErcial rEport
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PRESIDENT DILMA’S POPULARITY REACHES A NEW RECORD
The personal approval rating of Brazil’s first woman president rose to 79% in March from 78% in December,
according to a CNI/Ibope opinion poll. 63% of the respondents rated Rousseff
government as good to excellent, up from 62% in December. If one compares it to the previous
governments, they will alo notice her popularity is even higher than the one former presidents Lula and Fernando Henrique Cardoso enjoyed at the same period of their first terms, 39% and 56%, repectively. If a presidential election was to be held today, Rousseff would easily win with 58% of the vote.
UN agencies to provide services for the new stadium in brasília
The Confederations . Cup is coming out in June and, in order to meet their deadline, Brasília has turned to the UN for assistance so the
city can have its new soccer stadium up and running in time for the event that preceds the World Cup.
Two UN agencies have signed a US$ 17.5 million agreement with the government of the Federal District to procure services and items for the stadium, such as generators, tents and security cameras.
The new stadium, which is now 87% complete, will be the second largest venue for the World Cup 2014 and seat 70,000 people. FIFA has set the deadline for April 21; however, grass is yet to be planted and the roof is not finished.
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Petrobras to invest US$236,7 billion
Petrobras announced that its Board
of Directors has approved the 2013-
2017 Business & Management Plan
(2013-17 BP), with investments of US$ 236.7bn,
maintaining the same level of investments
as last year’s Plan. Of the total Plan, US$
207.1bn of investments are classified as under
implementation. The 2013-17 BP maintains the project
management practice of separating projects into four phases according to their maturity. The portfolio of projects under implementation amounts to US$ 207.1bn and includes all Phase IV projects that have already been contracted, and all E&P projects in Brazil. The portfolio under evaluation, with US$ 29.6bn, encompasses projects of other business areas that are currently in Phase I (opportunity identification),
II (conceptual project) and III (basic project) which, in order to proceed to the implementation phase, must have their technical and economic feasibility confirmed (Phase III approval).
The analysis of the 2013-17 BP portfolio resulted in the maintenance of 2012-16 BP projects for the 2013-17 period, without including or excluding new projects in the portfolio under implementation, except for cases of E&P in Brazil where, in order to meet planned production targets, there were inclusions and exclusions as well as accelerations and postponements of projects.
According to Petrobras, all 2013-17 BP projects incorporate the use of S-Curves (graphs that represents a project’s physical and financial progression) and projections are based on an analysis of executing these curves. The S-Curves are closely monitored by the Executive Board in order to ensure that the Plan´s targets are met.
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6 | Economic and commErcial rEport
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Brazil and USA seek bilateral agreements
Development Minister Fernando
Pimentel released a note after
meeting the US Acting Secretary
of Commerce, Rebecca Blank, calling for
accelerated negotiations on a series of Brazil-
US financial accords. Pimentel’s porposal
mentioned the bilateral agreements that can
be discussed without the need for approval
by the members of Mercosur, in areas such
as services, investment, transportation, and
taxes. According to the Brazilian Trade Minister,
“we should explore all of the possibilities of
bilateral progress while we prepare within the
Mercosur for mature negotiations with the US”.
Brazil current account gap widens in February
Brazilian Federal Government
registered a primary budget deficit
of US$ 3.1 billon in February, which
represents the worst fiscal result on record for
the month - and the highest monthly deficit since
September 2009. This negative result followed
January’s record surplus of US$ 13.1, which was
the result of decisions by banks and companies
to anticipate income tax payments. Government
says these numbers are ‘atypical’ and do not
represent tendencies for the remainder of the year.
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FITCH SAYS UPGRADE TO BRAZIL IS UNLIKELY
Ratings agency Fitch warned Brazil on a
report released on March 27 that weak
economic growth and looser budget
policies could delay any upgrades of the country’s
sovereign credit rating. It noted that Brazil’s debt-
to-GDP ratio and interest payments are above the
median of other countries with the same rating.“This could delay an improvement in Brazil’s
relative standing within its rating category,”
Fitch said in a statement. Shelly Shetty, head of Fitch’s Latin America sovereign group mentioned that the nation has struggled to grow over the past two years due to a cyclical downturn as well as structural issues that require deeper reforms. “A difficult business environment, a heavy tax burden, labor market inflexibility and infrastructure bottlenecks have led to a drop in total factor productivity and investment growth, reducing Brazil’s trend growth,” said Shetty in a statement.
Brazil and China agree currency swap
China and Brazil have signed a currency
swap deal, designed to safeguard
against future global financial crises.The pact, first announced last year, will
allow their central banks to swap local currencies worth up to 190bn yuan or 60bn reais ($30bn;
£20bn). Officials said this will ensure smooth bilateral trade, regardless of global financial conditions.
The agreement was signed on the sidelines of the fifth Brics (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) summit being held in Durban, South Africa.
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8 | Economic and commErcial rEport
Packaging Industry
Idea of using any wafer
packet as life saving jacket
in swimming pool may be
fool proof because of
two things. First, they
have more air than wafer
and second packaging is
very strong nowadays.
Joke apart, it is impossible
to survive in this world
without using packaged
stuff and it is more so in
sixth largest economy
in the world. Brazil´s
packaging industry is
surely worth paying
attention to.
Packaging industry of Brazil is having size
of Approximately 23 bn USD. Plastic
packaging is having 37 % share of total
packaging, Paper packaging is 34.5%, Metal
packaging is 16.7% and glass packaging
accounts for almost 5% of total value. Rest
belongs to wooden packaging.
Some of the features can be seen here.
• Brazil’s packaging industry is the seventh-
largest in the world.
• It is valued at US$23.7 billion in 2011 and
is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.13% during
the forecast period to reach US$33.1 billion
in 2016, driven by both macroeconomic and
consumer demand factors.
• Major sporting events such as the 2014
FIFA World Cup and the 2016 Summer Olympic
Games will drive demand for packaging across
several industries, and will also drive tourism.
• With sales of US$16 billion in 2011 the
food and beverages sector accounts for 67% of
the total packaging consumption in the country.
• The pharmaceuticals market’s packaging
sales are projected to grow to US$3.6 billion in
2016 from US$2.6 billion in 2011, recording the
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highest growth among the packaging industry’s
end-user markets.
Factors which make Brazil place to be
The Brazilian agro-products industry, with
a global share of 25% of the world food market,
is growing as a result of a significant number of
global retailers making Brazil a global sourcing
hub. Consequently, the food industry, which
accounts for more than 40% of packaging
consumption, is expected to drive growth. Global
sourcing has led to the adoption of international
standards of packaging to facilitate regional and
continental shipments. New packaging formats
such as stand-up pouches are expected to record
growth in Brazil with applications in juices, milk,
tea and water packaging.
The Brazilian domestic market remained a
favorite destination for global companies in the
FMCG (fast-moving consumer goods) sector
as several announced new investments. Coca
Cola, for example, announced plans to invest
approximately US$5.8 billion in Brazil during
2010-15. Additional investment is also expected
in the retail sector. Such levels of investment
highlight the expectation of higher consumer
spending, driven by robust economic growth in
Brazil, which in turn will boost demand across
packaging segments.
In the last number of
years the Brazilian packaged
consumer goods supply chain has
experienced greater consolidation.
The creation of Brazil Foods, as
a result of the merger of Brazilian
food majors Perdigao and Sadia, is expected
to trigger further consolidation. Consolidation
among major retailers in Brazil has led to the
adoption of standardized packs and sizes
in order to improve logistics and effective
warehousing practice. This has benefitted the
packaging industry by allowing it to compete
over standardized products and specifications.
Major Players in Brazil
19 out of 20 top global packaging
manufacturers are present in Brazil. Tetra Pack,
Sig Combibloc, Dixie Toga and International
Paper have decided to make significant
investments in Brazil’s packaging market. It
would be interesting to observe the case of Tetra
Pack in Brazil. Company has been operating in
Brazil since 1957. It established its first plant in
Monte Mor in Sao Paulo in 1978 and second
plant in Ponta Grossa in Parana. In 1993, annual
milk consumption in Brazil was 5 billion liters and
in 2006 it reached 10 billion liters. Tetra Pack
grew along with demand of preserving the milk.
Sig Combibloc started its first plant in South
America in Campo Largo in Curitiba, Parana.
Within Six months of starting operation they have
announced the investment to triple the capacity.
They are planning to achieve target of 3 billion
units produced per year.
In 1995, Dixie Lalekla and
Toga merged to form Dixie Toga.
They have units in Valinhos,
Votorantim, Mauá, Cambe,
Paranhuá, Pinhais, Curitiba and
Londrina, mostly located in State
19 out of 20 top global packaging
manufacturers are present in
Brazil.
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10 | Economic and commErcial rEport
of Sau Paulo and Parana.
North and North-East: To be or not to be
In state of Amazonia, Manaus Free
trade zone is created to push the process of
industrialization in this region. Packaging industry
is looking at it with much of interest. Because
of the provision of Suspension of PIS/PASEP
and COFINS taxes for imports of raw materials,
intermediary goods, and packaging materials by
companies located in the Manaus Free Trade
Zone for use by manufacturing operations in
establishments located in this free trade zone.
All those mentioned taxes are suspended if
any company (out of Free trade zone too) uses
packaging material produced in Manaus FTZ.
It is encouraging many to be there. For
Example, Rexam, major producers of beverage
cans, has units in Manaus along with units in
Rio de Janeiro, Minas Gerais, São Paulo, Rio
Grande do Sul, Mato Grosso, Distrito Federal
and Recife. Another Can producer, Crown is
having units in Cabreúva-SP, Estância, Ponta
Grossa-PR, Manaus, Santa Izabel in Pará.
North is alluring because of tax-incentive
for sure but all the major firms present there have
most of their capacity located in regions of Sao
Paulo and Parana. Most of the food processing
industry is located here. Most of the raw material
as well as potential market is here. Transport is
still major constrain for units present in North. So
companies are having investments aimed at
responding to the astonishing
growth of
d o m e s t i c
d e m a n d ,
st imulated
by this
region’s increased consumer purchasing power
but many have preferred to remain where they
are.
Challenges for the Packaging Industry in Brazil
High taxes, legislation relating to food,
safety and the environment, energy prices and
exchange rate fluctuations are some of challenges
currently faced by the Brazilian packaging
industry. Due to the complex supply chain, the
Brazilian packaging industry has numerous
stakeholders, each of whom is represented by
trade associations. Although there is a separate
agency representing the packaging industry, the
affiliation of member companies is usually to
its core industry. Consequently issues faced by
the industry regarding high corporate taxes and
import duties on packaging machineries remain
unresolved.
Among the end-user market segments,
the food and pharmaceuticals markets are
highly regulated. In recent times, however,
environmental concerns have become a major
impediment for the growth of plastic packaging,
such as the law which prohibits the use of
plastic bags in supermarkets in Rio de Janeiro.
In addition, the plastic packaging industry
faces the challenges of the irregular supply of
raw materials from petrochemical companies,
and fluctuations in price. Brazil also remains a
high-cost capital country, and as the majority
of domestic packaging businesses are small or
medium-sized, high borrowing costs affect their
ability to expand.
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Foc
Us
sto
ry
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namaste
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