ecosystem services and economics - oregon · 07/11/2018  · valuing ecosystem services...

22
Ecosystem Services and Economics David Lewis, Professor, Department of Applied Economics Randy Rosenberger, Assoc. Dean, College of Forestry Background Presentation to Oregon Board of Forestry 11/7/18 AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 1 of 22

Upload: others

Post on 24-Jul-2020

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Ecosystem Services and Economics

David Lewis, Professor, Department of Applied EconomicsRandy Rosenberger, Assoc. Dean, College of Forestry

Background Presentation to Oregon Board of Forestry11/7/18

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14

Page 1 of 22

Page 2: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Ecosystem Services

• Ecosystem services – benefits that people derive from functioning ecosystems

– Provisioning services: raw materials, such as timber products or food production.

– Regulating services: pollination, soil formation, climate regulation.

– Cultural services: a place for recreation, aesthetics.

– Supporting services: habitat for wildlife.

Costanza, R., de Groot, R., Braat, L., Kubiszewski, I., Fioramonti, L., Sutton, P., Farber, S. and Grasso, M., 2017. Twenty years of ecosystem services: how far have we come and how far do we still need to go?. Ecosystem Services, 28, pp.1-16.

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14

Page 2 of 22

Page 3: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Ecosystem Services

Examples on Oregon timberland/• Provisioning:

Douglas-fir trees for timber.

• Regulating: carbon sequestration.

• Cultural: mountain biking trails.

• Supporting: habitat for birds.

Ex/ Starker Forest Timberland, west of Corvallis

Photo: David LewisAGENDA ITEM B

Attachment 14 Page 3 of 22

Page 4: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Ecosystem Services

What does the market pay Starker to provide?• Provisioning:

Douglas-fir trees for timber.

• Regulating: carbon sequestration.

• Cultural: mountain biking trails.

• Supporting: habitat for birds.

Ex/ Starker Forest Timberland, west of Corvallis

Photo: David LewisAGENDA ITEM B

Attachment 14 Page 4 of 22

Page 5: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Ecosystem Services

Rival in consumption?

Excludable?

Yes No

Yes

No

Private goods• Fiber (Timber)• Food (Crops)

Club goods• Patentable

information

Common resources• Harvestable

species (e.g. fish)

Public goods• Wildlife existence• Water quality

Private markets are better at providing excludable rather than non-excludable goods and services. AGENDA ITEM B

Attachment 14 Page 5 of 22

Page 6: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Value of ecosystem

services

Decision-Making

Ecosystems

Ecosystem services

Ecological production

function

Economic valuation

methods

Human actionsInformation &Incentives

Decisions, ecosystem services, and values

Credit for figure: Stephen Polasky, University of Minnesota

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14

Page 6 of 22

Page 7: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Land-use change is a human action that alters ecosystem service provision

Policy and Market

Scenarios

Net Returns to Land

Land Use Change

Land Use Transitions

Food Production

Timber Production

Wildlife Habitat

Carbon Sequestration

Lawler, J.J., Lewis, D.J., Nelson, E., Plantinga, A.J., Polasky, S., Withey, J.C., Helmers, D.P., Martinuzzi, S., Pennington, D. and Radeloff, V.C., 2014. Projected land-use change impacts on ecosystem services in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, p.201405557.

Provisioning Service

Supporting Service

Regulating Service

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14

Page 7 of 22

Page 8: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Land-use change is a human action that alters ecosystem service provision• Ex/ Modeled land-use change impacts on U.S. ecosystem

services out to 2050

Lawler, J.J., Lewis, D.J., Nelson, E., Plantinga, A.J., Polasky, S., Withey, J.C., Helmers, D.P., Martinuzzi, S., Pennington, D. and Radeloff, V.C., 2014. Projected land-use change impacts on ecosystem services in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, p.201405557.

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14

Page 8 of 22

Page 9: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Land-use change is a human action that alters ecosystem service provision• Ex/ Modeled land-use change impacts on U.S. ecosystem

services out to 2050

Lawler, J.J., Lewis, D.J., Nelson, E., Plantinga, A.J., Polasky, S., Withey, J.C., Helmers, D.P., Martinuzzi, S., Pennington, D. and Radeloff, V.C., 2014. Projected land-use change impacts on ecosystem services in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, p.201405557.

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14

Page 9 of 22

Page 10: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Policy can alter ecosystem service provision

Forest incentives: pay for afforestation

Natural habitats: conserve forests and rangeland

Urban containment: limit development outside of metro regions

Policy scenarios

Lawler, J.J., Lewis, D.J., Nelson, E., Plantinga, A.J., Polasky, S., Withey, J.C., Helmers, D.P., Martinuzzi, S., Pennington, D. and Radeloff, V.C., 2014. Projected land-use change impacts on ecosystem services in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, p.201405557.

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 10 of 22

Page 11: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Policy can alter ecosystem service provision

Forest incentives: pay for afforestation

Natural habitats: conserve forests and rangeland

Urban containment: limit development outside of metro regions

Policy scenarios

Lawler, J.J., Lewis, D.J., Nelson, E., Plantinga, A.J., Polasky, S., Withey, J.C., Helmers, D.P., Martinuzzi, S., Pennington, D. and Radeloff, V.C., 2014. Projected land-use change impacts on ecosystem services in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, p.201405557.

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 11 of 22

Page 12: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Value of ecosystem

services

Decision-Making

Ecosystems

Ecosystem services

Ecological production

function

Economic valuation

methods

Human actionsInformation &Incentives

Decisions, ecosystem services, and values

Credit for figure: Stephen Polasky, University of Minnesota

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 12 of 22

Page 13: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Valuing ecosystem services – market methods

• Private goods / services have market prices

• Ex/ county-average annualized net economic return to private timberland ($/acre)

Mihiar, C., and D.J. Lewis (2018). “Climate, adaptation, and the value of forestland: A national Ricardian analysis of the U.S.” Working Paper. Department of Applied Economics, Oregon State University.

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 13 of 22

Page 14: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Valuing ecosystem services – non-market methods

• Revealed preference => measures “use” values

– Hedonic approach (e.g. property prices)

– Travel cost (e.g. recreation decisions)

• Stated preference => measures “use” and/or “non-use” values

– Contingent valuation

– Choice experiments

• These approaches typically used to value a change in an ecosystem service

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 14 of 22

Page 15: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Valuing ecosystem services – non-market methods

• Revealed preference example: hedonic pricing– Property values reflect the value of many attributes of the

property.• Structure: size of house, age of house, etc.

• Local built environment: school quality, neighborhood amenities, etc.

• Natural environment: proximity to conserved forest, air quality, etc.

– How does a change in the natural environment affect property values?• Ex/ numerous studies find that residential property values are

higher when near conserved forest.

• Ex/ aquatic species invasions lower lakeshore property values.

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 15 of 22

Page 16: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Valuing ecosystem services – non-market methods

• Revealed preference methods

– Advantages: values based on revealed behavior of people.

– Disadvantages:

• Covers a small subset of ecosystem services (e.g. recreation)

• Challenging to disentangle environmental attributes from other property attributes.

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 16 of 22

Page 17: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Valuing ecosystem services – non-market methods

• Stated preference example: choice experiment– Use surveys to ask

people to make choices across bundles of services and prices.

– Key task: describe actions that affect a set of ecosystem services.

Garber-Yonts, B., Kerkvliet, J. and Johnson, R., 2004. Public values for biodiversity conservation policies in the Oregon Coast Range. Forest Science, 50(5), pp.589-602.

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 17 of 22

Page 18: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Valuing ecosystem services – non-market methods

• Stated preference example: choice experiment– Use surveys to ask

people to make choices across bundles of services and prices.

– Key task: describe actions that affect a set of ecosystem services.

Garber-Yonts, B., Kerkvliet, J. and Johnson, R., 2004. Public values for biodiversity conservation policies in the Oregon Coast Range. Forest Science, 50(5), pp.589-602.

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 18 of 22

Page 19: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Valuing ecosystem services – non-market methods

Garber-Yonts, B., Kerkvliet, J. and Johnson, R., 2004. Public values for biodiversity conservation policies in the Oregon Coast Range. Forest Science, 50(5), pp.589-602.

• Average annual willingness-to-pay (WTP) for 10% increase in:– Salmon habitat:

• $60/household; • $79 million statewide.

– Old growth management: • $201/household; • $264 million

statewide.

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 19 of 22

Page 20: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Valuing ecosystem services – non-market methods

• Stated preference methods

– Advantages:

• Direct questions about values of interest.

• Can capture “non-use” values.

– Disadvantages:

• Hypothetical rather than revealed.

• Requires high skill in survey design.

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 20 of 22

Page 21: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Value of ecosystem

services

Decision-Making

Ecosystems

Ecosystem services

Ecological production

function

Economic valuation

methods

Human actionsInformation &Incentives

Decisions, ecosystem services, and values

Credit for figure: Stephen Polasky, University of Minnesota

Ideally, valuation of ecosystem services helps improve decision-making. AGENDA ITEM B

Attachment 14 Page 21 of 22

Page 22: Ecosystem Services and Economics - Oregon · 07/11/2018  · Valuing ecosystem services –non-market methods •Stated preference example: choice experiment –Use surveys to ask

Contact Information

David Lewis, Professor, Department of Applied Economics, [email protected], 541-737-1334

Randy Rosenberger, Assoc. Dean, College of Forestry, [email protected], 541-737-4425

AGENDA ITEM B Attachment 14 Page 22 of 22